湖中有虎 personal page - To The Moon

湖中有虎

No personal profile

602Follow

18Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2021-05-20

Like

Oatly spikes 25% on its first day of trading

2021-06-05

Like

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO

2021-06-20

Like

Answering the great inflation question of our time

2021-05-30

Love

The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever

2021-04-21

Like and comment. Thanks,, ?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-08-05

Like

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-15

Like

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-20

K

Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split

2022-08-08

K

The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market

2022-06-25

I

What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3581998808524359","uuid":"3581998808524359","gmtCreate":1618905112973,"gmtModify":1618905112973,"name":"湖中有虎","pinyin":"hzyhhuzhongyouhu","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":18,"headSize":602,"tweetSize":0,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-3","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":" Tiger Idol","description":"Join the tiger community for 1500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.05.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.02.08","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":9932307765,"gmtCreate":1662869904958,"gmtModify":1676537155130,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932307765","repostId":"2266817381","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266817381","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662861434,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266817381?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-11 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266817381","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 09:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","OXY":"西方石油","BK4176":"多领域控股","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266817381","content_text":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERSMs. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNALBut she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESEvery day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERSAs the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in \"carbon management.\" It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. \"I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,\" he said. \"I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,\" he said.Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.Mr. Icahn's retort: \"She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.68,"OXY":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936782984,"gmtCreate":1662826740248,"gmtModify":1676537147235,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936782984","repostId":"2266879811","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266879811","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662769352,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266879811?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-10 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266879811","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big cras","content":"<div>\n<p>Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-10 08:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266879811","content_text":"Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will not likely return to its 2021 peak, but that doesn't mean the asset class is doomed.This year’s crypto market crash was the worst in the short history of the asset class. That much is true, simply given how many more people were affected in the wake of it as opposed to previous crypto crashes. But is crypto dead as a result? The answer is a bit loaded. What is certain, though, is that a fundamental change will be occurring in the crypto market for years to come.The past two years have been great for crypto’s exposure to the mainstream. At this point, everybody and their mother has at least heard of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Last fall, countless guides cropped up in response to this, telling people how to navigate crypto questions from family members over the holidays. Celebrities started flocking to non-fungible tokens (NFTs) through Bored Ape Yacht Club as well.Throughout 2021, the market capitalization of crypto ebbed and flowed. However, investors can see exactly the point when crypto hit the mainstream via Dogecoin‘s (DOGE-USD) bull run early that year. At that point, the global crypto market cap shattered through the $1 trillion mark. It then proceeded to climb north of $2 trillion by the end of 2021, aided by BTC’s $67,000 all-time high, the booming success of play-to-earn blockchain games, the foray of NFTs into mainstream art and the speculative wonders of pupcoins like Doge and Shiba Inu (SHIB-USD).Indeed, crypto seemed like an unstoppable force not too long ago. But there’s a major fault line in the industry which was oft overlooked as the asset class continued to make investors rich. Crypto was simply not made to exist like it did during the 2021 gravy train.Crypto: Made for Transactions, Not GainsWhen Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin to the world in 2008, the pseudonymous programmer likely didn’t envision anything like we saw at the height of the crypto bull market. BTC priced in at well over $67,000 apiece and the “hodl” philosophy — buy the dip and never sell — took over. Now, Bitcoin whales collectively own nearly 46% of the coin’s total supply.This is just not what Bitcoin was meant to be, however. Sure, the price of BTC was expected to go up some, but that was originally only expected to be through the growth of its practical use cases. At its core, BTC was designed as a mode of transaction for the unbanked. Bitcoin is an alternative to fiat, allowing users to operate outside of the control of central banks.Of course, Bitcoin’s not the only crypto like this. Although made as a joke, Dogecoin operates to the same exact ends. Privacy coins like Monero (XMR-USD) and Zcash (ZEC-USD) do the same thing as well, with the added goal of making these transactions completely anonymous.Ethereum (ETH-USD), the second-largest currency which saw its own price renaissance last year, operates on a different motive. However, ETH is not hell-bent on gains either. Vitalik Buterin and the seven other Ethereum cofounders launched the project with the intention of making a blockchain with a built-in programming language. This created an ecosystem of decentralized apps (dapps) which could be immutable and better-performing in contrast to the World Wide Web we know today.Projects Continue to Innovate After Market CrashContinuing down the list of top cryptos, investors will notice each project was built with a grand vision in mind — ones that never explicitly involve going up in price. Layer-1 projects like Cardano (ADA-USD), Solana (SOL-USD) and Polkadot (DOT-USD) are competitors to Ethereum, sharing the project’s dapp vision. Meanwhile, Tether (USDT-USD), Binance USD (BUSD-USD) and USD Coin (USDC-USD) can’t gain as stablecoins. The list goes on.So, is crypto dead in the wake of this recent crash? No, not from an innovation perspective.These projects aren’t phased by market volatility, because at the end of the day, they focus on grander visions. The trap investors get caught in when moving from stocks to crypto is believing that crypto developers care about coin prices the same way traditional companies concern themselves with shareholders and stock prices. This isn’t the case. In fact, it’s quite common for projects to forbid talking about price speculation on official channels.Developers haven’t ceased innovating since the crypto crash. Investors are still seeing some massive rollouts and upgrades. Ethereum is on the verge of its biggest upgrade ever and Cardano is soon to follow with its own hard fork. Ripple (XRP-USD) is also working closely with banks on implementing a new worldwide banking communications standard.Is Crypto Dead? To a Certain Demographic, Yes.The question “Is crypto dead?” comes down to simple framing. Are you an investor looking to 10x your investment on some speculative token with no practical use cases? Are you buying an art NFT and banking on some celebrity to pick up their own from the same collection? If so, the answer to the “dead” question is probably yes.The market crash is sending crypto into capitulation and the chances we see something like 2021 happening again are not very high. Put simply, the industry had caught lightning in a jar. Prices were already on the rise, more investors than ever were participating in the market, the pandemic had created extremely favorable macroeconomic conditions and — most importantly — there were no regulations.Nearly every country is regulating crypto now, especially the United States. The U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission is massively clamping down on projects, particularly in the wake of the crash. Moving forward, investigations and legal challenges could hamper even the most innovative projects in the space. There’s not much room, then, for the more speculative plays to crop up and immediately soar like before.Crypto investing isn’t completely dead. But it is certainly much less favorable to those only interested in speculative investing and the potential for massive gains. The recent crash brought an end to yet another speculative asset bubble; first there was the Dotcom bubble, then the housing bubble and now here we are. Obviously, web stocks didn’t disappear entirely, nor did housing. But they haven’t looked anything like they did at their peak hype. Neither will crypto.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936995059,"gmtCreate":1662689063671,"gmtModify":1676537119212,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936995059","repostId":"2265862852","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265862852","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662688723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265862852?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 09:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265862852","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could this growing ad tech company challenge Google?","content":"<div>\n<p>Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-09 09:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","BK4514":"搜索引擎","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4525":"远程办公概念","CTV":"Innovid","BK4009":"广告","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","DSP":"Viant Technology Inc.","BK4538":"云计算","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4573":"虚拟现实"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265862852","content_text":"Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ads, withstood that competition.DSPs help marketers buy programmatic (automated) ad space across multiple platforms. They sit on the opposite end of the advertising supply chain as sell-side platforms (SSPs), which help publishers sell their own ad inventories.Image source: Getty Images.Google's advertising platform already bundles together a DSP, SSP, and other digital advertising services. But instead of going head-to-head against Google in its core desktop and mobile advertising markets, The Trade Desk has carved out a growing niche by focusing on streaming audio and video platforms.The secular growth of those streaming media platforms, which accelerated throughout the pandemic as more people stayed at home, boosted The Trade Desk's revenue from $203 million in 2016 to $1.2 billion in 2021, which represented a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 43%. The Trade Desk is still tiny compared to Alphabet, but it's also growing a lot faster and attracting advertisers that don't want to tether themselves to Google's sprawling ecosystem. Could it grow significantly larger and eclipse Alphabet's market cap by the end of the decade?The Trade Desk's long-term planThe Trade Desk currently serves more than 1,000 customers. It provides ad space across mobile, desktop, and connected TV (CTV) platforms, but it's been generating most of its growth from the CTV market, which consists of ad-supported platforms like Comcast's Peacock, Warner Bros. Discovery's HBO Max, and Disney+. Even Netflix, which had shunned ads for years, plans to launch a cheaper ad-supported tier in the near future.During The Trade Desk's latest conference call, CEO Jeff Green said Netflix's decision to avoid Google and tap Microsoft's ad tech platform Xandr (which is already partnered with The Trade Desk) to build its upcoming ad-supported tier was a \"strong indication\" that companies were recognizing the \"dangers and limitations of walled gardens.\"Google also owns YouTube, the world's largest ad-supported streaming video platform, so it doesn't make sense for most streaming video companies like Disney or Netflix to tether themselves to a major competitor. Green believes that desire to avoid walled gardens will drive the growth of an \"open internet\" for independent ad platforms like The Trade Desk.Can The Trade Desk keep growing?The Trade Desk has grown like a weed since its IPO in 2016, and its stock has more than tripled from its IPO price of $18. But besides the pandemic, which actually generated tailwinds for its CTV business, it hasn't been tested by a major recession yet. Many advertising companies have already reined in their near-term expectations to deal with inflation, rising interest rates, and unpredictable geopolitical tensions, and The Trade Desk probably won't be immune to those headwinds.For now, analysts expect The Trade Desk's revenue to rise 33% to $1.59 billion this year, grow another 24% to $1.98 billion in 2023, and increase 27% to $2.53 billion in 2024. Those growth rates look healthy, but they might not fully account for a painful recession or intense competition from other independent or bundled DSPs.Furthermore, Apple's privacy changes on iOS and Google's decision to stamp out third-party cookies could also cause unexpected problems. However, The Trade Desk is already countering those changes with its new platform Solimar, which insulates advertisers from Apple's changes by accumulating more first-party data for ads, and a newer technology known as Unified ID (UID) 2.0 that eliminates the need for third-party cookies.Assuming The Trade Desk matches analysts' sales expectations for the next two years and continues to grow at a CAGR of 25% through 2030, it could generate nearly $10 billion in revenue by the final year. But that would still make it an ant compared to Alphabet, which generated a whopping $257.6 billion in revenue last year. So unless Alphabet gets chopped up into tiny pieces by antitrust regulators, it will still be worth a lot more than The Trade Desk.But it could still be a better growth stock than AlphabetYet The Trade Desk could still generate bigger gains than Alphabet over the next eight years. Analysts only expect Alphabet's revenue to grow in the low-teens through 2024, and it will likely maintain those mature growth rates through 2030.With a market cap of $29.3 billion, The Trade Desk isn't cheap at 18 times this year's sales. Alphabet, which is worth $1.4 trillion, trades at five times this year's sales. But if The Trade Desk generates $10 billion in revenue in 2030 and its price-to-sales ratio cools off to ten, it could still be worth $100 billion -- which would be more than triple its current valuation. It would arguably be much more difficult for Alphabet's stock to triple within the same period.That's all speculation for now, but I still believe The Trade Desk is a rock-solid growth stock for long-term investors. Just don't expect it to come anywhere close to matching Alphabet's market cap within the next decade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DSP":1,"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"QNETCN":0.6,"CTV":1,"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931886427,"gmtCreate":1662430719369,"gmtModify":1676537058701,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931886427","repostId":"2264713810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264713810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662422226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264713810?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264713810","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir is down 80% from its all-time high.</li><li>Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.</li><li>Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.</li><li>PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I&#39;m cautiously optimistic.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5161cf24383825916fdda5a8d1265e6a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Maria Symchych-Navrotska</span></p><p><b>Down 80%</b></p><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what&#39;s 1% between friends?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e793f0a76a887f0d46cde8613a143b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR data by YCharts</span></p><p>So, what was happening back then?</p><ul><li>Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in Japan</li><li>Fujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customer</li><li>Palantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernization</li><li>Palantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&amp;E</li><li>Palantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo Day</li></ul><p>It certainly wasn&#39;t all good news:</p><ul><li>Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growth</li></ul><p>Yet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, <i>and retail</i>. At that point in time, few people were thinking about &#34;macro&#34; at all:</p><blockquote>Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker&#39;s market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they&#39;re doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.</blockquote><p>Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:</p><blockquote>The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.</blockquote><p><b>Are We Really Down 80%</b></p><p>This is where things get tricky. I&#39;m down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It&#39;s not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It&#39;s also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it&#39;s psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here&#39;s what I mean:</p><blockquote>One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.</blockquote><p>Here&#39;s a compelling picture to better understand how this works:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b77ef4ec0b7a3bd2e6445460fe02376\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)</span></p><p>Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn&#39;t change because we&#39;re looking at the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.</p><p>Making this personal, I&#39;m down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I&#39;m writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.</p><p>Again, I must stress that the math isn&#39;t too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.</p><blockquote>If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.</blockquote><p>This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it&#39;s critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.</p><p><b>Putting The &#34;Loss&#34; in Perspective</b></p><p>My little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It&#39;s quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.</p><p>On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:</p><blockquote>Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.</blockquote><p>I don&#39;t think I&#39;ve ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you&#39;ll almost certainly be selling.</p><p>Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdb4a1bd8a48e99a7dde89069d38ff1f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YCharts</span></p><p>That&#39;s volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That&#39;s the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bef574ff547e600696e1a28b73f598\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>No new catalysts? That&#39;s not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR&#39;s Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that&#39;s absolutely true, <i>and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst</i>. