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U.S. lenders First Republic Bank and Western Alliance said on Friday their liquidity an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. lenders <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Western Alliance </a> said on Friday their liquidity and deposits remained strong, aiming to calm investors worried of a spill-over of risks from troubled startup focused-bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">SVB Financial Group </a>.</p><p>Shares of the three banks slumped between 20% and 60% in choppy trading that led to halts and resumptions.</p><p>The disclosures come after banking regulators shut California-based SVB after a failed share sale that triggered worries of a liquidity crisis, hammered bank stocks and rippled through global markets.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is the first FDIC-insured institution to fail this year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said. 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Technology-related deposits accounted for 4% of total deposits.</p><p>Its investment portfolio is less than 15% of total bank assets and only less than 2% of total bank assets is categorized as available for sale.</p><p>Banks park bonds under either available-for-sale (AFS) or held-to-maturity securities.</p><p>While AFS securities are carried at fair value and unrealized gains and losses are reported against capital, HTM securities are carried at amortized cost and are not required to count changes in value if held until repayment.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>First Republic, Western Alliance Seek to Calm Contagion Worries From SVB Meltdown</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFirst Republic, Western Alliance Seek to Calm Contagion Worries From SVB Meltdown\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-11 08:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. lenders <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">First Republic Bank</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Western Alliance </a> said on Friday their liquidity and deposits remained strong, aiming to calm investors worried of a spill-over of risks from troubled startup focused-bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">SVB Financial Group </a>.</p><p>Shares of the three banks slumped between 20% and 60% in choppy trading that led to halts and resumptions.</p><p>The disclosures come after banking regulators shut California-based SVB after a failed share sale that triggered worries of a liquidity crisis, hammered bank stocks and rippled through global markets.</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank is the first FDIC-insured institution to fail this year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said. The last FDIC-insured institution to close was Almena State Bank in Kansas on October 23, 2020.</p><p>Western Alliance reported total deposits of $61.5 billion and warned of a moderate decline from these levels by the end of the quarter due to seasonal and monthly activity, but affirmed its full-year deposit growth forecast of 13% to 17%.</p><p>It held $2.5 billion cash on its balance sheet while held-to-maturity securities made up less than 2% of assets with unrecognized loss of $192 million as of Feb. 28.</p><p>Meanwhile, FRC said average account size of consumer deposits are less than $200,000 and business deposits less than $500,000. Technology-related deposits accounted for 4% of total deposits.</p><p>Its investment portfolio is less than 15% of total bank assets and only less than 2% of total bank assets is categorized as available for sale.</p><p>Banks park bonds under either available-for-sale (AFS) or held-to-maturity securities.</p><p>While AFS securities are carried at fair value and unrealized gains and losses are reported against capital, HTM securities are carried at amortized cost and are not required to count changes in value if held until repayment.