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Mingzu

Mingzu

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2021-05-03

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Reminder: A-shares are closed for three days on May Day, and Hong Kong and US stocks trade as usual

2022-12-23

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Tip: The Christmas holiday has arrived, a look at the closing times of the trading markets

2022-12-19

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The reason why Powell resolutely released the hawk has been found! Key to the direction of the Fed's policy in 2023 will be this indicator

2023-02-12

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Can you get rich by trading stocks on ChatGPT? See how Wall Street uses it

2023-01-30

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Opening | U.S. stocks collectively open low, popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell

2022-11-18

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Jingdong Group's revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%

2022-11-11

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Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-11-03

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Institutions "sing long", Li Auto soared 16% intraday

2022-09-18

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It's hard to stop! These two numbers are making it harder for the Fed this week

2022-09-07

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The dollar breaks through 110: What risks does it imply?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Zuckerberg wants to \"counterattack\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188548178","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"LLaMA的商用版本可能会刺激更多的使用。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Wang Mei</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In order to further open the \"AI Android moment\", it is reported that Meta is studying how to make its open source large language model commercially available to allow developers to commercialize and make money.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and his lieutenants want other companies to be free to use and profit from the new artificial intelligence software Meta is developing, the Information reported Thursday. For developers and businesses that are increasingly adopting artificial intelligence, this decision could have significant implications.</p><p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Commercial versions of LLaMA may stimulate more use</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Meta is studying how to make the next version of its open source large language model (LLM), a technology that could power chatbots such as ChatGPT, available for commercial use. The move could spark a frenzy among AI developers eager to find alternatives to proprietary software sold by rivals Google and OpenAI. This will also indirectly benefit Meta's own AI development.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In February of this year, Meta released the first version of its open source large language model (LLM), Meta AI (LLaMA), which can help researchers develop low-cost alternatives to proprietary AI software, thus creating an uproar in the field of AI. There was an uproar.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">LLaMA, while only authorized for research use, has taken the industry by storm. Researchers have used it to develop open-source LLMs such as Vicuna, whose functionality is claimed to be close to proprietary versions in some metrics. And proprietary AI software has become the main source of revenue for ChatGPT creator OpenAI.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta will benefit from releasing open source AI models. Meta CEO Zuckerberg said on a conference call with stock analysts in April that as developers adopt and improve these models or patch their security vulnerabilities, Meta will be able to integrate these improvements into the AI model of its own consumer and advertising products.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However,<strong>Since Meta has chosen to release LLaMA under a research license, the open source large language model spawned so far cannot be used for commercial purposes, which limits its promotion and replication in commercial applications.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A commercially available version of LLaMA may incentivize the software to be used more, although many obstacles remain. These barriers include gaining access to dedicated servers, which have been in short supply, and the high cost of running such servers compared to typical computing tasks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On the podcast \"The Lex Fridman,\" Zuckerberg referred to an internal debate over how to license the second version of LLaMA, saying:</p><p>\"We did research authorization for the first version of LLaMA, and I think what we need to think about most now is, what is the right way?\"<h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Competition on the open source AI track is becoming increasingly fierce</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta is already facing competition in the open source AI race.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Abu Dhabi Institute of Technology Innovation in the United Arab Emirates recently released Falcon, a powerful new open source model that has begun to be favored by open source AI developers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to previous reports,<strong>If OpenAI releases new open-source large language models as planned internally, it could shake up the industry even further.</strong>OpenAI is said to have discussed using large language models for commercial use. However, this model is unlikely to be as good as OpenAI's state-of-the-art proprietary large language model, GPT-4.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>But as Meta considers commercializing the next version of LLaMA, the company could face potential legal action if it is caught using copyrighted material to train the software.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Citing former employees familiar with the matter, the Information revealed that Meta had been grappling with legal issues before releasing the first version of LLaMA. At the time, employees in the company's legal, product, and privacy teams discussed extensively how to license LLaMA to developers. Last month, Meta's chief AI scientist Yann LeCun was asked why Meta hasn't released a commercial version of LLaMA so far. LeCun replied:</p><p>\"Because (1) I'm not the only one involved in such decisions; and (2) it involves legal liability issues.\"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He didn't give details.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Reports emerged on Wednesday that Google researchers are trying to avoid copyrighted material such as Hollywood movies, using YouTube videos and other resources to train the company's next-generation proprietary large language models. Previously, many news publishers were concerned that Google might use material on their websites to train a proprietary large language model that is currently powering Google's chatbot Bard.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The \"AI Android Moment\" is really here! 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Zuckerberg wants to \"counterattack\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-06-18 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Wang Mei</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In order to further open the \"AI Android moment\", it is reported that Meta is studying how to make its open source large language model commercially available to allow developers to commercialize and make money.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and his lieutenants want other companies to be free to use and profit from the new artificial intelligence software Meta is developing, the Information reported Thursday. For developers and businesses that are increasingly adopting artificial intelligence, this decision could have significant implications.</p><p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Commercial versions of LLaMA may stimulate more use</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Meta is studying how to make the next version of its open source large language model (LLM), a technology that could power chatbots such as ChatGPT, available for commercial use. The move could spark a frenzy among AI developers eager to find alternatives to proprietary software sold by rivals Google and OpenAI. This will also indirectly benefit Meta's own AI development.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In February of this year, Meta released the first version of its open source large language model (LLM), Meta AI (LLaMA), which can help researchers develop low-cost alternatives to proprietary AI software, thus creating an uproar in the field of AI. There was an uproar.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">LLaMA, while only authorized for research use, has taken the industry by storm. Researchers have used it to develop open-source LLMs such as Vicuna, whose functionality is claimed to be close to proprietary versions in some metrics. And proprietary AI software has become the main source of revenue for ChatGPT creator OpenAI.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta will benefit from releasing open source AI models. Meta CEO Zuckerberg said on a conference call with stock analysts in April that as developers adopt and improve these models or patch their security vulnerabilities, Meta will be able to integrate these improvements into the AI model of its own consumer and advertising products.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However,<strong>Since Meta has chosen to release LLaMA under a research license, the open source large language model spawned so far cannot be used for commercial purposes, which limits its promotion and replication in commercial applications.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A commercially available version of LLaMA may incentivize the software to be used more, although many obstacles remain. These barriers include gaining access to dedicated servers, which have been in short supply, and the high cost of running such servers compared to typical computing tasks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On the podcast \"The Lex Fridman,\" Zuckerberg referred to an internal debate over how to license the second version of LLaMA, saying:</p><p>\"We did research authorization for the first version of LLaMA, and I think what we need to think about most now is, what is the right way?\"<h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Competition on the open source AI track is becoming increasingly fierce</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meta is already facing competition in the open source AI race.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Abu Dhabi Institute of Technology Innovation in the United Arab Emirates recently released Falcon, a powerful new open source model that has begun to be favored by open source AI developers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to previous reports,<strong>If OpenAI releases new open-source large language models as planned internally, it could shake up the industry even further.</strong>OpenAI is said to have discussed using large language models for commercial use. However, this model is unlikely to be as good as OpenAI's state-of-the-art proprietary large language model, GPT-4.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>But as Meta considers commercializing the next version of LLaMA, the company could face potential legal action if it is caught using copyrighted material to train the software.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Citing former employees familiar with the matter, the Information revealed that Meta had been grappling with legal issues before releasing the first version of LLaMA. At the time, employees in the company's legal, product, and privacy teams discussed extensively how to license LLaMA to developers. Last month, Meta's chief AI scientist Yann LeCun was asked why Meta hasn't released a commercial version of LLaMA so far. LeCun replied:</p><p>\"Because (1) I'm not the only one involved in such decisions; and (2) it involves legal liability issues.\"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">He didn't give details.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Reports emerged on Wednesday that Google researchers are trying to avoid copyrighted material such as Hollywood movies, using YouTube videos and other resources to train the company's next-generation proprietary large language models. Previously, many news publishers were concerned that Google might use material on their websites to train a proprietary large language model that is currently powering Google's chatbot Bard.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3691354\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0a7977ae6f278c03acf472c2e8a920","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3691354","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1188548178","content_text":"作者：王眉为了进一步开启“AI安卓时刻”，报道称Meta正在研究如何使其开源大语言模型可供商业使用，以允许开发者商用化赚钱。据the Information周四报道，Meta CEO马克·扎克伯格和他的副手们希望其他公司可以自由使用Meta正在开发的人工智能新软件，并能从中获利。对于那些越来越多地采用人工智能的开发者和企业来说，这个决定可能产生重大影响。LLaMA的商用版本可能会刺激更多的使用报道援引知情人士透露，Meta正在研究如何使其开源大语言模型(LLM)的下一个版本可供商业使用，该技术可以为ChatGPT等聊天机器人提供支持。此举能会引发AI开发者的狂热，他们渴望找到替代竞争对手谷歌和OpenAI销售的专有软件的产品。这也将间接有利于Meta自身的AI开发。今年2月，Meta发布了其开源大语言模型（LLM）的第一个版本，即Meta AI（LLaMA），该模型能帮助研究人员低成本开发专有AI软件的替代品，从而在AI领域掀起了轩然大波。LLaMA虽然只被授权用于研究用途，但却席卷了整个行业。研究人员用它开发了Vicuna等开源LLM，据称其功能在某些指标上已经接近专有版本。而专有AI软件已成为ChatGPT创建者OpenAI的主要收入来源。Meta将从发布开源AI模型中获益。Meta CEO扎克伯格在4月份与股票分析师的电话会议上表示，随着开发人员采用和改进这些模型或修补其安全漏洞，Meta将能够把这些改进整合到自己的消费和广告产品的AI模型中。不过，由于Meta选择在研究许可下发布LLaMA，因此迄今为止催生的开源大语言模型不能用于商业目的，这限制了它在商业应用中的推广和复制。LLaMA的商用版本可能会刺激该软件被更多地使用，尽管仍然存在许多障碍。这些障碍包括获得专用服务器的访问权，这些服务器一直供不应求，以及与典型的计算任务相比，运行此类服务器的成本很高。在播客“The Lex Fridman” 中，扎克伯格提到了关于如何授权LLaMA第二版本的内部争论，他说：“我们为第一个版本的LLaMA做了研究授权，我认为现在我们最需要考虑的是，什么是正确的方式？”开源AI赛道竞争越来越激烈Meta已经在开源人工智能竞赛中面临竞争。阿联酋阿布扎比技术创新研究所最近发布了Falcon，这是一套功能强大的新开源模型，已经开始受到开源AI开发者的青睐。此前报道称，如果OpenAI按照内部计划发布新的开源大语言模型，它可能会进一步撼动该行业。据称OpenAI已经讨论过将大语言模型用于商业用途。然而，这种模型不太可能像OpenAI最先进的专有大语言模型GPT-4那样好。但在Meta考虑将下一个版本的LLaMA商业化的过程中，如果被发现使用受版权保护的材料训练该软件，该公司可能会面临潜在的法律诉讼。the Information援引知情的前员工透露，在发布第一版LLaMA之前，Meta一直在努力解决法律问题。当时，公司法律、产品和隐私团队的员工广泛讨论了如何将LLaMA授权给开发者。上个月，Meta首席AI科学家Yann LeCun被问及为什么Meta到目前为止还没有发布LLaMA的商业版本。LeCun回复称：“因为(1)我不是唯一参与此类决策的人；(2)这涉及法律责任问题。”他没有给出详细说明。周三有报道称，谷歌的研究人员正在试图避开好莱坞电影等受版权保护的材料，利用YouTube视频和其他资源来训练该公司的下一代专有大语言模型。此前，许多新闻出版商担心谷歌可能使用他们网站上的材料来训练专有大语言模型，该模型目前正在为谷歌的聊天机器人Bard提供支持。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"META":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188689956933752,"gmtCreate":1687092404967,"gmtModify":1687092408917,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188689956933752","repostId":"1129305995","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129305995","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1686557874,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129305995?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-12 16:17","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: A list of major market closure arrangements during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129305995","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：6月19日是美国的联邦假日（六月节），美股将于当日休市；中国传统节日端午节假期临近，A股、港股将于6月22日休市。六月节（解放黑奴纪念日）休市一览6月19日是美国的联邦假日（六月节），美股将于当","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Summary: June 19th is a federal holiday (Juneteenth) in the United States, and the U.S. stock market will be closed on that day; As the traditional Chinese festival Dragon Boat Festival holiday approaches, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks will be closed on June 22.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47102ab200a15ccbeb31a2ed54d0fae2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><h2>List of closing markets in Juneteenth (Emancipation Memorial Day)</h2>June 19th is a federal holiday in the United States (Juneteenth),<strong>U.S. stocks will be closed that day</strong>。 It is worth mentioning that this holiday is quite \"young\" and was only legalized in June 2021. It is the first time in the United States since \"Martin Luther King Day\" in 1983<strong>The first new national statutory holiday.</strong></p><p><strong>US stocks</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed on June 19 (Monday) and will open as usual from June 20 (Tuesday).</u></p><p><strong><u>Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, Singapore stock market and Australian market are trading as usual.</u></strong></p><p><h2>List of major market closure arrangements during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday</h2>As the Dragon Boat Festival, a traditional Chinese festival, approaches, the closing arrangements of major markets are as follows:</p><p><strong>A shares:</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed from June 22 (Thursday) to June 23 (Friday), and will be open as usual from June 26 (Monday).</u></p><p><strong>Hong Kong stocks:</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed on June 22 (Thursday) and open as usual from June 23 (Friday).</u></p><p><strong><u>U.S. stocks, Australian stocks and Singapore stock markets traded as usual.</u></strong></p><p><strong>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</strong></p><p><u>The service will not be available from Thursday, June 22 to Friday, June 23, and will be open as usual from Monday, June 26.</u></p><p><strong>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</strong></p><p><u>The service will not be available from Thursday, June 22 to Friday, June 23, and will be open as usual from Monday, June 26.</u></p><p><strong>Juneteenth background introduction:</strong>On June 17, 2021, U.S. President Biden signed a decree to designate June 19th of each year as a national holiday to commemorate the end of slavery in the United States. The name of the holiday is \"Juneteenth\", which is taken from the combination of June (June) and Nineteenth (Nineteenth). Chinese officials call this festival \"Juneteenth\".</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ea0fb2e3d74348973bae50742d5fef\" title=\"拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\"/><span>Biden with 'Grandmother Juneteenth' Opal Lee</span></p><p><strong>Background introduction of Dragon Boat Festival:</strong>Dragon Boat Festival, also known as Duanyang Festival, Dragon Boat Festival, Tianzhong Festival, etc., originated from the worship of natural astronomical phenomena and evolved from worshipping dragons in ancient times. During the Dragon Boat Festival in midsummer, the seven stays of the black dragon soared into the middle of the south, and was in the most \"middle\" position of the whole year, that is, the fifth line of the Book of Changes Gan Gua said: \"The flying dragon is in the sky\". Its origin covers ancient astrological culture, humanistic philosophy and other aspects, and contains profound and rich cultural connotations. In the process of inheritance and development, a variety of folk customs are mixed into one, and the contents of festivals and customs are rich. Picking dragon boats and eating rice dumplings are the two major rituals and customs of the Dragon Boat Festival, which have been passed down in China since ancient times and have continued until now.</p><p>The Dragon Boat Festival was originally a festival founded by ancient ancestors to worship the dragon ancestors and pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits. Legend has it that Qu Yuan, a poet of Chu during the Warring States Period, committed suicide by jumping into Miluo River on May 5th. Later, people also took the Dragon Boat Festival as a festival to commemorate Qu Yuan. There are also sayings to commemorate Wu Zixu, Cao E and Jie Zitui. Generally speaking, the Dragon Boat Festival originated from the ancient ancestors who chose the auspicious day of \"flying dragon in the sky\" to worship the dragon ancestors, pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits, and injected the fashion of \"curing diseases and preventing epidemics\" in summer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" alt=\"\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: A list of major market closure arrangements during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: A list of major market closure arrangements during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-06-12 16:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Summary: June 19th is a federal holiday (Juneteenth) in the United States, and the U.S. stock market will be closed on that day; As the traditional Chinese festival Dragon Boat Festival holiday approaches, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks will be closed on June 22.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47102ab200a15ccbeb31a2ed54d0fae2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"1080\"/></p><p><h2>List of closing markets in Juneteenth (Emancipation Memorial Day)</h2>June 19th is a federal holiday in the United States (Juneteenth),<strong>U.S. stocks will be closed that day</strong>。 It is worth mentioning that this holiday is quite \"young\" and was only legalized in June 2021. It is the first time in the United States since \"Martin Luther King Day\" in 1983<strong>The first new national statutory holiday.</strong></p><p><strong>US stocks</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed on June 19 (Monday) and will open as usual from June 20 (Tuesday).</u></p><p><strong><u>Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, Singapore stock market and Australian market are trading as usual.</u></strong></p><p><h2>List of major market closure arrangements during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday</h2>As the Dragon Boat Festival, a traditional Chinese festival, approaches, the closing arrangements of major markets are as follows:</p><p><strong>A shares:</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed from June 22 (Thursday) to June 23 (Friday), and will be open as usual from June 26 (Monday).</u></p><p><strong>Hong Kong stocks:</strong></p><p><u>The market will be closed on June 22 (Thursday) and open as usual from June 23 (Friday).</u></p><p><strong><u>U.S. stocks, Australian stocks and Singapore stock markets traded as usual.</u></strong></p><p><strong>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</strong></p><p><u>The service will not be available from Thursday, June 22 to Friday, June 23, and will be open as usual from Monday, June 26.</u></p><p><strong>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</strong></p><p><u>The service will not be available from Thursday, June 22 to Friday, June 23, and will be open as usual from Monday, June 26.</u></p><p><strong>Juneteenth background introduction:</strong>On June 17, 2021, U.S. President Biden signed a decree to designate June 19th of each year as a national holiday to commemorate the end of slavery in the United States. The name of the holiday is \"Juneteenth\", which is taken from the combination of June (June) and Nineteenth (Nineteenth). Chinese officials call this festival \"Juneteenth\".</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ea0fb2e3d74348973bae50742d5fef\" title=\"拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\"/><span>Biden with 'Grandmother Juneteenth' Opal Lee</span></p><p><strong>Background introduction of Dragon Boat Festival:</strong>Dragon Boat Festival, also known as Duanyang Festival, Dragon Boat Festival, Tianzhong Festival, etc., originated from the worship of natural astronomical phenomena and evolved from worshipping dragons in ancient times. During the Dragon Boat Festival in midsummer, the seven stays of the black dragon soared into the middle of the south, and was in the most \"middle\" position of the whole year, that is, the fifth line of the Book of Changes Gan Gua said: \"The flying dragon is in the sky\". Its origin covers ancient astrological culture, humanistic philosophy and other aspects, and contains profound and rich cultural connotations. In the process of inheritance and development, a variety of folk customs are mixed into one, and the contents of festivals and customs are rich. Picking dragon boats and eating rice dumplings are the two major rituals and customs of the Dragon Boat Festival, which have been passed down in China since ancient times and have continued until now.</p><p>The Dragon Boat Festival was originally a festival founded by ancient ancestors to worship the dragon ancestors and pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits. Legend has it that Qu Yuan, a poet of Chu during the Warring States Period, committed suicide by jumping into Miluo River on May 5th. Later, people also took the Dragon Boat Festival as a festival to commemorate Qu Yuan. There are also sayings to commemorate Wu Zixu, Cao E and Jie Zitui. Generally speaking, the Dragon Boat Festival originated from the ancient ancestors who chose the auspicious day of \"flying dragon in the sky\" to worship the dragon ancestors, pray for blessings and ward off evil spirits, and injected the fashion of \"curing diseases and preventing epidemics\" in summer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" alt=\"\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d39119e26b6941b99faa819a4263ff0f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129305995","content_text":"摘要：6月19日是美国的联邦假日（六月节），美股将于当日休市；中国传统节日端午节假期临近，A股、港股将于6月22日休市。六月节（解放黑奴纪念日）休市一览6月19日是美国的联邦假日（六月节），美股将于当日休市。值得一提的是，这一节日相当“年轻”，2021年6月才被合法化，是美国自1983年的“马丁·路德·金日”以来新增的第一个全国法定节日。美股6月19日（周一）休市，6月20日（周二）起照常开市。港股、A股、新加坡股市、澳大利亚市场照常交易。端午节假期主要市场休市安排一览中国传统节日端午节假期临近，各主要市场休市安排如下：A股：6月22日（星期四）至6月23日（星期五）休市，6月26日（星期一）起照常开市。港股：6月22日（星期四）休市，6月23日（星期五）起照常开市。美股、澳股、新加坡股市照常交易。沪股通、深股通：6月22日（星期四）至6月23日（星期五）不提供服务，6月26日（星期一）起照常开通。港股通：6月22日（星期四）至6月23日（星期五）不提供服务，6月26日（星期一）起照常开通。六月节背景介绍：2021年6月17日，美国总统拜登签署法令，将每年的6月19日定为全国法定节假日以纪念美国奴隶制的终结，节日名称为“Juneteenth”，该名称取自June（六月）和Nineteenth（十九）的组合。中国官方称这一节日为“六月节”。拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee端午节背景介绍：端午节，又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等，源于自然天象崇拜，由上古时代祭龙演变而来。仲夏端午，苍龙七宿飞升于正南中天，处于全年最“正中”之位，即如《易经·乾卦》第五爻的爻辞曰：“飞龙在天”。其起源涵盖了古老星象文化、人文哲学等方面内容，蕴含着深邃丰厚的文化内涵，在传承发展中杂糅了多种民俗为一体，节俗内容丰富。扒龙舟与食粽是端午节的两大礼俗，这两大礼俗在中国自古传承，至今不辍。端午节，本是上古先民创立用于拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪的节日。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽，后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日；也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说，端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪，注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970507158,"gmtCreate":1684567013075,"gmtModify":1684567016459,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970507158","repostId":"1134825236","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1134825236","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1684547417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134825236?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-20 09:50","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"\"Extreme Game\"! US debt ceiling talks'end fruitlessly 'on Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134825236","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国白宫与共和党谈判代表周五就提高债务上限举行的第二次会议结束，双方均未提及任何进展，也没有安排进一步的会议。据报道，债务上限僵局集中在2024年的支出水平上。据路透报道，美国白宫与共和党谈判代表周五","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The second meeting between the White House and Republican negotiators on raising the debt ceiling ended on Friday, with neither side mentioning any progress and no further meetings scheduled. The debt ceiling standoff is reportedly focused on spending levels in 2024.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Reuters, the second meeting between the White House and Republican negotiators on raising the debt ceiling ended on Friday. Neither side mentioned any progress and no further meetings were scheduled.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Republican Rep. garrett Graves told reporters after a brief meeting with White House officials at the Capitol:</p><p>\"We had a very, very candid discussion about where we are and how things need to go.\"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"Tonight is not a negotiation,\" Graves said, adding,<strong>The time for the next meeting has not yet been set.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>He agreed with McCarthy, the leader of the US Republican Party and Speaker of the House of Representatives, that progress needs to be made in changing the \"trajectory\" of the US government's rapidly rising deficit spending and debt.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"We have to spend less than we did last year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Another Republican negotiator, Rep. Patrick McHenry, said McCarthy will be briefed on the progress of the negotiations.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Neither member of Parliament mentioned any progress.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the first meeting Friday morning, McCarthy's debt ceiling negotiators abruptly left shortly after a closed-door meeting with White House representatives began.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The news rocked financial markets as the debt ceiling deadline loomed.</p><p><h2>Focus Controversy: Spending Levels in 2024</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Republicans are pushing for deep spending cuts in exchange for raising the cap.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The debt ceiling impasse focuses on spending levels in 2024.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to previous reports by media Axios, Democratic Rep. Dusty Johnson said:</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"The White House wants to keep spending more money, and as long as that's their position, there's no way to reach a deal.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Johnson said McCarthy \"stuck\" with Republican demands to limit discretionary spending to 2022 levels.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Extreme Game\"! US debt ceiling talks'end fruitlessly 'on Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Extreme Game\"! US debt ceiling talks'end fruitlessly 'on Friday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-05-20 09:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The second meeting between the White House and Republican negotiators on raising the debt ceiling ended on Friday, with neither side mentioning any progress and no further meetings scheduled. The debt ceiling standoff is reportedly focused on spending levels in 2024.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Reuters, the second meeting between the White House and Republican negotiators on raising the debt ceiling ended on Friday. Neither side mentioned any progress and no further meetings were scheduled.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Republican Rep. garrett Graves told reporters after a brief meeting with White House officials at the Capitol:</p><p>\"We had a very, very candid discussion about where we are and how things need to go.\"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"Tonight is not a negotiation,\" Graves said, adding,<strong>The time for the next meeting has not yet been set.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>He agreed with McCarthy, the leader of the US Republican Party and Speaker of the House of Representatives, that progress needs to be made in changing the \"trajectory\" of the US government's rapidly rising deficit spending and debt.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"We have to spend less than we did last year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Another Republican negotiator, Rep. Patrick McHenry, said McCarthy will be briefed on the progress of the negotiations.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Neither member of Parliament mentioned any progress.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the first meeting Friday morning, McCarthy's debt ceiling negotiators abruptly left shortly after a closed-door meeting with White House representatives began.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The news rocked financial markets as the debt ceiling deadline loomed.</p><p><h2>Focus Controversy: Spending Levels in 2024</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Republicans are pushing for deep spending cuts in exchange for raising the cap.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The debt ceiling impasse focuses on spending levels in 2024.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to previous reports by media Axios, Democratic Rep. Dusty Johnson said:</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"The White House wants to keep spending more money, and as long as that's their position, there's no way to reach a deal.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Johnson said McCarthy \"stuck\" with Republican demands to limit discretionary spending to 2022 levels.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3689223\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92ece06f0d5f47ced3643ec6cfcc433e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3689223","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134825236","content_text":"美国白宫与共和党谈判代表周五就提高债务上限举行的第二次会议结束，双方均未提及任何进展，也没有安排进一步的会议。据报道，债务上限僵局集中在2024年的支出水平上。据路透报道，美国白宫与共和党谈判代表周五就提高债务上限举行的第二次会议结束，双方均未提及任何进展，也没有安排进一步的会议。共和党众议员格雷夫斯(garrett Graves)在国会大厦与白宫官员举行简短会晤后对记者说：“我们进行了非常、非常坦诚的讨论，讨论了我们的现状，讨论了事情需要如何发展。”“今晚不是一次谈判，”格雷夫斯说，并补充说，下一次会议的时间尚未确定。他赞同美国共和党领袖、众议院议长麦卡锡的说法，即需要在改变美国政府赤字支出和债务迅速上升的“轨迹”方面取得进展。麦卡锡说：“我们的支出必须比去年少。”另一位共和党谈判代表、众议员Patrick McHenry说，麦卡锡将听取有关谈判进展的简报。两位议员都没有提到任何进展。在周五早上的第一次会议上，麦卡锡的债务上限谈判代表与白宫代表的闭门会议开始后不久便突然离开。随着债务上限最后期限的临近，这一消息震动了金融市场。焦点争议：2024年的支出水平共和党人正在推动大幅削减开支，以换取提高上限。债务上限僵局集中在2024年的支出水平上。据媒体Axios此前报道，民主党众议员Dusty Johnson表示：“白宫想继续花更多的钱，只要这是他们的立场，就不可能达成协议。”Johnson说，麦卡锡“坚持”共和党要求将可自由支配的支出限制在2022年的水平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970228071,"gmtCreate":1684496641593,"gmtModify":1684496648685,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970228071","repostId":"2336951950","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970370287,"gmtCreate":1684079067950,"gmtModify":1684079071110,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970370287","repostId":"1154230640","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154230640","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1684060454,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154230640?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-14 18:34","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Buy it at 2800 and set it at 3400? 90% of funds underperformed the market during the year. Who caught the bull market?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154230640","media":"券商中国","summary":"大盘在涨，账户却在亏损！开年以来，上证指数上涨5.93%，更是一度冲上3400点，沪深300指数上涨1.71%，人工智能、中特估等热门概念股涨势喜人。然而，投资者们感受却颇有不同，亦有网友调侃，“大盘","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The market is rising, but the account is losing money!</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since the beginning of the year, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 5.93%, and once reached 3,400 points. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index has risen by 1.71%. Popular concept stocks such as artificial intelligence and China Special Evaluation have seen gratifying gains. However, investors' feelings are quite different, and some netizens ridiculed, \"The market has risen so heartbreaking! Buy it at 2800 and set it at 3400!