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2021-08-10

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The "fig leaf" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually "fraudulent"

2021-08-07

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SOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation

2021-08-01

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2021-07-21

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He stressed that the U.S. economy still has a long way to go before it can make substantial progress towards price stabilization and full employment. Only if the U.S. job market \"makes some progress\" will it be possible to change loose monetary policy and start tapering asset purchases.</p><p>For a time, the employment situation became the \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>The Fed's \"fig leaf\" can't be covered</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor last Friday showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 943,000 in July, the largest increase since August 2020, and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4%, the lowest in 16 months. Figures for both May and June were revised to show 119,000 more jobs added than previously reported. The labor participation rate increased to 61.7% from 61.6% in June. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in July, up 4.0% year over year. Many economists believe the U.S. economy will record its strongest growth this year in nearly 40 years.</p><p>Such strong non-farm payroll data has greatly excited the market. The Federal Reserve may have no reason to be dovish anymore. The market expects that the timetable for reducing the scale of bond purchases will be released at this month's Jackson Hole meeting or the interest rate meeting in September.</p><p><b>Fed officials have also been making hawkish comments.</b></p><p>Bostic, president of the Atlanta Fed, said that the U.S. economy is improving faster than expected, the Federal Reserve is rapidly approaching the point of starting to reduce the size of bond purchases, and inflation has reached a key standard to meet the start of the rate hike. Bostic said he expects to start tapering in the fourth quarter, but he is open to starting tapering earlier if the job market maintains the recent strong pace of growth.</p><p>Boston Fed President Rosengren said the Fed may start pulling back support measures earlier than that. Richmond Fed President Barkin said that this year's high inflation may have met a criterion for the Fed's rate hike, although the job market still needs to recover further before rate hike.</p><p>Although these officials are generally hawkish, some still agree with Powell that the job market needs to be further recovered. Isn't such a strong non-farm payrolls report enough?</p><p><b>Real American Employment</b></p><p>JOLTS job openings rose by 590,000 to 10.073 million in June, a record high and far exceeded expectations of 9.27 million, according to U.S. data released on Monday; The May figures were updated to 9.5 million from 9.209 million. June hiring rose to 6.7 million from 6 million the previous month, the second-biggest increase since the government began tracking the data in 2000.</p><p>On the one hand, the vacancies indicate that the U.S. economy is recovering strongly, and companies are increasing hiring, but in fact, a large part of the reason is because many Americans are unwilling to go to work.</p><p>Recently, the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the United States reached a six-month high, and the outbreak of the epidemic made some people reluctant to return to work. In addition, a large number of people give up their jobs in order to receive high benefits. Because they have no willingness to work, these people are not included in the unemployment rate, so in fact, the real unemployment rate in the United States is higher than 5.4%.</p><p>Before the outbreak of the pandemic, the average unemployment benefit in the United States was about $387 per week. 