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Chloe26
2023-07-27
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@JC888:Stocks & ETFs Affected by Nasdaq 100 Rebalance.
Chloe26
2023-04-09
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@KYHBKO:News summary of BYD (last 2 weeks)
Chloe26
2023-04-09
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@Capital_Insights:Yardeni Research: US Stocks Could End This Year 14% Higher
Chloe26
2023-04-09
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@Tiger_comments:[TOPIC] Is Alibaba Really Worth $210 Given By JPMorgan Analyst?
Chloe26
2022-11-23
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Chloe26
2022-11-07
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Chloe26
2022-10-10
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Chloe26
2022-10-06
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Chloe26
2022-09-21
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Here's Why Sea Limited Is Suddenly Serious About Cash Flow
Chloe26
2022-09-20
Microsoft
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Chloe26
2022-09-05
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Chloe26
2022-08-27
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Did the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?
Chloe26
2022-08-26
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Chloe26
2022-08-26
Nvidia
Was Cathie Wood Right to Dump Nvidia Stock Ahead of Weak Guidance?
Chloe26
2022-08-26
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How the Stock Market Performs After Jackson Hole, According to History
Chloe26
2022-08-19
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Chloe26
2022-08-17
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Chloe26
2022-08-17
Sea
Sea Limited: Is It Cheap Enough?
Chloe26
2022-08-11
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Chloe26
2022-08-02
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Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful
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ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/202321461260464","repostId":"202114440208616","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":202114440208616,"gmtCreate":1690377776613,"gmtModify":1690378835381,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"title":"Stocks & ETFs Affected by Nasdaq 100 Rebalance.","htmlText":"On 13 Jul 2023, I have posted about <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/197520800948384\" target=\"_blank\">Nasdaq Rebalance, FAANG & More Affected?</a> Some pf the topics covered (extracts): When will rebalance occur? Why rebalance is required? List of Nasdaq 100 index Top 20 stocks (current). Personal view of rebalance exercise. 3 “new” stocks to benefit from rebalancing (I think)? If you like to read it, click on above “Blue Title”. Show some love, give a “Like”, “Share” & “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks. Monday - 24 July 2023 Time flies. Monday, 24 July 2023 was d-day where Nasdaq 100 rebalancing would be effected, when trading begins. Aftermath of Previous “Rebalance”. According to Nasdaq’s VP & Global Hd of index product and operations, Cameron Lilja: In 1998 rebalancing","listText":"On 13 Jul 2023, I have posted about <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/197520800948384\" target=\"_blank\">Nasdaq Rebalance, FAANG & More Affected?</a> Some pf the topics covered (extracts): When will rebalance occur? Why rebalance is required? List of Nasdaq 100 index Top 20 stocks (current). Personal view of rebalance exercise. 3 “new” stocks to benefit from rebalancing (I think)? If you like to read it, click on above “Blue Title”. Show some love, give a “Like”, “Share” & “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks. Monday - 24 July 2023 Time flies. Monday, 24 July 2023 was d-day where Nasdaq 100 rebalancing would be effected, when trading begins. Aftermath of Previous “Rebalance”. According to Nasdaq’s VP & Global Hd of index product and operations, Cameron Lilja: In 1998 rebalancing","text":"On 13 Jul 2023, I have posted about Nasdaq Rebalance, FAANG & More Affected? Some pf the topics covered (extracts): When will rebalance occur? Why rebalance is required? List of Nasdaq 100 index Top 20 stocks (current). Personal view of rebalance exercise. 3 “new” stocks to benefit from rebalancing (I think)? If you like to read it, click on above “Blue Title”. Show some love, give a “Like”, “Share” & “Re-post” after reading ok. Thanks. Monday - 24 July 2023 Time flies. Monday, 24 July 2023 was d-day where Nasdaq 100 rebalancing would be effected, when trading begins. Aftermath of Previous “Rebalance”. According to Nasdaq’s VP & Global Hd of index product and operations, Cameron Lilja: In 1998 