\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Similarly, institutional investors failed to enjoy the 3400-point \"win\". Isolated from the structural market, most funds did not perform as well as the market index and missed this round of market. The performance of active equity funds is hardly optimistic.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wind data shows that nearly 90% of active equity funds did not perform as well as the Shanghai Composite Index during the year, and nearly 60% of funds even suffered losses. However, fund products with good performance are sought after by Christians and have received a large number of subscriptions. In order to maintain the sustainability of good performance, these scarce high-quality funds control the management scale through purchase restrictions.</p><p><strong>90% of funds underperformed the market during the year</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Public Offering of Fund's performance during the year significantly underperformed various market indexes. Wind data shows that as of May 14, the partial stock hybrid fund index composed of more than 3,600 partial stock hybrid fund indexes (including C shares) has fallen by 3.25% this year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Judging from the performance of Public Offering of Fund, it is not difficult to find that the overall profit-making effect of A-share investment this year is poor. Specifically, among the more than 4,200 active equity funds, more than 3,700 funds underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, accounting for nearly 90%, of which more than 2,400 funds suffered performance losses, accounting for nearly 60%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">What makes holders depressed is that when the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3,400 points and hit a new high for the year, many holders suffered significant losses in their positions. As of May 10, 16 active equity funds had lost more than 20% during the year. More than 2,000 funds have even suffered losses for two consecutive years, including many tens of billions of fund products that have lost more than 20% for two consecutive years.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth mentioning that, under the background of continuous market fluctuations and large-scale losses in fund product performance, the number of Public Offering of Fund funds whose funds have expired and liquidated has reached 97 this year, approaching the 100 mark, which is a historic small peak. Among them, equity funds have become the main force in liquidation, accounting for nearly 80%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Insufficient scale is a common reason for fund liquidation. Some professionals said that in recent years, the market conditions have not been good, the performance and scale of mini-funds are difficult to improve, and the input and output are low. Fund managers have accelerated the survival of the fittest in the industry by liquidating mini-funds.</p><p><strong>Scarce high-quality funds limit purchases and control scale</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Although the overall performance of Public Offering of Fund products is not good, there are still many funds that have withstood market fluctuations, stepped out of independent trends, and continued to create value for holders.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wind data shows that there are still 222 active equity funds whose performance has increased by more than 10% during the year. For example, among the funds with large product scale, Dong Chen's Huatai Beruifuli, Zhou Haidong's Huashang Advantage Industry, Hu Yibin's Huaan Media Internet, Xu Wenxing's China-Europe pension industry has all performed well.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>During the period of market turmoil, the net value of many active equity funds has repeatedly hit new highs, such as Fan Kun's Rongtong Domestic Demand Driven AB, Jiang Cheng's Zhongtai Dividend Preferred One-Year Holding, Yang Xinxin's ICBC Select Balance and other 29 funds established for more than one year. The net value of the fund set a new record this month.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, during the market downturn, some well-known fund managers with high-quality performance did the opposite and controlled the management scale through purchase restrictions. Since May, funds managed by Bao Wuyu, Lin Yingrui, Zhou Zhishuo and Zhou Haidong have started the purchase restriction mode. Many of these funds have continuously lowered the purchase limit amount.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The announcement shows that the flexible allocation mix of the value margin of Invesco Great Wall, which Bao has no management, will be limited to 2 million yuan starting from May 5. The new blue-chip stock ticket of CCB Potential managed by Zhou Zhishuo is limited to 10,000 yuan since May 4th. The Chinese Business New Trend Preferred Flexible Allocation Hybrid Fund managed by Zhou Haidong has a purchase limit of 300,000 yuan starting from May 4.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">During the market downturn, behind the fund purchase restriction is the pursuit of high-quality funds by holders. As the A-share market continues to fluctuate, the scarce high-quality funds attract a large number of holders to actively subscribe.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth noting that when the A-share market fluctuates and adjusts, the inflow of funds is constantly accelerating. Wind data shows that as of May 10, since May, the share of ETFs has increased by 24 billion shares, the total share has reached 1.59 trillion shares, and the total scale has reached 1.69 trillion yuan. Among them, the total share of stock ETFs has increased by 19.342 billion shares, 4 consecutive months. Continuous net inflows.</p><p><strong>Opportunities in the A-share market far outweigh risks</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fund underperformed the index on a large scale, which is considered to be the ultimate interpretation of structural market conditions such as artificial intelligence and special valuation, and is not the norm of the market. According to industry insiders, the opportunities in the medium-term A-share market far outweigh the risks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since the beginning of this year, the market trend has been relatively diverged. Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai Kaiyuan, said that with the arrival of the market in May, the style of the market has begun to switch, and investors have begun to pay attention to high-quality leading stocks with excellent performance. Consumption and new energy are expected to stop falling and rebound, taking over the baton of the market.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deng Hequan, a senior strategist at China Merchants Fund, believes that stocks are still in the window of structural long positions. Overall, 2023 may be a process of rising the bottom and moving up the market center. Industries that have performed against the market in this round of adjustment may be expected to become the main line of investment throughout the year. At present, investors' policy expectations and geopolitical expectations are not high and sufficient, so there is not much room for index adjustment. Secondly, the occurrence of risk events will still change the expected attitude, distribution and aggravate the wait-and-see mood. Therefore, for stocks that avoid pure theme speculation, the next stage of opportunities may gradually transition to growth stocks that are expected to be revised upward and have low risk characteristics.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regarding the market outlook, Bosera Fund believes that as the Federal Reserve's rate hike gradually comes to an end, the external liquidity pressure faced by A-shares gradually eases. As far as the global equity market is concerned, the macro environment faced by A-shares is relatively better; At present, the P/E of Shanghai Composite Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index are below the median level in the past three years, and the overall valuation is relatively low, which still has good medium and long-term investment value.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The stock market as a whole fluctuated in May. HSBC Jintrust said that structural opportunities occurred frequently and the valuation of the value sector was restored. At present, economic expectations are gradually recovering, valuations are still relatively low, and medium-and long-term capital allocation is in a good range. With the repair of the valuation of the low valuation sector, the market style may become more balanced.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy it at 2800 and set it at 3400? 90% of funds underperformed the market during the year. Who caught the bull market?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy it at 2800 and set it at 3400? 90% of funds underperformed the market during the year. Who caught the bull market?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-05-14 18:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The market is rising, but the account is losing money!</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since the beginning of the year, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 5.93%, and once reached 3,400 points. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index has risen by 1.71%. Popular concept stocks such as artificial intelligence and China Special Evaluation have seen gratifying gains. However, investors' feelings are quite different, and some netizens ridiculed, \"The market has risen so heartbreaking! Buy it at 2800 and set it at 3400!\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Similarly, institutional investors failed to enjoy the 3400-point \"win\". Isolated from the structural market, most funds did not perform as well as the market index and missed this round of market. The performance of active equity funds is hardly optimistic.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wind data shows that nearly 90% of active equity funds did not perform as well as the Shanghai Composite Index during the year, and nearly 60% of funds even suffered losses. However, fund products with good performance are sought after by Christians and have received a large number of subscriptions. In order to maintain the sustainability of good performance, these scarce high-quality funds control the management scale through purchase restrictions.</p><p><strong>90% of funds underperformed the market during the year</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Public Offering of Fund's performance during the year significantly underperformed various market indexes. Wind data shows that as of May 14, the partial stock hybrid fund index composed of more than 3,600 partial stock hybrid fund indexes (including C shares) has fallen by 3.25% this year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Judging from the performance of Public Offering of Fund, it is not difficult to find that the overall profit-making effect of A-share investment this year is poor. Specifically, among the more than 4,200 active equity funds, more than 3,700 funds underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, accounting for nearly 90%, of which more than 2,400 funds suffered performance losses, accounting for nearly 60%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">What makes holders depressed is that when the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3,400 points and hit a new high for the year, many holders suffered significant losses in their positions. As of May 10, 16 active equity funds had lost more than 20% during the year. More than 2,000 funds have even suffered losses for two consecutive years, including many tens of billions of fund products that have lost more than 20% for two consecutive years.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth mentioning that, under the background of continuous market fluctuations and large-scale losses in fund product performance, the number of Public Offering of Fund funds whose funds have expired and liquidated has reached 97 this year, approaching the 100 mark, which is a historic small peak. Among them, equity funds have become the main force in liquidation, accounting for nearly 80%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Insufficient scale is a common reason for fund liquidation. Some professionals said that in recent years, the market conditions have not been good, the performance and scale of mini-funds are difficult to improve, and the input and output are low. Fund managers have accelerated the survival of the fittest in the industry by liquidating mini-funds.</p><p><strong>Scarce high-quality funds limit purchases and control scale</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Although the overall performance of Public Offering of Fund products is not good, there are still many funds that have withstood market fluctuations, stepped out of independent trends, and continued to create value for holders.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wind data shows that there are still 222 active equity funds whose performance has increased by more than 10% during the year. For example, among the funds with large product scale, Dong Chen's Huatai Beruifuli, Zhou Haidong's Huashang Advantage Industry, Hu Yibin's Huaan Media Internet, Xu Wenxing's China-Europe pension industry has all performed well.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>During the period of market turmoil, the net value of many active equity funds has repeatedly hit new highs, such as Fan Kun's Rongtong Domestic Demand Driven AB, Jiang Cheng's Zhongtai Dividend Preferred One-Year Holding, Yang Xinxin's ICBC Select Balance and other 29 funds established for more than one year. The net value of the fund set a new record this month.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, during the market downturn, some well-known fund managers with high-quality performance did the opposite and controlled the management scale through purchase restrictions. Since May, funds managed by Bao Wuyu, Lin Yingrui, Zhou Zhishuo and Zhou Haidong have started the purchase restriction mode. Many of these funds have continuously lowered the purchase limit amount.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The announcement shows that the flexible allocation mix of the value margin of Invesco Great Wall, which Bao has no management, will be limited to 2 million yuan starting from May 5. The new blue-chip stock ticket of CCB Potential managed by Zhou Zhishuo is limited to 10,000 yuan since May 4th. The Chinese Business New Trend Preferred Flexible Allocation Hybrid Fund managed by Zhou Haidong has a purchase limit of 300,000 yuan starting from May 4.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">During the market downturn, behind the fund purchase restriction is the pursuit of high-quality funds by holders. As the A-share market continues to fluctuate, the scarce high-quality funds attract a large number of holders to actively subscribe.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth noting that when the A-share market fluctuates and adjusts, the inflow of funds is constantly accelerating. Wind data shows that as of May 10, since May, the share of ETFs has increased by 24 billion shares, the total share has reached 1.59 trillion shares, and the total scale has reached 1.69 trillion yuan. Among them, the total share of stock ETFs has increased by 19.342 billion shares, 4 consecutive months. Continuous net inflows.</p><p><strong>Opportunities in the A-share market far outweigh risks</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The fund underperformed the index on a large scale, which is considered to be the ultimate interpretation of structural market conditions such as artificial intelligence and special valuation, and is not the norm of the market. According to industry insiders, the opportunities in the medium-term A-share market far outweigh the risks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since the beginning of this year, the market trend has been relatively diverged. Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai Kaiyuan, said that with the arrival of the market in May, the style of the market has begun to switch, and investors have begun to pay attention to high-quality leading stocks with excellent performance. Consumption and new energy are expected to stop falling and rebound, taking over the baton of the market.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deng Hequan, a senior strategist at China Merchants Fund, believes that stocks are still in the window of structural long positions. Overall, 2023 may be a process of rising the bottom and moving up the market center. Industries that have performed against the market in this round of adjustment may be expected to become the main line of investment throughout the year. At present, investors' policy expectations and geopolitical expectations are not high and sufficient, so there is not much room for index adjustment. Secondly, the occurrence of risk events will still change the expected attitude, distribution and aggravate the wait-and-see mood. Therefore, for stocks that avoid pure theme speculation, the next stage of opportunities may gradually transition to growth stocks that are expected to be revised upward and have low risk characteristics.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Regarding the market outlook, Bosera Fund believes that as the Federal Reserve's rate hike gradually comes to an end, the external liquidity pressure faced by A-shares gradually eases. As far as the global equity market is concerned, the macro environment faced by A-shares is relatively better; At present, the P/E of Shanghai Composite Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index are below the median level in the past three years, and the overall valuation is relatively low, which still has good medium and long-term investment value.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The stock market as a whole fluctuated in May. HSBC Jintrust said that structural opportunities occurred frequently and the valuation of the value sector was restored. At present, economic expectations are gradually recovering, valuations are still relatively low, and medium-and long-term capital allocation is in a good range. With the repair of the valuation of the low valuation sector, the market style may become more balanced.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb146d9df27844cb787ad545c50986d","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154230640","content_text":"大盘在涨，账户却在亏损！开年以来，上证指数上涨5.93%，更是一度冲上3400点，沪深300指数上涨1.71%，人工智能、中特估等热门概念股涨势喜人。然而，投资者们感受却颇有不同，亦有网友调侃，“大盘涨得让人心痛！买在2800，套在3400！”。同样，机构投资者也未能享受到3400点的“胜利”。与结构性行情绝缘，大多数基金表现不及大盘指数，错失本轮行情，主动权益基金业绩难言乐观。Wind数据显示，年内近九成主动权益基金业绩不及上证指数，近六成基金业绩甚至出现亏损。不过，业绩表现好的基金产品受到基民追捧，获得大量申购，为了保持良好业绩的持续性，这些稀缺的绩优基金则通过限购控制管理规模。年内九成基金跑输大盘公募基金年内业绩大幅跑输各类大盘指数。Wind数据显示，截至5月14日，由3600余只偏股混合型基金指数（含C份额）构成的偏股混合型基金指数今年以来下跌3.25%。从公募基金业绩表现来看，不难发现，今年A股投资整体赚钱效应较差。具体来看，4200余只主动权益基金中，3700余只基金跑输上证指数，占比近九成，其中2400余只基金业绩亏损，占比近六成。让持有人郁闷的是，在上证指数站上3400点、创下年内新高时，不少持有人持仓亏损明显，截至5月10日，已有16只主动权益基金年内亏损超20%，2000余只基金甚至已经连续2年亏损，其中不乏百亿基金产品连续2年亏损超20%。值得一提的是，在市场不断波动、基金产品业绩出现大面积亏损的背景下，今年以来基金到期清盘的公募基金数量达到97只，逼近百只关口，为历史性小高峰，其中，权益类基金成为清盘主力军，占比近八成。规模不足是基金清盘常见的原因。有专业人士表示，近年市场行情不佳，迷你基金业绩、规模都很难有起色，投入产出较低，基金管理人通过清盘迷你基金加速行业优胜劣汰。稀缺绩优基金限购控规模虽然公募基金产品整体业绩表现不佳，不过仍有不少基金抵御住市场波动，走出独立走势，为持有人持续创造价值。Wind数据显示，年内仍有222只主动权益基金业绩涨幅超10%，如产品规模较大的基金中，董辰的华泰伯瑞富利、周海栋的华商优势行业、胡宜斌的华安媒体互联网、许文星的中欧养老产业均有不错业绩表现。市场震荡期，也有不少主动权益基金净值屡创新高，如范琨的融通内需驱动AB、姜诚的中泰红利优选一年持有、杨鑫鑫的工银精选平衡等29只成立一年以上的基金净值在本月刷新历史最高纪录。此外，在市场低迷期，一些绩优知名基金经理反其道而为之，通过限购控制管理规模。5月份以来，鲍无可、林英睿、周智硕和周海栋等管理的基金纷纷开启限购模式。其中不少基金不断下调限购金额。公告显示，鲍无可管理的景顺长城价值边际灵活配置混合自5月5日起，限购200万元。周智硕管理的建信潜力新蓝筹股票自5月4日起，限购1万元。周海栋管理的华商新趋势优选灵活配置混合基金自5月4日起限购30万元。市场低迷期，基金限购的背后则是持有人对绩优基金的追逐。在A股市场持续震荡，稀缺的绩优基金吸引大量持有人积极申购。值得注意的是，在A股市场震荡调整时，不断有资金在加速流入。Wind数据显示，截至5月10日，5月以来，ETF份额增加240亿份，总份额达到1.59万亿份，总规模达到1.69万亿元，其中股票型ETF总份额增长193.42亿份，连续4个月持续净流入。A股市场机会远大于风险基金大面积跑输指数，被认为是人工智能、中特估等结构性行情的极致演绎，并非市场常态。业内人士表示，中期维度A股市场机会远大于风险。今年以来市场的走势出现了比较大的分化，前海开源首席经济学家杨德龙表示，随着5月份行情的到来，市场的风格已经开始有所切换，投资者开始关注业绩优良的优质龙头股，消费、新能源有望止跌回升，接过行情的接力棒。招商基金资深策略分析师邓和权认为，目前股票仍处在结构做多的窗口，总体来看2023年或是一个底部抬升、市场中枢上移的过程。本轮调整中有逆市表现的行业或有望成为全年投资主线。当下投资者对政策预期、地缘预期均不高且较充分，因此指数调整空间不大。其次，风险事件的出现仍然会改变预期的态度、分布与加剧观望情绪。因此回避纯主题炒作的股票，下一阶段的机会或将逐渐过渡到预期有望上修、风险特征不高的成长股。对于后市，博时基金认为，随着美联储加息逐步进入尾声，A股面临的外围流动性压力逐步缓和，就全球权益市场来看，A股面临的宏观环境相对更优；且当前沪指与创业板指的市盈率处于近三年中位数以下水平，整体估值相对较低，依然具有不错的中长期投资价值。5月股市整体震荡，汇丰晋信表示，结构性机会频出，价值板块估值修复。目前经济预期逐步修复，估值仍在相对低位，中长期资金配置较好区间。伴随低估值板块估值修复，市场风格或将更加均衡。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947266493,"gmtCreate":1683201340312,"gmtModify":1683201343843,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947266493","repostId":"1185922715","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185922715","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1683200165,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185922715?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-04 19:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Not just relying on the \"moat\"! Buffett also has a big investment \"trick\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185922715","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"巴菲特投资的大多数公司都派息，预计今年伯克希尔·哈撒韦将从其股票投资组合中赚取约57亿美元现金。一年一度的“投资界春晚”、伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东会将在周六召开，这时候，普通投资者又会抛出灵魂一问：巴菲特","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Most of the companies Buffett invests in pay dividends, and Berkshire is expected to earn about $5.7 billion in cash from its stock portfolio this year.</strong><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The annual \"Investment Spring Festival Gala\" and Berkshire Hathaway shareholders' meeting will be held on Saturday. At this time, ordinary investors will throw out their souls and ask again:</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Why is Buffett's stock picking so successful?</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">To this question, the Wall Street Journal summarized two answers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to the article published by the newspaper on Wednesday, one answer is known to everyone, that is, Buffett's superb ability to select high-quality companies, and the other is much less remarkable-his favor of dividend-paying stocks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Note that,<strong>Most of the companies Buffett invests in pay dividends.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Dow Jones Market Data's analysis of company announcements,<strong>Berkshire Hathaway is expected to earn about $5.7 billion in cash from its stock portfolio this year.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nearly a fifth of that will come from Chevron, one of Berkshire's largest holdings,<strong>Chevron has increased its dividend for 36 consecutive years.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, Dow Jones market data shows that Berkshire will also receive more than $700 million each from Coca-Cola, Apple and Bank of America, more than $500 million from Kraft Heinz and about $363 million from American Express.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa8ab5d9e43dc821c224f2bc8d3a57b\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"439\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\"That's what he likes: dividend payouts and buybacks,\"</strong>Todd Finkle, a professor of entrepreneurship at Gonzaga University, said that Finkle once wrote a book about Buffett's career.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Finkle said Buffet is adept at picking companies that have stood the test of time and improved their Dividend in many economic cycles. Over time, this both increases the value of Berkshire's stock portfolio and expands the company's ample cash reserves that can be used for its own business as well as acquisitions and stock buybacks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Berkshire's most recent earnings report, the company will have $128.6 billion in cash and cash equivalents by the end of 2022.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Finkle said favoring dividend stocks is not Buffett's \"secret weapon\", but it is part of it.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Take Buffett's favorite Coca-Cola as an example.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In 1994, Berkshire Hathaway bought about 400 million Coca-Cola shares it currently holds for $1.3 billion, and received $75 million in cash Dividend that year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>In 2022, this figure has nearly tenfold to $704 million, and the market value of Berkshire's Coca-Cola stake has soared to $25 billion.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in his annual letter to shareholders released earlier this year,<strong>Dividend grows every year, as sure as a birthday.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in his shareholder letter:</p><p>All Charlie (Munger) and I have to do is cash Coca-Cola's quarterly Dividend check.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffet and Munger expect Coca-Cola to continue to improve its Dividend in the future. Coca-Cola said in February that it had approved its 61st consecutive annual Dividend increase.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In other words, according to Finkle, Buffett's \"secret weapon\" for stock selection is actually \"selecting high-quality companies + dividend-paying stocks.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The use of this \"secret weapon\" on American Express has achieved similar returns for Berkshire.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In 1995, Berkshire completed the vast majority of the transaction to buy American Express shares for $1.3 billion, and received $41 million in Dividend that year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Last year, Berkshire's stake in American Express was worth $22 billion, and it received $302 million in Dividend from the latter.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"These Dividend gains are satisfactory, but they are far from amazing,\" Buffet said in his letter. \"But what matters is that they bring about a rise in the share price.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Generally speaking, investors tend to reinvest dividends into the original stocks, but Berkshire has not reinvested dividends from Coca-Cola and American Express into these two stocks. The company's share buybacks over the years.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In fact,<strong>Berkshire hasn't overweight Coca-Cola and American Express shares since the 1990s, and some speculate that this may be because he hates paying too much for his investments.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in a letter to Berkshire shareholders in 1983:</p><p>For investors, buying shares of a good company at an exorbitant price may offset the impact of the ensuing decade of favorable business development.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth noting that although Dividend can provide stable income like bonds, it still presents risks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For example, if a company's cash flow is tight, it can cut or even suspend dividends, and the suspension of dividends often leads to a decline in stock prices, because investors often see it as a signal of a major financial crisis. In addition, when investors choose more expensive growth stocks, their Dividend tends to underperform.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Not just relying on the \"moat\"! Buffett also has a big investment \"trick\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNot just relying on the \"moat\"! Buffett also has a big investment \"trick\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-05-04 19:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Most of the companies Buffett invests in pay dividends, and Berkshire is expected to earn about $5.7 billion in cash from its stock portfolio this year.</strong><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The annual \"Investment Spring Festival Gala\" and Berkshire Hathaway shareholders' meeting will be held on Saturday. At this time, ordinary investors will throw out their souls and ask again:</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Why is Buffett's stock picking so successful?</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">To this question, the Wall Street Journal summarized two answers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to the article published by the newspaper on Wednesday, one answer is known to everyone, that is, Buffett's superb ability to select high-quality companies, and the other is much less remarkable-his favor of dividend-paying stocks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Note that,<strong>Most of the companies Buffett invests in pay dividends.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Dow Jones Market Data's analysis of company announcements,<strong>Berkshire Hathaway is expected to earn about $5.7 billion in cash from its stock portfolio this year.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nearly a fifth of that will come from Chevron, one of Berkshire's largest holdings,<strong>Chevron has increased its dividend for 36 consecutive years.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, Dow Jones market data shows that Berkshire will also receive more than $700 million each from Coca-Cola, Apple and Bank of America, more than $500 million from Kraft Heinz and about $363 million from American Express.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa8ab5d9e43dc821c224f2bc8d3a57b\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"439\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\"That's what he likes: dividend payouts and buybacks,\"</strong>Todd Finkle, a professor of entrepreneurship at Gonzaga University, said that Finkle once wrote a book about Buffett's career.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Finkle said Buffet is adept at picking companies that have stood the test of time and improved their Dividend in many economic cycles. Over time, this both increases the value of Berkshire's stock portfolio and expands the company's ample cash reserves that can be used for its own business as well as acquisitions and stock buybacks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to Berkshire's most recent earnings report, the company will have $128.6 billion in cash and cash equivalents by the end of 2022.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Finkle said favoring dividend stocks is not Buffett's \"secret weapon\", but it is part of it.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Take Buffett's favorite Coca-Cola as an example.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In 1994, Berkshire Hathaway bought about 400 million Coca-Cola shares it currently holds for $1.3 billion, and received $75 million in cash Dividend that year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>In 2022, this figure has nearly tenfold to $704 million, and the market value of Berkshire's Coca-Cola stake has soared to $25 billion.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in his annual letter to shareholders released earlier this year,<strong>Dividend grows every year, as sure as a birthday.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in his shareholder letter:</p><p>All Charlie (Munger) and I have to do is cash Coca-Cola's quarterly Dividend check.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffet and Munger expect Coca-Cola to continue to improve its Dividend in the future. Coca-Cola said in February that it had approved its 61st consecutive annual Dividend increase.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In other words, according to Finkle, Buffett's \"secret weapon\" for stock selection is actually \"selecting high-quality companies + dividend-paying stocks.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The use of this \"secret weapon\" on American Express has achieved similar returns for Berkshire.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In 1995, Berkshire completed the vast majority of the transaction to buy American Express shares for $1.3 billion, and received $41 million in Dividend that year.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Last year, Berkshire's stake in American Express was worth $22 billion, and it received $302 million in Dividend from the latter.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"These Dividend gains are satisfactory, but they are far from amazing,\" Buffet said in his letter. \"But what matters is that they bring about a rise in the share price.\"</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Generally speaking, investors tend to reinvest dividends into the original stocks, but Berkshire has not reinvested dividends from Coca-Cola and American Express into these two stocks. The company's share buybacks over the years.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In fact,<strong>Berkshire hasn't overweight Coca-Cola and American Express shares since the 1990s, and some speculate that this may be because he hates paying too much for his investments.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buffett said in a letter to Berkshire shareholders in 1983:</p><p>For investors, buying shares of a good company at an exorbitant price may offset the impact of the ensuing decade of favorable business development.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is worth noting that although Dividend can provide stable income like bonds, it still presents risks.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">For example, if a company's cash flow is tight, it can cut or even suspend dividends, and the suspension of dividends often leads to a decline in stock prices, because investors often see it as a signal of a major financial crisis. In addition, when investors choose more expensive growth stocks, their Dividend tends to underperform.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687974\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3ecc14db02762fcb82cdbb76e654301","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687974","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185922715","content_text":"巴菲特投资的大多数公司都派息，预计今年伯克希尔·哈撒韦将从其股票投资组合中赚取约57亿美元现金。一年一度的“投资界春晚”、伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东会将在周六召开，这时候，普通投资者又会抛出灵魂一问：巴菲特的选股为什么会如此成功？对于这个问题，《华尔街日报》总结了两个答案。根据该报周三发布的文章，其中一个答案无人不晓，即巴菲特出神入化的挑选优质公司的能力，另外一个则不起眼得多——青睐派息股。注意，巴菲特投资的大多数公司都派息。根据Dow Jones Market Data对公司公告的分析，预计今年伯克希尔·哈撒韦将从其股票投资组合中赚取约57亿美元现金。其中近五分之一将来自伯克希尔最大持股之一的雪佛龙，雪佛龙已连续36年增加派息。另外，道琼斯市场数据显示，伯克希尔还将从可口可乐、苹果和美国银行各拿到逾7亿美元，从卡夫亨氏公司拿到逾5亿美元，从美国运通公司拿到约3.63亿美元。 “这就是他喜欢的：派息和回购，”贡萨加大学创业学教授Todd Finkle说，Finkle曾写过一本关于巴菲特职业生涯的书。Finkle说，巴菲特擅长挑选在许多经济周期中经受住时间考验并提高股息的公司。随着时间推移，这既增加了伯克希尔股票投资组合的价值，也扩大了公司能够用于自身业务以及收购和股票回购的充足现金储备。根据伯克希尔最近的财报，公司到2022年年底拥有1286亿美元的现金和现金等价物。Finkle表示，青睐派息股并非巴菲特的“秘密武器”，但确是其中一部分。拿巴菲特最爱的可口可乐举例。1994年，伯克希尔·哈撒韦以13亿美元买入其目前持有的大约4亿股可口可乐股份，当年就获得了7500万美元的现金股息。2022年，这一数字翻了近十倍至7.04亿美元，而伯克希尔持有的可口可乐股份市值也已飙升至250亿美元。巴菲特在今年早些时候发布的年度致股东信中称，股息每年都会增长，就像生日一样确定无疑。巴菲特在股东信中表示：我和查理（芒格）要做的只是兑现可口可乐的季度股息支票。巴菲特和芒格预计，可口可乐未来将继续提高股息。可口可乐2月份表示，已批准连续第61次提高年度股息。也就是说，按照Finkle的说法，巴菲特选股的“秘密武器”其实是“挑选优质公司+派息股”。该“秘密武器”用在美国运通公司身上也为伯克希尔实现了类似的回报。伯克希尔1995年完成了以13亿美元买入美国运通股份的绝大部分交易，并在当年获得了4100万美元的股息。