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That said, the truest jobs numbers in the United States may take one to two months to reveal.</p><p>If the employment data is still strong by then, the Fed's \"fig leaf\" will no longer exist, and the Fed's scaling back of asset purchases will be a certainty.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually \"fraudulent\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually \"fraudulent\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Previously, with the explosion of inflation data in the United States, the Federal Reserve has always claimed that inflation is \"temporary\", that inflation in the United States will decline in the future, and the Federal Reserve is not yet in rate hike.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell had said at the interest rate meeting in July that millions of people in the United States were still unemployed. He stressed that the U.S. economy still has a long way to go before it can make substantial progress towards price stabilization and full employment. Only if the U.S. job market \"makes some progress\" will it be possible to change loose monetary policy and start tapering asset purchases.</p><p>For a time, the employment situation became the \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>The Fed's \"fig leaf\" can't be covered</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor last Friday showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 943,000 in July, the largest increase since August 2020, and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4%, the lowest in 16 months. Figures for both May and June were revised to show 119,000 more jobs added than previously reported. The labor participation rate increased to 61.7% from 61.6% in June. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in July, up 4.0% year over year. Many economists believe the U.S. economy will record its strongest growth this year in nearly 40 years.</p><p>Such strong non-farm payroll data has greatly excited the market. The Federal Reserve may have no reason to be dovish anymore. The market expects that the timetable for reducing the scale of bond purchases will be released at this month's Jackson Hole meeting or the interest rate meeting in September.</p><p><b>Fed officials have also been making hawkish comments.</b></p><p>Bostic, president of the Atlanta Fed, said that the U.S. economy is improving faster than expected, the Federal Reserve is rapidly approaching the point of starting to reduce the size of bond purchases, and inflation has reached a key standard to meet the start of the rate hike. Bostic said he expects to start tapering in the fourth quarter, but he is open to starting tapering earlier if the job market maintains the recent strong pace of growth.</p><p>Boston Fed President Rosengren said the Fed may start pulling back support measures earlier than that. Richmond Fed President Barkin said that this year's high inflation may have met a criterion for the Fed's rate hike, although the job market still needs to recover further before rate hike.</p><p>Although these officials are generally hawkish, some still agree with Powell that the job market needs to be further recovered. Isn't such a strong non-farm payrolls report enough?</p><p><b>Real American Employment</b></p><p>JOLTS job openings rose by 590,000 to 10.073 million in June, a record high and far exceeded expectations of 9.27 million, according to U.S. data released on Monday; The May figures were updated to 9.5 million from 9.209 million. June hiring rose to 6.7 million from 6 million the previous month, the second-biggest increase since the government began tracking the data in 2000.</p><p>On the one hand, the vacancies indicate that the U.S. economy is recovering strongly, and companies are increasing hiring, but in fact, a large part of the reason is because many Americans are unwilling to go to work.