Rtzeey personal page - To The Moon

Rtzeey

Rtzeey

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2022-11-29

👍🏻

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-06

👍🏻

U.S. Oil Just Tumbled below $100 a Barrel -- What That Says about Recession Fears and Tight Crude Supplies

2022-07-01

👍🏻

The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next

2023-04-14

Nice game. Play for fun.

2022-12-02

Thanks for the tip! It works

2022-06-30

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Huat

2022-04-22

$DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT$Huat

2022-11-30

Thanks for The event

2022-11-24

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

2022-06-25

$NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT$Huat

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Fastest finge","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248312805347464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254487164432440,"gmtCreate":1703167418835,"gmtModify":1703167430283,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583140196543191","idStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for the prizes hohoho","listText":"Thanks for the prizes hohoho","text":"Thanks for the prizes hohoho","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254487164432440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238943259443232,"gmtCreate":1699373187271,"gmtModify":1699373189127,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583140196543191","idStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😎😎😎😎😎😎 thanks for the prizes","listText":"😎😎😎😎😎😎 thanks for the prizes","text":"😎😎😎😎😎😎 thanks for the 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prizes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238941865287792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238587117695176,"gmtCreate":1699278284062,"gmtModify":1699278288226,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583140196543191","idStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😎😎😎😎thanks for the prizes","listText":"😎😎😎😎thanks for the prizes","text":"😎😎😎😎thanks for the 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prizes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237185557840080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236812815503360,"gmtCreate":1698851287923,"gmtModify":1698851291993,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583140196543191","idStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"all the best all the best🤩🤩","listText":"all the best all the best🤩🤩","text":"all the best all the best🤩🤩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236812815503360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236082165821488,"gmtCreate":1698669937763,"gmtModify":1698669941856,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583140196543191","idStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg nice game. Thanks for the event! Cant wait for the prizes","listText":"Gg nice game. Thanks for the event! Cant wait for the prizes","text":"Gg nice game. Thanks for the event! 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On Tuesday, it settled at $99.50, down $8.93, or 8.2%.</p><p>The price drop was &#34;inevitable as the market rebalances after fears of sanctions give way to the realities of Russian sales to new buyers in Asia, and the impact of high prices on demand and the economy become increasingly apparent,&#34; said Michael Lynch, president at Strategic Energy &amp; Economic Research.</p><p>Even so, he doesn&#39;t expect to see WTI prices below $90 in the next few months -- &#34;unless supply proves strong from Libya, Iran and/or Venezuela, which is possible but there&#39;s little prospect of upwards pressure on prices any time soon.&#34;</p><h2>Bargain prices?</h2><p>WTI&#39;s drop on Tuesday marked a nearly 20% drop from the highs above $123 a barrel in mid-June.</p><p>The market is approaching bear territory, with the day&#39;s settlement just over 19.5% lower than the recent settlement high of $123.70 from March 8. To be in a bear market, WTI oil would need to settle at or below the $98.96 to mark a 20% or more drop from the recent high, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Still, Velandera&#39;s Raj believes oil prices have &#34;dropped too fast, too soon, creating a unique buying opportunity for physical oil traders,&#34; as the &#34;supply picture looks bleak at best, and disastrous at worst.&#34;</p><p>Raj points out that high U.S. gasoline prices this year, which hit levels above $5 a gallon at the retail level, &#34;have yet to put a dent in American drivers&#39; thirst for oil&#34; and in the past, mild recessions have &#34;not shown material demand reductions.&#34;</p><p>Velandera&#39;s analysis, meanwhile, shows that the oil supply-demand balance has only gotten worse each month this year, and supply has been declining while demand has been rising, said Raj. &#34;Ironically, the market has only become tighter, with further bad news coming out of Libya and Norway.&#34;</p><p>Political instability has led to significant declines in Libyan oil production, while Norway is dealing with a strike among oil and natural-gas workers</p><p>The International Energy Agency, in a monthly report issued in June, said it expects supply growth to lag behind demand next year, pushing the market into a 500,000 barrels-a-day deficit.</p><h2>Recession worries</h2><p>Meanwhile, analysts at Citigroup said that in a recession scenario, global benchmark Brent crude prices could drop to $65 a barrel by year-end, and $45 by the end of 2023, &#34;absent intervention by OPEC+ and a decline in short-cycle oil investment.&#34;</p><p>A fall to $65 would mark a sizable decline from current levels, with September Brent crude  settling at $102.77 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, down $10.73, or nearly 9.5% on Tuesday.</p><p>&#34;What seems clear is that the market is finally pricing in recession risk&#34; and traders have reduced long positions, said James Williams, energy economist at WTRG Economics.</p><p>He pointed out that recent data from the Energy Information Administration show that the four-week averages for implied demand for gasoline and distillates were down 2% and 7.4%, respectively.</p><p>&#34;I think a recession is approaching a certainty, and recessions always lead to lower prices,&#34; said Williams.