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151337023","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. lenders First Republic Bank and Western Alliance said on Friday their liquidity and deposits remained strong, aiming to calm investors worried of a spill-over of risks from troubled startup focused-bank SVB Financial Group .Shares of the three banks slumped between 20% and 60% in choppy trading that led to halts and resumptions.The disclosures come after banking regulators shut California-based SVB after a failed share sale that triggered worries of a liquidity crisis, hammered bank stocks and rippled through global markets.Silicon Valley Bank is the first FDIC-insured institution to fail this year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said. The last FDIC-insured institution to close was Almena State Bank in Kansas on October 23, 2020.Western Alliance reported total deposits of $61.5 billion and warned of a moderate decline from these levels by the end of the quarter due to seasonal and monthly activity, but affirmed its full-year deposit growth forecast of 13% to 17%.It held $2.5 billion cash on its balance sheet while held-to-maturity securities made up less than 2% of assets with unrecognized loss of $192 million as of Feb. 28.Meanwhile, FRC said average account size of consumer deposits are less than $200,000 and business deposits less than $500,000. Technology-related deposits accounted for 4% of total deposits.Its investment portfolio is less than 15% of total bank assets and only less than 2% of total bank assets is categorized as available for sale.Banks park bonds under either available-for-sale (AFS) or held-to-maturity securities.While AFS securities are carried at fair value and unrealized gains and losses are reported against capital, HTM securities are carried at amortized cost and are not required to count changes in value if held until repayment.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":972,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923142137,"gmtCreate":1670814698930,"gmtModify":1676538439101,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v 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10:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"提醒：因美国联邦假日六月节，6月20日美股休市一日","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130766759","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"这一节日是美国自1983年的“马丁·路德·金日”以来新增的第一个全国法定节日。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>尊敬的投资者：</p><p><b>美股将于6月20日（星期一）休市</b>，因为6月19日（星期日）是美国的联邦假日（六月节）。值得一提的是，这一节日相当“年轻”，去年才被合法化，是美国自1983年的“马丁·路德·金日”以来<b>新增的第一个全国法定节日。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29a163308823ba7a1941858fd5eec00\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>预祝投资顺利</p><p>老虎证券</p><p><b>休市安排</b></p><p><b>美股</b></p><p>6月20日（周一）休市，6月21日（周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股、A股、新加坡股市、澳大利亚市场</b></p><p>照常交易。</p><p><b>背景介绍</b></p><p>2021年6月17日，美国总统拜登签署法令，将每年的6月19日定为全国法定节假日以纪念美国奴隶制的终结，节日名称为“Juneteenth”，该名称取自June（六月）和Nineteenth（十九）的组合。中国官方称这一节日为“六月节”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ea0fb2e3d74348973bae50742d5fef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee</span></p><p>或许正是因为六月节非常“年轻”，去年的这个时候，美国SEC（证券交易委员会）还因为这个节日和美股市场产生了“分歧”：<b>SEC放假，而纽交所和纳斯达克交易所却照常开市。</b>SEC表示：“交易所自行决定联邦假期的运营状态，我们对各主要市场在正常时间内运营表示理解。”纽交所当时回应称，将评估2022年的六月节是否停业过节。</p><p>目前看来这样的“分歧”今年不会重演了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9fb37a410b40a0a3403a1cc8cb8e6d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"768\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提醒：因美国联邦假日六月节，6月20日美股休市一日</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒：因美国联邦假日六月节，6月20日美股休市一日\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 10:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>尊敬的投资者：</p><p><b>美股将于6月20日（星期一）休市</b>，因为6月19日（星期日）是美国的联邦假日（六月节）。值得一提的是，这一节日相当“年轻”，去年才被合法化，是美国自1983年的“马丁·路德·金日”以来<b>新增的第一个全国法定节日。