</p><p>Recently, the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the United States reached a six-month high, and the outbreak of the epidemic made some people reluctant to return to work. In addition, a large number of people give up their jobs in order to receive high benefits. Because they have no willingness to work, these people are not included in the unemployment rate, so in fact, the real unemployment rate in the United States is higher than 5.4%.</p><p>Before the outbreak of the pandemic, the average unemployment benefit in the United States was about $387 per week. After the pandemic, the federal government launched a series of economic stimulus packages, which included additional unemployment benefits of $300 per week.</p><p>This means that the average unemployed American earns a net income of $687 a week, which is equivalent to a wage of $17.17 an hour, more than double the federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. No wonder millions of Americans are willing to \"lie flat\" and receive benefits instead of getting a job.</p><p>Soon, though, enhanced unemployment benefits will expire in early September, and many states have even eliminated the $300-a-week payment early, leaving roughly 7.5 million Americans likely to lose unemployment benefits. That said, the truest jobs numbers in the United States may take one to two months to reveal.</p><p>If the employment data is still strong by then, the Fed's \"fig leaf\" will no longer exist, and the Fed's scaling back of asset purchases will be a certainty.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128522311","content_text":"此前，随着美国的通胀数据的爆表，美联储却一直声称通胀是“暂时的”，美国未来通胀会下滑，美联储还不到加息的时候。\n美联储主席鲍威尔在7月的利率会议上曾表示，美国仍有数百万人失业。他强调，美国经济要想在稳定物价和充分就业方面取得实质性进展还有很长的路要走。只有美国就业市场 “取得一些进展”，才可能改变宽松的货币政策并开启缩减资产购买规模。\n一时间，就业状况成了美联储的“遮羞布”。\n美联储的“遮羞布”遮不住了\n上周五美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国7月非农就业岗位增加94.3万个，创2020年8月以来的最大增幅，失业率降至5.4%，为16个月最低。5月和6月的数据均被修正，显示新增就业岗位数比之前报告的多11.9万个。劳动参与率从6月的61.6%提高到61.7%。7月平均时薪增长0.4%，同比上涨4.0%。许多经济学家认为今年美国经济将录得近40年来最强劲增长。\n如此强劲的非农就业数据令市场大为振奋，美联储或再无鸽派的理由，市场预期缩减购债规模的时间表将在本月杰克逊霍尔的会议或者9月的利率会议上发布。\n美联储官员也纷纷发表鹰派的言论。\n亚特兰大联储总裁博斯蒂克表示，美国经济改善速度比预期更快，美联储正在快速接近开始削减购债规模的时点，通胀已经达到了满足开始加息的一个关键标准。博斯蒂克称，他预计在第四季开始缩减购债规模，但如果就业市场保持近期的强劲增长步伐，他对更早开始缩减购债持开放态度。\n波士顿联储总裁罗森格伦表示，美联储可能比这更早地开始撤走支持措施。里奇蒙联储总裁巴尔金表示，今年的高通胀可能已经满足了美联储加息的一个标准，不过在加息之前，就业市场仍需进一步恢复。\n虽然这几位官员整体偏鹰派，但是还是有部分官员同鲍威尔的观点一致，认为就业市场需进一步恢复，难道如此强劲的非农就业报告还不够吗？\n真实的美国就业状况\n周一美国公布的数据显示，6月JOLTS职位空缺增加了59万个，达到1,007.3万个，创纪录新高，远超预期的927万个；5月数据从920.9万上修至950万6月招聘人数从上月的600万升至670万，为政府自2000年开始追踪该资料以来的第二大增幅。\n职位的空缺一方面表明美国经济复苏强劲，各个公司都在加大招聘，但实际上很大一部分原因是由于很多美国人不愿意去工作导致的。\n近期，美国新冠病例数与住院人数创下六个月新高，疫情的爆发令一部分人不愿意重返就业岗位。此外，还有很大一部分人是为了领取高额的救济金而放弃工作，由于没有工作意愿，这部分人是不算在失业率里面的，所以实际上美国的真实失业率是要比5.4%高的。\n在疫情暴发之前，美国的失业补助约为平均每周387美元，而在疫情之后，联邦政府推出了一系列的经济刺激计划，其中就包括每周300美元的额外失业福利。\n这意味着美国失业民众平均每周的净收入达到687美元，相当于每小时17.17美元的工资，是联邦最低工资每小时7.25美元的两倍多，无怪乎数百万的美国人愿意“躺平”领救济金而不去找份工作。\n不过很快，增强型失业救济金将于9月初到期，许多州甚至提前取消了每周300美元的补助，大约750万美国人可能会失去失业救济金。也就是说，美国最真实的就业数据可能需要一到两个月后才能揭晓。\n假如到时候的就业数据依旧强劲的话，美联储的“遮羞布”将不复存在，美联储缩减资产购买规模也将板上钉钉。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893555292,"gmtCreate":1628291723616,"gmtModify":1703504503096,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581586310901443","idStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893555292","repostId":"1190418068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190418068","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628267438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190418068?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-07 00:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"SOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190418068","media":"澎湃新闻","summary":"黑石集团以5港元/股的价格，总共收购SOHO中国约28.56亿股股份。","content":"<p><div>Reporter Li Xiaoqing A transaction of HK$ 23.6 billion between SOHO China and Blackstone Group was formally filed for review by the State Administration for Market Regulation. On the evening of August 6, SOHO China Limited and Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited (the Offeror) jointly issued an announcement, and SOHO China and the Offeror jointly issued an announcement dated June 16, 2021 in relation to Goldman Sachs (Asia) LLC's pre-conditional voluntary conditional cash offer on behalf of the Offeror to acquire all the issued shares of SOHO China...