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Oil Just Tumbled below $100 a Barrel -- What That Says about Recession Fears and Tight Crude Supplies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Oil Just Tumbled below $100 a Barrel -- What That Says about Recession Fears and Tight Crude Supplies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-06 07:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WTI futures tumble 8.2% in &#39;spectacular decline&#39;</p><p>Concerns about a recession and a drop in energy demand led to a drop in U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude-oil prices below the $100-a-barrel mark on Tuesday for the first time in months.</p><p>That&#39;s contributed to talk of a potential &#34;buying opportunity&#34; for traders, even as some analysts expect further price declines.</p><p>&#34;Massive speculation on demand destruction story&#34; led to Tuesday&#39;s &#34;spectacular decline,&#34; Manish Raj, chief financial officer at Velandera Energy Partners, told MarketWatch.</p><p>WTI oil futures on Tuesday fell below the key $100 mark, with the front-month August contract  tapping a low of $97.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest intraday level since April, FactSet data show. On Tuesday, it settled at $99.50, down $8.93, or 8.2%.</p><p>The price drop was &#34;inevitable as the market rebalances after fears of sanctions give way to the realities of Russian sales to new buyers in Asia, and the impact of high prices on demand and the economy become increasingly apparent,&#34; said Michael Lynch, president at Strategic Energy &amp; Economic Research.</p><p>Even so, he doesn&#39;t expect to see WTI prices below $90 in the next few months -- &#34;unless supply proves strong from Libya, Iran and/or Venezuela, which is possible but there&#39;s little prospect of upwards pressure on prices any time soon.&#34;</p><h2>Bargain prices?</h2><p>WTI&#39;s drop on Tuesday marked a nearly 20% drop from the highs above $123 a barrel in mid-June.</p><p>The market is approaching bear territory, with the day&#39;s settlement just over 19.5% lower than the recent settlement high of $123.70 from March 8. To be in a bear market, WTI oil would need to settle at or below the $98.96 to mark a 20% or more drop from the recent high, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Still, Velandera&#39;s Raj believes oil prices have &#34;dropped too fast, too soon, creating a unique buying opportunity for physical oil traders,&#34; as the &#34;supply picture looks bleak at best, and disastrous at worst.&#34;</p><p>Raj points out that high U.S. gasoline prices this year, which hit levels above $5 a gallon at the retail level, &#34;have yet to put a dent in American drivers&#39; thirst for oil&#34; and in the past, mild recessions have &#34;not shown material demand reductions.&#34;</p><p>Velandera&#39;s analysis, meanwhile, shows that the oil supply-demand balance has only gotten worse each month this year, and supply has been declining while demand has been rising, said Raj. &#34;Ironically, the market has only become tighter, with further bad news coming out of Libya and Norway.&#34;</p><p>Political instability has led to significant declines in Libyan oil production, while Norway is dealing with a strike among oil and natural-gas workers</p><p>The International Energy Agency, in a monthly report issued in June, said it expects supply growth to lag behind demand next year, pushing the market into a 500,000 barrels-a-day deficit.</p><h2>Recession worries</h2><p>Meanwhile, analysts at Citigroup said that in a recession scenario, global benchmark Brent crude prices could drop to $65 a barrel by year-end, and $45 by the end of 2023, &#34;absent intervention by OPEC+ and a decline in short-cycle oil investment.&#34;</p><p>A fall to $65 would mark a sizable decline from current levels, with September Brent crude  settling at $102.77 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, down $10.73, or nearly 9.5% on Tuesday.</p><p>&#34;What seems clear is that the market is finally pricing in recession risk&#34; and traders have reduced long positions, said James Williams, energy economist at WTRG Economics.</p><p>He pointed out that recent data from the Energy Information Administration show that the four-week averages for implied demand for gasoline and distillates were down 2% and 7.4%, respectively.</p><p>&#34;I think a recession is approaching a certainty, and recessions always lead to lower prices,&#34; said Williams.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249535227","content_text":"WTI futures tumble 8.2% in 'spectacular decline'Concerns about a recession and a drop in energy demand led to a drop in U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude-oil prices below the $100-a-barrel mark on Tuesday for the first time in months.That's contributed to talk of a potential \"buying opportunity\" for traders, even as some analysts expect further price declines.\"Massive speculation on demand destruction story\" led to Tuesday's \"spectacular decline,\" Manish Raj, chief financial officer at Velandera Energy Partners, told MarketWatch.WTI oil futures on Tuesday fell below the key $100 mark, with the front-month August contract  tapping a low of $97.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest intraday level since April, FactSet data show. On Tuesday, it settled at $99.50, down $8.93, or 8.2%.The price drop was \"inevitable as the market rebalances after fears of sanctions give way to the realities of Russian sales to new buyers in Asia, and the impact of high prices on demand and the economy become increasingly apparent,\" said Michael Lynch, president at Strategic Energy & Economic Research.Even so, he doesn't expect to see WTI prices below $90 in the next few months -- \"unless supply proves strong from Libya, Iran and/or Venezuela, which is possible but there's little prospect of upwards pressure on prices any time soon.\"Bargain prices?WTI's drop on Tuesday marked a nearly 20% drop from the highs above $123 a barrel in mid-June.The market is approaching bear territory, with the day's settlement just over 19.5% lower than the recent settlement high of $123.70 from March 8. To be in a bear market, WTI oil would need to settle at or below the $98.96 to mark a 20% or more drop from the recent high, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Still, Velandera's Raj believes oil prices have \"dropped too fast, too soon, creating a unique buying opportunity for physical oil traders,\" as the \"supply picture looks bleak at best, and disastrous at worst.\"Raj points out that high U.S. gasoline prices this year, which hit levels above $5 a gallon at the retail level, \"have yet to put a dent in American drivers' thirst for oil\" and in the past, mild recessions have \"not shown material demand reductions.\"Velandera's analysis, meanwhile, shows that the oil supply-demand balance has only gotten worse each month this year, and supply has been declining while demand has been rising, said Raj. \"Ironically, the market has only become tighter, with further bad news coming out of Libya and Norway.