rebalancing","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c5b1b613f76c5c61b3687a0475876c50","width":"1193","height":"583"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f10f947849e3abf49a9e3063da41fce9","width":"1809","height":"51"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f10f947849e3abf49a9e3063da41fce9","width":"1809","height":"51"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/202114440208616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946402864,"gmtCreate":1681010695559,"gmtModify":1681010699331,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946402864","repostId":"9946397627","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9946397627,"gmtCreate":1680855610770,"gmtModify":1680855683290,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574381076586256","authorIdStr":"3574381076586256"},"themes":[],"title":"News summary of BYD (last 2 weeks)","htmlText":"The news is taken from CNEVPost. BYD's new plant in central Chinese city Zhengzhou goes into operation April 7, 2023 14:50 GMT+8 Currently in production is the first phase of BYD's Zhengzhou base, with a planned annual capacity of 400,000 vehicles. BYD chairman calls on China to extend NEV tax exemption until 2025 April 3, 2023 17:04 GMT+8 The world economy is currently in a difficult period of complexity and change, and dealing with risks and challenges requires firm confidence and stable expectations, Wang said. BYD Mar sales breakdown: Qin 40,850, Song 40,510 April 2, 2023 20:08 GMT+8 The Qin family of models sold a record 40,850 units in March, surpassing the Song family's 40,510 units to become the best-selling BYD model for the month. BYD starts warming up for mini car Seagull Marc","listText":"The news is taken from CNEVPost. BYD's new plant in central Chinese city Zhengzhou goes into operation April 7, 2023 14:50 GMT+8 Currently in production is the first phase of BYD's Zhengzhou base, with a planned annual capacity of 400,000 vehicles. BYD chairman calls on China to extend NEV tax exemption until 2025 April 3, 2023 17:04 GMT+8 The world economy is currently in a difficult period of complexity and change, and dealing with risks and challenges requires firm confidence and stable expectations, Wang said. BYD Mar sales breakdown: Qin 40,850, Song 40,510 April 2, 2023 20:08 GMT+8 The Qin family of models sold a record 40,850 units in March, surpassing the Song family's 40,510 units to become the best-selling BYD model for the month. BYD starts warming up for mini car Seagull Marc","text":"The news is taken from CNEVPost. BYD's new plant in central Chinese city Zhengzhou goes into operation April 7, 2023 14:50 GMT+8 Currently in production is the first phase of BYD's Zhengzhou base, with a planned annual capacity of 400,000 vehicles. BYD chairman calls on China to extend NEV tax exemption until 2025 April 3, 2023 17:04 GMT+8 The world economy is currently in a difficult period of complexity and change, and dealing with risks and challenges requires firm confidence and stable expectations, Wang said. BYD Mar sales breakdown: Qin 40,850, Song 40,510 April 2, 2023 20:08 GMT+8 The Qin family of models sold a record 40,850 units in March, surpassing the Song family's 40,510 units to become the best-selling BYD model for the month. BYD starts warming up for mini car Seagull Marc","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66a221805266e303b2e3bb942a6a36b7","width":"1456","height":"819"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ce01036bbfe209001bf74e9344b67684","width":"1456","height":"820"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b184e967b1df972bd5c380390ce332d3","width":"1456","height":"819"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946397627","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946402030,"gmtCreate":1681010625820,"gmtModify":1681010629558,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946402030","repostId":"9941233887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941233887,"gmtCreate":1680262583349,"gmtModify":1680262602703,"author":{"id":"3527667668165440","authorId":"3527667668165440","name":"Capital_Insights","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfdc66fff48bb2b9e2d328ac5eb33100","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667668165440","authorIdStr":"3527667668165440"},"themes":[],"title":"Yardeni Research: US Stocks Could End This Year 14% Higher","htmlText":"Ed Yardeni, President and Chief Investment Strategist of Yardeni ResearchThe <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> could rally 14% by the end of the year, The Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni Research, Inc. is a sell-side consultancy providing a wide range of global investment and business strategy services.US stocks could rally 14% by the end of the year, as the recent banking turmoil will likely to lead to the Fed pausing its rate-hiking campaign, according to the Ed Yardeni.Yardeni expects measures taken by the US central bank and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, will keep the fallout in check.Like what Capital_Insights shared yesterday: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941693214\" target=\"_blank\">global central banks shows clear a</a>","listText":"Ed Yardeni, President and Chief Investment Strategist of Yardeni ResearchThe <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&P 500(.SPX)$</a> could rally 14% by the end of the year, The Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni Research, Inc. is a sell-side consultancy providing a wide range of global investment and business strategy services.US stocks could