</p><p><a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"pengpai_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">澎湃新闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-07 00:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>Reporter Li Xiaoqing A transaction of HK$ 23.6 billion between SOHO China and Blackstone Group was formally filed for review by the State Administration for Market Regulation. On the evening of August 6, SOHO China Limited and Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited (the Offeror) jointly issued an announcement, and SOHO China and the Offeror jointly issued an announcement dated June 16, 2021 in relation to Goldman Sachs (Asia) LLC's pre-conditional voluntary conditional cash offer on behalf of the Offeror to acquire all the issued shares of SOHO China...</p><p><a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">澎湃新闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b062bbd85848c3ea66f8fca10f2c9937","relate_stocks":{"00410":"SOHO中国","BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190418068","content_text":"记者 李晓青\nSOHO中国和黑石集团的一笔236亿港元的交易，获得了市场监管总局正式立案审查。\n8月6日晚间，SOHO中国有限公司及Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited（要约方）联合发布公告，SOHO中国与要约方联合刊发日期为2021年6月16日的公告，内容有关高盛（亚洲）有限责任公司代表要约方作出附先决条件自愿性有条件现金要约以收购SOHO中国全部已发行股份；及SOHO中国与要约方联合刊发日期为2021年7月6日的公告，内容有关延迟寄发综合文件。\nSOHO中国称，自联合公告发出后，要约方已向中国国家市场监管总局提交并购审查申报相关文件及材料。自延迟寄发公告发出后，要约方已提供进一步文件及材料，以回应监管机构关于补充额外信息的要求。\n2021年8月3日，要约方收到中国国家市场监管总局于2021年8月2日签发的通知，对要约方根据《中国反垄断法》提交的申报正式立案审查。尽管该申报已获正式立案，要约方及SOHO中国仍可能被要求提供进一步信息及材料供监管机构审查。截至目前，没有任何先决条件已获达成。\n在此前的6月16日，SOHO中国公告，高盛代表黑石集团以5港元/股的价格，总共收购SOHO中国约28.56亿股股份，交易价格约236.57亿港元。每股收购的价格较最后交易日的收盘价3.8港元/股溢价约31.6%。\n交易完成后，SOHO中国现有控股股东将保留9%的股权，SOHO中国将继续在香港证券交易所上市。\nSOHO中国在公告中表示，黑石集团计划维持SOHO中国现有的主营业务和管理层，并计划在适当的情况下利用公司的资源在中国进行扩张。要约完成后，黑石集团计划对公司进行详细的战略审查，以制定公司未来业务发展的业务计划和战略，并确定为优化和合理化公司的业务活动和资产组合而采取的适当或可取的措施。\nSOHO中国2020年的年报数据显示，公司实现营业收入约21.92亿元，同比增长约19%。其中，租金收入15.37亿元，同比下降16%，出售物业收入6.54亿元。税前利润约16亿元，同比下降约17%；毛利13.9亿元，同比减少7.9%；净利润5.43亿元，同比减少58.8%；净资产负债率约为43%，平均借贷成本约4.7%，总资产约707.04亿元，总负债约331.57亿元。\n截至今日收盘，SOHO中国报3.22港元/股，涨幅1.26%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BX":0.9,"00410":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802663397,"gmtCreate":1627777268019,"gmtModify":1703495612383,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581586310901443","idStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802663397","repostId":"2156060165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178295697,"gmtCreate":1626822748819,"gmtModify":1703765705943,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581586310901443","idStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178295697","repostId":"1193178615","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":178295697,"gmtCreate":1626822748819,"gmtModify":1703765705943,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581586310901443","authorIdStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178295697","repostId":"1193178615","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802663397,"gmtCreate":1627777268019,"gmtModify":1703495612383,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581586310901443","authorIdStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/802663397","repostId":"2156060165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893555292,"gmtCreate":1628291723616,"gmtModify":1703504503096,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581586310901443","authorIdStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893555292","repostId":"1190418068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190418068","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628267438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190418068?