\"Political instability has led to significant declines in Libyan oil production, while Norway is dealing with a strike among oil and natural-gas workersThe International Energy Agency, in a monthly report issued in June, said it expects supply growth to lag behind demand next year, pushing the market into a 500,000 barrels-a-day deficit.Recession worriesMeanwhile, analysts at Citigroup said that in a recession scenario, global benchmark Brent crude prices could drop to $65 a barrel by year-end, and $45 by the end of 2023, \"absent intervention by OPEC+ and a decline in short-cycle oil investment.\"A fall to $65 would mark a sizable decline from current levels, with September Brent crude  settling at $102.77 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, down $10.73, or nearly 9.5% on Tuesday.\"What seems clear is that the market is finally pricing in recession risk\" and traders have reduced long positions, said James Williams, energy economist at WTRG Economics.He pointed out that recent data from the Energy Information Administration show that the four-week averages for implied demand for gasoline and distillates were down 2% and 7.4%, respectively.\"I think a recession is approaching a certainty, and recessions always lead to lower prices,\" said Williams.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045567001,"gmtCreate":1656635967503,"gmtModify":1676535867756,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045567001","repostId":"2248856462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248856462","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656630900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248856462?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248856462","media":"Barrons","summary":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.</p><p>In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&amp;P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.</p><p>Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&amp;P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.</p><p>Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.</p><p>With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&amp;P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.</p><p>Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.</p><p>Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.</p><p>Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&amp;P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.</p><p>Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&amp;P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4e2b054b20b2cf34312e2f14d032869\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.</p><p>As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.</p><p>The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.</p><p>“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&amp;P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.</p><p>Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&amp;P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.</p><p>If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.</p><p>Indeed, during previous years when the S&amp;P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.</p><p>Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&amp;P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.</p><p>Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.</p><p>Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 07:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248856462","content_text":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.Indeed, during previous years when the S&P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945691079,"gmtCreate":1681440914592,"gmtModify":1681440918897,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice game. Play for fun.&nbsp;","listText":"Nice game. Play for fun.&nbsp;","text":"Nice game. Play for fun.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945691079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965610473,"gmtCreate":1669943331892,"gmtModify":1676538274581,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for the tip! It works","listText":"Thanks for the tip! It works","text":"Thanks for the tip! It works","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965610473","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045921782,"gmtCreate":1656552579046,"gmtModify":1676535852256,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Huat","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Huat","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Huat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045921782","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9085913890,"gmtCreate":1650633588738,"gmtModify":1676534767187,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT\">$DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT$</a>Huat","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT\">$DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT$</a>Huat","text":"$DIDI 20220429 2.0 PUT$Huat","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d155e374cdd77610ab1ba9aa88fa0b73","width":"1125","height":"3099"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085913890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962218578,"gmtCreate":1669780755294,"gmtModify":1676538242180,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for The event","listText":"Thanks for The event","text":"Thanks for The event","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962218578","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968537451,"gmtCreate":1669253945174,"gmtModify":1676538174060,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968537451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048918514,"gmtCreate":1656125536139,"gmtModify":1676535772929,"author":{"id":"3583140196543191","authorId":"3583140196543191","name":"Rtzeey","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e221224032320eeef9504e68b5e9fdaa","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583140196543191","authorIdStr":"3583140196543191"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT\">$NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT$</a>Huat","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT\">$NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT$</a>Huat","text":"$NIO 20220701 20.5 PUT$Huat","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5459d5bcfaf8adc89a73bd747c5b9f36","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048918514","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}