rally 14% by the end of the year, as the recent banking turmoil will likely to lead to the Fed pausing its rate-hiking campaign, according to the Ed Yardeni.Yardeni expects measures taken by the US central bank and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, will keep the fallout in check.Like what Capital_Insights shared yesterday: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/9941693214\" target=\"_blank\">global central banks shows clear a</a>","text":"Ed Yardeni, President and Chief Investment Strategist of Yardeni ResearchThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ could rally 14% by the end of the year, The Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni Research, Inc. is a sell-side consultancy providing a wide range of global investment and business strategy services.US stocks could rally 14% by the end of the year, as the recent banking turmoil will likely to lead to the Fed pausing its rate-hiking campaign, according to the Ed Yardeni.Yardeni expects measures taken by the US central bank and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, will keep the fallout in check.Like what Capital_Insights shared yesterday: global central banks shows clear a","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7b59e5ec5b2d1e1c556432b767a9c4f","width":"700","height":"394"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941233887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946406515,"gmtCreate":1681010603437,"gmtModify":1681010606970,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946406515","repostId":"9941605339","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9941605339,"gmtCreate":1680176170321,"gmtModify":1680176188330,"author":{"id":"3501196737273098","authorId":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorIdStr":"3501196737273098"},"themes":[],"title":"[TOPIC] Is Alibaba Really Worth $210 Given By JPMorgan Analyst?","htmlText":"After <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>’s recent decision to split its business into six different groups, its shares surged and also pushed Hang Seng Index up.After the split, these groups will be able to seek an IPO respectively. 1. Analysts of JPMorgan and Truist upgrade Alibaba’s ratingThe stock claims a Strong Buy consensus rating, based on a unanimous 18 Buys. The average target clocks in at $148.35, making room for gains of ~48% over the one-year timeframe.a. JPMorgan analyst raises <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> target to $210JPMorgan said Alibaba's shares could more than double in a best-case scenario after it separates its businesses.JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao raised his price target on Alibaba's US shares to $210, and insisted","listText":"After <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>’s recent decision to split its business into six different groups, its shares surged and also pushed Hang Seng Index up.After the split, these groups will be able to seek an IPO respectively. 1. Analysts of JPMorgan and Truist upgrade Alibaba’s ratingThe stock claims a Strong Buy consensus rating, based on a unanimous 18 Buys. The average target clocks in at $148.35, making room for gains of ~48% over the one-year timeframe.a. JPMorgan analyst raises <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> target to $210JPMorgan said Alibaba's shares could more than double in a best-case scenario after it separates its businesses.JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao raised his price target on Alibaba's US shares to $210, and insisted","text":"After $Alibaba(BABA)$’s recent decision to split its business into six different groups, its shares surged and also pushed Hang Seng Index up.After the split, these groups will be able to seek an IPO respectively. 1. Analysts of JPMorgan and Truist upgrade Alibaba’s ratingThe stock claims a Strong Buy consensus rating, based on a unanimous 18 Buys. The average target clocks in at $148.35, making room for gains of ~48% over the one-year timeframe.a. JPMorgan analyst raises $Alibaba(BABA)$ target to $210JPMorgan said Alibaba's shares could more than double in a best-case scenario after it separates its businesses.JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao raised his price target on Alibaba's US shares to $210, and insisted","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d91b82f347c669ae077b75b3b8ae4a51","width":"1389","height":"976"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cd1b0894a7fc0d6f15d19df6af88415f","width":"858","height":"668"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5277a15d8e4b2f27b618a3c4fd92e25e","width":"560","height":"240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941605339","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968635018,"gmtCreate":1669203561534,"gmtModify":1676538166835,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968635018","repostId":"2285896938","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987121598,"gmtCreate":1667861451714,"gmtModify":1676537973921,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987121598","repostId":"2281360707","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917931404,"gmtCreate":1665408926808,"gmtModify":1676537601044,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917931404","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915533898,"gmtCreate":1665065785715,"gmtModify":1676537551845,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915533898","repostId":"1191721961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919194921,"gmtCreate":1663746441363,"gmtModify":1676537328407,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919194921","repostId":"1126746547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126746547","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663738336,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126746547?