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-07 00:30","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"SOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190418068","media":"澎湃新闻","summary":"黑石集团以5港元/股的价格，总共收购SOHO中国约28.56亿股股份。","content":"<p><div>Reporter Li Xiaoqing A transaction of HK$ 23.6 billion between SOHO China and Blackstone Group was formally filed for review by the State Administration for Market Regulation. On the evening of August 6, SOHO China Limited and Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited (the Offeror) jointly issued an announcement, and SOHO China and the Offeror jointly issued an announcement dated June 16, 2021 in relation to Goldman Sachs (Asia) LLC's pre-conditional voluntary conditional cash offer on behalf of the Offeror to acquire all the issued shares of SOHO China...</p><p><a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"pengpai_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSOHO China: Blackstone's HK$23.6 billion acquisition was reviewed by the State Administration of Market Regulation\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">澎湃新闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-07 00:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>Reporter Li Xiaoqing A transaction of HK$ 23.6 billion between SOHO China and Blackstone Group was formally filed for review by the State Administration for Market Regulation. On the evening of August 6, SOHO China Limited and Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited (the Offeror) jointly issued an announcement, and SOHO China and the Offeror jointly issued an announcement dated June 16, 2021 in relation to Goldman Sachs (Asia) LLC's pre-conditional voluntary conditional cash offer on behalf of the Offeror to acquire all the issued shares of SOHO China...</p><p><a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329\">澎湃新闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b062bbd85848c3ea66f8fca10f2c9937","relate_stocks":{"00410":"SOHO中国","BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_13924329","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190418068","content_text":"记者 李晓青\nSOHO中国和黑石集团的一笔236亿港元的交易，获得了市场监管总局正式立案审查。\n8月6日晚间，SOHO中国有限公司及Two Cities Master Holdings II Limited（要约方）联合发布公告，SOHO中国与要约方联合刊发日期为2021年6月16日的公告，内容有关高盛（亚洲）有限责任公司代表要约方作出附先决条件自愿性有条件现金要约以收购SOHO中国全部已发行股份；及SOHO中国与要约方联合刊发日期为2021年7月6日的公告，内容有关延迟寄发综合文件。\nSOHO中国称，自联合公告发出后，要约方已向中国国家市场监管总局提交并购审查申报相关文件及材料。自延迟寄发公告发出后，要约方已提供进一步文件及材料，以回应监管机构关于补充额外信息的要求。\n2021年8月3日，要约方收到中国国家市场监管总局于2021年8月2日签发的通知，对要约方根据《中国反垄断法》提交的申报正式立案审查。尽管该申报已获正式立案，要约方及SOHO中国仍可能被要求提供进一步信息及材料供监管机构审查。截至目前，没有任何先决条件已获达成。\n在此前的6月16日，SOHO中国公告，高盛代表黑石集团以5港元/股的价格，总共收购SOHO中国约28.56亿股股份，交易价格约236.57亿港元。每股收购的价格较最后交易日的收盘价3.8港元/股溢价约31.6%。\n交易完成后，SOHO中国现有控股股东将保留9%的股权，SOHO中国将继续在香港证券交易所上市。\nSOHO中国在公告中表示，黑石集团计划维持SOHO中国现有的主营业务和管理层，并计划在适当的情况下利用公司的资源在中国进行扩张。要约完成后，黑石集团计划对公司进行详细的战略审查，以制定公司未来业务发展的业务计划和战略，并确定为优化和合理化公司的业务活动和资产组合而采取的适当或可取的措施。\nSOHO中国2020年的年报数据显示，公司实现营业收入约21.92亿元，同比增长约19%。其中，租金收入15.37亿元，同比下降16%，出售物业收入6.54亿元。税前利润约16亿元，同比下降约17%；毛利13.9亿元，同比减少7.9%；净利润5.43亿元，同比减少58.8%；净资产负债率约为43%，平均借贷成本约4.7%，总资产约707.04亿元，总负债约331.57亿元。\n截至今日收盘，SOHO中国报3.22港元/股，涨幅1.26%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BX":0.9,"00410":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896553631,"gmtCreate":1628595951623,"gmtModify":1676529790763,"author":{"id":"3581586310901443","authorId":"3581586310901443","name":"超会嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e26b9eaf27c2a721c4063587d326740","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581586310901443","authorIdStr":"3581586310901443"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896553631","repostId":"1128522311","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128522311","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球第五大财经门户网站Investing.com中国官方微信，提供全球各国海量金融资讯和实时行情数据，包括股票股指、外汇、期货、基金、债券、加密货币等。关注全球金融市场动态的投资者千万不可错过。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英为财情Investing","id":"92","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313"},"pubTimestamp":1628596205,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128522311?