去年，伯克希尔所持美国运通股份价值为220亿美元，并从后者获得了3.02亿美元的股息。“这些股息收益固然令人满意，却远谈不上惊人，”巴菲特在他的信中表示。“但重要的是它们带来了股价的上涨。”一般来说，投资者倾向于将分红重新投资到原股票上，但伯克希尔并没有将可口可乐和美国运通的分红重新投资到这两只股票中，持股比例升高则是因为两家公司多年以来的股票回购。事实上，伯克希尔自1990年代以来就没有加码可口可乐和美国运通股票，有人推测，这可能是因为他讨厌为投资支付过高的价格。巴菲特在1983年写给伯克希尔股东的信中说：对于投资者来说，以过高的价格购买一家优秀公司的股票，可能会抵消随后十年有利的业务发展所产生的影响。值得注意的是，股息虽然能够像债券一样提供稳定的收入，但仍存在风险。比如，如果一家公司现金流紧张，它可以削减甚至是暂停派息，而暂停派息又往往会导致股价下跌，因为投资者经常其视为公司出现重大财务危机的信号。另外，当投资者选择较昂贵的成长股时，其股息也往往表现不佳。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947646482,"gmtCreate":1683116985947,"gmtModify":1683116989520,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947646482","repostId":"2332140299","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2332140299","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1683108262,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2332140299?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-03 18:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Morgan Stanley and UBS prefer bonds over stocks, with recession threat as the main reason","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2332140299","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"经济衰退的威胁正使债券成为较安全的投资，而股市尚未反映这些风险。这是从摩根大通到瑞银和摩根士丹利一些基金经理和策略师的观点，他们现在更偏好固定收益工具而非股票。他们所持的论点是：债券（尤其是评级较高的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The threat of economic recession is making bonds a safer investment, and the stock market has not yet reflected these risks.</p><p>Here is the data from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>To UBS and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>The view of some fund managers and strategists, who now prefer fixed income instruments to equities. Their argument is that bonds (especially those with higher ratings) will be better able to withstand any economic slowdown; If the Fed fails to achieve a soft landing, stocks will be hurt more seriously.</p><p>Their idea is supported by data. First, the difference between the yield of high-grade US dollar bonds and the yield of Dividend of MSCI ACWI index component companies. The gap has widened by nearly 90 basis points over the past year and is near its peak in March, the highest level since the global financial crisis in 2008. Buying bonds now provides investors with additional yields and capital gains if interest rates fall.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d5d14ab5c5bafdc2f9e71b715f7e0e0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>The sell-off of regional banks in the United States on Tuesday once again ignited anxiety about financial stability. Risks in the stock market became the focus of attention and the stock market fell. Bonds were boosted as funds sought a safe haven. The two-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield once plunged 21 basis points to below 4%. The Treasury Bond yield is extremely sensitive to the Fed's actions.</p><p>As a result, the return rate of global stock markets so far this year has dropped to about 7%, and that of investment-grade bonds is 3.3%. The stock is still valued above its 12-month average, making it too expensive for some investors.</p><p>Tai Hui, chief Asia market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, said he firmly believes that the overall opportunity is still good for fixed income right now. U.S. valuations are still not particularly cheap for stocks, and he believes earnings expectations are still too optimistic.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523aa7110596d415a3c9ba0dc8d86e10\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>Of course, in a volatile market, corporate bonds also face risks. If lingering inflation keeps interest rates high, it may lead to a recession, and more companies will close down. If the economy slows down, it may also add pressure to the global junk bond market, which is more sensitive to default risks.</p><p>Looking at the broader macro outlook, some observers are now generally preferring bonds.</p><p>The P/E of the MSCI ACWI index, which uses estimated profits in the next 12 months as the denominator, has risen to about 15.8 times from 13.4 times at the end of September. According to the survey, economists believe that there is a 65% chance that the United States will fall into recession in the next 12 months, compared with 25% in the same period last year.</p><p>Meanwhile, net short positions in S&P 500 futures rose to more than a decade high, indicating strong expectations for lower stock prices.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcd54d8c30f629b0efe851fbb67e4edf\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>UBS has upgraded bonds to its most preferred asset class and downgraded equities to its least preferred asset class, according to Hartmut Issel, head of equity and credit for Asia Pacific at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"highlight_sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley and UBS prefer bonds over stocks, with recession threat as the main reason</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley and UBS prefer bonds over stocks, with recession threat as the main reason\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-05-03 18:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The threat of economic recession is making bonds a safer investment, and the stock market has not yet reflected these risks.</p><p>Here is the data from<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>To UBS and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>The view of some fund managers and strategists, who now prefer fixed income instruments to equities. Their argument is that bonds (especially those with higher ratings) will be better able to withstand any economic slowdown; If the Fed fails to achieve a soft landing, stocks will be hurt more seriously.</p><p>Their idea is supported by data. First, the difference between the yield of high-grade US dollar bonds and the yield of Dividend of MSCI ACWI index component companies. The gap has widened by nearly 90 basis points over the past year and is near its peak in March, the highest level since the global financial crisis in 2008. Buying bonds now provides investors with additional yields and capital gains if interest rates fall.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d5d14ab5c5bafdc2f9e71b715f7e0e0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>The sell-off of regional banks in the United States on Tuesday once again ignited anxiety about financial stability. Risks in the stock market became the focus of attention and the stock market fell. Bonds were boosted as funds sought a safe haven. The two-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield once plunged 21 basis points to below 4%. The Treasury Bond yield is extremely sensitive to the Fed's actions.</p><p>As a result, the return rate of global stock markets so far this year has dropped to about 7%, and that of investment-grade bonds is 3.3%. The stock is still valued above its 12-month average, making it too expensive for some investors.</p><p>Tai Hui, chief Asia market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, said he firmly believes that the overall opportunity is still good for fixed income right now. U.S. valuations are still not particularly cheap for stocks, and he believes earnings expectations are still too optimistic.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/523aa7110596d415a3c9ba0dc8d86e10\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>Of course, in a volatile market, corporate bonds also face risks. If lingering inflation keeps interest rates high, it may lead to a recession, and more companies will close down. If the economy slows down, it may also add pressure to the global junk bond market, which is more sensitive to default risks.</p><p>Looking at the broader macro outlook, some observers are now generally preferring bonds.</p><p>The P/E of the MSCI ACWI index, which uses estimated profits in the next 12 months as the denominator, has risen to about 15.8 times from 13.4 times at the end of September. According to the survey, economists believe that there is a 65% chance that the United States will fall into recession in the next 12 months, compared with 25% in the same period last year.</p><p>Meanwhile, net short positions in S&P 500 futures rose to more than a decade high, indicating strong expectations for lower stock prices.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcd54d8c30f629b0efe851fbb67e4edf\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"507\"/></p><p>UBS has upgraded bonds to its most preferred asset class and downgraded equities to its least preferred asset class, according to Hartmut Issel, head of equity and credit for Asia Pacific at UBS Global Wealth Management.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-05-03/doc-imysniyz3979244.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fc1f5e2fa377c378fa230c10e0849a2","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-05-03/doc-imysniyz3979244.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2332140299","content_text":"经济衰退的威胁正使债券成为较安全的投资，而股市尚未反映这些风险。这是从摩根大通到瑞银和摩根士丹利一些基金经理和策略师的观点，他们现在更偏好固定收益工具而非股票。他们所持的论点是：债券（尤其是评级较高的债券）将能更好地抵御任何经济放缓；如果美联储未能实现软着陆，股票受伤会较重。他们这个想法是受到数据支持的。一是高级别美元债券收益率与MSCI ACWI指数成分企业的股息收益率之差。这个差距在过去一年扩大近90个基点，并接近3月份的峰值，这是自2008年全球金融危机以来的最高水平。现在购买债券可以为投资者提供额外的收益，如果利率下降，他们还有资本利得。周二美国区域性银行遭到抛售，再度引爆对金融稳定的焦虑，股市的风险成为关注焦点，股市下跌。资金寻求避险下，提振了债券。两年期美国国债收益率一度暴跌21个基点至4%以下，该国债收益率对美联储动作极为敏感。全球股市今年迄今的回报率因而降至约7%，投资级别债券为3.3%。股票估值仍高于其12个月的平均水平，对一些投资者来说股价太贵。摩根资产管理首席亚洲市场策略师Tai Hui表示，他坚信目前整体机会仍然有利于固定收益。对于股票来说，美国的估值仍然不是特别便宜，他认为盈利预期仍然过于乐观。当然，在一个波动的市场，公司债也面临风险。如果挥之不去的通货膨胀使利率居高不下，那可能会导致经济衰退，更多公司会因而倒闭。经济若放缓，也可能加添全球垃圾债券市场的压力，这个市场对违约风险更为敏感。从更广泛的宏观前景来看，一些观察人士目前总体上更偏好债券。MSCI ACWI指数成分股以未来12个月预估获利为分母计算的市盈率，已从9月底的13.4倍升至约15.8倍。据调查，经济学家认为，美国在未来12个月内陷入衰退的可能性为65%，去年同期为25%。 与此同时，标准普尔500指数期货的净空头头寸升至十几年来的高位，表明市场对股价走低的强烈预期。据瑞银全球财富管理亚太区股票和信用主管Hartmut Issel称，瑞银已将债券上调至其最偏爱的资产类别，并将股票下调至最不偏爱的资产类别。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947646587,"gmtCreate":1683116958149,"gmtModify":1683116961926,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947646587","repostId":"1166168941","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166168941","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1683116159,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166168941?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-03 20:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"U.S. ADP employment was 296,000 in April, the largest increase since July 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166168941","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月3日，美国4月ADP就业人数为29.6万人，为2022年7月以来最大增幅；预期14.8万人，前值14.5万人。ADP报告：4月金融服务业就业人数减少2.8万人，3月减少5.1万人；4月贸易/运输/","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On May 3, the number of U.S. ADP employment in April was 296,000, the largest increase since July 2022; It is expected to be 148,000, compared with the previous value of 145,000.</p><p>ADP report: Financial services employment decreased by 28,000 in April and 51,000 in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of trade/transportation/utility employees in April was 6.6%, compared with 7.0% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of employees in the construction industry in April was 6.9%, compared with 7.0% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of professional/business service employees in April was 6.3%, compared with 6.4% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of manufacturing employees in April was 6.2%, compared with 6.5% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of employees in the financial services industry was 6.7% in April, compared with 6.8% in March.</p><p>After the data was released, U.S. stock futures showed little short-term fluctuations, and Nasdaq 100 index futures maintained an increase of about 0.3%. The US Dollar Index rose more than 10 points in the short term and is now at 101.67. Spot gold fell about US $2 in the short term and is now trading at US $2,013.50 per ounce.</p><p><strong>Agency evaluation of ADP employment in the United States:</strong>Private U.S. companies added 296,000 jobs in April, signaling a hiring boom despite a sharp slowdown in wage growth for those who changed jobs.</p><p><strong>ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson:</strong>The slowdown in wage growth gives the clearest signal of the current state of the labor market, and employers are reining in salary growth while hiring aggressively. Our data also shows that fewer people are changing jobs.</p><p><strong>Financial website Forexlive commented on U.S. ADP data in April:</strong>It's a strong number and underscores why the Fed's job is so tough. They couldn't reasonably raise wages without disrupting the banking system, but the addition of nearly 300,000 jobs shows that the pressure on wage growth has not gone away.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. ADP employment was 296,000 in April, the largest increase since July 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. ADP employment was 296,000 in April, the largest increase since July 2022\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-05-03 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On May 3, the number of U.S. ADP employment in April was 296,000, the largest increase since July 2022; It is expected to be 148,000, compared with the previous value of 145,000.</p><p>ADP report: Financial services employment decreased by 28,000 in April and 51,000 in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of trade/transportation/utility employees in April was 6.6%, compared with 7.0% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of employees in the construction industry in April was 6.9%, compared with 7.0% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of professional/business service employees in April was 6.3%, compared with 6.4% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of manufacturing employees in April was 6.2%, compared with 6.5% in March;</p><p>The median annual salary growth rate of employees in the financial services industry was 6.7% in April, compared with 6.8% in March.</p><p>After the data was released, U.S. stock futures showed little short-term fluctuations, and Nasdaq 100 index futures maintained an increase of about 0.3%. The US Dollar Index rose more than 10 points in the short term and is now at 101.67. Spot gold fell about US $2 in the short term and is now trading at US $2,013.50 per ounce.</p><p><strong>Agency evaluation of ADP employment in the United States:</strong>Private U.S. companies added 296,000 jobs in April, signaling a hiring boom despite a sharp slowdown in wage growth for those who changed jobs.</p><p><strong>ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson:</strong>The slowdown in wage growth gives the clearest signal of the current state of the labor market, and employers are reining in salary growth while hiring aggressively. Our data also shows that fewer people are changing jobs.</p><p><strong>Financial website Forexlive commented on U.S. ADP data in April:</strong>It's a strong number and underscores why the Fed's job is so tough. They couldn't reasonably raise wages without disrupting the banking system, but the addition of nearly 300,000 jobs shows that the pressure on wage growth has not gone away.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166168941","content_text":"5月3日，美国4月ADP就业人数为29.6万人，为2022年7月以来最大增幅；预期14.8万人，前值14.5万人。ADP报告：4月金融服务业就业人数减少2.8万人，3月减少5.1万人；4月贸易/运输/公用事业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为6.6%，3月为7.0%；4月建筑业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为6.9%，3月为7.0%；4月专业/商业服务就业人员薪资增速年率中值为6.3%，3月为6.4%；4月制造业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为6.2%，3月为6.5%；4月金融服务业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为6.7%，3月为6.8%。数据公布后，美股期货短线波动不大，纳斯达克100指数期货维持约0.3%的涨幅。美元指数短线拉升逾10点，现报101.67。现货黄金短线走低约2美元，现报2013.50美元/盎司。机构评美国ADP就业人数：美国私营企业4月份增加了29.6万个就业岗位，表明尽管换工作的人的工资增长大幅放缓，但仍出现了招聘热潮。ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson：薪资增长放缓给出了当前劳动力市场状况的最清晰信号，雇主们在大举招聘的同时，也在控制薪资增长。我们的数据还显示，换工作的人越来越少。财经网站Forexlive评美国4月ADP数据：这是一个强劲的数字，也突显出美联储的工作为何如此艰难。他们不可能在不破坏银行体系的情况下合理地提高工资，但增加了近30万个工作岗位表明，工资增长的压力并没有消失。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947810601,"gmtCreate":1682859801003,"gmtModify":1682859804811,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947810601","repostId":"2331122664","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2331122664","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1682828286,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2331122664?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-30 12:18","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"How long can US technology stocks be bullish? Just look at the financial reports of Apple and AMD next week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2331122664","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"后续财报可能“喜忧参半”，AI热潮带动芯片需求增加，AMD、高通财报指引可能好于预期，而苹果可能会公布其产品部门三年来首次全面萎缩。经济衰退阴云笼罩下，微软、Meta等科技巨头扛住了压力，一季度业绩超","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Subsequent financial reports may be \"mixed\", the AI boom has driven an increase in chip demand, AMD and Qualcomm's financial guidance may be better than expected, and Apple may announce that its product department has shrunk across the board for the first time in three years.</strong>Under the cloud of economic recession,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, Meta and other technology giants withstood the pressure, and their first-quarter results exceeded expectations.</p><p>Specifically, Meta's \"salted fish turned over\", and its revenue in the first quarter unexpectedly reversed three consecutive quarters of declines; Microsoft's performance last quarter exceeded expectations, and cloud business revenue maintained double-digit growth;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>In the first quarter, search returned to growth, and the cloud business turned losses into profits.</p><p>In addition, despite record losses in chip stocks, earnings guidance is positive. SK Hynix pointed out that improved demand combined with production cuts may boost the market, and the chip market will rebound in the second quarter. However, on the other hand,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Warnings of sluggish growth in its cloud computing business, as well as Cloudflare's move to cut its full-year revenue forecast, underscore the uncertainty of the overall economy.</p><p><strong>The unexpected earnings report eased market concerns about slowing demand for technology products, driving U.S. stocks to rebound.</strong>The S&P 500 index posted its biggest one-day gain since the first week of the year on Thursday, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 index closed up 2.76%, its biggest gain since January 20.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/822b80c8c4e84fc0602fb949d5d61757\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"614\"/></p><p><strong>And next week,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>And AMD will disclose the demand for more technology products, and its financial performance will become the key to whether technology stocks can continue to rebound. The following is the earnings preview:</strong></p><p>Tuesday: AMD will release its earnings report after the U.S. stock market closes. The artificial intelligence boom is expected to drive the demand for chips in data centers, and the resulting increase in demand may offset the continued weakness in PC-side chip sales. With its customer and gaming segments still sluggish, data centers will be key for AMD to earn revenue.</p><p>Wednesday: Qualcomm will announce results after the U.S. stock market closes. Investors will take a closer look at Qualcomm's quarterly guidance for signs of recovery and inventory replenishment by OEMs amid continued weakness in smartphone demand. Last month, chip giants Micron Technology and Infineon Technologies provided better-than-expected guidance, raising hopes for a rebound.</p><p>Thursday: Apple will announce results after the U.S. stock market closes. Apple is likely to report its product division's first across the board contraction in three years, with iPad and iPhone sales down a year from the previous year, Mac sales slowdown likely to be more pronounced, and weak consumer consumption of high-end devices still weighing on overall growth. The impact of iPhone supply chain issues and foreign exchange headwinds may show up in the earnings report, and Barclays believes this downturn will continue into this quarter, especially as demand for iPhone 14 Pro models slows.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How long can US technology stocks be bullish? Just look at the financial reports of Apple and AMD next week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow long can US technology stocks be bullish? Just look at the financial reports of Apple and AMD next week\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-30 12:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Subsequent financial reports may be \"mixed\", the AI boom has driven an increase in chip demand, AMD and Qualcomm's financial guidance may be better than expected, and Apple may announce that its product department has shrunk across the board for the first time in three years.</strong>Under the cloud of economic recession,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, Meta and other technology giants withstood the pressure, and their first-quarter results exceeded expectations.</p><p>Specifically, Meta's \"salted fish turned over\", and its revenue in the first quarter unexpectedly reversed three consecutive quarters of declines; Microsoft's performance last quarter exceeded expectations, and cloud business revenue maintained double-digit growth;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>In the first quarter, search returned to growth, and the cloud business turned losses into profits.</p><p>In addition, despite record losses in chip stocks, earnings guidance is positive. SK Hynix pointed out that improved demand combined with production cuts may boost the market, and the chip market will rebound in the second quarter. However, on the other hand,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Warnings of sluggish growth in its cloud computing business, as well as Cloudflare's move to cut its full-year revenue forecast, underscore the uncertainty of the overall economy.</p><p><strong>The unexpected earnings report eased market concerns about slowing demand for technology products, driving U.S. stocks to rebound.</strong>The S&P 500 index posted its biggest one-day gain since the first week of the year on Thursday, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 index closed up 2.76%, its biggest gain since January 20.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/822b80c8c4e84fc0602fb949d5d61757\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"614\"/></p><p><strong>And next week,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>And AMD will disclose the demand for more technology products, and its financial performance will become the key to whether technology stocks can continue to rebound. The following is the earnings preview:</strong></p><p>Tuesday: AMD will release its earnings report after the U.S. stock market closes. The artificial intelligence boom is expected to drive the demand for chips in data centers, and the resulting increase in demand may offset the continued weakness in PC-side chip sales. With its customer and gaming segments still sluggish, data centers will be key for AMD to earn revenue.</p><p>Wednesday: Qualcomm will announce results after the U.S. stock market closes. Investors will take a closer look at Qualcomm's quarterly guidance for signs of recovery and inventory replenishment by OEMs amid continued weakness in smartphone demand. Last month, chip giants Micron Technology and Infineon Technologies provided better-than-expected guidance, raising hopes for a rebound.</p><p>Thursday: Apple will announce results after the U.S. stock market closes. Apple is likely to report its product division's first across the board contraction in three years, with iPad and iPhone sales down a year from the previous year, Mac sales slowdown likely to be more pronounced, and weak consumer consumption of high-end devices still weighing on overall growth. The impact of iPhone supply chain issues and foreign exchange headwinds may show up in the earnings report, and Barclays believes this downturn will continue into this quarter, especially as demand for iPhone 14 Pro models slows.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687780\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/353f693b3cf73305d444a14080157632","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687780","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2331122664","content_text":"后续财报可能“喜忧参半”，AI热潮带动芯片需求增加，AMD、高通财报指引可能好于预期，而苹果可能会公布其产品部门三年来首次全面萎缩。经济衰退阴云笼罩下，微软、Meta等科技巨头扛住了压力，一季度业绩超出预期。具体来看，Meta“咸鱼翻身”，一季度收入意外扭转三季连降；微软上季度业绩超预期，云业务营收维持两位数增长；谷歌一季度搜索重回增长，云业务扭亏为盈。此外，尽管芯片股业绩亏损创下纪录，但财报指引向好。SK海力士指出，需求改善叠加减产或将提振市场，芯片市场将在二季度出现反弹。不过，另一方面，亚马逊对其云计算业务增长乏力的警告，以及Cloudflare下调全年营收预期的举措，突显出整体经济的不确定性。超预期的财报缓解了市场对科技产品需求放缓的担忧，带动美股反弹。标普500指数在周四创下今年第一周以来的最大单日涨幅，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数收涨2.76%，创1月20日以来最大涨幅。下周，苹果、高通和AMD将披露更多科技产品的需求情况，其财报表现成为科技股能否继续反弹的关键。以下是财报前瞻：周二：AMD将在美股盘后发布财报。人工智能热潮预计将带动数据中心对芯片的需求，带来的需求增加可能会抵消PC端芯片销售的持续疲软。由于其客户和游戏部门仍然低迷，数据中心将是AMD获得收入的关键。周三：高通将在美股盘后公布业绩。在智能手机需求持续疲软的情况下，投资者将仔细研究高通的季度指引，以寻找复苏的迹象和OEM厂商的库存补充。上个月，芯片巨头美光科技和英飞凌科技提供了好于预期的指引，提升了反弹的希望。周四：苹果将在美股盘后公布业绩。苹果可能会报告其产品部门三年来首次全面萎缩，iPad和iPhone的销售一年较前下滑，Mac的销售放缓可能更加明显，消费者对高端设备的消费疲软仍然拖累整体增长。iPhone供应链问题和外汇阻力的影响可能会在财报中显示出来，巴克莱认为，这种不景气会延续到本季度，尤其是对iPhone 14 Pro机型的需求放缓。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1,"AAPL":1,"GFS":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947804421,"gmtCreate":1682781432363,"gmtModify":1682781435877,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947804421","repostId":"1193243086","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1193243086","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682757120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193243086?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-29 16:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Who did the First Republic \"win the flower\"? Report: FDIC asks bidders including JPMorgan to submit final offers by Sunday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193243086","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"作为吸收存款超过10%的大型银行，摩根大通的收购在监管方面存在障碍，但为了拯救第一共和银行，也存在破例的可能性。岌岌可危的第一共和银行迎来了意向方：摩根大通、PNC都有可能成为最终收购者。据彭博今日报","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>As a large bank that takes more than 10% of deposits, JPMorgan's acquisition has regulatory hurdles, but there is also the possibility of making an exception to save First Republic.</strong><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">First Republic Bank, which is in jeopardy, has ushered in interested parties: JPMorgan Chase and PNC may all become the final acquirers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is requiring banks including JPMorgan Chase and PNC Financial Services Group, Bloomberg reported today<strong>Submit a final offer for First Republic Bank by Sunday.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regulator solicited interest from the banks on Thursday, including learning about their proposed offers and the estimated cost of First Republic Bank's deposit insurance money, and invited the two companies to participate in the next bidding process on Friday.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bloomberg said the bidding process launched by regulators could pave the way for First Republic's sale without going through a lengthy auction process like when Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, the cliff-like decline in First Republic Bank stock (down 97% this year) has dropped the market value to only $650 million.<strong>This may also provide a degree of viability for the acquisition.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c0b589ac7783879dc11eba6207dc3e3\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wall Street News reported earlier today that U.S. officials, including the FDIC, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve, are coordinating meetings with other banks to facilitate a rescue plan for First Republic Bank.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Earlier, advisers of First Republic Bank sought to get several banks that participated in the rescue operation a month ago to buy their assets at a price above the market price.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Although buyers buy and lose, these potential buyers' $30 billion in deposits with First Republic Bank are uninsured. If they think First Republic Bank is about to go bankrupt, they could risk losing that money altogether.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Furthermore, even if the federal government uses emergency powers to guarantee these deposits, large banks will need to replenish the FDIC with huge sums of money. As part of the deal, several banks that bailed out can get some form of equity.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>The above scenario will result in short-term losses for the rescued banks, but it may be less costly in the long run than letting First Republic fail and be taken over by regulators.</strong></p><p><h2>Regulatory hurdles</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, although First Republic Bank's market value is running low, regulatory requirements may also add obstacles to the acquisition.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since JPMorgan Chase is one of the few large banks in the United States that attracts more than 10% of deposits,<strong>According to US regulations, the bank is not eligible to acquire another institution that also takes deposits, which will make its scale grow again.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Still, there is the possibility of an exception to save First Republic Bank.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Compared with the billions of costs that the FDIC has to pay to take over a bank again, the FDIC prefers to limit the solution to the private sector. The agency had previously planned a special assessment of the banking industry to pay for the bankruptcies of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Earlier, the media quoted sources as saying that the most likely outcome of First Republic Bank is to be taken over by the FDIC. If First Republic Bank is taken over by regulators, the FDIC will still ask other banks to make possible takeover bids. However, sources said at the time that there was still hope of finding a solution that would prevent First Republic from being taken over by the FDIC.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Who did the First Republic \"win the flower\"? Report: FDIC asks bidders including JPMorgan to submit final offers by Sunday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWho did the First Republic \"win the flower\"? Report: FDIC asks bidders including JPMorgan to submit final offers by Sunday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-29 16:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>As a large bank that takes more than 10% of deposits, JPMorgan's acquisition has regulatory hurdles, but there is also the possibility of making an exception to save First Republic.</strong><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">First Republic Bank, which is in jeopardy, has ushered in interested parties: JPMorgan Chase and PNC may all become the final acquirers.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) is requiring banks including JPMorgan Chase and PNC Financial Services Group, Bloomberg reported today<strong>Submit a final offer for First Republic Bank by Sunday.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The regulator solicited interest from the banks on Thursday, including learning about their proposed offers and the estimated cost of First Republic Bank's deposit insurance money, and invited the two companies to participate in the next bidding process on Friday.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bloomberg said the bidding process launched by regulators could pave the way for First Republic's sale without going through a lengthy auction process like when Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In addition, the cliff-like decline in First Republic Bank stock (down 97% this year) has dropped the market value to only $650 million.<strong>This may also provide a degree of viability for the acquisition.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c0b589ac7783879dc11eba6207dc3e3\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Wall Street News reported earlier today that U.S. officials, including the FDIC, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve, are coordinating meetings with other banks to facilitate a rescue plan for First Republic Bank.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Earlier, advisers of First Republic Bank sought to get several banks that participated in the rescue operation a month ago to buy their assets at a price above the market price.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Although buyers buy and lose, these potential buyers' $30 billion in deposits with First Republic Bank are uninsured. If they think First Republic Bank is about to go bankrupt, they could risk losing that money altogether.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Furthermore, even if the federal government uses emergency powers to guarantee these deposits, large banks will need to replenish the FDIC with huge sums of money. As part of the deal, several banks that bailed out can get some form of equity.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>The above scenario will result in short-term losses for the rescued banks, but it may be less costly in the long run than letting First Republic fail and be taken over by regulators.</strong></p><p><h2>Regulatory hurdles</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, although First Republic Bank's market value is running low, regulatory requirements may also add obstacles to the acquisition.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since JPMorgan Chase is one of the few large banks in the United States that attracts more than 10% of deposits,<strong>According to US regulations, the bank is not eligible to acquire another institution that also takes deposits, which will make its scale grow again.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Still, there is the possibility of an exception to save First Republic Bank.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Compared with the billions of costs that the FDIC has to pay to take over a bank again, the FDIC prefers to limit the solution to the private sector. The agency had previously planned a special assessment of the banking industry to pay for the bankruptcies of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Earlier, the media quoted sources as saying that the most likely outcome of First Republic Bank is to be taken over by the FDIC. If First Republic Bank is taken over by regulators, the FDIC will still ask other banks to make possible takeover bids. However, sources said at the time that there was still hope of finding a solution that would prevent First Republic from being taken over by the FDIC.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687776\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffc56982f828847b68443cfbde6a957b","relate_stocks":{"FRCB":"第一共和银行"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3687776","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193243086","content_text":"作为吸收存款超过10%的大型银行，摩根大通的收购在监管方面存在障碍，但为了拯救第一共和银行，也存在破例的可能性。