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29a163308823ba7a1941858fd5eec00\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>预祝投资顺利</p><p>老虎证券</p><p><b>休市安排</b></p><p><b>美股</b></p><p>6月20日（周一）休市，6月21日（周二）起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股、A股、新加坡股市、澳大利亚市场</b></p><p>照常交易。</p><p><b>背景介绍</b></p><p>2021年6月17日，美国总统拜登签署法令，将每年的6月19日定为全国法定节假日以纪念美国奴隶制的终结，节日名称为“Juneteenth”，该名称取自June（六月）和Nineteenth（十九）的组合。中国官方称这一节日为“六月节”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ea0fb2e3d74348973bae50742d5fef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee</span></p><p>或许正是因为六月节非常“年轻”，去年的这个时候，美国SEC（证券交易委员会）还因为这个节日和美股市场产生了“分歧”：<b>SEC放假，而纽交所和纳斯达克交易所却照常开市。</b>SEC表示：“交易所自行决定联邦假期的运营状态，我们对各主要市场在正常时间内运营表示理解。”纽交所当时回应称，将评估2022年的六月节是否停业过节。</p><p>目前看来这样的“分歧”今年不会重演了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9fb37a410b40a0a3403a1cc8cb8e6d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"768\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3beebfa3e0137570abe14d50f470080d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130766759","content_text":"尊敬的投资者：美股将于6月20日（星期一）休市，因为6月19日（星期日）是美国的联邦假日（六月节）。值得一提的是，这一节日相当“年轻”，去年才被合法化，是美国自1983年的“马丁·路德·金日”以来新增的第一个全国法定节日。预祝投资顺利老虎证券休市安排美股6月20日（周一）休市，6月21日（周二）起照常开市。港股、A股、新加坡股市、澳大利亚市场照常交易。背景介绍2021年6月17日，美国总统拜登签署法令，将每年的6月19日定为全国法定节假日以纪念美国奴隶制的终结，节日名称为“Juneteenth”，该名称取自June（六月）和Nineteenth（十九）的组合。中国官方称这一节日为“六月节”。拜登与“六月节祖母”Opal Lee或许正是因为六月节非常“年轻”，去年的这个时候，美国SEC（证券交易委员会）还因为这个节日和美股市场产生了“分歧”：SEC放假，而纽交所和纳斯达克交易所却照常开市。SEC表示：“交易所自行决定联邦假期的运营状态，我们对各主要市场在正常时间内运营表示理解。”纽交所当时回应称，将评估2022年的六月节是否停业过节。目前看来这样的“分歧”今年不会重演了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056074993,"gmtCreate":1654916214912,"gmtModify":1676535533926,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056074993","repostId":"2242855582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242855582","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1654915806,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242855582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-11 10:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中信证券：美国“通胀磨顶” 扰乱紧缩预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242855582","media":"智通财经网","summary":"核心观点美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>核心观点</b></p><p><b>美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且三季度美国通胀或仍将处于磨顶过程。预计美联储9月加息50bps的概率较大。通胀创新高令市场对于后续美联储紧缩预期升温，同时对远端经济衰退预期也有所提高。预计10年期美债利率可能突破3.2%的前高，但上行空间有限；后续美股市场或将延续大幅波动，较难出现持续反弹。</b></p><p><b>事项</b></p><p>美国2022年5月CPI同比上涨8.6%（预期上涨8.2%，前值上涨8.3%）；季调后环比上涨1.0%（预期上涨0.8%，前值上涨0.3%）；核心CPI同比上涨6.0%（预期上涨5.9%，前值上涨6.2%）；季调后核心CPI环比上涨0.6%（预期上涨0.5%，前值上涨0.6%）。</p><p><b>正文</b></p><p><b>美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项同比增速和食品项同比增速均为历史高位。</b>美国5月CPI季调后环比涨幅为1.0%，高于预期，远高于前值的0.3%；同比涨幅由前月的8.3%上升至8.6%，处于1981年12月以来的最高位。核心CPI季调后环比涨幅为0.6%，与前月持平；同比涨幅由前月的6.2%跌至6.0%，略高于预期。按食品、能源与核心CPI三分法看，5月美国CPI能源项同比增速为34.6%，处于2005年9月以来最高位，环比增速从上月的-2.7%上升至3.9%；食品项同比上涨10.1%，环比上涨1.2%，自1981年3月以来同比增速首次超过10%。</p><p><b>能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。</b>从影响CPI关键的分项看，就季调环比贡献的增长率而言，能源项贡献了0.32%的涨幅，位居第一；住宅项贡献了0.19%的涨幅，食品项贡献了0.16%的涨幅，分列二三位。就同比贡献的增长率而言，能源项贡献了2.86%的涨幅，位居第一，住宅项和食品项，分别贡献了1.78%和1.36%的增长率。另外，5月汽油指数上涨4.1%，且其他能源指数同样上涨。</p><p><b>油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且三季度美国通胀或仍处于磨顶过程。</b>首先，尽管5月国际原油价格未超过3月高点，但从实际影响CPI的汽油价格看，美国5月汽油价格比3月进一步走高，而从截至6月6日的数据看，汽油价格进一步从5月底的4.44美元/加仑升至4.70美元/加仑，预计6月汽油价格可能仍将上行。其次，夏季出行需求将逐步旺盛，在此影响下，新车、二手车、机票公共交通等出行相关的商品和服务价格可能将维持高位或进一步抬升。再次，根据房价领先租金15-16个月的历史关系，疫情后美国房价的阶段性顶部为2021年7月，因此，后续住宅项增速或仍难减缓。综上，6月美国CPI同比增速或仍在8.5%附近的高位，</p><p><b>预计美联储9月加息50bps的概率较大，当前单次加息75bps的概率或仍然不高。</b>首先，在通胀超预期上行的情况下，美联储或继续在9月议息会议上维持50bps的加息节奏，今年年内不存在暂停加息的可能。其次，尽管通胀位于高位，但美国经济同样较为确定地边际下行，由于大幅加息给经济增长，尤其是经济增长预期带来的冲击较大，但其对于通胀的抑制作用，尤其是对油价、食品价格的抑制作用可能仍需观察。因此，在当前时点，我们认为美联储单次加息75bps的概率可能仍然不高。需要重点关注下周美联储议息会议声明及会后鲍威尔讲话释放的信号及其政策基调。</p><p><b>通胀创新高令市场对于后续美联储紧缩预期升温，同时对远端经济衰退预期也有所提高。由于通胀超出前高，10年期美债利率可能突破3.2%的前高，但预计上行空间有限。</b>一方面，通胀创新高，市场对于美联储后续进一步紧缩的预期抬升，但另一方面，出于对政策进一步紧缩的担忧，市场对于美国经济衰退的预期同样有所抬升。