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-10 19:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually \"fraudulent\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128522311","media":"英为财情Investing","summary":"此前，随着美国的通胀数据的爆表，美联储却一直声称通胀是“暂时的”，美国未来通胀会下滑，美联储还不到加息的时候。\n美联储主席鲍威尔在7月的利率会议上曾表示，美国仍有数百万人失业。他强调，美国经济要想在稳","content":"<p>Previously, with the explosion of inflation data in the United States, the Federal Reserve has always claimed that inflation is \"temporary\", that inflation in the United States will decline in the future, and the Federal Reserve is not yet in rate hike.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell had said at the interest rate meeting in July that millions of people in the United States were still unemployed. He stressed that the U.S. economy still has a long way to go before it can make substantial progress towards price stabilization and full employment. Only if the U.S. job market \"makes some progress\" will it be possible to change loose monetary policy and start tapering asset purchases.</p><p>For a time, the employment situation became the \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>The Fed's \"fig leaf\" can't be covered</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor last Friday showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 943,000 in July, the largest increase since August 2020, and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4%, the lowest in 16 months. Figures for both May and June were revised to show 119,000 more jobs added than previously reported. The labor participation rate increased to 61.7% from 61.6% in June. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in July, up 4.0% year over year. Many economists believe the U.S. economy will record its strongest growth this year in nearly 40 years.</p><p>Such strong non-farm payroll data has greatly excited the market. The Federal Reserve may have no reason to be dovish anymore. The market expects that the timetable for reducing the scale of bond purchases will be released at this month's Jackson Hole meeting or the interest rate meeting in September.</p><p><b>Fed officials have also been making hawkish comments.</b></p><p>Bostic, president of the Atlanta Fed, said that the U.S. economy is improving faster than expected, the Federal Reserve is rapidly approaching the point of starting to reduce the size of bond purchases, and inflation has reached a key standard to meet the start of the rate hike. Bostic said he expects to start tapering in the fourth quarter, but he is open to starting tapering earlier if the job market maintains the recent strong pace of growth.</p><p>Boston Fed President Rosengren said the Fed may start pulling back support measures earlier than that. Richmond Fed President Barkin said that this year's high inflation may have met a criterion for the Fed's rate hike, although the job market still needs to recover further before rate hike.</p><p>Although these officials are generally hawkish, some still agree with Powell that the job market needs to be further recovered. Isn't such a strong non-farm payrolls report enough?</p><p><b>Real American Employment</b></p><p>JOLTS job openings rose by 590,000 to 10.073 million in June, a record high and far exceeded expectations of 9.27 million, according to U.S. data released on Monday; The May figures were updated to 9.5 million from 9.209 million. June hiring rose to 6.7 million from 6 million the previous month, the second-biggest increase since the government began tracking the data in 2000.</p><p>On the one hand, the vacancies indicate that the U.S. economy is recovering strongly, and companies are increasing hiring, but in fact, a large part of the reason is because many Americans are unwilling to go to work.</p><p>Recently, the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the United States reached a six-month high, and the outbreak of the epidemic made some people reluctant to return to work. In addition, a large number of people give up their jobs in order to receive high benefits. Because they have no willingness to work, these people are not included in the unemployment rate, so in fact, the real unemployment rate in the United States is higher than 5.4%.