岌岌可危的第一共和银行迎来了意向方：摩根大通、PNC都有可能成为最终收购者。据彭博今日报道，美国联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）要求包括摩根大通和PNC金融服务集团在内的银行在周日之前提交对第一共和银行的最终报价。监管机构于周四向各家银行征求了意向，包括了解这些银行建议的报价以及对第一共和银行存款保险金的预估成本，并于周五邀请了两家公司参加了下一步的竞标过程。彭博表示，监管机构启动的竞标程序可能为第一共和银行的出售铺平道路，而不会像硅谷银行和签字银行倒闭时经历漫长的拍卖流程。此外，第一共和银行股票的断崖式下跌（今年以来下跌97%）已经使市值跌至仅有6.5亿美元，这可能也为收购提供了一定程度上的可行性。华尔街见闻今日早些时候曾介绍，包括FDIC、美国财政部和美联储在内的美国官员们正在协调与其他银行的会议，以促成对第一共和银行的救助计划。此前，第一共和银行的顾问们寻求让数家参与了一个月前救助行动的银行以高于市价的价格购买其资产。尽管买家买入即亏，但这些潜在买家在第一共和银行的300亿美元存款没有保险。如果他们认为第一共和银行即将破产，他们可能会面临彻底失去这笔钱的风险。此外，即使联邦政府动用紧急权力为这些存款提供担保，大型银行也需要向FDIC补充巨额资金。作为交易的一部分，多家出手救助的银行可以获得某种形式的股权。上述方案将导致出手相救的银行短期内蒙受损失，但从长远来看，可能比让第一共和银行倒闭并被监管机构接管的成本更低。监管障碍然而，尽管第一共和银行的市值已经所剩无几，但监管规定也可能为收购行动增加阻碍。由于摩根大通是全美少数几家吸收存款超过10%的大型银行，根据美国监管规定，该行没有资格再收购一家同样吸收存款的机构，这将令其规模再一次壮大。尽管如此，为了拯救第一共和银行，也存在破例的可能性。相比FDIC再次接管一家银行所必须付出的数十亿成本，FDIC更希望将解决方案限制在私营部门。此前该机构已经计划对银行业进行特别评估，以支付硅谷银行和签名银行上个月破产的费用。此前媒体援引消息人士称，第一共和银行最有可能的结果就是被FDIC接管。如果第一共和银行被监管机构接管，FDIC仍将问询其他银行，让他们进行可能的收购投标。不过消息人士当时称，也仍有希望找到一个第一共和不被FDIC接管的解决方案。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FRC":0.9,"FRCB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947158215,"gmtCreate":1682697050837,"gmtModify":1682697054392,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947158215","repostId":"1149416254","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149416254","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682695765,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149416254?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-28 23:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fed blames management problems and poor regulation for Silicon Valley Bank failure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149416254","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"硅谷银行的管理层和总监们未能管理好自家公司的众多风险。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Michael Barr, the Federal Reserve's Vice Chairman for Financial Supervision: Blaming the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on corporate management and inappropriate supervision, will consider improving liquidity and capital requirements.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silicon Valley Bank's management and directors have failed to manage the many risks of their own companies.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silicon Valley Bank has had as many as 31 warnings, which is three times the industry average.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regulators haven't done enough to ensure that Silicon Valley Bank can handle many problems.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve has advocated a less decisive approach to regulation.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed's pandering stance and shift in stance hinders regulation (for institutions such as Silicon Valley Bank).</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Call for \"stronger standards\" for a wider range of banking institutions.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Limiting bank buybacks and dividend payments may be \"appropriate\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consideration should be given to introducing stricter standards for incentives.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">More banking institutions should assess profits and losses and assets for sale.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Re-evaluate the system for those banks with assets exceeding $100 billion.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported several of Barr's proposals for institutions and regulation.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed blames management problems and poor regulation for Silicon Valley Bank failure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed blames management problems and poor regulation for Silicon Valley Bank failure\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-28 23:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Michael Barr, the Federal Reserve's Vice Chairman for Financial Supervision: Blaming the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on corporate management and inappropriate supervision, will consider improving liquidity and capital requirements.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silicon Valley Bank's management and directors have failed to manage the many risks of their own companies.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silicon Valley Bank has had as many as 31 warnings, which is three times the industry average.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regulators haven't done enough to ensure that Silicon Valley Bank can handle many problems.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve has advocated a less decisive approach to regulation.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed's pandering stance and shift in stance hinders regulation (for institutions such as Silicon Valley Bank).</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Call for \"stronger standards\" for a wider range of banking institutions.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Limiting bank buybacks and dividend payments may be \"appropriate\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consideration should be given to introducing stricter standards for incentives.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">More banking institutions should assess profits and losses and assets for sale.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Re-evaluate the system for those banks with assets exceeding $100 billion.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported several of Barr's proposals for institutions and regulation.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/livenews/2455612\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9cd29490297b10c3f50798a61050f13","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/livenews/2455612","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1149416254","content_text":"美联储负责金融监管事务的副主席Michael Barr：将硅谷银行（SVB）倒闭归咎于公司管理和不适当的监管，将考虑改善流动性和资本要求。硅谷银行的管理层和总监们未能管理好自家公司的众多风险。硅谷银行曾出现多达31项警告，那是行业均值的三倍。在确保硅谷银行能够处置众多问题方面，监管人员们没能付出足够的努力。美联储理事会曾提倡实施不那么果断的监管方式。美联储的迎合姿态和立场转变妨碍到（针对硅谷银行等机构的）监管。呼吁针对更大范围的银行机构实施“更加强有力的标准”。限制银行回购和派息可能会是“适当之举”。应当考虑针对（银行业的）激励机制出台更加严苛的标准。更多的银行机构应当评估盈亏和待售资产。针对那些资产规模超过1000亿美元的银行重新评估制度。美联储主席鲍威尔支持Barr针对制度和监管的若干建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947328810,"gmtCreate":1682592327831,"gmtModify":1682592331250,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947328810","repostId":"2330307711","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2330307711","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1682592303,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2330307711?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-27 18:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Has the inflation limelight been robbed? The focus of the market has quietly changed!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2330307711","media":"金十数据","summary":"全球第四大财经网站Investing.com撰文指出，短期投资者必须始终意识到，尽管市场上每天都充斥着各种各样的事件，但正如行为金融学领域多次提到的那样，人性往往会偏向关注负面消息。去年市场的低迷情绪","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Investing.com, the fourth largest financial website in the world, wrote that short-term investors must always be aware that although the market is full of various events every day, as mentioned many times in the field of behavioral finance, human nature tends to be biased towards negative news.</p><p>The market's downturn last year was mainly driven by inflation trends and the Federal Reserve's rate hike path. Markets have started to rebound since mid-October, but recession fears remain. And now,<strong>The U.S. debt ceiling crisis will be the next hot topic to dominate the market.</strong></p><p>After the U.S. Treasury hit the debt ceiling on January 19th, it took extraordinary measures to deal with various government spending. This kind of plot is no stranger, and its impact largely depends on the overall market sentiment. To be sure, the sentiment remains negative.</p><p>As you can see from the chart below, not only short positions in stocks, but also short positions in U.S. Treasuries are at an all-time high. This is due to the debt ceiling deadlock together with<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>The dismal quarterly report sparked some unease.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e20866bb8aaec64b2b4410bd7e4b8e62\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"522\"/></p><p>The cost of insurance against a US default has also risen significantly, suggesting that the market is watching developments closely (see chart below). Thursday, according to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">S&P Global</a>Market Intelligence, U.S. five-year credit default swaps rose to 67 basis points from Wednesday's close of 66 basis points, the highest since at least 2011.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2af3c83de17aff1f173eca35da7d39f4\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"397\"/></p><p>In theory, August 18 is the key date for the Treasury to run out of money. Therefore, it is critical that the Biden administration reaches a deal before this date. Possible options are:</p><p>A political solution (a deal with the Republican Party, which demands federal spending reduction as a premise); The new debt was issued under completely anomalous circumstances (probably above nominal levels, but it is unknown how the market will react to this, especially who will buy it); Further extraordinary measures (Biden can invoke the 14th Amendment to follow up on federal payments). Although there may be other more \"creative\" solutions, Investing analysts don't think they deserve attention.</p><p>Analysts noted that while everyone is still focused on inflation, in reality,<strong>The next short-term driver of market moves will be the U.S. debt ceiling impasse and its resolution.</strong>In his view,<strong>Inflation will continue to decline, especially in June and July, and the impact of the base effect will contribute more than 1% of the decline.</strong></p><p>However, it should be reminded that these are just distractions for medium and long-term investors as always, but for short-term traders, human nature will never change, and paying attention to the debt ceiling crisis is a top priority.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Counter-talk: US debt ceiling deadline</p><p>Recently, Wall Street investment banks began to \"blow\" that the debt ceiling deadline will come earlier. Goldman Sachs is one of them. However, on Wednesday, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said unexpectedly strong tax revenues this week reduced the possibility that the Treasury Department will face the risk of defaulting on federal payments as early as June,<strong>The end of July is more likely.</strong>The bank said Tuesday's tax data was unexpectedly high,<strong>That's 14% higher than the same period in 2022.</strong></p><p>In this regard, Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday:</p><p>\"If tax revenues can maintain this trend, the Treasury Department should be able to continue making all scheduled payments without raising the debt ceiling until the end of July.\" Meanwhile, there is no sign of compromise in the partisan battle in Congress over raising the debt ceiling. House Republicans on Wednesday passed a bill extending its debt ceiling by about a year while cutting spending for years to come. But Biden and Democrats have refused to attach conditions and continue to press for a straightforward bill to be passed.</p><p>Phillips said passage of the bill could reinforce the GOP's insistence on raising the debt ceiling at the expense of spending cuts. Assuming late July as the deadline<strong>These negotiations may take weeks, if not longer, to begin</strong>。 \"In our view, the policy most likely to accompany the debt ceiling increase is'cap on discretionary spending. 'That's lower than House Republicans expected,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has the inflation limelight been robbed? The focus of the market has quietly changed!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas the inflation limelight been robbed? The focus of the market has quietly changed!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-27 18:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Investing.com, the fourth largest financial website in the world, wrote that short-term investors must always be aware that although the market is full of various events every day, as mentioned many times in the field of behavioral finance, human nature tends to be biased towards negative news.</p><p>The market's downturn last year was mainly driven by inflation trends and the Federal Reserve's rate hike path. Markets have started to rebound since mid-October, but recession fears remain. And now,<strong>The U.S. debt ceiling crisis will be the next hot topic to dominate the market.</strong></p><p>After the U.S. Treasury hit the debt ceiling on January 19th, it took extraordinary measures to deal with various government spending. This kind of plot is no stranger, and its impact largely depends on the overall market sentiment. To be sure, the sentiment remains negative.</p><p>As you can see from the chart below, not only short positions in stocks, but also short positions in U.S. Treasuries are at an all-time high. This is due to the debt ceiling deadlock together with<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a>The dismal quarterly report sparked some unease.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e20866bb8aaec64b2b4410bd7e4b8e62\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"522\"/></p><p>The cost of insurance against a US default has also risen significantly, suggesting that the market is watching developments closely (see chart below). Thursday, according to<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">S&P Global</a>Market Intelligence, U.S. five-year credit default swaps rose to 67 basis points from Wednesday's close of 66 basis points, the highest since at least 2011.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2af3c83de17aff1f173eca35da7d39f4\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"397\"/></p><p>In theory, August 18 is the key date for the Treasury to run out of money. Therefore, it is critical that the Biden administration reaches a deal before this date. Possible options are:</p><p>A political solution (a deal with the Republican Party, which demands federal spending reduction as a premise); The new debt was issued under completely anomalous circumstances (probably above nominal levels, but it is unknown how the market will react to this, especially who will buy it); Further extraordinary measures (Biden can invoke the 14th Amendment to follow up on federal payments). Although there may be other more \"creative\" solutions, Investing analysts don't think they deserve attention.</p><p>Analysts noted that while everyone is still focused on inflation, in reality,<strong>The next short-term driver of market moves will be the U.S. debt ceiling impasse and its resolution.</strong>In his view,<strong>Inflation will continue to decline, especially in June and July, and the impact of the base effect will contribute more than 1% of the decline.</strong></p><p>However, it should be reminded that these are just distractions for medium and long-term investors as always, but for short-term traders, human nature will never change, and paying attention to the debt ceiling crisis is a top priority.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Counter-talk: US debt ceiling deadline</p><p>Recently, Wall Street investment banks began to \"blow\" that the debt ceiling deadline will come earlier. Goldman Sachs is one of them. However, on Wednesday, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said unexpectedly strong tax revenues this week reduced the possibility that the Treasury Department will face the risk of defaulting on federal payments as early as June,<strong>The end of July is more likely.</strong>The bank said Tuesday's tax data was unexpectedly high,<strong>That's 14% higher than the same period in 2022.</strong></p><p>In this regard, Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday:</p><p>\"If tax revenues can maintain this trend, the Treasury Department should be able to continue making all scheduled payments without raising the debt ceiling until the end of July.\" Meanwhile, there is no sign of compromise in the partisan battle in Congress over raising the debt ceiling. House Republicans on Wednesday passed a bill extending its debt ceiling by about a year while cutting spending for years to come. But Biden and Democrats have refused to attach conditions and continue to press for a straightforward bill to be passed.</p><p>Phillips said passage of the bill could reinforce the GOP's insistence on raising the debt ceiling at the expense of spending cuts. Assuming late July as the deadline<strong>These negotiations may take weeks, if not longer, to begin</strong>。 \"In our view, the policy most likely to accompany the debt ceiling increase is'cap on discretionary spending. 'That's lower than House Republicans expected,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111403&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e0896d3edaca3729837f9abf1db1d23","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4504":"桥水持仓","GS":"高盛","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=111403&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2330307711","content_text":"全球第四大财经网站Investing.com撰文指出，短期投资者必须始终意识到，尽管市场上每天都充斥着各种各样的事件，但正如行为金融学领域多次提到的那样，人性往往会偏向关注负面消息。去年市场的低迷情绪主要受通胀走势和美联储的加息路径驱动的。自10月中旬以来，市场已经开始反弹，但对经济衰退的担忧情绪仍然存在。而现在，美国债务上限危机将成为下一个主导市场的热门话题。美国财政部在1月19日触及举债上限后，采取非常措施应对各项政府开支。这种剧情并不陌生，其影响在很大程度上还取决于市场总体情绪。可以肯定的是，这种情绪仍然是负面的。从下图可以看到，不仅是股票空头头寸，美债空头头寸也处于历史最高水平，这是因为债务上限僵局连同第一共和银行惨淡的季度报告引发了一些不安情绪。针对美国违约的保险成本也大幅上升，这表明市场正在密切关注事态发展（见下图）。周四，据标普全球市场情报，美国五年期信用违约掉期从周三收盘的66个基点上涨至67个基点，是至少2011年以来的最高点。理论上，8月18日是财政部耗尽资金的关键日期。因此，拜登政府在此日期之前达成协议至关重要。可能的选择是：政治解决方案（与共和党达成协议，共和党要求减少联邦开支作为前提）；新债是在完全异常的情况下发行的（可能高于名义水平，但尚不可知市场对此会有何反应，尤其是谁会购买）；进一步的非常规措施（拜登可以援引第14条修正案来跟进联邦支付）。尽管可能有其他更具“创造性”的解决方案，但Investing分析师认为它们不值得给予重视。分析师指出，虽然每个人仍然关注通胀，但实际上，接下来市场走势的短期推动者将是美国债务上限僵局及其解决方案。在他看来，通胀将继续下降，尤其是在6月和7月，基数效应的影响将贡献大于1%的跌幅。不过，需要提醒的是，这些一如既往只是中长期投资者的干扰因素，但对于短线交易员来说，人性永远不会改变，关注债务上限危机是当务之急。高盛反口：美国债务上限截至日期近日，华尔街投行开始“吹风”债务上限截止日将提前到来。高盛就是其中之一。然而，周三，高盛集团称，本周出现意外强劲的税收收入降低了财政部最早在6月份面临联邦支付违约风险的可能性，7月底更有可能。该行表示，周二的税收数据出乎意料地高，比2022年同期高出14%。对此，高盛经济学家亚历克·菲利普斯（Alec Phillips）周三在给客户的一份报告中写道：“如果税收收入能够保持这种趋势，财政部应该能够在不提高债务上限的情况下继续支付所有预定的款项，直到7月底。”与此同时，在国会就提高债务上限展开的党派斗争中，没有任何妥协的迹象。众议院共和党人周三通过了一项法案，将其债务上限期限延长大约一年，同时削减未来几年的支出。但拜登和民主党人拒绝附加条件，并继续敦促通过一项直截了当的法案。菲利普斯说，该法案的通过可能会强化共和党坚持以削减支出为代价来提高债务上限的立场。假设7月下旬为最后期限，这些谈判可能要过几周，甚至更长的时间才能开始。“在我们看来，最有可能伴随债务上限提高的政策是‘对可自由支配支出设定上限’这低于众议院共和党的预期”，他说。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.65}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947993572,"gmtCreate":1682424853097,"gmtModify":1682424856588,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947993572","repostId":"1181662804","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944415526,"gmtCreate":1682005379466,"gmtModify":1682005382661,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944415526","repostId":"1162865594","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944530633,"gmtCreate":1681907630922,"gmtModify":1681907633553,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944530633","repostId":"1140494965","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140494965","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681903948,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140494965?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-19 19:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Morgan Stanley: Q1 revenue beats expectations, but total deposits fall short of expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140494965","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月19日，摩根士丹利盘前发布财报，财报显示：第一季度净营收145.2亿美元，预估140.7亿美元。摩根士丹利第一季度每股收益1.70美元。第一季度股票销售和交易业务营收27.3亿美元，预估28.6亿","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19, Morgan Stanley released its financial report before the market. The financial report showed that the net revenue in the first quarter was US $14.52 billion, compared with an estimated US $14.07 billion.</p><p>Morgan Stanley earned $1.70 per share in the first quarter.</p><p>In the first quarter, stock sales and trading business revenue was US $2.73 billion, compared with an estimate of US $2.86 billion.</p><p>In the first quarter, the sales and trading revenue of fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities business was US $2.58 billion, compared with an estimated US $2.42 billion.</p><p>Non-interest expense in the first quarter was $10.52 billion, compared with an estimate of $10.12 billion.</p><p>Compensation expenses in the first quarter were $6.41 billion, compared with an estimate of $6.07 billion.</p><p>Non-compensation expenses in the first quarter were $4.11 billion, compared with an estimate of $4.09 billion.</p><p>Assets under management in the first quarter were $1.36 trillion, compared with an estimate of $1.33 trillion.</p><p>Total deposits in the first quarter were $347.52 billion, compared with market forecasts of $352.17 billion.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3df79d2ba857cda7f345e7aa39630a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"728\"/></p><p>After the earnings report was released, Morgan Stanley fell more than 2% before the market.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77cb9299a351c7228a81668c17136ca8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"497\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: Q1 revenue beats expectations, but total deposits fall short of expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: Q1 revenue beats expectations, but total deposits fall short of expectations\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-19 19:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19, Morgan Stanley released its financial report before the market. The financial report showed that the net revenue in the first quarter was US $14.52 billion, compared with an estimated US $14.07 billion.</p><p>Morgan Stanley earned $1.70 per share in the first quarter.</p><p>In the first quarter, stock sales and trading business revenue was US $2.73 billion, compared with an estimate of US $2.86 billion.</p><p>In the first quarter, the sales and trading revenue of fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities business was US $2.58 billion, compared with an estimated US $2.42 billion.</p><p>Non-interest expense in the first quarter was $10.52 billion, compared with an estimate of $10.12 billion.</p><p>Compensation expenses in the first quarter were $6.41 billion, compared with an estimate of $6.07 billion.</p><p>Non-compensation expenses in the first quarter were $4.11 billion, compared with an estimate of $4.09 billion.</p><p>Assets under management in the first quarter were $1.36 trillion, compared with an estimate of $1.33 trillion.</p><p>Total deposits in the first quarter were $347.52 billion, compared with market forecasts of $352.17 billion.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3df79d2ba857cda7f345e7aa39630a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"728\"/></p><p>After the earnings report was released, Morgan Stanley fell more than 2% before the market.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77cb9299a351c7228a81668c17136ca8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"497\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140494965","content_text":"4月19日，摩根士丹利盘前发布财报，财报显示：第一季度净营收145.2亿美元，预估140.7亿美元。摩根士丹利第一季度每股收益1.70美元。第一季度股票销售和交易业务营收27.3亿美元，预估28.6亿美元。第一季度固定收益、外汇和大宗商品业务销售和交易营收25.8亿美元，预估24.2亿美元。第一季度非利息支出105.2亿美元，预估101.2亿美元。第一季度薪酬费用64.1亿美元，预估60.7亿美元。第一季度非薪酬支出41.1亿美元，预估40.9亿美元。第一季度管理资产1.36万亿美元，预估1.33万亿美元。第一季度总存款为3475.2亿美元，市场预测为3521.7亿美元。财报发布后，摩根士丹利盘前跌超2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944530378,"gmtCreate":1681907569195,"gmtModify":1681907572696,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944530378","repostId":"2328783312","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944694305,"gmtCreate":1681818592808,"gmtModify":1681818596261,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944694305","repostId":"1125440795","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1125440795","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681817436,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125440795?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-18 19:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Lockheed Martin's first-quarter revenue was $15.1 billion, slightly exceeding expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125440795","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"Q1 净利润（亿美元）： 17，预期：15.36，前值：17.33。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Lockheed Martin's revenue in the first quarter of 2023 (US $100 million): 151, expected: 150.28, previous value: 149.64.</p><p>Net profit in the first quarter (US $100 million): 17, expected: 15.36, previous value: 17.33.</p><p>First quarter EPS: $6.61, expected: $6.057, previous value: $6.44.</p><p>Lockheed Martin's pre-market stock price rose rapidly in the short term, turning from falling to rising.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bcce1a714321ac406ff7f02dc397b6f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"764\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lockheed Martin's first-quarter revenue was $15.1 billion, slightly exceeding expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLockheed Martin's first-quarter revenue was $15.1 billion, slightly exceeding expectations\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-18 19:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Lockheed Martin's revenue in the first quarter of 2023 (US $100 million): 151, expected: 150.28, previous value: 149.64.</p><p>Net profit in the first quarter (US $100 million): 17, expected: 15.36, previous value: 17.33.</p><p>First quarter EPS: $6.61, expected: $6.057, previous value: $6.44.</p><p>Lockheed Martin's pre-market stock price rose rapidly in the short term, turning from falling to rising.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bcce1a714321ac406ff7f02dc397b6f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1383\" tg-height=\"764\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c278da3656f121b0bf93d422677e9201","relate_stocks":{"LMT":"洛克希德马丁"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125440795","content_text":"洛克希德马丁2023年一季度营收（亿美元）： 151，预期：150.28，前值：149.64。一季度净利润（亿美元）： 17，预期：15.36，前值：17.33。一季度EPS： $6.61，预期：$6.057，前值：$6.44。洛克希德马丁盘前股价短线快速拉升，由跌转涨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944346140,"gmtCreate":1681724291180,"gmtModify":1681724295678,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944346140","repostId":"1135442671","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1135442671","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681206474,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135442671?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 17:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Financial report preview | How long can Tesla's price reduction dividend last, and will it \"backlash\" itself?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135442671","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"特斯拉频繁的降价行动令分析人士更加关注其第一季度的毛利率。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>The financial report for the first quarter of 2023 ending March 31 will be released after the market closes on April 19, Eastern Time (April 20, Beijing time).</p><p>In the past 2022, Tesla delivered a total of 1.31 million vehicles worldwide, an increase of 40% compared to 2021; The production volume was 1.37 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 47%, but none of them reached the annual growth target of 50%.</p><p><strong>The market currently generally expects the company to have revenue of US $23.46 billion in the first quarter, adjusted profit of US $3.057 billion, and earnings per share of US $0.86.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A stronger-than-expected result would indicate Tesla's \"cost advantage position\" and potential input cost decline, but if Q1 results fall in line or below expectations, it would imply overcapacity or aging products, which would put its stock price at risk. More importantly, frequent price cuts have led analysts to pay more attention to the electric car maker's gross profit margin in the first quarter.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f14e3cd0b9cf7c3134cc1be1537b19\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Deliveries in the first quarter: Is the price reduction effect sustainable?</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tesla delivered worldwide in Q1 2023<strong>More than 422,000 vehicles broke the delivery record in a single quarter.</strong></p><p>The report shows that in the first quarter of 2023, Tesla produced 440,808 electric vehicles worldwide and delivered 422,875 units. Among them, Model S and Model X produced 19,437 units and delivered 10,695 units; Production of Model 3 and Model Y was 421,371 units, and deliveries were 412,180 units.</p><p>Compared with the same period last year, Tesla's total production in the first quarter increased by 44% year-on-year, and deliveries increased by 36% year-on-year, which was 6.69 times the delivery volume in the same period in 2019.</p><p>The delivery report shows that Tesla will continue to transition to \"more balanced mass production for different regional markets\", including Model S/X models that are being shipped to EMEA (Europe/Middle East/Africa) and Asia-Pacific.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/206ca2a9f22472a9e476b926b9c14c33\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Musk's annual sales target of 1.8-2 million vehicles was not bad in the first quarter. But what cannot be ignored is that in the Chinese market, the core position of its production and sales, this year's automobile market is facing more intense competition, and Tesla also needs to respond more flexibly.</p><p>According to industry analysts,<strong>The growth of Tesla's deliveries is closely related to the price cuts at the beginning of this year, and the direct reason for the price cuts is to stimulate demand.</strong>In January this year, Tesla lowered the prices of models on sale in both China and the global market, with an overall drop of 9%.</p><p>On April 6, local time, Tesla once again lowered the prices of its models on sale in the United States, lowering the prices of all models by 2% to 6%. This is the automaker's fifth price cut since January, with the most significant decline in high-end models. The price cut of the more popular Model Y also reached 4% to $52,990.</p><p>At the same time, Tesla also announced that it will adjust the prices of Model 3 and Model Y in Hong Kong on April 15. The largest price adjustment reduction is Model 3 Performance, with a range of as much as 14.7%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tesla previously launched a price war in the United States, which analysts saw as a positive signal of the company's efforts to boost sales.</p><p>According to Tesla's goal, it will increase production by more than 10 times to 20 million vehicles/year by 2030. However, the longest sales cycle of Tesla's Model 3/Y and other models currently on sale is 6-7 years, and there has been no mid-term facelift. As market competition intensifies, Tesla's products are facing more severe challenges.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ed93f64aaf0be3e65df77daffd77f9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"597\" tg-height=\"712\"/></p><p><strong>Positive factors: new low-end models are on the horizon</strong></p><p>Recently, there has been market news that Tesla is planning a grand production capacity map for its new low-priced models. \"This low-priced model is a small Model Y.\" The source said,<strong>\"Tesla is building an annual production capacity plan of up to 4 million vehicles for it.\"</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is understood that this is an early production capacity strategy, and Tesla is passing on to the industrial chain:<strong>The production capacity of 4 million vehicles will be distributed in factories around the world, of which the super factory in North America will undertake 2 million vehicles, and the Berlin factory in Germany and the Lingang factory in Shanghai will undertake 1 million vehicles respectively. Among the North American factories, the Monterrey factory in Mexico will be the main production capacity of this new model.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At this year's Investor Day, Tesla revealed the Monterrey factory in Mexico. Since then, some media reported that the factory covers an area of nearly 4,200 acres, which is 68% more than the 2,500 acres of the Texas factory. It is also about 20 times the area of the Shanghai factory.</p><p>If a Tesla car sells for 150,000 yuan, it may obviously set off another sales frenzy.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d883a08243beba49992da0458236253e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"/></p><p><strong>Unfavorable factors: U.S. electric vehicle tax rebate policy changes again</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Last Friday, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service announced new electric vehicle tax credit details. Various car companies found that unless a workaround is found, the result is likely to be:<strong>From April 18, when the new system comes into effect, the tax credits enjoyed by electric vehicles will be significantly reduced.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ford said its Mustang Mach-E and E-Transit will be eligible for a $3,750 electric vehicle tax credit starting April 18, down from the current $7,500, after losing half of the tax credits because they did not meet domestic battery purchase requirements.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">From April 18, out of the $7,500 tax credit<strong>Half of that will depend on whether the battery components are mainly made in North America</strong>，<strong>The other half depends on whether the battery minerals are mainly sourced from the United States' free trade partners</strong>。 In the next five years, if you want to qualify for tax credits, the proportion of the above-mentioned components and minerals in automobile batteries will be further increased from 50% and 40% respectively.</p><p><strong>Big bank rating</strong></p><p><strong>Wedbush Securities: Outperform Rating, $225 Price Target</strong></p><p>Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities, a well-known Tesla bull analyst, maintained an \"outperform\" rating and a target price of $225 on Tesla stock. He said the Model Y/3 price cuts announced in early 2023 have \"paid handsome dividends\" for Tesla, and demand appears to be stable despite macroeconomic uncertainties. Whether Tesla's automotive gross profit margin can exceed 20% remains a key threshold in the next few quarters.</p><p><strong>Baird: Overweight Rating, $252 Price Target</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Baird said it believes Tesla will be able to maintain industry-leading operating margins and is best positioned among its automotive peers to weather economic headwinds. Maintain an Overweight rating and $252 price target on Tesla stock.