这在通胀数据公布后，10年期美债利率大幅波动，全球商品价格走弱，黄金价格走强中有所体现。美股方面，预计后续美股市场或将延续大幅波动，较难出现持续反弹。美债方面，由于通胀超出前高，10年期美债利率或将突破3.2%的前高，但由于衰退预期增加，预计上行空间有限，可能也将在通胀预期和衰退预期之间波动。</p><p><b>风险因素：</b>美联储政策紧缩幅度超预期；美国通胀超预期上行或超预期回落。</p><p><b>附录图表</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04a39cd6f109ae51835aec74ac218f55\" tg-width=\"1012\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46062cdc0d5e14aa2db979a9052a4bf1\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef1290c86ba4c0197e475c129f9c78cc\" tg-width=\"653\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc37bcd4cace9dd01ca14bc2c8701ac\" tg-width=\"1041\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ed1dba29dd65f466da8224db4b04300\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"623\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>本文编选自“CS宏观研究”微信公众号，作者：崔嵘，智通财经编辑：陈筱亦。</b></p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中信证券：美国“通胀磨顶” 扰乱紧缩预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中信证券：美国“通胀磨顶” 扰乱紧缩预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-11 10:50 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/737323.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>核心观点美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且三季度美国通胀或仍将处于磨顶过程。预计美联储9月加息50bps的概率较大。通胀创新高令市场对于后续美联储紧缩预期升温，同时对远端经济衰退预期也有所提高。预计10年期美债利率可能突破3.2%的前高，但...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/737323.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/737323.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2242855582","content_text":"核心观点美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且三季度美国通胀或仍将处于磨顶过程。预计美联储9月加息50bps的概率较大。通胀创新高令市场对于后续美联储紧缩预期升温，同时对远端经济衰退预期也有所提高。预计10年期美债利率可能突破3.2%的前高，但上行空间有限；后续美股市场或将延续大幅波动，较难出现持续反弹。事项美国2022年5月CPI同比上涨8.6%（预期上涨8.2%，前值上涨8.3%）；季调后环比上涨1.0%（预期上涨0.8%，前值上涨0.3%）；核心CPI同比上涨6.0%（预期上涨5.9%，前值上涨6.2%）；季调后核心CPI环比上涨0.6%（预期上涨0.5%，前值上涨0.6%）。正文美国5月CPI再创新高，能源项同比增速和食品项同比增速均为历史高位。美国5月CPI季调后环比涨幅为1.0%，高于预期，远高于前值的0.3%；同比涨幅由前月的8.3%上升至8.6%，处于1981年12月以来的最高位。核心CPI季调后环比涨幅为0.6%，与前月持平；同比涨幅由前月的6.2%跌至6.0%，略高于预期。按食品、能源与核心CPI三分法看，5月美国CPI能源项同比增速为34.6%，处于2005年9月以来最高位，环比增速从上月的-2.7%上升至3.9%；食品项同比上涨10.1%，环比上涨1.2%，自1981年3月以来同比增速首次超过10%。能源项、住宅项、食品项是美国5月CPI上涨的主要拉动分项。从影响CPI关键的分项看，就季调环比贡献的增长率而言，能源项贡献了0.32%的涨幅，位居第一；住宅项贡献了0.19%的涨幅，食品项贡献了0.16%的涨幅，分列二三位。就同比贡献的增长率而言，能源项贡献了2.86%的涨幅，位居第一，住宅项和食品项，分别贡献了1.78%和1.36%的增长率。另外，5月汽油指数上涨4.1%，且其他能源指数同样上涨。油价和食品价格高企、夏季出行需求激增以及住宅项增速不减可能导致6月美国CPI同比增速仍在8.5%左右的高位，且三季度美国通胀或仍处于磨顶过程。首先，尽管5月国际原油价格未超过3月高点，但从实际影响CPI的汽油价格看，美国5月汽油价格比3月进一步走高，而从截至6月6日的数据看，汽油价格进一步从5月底的4.44美元/加仑升至4.70美元/加仑，预计6月汽油价格可能仍将上行。其次，夏季出行需求将逐步旺盛，在此影响下，新车、二手车、机票公共交通等出行相关的商品和服务价格可能将维持高位或进一步抬升。再次，根据房价领先租金15-16个月的历史关系，疫情后美国房价的阶段性顶部为2021年7月，因此，后续住宅项增速或仍难减缓。综上，6月美国CPI同比增速或仍在8.5%附近的高位，预计美联储9月加息50bps的概率较大，当前单次加息75bps的概率或仍然不高。首先，在通胀超预期上行的情况下，美联储或继续在9月议息会议上维持50bps的加息节奏，今年年内不存在暂停加息的可能。其次，尽管通胀位于高位，但美国经济同样较为确定地边际下行，由于大幅加息给经济增长，尤其是经济增长预期带来的冲击较大，但其对于通胀的抑制作用，尤其是对油价、食品价格的抑制作用可能仍需观察。因此，在当前时点，我们认为美联储单次加息75bps的概率可能仍然不高。需要重点关注下周美联储议息会议声明及会后鲍威尔讲话释放的信号及其政策基调。通胀创新高令市场对于后续美联储紧缩预期升温，同时对远端经济衰退预期也有所提高。由于通胀超出前高，10年期美债利率可能突破3.2%的前高，但预计上行空间有限。一方面，通胀创新高，市场对于美联储后续进一步紧缩的预期抬升，但另一方面，出于对政策进一步紧缩的担忧，市场对于美国经济衰退的预期同样有所抬升。这在通胀数据公布后，10年期美债利率大幅波动，全球商品价格走弱，黄金价格走强中有所体现。美股方面，预计后续美股市场或将延续大幅波动，较难出现持续反弹。美债方面，由于通胀超出前高，10年期美债利率或将突破3.2%的前高，但由于衰退预期增加，预计上行空间有限，可能也将在通胀预期和衰退预期之间波动。风险因素：美联储政策紧缩幅度超预期；美国通胀超预期上行或超预期回落。附录图表本文编选自“CS宏观研究”微信公众号，作者：崔嵘，智通财经编辑：陈筱亦。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013710557,"gmtCreate":1648774894598,"gmtModify":1676534395680,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013710557","repostId":"1157160956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157160956","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648772640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157160956?