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so &#34;Fair Warning!&#34; is issued again: <i>Here There Be Volatility</i>.</p><p><b>Wrap Up</b></p><p>Most investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We&#39;re all looking to win, right?</p><p>The upside is that it&#39;s now a bit easier to understand PLTR&#39;s price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it&#39;s a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.</p><p>What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:</p><ul><li>Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)</li><li>Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)</li><li>TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)</li><li>New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)</li><li>Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)</li></ul><p>Of course, I&#39;m still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We&#39;ll see.</p><p>While I do think that PLTR&#39;s 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:</p><blockquote>I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We&#39;re in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.</blockquote><p>The company isn&#39;t going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I&#39;m going to very, very cautiously issue a &#34;Buy&#34; of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264713810","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I'm cautiously optimistic.Maria Symchych-NavrotskaDown 80%Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what's 1% between friends?PLTR data by YChartsSo, what was happening back then?Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in JapanFujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customerPalantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernizationPalantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&EPalantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo DayIt certainly wasn't all good news:Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growthYet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, and retail. At that point in time, few people were thinking about \"macro\" at all:Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker's market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they're doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.Are We Really Down 80%This is where things get tricky. I'm down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It's not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It's also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it's psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here's what I mean:One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.Here's a compelling picture to better understand how this works:The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn't change because we're looking at the S&P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.Making this personal, I'm down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I'm writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.Again, I must stress that the math isn't too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it's critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.Putting The \"Loss\" in PerspectiveMy little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It's quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.I don't think I've ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you'll almost certainly be selling.Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YChartsThat's volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That's the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)No new catalysts? That's not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR's Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that's absolutely true, and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so \"Fair Warning!\" is issued again: Here There Be Volatility.Wrap UpMost investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We're all looking to win, right?The upside is that it's now a bit easier to understand PLTR's price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it's a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)Of course, I'm still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We'll see.While I do think that PLTR's 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We're in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.The company isn't going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I'm going to very, very cautiously issue a \"Buy\" of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933710828,"gmtCreate":1662343574065,"gmtModify":1676537040906,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933710828","repostId":"2265749449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265749449","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662332817,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265749449?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265749449","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It&#39;s a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.</p><p>Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.</p><p>Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.</p><p>Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve&#39;s sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor&#39;s initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.</p><p>The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.</p><p><b>Monday 9/5</b></p><p>Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 9/6</b></p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.</p><p><b>Wednesday 9/7</b></p><p>Appleholds a launch event, titled &#34;Far Out,&#34; at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.</p><p>GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p>The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.</p><p><b>Thursday 9/8</b></p><p>DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.</p><p>Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.</p><p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.</p><p><b>Friday 9/9</b></p><p>Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p>Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation&#39;s household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&amp;P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it&#39;s very likely that the report will show another decrease.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NIO":"蔚来",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DOCU":"Docusign",".DJI":"道琼斯","KR":"克罗格","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265749449","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.Monday 9/5Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.Tuesday 9/6The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.Wednesday 9/7Appleholds a launch event, titled \"Far Out,\" at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.Thursday 9/8DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.Friday 9/9Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1,"KR":1,".IXIC":0.9,"DOCU":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GME":1,".DJI":0.9,"NIO":1,"ZS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933849599,"gmtCreate":1662263550212,"gmtModify":1676537027502,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"J","listText":"J","text":"J","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933849599","repostId":"1174731052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174731052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662259842,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174731052?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-04 10:50","market":"other","language":"en","title":"SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174731052","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>SQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.</li><li>Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.</li><li>Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.</li></ul><p>Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.</p><p>In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility &#34;decay&#34; from daily rebalancings.</p><p><b>Fund Overview</b></p><p>As the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fff5d9cf3e686a0cfbbc881e341b99f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time Horizons</b></p><p>Investors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:</p><blockquote><i>Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares&#39; returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.</i></blockquote><p>What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.</p><p>For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.</p><p>Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.</p><p>Levered ETFs provide holders with &#34;<b><i>positive convexity&#34;</i></b>in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile Markets</b></p><p>The biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund&#39;s exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.</p><p>Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in &#34;value&#34; will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the &#34;decay.&#34;</p><p><b>Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-Term</b></p><p>Volatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.</p><p>Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799c3972388654e161203372280ae578\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)</p><p>Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>If investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility &#34;decay&#34; from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-04 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174731052","content_text":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancings.Fund OverviewAs the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time HorizonsInvestors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares' returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.Levered ETFs provide holders with \"positive convexity\"in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile MarketsThe biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund's exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in \"value\" will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the \"decay.\"Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-TermVolatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.ConclusionIf investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933970332,"gmtCreate":1662211845826,"gmtModify":1676537018802,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933970332","repostId":"1184784977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184784977","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662174038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184784977?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-03 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184784977","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.</li><li>An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.</li><li>Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.</li></ul><p>Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.</p><p>Today&#39;s job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.</p><p>The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn&#39;t rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b84ce593ffddaaaf877449fe8aa645d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BLS.GOV</p><p>More interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791401f8937b11a9c345764a956dbed6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7e19e82ac100d02e922240146dd66a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>A rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren&#39;t convinced, with current odds at just 62%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b0ea44418c49e83255c4d0524d70bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME Group</p><p>On top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779c427f3192a6ad21f8686b92e742f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus Bonds</b></p><p>Data and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&amp;P 500&#39;s valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5d69d23d8cf6e3e3a3fc0d6ef85286\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>With a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&amp;P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&amp;P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&amp;P&#39;s current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&amp;P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.</p><p><b>June Lows Are In-Play</b></p><p>The likelihood of the S&amp;P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today&#39;s job data isn&#39;t likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn&#39;t likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df38f9295305d9279da28bfae09f5b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn&#39;t the earnings yield of the S&amp;P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn&#39;t that continue well into the future?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d089ca0d6d95c63abe24819e26ed648\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Unless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-03 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184784977","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.Today's job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn't rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.BLS.GOVMore interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.BloombergMeanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.BloombergA rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren't convinced, with current odds at just 62%.CME GroupOn top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.BloombergS&P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus BondsData and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&P 500's valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.BloombergWith a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&P's current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.June Lows Are In-PlayThe likelihood of the S&P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today's job data isn't likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn't likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.BloombergAs rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn't the earnings yield of the S&P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn't that continue well into the future?BloombergUnless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939837755,"gmtCreate":1662082799079,"gmtModify":1676536803429,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939837755","repostId":"2264210771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264210771","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662076475,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264210771?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264210771","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Frid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-02 07:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264210771","content_text":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom EssayeWith Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.\"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks,\" wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.'Too Hot'According to Essaye, if the employment results come in \"too hot\" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a \"less-intense repeat\" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target \"until the job is done\".\"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,\" said Essaye. \"Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.\"He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.'Just Right'However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.\"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,\" said Essaye. \"(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.\"'Too Cold'In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a \"bad is good\" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as \"a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,\" according to Essaye.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930463992,"gmtCreate":1661994014218,"gmtModify":1676536619897,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930463992","repostId":"1188697059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188697059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661990595,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188697059?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 08:03","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188697059","media":"rtt news","summary":"The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,220-point plateau and it&#39;s likely to take further damage on Thursday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis broadly negative on inflation and interest rate concerns. The European and U.S. markets were down on Wednesday and now the Asian markets are expected to open in similar fashion.</p><p>The STI finished modestly lower on Wednesday following losses from the trusts and properties, while the financials came in mixed.</p><p>For the day, the index sank 17.66 points or 0.55 percent to finish at 3,221.67 after trading between 3,212.18 and 3,233.61. Volume was 2.06 billion shares worth 1.89 billion Singapore dollars. There were 269 decliners and 251 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT tanked 2.08 percent, while CapitaLand Investment declined 1.86 percent, City Developments shed 0.49 percent, DBS Group skidded 0.85 percent, Genting Singapore tumbled 1.90 percent, Hongkong Land sank 0.82 percent, Keppel Corp climbed 1.11 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust weakened 1.08 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust plunged 2.32 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust plummeted 2.34 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.08 percent, SATS rose 0.25 percent, SembCorp Industries stumbled 1.17 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.42 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.58 percent, SingTel surrendered 1.87 percent, Thai Beverage advanced 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.04 percent, Wilmar International dropped 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial slumped 1.32 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Comfort DelGro were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages shook off a positive open on Wednesday, hugging the line for much of the day before a late slide pushed them firmly into the red for the fourth straight session.</p><p>The Dow tumbled 280.44 points or 0.88 percent to finish at 31,510.43, while the NASDAQ slumped 66.93 points or 0.56 percent to close at 11,816.20 and the S&amp;P 500 sank 31.16 points or 0.78 percent to end at 3,955.00.</p><p>The continued weakness on Wall Street reflected lingering concerns about higher interest rates following some hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>Exacerbating those concerns, Eurozone inflation hit a new record in August and added further pressure on the European Central Bank to tighten policy more aggressively as soon as next week.</p><p>In economic news, payroll processor ADP said that private sector employment in the U.S. increased by much less than expected in August.