</p><p><strong>Bernstein: Underperform Rating, $150 Price Target</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bernstein said Tesla's price cuts were not surprising, but the timing and details were \"a bit surprising\" and may continue to cut prices in other markets around the world. The agency said the price cuts reflected Tesla's need to stimulate market demand. Maintain an underperform rating and a $150 price target on Tesla stock.</p><p><strong>Wolfe Research: Peer Performance Rating</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Wolfe Research analyst Rod Lache said that while the U.S. price cuts may raise questions about demand for cars, Tesla \"will significantly reduce costs in the future.\" The company said investors may have underestimated the new investment in Tesla Energy. Maintaining a Peer Perform rating on Tesla stock, investors should not be surprised if the price cut triggers a negative short-term reaction to the stock price.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Financial report preview | How long can Tesla's price reduction dividend last, and will it \"backlash\" itself?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFinancial report preview | How long can Tesla's price reduction dividend last, and will it \"backlash\" itself?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-11 17:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>The financial report for the first quarter of 2023 ending March 31 will be released after the market closes on April 19, Eastern Time (April 20, Beijing time).</p><p>In the past 2022, Tesla delivered a total of 1.31 million vehicles worldwide, an increase of 40% compared to 2021; The production volume was 1.37 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 47%, but none of them reached the annual growth target of 50%.</p><p><strong>The market currently generally expects the company to have revenue of US $23.46 billion in the first quarter, adjusted profit of US $3.057 billion, and earnings per share of US $0.86.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A stronger-than-expected result would indicate Tesla's \"cost advantage position\" and potential input cost decline, but if Q1 results fall in line or below expectations, it would imply overcapacity or aging products, which would put its stock price at risk. More importantly, frequent price cuts have led analysts to pay more attention to the electric car maker's gross profit margin in the first quarter.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40f14e3cd0b9cf7c3134cc1be1537b19\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>Deliveries in the first quarter: Is the price reduction effect sustainable?</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tesla delivered worldwide in Q1 2023<strong>More than 422,000 vehicles broke the delivery record in a single quarter.</strong></p><p>The report shows that in the first quarter of 2023, Tesla produced 440,808 electric vehicles worldwide and delivered 422,875 units. Among them, Model S and Model X produced 19,437 units and delivered 10,695 units; Production of Model 3 and Model Y was 421,371 units, and deliveries were 412,180 units.</p><p>Compared with the same period last year, Tesla's total production in the first quarter increased by 44% year-on-year, and deliveries increased by 36% year-on-year, which was 6.69 times the delivery volume in the same period in 2019.</p><p>The delivery report shows that Tesla will continue to transition to \"more balanced mass production for different regional markets\", including Model S/X models that are being shipped to EMEA (Europe/Middle East/Africa) and Asia-Pacific.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/206ca2a9f22472a9e476b926b9c14c33\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Musk's annual sales target of 1.8-2 million vehicles was not bad in the first quarter. But what cannot be ignored is that in the Chinese market, the core position of its production and sales, this year's automobile market is facing more intense competition, and Tesla also needs to respond more flexibly.</p><p>According to industry analysts,<strong>The growth of Tesla's deliveries is closely related to the price cuts at the beginning of this year, and the direct reason for the price cuts is to stimulate demand.</strong>In January this year, Tesla lowered the prices of models on sale in both China and the global market, with an overall drop of 9%.</p><p>On April 6, local time, Tesla once again lowered the prices of its models on sale in the United States, lowering the prices of all models by 2% to 6%. This is the automaker's fifth price cut since January, with the most significant decline in high-end models. The price cut of the more popular Model Y also reached 4% to $52,990.</p><p>At the same time, Tesla also announced that it will adjust the prices of Model 3 and Model Y in Hong Kong on April 15. The largest price adjustment reduction is Model 3 Performance, with a range of as much as 14.7%.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tesla previously launched a price war in the United States, which analysts saw as a positive signal of the company's efforts to boost sales.</p><p>According to Tesla's goal, it will increase production by more than 10 times to 20 million vehicles/year by 2030. However, the longest sales cycle of Tesla's Model 3/Y and other models currently on sale is 6-7 years, and there has been no mid-term facelift. As market competition intensifies, Tesla's products are facing more severe challenges.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ed93f64aaf0be3e65df77daffd77f9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"597\" tg-height=\"712\"/></p><p><strong>Positive factors: new low-end models are on the horizon</strong></p><p>Recently, there has been market news that Tesla is planning a grand production capacity map for its new low-priced models. \"This low-priced model is a small Model Y.\" The source said,<strong>\"Tesla is building an annual production capacity plan of up to 4 million vehicles for it.\"</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is understood that this is an early production capacity strategy, and Tesla is passing on to the industrial chain:<strong>The production capacity of 4 million vehicles will be distributed in factories around the world, of which the super factory in North America will undertake 2 million vehicles, and the Berlin factory in Germany and the Lingang factory in Shanghai will undertake 1 million vehicles respectively. Among the North American factories, the Monterrey factory in Mexico will be the main production capacity of this new model.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At this year's Investor Day, Tesla revealed the Monterrey factory in Mexico. Since then, some media reported that the factory covers an area of nearly 4,200 acres, which is 68% more than the 2,500 acres of the Texas factory. It is also about 20 times the area of the Shanghai factory.</p><p>If a Tesla car sells for 150,000 yuan, it may obviously set off another sales frenzy.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d883a08243beba49992da0458236253e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\"/></p><p><strong>Unfavorable factors: U.S. electric vehicle tax rebate policy changes again</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Last Friday, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service announced new electric vehicle tax credit details. Various car companies found that unless a workaround is found, the result is likely to be:<strong>From April 18, when the new system comes into effect, the tax credits enjoyed by electric vehicles will be significantly reduced.</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ford said its Mustang Mach-E and E-Transit will be eligible for a $3,750 electric vehicle tax credit starting April 18, down from the current $7,500, after losing half of the tax credits because they did not meet domestic battery purchase requirements.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">From April 18, out of the $7,500 tax credit<strong>Half of that will depend on whether the battery components are mainly made in North America</strong>，<strong>The other half depends on whether the battery minerals are mainly sourced from the United States' free trade partners</strong>。 In the next five years, if you want to qualify for tax credits, the proportion of the above-mentioned components and minerals in automobile batteries will be further increased from 50% and 40% respectively.</p><p><strong>Big bank rating</strong></p><p><strong>Wedbush Securities: Outperform Rating, $225 Price Target</strong></p><p>Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities, a well-known Tesla bull analyst, maintained an \"outperform\" rating and a target price of $225 on Tesla stock. He said the Model Y/3 price cuts announced in early 2023 have \"paid handsome dividends\" for Tesla, and demand appears to be stable despite macroeconomic uncertainties. Whether Tesla's automotive gross profit margin can exceed 20% remains a key threshold in the next few quarters.</p><p><strong>Baird: Overweight Rating, $252 Price Target</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Baird said it believes Tesla will be able to maintain industry-leading operating margins and is best positioned among its automotive peers to weather economic headwinds. Maintain an Overweight rating and $252 price target on Tesla stock.</p><p><strong>Bernstein: Underperform Rating, $150 Price Target</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bernstein said Tesla's price cuts were not surprising, but the timing and details were \"a bit surprising\" and may continue to cut prices in other markets around the world. The agency said the price cuts reflected Tesla's need to stimulate market demand. Maintain an underperform rating and a $150 price target on Tesla stock.</p><p><strong>Wolfe Research: Peer Performance Rating</strong></p><p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Wolfe Research analyst Rod Lache said that while the U.S. price cuts may raise questions about demand for cars, Tesla \"will significantly reduce costs in the future.\" The company said investors may have underestimated the new investment in Tesla Energy. Maintaining a Peer Perform rating on Tesla stock, investors should not be surprised if the price cut triggers a negative short-term reaction to the stock price.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135442671","content_text":"特斯拉将于美国东部时间4月19日收盘后（北京时间4月20日）发布截至3月31日的2023年第一季度财报。在过去的2022年，特斯拉全球共计交付汽车131万辆，相比2021年增长40%；生产量为137万辆，同比增长47%，但均未达到50%的年增长量目标。市场目前普遍预计该公司一季度的营收为234.6亿美元，调整后利润为30.57亿美元，每股收益为0.86美元。强于预期的结果将表明特斯拉的“成本优势地位”和潜在的投入成本下降，但如果第一季度的结果与预期持平或低于预期，则意味着产能过剩或产品老化，这将使其股价面临风险。尤其重要的是，频繁的降价行动令分析人士更加关注这家电动汽车制造商一季度的毛利率情况。一季度交付量：降价效应可持续吗？特斯拉2023年第一季度在全球交付超过42.2万辆汽车，打破了单季度的交付纪录。报告显示，2023年第一季度，特斯拉在全球生产电动车440808台，交付422875台。其中，Model S和Model X生产19437台，交付10695台；Model 3和Model Y的产量为421371台，交付量为412180台。与去年同期相比，特斯拉第一季度总产量同比增长44%，交付量同比增长36%，是2019年同期交付量的6.69倍。交付报告中显示，特斯拉将继续向“针对不同区域市场更加均衡的批量生产”过渡，其中包括正在运往EMEA地区（欧洲/中东/非洲)以及亚太地区的Model S/X车型。马斯克定下的全年180-200万辆的销量目标，第一季度完成得不差。但不容忽视的是，在其产销的核心阵地——中国市场，今年的汽车市场正迎来更为激烈的竞争，特斯拉也需要更灵活地应对。业内分析认为，特斯拉交付量增长与今年年初的降价活动密切相关，而降价的直接原因则是为了刺激需求。今年1月，特斯拉在中国和全球市场均调低了在售车型价格，整体降幅达到9%。当地时间4月6日，特斯拉再次下调了其美国在售车型的售价，将所有车型的价格下调了2%至6%，这是该汽车制造商自1月份以来的第五次降价，其中高端车型的降幅最为显著。较受欢迎的Model Y降价幅度也达到了4%，降至52990美元。与此同时，特斯拉还宣布将于4月15日调整香港地区Model 3和Model Y的售价，价格调整减幅最大的是Model 3 Performance，幅度多达14.7%。此前特斯拉发起在美国的价格战，分析师们都将其视为该公司努力提振销量的积极信号。根据特斯拉的目标，到2030年将产量提高10倍以上，达到2000万辆/年。不过，目前特斯拉在售的Model 3/Y等车型最长销售周期达6-7年，且一直没有进行中期改款。随着市场竞争的加剧，特斯拉的产品面临着更为严峻的挑战。积极因素：新低级车型呼之欲出最近传出市场消息，特斯拉正在为其新的低价车型，规划一副宏大的产能版图。“这款低价车型是一个小号Model Y。”消息人士称，“特斯拉正在为其构建一个高达400万辆的年产能计划。”据了解这是一项早期的产能策略，特斯拉正在向产业链传递：400万辆产能会分布在全球工厂，其中，北美的超级工厂将承担200万辆，德国柏林工厂和上海临港工厂分别承担100万辆。而在北美工厂当中，墨西哥的蒙特雷工厂会是这款新车型的产能主力。在今年投资者日上，特斯拉揭秘了墨西哥的蒙特雷工厂，此后，有媒体报道称，该工厂占地近4200英亩，这比德克萨斯州工厂的2500英亩多出68%，也是上海工厂面积的约20倍。如果一款特斯拉汽车卖到15万元，显然可能再次掀起销量狂潮。不利因素：美国电动车退税政策再生变上周五，美国财政部和国税局公布了新的电动汽车税收抵免细则，各家车企发现，除非找到变通方法，否则结果很可能是：从4月18日新制度生效起，电动汽车享受的税收抵免将大幅减少。福特公司表示，从4月18日开始，其 Mustang Mach-E 和 E-Transit 将有资格获得3750美元的电动汽车税收抵免，低于目前的 7500 美元，因为不符合国内电池采购要求而损失了一半的税收抵免。从4月18日起，7500美元的税收抵免额中有一半将取决于电池组件是否主要由北美制造，另一半取决于电池矿物是否主要来源于美国的自自由贸易伙伴。未来五年，想要符合税收抵免资格，汽车电池中上述组件及矿物占比将分别从50%和40%进一步提高。大行评级韦德布什证券：跑赢大盘评级，目标价225美元知名特斯拉多头分析师、韦德布什证券公司的丹·艾夫斯维持对特斯拉股票的“跑赢大盘”评级和225美元的目标价。他表示，2023年初宣布的Model Y/3降价为特斯拉“带来了丰厚的红利”，尽管宏观经济不确定，但需求似乎很稳定。未来几个季度，特斯拉的汽车毛利率能否超过20%仍是关键门槛。贝尔德：增持评级，目标价252美元贝尔德表示，相信特斯拉将能够保持行业领先的营业利润率，并且在汽车同行中处于最佳位置以抵御经济逆风。维持对特斯拉股票的增持评级和252美元的目标价。伯恩斯坦：表现不佳评级，150美元目标价伯恩斯坦表示，特斯拉降价并不令人意外，但时间和细节“有点令人惊讶”，可能在全球其它市场继续降价。该机构表示，降价反映了特斯拉刺激市场需求的需要。维持特斯拉股票的表现不佳评级和150美元的目标价。Wolfe Research：同业表现评级Wolfe Research 分析师 Rod Lache 表示，虽然美国的降价可能会引发对汽车需求的质疑，但特斯拉“未来会大幅降低成本”。该公司表示，投资者可能低估了对特斯拉能源的新投资。保持对特斯拉股票的同业表现评级，如果降价引发股价负面短期反应，投资者不应感到惊讶。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944991302,"gmtCreate":1681659057306,"gmtModify":1681659061277,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944991302","repostId":"1102189876","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102189876","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"格隆汇旗下公众号。分享和探讨港股、美国中概股以及少量估值确有吸引力之A股的投资线索、投资机会与投资心得.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"格隆汇投资学苑","id":"3","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d7d04eb4f16b0013ed2c39f71b84b6c"},"pubTimestamp":1681641413,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102189876?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-16 18:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Don't miss this bull market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102189876","media":"格隆汇投资学苑","summary":"经济似乎还略显冷意，但股市已经迫不及待要热起来。经过一个多月的调整，上周五上证指数再一次逼近3月7日的高位，并显示要突破的态势，而A股成交额更是连续9个交易日超越1万亿。无独有偶，即使是深受美国经济衰","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The economy still seems a little chilly, but the stock market can't wait to heat up.</p><p>After more than a month's adjustment, the Shanghai Composite Index once again approached the high of March 7th last Friday, showing a breakthrough trend, and the turnover of A shares exceeded 1 trillion for nine consecutive trading days.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf2ddeaaf9c0cf410a1d4bebe3f835e3\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>Coincidentally, even the S&P index, which is deeply affected by the U.S. economic recession, has quietly approached its February 2nd high.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182ff406e03a8e27b8016acc2b1653c4\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>The stock market has the most sensitive sense of smell, and capital will not deceive people. The fact that it continues to attack upward has already explained the problem.</p><p>That's our simple view of the market in 2023:<strong>Don't miss this bull run.</strong></p><p><strong>Macroscopic surface</strong></p><p>Every bull market occurs, with a super trough as the premise.</p><p>What a trough 2022 is, every investor can feel it. With repeated epidemics, economic downturn, constant peripheral wars, and crazy rate hike, the capital market is really miserable.</p><p>But everything will come to an end, and several big macro risks have basically reversed or are about to reverse. The first is the Russia-Ukraine war, the capital market has long been blunted, and the second is that the epidemic has become irrelevant. The only thing that is bad now is the global rate hike, especially the official end of the Federal Reserve. Fortunately, the end of this is clearly visible, only the official announcement of the May meeting is missing.</p><p>There are two basic factors affecting the stock market, one is<strong>Economic fundamentals,</strong>One is<strong>Liquidity.</strong></p><p><strong>Domestic economic fundamentals, recovery is a foregone conclusion,</strong>On the surface, the domestic macroeconomic data doesn't seem to be too exciting, but signs of improvement are showing step by step, especially at the consumption level. \"May Day\" is approaching, and the reservation data of tourist air tickets and hotels strengthen the logic of consumption recovery. Now the market is waiting for the macroeconomic data for the first quarter of 2023 to be released two days later. Considering that there was a round of national infections after the epidemic was released at the beginning of the year, the data may not be very strong, but it is basically foreseeable. This should be regarded as the bottom of this year.</p><p><strong>Externally, there is a high probability that the U.S. economic recession will occur.</strong>It will have a negative effect on China's exports. Because as China's third largest trading partner, under such difficult circumstances in 2022, China's exports to the United States are still as high as US $536.8 billion. However, China itself is also expanding its ties with other economies around the world, trying to hedge the negative influence of the United States. In the long run, even if the U.S. recession is scheduled, according to the forecast of Fed officials, the impact will mainly be this year, and it will recover in the next two years. Therefore, it will basically be fine to survive this year.</p><p>As for China's economic fundamentals, there will indeed be some disturbances in the short term, but there is really no reason to be pessimistic in the medium and long term, and it is impossible to drop to last year's low. Even if some deep-seated problems, such as the game between big powers and technological innovation, will not be solved immediately, fortunately, these problems will not worsen again, and the country is trying to break through step by step.</p><p><strong>In terms of liquidity, China's CPI remained at a low level, only 0.7% in March, which seems to indicate that the economy still needs a stronger recovery, but on the other hand, it adds more possibilities to stimulate the economy and continue to loosen money.</strong>In fact, the monetary level has seen obvious easing, especially the social financing and M2 data released not long ago, but it takes time to transmit from the monetary level to the economy. In addition, the aggressive rate hike of the Federal Reserve is coming to an end step by step, which also provides more room for our monetary policy to display.</p><p>The macro economy is in the recovery channel, the general direction of liquidity is loose, and the stock market is bullish, which has the most basic support.</p><p><strong>Microscopic plane</strong></p><p>At the micro level, it is mainly the profit of enterprises, which coincides with the collective disclosure of the quarterly report of listed companies.</p><p>As of today, more than 200 A-share companies have disclosed their first-quarter performance forecasts. Among them, consumer stocks Langzi and Yanjing Beer have grown very strongly. Among them, the net profit attributable to the parent company of Langzi has increased by 377-566 times year-on-year, and Yanjing Beer has increased by 71-75 times year-on-year. Although it seems extreme, it also represents the strong rebound of consumer stocks from being suppressed by the epidemic last year to the release of the epidemic this year. And<strong>Technology stocks represented by semiconductors also showed a strong growth trend.</strong>A typical example is North Huachuang, a semiconductor equipment manufacturer, whose net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase by 1.71--2 times year-on-year.</p><p>In the article at the beginning of the year, we mentioned investment opportunities in semiconductors many times, but at that time, it was mainly based on the fact that the inventory cycle of semiconductors bottomed out in the first half of this year and entered an upward channel in the second half of this year, speculating on the logic of cycle reversal. The subsequent chatGPT craze has accelerated the cycle reversal of semiconductors. More importantly, the popularity of chatGPT also marks that a new round of technological revolution led by AI has entered the fast lane, which can be compared to mechanization, electrification and informatization. Moreover, the technological revolution larger than them has brought new growth space to the technology industry including semiconductors, and the prelude to a new blue ocean has slowly unfolded.</p><p>This is also the reason why we keep repeating the main line of investment this year, and the digital economy must be the biggest one.</p><p>In the past, China basically followed others in science and technology, but this time, China is the most promising leader, because the digital economy has been established as an industry that the country focuses on developing and supporting. More importantly, China's strength in the digital economy has been greatly improved. Even though there is still a gap with the United States in some key technical fields, compared with most countries in the world, its advantages are still obvious.</p><p>Although there are many companies with rubbing concepts in A-shares, on the whole, in this technological revolution, there is a high probability that there will be corresponding real bull stocks in China, which undoubtedly provides a greater possibility for the stock market to go bull. At least from the perspective of funds, this technological revolution with broad growth prospects and expected returns can easily attract incremental funds into the stock market.</p><p>As investors, you need to pay more attention to this quarterly report, because it will not only confirm the recovery of the domestic economy, but also become an important basis for predicting the next economy and the performance of listed companies, and it will also be evidence to verify the entry of incremental funds into the stock market. Although it has not yet been fully announced, it is not advisable to draw premature conclusions, but given that there is no epidemic disturbance this year, at least it is certain that overall compared with the same period last year, it will only be better than worse.</p><p>And if the final result is indeed like this, it is only a matter of time before the Shanghai Stock Exchange breaks through the previous month's high.</p><p><strong>There is no suspense in the bullish market outlook</strong></p><p>There is a famous saying in the investment world:<strong>The future is more important than the past.</strong></p><p>It means that the stock market is rising or falling, and the most important thing is expectation.</p><p>In the past year on review, there is one thing that the author has experienced the most deeply. It happened in October last year. U.S. stocks fell to the low point of the year, and A-share Hong Kong stocks also bottomed out that month.</p><p>If you look at it from a simple linear thinking, the federal interest rate in the United States was not very high at that time, and the economy was still very strong, but why did it fall to a low level early? However, the pressure of the domestic epidemic situation and the economic pressure are so great that there was even a crisis of confidence in foreign capital. The rapid decline is understandable, but why did it rebound strongly within a few days? Shouldn't it continue to fall?</p><p><strong>In fact, the stock market has another characteristic, that is, it responds to the real economy in advance. This reaction usually takes half a year, and the process will be affected by other factors, which can be accelerated or slowed down.</strong></p><p>The bottom of the Sino-US stock markets in October last year was affected by this law, and now it has been verified step by step. First of all, the rate hike behavior of the United States. If it ends as scheduled in May this year, it will be exactly half a year from October last year; Secondly, China. That rapid decline did play a role in bottoming out in advance. Of course, the release of the epidemic in November was the most important factor in the rebound of the stock market. If the lockdown continues, the rebound will not come so soon.</p><p>But no matter what, if you want the stock market, whether it is A-shares, Hong Kong stocks or U.S. stocks, to return to the bottom of last year, the possibility is not high. Not to mention the domestic economy recovering and loose liquidity, even if U.S. stocks enter the \"profit-killing\" stage, unless the performance of listed companies collapses on a large scale, it is difficult to happen. When bank stocks thundered in March, it triggered a round of panic, but so far, there has been no expected collapse. Instead, the performance of big banks like JPMorgan Chase has increased significantly. In terms of indexes, the most injured Dow Jones has a volatility of around 10%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 are far below 10%, and all three major indexes have fully recovered their losses in March and rose a lot.</p><p>It can be said that the biggest macro risk now is only the economic recession in the United States. If the stock market reflects the future characteristics in advance, the current trading will be half a year later. In other words, the stock market is pricing in a recession half a year from now. Of course, whether it is fully priced remains to be announced by other economic, listed company data, and follow-up policies. If these data fall beyond expectations, the stock market will still follow suit. If it meets expectations, the stock market can be flat, but if it improves beyond expectations, A rebound will happen at any time.</p><p>If we use the two factors mentioned above-economic fundamentals and liquidity, the liquidity crunch of U.S. stocks is basically priced by the market, and the only difference is to wait for the economy to bottom out. China's situation is even better, because our economic fundamentals have bottomed out and are in the recovery stage.</p><p><strong>epilogue</strong></p><p>If last year was the collapse moment of the global capital market, then this year's upward resonance of the global capital market should be the most anticipated and highly likely thing.</p><p>Looking at it now, the signs of a bullish market outlook may not be obvious, because except for the AI sector, other sectors are still relatively low-key, requiring some catalytic factors and taking some time. But just as the wind starts at the end of Qingping and the waves become between slight waves, the stock market will not directly tell you that the bull market is coming, but since the expectations for the future are good and the valuation is at a low level, it is a good thing to keep a low profile. This is equivalent to giving investors the opportunity to get on the bus. If it has gone wild, there is no chance.</p><p>Chinese people often say that it is extremely prosperous, and the same is true in the stock market. If one sentence is enough for the investment strategy of this year's stock market, it is:</p><p><strong>Don't miss this bull run!</strong></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't miss this bull market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't miss this bull market\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d7d04eb4f16b0013ed2c39f71b84b6c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇投资学苑 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-16 18:36</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The economy still seems a little chilly, but the stock market can't wait to heat up.</p><p>After more than a month's adjustment, the Shanghai Composite Index once again approached the high of March 7th last Friday, showing a breakthrough trend, and the turnover of A shares exceeded 1 trillion for nine consecutive trading days.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf2ddeaaf9c0cf410a1d4bebe3f835e3\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>Coincidentally, even the S&P index, which is deeply affected by the U.S. economic recession, has quietly approached its February 2nd high.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182ff406e03a8e27b8016acc2b1653c4\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>The stock market has the most sensitive sense of smell, and capital will not deceive people. The fact that it continues to attack upward has already explained the problem.</p><p>That's our simple view of the market in 2023:<strong>Don't miss this bull run.</strong></p><p><strong>Macroscopic surface</strong></p><p>Every bull market occurs, with a super trough as the premise.</p><p>What a trough 2022 is, every investor can feel it. With repeated epidemics, economic downturn, constant peripheral wars, and crazy rate hike, the capital market is really miserable.</p><p>But everything will come to an end, and several big macro risks have basically reversed or are about to reverse. The first is the Russia-Ukraine war, the capital market has long been blunted, and the second is that the epidemic has become irrelevant. The only thing that is bad now is the global rate hike, especially the official end of the Federal Reserve. Fortunately, the end of this is clearly visible, only the official announcement of the May meeting is missing.</p><p>There are two basic factors affecting the stock market, one is<strong>Economic fundamentals,</strong>One is<strong>Liquidity.</strong></p><p><strong>Domestic economic fundamentals, recovery is a foregone conclusion,</strong>On the surface, the domestic macroeconomic data doesn't seem to be too exciting, but signs of improvement are showing step by step, especially at the consumption level. \"May Day\" is approaching, and the reservation data of tourist air tickets and hotels strengthen the logic of consumption recovery. Now the market is waiting for the macroeconomic data for the first quarter of 2023 to be released two days later. Considering that there was a round of national infections after the epidemic was released at the beginning of the year, the data may not be very strong, but it is basically foreseeable. This should be regarded as the bottom of this year.</p><p><strong>Externally, there is a high probability that the U.S. economic recession will occur.</strong>It will have a negative effect on China's exports. Because as China's third largest trading partner, under such difficult circumstances in 2022, China's exports to the United States are still as high as US $536.8 billion. However, China itself is also expanding its ties with other economies around the world, trying to hedge the negative influence of the United States. In the long run, even if the U.S. recession is scheduled, according to the forecast of Fed officials, the impact will mainly be this year, and it will recover in the next two years. Therefore, it will basically be fine to survive this year.</p><p>As for China's economic fundamentals, there will indeed be some disturbances in the short term, but there is really no reason to be pessimistic in the medium and long term, and it is impossible to drop to last year's low. Even if some deep-seated problems, such as the game between big powers and technological innovation, will not be solved immediately, fortunately, these problems will not worsen again, and the country is trying to break through step by step.</p><p><strong>In terms of liquidity, China's CPI remained at a low level, only 0.7% in March, which seems to indicate that the economy still needs a stronger recovery, but on the other hand, it adds more possibilities to stimulate the economy and continue to loosen money.</strong>In fact, the monetary level has seen obvious easing, especially the social financing and M2 data released not long ago, but it takes time to transmit from the monetary level to the economy. In addition, the aggressive rate hike of the Federal Reserve is coming to an end step by step, which also provides more room for our monetary policy to display.</p><p>The macro economy is in the recovery channel, the general direction of liquidity is loose, and the stock market is bullish, which has the most basic support.</p><p><strong>Microscopic plane</strong></p><p>At the micro level, it is mainly the profit of enterprises, which coincides with the collective disclosure of the quarterly report of listed companies.</p><p>As of today, more than 200 A-share companies have disclosed their first-quarter performance forecasts. Among them, consumer stocks Langzi and Yanjing Beer have grown very strongly. Among them, the net profit attributable to the parent company of Langzi has increased by 377-566 times year-on-year, and Yanjing Beer has increased by 71-75 times year-on-year. Although it seems extreme, it also represents the strong rebound of consumer stocks from being suppressed by the epidemic last year to the release of the epidemic this year. And<strong>Technology stocks represented by semiconductors also showed a strong growth trend.</strong>A typical example is North Huachuang, a semiconductor equipment manufacturer, whose net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase by 1.71--2 times year-on-year.</p><p>In the article at the beginning of the year, we mentioned investment opportunities in semiconductors many times, but at that time, it was mainly based on the fact that the inventory cycle of semiconductors bottomed out in the first half of this year and entered an upward channel in the second half of this year, speculating on the logic of cycle reversal. The subsequent chatGPT craze has accelerated the cycle reversal of semiconductors. More importantly, the popularity of chatGPT also marks that a new round of technological revolution led by AI has entered the fast lane, which can be compared to mechanization, electrification and informatization. Moreover, the technological revolution larger than them has brought new growth space to the technology industry including semiconductors, and the prelude to a new blue ocean has slowly unfolded.</p><p>This is also the reason why we keep repeating the main line of investment this year, and the digital economy must be the biggest one.</p><p>In the past, China basically followed others in science and technology, but this time, China is the most promising leader, because the digital economy has been established as an industry that the country focuses on developing and supporting. More importantly, China's strength in the digital economy has been greatly improved. Even though there is still a gap with the United States in some key technical fields, compared with most countries in the world, its advantages are still obvious.</p><p>Although there are many companies with rubbing concepts in A-shares, on the whole, in this technological revolution, there is a high probability that there will be corresponding real bull stocks in China, which undoubtedly provides a greater possibility for the stock market to go bull. At least from the perspective of funds, this technological revolution with broad growth prospects and expected returns can easily attract incremental funds into the stock market.</p><p>As investors, you need to pay more attention to this quarterly report, because it will not only confirm the recovery of the domestic economy, but also become an important basis for predicting the next economy and the performance of listed companies, and it will also be evidence to verify the entry of incremental funds into the stock market. Although it has not yet been fully announced, it is not advisable to draw premature conclusions, but given that there is no epidemic disturbance this year, at least it is certain that overall compared with the same period last year, it will only be better than worse.</p><p>And if the final result is indeed like this, it is only a matter of time before the Shanghai Stock Exchange breaks through the previous month's high.</p><p><strong>There is no suspense in the bullish market outlook</strong></p><p>There is a famous saying in the investment world:<strong>The future is more important than the past.</strong></p><p>It means that the stock market is rising or falling, and the most important thing is expectation.