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-21 13:32","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Here's Why Sea Limited Is Suddenly Serious About Cash Flow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126746547","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"How will the market value this stock if its growth potential dissipates?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li>Sea Limited is focused on becoming self-sufficient because it can no longer rely on outside financing.</li><li>Its push towards self-sufficiency includes cutting executive pay and tightening e-commerce operations in certain countries.</li><li>The stock's valuation has plummeted, but it may be warranted if its growth opportunities are reduced.</li></ul><p>E-commerce, payments, and gaming company <b>Sea Limited</b> is turning away from revenue growth and toward cash flow at all costs.</p><p>Investors grew accustomed to mind-numbing growth figures from Sea Limited. Consider that in 2017, the company generated revenue of $414 million. In 2021, it generated revenue of nearly $10 billion -- up 24 times in just four years. And revenue through the first half of 2022 is up another impressive 44% year over year.</p><p>According to <i>Bloomberg</i>, Sea Limited just sent a memo to employees, saying that its top goal is to become cash-flow positive as quickly as possible. And as we'll see, it's pulling out all the stops to accomplish this. Here's what investors need to know.</p><h2>Why Sea Limited is pivoting toward profits</h2><p>In 2017, Sea Limited primarily generated revenue from its video game platform Garena, much of that coming from Asia with a concentration in its home Singapore market. Since then, the company has expanded its revenue sources to include e-commerce (through its Shopee platform) and digital payments (through its fintech arm SeaMoney). It's expanded and grown substantially in markets like Europe and Latin America.</p><p>Sea Limited is now prioritizing profits over growth because of how quickly the global financing market changed. In his memo to employees, founder and CEO Forrest Li explained, "With investors fleeing for 'safe haven' investments, we do not anticipate being able to raise funds in the market."</p><p>In short, Sea Limited grew and expanded rapidly. But it did so by relying heavily on cash from financing activities, as the chart below shows. And it can't keep dipping into that honey pot now that the macroeconomic environment is different.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a6de5c2491384ebaf7378436cf315ba\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p>To Li's point, the cost of capital rose. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates at the fastest pace in decades, giving investors much better returns on relatively risk-free assets. They're now less willing to lend money to companies like Sea Limited without demanding a much higher rate of return. Basically, the terms for borrowing money aren't as compelling as they were.</p><p>Similarly, the Federal Reserve has taken liquidity out of the system by shrinking its balance sheet. This has a side effect of causing stock valuations to drop. Sea Limited could raise funds by diluting shares as it's done in the past, but the terms are far less attractive. Sea Limited stock had ap rice-to-sales (P/S) valuation of over 30 in early 2021. Its valuation has plummeted more than 90% to a P/S ratio under 3 as of this writing -- an all-time low for the company.</p><p>Sea Limited isn't the only company pivoting in light of market conditions. For example, the parent company of Snapchat, <b>Snap</b>, released a memo to employees earlier this month, and tech website The Verge got hold of it. Snap's CEO reportedly said: "Our business will be valued based on our ability to generate profits. We must adapt our strategy accordingly."</p><p>Snap is adapting to the market's preference for profitability, in part, by launching an enterprise division for its augmented-reality technology. But it's also cutting projects like its selfie drone. And as we'll see, Sea Limited is making cuts as well.</p><h2>What Sea Limited is giving up</h2><p>Sea Limited's video game segment, Garena, is its profitable venture. However, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for this segment fell 55% year over year in the second quarter of 2022 to $333.6 million, in part due to its hit <i>Free Fire</i>game being banned in India and also a general slowdown in the video game space.