</p><p>Crude oil prices saw further downside on Wednesday, extending recent losses on concerns about the outlook for the globaleconomyafter the Eurozone&#39;s record high inflation report. West Texas Intermediate for October delivery tumbled $2.09 or 2.3 percent to $89.55 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1637539882596","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContinued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 08:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom><strong>rtt news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188697059","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,220-point plateau and it's likely to take further damage on Thursday.The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis broadly negative on inflation and interest rate concerns. The European and U.S. markets were down on Wednesday and now the Asian markets are expected to open in similar fashion.The STI finished modestly lower on Wednesday following losses from the trusts and properties, while the financials came in mixed.For the day, the index sank 17.66 points or 0.55 percent to finish at 3,221.67 after trading between 3,212.18 and 3,233.61. Volume was 2.06 billion shares worth 1.89 billion Singapore dollars. There were 269 decliners and 251 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT tanked 2.08 percent, while CapitaLand Investment declined 1.86 percent, City Developments shed 0.49 percent, DBS Group skidded 0.85 percent, Genting Singapore tumbled 1.90 percent, Hongkong Land sank 0.82 percent, Keppel Corp climbed 1.11 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust weakened 1.08 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust plunged 2.32 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust plummeted 2.34 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.08 percent, SATS rose 0.25 percent, SembCorp Industries stumbled 1.17 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.42 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.58 percent, SingTel surrendered 1.87 percent, Thai Beverage advanced 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.04 percent, Wilmar International dropped 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial slumped 1.32 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Comfort DelGro were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages shook off a positive open on Wednesday, hugging the line for much of the day before a late slide pushed them firmly into the red for the fourth straight session.The Dow tumbled 280.44 points or 0.88 percent to finish at 31,510.43, while the NASDAQ slumped 66.93 points or 0.56 percent to close at 11,816.20 and the S&P 500 sank 31.16 points or 0.78 percent to end at 3,955.00.The continued weakness on Wall Street reflected lingering concerns about higher interest rates following some hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.Exacerbating those concerns, Eurozone inflation hit a new record in August and added further pressure on the European Central Bank to tighten policy more aggressively as soon as next week.In economic news, payroll processor ADP said that private sector employment in the U.S. increased by much less than expected in August.Crude oil prices saw further downside on Wednesday, extending recent losses on concerns about the outlook for the globaleconomyafter the Eurozone's record high inflation report. West Texas Intermediate for October delivery tumbled $2.09 or 2.3 percent to $89.55 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930194577,"gmtCreate":1661910496803,"gmtModify":1676536602231,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930194577","repostId":"2263410145","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263410145","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661900592,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263410145?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-31 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263410145","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&amp;P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank&#39;s determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>&#34;They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,&#34; said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>&#34;It locks them in even further.&#34;</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could &#34;dial back&#34; from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is &#34;clearly&#34; slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed&#39;s pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&amp;P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan&#39;s military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&amp;P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-31 07:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&amp;P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&amp;P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank&#39;s determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>&#34;They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,&#34; said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>&#34;It locks them in even further.&#34;</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&amp;P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could &#34;dial back&#34; from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is &#34;clearly&#34; slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed&#39;s pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed&#39;s September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&amp;P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan&#39;s military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&amp;P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BBY":"百思买",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263410145","content_text":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11 S&P sectors lower* Dow down 0.96%, S&P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.The benchmark S&P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank's determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.\"They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,\" said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.\"It locks them in even further.\"The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could \"dial back\" from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is \"clearly\" slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed's pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.Adding to worries, Taiwan's military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":1,"513500":1,"OEF":1,"UPRO":1,"ESmain":1,"SPY":1,".DJI":1,"IVV":1,"SPXU":1,".IXIC":1,"COMP":1,"OEX":1,"SSO":1,"SDS":1,"SH":1,".SPX":1,"BBY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997524400,"gmtCreate":1661824549401,"gmtModify":1676536586274,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997524400","repostId":"2263109101","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263109101","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661814937,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263109101?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263109101","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-30 07:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","AAPL":"苹果","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263109101","content_text":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&P 500.Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn't presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&P 500  might be enough to change his mind.\"At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,\" Krinsky said.Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday's drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&P 500 has been minus 0.4%.\"The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday's rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,\" Colas said.Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$, one of the market's most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock's 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical \"correction protection model\" has shifted to \"risk off\" territory, after spending a month in \"risk on.\"As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.Since 2011, Asbury's defensive model has on average underperformed the S&P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.\"Investors likely won't see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,\" Colas said.The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"AAPL":0.9,"SSO":0.6,"AMZN":0.9,".SPX":0.6,"SPY":1,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997042069,"gmtCreate":1661730247653,"gmtModify":1676536566838,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997042069","repostId":"1164924578","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164924578","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661727544,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164924578?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-29 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164924578","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.Aug","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.</p><p>August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and is expected to show another strong month for the U.S. labor market. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.</p><p>The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354281bbcc2edd592cdebfe0f8a5a9a9\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.</p><p>Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.</p><p>The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&amp;P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.</p><p>“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.</p><p>“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”</p><p>Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.</p><p>Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f62c6fb463c5b5689ca97018d6f8a7f6\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>And core PCE, the Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.</p><p>Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,&#34; Powell said. &#34;The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”</p><p>Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.</p><p>ADP&#39;s monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.</p><p>The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.</p><p>On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).</p><p>—</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity</b>, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index</b>, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);<b>House Price Purchasing Index</b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index</b>, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence</b>, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);<b>JOLTS Job openings</b>, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications</b>, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);<b>ADP Employment Change</b>, August (300,000 expected);<b>MNI Chicago PMI</b>, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)</p><p><b>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts</b>, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);<b>Initial Jobless Claims</b>, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);<b>Continuing Claims</b>, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);<b>Nonfarm Productivity</b>, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI</b>, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);<b>Construction Spending</b>, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);<b>ISM Manufacturing</b>, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);<b>ISM Prices Paid</b>, March (60.0 during prior month);<b>ISM New Orders</b>, August (48.0 during prior month);<b>ISM Employment</b>, August (49.9 during prior month);<b>WARDS Total Vehicle Sales</b>, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)</p><p><b>Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls</b>, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);<b>Unemployment Rate</b>, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);<b>Average Weekly Hours All Employees</b>, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);<b>Labor Force Participation Rate</b>, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);<b>Underemployment Rate</b>, August (6.7% during prior month);<b>Factory Orders</b>, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);<b>Durable Goods Orders</b>, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);<b>Durables excluding transportation</b>, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.4% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.7% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2>Earnings Calendar:</h2><p><b>Monday: Catalent</b>(CTLT),<b>SelectQuote</b>(SLQT)</p><p><b>Tuesday: Best</b> <b>Buy</b>(BBY),<b>HP</b>(HPQ),<b>Ambarella</b>(AMBA),<b>Baidu</b>(BIDU),<b>Big</b> <b>Lots</b>(BIG),<b>Chewy</b>(CHWY)<b>Conn&#39;s</b>(CONN),<b>CrowdStrike</b>(CRWD),<b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>(HPE),<b>Photronics</b>(PLAB)</p><p><b>Wednesday:Anaplan</b>(PLAN),<b>Cooper</b>(COO),<b>DesignerBrands</b>(DBI),<b>Donaldson</b>(DCI),<b>FiveBelow</b>(FIVE),<b>MongoDB</b>(MDB),<b>Okta</b>(OKTA),<b>PureStorage</b>(PSTG),<b>Semtech</b>(SMTC),<b>VeevaSystems</b>(VEEV),<b>Vera Bradley</b>(VRA)</p><p><b>Thursday: LululemonAthletica</b>(LULU),<b>Broadcom</b>(AVGO),<b>CampbellSoup</b>(CPB),<b>Ciena</b>(CIEN),<b>Genesco</b>(GCO),<b>Hormel</b> <b>Foods</b>(HRL),<b>JOANN</b>(JOAN),<b>Ollie’s Bargain Outlet</b>(OLLI),<b>SecureWorks</b>(SCWX),<b>Signet Jewelers</b>(SIG),<b>Sportsman&#39;s Warehouse</b>(SPWH),<b>Toro</b>(TTC),<b>Weibo</b>(WB)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-29 06:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164924578","content_text":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and is expected to show another strong month for the U.S. labor market. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim UrquhartAnd core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.\"Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,\" Powell said. \"The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.ADP's monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).—Economic CalendarMonday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);House Price Purchasing Index, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);JOLTS Job openings, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);ADP Employment Change, August (300,000 expected);MNI Chicago PMI, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);Initial Jobless Claims, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);Continuing Claims, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);Nonfarm Productivity, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);Construction Spending, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);ISM Manufacturing, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);ISM Prices Paid, March (60.0 during prior month);ISM New Orders, August (48.0 during prior month);ISM Employment, August (49.9 during prior month);WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);Unemployment Rate, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);Average Weekly Hours All Employees, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);Labor Force Participation Rate, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);Underemployment Rate, August (6.7% during prior month);Factory Orders, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);Durable Goods Orders, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);Durables excluding transportation, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July final (0.4% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July final (0.7% during prior month)—Earnings Calendar:Monday: Catalent(CTLT),SelectQuote(SLQT)Tuesday: Best Buy(BBY),HP(HPQ),Ambarella(AMBA),Baidu(BIDU),Big Lots(BIG),Chewy(CHWY)Conn's(CONN),CrowdStrike(CRWD),Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE),Photronics(PLAB)Wednesday:Anaplan(PLAN),Cooper(COO),DesignerBrands(DBI),Donaldson(DCI),FiveBelow(FIVE),MongoDB(MDB),Okta(OKTA),PureStorage(PSTG),Semtech(SMTC),VeevaSystems(VEEV),Vera Bradley(VRA)Thursday: LululemonAthletica(LULU),Broadcom(AVGO),CampbellSoup(CPB),Ciena(CIEN),Genesco(GCO),Hormel Foods(HRL),JOANN(JOAN),Ollie’s Bargain Outlet(OLLI),SecureWorks(SCWX),Signet Jewelers(SIG),Sportsman's Warehouse(SPWH),Toro(TTC),Weibo(WB)Friday:No notable reports scheduled for release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994404806,"gmtCreate":1661664963107,"gmtModify":1676536558330,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994404806","repostId":"1161837457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161837457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661645647,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161837457?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161837457","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guida","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Massive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.</li><li>Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.</li><li>Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.</li></ul><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia&#39;s third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker&#39;s results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3&#39;23, Nvidia&#39;s shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 earnings card was as expected</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia&#39;s gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia&#39;s graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9690c900cda9585b16d72361723e11ca\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Final FQ2&#39;23 Results</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia&#39;s computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia&#39;s Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.</p><p>While Nvidia&#39;s Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm&#39;s &#39;OEM and Other&#39; business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia&#39;s CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).</p><p>Nvidia doesn&#39;t break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don&#39;t see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021fa94ce8462c4eecb6cdfc173dd154\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Segment Revenue Trends</p><p><b>Nightmarish guidance</b></p><p>The most important piece of new information in Nvidia&#39;s release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia&#39;s business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia&#39;s revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.</p><p>I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.</p><h3>My expectations for Nvidia going forward</h3><p>I expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.</p><p>Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia&#39;s revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA&#39;s GeForce RTX 30 and AMD&#39;s Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer&#39;s suggested retail price possible. Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia&#39;s flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.</p><p>Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/297c23d10b4798c94de6cfa3ff793b91\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</p><p><b>Estimate and valuation risk</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia&#39;s FQ3&#39;23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia&#39;s generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia&#39;s shares.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92263effbea15a27a9d0154ceff211d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YCharts</p><p><b>Other risks/considerations with Nvidia</b></p><p>I see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia&#39;s GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3&#39;23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia&#39;s shares into a new down-leg.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Shares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia&#39;s period of hyper-growth is ending.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s outlook for FQ3&#39;23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia&#39;s valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia&#39;s valuation is set to experience more pressure!