</p><p>In the past year on review, there is one thing that the author has experienced the most deeply. It happened in October last year. U.S. stocks fell to the low point of the year, and A-share Hong Kong stocks also bottomed out that month.</p><p>If you look at it from a simple linear thinking, the federal interest rate in the United States was not very high at that time, and the economy was still very strong, but why did it fall to a low level early? However, the pressure of the domestic epidemic situation and the economic pressure are so great that there was even a crisis of confidence in foreign capital. The rapid decline is understandable, but why did it rebound strongly within a few days? Shouldn't it continue to fall?</p><p><strong>In fact, the stock market has another characteristic, that is, it responds to the real economy in advance. This reaction usually takes half a year, and the process will be affected by other factors, which can be accelerated or slowed down.</strong></p><p>The bottom of the Sino-US stock markets in October last year was affected by this law, and now it has been verified step by step. First of all, the rate hike behavior of the United States. If it ends as scheduled in May this year, it will be exactly half a year from October last year; Secondly, China. That rapid decline did play a role in bottoming out in advance. Of course, the release of the epidemic in November was the most important factor in the rebound of the stock market. If the lockdown continues, the rebound will not come so soon.</p><p>But no matter what, if you want the stock market, whether it is A-shares, Hong Kong stocks or U.S. stocks, to return to the bottom of last year, the possibility is not high. Not to mention the domestic economy recovering and loose liquidity, even if U.S. stocks enter the \"profit-killing\" stage, unless the performance of listed companies collapses on a large scale, it is difficult to happen. When bank stocks thundered in March, it triggered a round of panic, but so far, there has been no expected collapse. Instead, the performance of big banks like JPMorgan Chase has increased significantly. In terms of indexes, the most injured Dow Jones has a volatility of around 10%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 are far below 10%, and all three major indexes have fully recovered their losses in March and rose a lot.</p><p>It can be said that the biggest macro risk now is only the economic recession in the United States. If the stock market reflects the future characteristics in advance, the current trading will be half a year later. In other words, the stock market is pricing in a recession half a year from now. Of course, whether it is fully priced remains to be announced by other economic, listed company data, and follow-up policies. If these data fall beyond expectations, the stock market will still follow suit. If it meets expectations, the stock market can be flat, but if it improves beyond expectations, A rebound will happen at any time.</p><p>If we use the two factors mentioned above-economic fundamentals and liquidity, the liquidity crunch of U.S. stocks is basically priced by the market, and the only difference is to wait for the economy to bottom out. China's situation is even better, because our economic fundamentals have bottomed out and are in the recovery stage.</p><p><strong>epilogue</strong></p><p>If last year was the collapse moment of the global capital market, then this year's upward resonance of the global capital market should be the most anticipated and highly likely thing.</p><p>Looking at it now, the signs of a bullish market outlook may not be obvious, because except for the AI sector, other sectors are still relatively low-key, requiring some catalytic factors and taking some time. But just as the wind starts at the end of Qingping and the waves become between slight waves, the stock market will not directly tell you that the bull market is coming, but since the expectations for the future are good and the valuation is at a low level, it is a good thing to keep a low profile. This is equivalent to giving investors the opportunity to get on the bus. If it has gone wild, there is no chance.</p><p>Chinese people often say that it is extremely prosperous, and the same is true in the stock market. If one sentence is enough for the investment strategy of this year's stock market, it is:</p><p><strong>Don't miss this bull run!</strong></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a3253accc7322a3db322a8557ee9834","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102189876","content_text":"经济似乎还略显冷意，但股市已经迫不及待要热起来。经过一个多月的调整，上周五上证指数再一次逼近3月7日的高位，并显示要突破的态势，而A股成交额更是连续9个交易日超越1万亿。无独有偶，即使是深受美国经济衰退影响的标普指数，也已经悄无声息地逼近2月2日的高位。股市的嗅觉最灵敏，资本也不会骗人，持续向上攻的事实，已经说明问题。那就是我们对于2023年市场的一个简单观点：不要错过这一轮牛市。宏观面每一轮牛市的发生，都有一个超级低谷作为前提。2022年是何等的低谷，每一个投资者都能感受得到。疫情反复、经济下滑，外围战事不断、加息疯狂，资本市场真的是苦不堪言。但任何事都会有了结的时刻，几个大的宏观风险，现在基本已经或者即将反转。首先是俄乌战争，资本市场早已钝化，其次是疫情也已经无关痛痒，现在唯一差的，就是全球的加息，尤其是美联储的正式结束。幸运的是，这个结束已经清晰可见，只差5月份会议的官宣。影响股市的两个基本因素，一个是经济基本面，一个是流动性。国内的经济基本面，复苏已成定局，表面上看国内的宏观经济数据似乎并没有太令人激动，但好转的迹象正在一步步呈现，特别是消费层面，“五一”将至，旅游机票酒店的预定数据增强了消费回暖的逻辑。现在市场都在等待两天后公布的2023年一季度的宏观经济数据，考虑到年初疫情放开后出现过一轮全民感染，数据未必很强劲，但基本也可以预见，这应该算是今年的底部了。外围方面，美国经济衰退大概率会出现，对于中国出口会有负面作用。因为作为中国第三大贸易伙伴，2022年如此艰难的情况下，中国出口美国依然高达5368亿美元。不过，中国本身也在扩大和全球其他经济体的联系，努力对冲美国的负面影响。而拉长时间看，即使美国衰退预约而至，根据美联储官员的预计，影响主要在今年，明后两年会走向复苏。所以，熬过今年基本也就没事了。对于中国经济基本面，短期看确实会有一些扰动，但中长期确实没有理由悲观，也不可能再下探到去年的低位。即使一些深层次的问题，例如大国博弈、科技创新，不会马上得到解决，可幸的是，这些问题也不至于再度恶化，而且国家也在努力一步步突围。流动性方面，中国的CPI维持在较低的位置，3月份只有0.7%，这似乎预示着经济仍有待更强劲的复苏，但反过来说，为刺激经济以及继续宽松货币增加更多的可能性。实际上，货币层面已经看到明显的宽松，特别是不久前公布的社融、M2数据，只不过从货币层面到经济的传导需要时间。另外，美联储的激进加息一步步走向终结，也为我们的货币政策提供更多的施展空间。宏观经济处于复苏通道，流动性的大方向是宽松，股市走牛，就有了最基本的支持。微观面微观层面，主要是企业的盈利，恰逢上市公司集体披露一季报。截至今天，A股披露一季度业绩预告的公司超过200家，其中消费股的朗姿股份、燕京啤酒增长非常强劲，其中朗姿股份归母净利润同比增长达到377-566倍，燕京啤酒同比增长71-75倍。虽然看上去极端，但也代表了消费股从去年被疫情压制，到今年放开疫情后强势的反弹态势。而以半导体为代表的科技股，同样显示出强劲的增长态势。典型的是半导体设备商北方华创，预计归母净利润同比增长1.71--2倍。在年初的文章中，我们就多次提及半导体的投资机会，不过彼时主要是基于半导体的库存周期在今年上半年见底，下半年进入上升通道，炒的是周期反转的逻辑。其后出现的chatGPT热潮，加速了半导体的周期反转，更重要的是，chatGPT的大热，也标志着以AI为首的新一轮技术革命进入快车道，这个可以比肩机械化、电气化和信息化，而且比它们规模更大的技术革命，给包括半导体在内的科技行业带来新的增长空间，一个新的蓝海序幕已经徐徐展开。这也是我们不断重复今年的投资主线，数字经济必定是最大的一个的理由。如果说以往中国在科技方面基本都是跟着别人走，但这一次，中国是最有希望成为其中一位领跑者，因为数字经济已经被确立为国家重点发展和扶持的产业，更重要的是，中国在数字经济方面的实力已经大大提高，即使在一些关键技术领域和美国尚有差距，但和全球大部分国家相比，优势还是很明显。虽然A股上也存在不少蹭概念的公司，但总体上看，这一个技术革命，中国出现相对应的真牛股是大概率的，这无疑也为股市走牛提供了更大的可能性。至少从资金面上看，这种拥有广阔增长前景和预期收益的技术革命，是很容易吸引增量资金进入股市的。作为投资者，需要更多地关注这一次的季报，因为这不但会印证国内经济的复苏程度，也会成为预测接下来经济以及上市公司业绩的重要依据，还是验证增量资金进入股市的证据。虽然现在尚未全部公布，过早下结论不可取，但鉴于今年没有已经没有疫情扰动，至少可以肯定，整体上比起去年同期，只会好不会差。而如果最后的结果确实如此的话，上证突围前月高点，只是时间问题。后市走牛无悬念投资界有句名言：未来比过去重要。意思是，股市后面是涨是跌，最重要的是预期。复盘过去一年，有一点是笔者体会最为深刻的，都发生去年10月，美股跌入年内低点，A股港股也是在那个月见底。如果简单的线性思维去看，那时美国的联邦利率并没有很高，经济也还很强劲，但为何早早就跌入低位呢？而国内疫情压力、经济压力又那么大，甚至一度传出外资出现信心危机，快速下跌可以理解，但为何没过几天就强力反弹了呢？难道不应该继续下跌吗？实际上，股市还有另一个特征，就是提前对实体经济做出反应，这种反应通常以半年为常，而且过程当中还会受其他因素的影响，可以加快也可以减慢。去年10月份中美股市的底部，就受到这个规律的影响，现在也一步步得到验证，首先是美国的加息行为，如果今年5月份如期结束，距离去年10月份，正好半年；其次是中国，那一次快速下跌，确实起到了提前见底的作用，当然，11月疫情放开是股市反弹也是最重要的一个因素，如果继续封控，反弹未至于那么快到来。但不管如何，想要股市，不管是A股、港股还是美股，回到去年的底部位置，可能性都不高了，国内经济复苏，流动性宽松就不说了，即使是美股进入“杀盈利”阶段，除非上市公司业绩大面积崩溃，否则很难会出现。3月份银行股暴雷的时候，曾经引发过一轮恐慌，但到现在为止，也没有出现预期中的崩溃现象，摩根大通这种大银行业绩反而大增。指数方面，最受伤的道琼斯波幅在10%左右，而纳斯达克、标普500远低于10%，并且三大指数都已经完全收复3月份跌幅并上涨不少。可以说，现在最大的宏观风险只是美国的经济衰退，如果按照股市提前反应未来的特征，现在交易的正是半年之后。换句话说，股市正在定价半年之后的经济衰退。当然，是否完全定价还有待于其他经济、上市公司数据，以及后续政策的公布，如果这些数据超预期下滑，那股市还是会跟着，如果符合预期，那股市可以持平，但如果超预期向好，反弹就会随时发生。如果用前文所说的两个因素——经济基本面和流动性，美股的流动性紧缩基本被市场定价，唯一差的就是等经济面见底。而中国的情况，要更好一些，因为我们的经济基本面已经见底，并处于回升阶段。结语如果说去年是全球资本市场的崩溃时刻，那今年出现全球资本市场向上共振，应该是最值得期待，也是大概率的事情。现在看，后市走牛的迹象可能还不至于很明显，因为除了AI板块，其他板块都还相对低调，需要一些催化因素，也需要一些时日。但正如风起于青萍之末，浪成于微澜之间，股市不会直接告诉你牛市来了，但既然对于未来的预期向好，估值上又处于低位，表现低调反而是好事，这等于给了投资者上车的机会。如果已经狂飙起来了，机会就没有了。中国人常常说否极泰来，放在股市也是如此。如果说对于今年股市的投资策略，一句话足矣，那就是：不要错过这一轮牛市！","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945470168,"gmtCreate":1681571682155,"gmtModify":1681571685708,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582685386479633","authorIdStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945470168","repostId":"2327143338","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327143338","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1681560753,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2327143338?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-15 20:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"A key step in Musk's \"Mars Plan\": Space X \"Starship\" test launch next week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327143338","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"发射地点为SpaceX位于德州Boca Chica的“星际基地”，时间定在当地时间4月17日（周一）早上7点，届时将会全球直播。马斯克 “送人类移民火星”的梦想到了关键一步。当地时间周五，美国联邦航空","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The launch location is SpaceX's \"Starbase\" in Boca Chica, Texas. The time is scheduled at 7 a.m. local time on April 17 (Monday), and will be broadcast live around the world. Musk's dream of \"sending humans to Mars\" has reached a critical step.</p><p>On Friday local time, the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued a license to allow Musk's space exploration technology company SpaceX's \"Starship\" equipped with a super-heavy launch vehicle to conduct its first launch test.</p><p>The launch location is SpaceX's \"Starbase\" in Boca Chica, Texas. The time is scheduled at 7 a.m. local time on April 17 (Monday), and will be broadcast live around the world. SpaceX said it will have a launch window of 150 minutes.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e1aabea04d20a1de7445eb011cb1c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>\"Following a comprehensive license evaluation process, FAA believes SpaceX meets all safety, environmental, policy, payload, airspace integration and financial responsibility requirements,\" the FAA said in a statement, adding that the license is valid for five years.</p><p>It is reported that the \"Starship\" launched this time is the tallest rocket system in human history. Together, the \"Starship\" and the super-heavy rocket reach an altitude of 394 feet (about 120 meters), which is higher than the former lunar landing rocket Saturn 5 (and the only rocket to fly manned people over Earth orbit).</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c00edd49ba3d589c2836b3cb2eaa05a\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p><p>Plus, Starship (the passenger portion) is fully reusable, as SpaceX promises, to reduce costs.</p><p>If nothing else, the \"Starship\" carries a heavy launch vehicle called Super Heavy and lifts off from the Boca Chica base. After completing the initial climb, Super Heavy will break away from the Starship and fall under control into the Gulf of Mexico.</p><p>Meanwhile, according to a document filed with the Federal Communications Commission, the Starship will move on and arc through space in Earth orbit before landing off the coast of Hawaii<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>。</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A key step in Musk's \"Mars Plan\": Space X \"Starship\" test launch next week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA key step in Musk's \"Mars Plan\": Space X \"Starship\" test launch next week\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-15 20:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The launch location is SpaceX's \"Starbase\" in Boca Chica, Texas. The time is scheduled at 7 a.m. local time on April 17 (Monday), and will be broadcast live around the world. Musk's dream of \"sending humans to Mars\" has reached a critical step.</p><p>On Friday local time, the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued a license to allow Musk's space exploration technology company SpaceX's \"Starship\" equipped with a super-heavy launch vehicle to conduct its first launch test.</p><p>The launch location is SpaceX's \"Starbase\" in Boca Chica, Texas. The time is scheduled at 7 a.m. local time on April 17 (Monday), and will be broadcast live around the world. SpaceX said it will have a launch window of 150 minutes.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6e1aabea04d20a1de7445eb011cb1c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"548\"/></p><p>\"Following a comprehensive license evaluation process, FAA believes SpaceX meets all safety, environmental, policy, payload, airspace integration and financial responsibility requirements,\" the FAA said in a statement, adding that the license is valid for five years.</p><p>It is reported that the \"Starship\" launched this time is the tallest rocket system in human history. Together, the \"Starship\" and the super-heavy rocket reach an altitude of 394 feet (about 120 meters), which is higher than the former lunar landing rocket Saturn 5 (and the only rocket to fly manned people over Earth orbit).</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c00edd49ba3d589c2836b3cb2eaa05a\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p><p>Plus, Starship (the passenger portion) is fully reusable, as SpaceX promises, to reduce costs.</p><p>If nothing else, the \"Starship\" carries a heavy launch vehicle called Super Heavy and lifts off from the Boca Chica base. After completing the initial climb, Super Heavy will break away from the Starship and fall under control into the Gulf of Mexico.</p><p>Meanwhile, according to a document filed with the Federal Communications Commission, the Starship will move on and arc through space in Earth orbit before landing off the coast of Hawaii<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ce7edd5f87306c0e8062bd108670952","relate_stocks":{"LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2327143338","content_text":"发射地点为SpaceX位于德州Boca Chica的“星际基地”，时间定在当地时间4月17日（周一）早上7点，届时将会全球直播。马斯克 “送人类移民火星”的梦想到了关键一步。当地时间周五，美国联邦航空管理局（FAA）颁发许可证，允许马斯克旗下太空探索技术公司SpaceX旗下搭载超重型运载火箭的“星舰”（ Starship）进行首次发射测试。发射地点为SpaceX位于德州Boca Chica的“星际基地”，时间定在当地时间4月17日（周一）早上7点，届时将会全球直播。SpaceX表示，它将有一个时长150分钟的发射窗口。 FAA在一份声明中表示：“经过全面的许可评估过程，FAA认为SpaceX符合所有安全、环境、政策、有效载荷、空域整合和财务责任要求。”FAA还补充说，该许可证有效期为五年。据悉，本次发射的“星舰”是人类历史上最高的火箭系统。“星舰”和超重火箭加在一起，高度达到394英尺（约120米），这比曾经的登月火箭土星5号（也是唯一一艘载人飞越地球轨道的火箭）还要高。另外，星舰（载客部分）完全可重复使用，正如SpaceX 承诺的那样，以降低成本。如果不出意外的话，“星舰”搭载一个名为Super Heavy的重型运载火箭，从Boca Chica基地升空。在完成最初的爬升后，Super Heavy 将脱离 “星舰”并在控制下掉进墨西哥湾。与此同时，根据提交给美国联邦通信委员会的一份文件，“星舰”将继续前进并在地球轨道上以弧形穿过太空，然后降落在夏威夷海岸附近的太平洋。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":108996205,"gmtCreate":1619971520707,"gmtModify":1704336891643,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108996205","repostId":"1170908014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170908014","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618906754,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170908014?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-20 16:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: A-shares are closed for three days on May Day, and Hong Kong and US stocks trade as usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170908014","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"五一小长假即将要来临了，值得一提的是，今年五一劳动节继续连休五天。关于五一股市安排方面，也是投资者们关注的焦点，下面一起来看看2021年五一股市休市几天？A股：5月1日（周六）至5月5日（周三）休市，","content":"<p>The May Day holiday is coming soon. It is worth mentioning that this year's May Day will continue to take five consecutive days off. Regarding the May Day stock market arrangement, it is also the focus of investors' attention. Let's take a look at how many days the May Day stock market will be closed in 2021?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dcfc9f46149ed58e89371cfb512c504\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A shares:</b></p><p>The market will be closed from May 1st (Saturday) to May 5th (Wednesday), and will open as usual from May 6th (Thursday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>British stocks:</b></p><p>May 3rd (Monday) is the traditional British festival Bank holiday, and the British stock market is closed for one day</p><p><b>Singapore market:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>Australian market:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Closed May 1st (Saturday) to May 5th (Wednesday) and open as usual from May 6th (Thursday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Closed from Thursday, April 29 to Wednesday, May 5, and open as usual from Thursday, May 6.</p><p>I wish all the most beautiful workers a happy May Day, peace and joy!<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/703fdb4d8b073167b0b526575917e6b9\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: A-shares are closed for three days on May Day, and Hong Kong and US stocks trade as usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: A-shares are closed for three days on May Day, and Hong Kong and US stocks trade as usual\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-20 16:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The May Day holiday is coming soon. It is worth mentioning that this year's May Day will continue to take five consecutive days off. Regarding the May Day stock market arrangement, it is also the focus of investors' attention. Let's take a look at how many days the May Day stock market will be closed in 2021?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dcfc9f46149ed58e89371cfb512c504\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A shares:</b></p><p>The market will be closed from May 1st (Saturday) to May 5th (Wednesday), and will open as usual from May 6th (Thursday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>British stocks:</b></p><p>May 3rd (Monday) is the traditional British festival Bank holiday, and the British stock market is closed for one day</p><p><b>Singapore market:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>Australian market:</b></p><p>Trade as usual.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Closed May 1st (Saturday) to May 5th (Wednesday) and open as usual from May 6th (Thursday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Closed from Thursday, April 29 to Wednesday, May 5, and open as usual from Thursday, May 6.</p><p>I wish all the most beautiful workers a happy May Day, peace and joy!<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/703fdb4d8b073167b0b526575917e6b9\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/703fdb4d8b073167b0b526575917e6b9","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170908014","content_text":"五一小长假即将要来临了，值得一提的是，今年五一劳动节继续连休五天。关于五一股市安排方面，也是投资者们关注的焦点，下面一起来看看2021年五一股市休市几天？A股：5月1日（周六）至5月5日（周三）休市，5月6日（周四）起照常开市。港股：照常交易。美股：照常交易。英股：5月3日（周一）为英国传统节日Bank holiday，英股休市一日新加坡市场：照常交易。澳大利亚市场：照常交易。沪股通、深股通：5月1日（周六）至5月5日（周三）关闭，5月6日（周四）起照常开通。港股通：4月29日（周四）至5月5日（周三）关闭，5月6日（周四）起照常开通。祝各位最美劳动者五一节日快乐，平安喜乐！","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922596333,"gmtCreate":1671793634023,"gmtModify":1676538594550,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922596333","repostId":"1160777906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160777906","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供即時金融資訊、行情、數據，旨在幫助投資者理解世界，做投資決策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎資訊","id":"1059071526","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1672011755,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160777906?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-26 07:42","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Tip: The Christmas holiday has arrived, a look at the closing times of the trading markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160777906","media":"老虎資訊","summary":"尊敬的投資者：聖誕節長假期已經來到，美股、港股等市場的交易活動會受到影響。請留意股市休市時間，並提前安排好您的投資計劃。聖誕節期間股市交易安排美股：2022年12月26日（週一）休市。港股：2022年","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Dear Investors:</b></p><p>The long Christmas holiday has arrived, and trading activities in U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks and other markets will be affected. Please pay attention to when the stock market is closed and arrange your investment plan in advance.</p><p>Stock Market Trading Arrangements During Christmas</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p>The market will be closed on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Singapore Stock Market:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p><b>Australian market:</b></p><p>Except for holiday days, the Australian market will be closed on Monday, December 26, 2022 and Tuesday, December 27, 2022 local time.</p><p><b>New Zealand Market:</b></p><p>Except for holiday days, the New Zealand market will be closed on Monday, December 26, 2022 and Tuesday, December 27, 2022 local time.</p><p><b>Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets:</b></p><p>The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets traded as usual.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No services will be available on Monday, December 26, 2022.</p><p>No services will be available on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No services will be available on Monday, December 26, 2022.</p><p>No services will be available on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tip: The Christmas holiday has arrived, a look at the closing times of the trading markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTip: The Christmas holiday has arrived, a look at the closing times of the trading markets\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1059071526\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎資訊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-12-26 07:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Dear Investors:</b></p><p>The long Christmas holiday has arrived, and trading activities in U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks and other markets will be affected. Please pay attention to when the stock market is closed and arrange your investment plan in advance.</p><p>Stock Market Trading Arrangements During Christmas</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p>The market will be closed on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Singapore Stock Market:</b></p><p>The market will be closed on December 26, 2022 (Monday).</p><p><b>Australian market:</b></p><p>Except for holiday days, the Australian market will be closed on Monday, December 26, 2022 and Tuesday, December 27, 2022 local time.</p><p><b>New Zealand Market:</b></p><p>Except for holiday days, the New Zealand market will be closed on Monday, December 26, 2022 and Tuesday, December 27, 2022 local time.</p><p><b>Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets:</b></p><p>The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets traded as usual.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No services will be available on Monday, December 26, 2022.</p><p>No services will be available on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No services will be available on Monday, December 26, 2022.</p><p>No services will be available on December 27, 2022 (Tuesday).</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e029cf8d7c318d1de45f38c9aaf8eeb7","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160777906","content_text":"尊敬的投資者：聖誕節長假期已經來到，美股、港股等市場的交易活動會受到影響。請留意股市休市時間，並提前安排好您的投資計劃。聖誕節期間股市交易安排美股：2022年12月26日（週一）休市。港股：2022年12月26日（週一）休市。2022年12月27日（週二）休市。新加坡股市：2022年12月26日（週一）休市。澳洲市場：除節禮日之外，澳洲市場將於當地時間2022年12月26日（週一）和 2022年12月27日（週二）休市。新西蘭市場：除節禮日之外，新西蘭市場將於當地時間2022年12月26日（週一）和2022年12月27日（週二）休市。滬深兩市：滬深兩市照常交易。滬股通、深股通：2022年12月26日（週一）不提供服務。2022年12月27日（週二）不提供服務。港股通：2022年12月26日（週一）不提供服務。2022年12月27日（週二）不提供服務。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926981671,"gmtCreate":1671446281893,"gmtModify":1676538537618,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926981671","repostId":"1176969984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176969984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1671444485,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176969984?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-19 18:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The reason why Powell resolutely released the hawk has been found! Key to the direction of the Fed's policy in 2023 will be this indicator","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176969984","media":"金十数据","summary":"机构分析师认为，美联储收紧政策旨在为工资通胀螺旋上升未雨绸缪。美联储主席鲍威尔在抗通胀的征途中有了新的指引，这将使美国人的薪资水平成为明年货币政策的核心。鲍威尔在上个月布鲁金斯学会发表演讲时表示，他正","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Institutional analysts believe that the Fed's tightening policy is aimed at preparing for the spiral of wage inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has new guidance on his journey to fight inflation, which will enable<b>The salary level of Americans will become the core of next year's monetary policy</b>。</p><p>In a speech at the Brookings Institution last month, Powell said he was looking for price metrics that would cover everything from health care to haircuts to roadside motels. Given that salaries are an especially large cost for these service sectors, \"the labor market is key to understanding this type of inflation.\"</p><p>Powell mentioned this topic again after the Federal Reserve held its last interest rate decision of the year last Thursday. He noted that wages are currently growing \"well above the 2% inflation rate\".</p><p>The key question facing Fed officials is whether the rise in wage growth in the United States over the past 18 months or so is a temporary phenomenon caused by companies adapting to the scarce labor supply and realizing that employees are underpaid, or whether it reflects the harmful cycle of prices and wages pushing each other.</p><p>These signs suggest the Fed is reluctant to take any risks and point to further tightening. Forecasts released by the Federal Reserve last week suggest the benchmark interest rate will peak at 5.1% next year, a higher-than-expected figure that triggered a plunge in stocks. There are also several Fed officials who have an even more hawkish stance.</p><p>Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer in Washington, said:</p><p>\"The spiraling wage inflation is a rainy day, not a fact. Real wages are certainly not trending upward.\"<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ea64a883affe9c7e1afb981a8b39181\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>But he acknowledged that it was clear that Powell had begun to worry about the ongoing labor shortage and its impact on prices.</p><p><b>The U.S. labor market is particularly difficult to decipher right now</b>, as businesses are still addressing the massive disruption caused by COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In April 2020, the U.S. unemployment rate soared to nearly 15% before quickly recovering. The current unemployment rate is 3.7%, which is still historically low. Growth in U.S. labor supply appears to have stalled below pre-pandemic trends. The reasons are diverse, including the large number of Americans retiring early, the persistent symptoms novel coronavirus pneumonia causes to patients, the scarcity of child and elderly care, and the reduction of immigration.</p><p>Labor shortages have given employees more bargaining power and prompted companies to raise wages as competition for hiring intensifies. In most cases, though, workers are barely keeping up with the skyrocketing cost of living. Total compensation costs for U.S. corporate employers rose 5% in the 12 months to September, compared with 3.7% a year earlier. But in both periods, real pay (adjusted for inflation) declined.</p><p><b>Fed cautious on wage growth</b></p><p>Powell's latest favored inflation measure, core services inflation excluding housing, is closely related to wage growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d352b596ef25cd8201bbf7b7a4f026\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"514\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The price surge during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak first appeared in consumer goods: goods are in short supply due to delivery disruptions, and demand is high among Americans with excess cash on hand but stuck at home.</p><p>After that, as the commodity crunch eased, services became an inflation driver. The largest item in this category was housing, which is regarded as a service in official price measures. At present, the home price index of 20 cities in the United States has fallen, while CPI readings typically lag rents by about 12 months, so the dust seems set on a pullback in housing services inflation.</p><p><b>In other services that the Federal Reserve is currently watching closely, wages usually account for a higher proportion of costs than other industries.</b></p><p>One of the ways to solve the labor crunch problem in the United States is to return a large number of unemployed workers to work. But Fed officials are in no mood to wait and see if that happens, as inflation is currently three times their target. The Fed's latest forecast suggests higher borrowing costs will cool the economy, slowing the pace of hiring and increasing unemployment.</p><p>New York Fed President Williams said in an interview on Friday:</p><p>\"Wage growth has been very high because labor demand has been very strong relative to available supply. As labor demand and supply reach a better balance, wage growth will be more in line with long-term trends and our 2% inflation target.\" Williams said he doesn't see evidence of \"the kind of wage inflation spiral we saw in the 1970s.\" A recent historical study by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) shows that<b>, this kind of situation is rare.</b></p><p>Despite this,<b>The Fed is determined to rule that out.</b>Moreover, judging from its internal forecasts, it is full of uncertainty whether policymakers can rebalance the labor market according to their wishes without causing economic recession.</p><p>Federal Reserve officials expect economic growth to slow to 0.5% next year, while the unemployment rate will rise nearly a percentage point to 4.6%, which could mean more than 1 million Americans will lose their jobs. Even through this pain, inflation is expected to remain surprisingly sticky, gradually slowing to 2% only by 2025.</p><p>Beth Ann Bovino, chief U.S. economist at S&P Global Ratings, said this could be due to the lagging impact of lower housing costs on the price index. \"The Fed is still hopeful for a soft landing. Maybe they are right, but the chances are not good,\" Bovino said. She estimated<b>Unemployment could rise to 5.6% next year.</b></p><p>For inflation in services other than housing that Powell has been highlighting, Omair Sharif, founder of Inflation Insights LLC, sees plenty of evidence that wage growth isn't the primary driver of inflation. Prices in this category were largely driven by increases in transportation and health care expenses in the first half of the year, and there are many reasons behind it, he said, including a sudden surge in travel demand and a shift in the way Medicare costs are calculated. But now those factors have reversed.</p><p>Wages aren't a big part of inflation, Sharif said. Although \"this is somehow ingrained in everyone's mind and is generally seen as the way things work.\"</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The reason why Powell resolutely released the hawk has been found! Key to the direction of the Fed's policy in 2023 will be this indicator</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe reason why Powell resolutely released the hawk has been found! Key to the direction of the Fed's policy in 2023 will be this indicator\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-12-19 18:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Institutional analysts believe that the Fed's tightening policy is aimed at preparing for the spiral of wage inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has new guidance on his journey to fight inflation, which will enable<b>The salary level of Americans will become the core of next year's monetary policy</b>。</p><p>In a speech at the Brookings Institution last month, Powell said he was looking for price metrics that would cover everything from health care to haircuts to roadside motels. Given that salaries are an especially large cost for these service sectors, \"the labor market is key to understanding this type of inflation.\"</p><p>Powell mentioned this topic again after the Federal Reserve held its last interest rate decision of the year last Thursday. He noted that wages are currently growing \"well above the 2% inflation rate\".</p><p>The key question facing Fed officials is whether the rise in wage growth in the United States over the past 18 months or so is a temporary phenomenon caused by companies adapting to the scarce labor supply and realizing that employees are underpaid, or whether it reflects the harmful cycle of prices and wages pushing each other.</p><p>These signs suggest the Fed is reluctant to take any risks and point to further tightening. Forecasts released by the Federal Reserve last week suggest the benchmark interest rate will peak at 5.1% next year, a higher-than-expected figure that triggered a plunge in stocks. There are also several Fed officials who have an even more hawkish stance.</p><p>Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer in Washington, said:</p><p>\"The spiraling wage inflation is a rainy day, not a fact. Real wages are certainly not trending upward.\"<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ea64a883affe9c7e1afb981a8b39181\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>But he acknowledged that it was clear that Powell had begun to worry about the ongoing labor shortage and its impact on prices.</p><p><b>The U.S. labor market is particularly difficult to decipher right now</b>, as businesses are still addressing the massive disruption caused by COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In April 2020, the U.S. unemployment rate soared to nearly 15% before quickly recovering. The current unemployment rate is 3.7%, which is still historically low. Growth in U.S. labor supply appears to have stalled below pre-pandemic trends. The reasons are diverse, including the large number of Americans retiring early, the persistent symptoms novel coronavirus pneumonia causes to patients, the scarcity of child and elderly care, and the reduction of immigration.</p><p>Labor shortages have given employees more bargaining power and prompted companies to raise wages as competition for hiring intensifies. In most cases, though, workers are barely keeping up with the skyrocketing cost of living. Total compensation costs for U.S. corporate employers rose 5% in the 12 months to September, compared with 3.7% a year earlier. But in both periods, real pay (adjusted for inflation) declined.</p><p><b>Fed cautious on wage growth</b></p><p>Powell's latest favored inflation measure, core services inflation excluding housing, is closely related to wage growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d352b596ef25cd8201bbf7b7a4f026\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"514\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The price surge during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak first appeared in consumer goods: goods are in short supply due to delivery disruptions, and demand is high among Americans with excess cash on hand but stuck at home.</p><p>After that, as the commodity crunch eased, services became an inflation driver. The largest item in this category was housing, which is regarded as a service in official price measures. At present, the home price index of 20 cities in the United States has fallen, while CPI readings typically lag rents by about 12 months, so the dust seems set on a pullback in housing services inflation.</p><p><b>In other services that the Federal Reserve is currently watching closely, wages usually account for a higher proportion of costs than other industries.