</p><p>However, Garena's struggles appear to be ongoing. According to a September Reuters report, about 15% of Garena's staff may have just been let go as Sea Limited pivots hard toward profits. Moreover, the same Reuters report says that Sea Limited is shutting down Shopee in Argentina altogether as well as shutting down local operations in Columbia, Chile, and Mexico -- cross-border shipments will still be allowed in those three countries. This follows Sea Limited pulling out of some European markets earlier this year.</p><p>Finally, back to the <i>Bloomberg</i> report, management is extremely serious about cash-flow positivity. It's reportedly forgoing paychecks for executives until Sea Limited reaches self-sufficiency. This, of course, implies that the company hasn't been self-sufficient to this point, emphasizing once more that its growth was funded by financing.</p><h2>Lower top-line growth, lower valuation</h2><p>Sea Limited investors should be encouraged that there's a viable path to self-sufficiency. Consider that in the first half of 2022, the company reported a negative $1.2 billion in cash from operations. But it spent $540 million on property and equipment alone, much of which is for e-commerce infrastructure. Simply curtailing spending to grow Shopee will substantially push the overall business toward breakeven.</p><p>That said, Sea Limited's e-commerce segment accounted for nearly 59% of overall revenue in Q2. And its 51% year-over-year growth for this segment far exceeded the overall revenue growth of 29%. In other words, the company is cutting back on its top-line growth driver, which typically merits a cheaper valuation.</p><p>Pivoting toward self-sufficiency is important and necessary for Sea Limited in the current economic environment. It also means the stock may be fairly valued in a low-growth, break-even scenario. That makes this a company I would watch from the sidelines for now. Wait and see if management can accomplish its self-sufficiency goal. And see what kind of profits it's capable of after the pivot is complete to get a better idea of the long-term opportunity.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why Sea Limited Is Suddenly Serious About Cash Flow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why Sea Limited Is Suddenly Serious About Cash Flow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-21 13:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/why-sea-limited-suddenly-serious-about-cash-flow/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSSea Limited is focused on becoming self-sufficient because it can no longer rely on outside financing.Its push towards self-sufficiency includes cutting executive pay and tightening e-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/why-sea-limited-suddenly-serious-about-cash-flow/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/20/why-sea-limited-suddenly-serious-about-cash-flow/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126746547","content_text":"KEY POINTSSea Limited is focused on becoming self-sufficient because it can no longer rely on outside financing.Its push towards self-sufficiency includes cutting executive pay and tightening e-commerce operations in certain countries.The stock's valuation has plummeted, but it may be warranted if its growth opportunities are reduced.E-commerce, payments, and gaming company Sea Limited is turning away from revenue growth and toward cash flow at all costs.Investors grew accustomed to mind-numbing growth figures from Sea Limited. Consider that in 2017, the company generated revenue of $414 million. In 2021, it generated revenue of nearly $10 billion -- up 24 times in just four years. And revenue through the first half of 2022 is up another impressive 44% year over year.According to Bloomberg, Sea Limited just sent a memo to employees, saying that its top goal is to become cash-flow positive as quickly as possible. And as we'll see, it's pulling out all the stops to accomplish this. Here's what investors need to know.Why Sea Limited is pivoting toward profitsIn 2017, Sea Limited primarily generated revenue from its video game platform Garena, much of that coming from Asia with a concentration in its home Singapore market. Since then, the company has expanded its revenue sources to include e-commerce (through its Shopee platform) and digital payments (through its fintech arm SeaMoney). It's expanded and grown substantially in markets like Europe and Latin America.Sea Limited is now prioritizing profits over growth because of how quickly the global financing market changed. In his memo to employees, founder and CEO Forrest Li explained, \"With investors fleeing for 'safe haven' investments, we do not anticipate being able to raise funds in the market.\"In short, Sea Limited grew and expanded rapidly. But it did so by relying heavily on cash from financing activities, as the chart below shows. And it can't keep dipping into that honey pot now that the macroeconomic environment is different.SE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.To Li's point, the cost of capital rose. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates at the fastest pace in decades, giving investors much better returns on relatively risk-free assets. They're now less willing to lend money to companies like Sea Limited without demanding a much higher rate of return. Basically, the terms for borrowing money aren't as compelling as they were.Similarly, the Federal Reserve has taken liquidity out of the system by shrinking its balance sheet. This has a side effect of causing stock valuations to drop. Sea Limited could raise funds by diluting shares as it's done in the past, but the terms are far less attractive. Sea Limited stock had ap rice-to-sales (P/S) valuation of over 30 in early 2021. Its valuation has plummeted more than 90% to a P/S ratio under 3 as of this writing -- an all-time low for the company.Sea Limited isn't the only company pivoting in light of market conditions. For example, the parent company of Snapchat, Snap, released a memo to employees earlier this month, and tech website The Verge got hold of it. Snap's CEO reportedly said: \"Our business will be valued based on our ability to generate profits. We must adapt our strategy accordingly.\"Snap is adapting to the market's preference for profitability, in part, by launching an enterprise division for its augmented-reality technology. But it's also cutting projects like its selfie drone. And as we'll see, Sea Limited is making cuts as well.What Sea Limited is giving upSea Limited's video game segment, Garena, is its profitable venture. However, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for this segment fell 55% year over year in the second quarter of 2022 to $333.6 million, in part due to its hit Free Firegame being banned in India and also a general slowdown in the video game space.However, Garena's struggles appear to be ongoing. According to a September Reuters report, about 15% of Garena's staff may have just been let go as Sea Limited pivots hard toward profits. Moreover, the same Reuters report says that Sea Limited is shutting down Shopee in Argentina altogether as well as shutting down local operations in Columbia, Chile, and Mexico -- cross-border shipments will still be allowed in those three countries. This follows Sea Limited pulling out of some European markets earlier this year.Finally, back to the Bloomberg report, management is extremely serious about cash-flow positivity. It's reportedly forgoing paychecks for executives until Sea Limited reaches self-sufficiency. This, of course, implies that the company hasn't been self-sufficient to this point, emphasizing once more that its growth was funded by financing.Lower top-line growth, lower valuationSea Limited investors should be encouraged that there's a viable path to self-sufficiency. Consider that in the first half of 2022, the company reported a negative $1.2 billion in cash from operations. But it spent $540 million on property and equipment alone, much of which is for e-commerce infrastructure. Simply curtailing spending to grow Shopee will substantially push the overall business toward breakeven.That said, Sea Limited's e-commerce segment accounted for nearly 59% of overall revenue in Q2. And its 51% year-over-year growth for this segment far exceeded the overall revenue growth of 29%. In other words, the company is cutting back on its top-line growth driver, which typically merits a cheaper valuation.Pivoting toward self-sufficiency is important and necessary for Sea Limited in the current economic environment. It also means the stock may be fairly valued in a low-growth, break-even scenario. That makes this a company I would watch from the sidelines for now. Wait and see if management can accomplish its self-sufficiency goal. And see what kind of profits it's capable of after the pivot is complete to get a better idea of the long-term opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910520647,"gmtCreate":1663645550989,"gmtModify":1676537308100,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Microsoft ","listText":"Microsoft ","text":"Microsoft","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910520647","repostId":"1180636736","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931071435,"gmtCreate":1662371595627,"gmtModify":1676537047528,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931071435","repostId":"1198620014","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994877720,"gmtCreate":1661613092062,"gmtModify":1676536549630,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994877720","repostId":"2262901563","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262901563","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661571503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262901563?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-27 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Did the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262901563","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A big drop sent the Dow down more than a thousand points.