</p><p>Before the outbreak of the pandemic, the average unemployment benefit in the United States was about $387 per week. After the pandemic, the federal government launched a series of economic stimulus packages, which included additional unemployment benefits of $300 per week.</p><p>This means that the average unemployed American earns a net income of $687 a week, which is equivalent to a wage of $17.17 an hour, more than double the federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. No wonder millions of Americans are willing to \"lie flat\" and receive benefits instead of getting a job.</p><p>Soon, though, enhanced unemployment benefits will expire in early September, and many states have even eliminated the $300-a-week payment early, leaving roughly 7.5 million Americans likely to lose unemployment benefits. That said, the truest jobs numbers in the United States may take one to two months to reveal.</p><p>If the employment data is still strong by then, the Fed's \"fig leaf\" will no longer exist, and the Fed's scaling back of asset purchases will be a certainty.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually \"fraudulent\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve, the non-agricultural sector in July was actually \"fraudulent\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/92\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/406e2b4996e14cd8a66a2a6864ef4313);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英为财情Investing </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Previously, with the explosion of inflation data in the United States, the Federal Reserve has always claimed that inflation is \"temporary\", that inflation in the United States will decline in the future, and the Federal Reserve is not yet in rate hike.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell had said at the interest rate meeting in July that millions of people in the United States were still unemployed. He stressed that the U.S. economy still has a long way to go before it can make substantial progress towards price stabilization and full employment. Only if the U.S. job market \"makes some progress\" will it be possible to change loose monetary policy and start tapering asset purchases.</p><p>For a time, the employment situation became the \"fig leaf\" of the Federal Reserve.</p><p><b>The Fed's \"fig leaf\" can't be covered</b></p><p>Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor last Friday showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 943,000 in July, the largest increase since August 2020, and the unemployment rate fell to 5.4%, the lowest in 16 months. Figures for both May and June were revised to show 119,000 more jobs added than previously reported. The labor participation rate increased to 61.7% from 61.6% in June. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in July, up 4.0% year over year. Many economists believe the U.S. economy will record its strongest growth this year in nearly 40 years.</p><p>Such strong non-farm payroll data has greatly excited the market. The Federal Reserve may have no reason to be dovish anymore. The market expects that the timetable for reducing the scale of bond purchases will be released at this month's Jackson Hole meeting or the interest rate meeting in September.</p><p><b>Fed officials have also been making hawkish comments.</b></p><p>Bostic, president of the Atlanta Fed, said that the U.S. economy is improving faster than expected, the Federal Reserve is rapidly approaching the point of starting to reduce the size of bond purchases, and inflation has reached a key standard to meet the start of the rate hike. Bostic said he expects to start tapering in the fourth quarter, but he is open to starting tapering earlier if the job market maintains the recent strong pace of growth.</p><p>Boston Fed President Rosengren said the Fed may start pulling back support measures earlier than that. Richmond Fed President Barkin said that this year's high inflation may have met a criterion for the Fed's rate hike, although the job market still needs to recover further before rate hike.