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-01 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content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>部分香港房地产及物业管理股票在香港暂停交易</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-01 08:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00813\">世茂集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01638\">佳兆业集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03883\">中国奥园</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03662\">奥园健康</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01918\">融创中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01777\">花样年控股</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01778\">彩生活</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02608\">阳光100中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01107\">当代置业</a>在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69cb99414ad545d3e125459e030ab33d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157160956","content_text":"4月1日讯，世茂集团、佳兆业集团、中国奥园、奥园健康、融创中国、花样年控股、彩生活、阳光100中国、当代置业在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9013710557,"gmtCreate":1648774894598,"gmtModify":1676534395680,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013710557","repostId":"1157160956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157160956","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648772640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157160956?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-01 08:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"部分香港房地产及物业管理股票在香港暂停交易","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157160956","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月1日讯，世茂集团、佳兆业集团、中国奥园、奥园健康、融创中国、花样年控股、彩生活、阳光100中国、当代置业在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00813\">世茂集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01638\">佳兆业集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03883\">中国奥园</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03662\">奥园健康</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01918\">融创中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01777\">花样年控股</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01778\">彩生活</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02608\">阳光100中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01107\">当代置业</a>在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n部分香港房地产及物业管理股票在香港暂停交易\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-01 08:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00813\">世茂集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01638\">佳兆业集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03883\">中国奥园</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03662\">奥园健康</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01918\">融创中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01777\">花样年控股</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01778\">彩生活</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02608\">阳光100中国</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01107\">当代置业</a>在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69cb99414ad545d3e125459e030ab33d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157160956","content_text":"4月1日讯，世茂集团、佳兆业集团、中国奥园、奥园健康、融创中国、花样年控股、彩生活、阳光100中国、当代置业在香港暂停交易。此前均发布公告称将延迟披露2021年全年业绩。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040327410,"gmtCreate":1655611705230,"gmtModify":1676535671672,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9040327410","repostId":"2244848234","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949820606,"gmtCreate":1678500814905,"gmtModify":1678500818933,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949820606","repostId":"1151337023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":972,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048208457,"gmtCreate":1656208889879,"gmtModify":1676535784914,"author":{"id":"3579240004068160","authorId":"3579240004068160","name":"Edmond123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dfbe57050310a2a19bdd1c8cb905484","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579240004068160","authorIdStr":"3579240004068160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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