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161837457","content_text":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia's third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker's results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3'23, Nvidia's shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!Nvidia's FQ2'23 earnings card was as expectedNvidia's second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia's FQ2'23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia's gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia's graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.Nvidia: Final FQ2'23 ResultsNvidia's Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia's computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia's Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia's Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.While Nvidia's Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm's 'OEM and Other' business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia's CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).Nvidia doesn't break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don't see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.Nvidia: Segment Revenue TrendsNightmarish guidanceThe most important piece of new information in Nvidia's release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia's business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia's revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.My expectations for Nvidia going forwardI expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia's revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 30 and AMD's Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer's suggested retail price possible. Nvidia's RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia's flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YChartsEstimate and valuation riskNvidia's revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia's FQ3'23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia's generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia's shares.Nvidia's shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YChartsOther risks/considerations with NvidiaI see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia's GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3'23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia's shares into a new down-leg.Final thoughtsShares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia's period of hyper-growth is ending.Nvidia's outlook for FQ3'23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia's valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia's valuation is set to experience more pressure!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995243250,"gmtCreate":1661475673172,"gmtModify":1676536526273,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995243250","repostId":"2262967539","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262967539","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661469029,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262967539?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-26 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply up, Fueled By Nvidia and Amazon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262967539","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street ended sharply higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia and other technology-related","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended sharply higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia and other technology-related stocks as investors focused on the Federal Reserve&#39;s Jackson Hole conference for clues about the central bank&#39;s policy outlook.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give a speech on Friday that investors will dissect for indications of how aggressively the Fed may move to raise interest rates as it battles decades-high inflation.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re in a period of time between the end of the second-quarter earnings season and meaningful additional data from the Federal Reserve. Markets are churning a bit with a reasonably low level of volatility,&#34; said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.</p><p>The yield on the closely watched 10-year Treasury note faded after recently hitting a two-month high. Declining interest rates tend to benefit technology stocks trading at high valuations.</p><p>&#34;Lower interest rates have certainly put some support underneath some of the more growth-oriented sectors,&#34; Northey said.</p><p>Nvidia jumped 4% after the graphics chipmaker gave a weaker-than-expected quarterly forecast that many investors viewed as signaling the worst of a sales downturn may be over. That drove a rally in the Philadelphia semiconductor index.</p><p>Apple and Microsoft rose more than 1%, while Amazon and Google-owner Alphabet added more than 2%, with all four companies making substantial contributions to the Nasdaq&#39;s increase.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rose, led by materials, up 2.26%, followed by a 2.06% gain in communication services.</p><p>Data earlier in the day showed the U.S. economy contracted less than initially thought in the second quarter, dispelling some fears that a recession was underway.</p><p>Traders see a slightly greater likelihood of a third 75-basis-point interest hike from the Fed at its policy meeting next month, compared with a 50-basis-point increase.</p><p>Fed officials on Thursday were noncommittal about the size of the interest rate increase they plan to approve at their Sept. 20-21 meeting, but they continued hammering the point that rates will rise and stay high until such high rates of inflation have been squeezed from the economy.</p><p>Electric-vehicle maker Tesla Inc slid 0.35% after a 3-for-1 stock split came into effect.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 1.41% to end the session at 4,199.12 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 1.67% to 12,639.27 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.98% to 33,291.78 points.</p><p>Following Thursday&#39;s rally, the S&amp;P 500 remains down about 12% in 2022, while the Nasdaq is down about 19%.</p><p>$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ climbed 2.1% after saying it plans to close its consumer and commercial banking businesses in Russia starting this quarter.</p><p>Salesforce Inc fell 3.4% after it cut its annual forecasts over &#34;measured&#34; spending from clients and a hit from a stronger dollar.</p><p>Additional chipmakers rallying on Thursday included Advanced Micro Devices, up 4.8%, and Broadcom, which gained 3.6%.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 13.4-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 4 new highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 70 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.3 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply up, Fueled By Nvidia and Amazon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Sharply up, Fueled By Nvidia and Amazon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 07:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-202026982.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street ended sharply higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia and other technology-related stocks as investors focused on the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference for clues about the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-202026982.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-202026982.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262967539","content_text":"Wall Street ended sharply higher on Thursday, lifted by gains in Nvidia and other technology-related stocks as investors focused on the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole conference for clues about the central bank's policy outlook.Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give a speech on Friday that investors will dissect for indications of how aggressively the Fed may move to raise interest rates as it battles decades-high inflation.\"We're in a period of time between the end of the second-quarter earnings season and meaningful additional data from the Federal Reserve. Markets are churning a bit with a reasonably low level of volatility,\" said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.The yield on the closely watched 10-year Treasury note faded after recently hitting a two-month high. Declining interest rates tend to benefit technology stocks trading at high valuations.\"Lower interest rates have certainly put some support underneath some of the more growth-oriented sectors,\" Northey said.Nvidia jumped 4% after the graphics chipmaker gave a weaker-than-expected quarterly forecast that many investors viewed as signaling the worst of a sales downturn may be over. That drove a rally in the Philadelphia semiconductor index.Apple and Microsoft rose more than 1%, while Amazon and Google-owner Alphabet added more than 2%, with all four companies making substantial contributions to the Nasdaq's increase.All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by materials, up 2.26%, followed by a 2.06% gain in communication services.Data earlier in the day showed the U.S. economy contracted less than initially thought in the second quarter, dispelling some fears that a recession was underway.Traders see a slightly greater likelihood of a third 75-basis-point interest hike from the Fed at its policy meeting next month, compared with a 50-basis-point increase.Fed officials on Thursday were noncommittal about the size of the interest rate increase they plan to approve at their Sept. 20-21 meeting, but they continued hammering the point that rates will rise and stay high until such high rates of inflation have been squeezed from the economy.Electric-vehicle maker Tesla Inc slid 0.35% after a 3-for-1 stock split came into effect.The S&P 500 climbed 1.41% to end the session at 4,199.12 points.The Nasdaq gained 1.67% to 12,639.27 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.98% to 33,291.78 points.Following Thursday's rally, the S&P 500 remains down about 12% in 2022, while the Nasdaq is down about 19%.$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ climbed 2.1% after saying it plans to close its consumer and commercial banking businesses in Russia starting this quarter.Salesforce Inc fell 3.4% after it cut its annual forecasts over \"measured\" spending from clients and a hit from a stronger dollar.Additional chipmakers rallying on Thursday included Advanced Micro Devices, up 4.8%, and Broadcom, which gained 3.6%.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 13.4-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted 4 new highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 70 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.3 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 10.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995301948,"gmtCreate":1661401714386,"gmtModify":1676536512613,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995301948","repostId":"1172569376","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172569376","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661399948,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172569376?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-25 11:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Disaster Guidance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172569376","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.</li><li>Nvidia&#39;s Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.</li><li>Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</li></ul><p><b>Article Thesis</b></p><p>Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.</p><p><b>Q2 Was Worse Than Expected</b></p><p>Nvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c716ed40d45d1089f6ca834756f1e12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"123\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>But the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7f7f877afef390846c2b1ff5b54cef9\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>The company&#39;s gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn&#39;t disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia&#39;s profitability.</p><p>Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.</p><p>At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around<i>13x as much</i> as the company&#39;s revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&amp;D expenses aren&#39;t bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.</p><p>But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia&#39;s sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia&#39;s operating expenses.</p><p>With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia&#39;s EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It&#39;s important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.</p><p>These areNvidia&#39;s non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That&#39;s quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s Forward Guidance Is Horrendous</b></p><p>I want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one&#39;s formerly bullish stance.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year&#39;s Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel&#39;s (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.</p><p>There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel&#39;s data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.</p><p>What&#39;s the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It&#39;s not the overall semiconductor market, that&#39;s pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia&#39;s revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia&#39;s case, that&#39;s the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia&#39;s chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.</p><p>First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.</p><p>Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That&#39;s luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia&#39;s strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.</p><p><b>What&#39;s The Outlook?</b></p><p>In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia&#39;s Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.</p><p>SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia&#39;s earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Disaster Guidance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Disaster Guidance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-25 11:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536839-nvidia-disaster-guidance?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172569376","content_text":"SummaryNvidia reported its second quarter earnings, missing estimates.Nvidia's Q3 guidance is more important, however. Unfortunately, that guidance was horrendous.Nvidia is a quality company and well-positioned in the long run. But near-term issues and a too-high valuation make me stay away for now.Article ThesisNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has just reported its most recent quarterly results. Profits were below expectations, but overall, results were more or less in line with what the market had anticipated, as Nvidia had pre-announced some of its results not too long ago.The company's guidance for the current quarter is much worse than expected, however. Nvidia is clearly feeling hefty pressure from the current crypto winter, and it seems questionable to pay $170 or more per share of Nvidia in the current environment.Q2 Was Worse Than ExpectedNvidia had pre-announced its revenue results for the second quarter earlier, thus there was no major surprise there - analysts adjusted their models accordingly, and Nvidia met the consensus estimate:Seeking AlphaBut the company nevertheless missed estimates, as margin compression was worse than expected. In fact, Nvidia saw its gross margin drop massively, showcased by the following table:Seeking AlphaThe company's gross margin dropped from a very attractive 67% to a much less attractive 46% over the last year, almost being cut in half. A 46% gross margin isn't disastrous in absolute terms, but the hefty margin drop naturally has a huge impact on Nvidia's profitability.Nvidia was widely regarded as a high-end semiconductor company that was able to generate very strong margins due to its excellent product quality. But at least for now, that has apparently ended, as its gross margin is far lower than what we have gotten used to in recent years.At the same time, Nvidia also saw its operating expenses explode upwards. This includes research and development, sales, but also administrative costs. WhileNvidia was able to grow its revenue by 3% year over year, operating expenses somehow rose by almost 40% - or around13x as much as the company's revenue. That is pretty bad, and it is not clear why that happened. Higher R&D expenses aren't bad per se, at least if those result in strong products that improve the longer-term growth outlook.But for a growth company like Nvidia, investors generally want to see operating leverage, meaning operating expenses grow less than revenue and gross profit, as this allows a company to grow its profits faster than its sales. The complete opposite of that happened here, as gross margins dropped severely while operating costs rose much more than Nvidia's sales and gross profit. The steep profit decline of more than 50% is the logical consequence of that ill-timed increase in Nvidia's operating expenses.With earnings per share at $0.50 for the quarter, Nvidia's EPS is running at a $2 annual rate. That will most likely drop even further in Q3, as indicated by the pretty weak forward guidance (more on that later). Profits are now back at the level seen in early 2020 when earnings per share were in the $0.50 range as well. It's important to note that Nvidia was trading at as low as $50 back then, whereas Nvidia is trading at $170 right here -- or more than 80x the Q2 earnings run rate.These areNvidia's non-GAAP results, where items such as share-based compensation are already backed out. GAAP profitability was even worse, as GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.26 -- or around $1 annualized, for a 170x earnings multiple. That's quite expensive for a company with a 3% top-line growth rate.Nvidia's Forward Guidance Is HorrendousI want to note first that I do believe that Nvidia is a quality company with a positive long-term outlook, thanks to its strong position in growth markets such as AI, autonomous driving, etc. I also want to note that I have been a bull on Nvidia in the past, and shares are up since my last bullish article. But when the facts change and the underlying performance is much worse than previously thought, then it makes sense to reflect one's formerly bullish stance.Nvidia's guidance for the current quarter, Q3, was very bad. The company is forecasting revenues of $5.9 billion for the period, which is not only $1 billion or 15% below the current consensus estimate, but which also indicates a revenue decline of 16.9% versus last year's Q3 revenue of $7.1 billion. That is comparable to Intel's (INTC) revenue decline during the most recent quarter, as Intel reported a drop of 17.3% in its top line for the period. In other words, Nvidia is forecasting a revenue drop that is comparable to the one Intel has just reported -- the huge difference is that Intel trades at 2.1x forward sales, whereas Nvidia trades at 15x forward sales, which is a 600% premium relative to how Intel is valued.There are good arguments for Nvidia to trade at a premium versus Intel, such as its stronger position in the fast-growing data center market, where Nvidia saw its revenue rise by 60% in Q2, while Intel's data center dropped. But whether it makes sense for Nvidia to trade at a 600% premium on a sales basis, relative to Intel, while both are seeing their revenues drop, is highly questionable, I believe.What's the explanation for the hefty revenue decline that Nvidia forecasts for the current quarter? It's not the overall semiconductor market, that's pretty clear, as the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics, or WSTS, has just announced that overall semiconductor revenues would climb 14% in 2022. WhenNvidia's revenues are falling by double-digits, while the broad semiconductor industry is growing by double-digits, then there must be other factors at work. In Nvidia's case, that's the current crypto winter. WhileNvidia's chips were useless for Bitcoin mining, they were excellent for Ethereum mining due to the algorithm Ethereum uses, which is very GPU-friendly. With crypto prices plunging in 2022, Nvidia is feeling pressure due to two reasons.First, the company can sell fewer chips to crypto miners, as Ethereum mining has become less profitable, which is why demand dropped. At the same time, less demand by crypto miners results in a looser supply-demand picture, which leads to price declines for GPUs. This is further accelerated by the fact that some crypto miners are selling the GPUs they own on secondary markets, which further pressures pricing for new GPUs.Due to the current crypto winter, Nvidia is thus feeling a double hit from lower sales volumes and lower average margins. That's luckily partially made up by the strong performance in other areas, such as data centers. But as the weak guidance for the current quarter shows, Nvidia is not able to fully offset the headwinds from the weak crypto environment. It thus looks like investors have to come to terms with the fact that Nvidia's strong underlying performance was at least partially driven by crypto enthusiasm. Now that crypto has been in a downtrend for some time, that former tailwind is turning into a headwind.What's The Outlook?In the very long term, Nvidia will still be a solid growth company, I believe. Data center demand will continue to grow. Autonomous driving is a long-term megatrend that will lead to rising demand for Nvidia's Hyperion platform and similar products. But in the near term, the outlook is far from great.SinceNvidia is trading at a pretty high valuation of 46x forward earnings, even before those earnings estimates have declined due to the weaker-than-expected Q3 guidance, I do not believe that Nvidia is a great investment at current prices. There are other semiconductor companies with way better near-term growth outlooks that trade at less than halfNvidia's earnings multiple, such as AMD (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and so on. With those picks being available today, I do not see a great reason to buy Nvidia right now. The long-term outlook is positive, but the near-term issues and too-high valuation make me stay away for now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992899555,"gmtCreate":1661297071579,"gmtModify":1676536489857,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992899555","repostId":"2261663436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261663436","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661296197,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261663436?