</b></p><p>One of the ways to solve the labor crunch problem in the United States is to return a large number of unemployed workers to work. But Fed officials are in no mood to wait and see if that happens, as inflation is currently three times their target. The Fed's latest forecast suggests higher borrowing costs will cool the economy, slowing the pace of hiring and increasing unemployment.</p><p>New York Fed President Williams said in an interview on Friday:</p><p>\"Wage growth has been very high because labor demand has been very strong relative to available supply. As labor demand and supply reach a better balance, wage growth will be more in line with long-term trends and our 2% inflation target.\" Williams said he doesn't see evidence of \"the kind of wage inflation spiral we saw in the 1970s.\" A recent historical study by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) shows that<b>, this kind of situation is rare.</b></p><p>Despite this,<b>The Fed is determined to rule that out.</b>Moreover, judging from its internal forecasts, it is full of uncertainty whether policymakers can rebalance the labor market according to their wishes without causing economic recession.</p><p>Federal Reserve officials expect economic growth to slow to 0.5% next year, while the unemployment rate will rise nearly a percentage point to 4.6%, which could mean more than 1 million Americans will lose their jobs. Even through this pain, inflation is expected to remain surprisingly sticky, gradually slowing to 2% only by 2025.</p><p>Beth Ann Bovino, chief U.S. economist at S&P Global Ratings, said this could be due to the lagging impact of lower housing costs on the price index. \"The Fed is still hopeful for a soft landing. Maybe they are right, but the chances are not good,\" Bovino said. She estimated<b>Unemployment could rise to 5.6% next year.</b></p><p>For inflation in services other than housing that Powell has been highlighting, Omair Sharif, founder of Inflation Insights LLC, sees plenty of evidence that wage growth isn't the primary driver of inflation. Prices in this category were largely driven by increases in transportation and health care expenses in the first half of the year, and there are many reasons behind it, he said, including a sudden surge in travel demand and a shift in the way Medicare costs are calculated. But now those factors have reversed.</p><p>Wages aren't a big part of inflation, Sharif said. Although \"this is somehow ingrained in everyone's mind and is generally seen as the way things work.\"</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/104455\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/104455","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176969984","content_text":"机构分析师认为，美联储收紧政策旨在为工资通胀螺旋上升未雨绸缪。美联储主席鲍威尔在抗通胀的征途中有了新的指引，这将使美国人的薪资水平成为明年货币政策的核心。鲍威尔在上个月布鲁金斯学会发表演讲时表示，他正在寻找涵盖医疗保健、理发以及路边汽车旅馆等所有费用的价格指标。鉴于薪资对于这些服务行业来说是一项特别大的成本，“劳动力市场是理解此类通胀的关键”。在上周四美联储举行今年最后一次利率决议后，鲍威尔又提及这一主题。他指出，目前工资增速“远高于2%的通胀率”。美联储官员面临的关键问题是，在过去18个月左右的时间里，美国薪资增速的攀升是公司适应劳动力供应稀缺、并意识到员工薪酬不足而导致的暂时性现象，还是一种反映了价格和工资相互推动的有害循环。这些迹象表明美联储不愿冒任何风险，并指向进一步收紧政策。美联储上周发布的预测表明，明年的基准利率将达到5.1%的峰值，这一高于预期的数字引发了股市暴跌。还有几位美联储官员的立场甚至更加鹰派。华盛顿LH Meyer的经济学家Derek Tang表示：“工资通胀螺旋上升是一种未雨绸缪，而并非事实。实际工资肯定不会呈上升趋势。”但他承认，很明显，鲍威尔已经开始担忧劳动力持续短缺的及其对价格的影响。美国劳动力市场目前尤其难以解读，因为企业仍在解决新冠疫情造成的大规模破坏。2020年4月，美国失业率飙升至近15%，然后迅速恢复。当前的失业率为3.7%，仍处于历史低位。美国劳动力供应的增长似乎已停滞在疫情前的趋势之下。原因多种多样，包括大量美国人提前退休、新冠肺炎病毒给患者带来的持续症状，儿童和老年人护理的稀缺以及移民的减少。劳动力短缺赋予了员工更多的议价能力，并促使公司在招聘竞争加剧时提高工资。不过，在大多数情况下，工人们只是能勉强跟上飞涨的生活成本。截至9月的12个月中，美国企业雇主的总薪酬成本增长了5%，而去年同期为3.7%。但在这两个时期，实际薪酬（经通胀调整后）均有所下降。美联储对工资增速小心翼翼鲍威尔最新青睐的通胀指标——不包括住房的核心服务通胀与薪资增速密切相关。新冠疫情爆发期间的价格飙升最初出现在消费品中：由于交付中断，商品供不应求，手头有多余现金却困在家里的美国人需求高企。之后，随着商品紧缩的缓解，服务业成为通胀驱动因素，该类别中占比最大的项目是住房，它在官方价格衡量中被视为一项服务，目前美国20个城市的房价指数已经回落，而CPI读数通常滞后于租金约12个月，因此住房服务通胀回落似乎尘埃已定。而在美联储目前密切关注的其他服务业中，工资通常占成本的比重高于其他行业。解决美国劳动力紧缩问题的方法之一是让大量失业工人重返工作岗位。但美联储官员没有心情观望这种情况是否会发生，因为当前通胀率是他们目标的三倍。 美联储的最新预测表明，借贷成本更高会导致经济降温，从而减缓招聘步伐并增加失业率。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯上周五在接受采访时表示：“工资增长一直非常高，因为劳动力需求相对于可用供应来说非常强劲。随着劳动力需求和供应达到更好的平衡，工资增长将更符合长期趋势和我们2%的通胀目标。”威廉姆斯说，他没有看到“上世纪70年代看到的那种工资通胀螺旋上升”的证据。  国际货币基金组织（IMF）最近的一项历史研究表明，这种情况很少见。尽管如此，美联储决心排除这种可能性。而且根据其内部的预测判断，政策制定者们能否按照他们的意愿重新平衡劳动力市场而不引发经济衰退充满了不确定性。美联储官员预计明年经济增长将放缓至0.5%，而失业率将上升近一个百分点至4.6%，这可能意味着超过100万美国人将失业。即使经历这种痛苦，通胀预计仍将出人意料地具有粘性，只有到2025年才能逐渐放缓至2%。S&P Global Ratings首席美国经济学家Beth Ann Bovino表示，这可能是由于住房成本下降对价格指数的滞后影响。Bovino说，“美联储仍对软着陆抱有希望，也许他们是对的，但机会不大”。她估计明年失业率可能升至5.6%。对于鲍威尔一直强调的除住房以外的服务通胀，Inflation Insights LLC的创始人Omair Sharif看到大量证据表明工资增长并不是通胀的主要驱动力。他说，这一类别的价格主要是由今年上半年运输和医疗保健费用的增长推动的，背后的原因有很多，包括旅游需求的突然激增以及医疗保险费用计算方式的转变。但现在这些因素已经逆转。Sharif说，工资并不是通胀的重要组成部分。尽管“这以某种方式根深蒂固地扎根在每个人的脑海中，被人们普遍视为事情的运作方式。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954837504,"gmtCreate":1676213932209,"gmtModify":1676213935609,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954837504","repostId":"1144087747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144087747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1676195371,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144087747?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-12 17:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Can you get rich by trading stocks on ChatGPT? See how Wall Street uses it","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144087747","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"ChatGPT无法为你指一条致富之路。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Ge Jiaming</p><p>\"There will be no stuffing in the sky\", ChatGPT cannot show you a way to get rich.</p><p>Previously, a reporter from China Securities Journal once directly asked ChatGPT how to make money in the future, but ChatGPT avoided answering due to the uncertainty of future market conditions:</p><p>Can you tell me what industries I can invest in to make steady money in 2023?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dde572a87ee64fd337999730d4ef66f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When asked about market trends: Let's talk about the market! Consumption has rebounded significantly recently. Is there a great chance for the consumer sector to rise sharply in the short to medium term?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4dc6117edb0a86661eda5dabcc95bde\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>How is Wall Street used?</p><p>The birth of ChatGPT has swept the global Internet, triggering speculation about how artificial intelligence will subvert all walks of life in the future. But for Wall Street investment banks, artificial intelligence is not a new concept. Many investment banks have already used artificial intelligence to find new trading opportunities.</p><p>On February 12, Matt Bartolini, head of Americas research at State Street Bank, pointed out in a podcast \"What Goes Up\" that the S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF portfolio issued by the company had \"solicited\" AI'S views. Since the beginning of this year, The ETF rose about 11% and has a market value of about $1.7 billion.</p><p>When asked how AI can help stock selection, Bartolini pointed out that they use natural language processing (NLP) in AI.<b>Identify the fundamentals of these companies by scanning regulatory filings and judge relevance to the innovation sector</b>:</p><p>The logic behind this is the natural language processing of artificial intelligence, run by the index provider S&P. The role of NLP (Natural Language Processing) is to identify the relevance of the actual operations of these companies to the field of innovation by scanning the company's prospectuses and other regulatory filings, whether it is enterprise collaboration, clean energy, advanced transportation systems, drones. If a company says that \"drone technology is crucial to our future\", it shows that it emphasizes this type of innovation. Therefore, AI will judge the relevance of actual operations to the field and classify them into 25 different innovation fields. Subsequently, the shares will be weighted with a modified equal-weight structure. Bartolini pointed out,<b>The core of artificial intelligence is to help improve efficiency and productivity. Their purpose of using artificial intelligence is to discover undiscovered companies and help find \"hidden gems\"</b>：</p><p>Many small but valuable companies are easily overlooked, especially when you are looking for innovative startups. Many times you have to dig into very small companies, maybe even micro companies, which are easily overlooked by Wall Street analysts. About 48% of the stock has fewer than 10 analysts covering the stock. And there may be some companies that are very innovative, and they are doing very interesting explorations, whether it is advanced healthcare or wearable devices, and they are often overlooked because the company is too small.</body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can you get rich by trading stocks on ChatGPT? See how Wall Street uses it</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan you get rich by trading stocks on ChatGPT? See how Wall Street uses it\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-02-12 17:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Author: Ge Jiaming</p><p>\"There will be no stuffing in the sky\", ChatGPT cannot show you a way to get rich.</p><p>Previously, a reporter from China Securities Journal once directly asked ChatGPT how to make money in the future, but ChatGPT avoided answering due to the uncertainty of future market conditions:</p><p>Can you tell me what industries I can invest in to make steady money in 2023?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dde572a87ee64fd337999730d4ef66f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When asked about market trends: Let's talk about the market! Consumption has rebounded significantly recently. Is there a great chance for the consumer sector to rise sharply in the short to medium term?<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4dc6117edb0a86661eda5dabcc95bde\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>How is Wall Street used?</p><p>The birth of ChatGPT has swept the global Internet, triggering speculation about how artificial intelligence will subvert all walks of life in the future. But for Wall Street investment banks, artificial intelligence is not a new concept. Many investment banks have already used artificial intelligence to find new trading opportunities.</p><p>On February 12, Matt Bartolini, head of Americas research at State Street Bank, pointed out in a podcast \"What Goes Up\" that the S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF portfolio issued by the company had \"solicited\" AI'S views. Since the beginning of this year, The ETF rose about 11% and has a market value of about $1.7 billion.</p><p>When asked how AI can help stock selection, Bartolini pointed out that they use natural language processing (NLP) in AI.<b>Identify the fundamentals of these companies by scanning regulatory filings and judge relevance to the innovation sector</b>:</p><p>The logic behind this is the natural language processing of artificial intelligence, run by the index provider S&P. The role of NLP (Natural Language Processing) is to identify the relevance of the actual operations of these companies to the field of innovation by scanning the company's prospectuses and other regulatory filings, whether it is enterprise collaboration, clean energy, advanced transportation systems, drones. If a company says that \"drone technology is crucial to our future\", it shows that it emphasizes this type of innovation. Therefore, AI will judge the relevance of actual operations to the field and classify them into 25 different innovation fields. Subsequently, the shares will be weighted with a modified equal-weight structure. Bartolini pointed out,<b>The core of artificial intelligence is to help improve efficiency and productivity. Their purpose of using artificial intelligence is to discover undiscovered companies and help find \"hidden gems\"</b>：</p><p>Many small but valuable companies are easily overlooked, especially when you are looking for innovative startups. Many times you have to dig into very small companies, maybe even micro companies, which are easily overlooked by Wall Street analysts. About 48% of the stock has fewer than 10 analysts covering the stock. And there may be some companies that are very innovative, and they are doing very interesting explorations, whether it is advanced healthcare or wearable devices, and they are often overlooked because the company is too small.</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3681726\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf305301a6fbf2b8ad5aaae62f793ae","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3681726","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1144087747","content_text":"作者：葛佳明“天上不会掉馅儿饼”，ChatGPT无法为你指一条致富之路。此前中证报记者曾经直接问ChatGPT未来的赚钱方法，而ChatGPT以未来市场行情的不确定性避开了回答：可以告诉我2023年投资什么行业可以稳稳赚到钱吗？当问及市场趋势：那我们聊聊市场吧！最近一段时间消费反弹明显，消费板块中短期来看大幅上涨的机会大吗？华尔街是怎么用的？ChatGPT横空出世，席卷了全球互联网，引发了未来人工智能将如何颠覆各行各业的猜测。但对于华尔街投行们来说，人工智能并不是新鲜的概念，众多投行早已运用人工智能寻找新的交易机会。2月12日，美国道富银行美洲研究主管Matt Bartolini在一档播客节目“What Goes Up”中指出，该公司发行的S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF投资组合曾“征求过”AI的看法，今年以来，该ETF上涨约11%，市值约为17亿美元的。当被问及AI如何帮助选股时，Bartolini指出他们运用的是AI中的自然语言处理（NLP），通过扫描监管文件识别这些公司的基本面并判断与创新领域的相关性:这后面逻辑是人工智能的自然语言处理，由指数提供商S&P运行的。NLP（自然语言处理）的作用是通过扫描公司的招股说明书和其他监管文件，搜索关键词以识别这些公司的实际操作与创新领域的相关性，无论是企业协作、清洁能源、先进的运输系统、无人机。如果一家公司称“无人机技术对我们的未来至关重要”，这表明其强调该类创新，因此，AI将判断实际操作与该领域的相关性，并将其分类到25个不同的创新领域中。随后，股票将以修改后的等权结构加权。Bartolini指出，人工智能的核心是帮助提高效率和生产力，他们运用人工智能的目的是发现还未被发掘的公司，帮助寻找“隐藏宝石”：很多小型但有价值的公司容易被忽略，特别是当你在寻找创新型初创公司时，很多时候你必须挖掘的非常小的公司，甚至可能是微型公司，它们是华尔街分析师通容易忽略的。约有48%的股票仅有不到10名分析师覆盖该股票。且可能有一些公司非常具有创新性，它们正在进行非常有趣的探索，无论是高级医疗保健还是可穿戴设备，而它们因为公司规模太小，往往会被忽略。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955050601,"gmtCreate":1675091970303,"gmtModify":1676538975747,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955050601","repostId":"1133463810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133463810","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1675089099,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133463810?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-30 22:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | U.S. stocks collectively open low, popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133463810","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道琼斯指数开盘下跌99.35点，跌幅0.29%，报33878.73点。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On January 30 (Monday), the Dow Jones Index opened down 99.35 points, or 0.29%, to 33878.73 points; The S&P 500 index opened down 26.03 points, or 0.64%, to 4044.53 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 104.65 points, or 0.90%, to 11,517.06 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3989ae03e4b85c49cd65060d896bf5b9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index opened down 3.2%, and popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down about 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell more than 4%, Gaotu and Youdao fell more than 8%, and New Oriental fell more than 5%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e9d2a875b031e7ec42f5a128c2a513\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It opened higher and fell nearly 2% lower. Baidu plans to launch an AI service similar to ChatGPT in March, initially embedding it in its main search service, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>Up about 5%, Q4 revenue in 2022 will increase by 10% year-on-year to 5.422 billion euros, which is better than market expectations. The company announced that it will lay off another 6,000 employees. The layoff plan is aimed at cutting costs.</p><p><b>SOFI rose more than 12%. In 2022, Q4 revenue increased by 60% year-on-year to US $456.7 million, and net loss narrowed by 64% year-on-year to US $40.06 million.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdf5330b5018720462b921d2f5b01f0b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Falling nearly 2%, Ford lowered the price of the Mustang Mach-E across the board, with an average price reduction of $4,500.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell 2%. Recently, it was reported that Tesla will launch a new model \"Model Q\" smaller than Model 3/Y. The relevant person in charge of Tesla said: \"This is false news.\"</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | U.S. stocks collectively open low, popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | U.S. stocks collectively open low, popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-30 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On January 30 (Monday), the Dow Jones Index opened down 99.35 points, or 0.29%, to 33878.73 points; The S&P 500 index opened down 26.03 points, or 0.64%, to 4044.53 points; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 104.65 points, or 0.90%, to 11,517.06 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3989ae03e4b85c49cd65060d896bf5b9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index opened down 3.2%, and popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>Fell more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>Fell more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Down about 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell more than 4%, Gaotu and Youdao fell more than 8%, and New Oriental fell more than 5%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e9d2a875b031e7ec42f5a128c2a513\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>It opened higher and fell nearly 2% lower. Baidu plans to launch an AI service similar to ChatGPT in March, initially embedding it in its main search service, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>Up about 5%, Q4 revenue in 2022 will increase by 10% year-on-year to 5.422 billion euros, which is better than market expectations. The company announced that it will lay off another 6,000 employees. The layoff plan is aimed at cutting costs.</p><p><b>SOFI rose more than 12%. In 2022, Q4 revenue increased by 60% year-on-year to US $456.7 million, and net loss narrowed by 64% year-on-year to US $40.06 million.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdf5330b5018720462b921d2f5b01f0b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Falling nearly 2%, Ford lowered the price of the Mustang Mach-E across the board, with an average price reduction of $4,500.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell 2%. Recently, it was reported that Tesla will launch a new model \"Model Q\" smaller than Model 3/Y. The relevant person in charge of Tesla said: \"This is false news.\"</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133463810","content_text":"1月30日（周一）道琼斯指数开盘下跌99.35点，跌幅0.29%，报33878.73点；标普500指数开盘下跌26.03点，跌幅0.64%，报4044.53点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌104.65点，跌幅0.90%，报11517.06点。纳斯达克中国金龙指数开跌3.2%，热门中概股普遍走低，哔哩哔哩跌超10%，阿里巴巴、京东跌超6%，理想汽车、小鹏汽车跌约6%，蔚来跌超4%，高途、有道跌超8%，新东方跌超5%。百度高开低走跌近2%。据知情人士透露，百度计划在三月份推出类似于ChatGPT的人工智能服务，最初将其嵌入其主要搜索服务中。飞利浦涨约5%，2022年Q4营收同比增长10%至54.22亿欧元好于市场预期，公司宣布将再裁员6000人，裁员计划旨在削减成本。SOFI涨超12%，2022年Q4营收同比增长60%至4.567亿美元，净亏损同比收窄64%至4000.6万美元。福特汽车跌近2%，福特全面下调野马Mustang Mach-E价格，平均降价4500美元。特斯拉跌2%，近日有消息称特斯拉将推出一款尺寸小于Model 3/Y的全新车型“Model Q”，对此特斯拉相关负责人表示：“此为不实消息。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961039921,"gmtCreate":1668781674964,"gmtModify":1676538113016,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961039921","repostId":"1165789326","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165789326","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1668766551,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165789326?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 18:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Jingdong Group's revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165789326","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"第三季度净利润59.63亿元人民币，预期43.17亿元，前值-28.07亿元。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Friday, November 18th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>The group released its third quarter 2022 financial report.</p><p><b>Net revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, expected to be 243.07 billion yuan, and 218.708 billion yuan in the same period last year.</b></p><p><b>Net profit in the third quarter was 5.963 billion yuan, expected to be 4.317 billion yuan, and the previous value was-2.807 billion yuan.</b></p><p>Non-GAAP EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) in the third quarter was 11.5 billion yuan, compared with market expectations of 8.63 billion yuan, and 5.9 billion yuan in the same period last year.</p><p>Adjusted earnings per ADS in the third quarter were 6.27 yuan, compared with an estimate of 4.46 yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07588e87294a7a5a8e96c8a7834500bf\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As of press time, JD.com's stock price rose by more than 1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0149a386962eec85a139f4df7fff1dd\" tg-width=\"1394\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Operating profit in the third quarter was 8.7 billion yuan, compared with 2.6 billion yuan in the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating profit was 9.9 billion in the third quarter, compared with 4.6 billion in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Adjusted operating margin in the third quarter was 4.1%, compared with an estimate of 3.2%.</p><p>Execution expenses in the third quarter were 14.4 billion yuan, compared with an estimated 15.35 billion yuan.</p><p>Marketing expenses in the third quarter were 7.6 billion yuan, compared with 7.8 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Net service revenue in the third quarter was 46.5 billion yuan (approximately US $6.5 billion), a year-on-year increase of 42.2%, accounting for 19.1% of net revenue, a record high.</p><p><b>User Profile</b></p><p>As of the end of the third quarter, the number of annual active users of JD.COM Group reached 588.3 million, a net increase of more than 7.5 million from the previous quarter. The real price and service have continued to win the trust of consumers for JD.COM. Indicators such as DAU (average daily active users) and user shopping frequency and ARPU (average revenue contributed by users) continue to maintain rapid growth.</p><p>The number of annual active users increased by 6.5% from 552.2 million for the twelve months ended September 30, 2021 to 588.3 million for the twelve months ended September 30, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jingdong Group's revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJingdong Group's revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-11-18 18:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Friday, November 18th,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>The group released its third quarter 2022 financial report.</p><p><b>Net revenue in the third quarter was 243.5 billion yuan, expected to be 243.07 billion yuan, and 218.708 billion yuan in the same period last year.</b></p><p><b>Net profit in the third quarter was 5.963 billion yuan, expected to be 4.317 billion yuan, and the previous value was-2.807 billion yuan.</b></p><p>Non-GAAP EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) in the third quarter was 11.5 billion yuan, compared with market expectations of 8.63 billion yuan, and 5.9 billion yuan in the same period last year.</p><p>Adjusted earnings per ADS in the third quarter were 6.27 yuan, compared with an estimate of 4.46 yuan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07588e87294a7a5a8e96c8a7834500bf\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As of press time, JD.com's stock price rose by more than 1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0149a386962eec85a139f4df7fff1dd\" tg-width=\"1394\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Operating profit in the third quarter was 8.7 billion yuan, compared with 2.6 billion yuan in the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating profit was 9.9 billion in the third quarter, compared with 4.6 billion in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Adjusted operating margin in the third quarter was 4.1%, compared with an estimate of 3.2%.</p><p>Execution expenses in the third quarter were 14.4 billion yuan, compared with an estimated 15.35 billion yuan.</p><p>Marketing expenses in the third quarter were 7.6 billion yuan, compared with 7.8 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p>Net service revenue in the third quarter was 46.5 billion yuan (approximately US $6.5 billion), a year-on-year increase of 42.2%, accounting for 19.1% of net revenue, a record high.</p><p><b>User Profile</b></p><p>As of the end of the third quarter, the number of annual active users of JD.COM Group reached 588.3 million, a net increase of more than 7.5 million from the previous quarter. The real price and service have continued to win the trust of consumers for JD.COM. Indicators such as DAU (average daily active users) and user shopping frequency and ARPU (average revenue contributed by users) continue to maintain rapid growth.</p><p>The number of annual active users increased by 6.5% from 552.2 million for the twelve months ended September 30, 2021 to 588.3 million for the twelve months ended September 30, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf5337c9c7bc23ec872d30a10fe10327","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165789326","content_text":"11月18日周五，京东集团发布2022年第三季度财报。第三季度净营收2435亿元人民币，预期2430.7亿元，去年同期2187.08亿元。第三季度净利润59.63亿元人民币，预期43.17亿元，前值-28.07亿元。第三季度非公认会计准则下EBITDA（税息折旧及摊销前利润）为115亿元，市场预期86.3亿元，去年同期为59亿元。第三季度调整后每ADS收益6.27元人民币，预估4.46元人民币。截至发稿，京东股价攀升，涨超1%。第三季度经营利润为87亿元，去年同期为26亿元。第三季度非公认会计准则下经营利润为99亿元，2021年第三季度为46亿元。第三季度调整后运营利润率4.1％，预估3.2％。第三季度执行费用144亿元人民币，预估153.5亿元人民币。第三季度的营销开支为76亿元，2021年第三季度为78亿元。第三季度净服务收入为465亿元人民币（约65亿美元），同比增长42.2%，占净收入的比例达到19.1%，创历史新高。用户情况截至三季度末，京东集团的年度活跃用户数达到5.883亿，环比净增超过750万，实在的价格和服务持续为京东赢得了消费者的信赖，DAU（日均活跃用户数）、用户购物频次和ARPU（用户平均贡献收入）等指标继续保持快速增长。年度活跃用户数由截至2021年9月30日止十二个月的5.522亿增加6.5%至截至2022年9月30日止十二个月的5.883亿。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960285086,"gmtCreate":1668175892545,"gmtModify":1676538024533,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960285086","repostId":"1104907868","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985252045,"gmtCreate":1667406411687,"gmtModify":1676537912888,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985252045","repostId":"1131965266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131965266","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1667402963,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131965266?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-02 23:29","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Institutions \"sing long\", Li Auto soared 16% intraday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131965266","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"11月2日，理想汽车涨超16%，摩根士丹利：维持理想汽车目标价35美元及评级增持。同时，CEO李想大放豪言：是时候跟连续7年的亏损经营说再见了。11月1日，理想汽车官方微博对外发布了10月份理想汽车的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On November 2, Li Auto rose more than 16%. Morgan Stanley: Maintain Li Auto's target price of $35 and overweight rating. At the same time, CEO Li Xiang made a bold statement: It's time to say goodbye to seven consecutive years of loss-making operations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a6ace1d010dedfe2ce19a39ecd71bbd\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On November 1, Li Auto's official Weibo released Li Auto delivery data for October. Subsequently, the Weibo content was forwarded by Li Auto CEO Li Xiang and commented: The delivery of the Ideal L8 is about to begin, and preparations for mass production in October are also launched for the Ideal L8, ensuring that there are enough show cars and test cars in each city. drive. Ideal L9 and Ideal L8 jointly meet the needs of home users in the price range of 300,000-500,000, and Ideal strives to achieve a monthly revenue of over 10 billion in 2022. When the two products are delivered at the same time, it is also time to say goodbye to seven consecutive years of loss-making operations. Thank you to every Li Auto owner!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b254ec87ba03e1116993b0850a3620cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Present stage</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Institutions \"sing long\", Li Auto soared 16% intraday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInstitutions \"sing long\", Li Auto soared 16% intraday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-11-02 23:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On November 2, Li Auto rose more than 16%. Morgan Stanley: Maintain Li Auto's target price of $35 and overweight rating. At the same time, CEO Li Xiang made a bold statement: It's time to say goodbye to seven consecutive years of loss-making operations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a6ace1d010dedfe2ce19a39ecd71bbd\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On November 1, Li Auto's official Weibo released Li Auto delivery data for October. Subsequently, the Weibo content was forwarded by Li Auto CEO Li Xiang and commented: The delivery of the Ideal L8 is about to begin, and preparations for mass production in October are also launched for the Ideal L8, ensuring that there are enough show cars and test cars in each city. drive. Ideal L9 and Ideal L8 jointly meet the needs of home users in the price range of 300,000-500,000, and Ideal strives to achieve a monthly revenue of over 10 billion in 2022. When the two products are delivered at the same time, it is also time to say goodbye to seven consecutive years of loss-making operations. Thank you to every Li Auto owner!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b254ec87ba03e1116993b0850a3620cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Present stage</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869684faa12daf41c77713de7a0becf","relate_stocks":{"02015":"理想汽车-W","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131965266","content_text":"11月2日，理想汽车涨超16%，摩根士丹利：维持理想汽车目标价35美元及评级增持。同时，CEO李想大放豪言：是时候跟连续7年的亏损经营说再见了。11月1日，理想汽车官方微博对外发布了10月份理想汽车的交付数据。随后，该条微博内容被理想汽车CEO李想转发并评论表示：理想L8即将开始交付，十月的大量生产相关准备也是为了理想L8而展开，确保每个城市有足够多的展车和试驾车。理想L9和理想L8共同满足30-50万价位的家庭用户的需求，理想争取2022年内实现单月收入过百亿。两款产品同时交付的时刻，也是时候该和连续七年的亏损经营说再见了。感谢每一位理想汽车的车主！现阶段","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02015":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937673796,"gmtCreate":1663431669516,"gmtModify":1676537269837,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937673796","repostId":"1182267949","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182267949","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663413984,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182267949?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 19:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"It's hard to stop! These two numbers are making it harder for the Fed this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182267949","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"零售销售放缓之余，劳动力市场的火热让美联储加息再难有回旋余地。而长期趋势来看，核心零售销售水平的高位以及零售商利润率的扩大继续对商品通胀施加压力，推动美联储加息以冷却经济活动。劳动力市场强劲首次申请失业金人数显示，美国劳动市场正在复苏。野村证券认为，在预期通胀有意义地向目标下降之前，美联储需要冷却劳动力市场。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The possibility of a soft landing is far away. In addition to the slowdown in retail sales, the hot labor market makes it difficult for the Federal Reserve's rate hike to have room for manoeuvre.</p><p>In the latest report of Nomura Securities on Thursday, analysts pointed out that the current weakening U.S. retail sales data and the slowing manufacturing index further add to the clarification that the U.S. economy is heading for recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a55e2c0d3f86e15b081445e564157e3\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the still hot CPI data and<b>Persistently lower initial claims reinforce the importance of fast-track rate hike</b>, as the market may have begun to see deeply ingrained high inflation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/822a908530fc15573a3898d0ffd7086a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In view of this, Nomura Securities' forecast for U.S. real GDP in the third quarter of 2022 was revised down to 1.1% from 1.5% on an annualized basis.</p><p>Analysts pointed out that as the economy slows down, the Fed's mission and need to tighten the financial environment have become more urgent, and the so-called \"soft landing\" to curb inflation without the economy falling into recession may be fading away.</p><p>Core retail sales show slowing consumption</p><p>Core retail sales are the basic input part of personal consumption in GDP. Although U.S. retail sales in August exceeded expectations month-on-month, core data reflected signs of slowing down.</p><p>After deflating nominal core retail sales data using a weighted combination of August CPI data, Nomura estimates that real core retail sales in the United States fell 0.6% month-over-month.</p><p>Analysts said this may be partly due to July's data being driven by Amazon's big promotion event Prime Day. However, even excluding online sales from the calculation, Nomura Securities' estimated actual core retail sales still fell by 0.3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcc16a43caf18b2e7ae06b1dd780f6a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"1020\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nomura noted that this slowdown is a general trend in the consumer sector and is increasingly evident in business sentiment in manufacturing.<b>With the consumer sector cooling and manufacturing slowing, the signals of an impending recession appear to be getting bigger and bigger.</b></p><p>Analysts expect that,<b>This recession in the U.S. economy will begin in the fourth quarter of 2022.</b></p><p>Looking at the long-term trend, the high level of core retail sales and the expansion of retailer profit margins continue to put pressure on commodity inflation, driving the Federal Reserve's rate hike to cool economic activity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc2182d74dd370cddcb786f096c32dc\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"977\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Strong labor market</p><p>The number of initial jobless claims shows that the U.S. labor market is recovering.</p><p>Despite the continued cooling trend in consumer and manufacturing activity, the job market data released in the fortnight of September 3 and September 10 continued to maintain strong momentum. Initial jobless claims fell to 213,000 on Sept. 10 from 218,000; Continuing jobless claims fell more than expected again, at 143,000, compared to the consensus estimate of 147,800.</p><p>Analysts noted that while the labor market remains one of the few strong sectors of the economy, strong labor demand is a driver of the current high inflation.</p><p>Recent Fed speeches show that members are increasingly worried about the risk of a wage spiral, while the no longer sustained strong unemployment claims show that,<b>The hot labor market is driving the current wage increase to intensify</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3780ae4a8445435a88c038babbdc6aeb\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"1063\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nomura believes the Fed needs to cool the labor market before expected inflation can meaningfully decline towards its target. As a result, the continued unusually strong job market data reinforces the pressure on the strength of the rate hike.