</p><p>Although these officials are generally hawkish, some still agree with Powell that the job market needs to be further recovered. Isn't such a strong non-farm payrolls report enough?</p><p><b>Real American Employment</b></p><p>JOLTS job openings rose by 590,000 to 10.073 million in June, a record high and far exceeded expectations of 9.27 million, according to U.S. data released on Monday; The May figures were updated to 9.5 million from 9.209 million. June hiring rose to 6.7 million from 6 million the previous month, the second-biggest increase since the government began tracking the data in 2000.</p><p>On the one hand, the vacancies indicate that the U.S. economy is recovering strongly, and companies are increasing hiring, but in fact, a large part of the reason is because many Americans are unwilling to go to work.</p><p>Recently, the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the United States reached a six-month high, and the outbreak of the epidemic made some people reluctant to return to work. In addition, a large number of people give up their jobs in order to receive high benefits. Because they have no willingness to work, these people are not included in the unemployment rate, so in fact, the real unemployment rate in the United States is higher than 5.4%.</p><p>Before the outbreak of the pandemic, the average unemployment benefit in the United States was about $387 per week. After the pandemic, the federal government launched a series of economic stimulus packages, which included additional unemployment benefits of $300 per week.</p><p>This means that the average unemployed American earns a net income of $687 a week, which is equivalent to a wage of $17.17 an hour, more than double the federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. No wonder millions of Americans are willing to \"lie flat\" and receive benefits instead of getting a job.</p><p>Soon, though, enhanced unemployment benefits will expire in early September, and many states have even eliminated the $300-a-week payment early, leaving roughly 7.5 million Americans likely to lose unemployment benefits. That said, the truest jobs numbers in the United States may take one to two months to reveal.</p><p>If the employment data is still strong by then, the Fed's \"fig leaf\" will no longer exist, and the Fed's scaling back of asset purchases will be a certainty.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128522311","content_text":"此前，随着美国的通胀数据的爆表，美联储却一直声称通胀是“暂时的”，美国未来通胀会下滑，美联储还不到加息的时候。\n美联储主席鲍威尔在7月的利率会议上曾表示，美国仍有数百万人失业。他强调，美国经济要想在稳定物价和充分就业方面取得实质性进展还有很长的路要走。只有美国就业市场 “取得一些进展”，才可能改变宽松的货币政策并开启缩减资产购买规模。\n一时间，就业状况成了美联储的“遮羞布”。\n美联储的“遮羞布”遮不住了\n上周五美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国7月非农就业岗位增加94.3万个，创2020年8月以来的最大增幅，失业率降至5.4%，为16个月最低。5月和6月的数据均被修正，显示新增就业岗位数比之前报告的多11.9万个。劳动参与率从6月的61.6%提高到61.7%。7月平均时薪增长0.4%，同比上涨4.0%。许多经济学家认为今年美国经济将录得近40年来最强劲增长。\n如此强劲的非农就业数据令市场大为振奋，美联储或再无鸽派的理由，市场预期缩减购债规模的时间表将在本月杰克逊霍尔的会议或者9月的利率会议上发布。\n美联储官员也纷纷发表鹰派的言论。\n亚特兰大联储总裁博斯蒂克表示，美国经济改善速度比预期更快，美联储正在快速接近开始削减购债规模的时点，通胀已经达到了满足开始加息的一个关键标准。博斯蒂克称，他预计在第四季开始缩减购债规模，但如果就业市场保持近期的强劲增长步伐，他对更早开始缩减购债持开放态度。\n波士顿联储总裁罗森格伦表示，美联储可能比这更早地开始撤走支持措施。里奇蒙联储总裁巴尔金表示，今年的高通胀可能已经满足了美联储加息的一个标准，不过在加息之前，就业市场仍需进一步恢复。\n虽然这几位官员整体偏鹰派，但是还是有部分官员同鲍威尔的观点一致，认为就业市场需进一步恢复，难道如此强劲的非农就业报告还不够吗？\n真实的美国就业状况\n周一美国公布的数据显示，6月JOLTS职位空缺增加了59万个，达到1,007.3万个，创纪录新高，远超预期的927万个；5月数据从920.9万上修至950万6月招聘人数从上月的600万升至670万，为政府自2000年开始追踪该资料以来的第二大增幅。\n职位的空缺一方面表明美国经济复苏强劲，各个公司都在加大招聘，但实际上很大一部分原因是由于很多美国人不愿意去工作导致的。\n近期，美国新冠病例数与住院人数创下六个月新高，疫情的爆发令一部分人不愿意重返就业岗位。此外，还有很大一部分人是为了领取高额的救济金而放弃工作，由于没有工作意愿，这部分人是不算在失业率里面的，所以实际上美国的真实失业率是要比5.4%高的。\n在疫情暴发之前，美国的失业补助约为平均每周387美元，而在疫情之后，联邦政府推出了一系列的经济刺激计划，其中就包括每周300美元的额外失业福利。\n这意味着美国失业民众平均每周的净收入达到687美元，相当于每小时17.17美元的工资，是联邦最低工资每小时7.25美元的两倍多，无怪乎数百万的美国人愿意“躺平”领救济金而不去找份工作。\n不过很快，增强型失业救济金将于9月初到期，许多州甚至提前取消了每周300美元的补助，大约750万美国人可能会失去失业救济金。也就是说，美国最真实的就业数据可能需要一到两个月后才能揭晓。\n假如到时候的就业数据依旧强劲的话，美联储的“遮羞布”将不复存在，美联储缩减资产购买规模也将板上钉钉。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}