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-24 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261663436","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.</p><p>The S&amp;P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.</p><p>Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week&#39;s central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.</p><p>Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed&#39;s commitment to fight against inflation.</p><p>&#34;What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. &#34;The market fears that Powell&#39;s going to go back into a hawkish stance.&#34;</p><p>The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.</p><p>Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former &#34;stay-at-home&#34; stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.</p><p>After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.</p><p>Macy&#39;s Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.</p><p>The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-24 07:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.</p><p>The S&amp;P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.</p><p>Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week&#39;s central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.</p><p>Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed&#39;s commitment to fight against inflation.</p><p>&#34;What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. &#34;The market fears that Powell&#39;s going to go back into a hawkish stance.&#34;</p><p>The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.</p><p>Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former &#34;stay-at-home&#34; stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.</p><p>After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.</p><p>Macy&#39;s Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.</p><p>The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261663436","content_text":"Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.The S&P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.The S&P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week's central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed's commitment to fight against inflation.\"What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. \"The market fears that Powell's going to go back into a hawkish stance.\"The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former \"stay-at-home\" stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.The S&P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.The S&P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.Macy's Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while Palo Alto Networks Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996413410,"gmtCreate":1661210504432,"gmtModify":1676536472730,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996413410","repostId":"2261258595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261258595","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661181909,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261258595?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Loses Challenge to California Agency Suing for Race Bias","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261258595","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 22 (Reuters) - A California administrative agency has declined to review Tesla Inc's claim that ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Aug 22 (Reuters) - A California administrative agency has declined to review Tesla Inc&#39;s claim that the state&#39;s civil rights watchdog suing the company for race bias at an assembly plant is rushing to sue businesses without conducting full investigations.</p><p>California&#39;s Office of Administrative Law in a letter denied Tesla&#39;s petition, filed in June, to determine whether the Department of Civil Rights (DCR) had adopted &#34;underground regulations&#34; that flout requirements it must meet before suing employers.</p><p>The letter obtained by Reuters is dated August 8 but was received by the department last week.</p><p>The OAL, which reviews state agency regulations and can recommend changes, said its decision in no way reflects the merits of Tesla&#39;s complaint.</p><p>The department in a pending lawsuit filed in February says Tesla&#39;s flagship Fremont, California, plant was a racially segregated workplace where Black employees were harassed and discriminated against in terms of job assignments, discipline and pay.</p><p>A representative of Tesla, which has denied wrongdoing in the race bias case, had no immediate comment.</p><p>A spokesperson for the DCR did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The agency was called the Department of Fair Employment and Housing before changing its name last month.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s petition with the OAL was an attempt to rein in the department&#39;s authority to pursue discrimination cases by forcing it to take additional steps before suing, such as providing businesses with detailed explanations of alleged legal violations and making efforts to settle outside of court.</p><p>In the pending lawsuit, Tesla has argued that the DCR sued without first notifying the company of all of the claims or giving it a chance to settle.</p><p>A California state judge is scheduled to hold a hearing on Wednesday on Tesla&#39;s motion to dismiss the case.</p><p>The lawsuit is one of several pending in California courts that accuse Tesla of tolerating discrimination and sexual harassment at its factories.</p><p>A state judge in April cut a jury verdict for a Black worker who alleged racial harassment from $137 million to $15 million. The worker, Owen Diaz, rejected the reduced award and opted for a new trial, which is scheduled for March 2023.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Loses Challenge to California Agency Suing for Race Bias</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Loses Challenge to California Agency Suing for Race Bias\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-22 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Aug 22 (Reuters) - A California administrative agency has declined to review Tesla Inc&#39;s claim that the state&#39;s civil rights watchdog suing the company for race bias at an assembly plant is rushing to sue businesses without conducting full investigations.</p><p>California&#39;s Office of Administrative Law in a letter denied Tesla&#39;s petition, filed in June, to determine whether the Department of Civil Rights (DCR) had adopted &#34;underground regulations&#34; that flout requirements it must meet before suing employers.</p><p>The letter obtained by Reuters is dated August 8 but was received by the department last week.</p><p>The OAL, which reviews state agency regulations and can recommend changes, said its decision in no way reflects the merits of Tesla&#39;s complaint.</p><p>The department in a pending lawsuit filed in February says Tesla&#39;s flagship Fremont, California, plant was a racially segregated workplace where Black employees were harassed and discriminated against in terms of job assignments, discipline and pay.</p><p>A representative of Tesla, which has denied wrongdoing in the race bias case, had no immediate comment.</p><p>A spokesperson for the DCR did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The agency was called the Department of Fair Employment and Housing before changing its name last month.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s petition with the OAL was an attempt to rein in the department&#39;s authority to pursue discrimination cases by forcing it to take additional steps before suing, such as providing businesses with detailed explanations of alleged legal violations and making efforts to settle outside of court.</p><p>In the pending lawsuit, Tesla has argued that the DCR sued without first notifying the company of all of the claims or giving it a chance to settle.</p><p>A California state judge is scheduled to hold a hearing on Wednesday on Tesla&#39;s motion to dismiss the case.</p><p>The lawsuit is one of several pending in California courts that accuse Tesla of tolerating discrimination and sexual harassment at its factories.</p><p>A state judge in April cut a jury verdict for a Black worker who alleged racial harassment from $137 million to $15 million. The worker, Owen Diaz, rejected the reduced award and opted for a new trial, which is scheduled for March 2023.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261258595","content_text":"Aug 22 (Reuters) - A California administrative agency has declined to review Tesla Inc's claim that the state's civil rights watchdog suing the company for race bias at an assembly plant is rushing to sue businesses without conducting full investigations.California's Office of Administrative Law in a letter denied Tesla's petition, filed in June, to determine whether the Department of Civil Rights (DCR) had adopted \"underground regulations\" that flout requirements it must meet before suing employers.The letter obtained by Reuters is dated August 8 but was received by the department last week.The OAL, which reviews state agency regulations and can recommend changes, said its decision in no way reflects the merits of Tesla's complaint.The department in a pending lawsuit filed in February says Tesla's flagship Fremont, California, plant was a racially segregated workplace where Black employees were harassed and discriminated against in terms of job assignments, discipline and pay.A representative of Tesla, which has denied wrongdoing in the race bias case, had no immediate comment.A spokesperson for the DCR did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The agency was called the Department of Fair Employment and Housing before changing its name last month.Tesla's petition with the OAL was an attempt to rein in the department's authority to pursue discrimination cases by forcing it to take additional steps before suing, such as providing businesses with detailed explanations of alleged legal violations and making efforts to settle outside of court.In the pending lawsuit, Tesla has argued that the DCR sued without first notifying the company of all of the claims or giving it a chance to settle.A California state judge is scheduled to hold a hearing on Wednesday on Tesla's motion to dismiss the case.The lawsuit is one of several pending in California courts that accuse Tesla of tolerating discrimination and sexual harassment at its factories.A state judge in April cut a jury verdict for a Black worker who alleged racial harassment from $137 million to $15 million. The worker, Owen Diaz, rejected the reduced award and opted for a new trial, which is scheduled for March 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996184897,"gmtCreate":1661132771826,"gmtModify":1676536458630,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996184897","repostId":"1145254202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145254202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661130354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145254202?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145254202","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Ka","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.</p><p>The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning&#39;s speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank&#39;s next move.</p><p>This year&#39;s symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.</p><p>A close-reading of Powell&#39;s comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.</p><p>In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.</p><p>July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.</p><p>&#34;To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,&#34; Hunter wrote. &#34;There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair&#39;s speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance&#39;sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.</p><p>In addition to Powell&#39;s speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed&#39;s preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell&#39;s speech. Powell&#39;s speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan&#39;s latest consumer sentiment index.</p><p>For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.</p><p>Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week&#39;s trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week&#39;s most notable releases.</p><p>Last week&#39;s results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies&#39; reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.</p><p>Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.</p><p>Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.</p><p>Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&amp;P 500 falling more than 1%.</p><p>This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he&#39;d sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.</p><p>Cohen&#39;s sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath &amp; Beyond has engaged Kirkland &amp; Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath &amp; Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.</p><p>While the collapse in Bed Bath &amp; Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer&#39;s &#34;losers turned winners&#34; struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.</p><p>—</p><p>Economic calendar</p><p>Monday: <b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index</b>, July (-0.19 previously)</p><p>Tuesday: <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</b>, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); <b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI</b>, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); <b>Richmond Fed manufacturing index</b>, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); <b>New home sales</b>, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)</p><p>Wednesday: <b>MBA mortgage applications</b>; <b>Durable goods orders</b>, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);<b>Durable goods orders excluding transportation</b>, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); <b>Pending home sales</b>, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)</p><p>Thursday: <b>Initial jobless claims</b>(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); <b>Second quarter GDP</b>, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); <b>Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity</b>, August (13 previously)</p><p>Friday:<b>Personal income</b>, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Personal spending</b>, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);<b>Whole inventories</b>, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);<b>Retail inventories</b>, July (+2% previously);<b>PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);<b>PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);<b>Core PCE, month-on-month</b>, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);<b>Core PCE, year-on-year</b>, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);<b>University of Michigan consumer sentiment</b>, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings calendar</p><p>Monday:<b>Zoom</b>(ZM),<b>Nordson</b>(NDSN),<b>Palo Alto Networks</b>(PANW)</p><p>Tuesday:<b>Medtronic</b>(MDT),<b>J.M. Smucker</b>(SJM),<b>JD.com</b>(JD),<b>Intuit</b>(INTU),<b>Advance Auto Parts</b>(AAP)</p><p>Wednesday:<b>Splunk</b>(SPLK),<b>NetApp</b>(NTAP),<b>Autodesk</b>(ADSK),<b>salesforce.com</b>(CRM),<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA)</p><p>Thursday:<b>Dollar Tree</b>(DLTR),<b>Dollar General</b>(DG),<b>Workday</b>(WDAY),<b>MarvellTechnology</b>(MRVL),<b>UltaBeauty</b>(ULTA)</p><p>Friday: <i>No major earnings set for release.</i></p><p>—</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJackson Hole, Inflation, Dollar Stores: What to Know This Week in Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 09:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jackson-hole-market-preview-august-21-173439862.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145254202","content_text":"The attention of the financial world will turn to Grand Teton National Park in the week ahead.The Kansas City Federal Reserve will host its annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole this week, with Friday morning's speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell expected to highlight the proceedings as investors search for clues on the central bank's next move.This year's symposium marks the first in-person Jackson Hole conference since 2019.A close-reading of Powell's comments on Friday will boil down to whether investors see the Fed chair signaling another 0.75% interest rate hike from the Fed at its next policy announcement on September 21, or whether the Fed will ease its pace of rate hikes and increase benchmark rates by 0.50%.In a note to clients Friday, Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote that recent economic events are likely to set the table for a 0.50% rate hike in September.July inflation data showed a modest softening in inflation pressures, arguing for easing the pace of hikes. The July jobs report dispelled concerns from some Fed officials that the labor market is softening, perhaps making the case for continued aggression on raising rates.\"To the extent that those developments cancel each other out, we still expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 [basis points] next month,\" Hunter wrote. \"There doesn’t appear to be much need for Chair Jerome Powell to adjust expectations when he speaks at Jackson Hole next Friday.