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's hard to stop! These two numbers are making it harder for the Fed this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's hard to stop! These two numbers are making it harder for the Fed this week\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-17 19:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The possibility of a soft landing is far away. In addition to the slowdown in retail sales, the hot labor market makes it difficult for the Federal Reserve's rate hike to have room for manoeuvre.</p><p>In the latest report of Nomura Securities on Thursday, analysts pointed out that the current weakening U.S. retail sales data and the slowing manufacturing index further add to the clarification that the U.S. economy is heading for recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a55e2c0d3f86e15b081445e564157e3\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the still hot CPI data and<b>Persistently lower initial claims reinforce the importance of fast-track rate hike</b>, as the market may have begun to see deeply ingrained high inflation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/822a908530fc15573a3898d0ffd7086a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In view of this, Nomura Securities' forecast for U.S. real GDP in the third quarter of 2022 was revised down to 1.1% from 1.5% on an annualized basis.</p><p>Analysts pointed out that as the economy slows down, the Fed's mission and need to tighten the financial environment have become more urgent, and the so-called \"soft landing\" to curb inflation without the economy falling into recession may be fading away.</p><p>Core retail sales show slowing consumption</p><p>Core retail sales are the basic input part of personal consumption in GDP. Although U.S. retail sales in August exceeded expectations month-on-month, core data reflected signs of slowing down.</p><p>After deflating nominal core retail sales data using a weighted combination of August CPI data, Nomura estimates that real core retail sales in the United States fell 0.6% month-over-month.</p><p>Analysts said this may be partly due to July's data being driven by Amazon's big promotion event Prime Day. However, even excluding online sales from the calculation, Nomura Securities' estimated actual core retail sales still fell by 0.3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcc16a43caf18b2e7ae06b1dd780f6a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"1020\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nomura noted that this slowdown is a general trend in the consumer sector and is increasingly evident in business sentiment in manufacturing.<b>With the consumer sector cooling and manufacturing slowing, the signals of an impending recession appear to be getting bigger and bigger.</b></p><p>Analysts expect that,<b>This recession in the U.S. economy will begin in the fourth quarter of 2022.</b></p><p>Looking at the long-term trend, the high level of core retail sales and the expansion of retailer profit margins continue to put pressure on commodity inflation, driving the Federal Reserve's rate hike to cool economic activity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc2182d74dd370cddcb786f096c32dc\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"977\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Strong labor market</p><p>The number of initial jobless claims shows that the U.S. labor market is recovering.</p><p>Despite the continued cooling trend in consumer and manufacturing activity, the job market data released in the fortnight of September 3 and September 10 continued to maintain strong momentum. Initial jobless claims fell to 213,000 on Sept. 10 from 218,000; Continuing jobless claims fell more than expected again, at 143,000, compared to the consensus estimate of 147,800.</p><p>Analysts noted that while the labor market remains one of the few strong sectors of the economy, strong labor demand is a driver of the current high inflation.</p><p>Recent Fed speeches show that members are increasingly worried about the risk of a wage spiral, while the no longer sustained strong unemployment claims show that,<b>The hot labor market is driving the current wage increase to intensify</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3780ae4a8445435a88c038babbdc6aeb\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"1063\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nomura believes the Fed needs to cool the labor market before expected inflation can meaningfully decline towards its target. As a result, the continued unusually strong job market data reinforces the pressure on the strength of the rate hike.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670547\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670547","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182267949","content_text":"软着陆的可能性已经远去。零售销售放缓之余，劳动力市场的火热让美联储加息再难有回旋余地。在本周四野村证券最新报告中，分析师指出，当前美国零售销售数据走弱和制造业指数放缓进一步增明了美国经济正在走向衰退。与此同时，依然火热的CPI数据和持续降低的首次申领失业金人数强化了快速加息的重要性，因为市场可能已经开始出现根深蒂固的高通胀。鉴于此，野村证券对美国2022年第三季度实际GDP的预测从年化的1.5%下修至1.1%。分析师指出，在经济减速的情况下，美联储收紧金融环境的使命和需求也变为更加迫切，所谓在经济不陷入衰退的情况下抑制通胀的“软着陆”可能正在远去。核心零售销售显示消费放缓核心零售销售是GDP中个人消费的基本投入部分，尽管美国8月零售销售环比超预期，但核心数据却反映出放缓迹象。在使用8月CPI数据的加权组合对名义核心零售销售数据进行平减后，野村证券估计美国实际核心零售销售环比下降0.6%。分析师表示，这在一定程度上可能是因为7月份的数据受到亚马逊大促活动Prime Day的推动。不过即使将线上销售排除在计算之外，野村证券估计的实际核心零售销售仍然下降了0.3%。野村证券指出，这种放缓是消费部门的普遍趋势，在制造业的商业情绪中也越来越明显。随着消费行业的降温和制造业的不断放缓，即将到来的衰退信号似乎越来越大。分析师预计，美国经济的这场衰退将于2022年第四季度开始。而长期趋势来看，核心零售销售水平的高位以及零售商利润率的扩大继续对商品通胀施加压力，推动美联储加息以冷却经济活动。劳动力市场强劲首次申请失业金人数显示，美国劳动市场正在复苏。尽管消费和制造业活动持续降温趋势，但9月3日和9月10日这两周公布的就业市场数据继续保持强劲势头。9月10日首次申请失业救济人数从21.8万人降至21.3万人；持续申领失业救济人数再次超预期下降，为14.3万人，而普遍预测为14.78万人。分析师指出，虽然劳动力市场仍然是经济中为数不多的强劲部门之一，但强劲的劳动力需求是当前高通胀的一个驱动因素。近期的美联储讲话显示，委员们越来越担心工资螺旋上升的风险，而不再持续的强劲失业申请人数表明，劳动力市场火热，正推动当前工资上涨的加剧。野村证券认为，在预期通胀有意义地向目标下降之前，美联储需要冷却劳动力市场。因此，持续异常强劲的就业市场数据强化了加息力度的压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938391699,"gmtCreate":1662556396511,"gmtModify":1676537087000,"author":{"id":"3582685386479633","authorId":"3582685386479633","name":"Mingzu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c629c36c53878360c505d837193f9e79","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582685386479633","idStr":"3582685386479633"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938391699","repostId":"1175988640","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175988640","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"格隆汇旗下公众号。分享和探讨港股、美国中概股以及少量估值确有吸引力之A股的投资线索、投资机会与投资心得.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"格隆汇投资学苑","id":"3","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d7d04eb4f16b0013ed2c39f71b84b6c"},"pubTimestamp":1662556087,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175988640?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-07 21:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The dollar breaks through 110: What risks does it imply?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175988640","media":"格隆汇投资学苑","summary":"过去几十年，全球不少国家都曾经在一段时间内创造过经济增长奇迹，但最终都折戟而返，掉入中等收入陷阱，无法自拔，包括拉丁美洲的巴西、阿根廷、东南亚的泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚以及欧洲的俄罗斯、土耳其等。按照经","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In the past few decades, many countries around the world have created economic growth miracles for a period of time, but in the end they all failed and fell into the middle-income trap, unable to extricate themselves, including Brazil and Argentina in Latin America, Thailand in Southeast Asia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Russia and Turkey in Europe, etc.</p><p>According to the normal economic growth path, it is natural for per capita income to exceed $10,000, but why can't a large number of countries cross it? In my opinion, in addition to the fragility of these countries' own development process, another important factor is that Wall Street harvested their huge wealth through the tidal weapon of the US dollar, which made them slump. This harvesting process is often accompanied by the unusually strength of the US dollar.</p><p>Today, the US Dollar Index broke through 110, a sharp increase of 23% from May last year. The mainstream currencies of the United States are plummeting-the euro rarely falls below 0.99 against the US dollar, with the largest drop of 20%; The pound fell below 1.15 against the US dollar, with the biggest drop of up to 20%; The US dollar rose above 144 against the Japanese yen, infinitely close to 145, which the market thought might trigger the financial crisis, and the latter depreciated sharply by 29%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/849af6b96bcea892e2a662968a3138fc\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The US dollar is strong, and the euro and yen are overwhelmed, and the harvest situation is obvious. Historically, the US Dollar Index has exceeded 110, and only three times, and every time, emerging economies have suffered bad luck and fallen into the so-called middle-income trap.</p><p><b>01、</b><b>164 Peak</b></p><p>On February 28, 1985, the US Dollar Index climbed to 164, a record high, which doubled from the low of 82 in 1978.<b>The surge was closely related to the extremely aggressive monetary policy of the Federal Reserve at that time.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bd224468fddeaa874801284e9b7e03\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>During the global inflation in the 1970s, Bernsch, then chairman of the Federal Reserve, was at both ends and could not adopt strong monetary policy to suppress inflation. When he left office in 1978, inflation in the United States was still as high as 7.62%. After leaving office, William Miller came to power and stepped down in a hurry after only 18 months. The inflation rate in the year of leaving office was 11.22%. Then Volcker came to power in August 1979 and started the sharp rate hike mode, with interest rates from around 8% all the way to rate hike to 19.1% in June 1981.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181b29b3d0a74859e8a8750ed3f8a852\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>During this period, geopolitical and energy crises broke out. From the end of 1978 to the beginning of March 1979, Iran stopped exporting oil, resulting in a global oil supply and demand gap of 5 million barrels per day. In September 1980, the Iraqi Air Force bombed Iran, the Iran-Iraq war broke out, both countries stopped exporting oil, and the oil crisis broke out again. Oil prices soared from $14 in 1979 to around $40.</p><p>The U.S. dollar is strong in rate hike, superimposed on geopolitical wars, and the global U.S. dollar continues to flow back to the United States. In this process, foreign capital from Brazil, Argentina and other countries, whose economic development momentum was at its peak, ran away one after another, running on foreign reserves, and eventually the economy collapsed, creating an economic crisis in Latin America and falling into the so-called trap. Previously, these countries relied on a large amount of debt and foreign capital to develop their economies, which soared from US $21.2 billion in 1970 to US $328.7 billion in 1980, a cumulative increase of 15.5 times.</p><p>The pace of dollar appreciation continued until 1985. On September 22nd of that year, after the finance ministers and central bank governors of the United States, Japan, Britain, France and Germany, the soaring industrial powers, met in new york, they signed the famous Plaza Accord, which caused the yen to appreciate sharply and the US dollar to depreciate sharply.</p><p>Since then, a large amount of dollars have flowed into Japan, causing Japan's domestic currency to become lighter, commodities to become heavier, and the property market and stock market to soar. When the heat was about the same, that is, in 1988, the sharp rate hike tightening of the US dollar pierced the bubble, a large amount of capital flowed out of Japan, and financial assets continued to plummet. A huge amount of wealth was swept away, and Japan lost 30 years.</p><p>The strong appreciation of the US dollar created the tragedy in Latin America. In the process of depreciation, the Plaza Agreement was signed to start the road to harvest Japan.</p><p><b>02、</b><b>121st peak</b></p><p><b>Since 1995, after several years of consolidation at the bottom, the US Dollar Index has started its rise again, climbing to 121 in July 2001, setting the second highest record in history.</b></p><p>In fact, since January 1994, the Federal Reserve has conducted seven consecutive aggressive rate hike, and the federal benchmark interest rate has rapidly increased from 3% to 6%. Among them, on November 15, 1994, a one-time rate hike of 75 basis points became the largest rate hike since 1980s. In the following three years (1995-1998), the Federal Reserve adopted the operation of \"interest rate cut-rate hike-interest rate cut\", but the rate increase and cut were relatively small, and the overall monetary policy was in a relatively strong state. Later, in June 1999, a sharp rate hike cycle began.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5225d22f3ae681705b71ca122e4a75d9\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"597\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Furthermore,<b>A very important factor in this strong surge of the US dollar is the strong performance of economic fundamentals.</b></p><p>The United States detonated the Internet information revolution in 1995, and its economy went out of a vigorous growth frenzy within a few years. From 1995 to 1997, the IT industry accounted for only 8% of the GDP of the United States, but its contribution rate to economic growth was as high as 35%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2531fb4abd17b98411e606ba538255fb\" tg-width=\"851\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>During the sharp appreciation of the US dollar, the currencies of Southeast Asian countries that adopted the fixed exchange rate system were forced to appreciate passively, which greatly weakened the export competitiveness. In 1996, the exports of these countries declined significantly and the deterioration of the current account accelerated.</p><p>In February, 1997, Suo LS mortgaged half of his worth, raised 15 billion US dollars from the Bank of Thailand, equivalent to 380 billion Thai baht, reserved foreign exchange ammunition, and waited for the opportunity to attack the benchmark. In April, Suo believed that the amount of ammunition he held and the selling that triggered the market to follow suit was greater than the US $30 billion foreign exchange reserves of the Bank of Thailand, so he joined forces with Wall Street peers to intensively sell the Thai baht in a short period of time, and cooperated with futures and other tools to significantly short the Thai baht exchange rate.</p><p>The Bank of Thailand fought against LS, but finally lost. On July 2nd, it abandoned the fixed exchange rate system and implemented the floating exchange rate system. The exchange rate of the Thai baht plummeted that day, depreciating as much as 18%. Since then, the exchange rate has continued to decline. By January 1998, the Thai baht depreciated to 1:55 against the US dollar, with a depreciation rate of 40%, and by the end of the year, it reached 60%.</p><p>The Wall Street bosses led by Suo took away tens of billions of dollars of huge wealth in Thailand, including the 30 billion dollars of foreign exchange accumulated by the Bank of Thailand for decades. But the nightmare is not over yet. During the same period, the property market and stock market bubbles burst (SET fell from 1756 points to 200 points in August 1998, a drop of 89%), which severely damaged Thailand's economic vitality. With almost the same routine, Wall Street looted the wealth of Southeast Asian countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.</p><p>Suo LS is nothing more than taking advantage of the trend of the US dollar tide, seeing the right opportunity, hitting Thailand hard, and then spreading to the entire Southeast Asia. The joint short selling of Suo is only the fuse, but it is not the initiator. The strong appreciation of the US dollar is. After the economic and financial crisis in Southeast Asia, overseas funds flowed back to the United States, which stimulated the US dollar to become stronger.</p><p>In addition to the disaster in Southeast Asia, the strength of the US dollar also triggered Russia's debt crisis, and then the financial crisis gradually escalated into an economic crisis and a political crisis.</p><p>At the end of 1997, Russia's total external liabilities were US $128 billion (short-term debt accounted for 70%), but its total assets were only US $27.7 billion, and its foreign exchange reserves were only US $13 billion. The dollar appreciates too fast, consumes Russia's foreign exchange reserves too quickly, and it is unable to pay its foreign debt, resulting in default.</p><p>August 1998, Russia<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Announcing the postponement of foreign debt repayment and the suspension of national bond trading, a series of crises broke out, which hit Russia hard and plunged it into a trap.</p><p><b>Taking history as a mirror, the so-called middle-income trap is actually a conspiracy.</b>Why can't I cross it? The main reason is that I have gained weight and it's time to be slaughtered. A long time ago, the great plunder of wealth had to rely on war, but in the past few decades, it relied on financial plunder. The tide of the US dollar looted the huge wealth accumulated by these so-called emerging economies, and the economic and financial sovereignty was also transferred, and it was not allowed to turn over.</p><p>But there are exceptions, and Japan is one of them, crossing the trap and entering the ranks of developed countries. But it still cannot escape the fate of being harvested by Wall Street, and a series of sovereignty has also been taken away by the powerful.</p><p><b>03、</b><b>Epilogue</b></p><p>The frenzy of dollar appreciation since May last year is not how strong the U.S. economy is, but very similar to the 1978-1985 wave, mainly caused by unusually aggressive monetary policy.</p><p>From the beginning of the year to the present, the Federal Reserve's rate hike has been exceeding expectations, with rate hike of 25BP, 50BP, 75BP, and 75BP in March, May, June, and July respectively. In just four interest rate meetings, the sharp rate hike was 225 basis points, setting the most radical and craziest rate hike operation in 40 years. And the expected probability of another rate hike of 75BP in September this year has exceeded 70%.</p><p>Such a \"sharp turn\" in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is obviously a state of attack on other currencies around the world. Since the beginning of this year, the average daily foreign exchange reserves of emerging economies of US $2 billion have been consumed, but they still cannot stop the depreciation of domestic currencies and the strong appreciation of the US dollar.</p><p><b>Once the foreign exchange reserves of these countries are squeezed dry and the exchange rate continues to depreciate, it may be inevitable that the finance and economy will fall into great turmoil and chaos. This creates a huge space for Wall Street to shear sheep globally.</b></p><p>Sri Lanka has declared bankruptcy at the national level, but this volume simply cannot satisfy the appetite of capital. Now, Wall Street capital is aiming at blockbuster economies such as Europe and Japan, and they are now in great trouble.</p><p>The US dollar won 110, hitting another 20-year high, which has sounded the siren of the financial turmoil. Now, the one-sided performance of non-American currencies, especially Japan and Europe, is really a bit ominous sign.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dollar breaks through 110: What risks does it imply?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dollar breaks through 110: What risks does it imply?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d7d04eb4f16b0013ed2c39f71b84b6c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇投资学苑 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-07 21:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In the past few decades, many countries around the world have created economic growth miracles for a period of time, but in the end they all failed and fell into the middle-income trap, unable to extricate themselves, including Brazil and Argentina in Latin America, Thailand in Southeast Asia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Russia and Turkey in Europe, etc.</p><p>According to the normal economic growth path, it is natural for per capita income to exceed $10,000, but why can't a large number of countries cross it? In my opinion, in addition to the fragility of these countries' own development process, another important factor is that Wall Street harvested their huge wealth through the tidal weapon of the US dollar, which made them slump. This harvesting process is often accompanied by the unusually strength of the US dollar.</p><p>Today, the US Dollar Index broke through 110, a sharp increase of 23% from May last year. The mainstream currencies of the United States are plummeting-the euro rarely falls below 0.99 against the US dollar, with the largest drop of 20%; The pound fell below 1.15 against the US dollar, with the biggest drop of up to 20%; The US dollar rose above 144 against the Japanese yen, infinitely close to 145, which the market thought might trigger the financial crisis, and the latter depreciated sharply by 29%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/849af6b96bcea892e2a662968a3138fc\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The US dollar is strong, and the euro and yen are overwhelmed, and the harvest situation is obvious. Historically, the US Dollar Index has exceeded 110, and only three times, and every time, emerging economies have suffered bad luck and fallen into the so-called middle-income trap.</p><p><b>01、</b><b>164 Peak</b></p><p>On February 28, 1985, the US Dollar Index climbed to 164, a record high, which doubled from the low of 82 in 1978.<b>The surge was closely related to the extremely aggressive monetary policy of the Federal Reserve at that time.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72bd224468fddeaa874801284e9b7e03\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>During the global inflation in the 1970s, Bernsch, then chairman of the Federal Reserve, was at both ends and could not adopt strong monetary policy to suppress inflation. When he left office in 1978, inflation in the United States was still as high as 7.62%. After leaving office, William Miller came to power and stepped down in a hurry after only 18 months. The inflation rate in the year of leaving office was 11.22%. Then Volcker came to power in August 1979 and started the sharp rate hike mode, with interest rates from around 8% all the way to rate hike to 19.1% in June 1981.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181b29b3d0a74859e8a8750ed3f8a852\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>During this period, geopolitical and energy crises broke out. From the end of 1978 to the beginning of March 1979, Iran stopped exporting oil, resulting in a global oil supply and demand gap of 5 million barrels per day. In September 1980, the Iraqi Air Force bombed Iran, the Iran-Iraq war broke out, both countries stopped exporting oil, and the oil crisis broke out again. Oil prices soared from $14 in 1979 to around $40.</p><p>The U.S. dollar is strong in rate hike, superimposed on geopolitical wars, and the global U.S. dollar continues to flow back to the United States. In this process, foreign capital from Brazil, Argentina and other countries, whose economic development momentum was at its peak, ran away one after another, running on foreign reserves, and eventually the economy collapsed, creating an economic crisis in Latin America and falling into the so-called trap. Previously, these countries relied on a large amount of debt and foreign capital to develop their economies, which soared from US $21.2 billion in 1970 to US $328.7 billion in 1980, a cumulative increase of 15.5 times.</p><p>The pace of dollar appreciation continued until 1985. On September 22nd of that year, after the finance ministers and central bank governors of the United States, Japan, Britain, France and Germany, the soaring industrial powers, met in new york, they signed the famous Plaza Accord, which caused the yen to appreciate sharply and the US dollar to depreciate sharply.</p><p>Since then, a large amount of dollars have flowed into Japan, causing Japan's domestic currency to become lighter, commodities to become heavier, and the property market and stock market to soar. When the heat was about the same, that is, in 1988, the sharp rate hike tightening of the US dollar pierced the bubble, a large amount of capital flowed out of Japan, and financial assets continued to plummet. A huge amount of wealth was swept away, and Japan lost 30 years.</p><p>The strong appreciation of the US dollar created the tragedy in Latin America. In the process of depreciation, the Plaza Agreement was signed to start the road to harvest Japan.</p><p><b>02、</b><b>121st peak</b></p><p><b>Since 1995, after several years of consolidation at the bottom, the US Dollar Index has started its rise again, climbing to 121 in July 2001, setting the second highest record in history.</b></p><p>In fact, since January 1994, the Federal Reserve has conducted seven consecutive aggressive rate hike, and the federal benchmark interest rate has rapidly increased from 3% to 6%. Among them, on November 15, 1994, a one-time rate hike of 75 basis points became the largest rate hike since 1980s. In the following three years (1995-1998), the Federal Reserve adopted the operation of \"interest rate cut-rate hike-interest rate cut\", but the rate increase and cut were relatively small, and the overall monetary policy was in a relatively strong state. Later, in June 1999, a sharp rate hike cycle began.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5225d22f3ae681705b71ca122e4a75d9\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"597\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Furthermore,<b>A very important factor in this strong surge of the US dollar is the strong performance of economic fundamentals.</b></p><p>The United States detonated the Internet information revolution in 1995, and its economy went out of a vigorous growth frenzy within a few years. From 1995 to 1997, the IT industry accounted for only 8% of the GDP of the United States, but its contribution rate to economic growth was as high as 35%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2531fb4abd17b98411e606ba538255fb\" tg-width=\"851\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>During the sharp appreciation of the US dollar, the currencies of Southeast Asian countries that adopted the fixed exchange rate system were forced to appreciate passively, which greatly weakened the export competitiveness. In 1996, the exports of these countries declined significantly and the deterioration of the current account accelerated.</p><p>In February, 1997, Suo LS mortgaged half of his worth, raised 15 billion US dollars from the Bank of Thailand, equivalent to 380 billion Thai baht, reserved foreign exchange ammunition, and waited for the opportunity to attack the benchmark. In April, Suo believed that the amount of ammunition he held and the selling that triggered the market to follow suit was greater than the US $30 billion foreign exchange reserves of the Bank of Thailand, so he joined forces with Wall Street peers to intensively sell the Thai baht in a short period of time, and cooperated with futures and other tools to significantly short the Thai baht exchange rate.</p><p>The Bank of Thailand fought against LS, but finally lost. On July 2nd, it abandoned the fixed exchange rate system and implemented the floating exchange rate system. The exchange rate of the Thai baht plummeted that day, depreciating as much as 18%. Since then, the exchange rate has continued to decline. By January 1998, the Thai baht depreciated to 1:55 against the US dollar, with a depreciation rate of 40%, and by the end of the year, it reached 60%.</p><p>The Wall Street bosses led by Suo took away tens of billions of dollars of huge wealth in Thailand, including the 30 billion dollars of foreign exchange accumulated by the Bank of Thailand for decades. But the nightmare is not over yet. During the same period, the property market and stock market bubbles burst (SET fell from 1756 points to 200 points in August 1998, a drop of 89%), which severely damaged Thailand's economic vitality. With almost the same routine, Wall Street looted the wealth of Southeast Asian countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.</p><p>Suo LS is nothing more than taking advantage of the trend of the US dollar tide, seeing the right opportunity, hitting Thailand hard, and then spreading to the entire Southeast Asia. The joint short selling of Suo is only the fuse, but it is not the initiator. The strong appreciation of the US dollar is. After the economic and financial crisis in Southeast Asia, overseas funds flowed back to the United States, which stimulated the US dollar to become stronger.</p><p>In addition to the disaster in Southeast Asia, the strength of the US dollar also triggered Russia's debt crisis, and then the financial crisis gradually escalated into an economic crisis and a political crisis.</p><p>At the end of 1997, Russia's total external liabilities were US $128 billion (short-term debt accounted for 70%), but its total assets were only US $27.7 billion, and its foreign exchange reserves were only US $13 billion. The dollar appreciates too fast, consumes Russia's foreign exchange reserves too quickly, and it is unable to pay its foreign debt, resulting in default.</p><p>August 1998, Russia<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>Announcing the postponement of foreign debt repayment and the suspension of national bond trading, a series of crises broke out, which hit Russia hard and plunged it into a trap.</p><p><b>Taking history as a mirror, the so-called middle-income trap is actually a conspiracy.</b>Why can't I cross it? The main reason is that I have gained weight and it's time to be slaughtered. A long time ago, the great plunder of wealth had to rely on war, but in the past few decades, it relied on financial plunder. The tide of the US dollar looted the huge wealth accumulated by these so-called emerging economies, and the economic and financial sovereignty was also transferred, and it was not allowed to turn over.</p><p>But there are exceptions, and Japan is one of them, crossing the trap and entering the ranks of developed countries. But it still cannot escape the fate of being harvested by Wall Street, and a series of sovereignty has also been taken away by the powerful.</p><p><b>03、</b><b>Epilogue</b></p><p>The frenzy of dollar appreciation since May last year is not how strong the U.S. economy is, but very similar to the 1978-1985 wave, mainly caused by unusually aggressive monetary policy.</p><p>From the beginning of the year to the present, the Federal Reserve's rate hike has been exceeding expectations, with rate hike of 25BP, 50BP, 75BP, and 75BP in March, May, June, and July respectively. In just four interest rate meetings, the sharp rate hike was 225 basis points, setting the most radical and craziest rate hike operation in 40 years. And the expected probability of another rate hike of 75BP in September this year has exceeded 70%.</p><p>Such a \"sharp turn\" in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is obviously a state of attack on other currencies around the world. Since the beginning of this year, the average daily foreign exchange reserves of emerging economies of US $2 billion have been consumed, but they still cannot stop the depreciation of domestic currencies and the strong appreciation of the US dollar.</p><p><b>Once the foreign exchange reserves of these countries are squeezed dry and the exchange rate continues to depreciate, it may be inevitable that the finance and economy will fall into great turmoil and chaos. This creates a huge space for Wall Street to shear sheep globally.</b></p><p>Sri Lanka has declared bankruptcy at the national level, but this volume simply cannot satisfy the appetite of capital. Now, Wall Street capital is aiming at blockbuster economies such as Europe and Japan, and they are now in great trouble.</p><p>The US dollar won 110, hitting another 20-year high, which has sounded the siren of the financial turmoil. Now, the one-sided performance of non-American currencies, especially Japan and Europe, is really a bit ominous sign.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed934b4816fdc5786a33453382a387eb","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175988640","content_text":"过去几十年，全球不少国家都曾经在一段时间内创造过经济增长奇迹，但最终都折戟而返，掉入中等收入陷阱，无法自拔，包括拉丁美洲的巴西、阿根廷、东南亚的泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚以及欧洲的俄罗斯、土耳其等。按照经济正常增长路径，人均收入跨过1万美元是自然而然的事，但为何会有一大批国家就是跨不过去？在我看来，除了这些国家本身发展过程中的脆弱等问题，还有一个重要因素就是华尔街通过美元潮汐武器收割它们的巨量财富，使其一蹶不振。而这个收割过程中，往往伴随着美元的异常强势。今日，美元指数急破110，较去年5月大幅上涨23%。而非美主流货币狂泻不止——欧元兑美元罕见跌破0.99，最大跌幅高达20%；英镑兑美元跌破1.15，最大跌幅高达20%；美元兑日元升破144，无限接近市场认为可能引爆金融危机的145，后者大幅贬值29%。美元强势，干翻欧元、日元，收割之态势昭然若揭。历史上，美元指数突破110，也仅有3次，且每次都有新兴经济体遭殃倒霉，掉入所谓中等收入陷阱。01、164高峰1985年2月28日，美元指数攀升至164，创下历史最高记录，相较于1978年低点的82，整整上涨翻了一倍。大涨如此之多，与当时的美联储无比激进的货币政策密切相关。1970年代的全球大通胀，时任美联储主席的伯恩施首鼠两端，不能采取强有力的货币政策压制住通胀。在1978年卸任的时候，美国通胀仍然高达7.62%。卸任之后，威廉米勒上台，只干了18个月就匆匆下台，卸任当年通胀11.22%。紧接着1979年8月沃尔克上台，开启大幅加息模式，从8%左右的利率一路加息至1981年6月的19.1%。在此期间，地缘政治、能源危机爆发。从1978年底到1979年3月初，伊朗停止输出石油，导致全球石油每日供需缺口达到500万桶。1980年9月，伊拉克空军轰炸伊朗，两伊战争爆发，两国石油均停止出口，石油危机再度爆发。油价从1979年的14美元飙升至40美元左右。美元强势加息，叠加地缘战争，全球美元持续回流美国。而这个过程中，经济发展势头如日中天的巴西、阿根廷等国的外资纷纷跑路，挤兑外储，最终经济崩溃，制造了拉丁美洲经济危机，掉进所谓陷阱。而在之前，这些国家依靠大量举债外资发展经济，从1970年的212亿美元急速飙升至1980年的3287亿美元，累计增长15.5倍。美元升值的步伐一直到了1985年。当年9月22日，美、日、英、法、德这些如日冲天的工业大国财政部长和央行行长在纽约会晤后，签下的著名的《广场协议》，让日元大幅升值，美元大幅贬值。此后，大量美元流入日本，导致日本国内的货币变轻，商品变重，楼市、股市一飞冲天。等火候差不多的时候，即1988年，美元大幅加息紧缩刺破泡沫，大量资本流出日本，金融资产持续暴跌。海量财富被卷走了，日本失去了30年。美元强势大升值，制造拉美洲惨案。下跌贬值过程中，签订广场协议，开启收割日本之路。02、121次峰从1995年开始，美元指数经过几年底部的盘整之后，再度开启崛起之路，于2001年7月攀升至121，创下历史第二高记录。其实1994年1月开始，美联储连续激进加息7次，联邦基准利率从3%快速提升至6%。其中，1994年11月15日，一次性加息75个基点，成为1980年代以来加息幅度最大的一次。此后的3年内（1995-1998年），美联储采取“降息—加息—降息”的操作，但加降息幅度都比较小，货币政策整体处于比较强势的状态。后又于1999年6月开启大幅加息周期。此外，美元这波强势大涨很重要的因素是经济基本面表现强劲。美国在1995年引爆了互联网信息革命，其经济在几年内走出了一波轰轰烈烈的增长狂潮。1995一1997年IT产业只占美国GDP的8%，但它对经济增长的贡献率却高达35%。美元大幅升值期间，迫使采取固定汇率制的东南亚国家货币被动升值，大大削弱出口竞争力。1996年，这些国家的出口显著下滑，经常账户加速恶化。1997年2月，索LS抵押了自己的半数身价，向泰国银行融资150亿美元，折合泰铢3800亿元，储备外汇弹药，等待时机基准狙击。4月，索认为自己手握的弹药以及抛售引发市场跟风的体量要大于泰国央行300亿美元外汇储备，于是联合华尔街同行大佬，在短时间内密集抛售泰铢，配合期货等工具大幅做空泰铢汇率。泰国央行大战索LS，但最终败北，于7月2日放弃固定汇率制，实施浮动汇率制。泰铢汇率当日暴跌，贬值高达18%。此后，汇率持续下行，到1998年1月，泰铢兑美元贬值到1:55，贬值幅度高达40%，到年末更是达到了60%。索为首的华尔街大佬一把撸走了泰国数百亿美元的巨量财富，包括泰国央行积攒数十年的300亿美元外汇也被洗劫一空。但噩梦还没完，同期楼市、股市泡沫破灭（SET从1756点跌至1998年8月的200点，跌幅89%），重创了泰国经济元气。几乎以同样的套路，华尔街洗劫了马来西亚、印尼、新加坡等东南亚国家的财富。索LS无非是在美元潮汐的大势中，看准时机顺势而为，重创泰国，进而蔓延到整个东南亚。索的联合做空只是导火索，但并不是始作俑者，美元强势升值才是。东南亚经济以及金融危机之后，海外资金回流美国趋之如骛，反而来刺激美元更加强势。除了东南亚之劫，美元强势还触发了俄罗斯的债务危机，随后金融危机，逐步升级成经济危机和政治危机。1997年底，俄罗斯对外负债总额为1280亿美元（短期债务占比70%），资产总值却仅有277亿美元，外汇储备仅仅只有130亿美元。美元升值太快，过快消耗俄罗斯的外汇储备，无力支付外债从而导致违约。1998年8月，俄罗斯中央银行宣布推迟偿还外债及暂停国债券交易，一系列危机爆发，重创俄罗斯，使其掉入陷阱。以史为鉴，所谓中等收入陷阱其实是一场阳谋。为何跨不过去，主因是长肥了，到被宰割的时候了。很久很久以前，财富大掠夺必须靠战争，而过去的几十年靠的是金融掠夺，美元潮汐一波，就洗劫了这些所谓新兴经济体积攒下来的巨量财富，且经济与金融主权也让渡了出来，不得翻身。但也有例外，日本就是其中之一，跨过陷阱，迈入发达国家之列。但依旧逃不掉被华尔街收割的命运，且一系列主权也都被豪取强夺走了。03、尾声从去年5月至今的这波美元升值狂潮，并不是美国经济表现有多么强劲，而是跟1978-1985年这一波非常相像，主要由异常激进的货币政策导致。从年初到现在，美联储的加息一直在超预期进行，3月、5月、6月、7月分别加息25BP、50BP、75BP、75BP。短短4次议息会议，大幅加息225个基点，创下40年来最激进、最疯狂的加息操作。且今年9月再度加息75BP的预期概率已经超过70%。美联储货币政策如此“急转弯”，显然对全球其他货币是一种攻击状态。今年以来，新兴经济日均20亿美元的外汇储备被消耗，但依旧无法阻挡本国货币贬值以及美元强势升值的步伐。一旦这些国家外汇储备被榨干，汇率持续贬值失手，金融以及经济陷入巨大的动荡与混乱就可能无法避免。这为华尔街全球剪羊毛创造了巨大空间。斯里兰卡已经宣布国家层面的破产，但这体量根本无法满足资本的胃口。现在，华尔街资本瞄准的是欧洲、日本这样的重磅级的经济体，而它们现在已经陷入巨大的困境之中。美元拿下110，再创20年新高，已经拉响了金融风暴的警笛。现在，非美货币的一边倒表现，尤其是日欧，真是有点不祥之征兆。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}