\"Powell's speech will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, and for the first time the Fed chair's speech — seen as the most important central bank communication of the year — will stream live. Yahoo Finance'sBrian Cheung will be on the ground in Wyoming to bring readers and viewers full coverage of the events.In addition to Powell's speech, updates on service sector activity, inflation, and consumer sentiment will feature on the economic calendar. PCE inflation — the Fed's preferred measure — is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday, just 90 minutes before Powell's speech. Powell's speech will begin simultaneously with the release of the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment index.For Fed Watchers, the coming week will hardly offer a summer Friday.Though earnings season has largely wrapped up, this week's trickle of results will still offer investors key updates, with reports out of Nvidia (NVDA), salesforce.com (CRM), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and dollar store operators Dollar Tree (DLTR) and Dollar General (DG) — the week's most notable releases.Last week's results from Walmart(WMT) andTarget(TGT) helped allay some investor fears over the state of the consumer, with these results coming in better-than-feared. However, both companies' reports signaled a more cautious approach from shoppers as inflation pressures bit during the summer months.Walmart CFO John David Rainey told Yahoo Finance last week the company saw customers trade down — particularly in grocery — during the quarter. Rainey also told analysts on a conference call the company had canceled billions in orders.Back in May, Dollar Tree and Dollar General offered some of the earliest indications that consumers were using their grocery runs as an opportunity to cut costs. Results from both retailers this week will be parsed for signs of any continued, modified, or accelerated behavioral shifts.Nvidia's latest report comes also comes at a crucial juncture for the semiconductor industry, often seen as a bellwether for global economic demand. Earlier this month, Nvidiawarned its quarterly results would miss estimates, and reports this week catalogued the growing concerns around demand in the chip space as global economic activity appears to soften.Last week, markets snapped a four-week winning streak, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropping over 2% and the S&P 500 falling more than 1%.This loss of momentum in the summer market rally came as the latest leg of the meme stock trade fizzled out, with Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) shares falling 40% on Friday, after GameStop (GME) chairman Ryan Cohen disclosed he'd sold his entire 11.8% position in the struggling retailer.Cohen's sale also came as Bloomberg reported late Thursday that Bed Bath & Beyond has engaged Kirkland & Ellis, a law firm known for its restructuring and bankruptcy work. After the close on Friday, Bloomberg reported some suppliers for Bed Bath & Beyond had halted shipments due to unpaid bills by the retailer.While the collapse in Bed Bath & Beyond shares served as the splashiest move, last week also saw several of this summer's \"losers turned winners\" struggle, with names like Peloton (PTON), Robinhood (HOOD), and Coinbase (COIN) all falling more than 13% for the week.—Economic calendarMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (-0.19 previously)Tuesday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (51.9 expected, 52.2 previously); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (50 expected, 47.3 previously); Richmond Fed manufacturing index, August (-5 expected, 0 previously); New home sales, July (-2.5% expected, -8.1% expected)Wednesday: MBA mortgage applications; Durable goods orders, July (+0.8% expected, +2% previously);Durable goods orders excluding transportation, July (+0.2% expected; +0.4% previously); Pending home sales, July (-2% expected, -8.6% previously)Thursday: Initial jobless claims(252,000 expected, 250,000 previously); Second quarter GDP, second estimate (-0.8% expected; -0.9% previously); Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity, August (13 previously)Friday:Personal income, July (+0.6% expected, +0.6% previously);Personal spending, July (+0.5% expected, +1.1% previously);Whole inventories, July (+1.4% expected, +1.8% previously);Retail inventories, July (+2% previously);PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.1% expected, 1% previously);PCE, year-on-year, July (+6.4% expected, +6.8% previously);Core PCE, month-on-month, July (+0.3% expected, +0.6% previously);Core PCE, year-on-year, July (+4.7% expected; +4.8% previously);University of Michigan consumer sentiment, August (55.3 expected, 55.1 previously)—Earnings calendarMonday:Zoom(ZM),Nordson(NDSN),Palo Alto Networks(PANW)Tuesday:Medtronic(MDT),J.M. Smucker(SJM),JD.com(JD),Intuit(INTU),Advance Auto Parts(AAP)Wednesday:Splunk(SPLK),NetApp(NTAP),Autodesk(ADSK),salesforce.com(CRM),Nvidia(NVDA)Thursday:Dollar Tree(DLTR),Dollar General(DG),Workday(WDAY),MarvellTechnology(MRVL),UltaBeauty(ULTA)Friday: No major earnings set for release.—","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998650513,"gmtCreate":1660987076135,"gmtModify":1676536435754,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998650513","repostId":"2260345221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260345221","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661043639,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260345221?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260345221","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split will take place at the close of trading on August 24, but you don't have to wait to determine how many shares you'll have in your account after the big day.","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOwn Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260345221","content_text":"Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split you're participating in, we'll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.Image source: Getty Images.Welcome to the world of stock splitsTesla isn't the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won't be the last. Amazon and Google's parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company's shares into additional shares. This lowers a company's share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That's how a stock split works. You won't have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla's stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?You don't have to wait until the day of Tesla's stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.Below, we use Tesla's 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you'll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 sharesIf you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that's not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you'll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.But if you participated in Tesla's last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let's say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.More shares doesn't mean more profitsThe thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don't confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn't alter a company's total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.So, if you're searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991461886,"gmtCreate":1660871229847,"gmtModify":1676536414974,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991461886","repostId":"1102999640","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102999640","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660865795,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102999640?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102999640","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders","content":"<div>\n<p>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA $2 Trillion Stock-Options Deadline Is Make-Or-Break Moment for Bulls\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-19 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-18/a-2-tri","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102999640","content_text":"Options trading seen having lifted stocks, capping volatilityBrace for price swings in both directions: Nomura strategistWith August shaping up to be the calmest month this year for US stocks, traders are closely watching Friday’s $2 trillion options expiration for hints whether the tranquility will last.At issue is the belief that derivatives markets have somehow played a key role in suppressing volatility, thereby compelling rules-basedquant tradersto buy shares and in turn luring a broader group of investors back into the market in order tochase gains.After likely spurring an equity rebound during the summer lull, some strategists warn that this benign activity in the options market -- typically fueled by Wall Street dealers -- could disappear at a critical time.From central bankers’ annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to pending data on inflation and employment, and theFederal Reserve’s policy announcement, the next few weeks are full of potential catalysts for market chaos.“There are some technical reasons why as we go into the expiration this Friday, volatility could stay dampened and you could continue to see the market relatively supported,” Amy Wu Silverman, an equity derivatives strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Bloomberg TV. “As people return back from vacation with eyes on the ball, you can see what the real volumes are telling you about the volatility pickup.”About $2 trillion of options are set to expire, obliging holders to either roll over existing positions or start new ones. The monthly event includes $975 billion of S&P 500-linked contracts and $430 billion of derivatives across single stocks scheduled to run out, according to estimates by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Rocky Fishman.Stocks have restored roughly $7 trillion in values since mid-June, as what began as a short squeeze cascaded into a buying spree by those who exited equities during the first-half carnage amid fears that the Fed’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign could tip the economy into a recession. Shares have since recovered as data showed a robust labor market and cooler-than-expected inflation.Along the way, traders flocked to call options to catch up with the surprising rebound. In balancing their books, options dealers were stuck in “long gamma” positions that left them needing to go against the prevailing equity trend to maintain a neutral market exposure. Thanks in part to the process, peace returned in the market. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, has averaged 21 in August, on course for its lowest level since November.Broadly speaking, bullish contracts have been changing hands faster than bearish ones. The Cboe equity put-call ratio’s 10-day average hovered near a four-month low, a sign of growing interest in upside wagers.Traders will try to push the S&P 500 toward 4,300 in order to get their options contracts to pay off, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of analytic service SpotGamma. Any failure to hit this threshold would suggest the latest rally is losing momentum, potentially inviting sellers. The index added 0.2% to close at 4,283.74 Thursday.“Everyone is on the ‘call side’ of the boat,” said Kochuba.Charlie McElligott, a cross-asset strategist at Nomura Securities International, expects Friday’s OpEx to open the door for bigger price swings after the buffer from dealer hedging is reduced. He sees potential for the market to move in either direction.Should inflation come in hotter than expected and Fed policy makers ratchet up their hawkish rhetoric, that’d trigger turmoil across assets, he says. On the other hand, barring any negative macro shocks, money managers are under pressure to keep chasing the rally given their relatively low equity positioning.“My daily communications with clients continues to ‘hate’ this rally who remain wrong-sided and a source of ‘buyers higher,’” he wrote in a note Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":130845138,"gmtCreate":1621526272224,"gmtModify":1704359169730,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130845138","repostId":"2136010949","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136010949","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621525460,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2136010949?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-20 23:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oatly spikes 25% on its first day of trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136010949","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Oatly shares opened at $21.36 each on Thursday, about 25% higher than the company’s IPO price.Oatly ","content":"<p>Oatly shares opened at $21.36&nbsp;each on Thursday, about 25% higher than the company’s IPO price.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dea20942dd681dbc49dc4d9b993e2bf2\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Oatly is preparing for the next generation of diners who bring with them 'a new set of values and expectations'</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d5a4af914d52b8e97b3e053101a658\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Oatly said in its prospectus that it's focused on health and sustainability, two areas of importance to customers.</span></p><p>After first filing for its IPO confidentially in February , plant-based food company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> go public Thursday.</p><p>On Wednesday, Oatly priced its initial public offering at $17 a share , at the high end of its expected range, offering 84.4 million American Depository Shares. Selling stockholders will offer 19.7 million of those shares.</p><p>The pricing valued the company at about $10 billion, and will raise about $1.43 billion. The company will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"OTLY.\"</p><p>Oatly Group changed its name from Havre Global AB on March 1.</p><p>There are nine lead underwriters for the filing: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, JPMorgan, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Jeffries, BNP Paribas, BofA Securities, Piper Sandler and RBC Capital Markets.</p><p>Oatly is backed by private-equity group Blackstone Group, as well as celebrity names like Oprah Winfrey and Jay Z who invested $200 million in the company last summer. That investment valued the company at $2 billion at the time, according to The Wall Street Journal .</p><p>Based in Malmö, Sweden, Oatly has been in the oat milk business for 25 years. The company's product lineup now also includes frozen desserts and \"oatgurt,\" an alternative yogurt.</p><p>Toni Petersson has been Oatly's chief executive since 2012, and will join the board once the company is publicly-traded.</p><p>Christian Hanke, a former Nasdaq Stockholm executive, has served as Oatly's chief financial officer since March 2020.</p><p>The company is going public at a time when climate change and sustainability issues are top of mind for many consumers, particularly younger ones.</p><p>\"Generation Z and Millennials will become the dominant global generations in the coming years, bringing to the market a new set of values and expectations,\" the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>\"These combined factors are driving a clear rapid, accelerating growth and influx of new consumers to the plant-based dairy market.\"</p><p>According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.</p><p>Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.</p><p>Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow's milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.</p><p>Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that \"plant-based everything\" will be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.</p><p>\"The number <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> reason consumers turn to plant-based food and beverage? Health,\" the report said.</p><p>\"Plant-based is no longer just an 'alternative' to meat, but rather a significantcategory in itself.\"</p><p>Oatly's key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$(SBUX)$</a>, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.</p><p>COVID-19 has impacted Oatly's business as lockdowns around the world limited access to restaurants, bars and other dining establishments.</p><p>In 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million \"reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,\" the prospectus said.</p><p>Oatly is classified as an \"emerging growth company,\" which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.</p><p>Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last \"several\" years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise \"substantially.\"</p><p>\"Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,\" the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>\"We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.\"</p><p>Here are five more things to know about Oatly ahead of its public debut:</p><p>Oatly will not pay a dividend for the \"foreseeable future.\" The company plans to use the proceeds from the offering as working capital, for incremental growth, including expansion, and other general purposes.</p><p>Coffee provided a gateway for Oatly in the U.S. Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it \"focused on targeting coffee's tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops\" as a way to enter the market.\"</p><p>By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.</p><p>Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.</p><p>Limited oat supply could have a financial impact. Oatly depends on five suppliers for the oats it uses, purchasing this ingredient through millers in Sweden, Denmark, the U.S. and Belgium.</p><p>\"We have in the past experienced interruptions in the supply of oats from one supplier that resulted in delays in delivery to us,\" the company said, noting that its oat supply is also vulnerable to natural disasters such as drought or floods.</p><p>\"We could experience similar delays in the future from any of these suppliers.\"</p><p>The company also depends on select suppliers for enzymes, including one supplier that provides an enzyme for some of Oatly's products, including Barista Edition oat milk.</p><p>The main components of the company's products are manufactured in four primary facilities as of March 2021, which could also be a problem if something significant happens at any one facility.</p><p>The dairy market is highly competitive. Oatly identifies conventional dairy companies, including Dean Foods Inc. (DFODQ) and Lactalis as competitors, as well as the growing array of plant-based dairy alternative companies that are entering the market, including soy, almond, hemp and cashew milk brands.</p><p>All of these companies are competing for a finite number of retail stores, coffee shops, foodservice clients and consumers.</p><p>\"In order for us to not only maintain our market position, but also to continue to grow and acquire more consumers, some of which may be switching from traditional dairy to plant-based alternatives, we must continue to provide delicious, high-quality products, and consumers must believe in our vision for a food system that is better for people and the planet,\" the company said.</p><p>Oatly's marketing and COVID-19 might be a hurdle to growth. Oatly says that its history of \"provocative and unconventional marketing and advertising campaigns\" has gotten them into hot water, including a 2014 lawsuit filed by the Swedish dairy lobby in which the courts found Oatly was \"disparaging to dairy products.\"</p><p>\"The decision resulted in a ban on our further use of a number of expressions marketing our products in Sweden, under the penalty of liquidated damages of SEK 2 million per expression,\" the prospectus said.</p><p>The company cautions that future marketing could drive other legal action.</p><p>More recently, Oatly's Super Bowl ad made headlines , but mostly for provoking laughter.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oatly spikes 25% on its first day of trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOatly spikes 25% on its first day of trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-20 23:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Oatly shares opened at $21.36&nbsp;each on Thursday, about 25% higher than the company’s IPO price.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dea20942dd681dbc49dc4d9b993e2bf2\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Oatly is preparing for the next generation of diners who bring with them 'a new set of values and expectations'</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d5a4af914d52b8e97b3e053101a658\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"841\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Oatly said in its prospectus that it's focused on health and sustainability, two areas of importance to customers.</span></p><p>After first filing for its IPO confidentially in February , plant-based food company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">Oatly Group AB</a> go public Thursday.</p><p>On Wednesday, Oatly priced its initial public offering at $17 a share , at the high end of its expected range, offering 84.4 million American Depository Shares. Selling stockholders will offer 19.7 million of those shares.</p><p>The pricing valued the company at about $10 billion, and will raise about $1.43 billion. The company will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"OTLY.\"</p><p>Oatly Group changed its name from Havre Global AB on March 1.</p><p>There are nine lead underwriters for the filing: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>, JPMorgan, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Jeffries, BNP Paribas, BofA Securities, Piper Sandler and RBC Capital Markets.</p><p>Oatly is backed by private-equity group Blackstone Group, as well as celebrity names like Oprah Winfrey and Jay Z who invested $200 million in the company last summer. That investment valued the company at $2 billion at the time, according to The Wall Street Journal .</p><p>Based in Malmö, Sweden, Oatly has been in the oat milk business for 25 years. The company's product lineup now also includes frozen desserts and \"oatgurt,\" an alternative yogurt.</p><p>Toni Petersson has been Oatly's chief executive since 2012, and will join the board once the company is publicly-traded.</p><p>Christian Hanke, a former Nasdaq Stockholm executive, has served as Oatly's chief financial officer since March 2020.</p><p>The company is going public at a time when climate change and sustainability issues are top of mind for many consumers, particularly younger ones.</p><p>\"Generation Z and Millennials will become the dominant global generations in the coming years, bringing to the market a new set of values and expectations,\" the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>\"These combined factors are driving a clear rapid, accelerating growth and influx of new consumers to the plant-based dairy market.\"</p><p>According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.</p><p>Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.</p><p>Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow's milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.</p><p>Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that \"plant-based everything\" will be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.</p><p>\"The number <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> reason consumers turn to plant-based food and beverage? Health,\" the report said.</p><p>\"Plant-based is no longer just an 'alternative' to meat, but rather a significantcategory in itself.\"</p><p>Oatly's key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$(SBUX)$</a>, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.</p><p>COVID-19 has impacted Oatly's business as lockdowns around the world limited access to restaurants, bars and other dining establishments.</p><p>In 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million \"reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,\" the prospectus said.</p><p>Oatly is classified as an \"emerging growth company,\" which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.</p><p>Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last \"several\" years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise \"substantially.\"</p><p>\"Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,\" the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>\"We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.\"</p><p>Here are five more things to know about Oatly ahead of its public debut:</p><p>Oatly will not pay a dividend for the \"foreseeable future.\" The company plans to use the proceeds from the offering as working capital, for incremental growth, including expansion, and other general purposes.</p><p>Coffee provided a gateway for Oatly in the U.S. Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it \"focused on targeting coffee's tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops\" as a way to enter the market.\"</p><p>By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.</p><p>Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.</p><p>Limited oat supply could have a financial impact. Oatly depends on five suppliers for the oats it uses, purchasing this ingredient through millers in Sweden, Denmark, the U.S. and Belgium.</p><p>\"We have in the past experienced interruptions in the supply of oats from one supplier that resulted in delays in delivery to us,\" the company said, noting that its oat supply is also vulnerable to natural disasters such as drought or floods.</p><p>\"We could experience similar delays in the future from any of these suppliers.\"</p><p>The company also depends on select suppliers for enzymes, including one supplier that provides an enzyme for some of Oatly's products, including Barista Edition oat milk.</p><p>The main components of the company's products are manufactured in four primary facilities as of March 2021, which could also be a problem if something significant happens at any one facility.</p><p>The dairy market is highly competitive. Oatly identifies conventional dairy companies, including Dean Foods Inc. (DFODQ) and Lactalis as competitors, as well as the growing array of plant-based dairy alternative companies that are entering the market, including soy, almond, hemp and cashew milk brands.</p><p>All of these companies are competing for a finite number of retail stores, coffee shops, foodservice clients and consumers.</p><p>\"In order for us to not only maintain our market position, but also to continue to grow and acquire more consumers, some of which may be switching from traditional dairy to plant-based alternatives, we must continue to provide delicious, high-quality products, and consumers must believe in our vision for a food system that is better for people and the planet,\" the company said.</p><p>Oatly's marketing and COVID-19 might be a hurdle to growth. Oatly says that its history of \"provocative and unconventional marketing and advertising campaigns\" has gotten them into hot water, including a 2014 lawsuit filed by the Swedish dairy lobby in which the courts found Oatly was \"disparaging to dairy products.\"</p><p>\"The decision resulted in a ban on our further use of a number of expressions marketing our products in Sweden, under the penalty of liquidated damages of SEK 2 million per expression,\" the prospectus said.</p><p>The company cautions that future marketing could drive other legal action.</p><p>More recently, Oatly's Super Bowl ad made headlines , but mostly for provoking laughter.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","OTLY":"Oatly Group AB"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136010949","content_text":"Oatly shares opened at $21.36 each on Thursday, about 25% higher than the company’s IPO price.Oatly is preparing for the next generation of diners who bring with them 'a new set of values and expectations'Oatly said in its prospectus that it's focused on health and sustainability, two areas of importance to customers.After first filing for its IPO confidentially in February , plant-based food company Oatly Group AB go public Thursday.On Wednesday, Oatly priced its initial public offering at $17 a share , at the high end of its expected range, offering 84.4 million American Depository Shares. Selling stockholders will offer 19.7 million of those shares.The pricing valued the company at about $10 billion, and will raise about $1.43 billion. The company will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker \"OTLY.\"Oatly Group changed its name from Havre Global AB on March 1.There are nine lead underwriters for the filing: Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Jeffries, BNP Paribas, BofA Securities, Piper Sandler and RBC Capital Markets.Oatly is backed by private-equity group Blackstone Group, as well as celebrity names like Oprah Winfrey and Jay Z who invested $200 million in the company last summer. That investment valued the company at $2 billion at the time, according to The Wall Street Journal .Based in Malmö, Sweden, Oatly has been in the oat milk business for 25 years. The company's product lineup now also includes frozen desserts and \"oatgurt,\" an alternative yogurt.Toni Petersson has been Oatly's chief executive since 2012, and will join the board once the company is publicly-traded.Christian Hanke, a former Nasdaq Stockholm executive, has served as Oatly's chief financial officer since March 2020.The company is going public at a time when climate change and sustainability issues are top of mind for many consumers, particularly younger ones.\"Generation Z and Millennials will become the dominant global generations in the coming years, bringing to the market a new set of values and expectations,\" the company said in its prospectus.\"These combined factors are driving a clear rapid, accelerating growth and influx of new consumers to the plant-based dairy market.\"According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow's milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that \"plant-based everything\" will be one of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.\"The number one reason consumers turn to plant-based food and beverage? Health,\" the report said.\"Plant-based is no longer just an 'alternative' to meat, but rather a significantcategory in itself.\"Oatly's key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks $(SBUX)$, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.COVID-19 has impacted Oatly's business as lockdowns around the world limited access to restaurants, bars and other dining establishments.In 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million \"reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,\" the prospectus said.Oatly is classified as an \"emerging growth company,\" which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last \"several\" years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise \"substantially.\"\"Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,\" the company said in its prospectus.\"We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.\"Here are five more things to know about Oatly ahead of its public debut:Oatly will not pay a dividend for the \"foreseeable future.\" The company plans to use the proceeds from the offering as working capital, for incremental growth, including expansion, and other general purposes.Coffee provided a gateway for Oatly in the U.S. Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it \"focused on targeting coffee's tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops\" as a way to enter the market.\"By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.Limited oat supply could have a financial impact. Oatly depends on five suppliers for the oats it uses, purchasing this ingredient through millers in Sweden, Denmark, the U.S. and Belgium.\"We have in the past experienced interruptions in the supply of oats from one supplier that resulted in delays in delivery to us,\" the company said, noting that its oat supply is also vulnerable to natural disasters such as drought or floods.\"We could experience similar delays in the future from any of these suppliers.\"The company also depends on select suppliers for enzymes, including one supplier that provides an enzyme for some of Oatly's products, including Barista Edition oat milk.The main components of the company's products are manufactured in four primary facilities as of March 2021, which could also be a problem if something significant happens at any one facility.The dairy market is highly competitive. Oatly identifies conventional dairy companies, including Dean Foods Inc. (DFODQ) and Lactalis as competitors, as well as the growing array of plant-based dairy alternative companies that are entering the market, including soy, almond, hemp and cashew milk brands.All of these companies are competing for a finite number of retail stores, coffee shops, foodservice clients and consumers.\"In order for us to not only maintain our market position, but also to continue to grow and acquire more consumers, some of which may be switching from traditional dairy to plant-based alternatives, we must continue to provide delicious, high-quality products, and consumers must believe in our vision for a food system that is better for people and the planet,\" the company said.Oatly's marketing and COVID-19 might be a hurdle to growth. Oatly says that its history of \"provocative and unconventional marketing and advertising campaigns\" has gotten them into hot water, including a 2014 lawsuit filed by the Swedish dairy lobby in which the courts found Oatly was \"disparaging to dairy products.\"\"The decision resulted in a ban on our further use of a number of expressions marketing our products in Sweden, under the penalty of liquidated damages of SEK 2 million per expression,\" the prospectus said.The company cautions that future marketing could drive other legal action.More recently, Oatly's Super Bowl ad made headlines , but mostly for provoking laughter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9,"OTLY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581981992184294","authorId":"3581981992184294","name":"小虎一只","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581981992184294","idStr":"3581981992184294"},"content":"Like and comment. Thanks ?","text":"Like and comment. Thanks ?","html":"Like and comment. Thanks ?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112619273,"gmtCreate":1622865327492,"gmtModify":1704192711976,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112619273","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106312903?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>\n <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>\n <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p>\n<p>Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p>\n<p>Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p>\n<p>Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p>\n<p>BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p>\n<p>Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p>\n<p>Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p>\n<p>Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p>\n<p>Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TASK":"TaskUs Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","BZ":"BOSS直聘",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","ZME":"掌门教育","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"ZME":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TASK":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"LFST":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"MNDY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548659340886358","authorId":"3548659340886358","name":"老木不朽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7c249f8702df4b6d4a8a6346ce6b5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3548659340886358","idStr":"3548659340886358"},"content":"Like and comment. Thanks","text":"Like and comment. Thanks","html":"Like and comment. Thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165745427,"gmtCreate":1624159335569,"gmtModify":1703829773693,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/165745427","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133385197","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624151969,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133385197?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Answering the great inflation question of our time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133385197","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up","content":"<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”</p>\n<p>The current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?</p>\n<p>Before I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.</p>\n<p>As an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.</p>\n<p>Until now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87f75dfcb98fb5a0e7c3f9d3f8d336e2\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Used car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.</p>\n<p>To be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)</p>\n<p>But that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&amp;P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.</p>\n<p>Given this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.</p>\n<p>Now I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.</p>\n<p>As for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.</p>\n<p>Which brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.</p>\n<p>“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”</p>\n<p>“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.</p>\n<p>COVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.</p>\n<p>A prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.</p>\n<p>Another secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.</p>\n<p><b>Anti-inflation forces</b></p>\n<p>But here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?</p>\n<p>I say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”</p>\n<p>To buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.</p>\n<p>To me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.</p>\n<p>Not only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.</p>\n<p>So technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.</p>\n<p>There is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.</p>\n<p>After World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)</p>\n<p>Like its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.</p>\n<p>The internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.</p>\n<p>So technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.</p>\n<p>COVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.</p>\n<p>How significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.</p>\n<p>More downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”</p>\n<p>And so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”</p>\n<p>I don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Answering the great inflation question of our time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnswering the great inflation question of our time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133385197","content_text":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”\nThe current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?\nBefore I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.\nAs an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.\nUntil now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)\n\nUsed car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.\nTo be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)\nBut that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.\nGiven this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.\nNow I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.\nAs for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.\nWhich brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.\n“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”\n“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.\nCOVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.\nA prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.\nAnother secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.\nAnti-inflation forces\nBut here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?\nI say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”\nTo buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.\nTo me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.\nNot only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.\nSo technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.\nThere is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.\nAfter World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)\nLike its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.\nThe internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.\nSo technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.\nCOVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.\nHow significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.\nMore downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”\nAnd so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”\nI don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137292162,"gmtCreate":1622347895856,"gmtModify":1704183321192,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Love","listText":"Love","text":"Love","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137292162","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378323028,"gmtCreate":1619003265364,"gmtModify":1704718127372,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment. Thanks,, ?","listText":"Like and comment. Thanks,, ?","text":"Like and comment. Thanks,, ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/378323028","repostId":"1174919006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581981992184294","authorId":"3581981992184294","name":"小虎一只","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581981992184294","idStr":"3581981992184294"},"content":"Like and comment. Thanks ?","text":"Like and comment. Thanks ?","html":"Like and comment. Thanks ?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890616469,"gmtCreate":1628112134751,"gmtModify":1703501282206,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890616469","repostId":"1187165636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187641312,"gmtCreate":1623753443836,"gmtModify":1704210557153,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187641312","repostId":"1142697857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548659340886358","authorId":"3548659340886358","name":"老木不朽","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b7c249f8702df4b6d4a8a6346ce6b5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3548659340886358","idStr":"3548659340886358"},"content":"Like and comment. Thanks","text":"Like and comment. Thanks","html":"Like and comment. Thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998650513,"gmtCreate":1660987076135,"gmtModify":1676536435754,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998650513","repostId":"2260345221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260345221","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661043639,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260345221?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260345221","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split will take place at the close of trading on August 24, but you don't have to wait to determine how many shares you'll have in your account after the big day.","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOwn Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260345221","content_text":"Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split you're participating in, we'll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.Image source: Getty Images.Welcome to the world of stock splitsTesla isn't the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won't be the last. Amazon and Google's parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company's shares into additional shares. This lowers a company's share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That's how a stock split works. You won't have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla's stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?You don't have to wait until the day of Tesla's stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.Below, we use Tesla's 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you'll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 sharesIf you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that's not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you'll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.But if you participated in Tesla's last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let's say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.More shares doesn't mean more profitsThe thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don't confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn't alter a company's total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.So, if you're searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905742952,"gmtCreate":1659946713592,"gmtModify":1703476281376,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905742952","repostId":"1111364601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111364601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659972720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111364601?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 23:32","market":"other","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111364601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 20","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.</li><li>The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.</li><li>If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.</li></ul><p>History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.</p><p>Similarities in today&#39;s stock market and S&amp;P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn&#39;t to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.</p><p><b>1937</b></p><p>After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&amp;P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&amp;P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.</p><p>Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&amp;P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&amp;P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&amp;P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9e75e86ede6d5127a530f868dcedf3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2000</b></p><p>The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&amp;P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&amp;P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&amp;P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.</p><p>Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&amp;P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c67e3a7716980557c4c7d467f03d1b40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>2008</b></p><p>Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&amp;P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&amp;P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&amp;P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d85ceaf1cd7900663bbf9dbbe300dee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Similarities</b></p><p>The declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn&#39;t the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03c254a06087baa45767c1b5a5d0c6aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Does this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34566ce27f9a5b7d5ac6c173ee363be9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What happens next for stocks is anyone&#39;s guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what <i>may</i> happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 May Be Near The Most Dangerous Phase Of The Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-08 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4531046-sp-500-near-most-dangerous-phase-of-bear-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111364601","content_text":"SummaryThe bear market of 2022 has eerily similar characteristics of bear markets of the past.The 2022 bear market looks very similar to those in 1937, 2000, and 2008.If the bear markets are similar, the 2022 version is nearing its most dangerous phase.History can act as a guide, not because it can predict the future, but because sometimes it can prepare us for what may happen next. Investing is very much about understanding the fundamentals and the technical trends. But the element that is lost most times is emotion, and it is the emotion of how people respond to news or events that seem to endure, shaping history.Similarities in today's stock market and S&P 500 (SP500) echo the great bear markets of the past. The 2022 S&P 500 path has followed the paths of 1936, 2000, and 2008 cycles. It isn't to say that future is on a predetermined course; it is not. But it can give us a glimpse into what may happen next based on how bear markets and emotions have steered past performance.1937After rallying from March 1935 to March 1937, the S&P 500 dropped sharply until the summer of 1937, by nearly 19%. That was when the index saw a solid summer rally, which lifted the S&P 500 more than 14% off its lows, peaking around August 20, 1937. Following that summer rally, the market fell sharply, nearly 70% between September 1937 and April 1938.Using a 31,065-day offset to overlay the S&P 500 of today versus that bear market, we can see the S&P 500 of today has plotted a very similar course to that of 1937. It would suggest that the S&P 500 of today is likely to be hitting an inflection point in the next couple of weeks. It could result in the recent 2022 rally continuing, the comparison with 1937 no longer working, or the S&P 500 of 2022 turning sharply lower as the market did in 1937.Bloomberg2000The bear market that started in the year 2000 also shares many of the same properties as the S&P 500 of today. In this case, using a 7874-day offset, the two charts will line up. Following the 1998 sell-off, the S&P 500 rallied sharply until 2000. The S&P 500 of 2000 was more resilient at first, retesting its March 2000 highs again in September 2000. After that, the index saw a pronounced sell-off, followed by a January 2001 rally. That January 2001 rally marked the final rebound, followed by a nearly 20% decline into April 2001.Again, the market of today is at the same point in time. Therefore, if the S&P 500 is going to turn lower and follow the path of 2000, that sharp decline could happen over the next couple of weeks.Bloomberg2008Finally, the bear market of 2008 seems to match the S&P 500 of 2022 the most closely. A 5,218-day offset lines the double bottom in the fall of 2020 up with the double bottom in the spring of 2006. Like the two previous bear market examples, after peaking in October 2007, the S&P 500 went lower on a slow and steady decline of nearly 19%. That was followed by a rally in the spring of 2008, which led to a gain of almost 12%. Of course, after that rally, the S&P 500 again found itself turning lower, erasing the spring gains.BloombergSimilaritiesThe declines may differ in each of these cases, but it isn't the reason that matters. It is the patterns the market followed that matter. When overlaying 1937, 2000, and 2008 all together on one chart, they show that the bull rally phases had nearly the same duration, with all peaking within a 6-month time frame, followed by a sharp decline, a very sharp countertrend rally followed by a significantly steeper decline.BloombergDoes this mean the market of 2022 has to follow the same path? No, of course, it does not. But if this is a bear market we are in, and the pattern continues, the market may be entering the most dangerous part of the bear market. The part where a powerful rally catches everyone off guard and is followed by a sharp and sudden decline.BloombergWhat happens next for stocks is anyone's guess, and these charts do not tell us what that outcome will be. But the power of history and human emotion tells us what may happen next, and in this case, the answer may be staring us right in the face for all to see.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048908611,"gmtCreate":1656123162733,"gmtModify":1676535772156,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581998808524359","idStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I","listText":"I","text":"I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048908611","repostId":"2246375209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246375209","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1656115431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246375209?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-25 08:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246375209","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Wall Street Expects in the Second Half of 2022?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-25 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.</p><p>Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.</p><p>That&#39;s largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.</p><p>Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.</p><p>Here are other highlights.</p><h3>Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?</h3><p>The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: &#34;stagflation,&#34; &#34;reflation,&#34; &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;slump,&#34; and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.</p><p>Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a &#34;soft landing&#34; or &#34;reflation,&#34; but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the &#34;stagflation&#34; scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.</p><p>Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic &#34;slump,&#34; which would likely involve a recession that&#39;s severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4b09a506a8b3c115174a93678658241\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBS</span></p><p>Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that &#34;there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.&#34;</p><h3>Opportunity in investment grade bonds</h3><p>One of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.</p><p>How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup&#39;s chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in &#34;investing in the afterglow of a boom,&#34; Citi Global Wealth Investment&#39;s mid-year outlook.</p><p>As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.</p><p>&#34;Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an &#39;antidote&#39; to the &#39;cash thief,&#39; given their higher yields,&#34; the team said.</p><p>The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.</p><h3>Second-half rebound in stocks</h3><p>JP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank&#39;s equity strategists was hardly an exception.</p><p>Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81cca5ebedab5af10b811ce0897b98c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.</span></p><p>Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.</p><p>&#34;...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UBS":"瑞银","USB":"美国合众银行","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BCS":"巴克莱银行","BK4521":"英国银行股","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","C":"花旗","JNK":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays高收益债","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4207":"综合性银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246375209","content_text":"As the first half of 2022 draws to a close, Wall Street investment banks and their legions of strategists have been busy telling clients what they should expect in the second half of what has been an extraordinary year for markets as U.S. stocks head for their worst start in decades.Investment banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co., Barclays, UBS Group, Citigroup Inc and others have over the past week or two released their outlooks on what investors should expect in the second half of the year. MarketWatch has some of the highlights -- with one theme uniting them: uncertainty.That's largely because markets will hinge on Federal Reserve policy. With officials signaling an intention to remain data-dependent, the direction of monetary policy inevitably will depend on how inflation develops over the coming months.Another thing many banks agreed on was that a recession in the U.S. in the second half of the year looked unlikely -- or at the very least, not in their base case.Here are other highlights.Stagflation, reflation, soft landing or slump?The team at UBS divided their outlook into four scenarios: \"stagflation,\" \"reflation,\" \"soft landing\" or \"slump,\" and outlined what the reaction in stocks and bonds could look like in each case.Their best case scenario for stocks would be either a \"soft landing\" or \"reflation,\" but in each case, investors would see inflation pressures moderate while the U.S. economy avoids a recession. Under the \"stagflation\" scenario, stubborn inflation and tepid growth would drive both stocks and bonds lower, essentially marking a continuation of the trading patterns seen so far this year, where both bonds and stocks have taken a beating.Their worst case scenario for stocks would be the economic \"slump,\" which would likely involve a recession that's severe enough to prompt a dramatic shift in expectations surrounding corporate profits. However, in this scenario, the UBS team expects the growth shock would force the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more quickly.THE OUTLOOK FOR STOCKS AND BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR WILL DEPEND ON THE ECONOMIC BACKDROP. SOURCE: UBSMark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, said in the mid-year outlook that \"there are a lot of potential outcomes for markets, and the only near-certainty is that the path to the end of the year will be a volatile one. It can feel overwhelming for investors considering how to position their portfolios.\"Opportunity in investment grade bondsOne of the most vexing aspects of the year to date -- at least, as far as individual investors are concerned -- is the paucity of investment strategies producing positive returns. Commodities have worked well, and any investors intrepid enough to bet against stocks, or invest in volatility-linked products, probably made money. But investors who ascribe to the rules of the 60/40 portfolio have been beset by losses in both their stock and bond portfolios.How might investors hedge against this going forward? David Bailin, Citigroup's chief investment officer, shared some thoughts on this in \"investing in the afterglow of a boom,\" Citi Global Wealth Investment's mid-year outlook.As negative real rates weigh on equities, while also sapping the return on bonds, Citi is pitching investment-grade bonds as a kind of happy medium.\"Our view is that most of the expected US tightening is now embedded in Treasury yields. We believe it is possible that rates will peak this year, as US GDP growth decelerates rapidly. In turn, this will likely see reduced inflation readings, perhapsallowing the Fed to relax its hawkish stance. For investors, these higher yields may represent an attractive level at which to buy. We believe certain fixed-income assets now offer an 'antidote' to the 'cash thief,' given their higher yields,\" the team said.The biggest corporate bond exchange-traded funds ended the week higher, but with the large iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (ETLQD) still 16.9% lower on the year so far. The SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) was 15.7% lower on the year and the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) was down 13.8%, according to FactSet.The S&P 500 index  closed higher Friday as stocks rallied, but still was down 17.9% on the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was off 13.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index  was 25.8% lower so far in 2022, according to FactSet data.Second-half rebound in stocksJP Morgan Global Research carved out a position as one of the most bullish research shops on Wall Street. The mid-year outlook from the bank's equity strategists was hardly an exception.Simply put, the team from JP Morgan recommends buying cyclicals and shunning defensive stocks, arguing that cyclicals like the energy sector are more attractively valued at the moment. The team also sees opportunity in small cap and growth stocks.DEFENSIVE STOCKS LIKE UTILITIES AND CONSUMER STAPLE AREN’T AS ATTRACTIVELY VALUED AS THEIR GROWTH PEERS.Defensive stocks like consumer staples and utilities, on the other hand, present less opportunity, and more risk.\"...[T]hese sectors remain crowded with record relative valuation which we see as vulnerable to rotation under both a scenario of a return to mid-cycle recovery and growth...and recession.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BCS":0.9,"JNK":0.9,"USB":0.9,"HYG":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"LQD":0.9,"C":0.9,"UBS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}