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite discouraged by what they heard, as Powell restated the Fed's determination to push interest rates as high as they needed to go in order to ensure that inflationary pressures don't become permanently entrenched in the U.S. economy. For those who had hoped for a more dovish response, that was bad news, and the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average </b>ended the day down more than a thousand points. Percentage drops for the <b>S&P 500</b> and <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> were also in the 3% to 4% range.</p><p>Among large-cap stocks, there were only a handful of gainers as most share prices followed the broader market lower. Some now fear that the rebound that the market saw from mid-June to about a week ago may well prove to have been only a bear market rally, with today's downward move reestablishing a bearish trend that could take market indexes far lower.</p><table><thead><tr></tr></thead></table><p>There's no way to predict short-term price movements in the stock market. However, efforts to fight inflation, if successful, should result in better long-term results for investors than if the Fed simply backed off and allowed higher price trends to become a permanent feature of the U.S. economy.</p><h2>Stubborn inflation</h2><p>The big question still facing investors is whether inflation has peaked. Many of those watching economic data were pleased to see the upward moves in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) start to moderate recently. However, just because inflation has stopped accelerating doesn't mean that it's under control.</p><p>The latest numbers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on the PCE tell the story well. The headline number that most people emphasized was that the price index fell 0.1% in July, with goods prices falling 0.4%.</p><p>However, looking more closely at what goes into the PCE price index gives a more complete picture. Much of the downward pressure on the index came from a 7.7% drop in the sub-index for gasoline and other energy goods. That by itself was enough to send nondurable goods prices down half a percent, even as food and beverage prices jumped 1.3% month over month.</p><p>Some other key components showed continued rises. Housing and utility costs were up 0.6% for the month, extending their gain over the past 12 months to 7%.</p><p>Perhaps most importantly, even larger declines in a single month wouldn't by themselves reverse adverse trends. Energy costs are still more than 45% higher than they were this time last year. Food and beverages are up nearly 12% year over year, and even when you exclude food and energy, core PCE prices are up 4.6% since July 2021 -- more than double the 2% target that the Fed pursues.</p><h2>Is a recession worth long-term prosperity?</h2><p>Investors worry that a prolonged set of interest-rate increases from the Fed will push the economy into recession and restrain business activity. If that view from the Fed was unexpectedly hawkish, then it could leave stock market participants facing downward revisions on earnings estimates that could send stock prices lower once again.</p><p>In the long run, though, the impact of inflation on stock prices historically has been more difficult to overcome than short-term business cycle fluctuations. When you look back at recent bouts of inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s, for instance, you'll notice significant volatility in stock markets that led to subpar returns. Only when inflationary pressures were resolved did solid bull markets result, and the long bull markets of the 1990s, mid-2000s, and 2010s all came in economic environments with little or no inflation.</p><p>It's indeed possible that a central bank with tight monetary policy might bring short-term pain to the stock market and an end to what might materialize as a bear market rally. However, I believe investors will be happier with this outcome in the long run than they would be with sustained inflation and the complications that come with it.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Did the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDid the Fed Kill the Bear Market Rally?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-27 11:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/26/did-the-fed-just-kill-the-bear-market-rally/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262901563","content_text":"Market participants have been concerned for weeks about what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might say at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole. Apparently, they were quite discouraged by what they heard, as Powell restated the Fed's determination to push interest rates as high as they needed to go in order to ensure that inflationary pressures don't become permanently entrenched in the U.S. economy. For those who had hoped for a more dovish response, that was bad news, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down more than a thousand points. Percentage drops for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were also in the 3% to 4% range.Among large-cap stocks, there were only a handful of gainers as most share prices followed the broader market lower. Some now fear that the rebound that the market saw from mid-June to about a week ago may well prove to have been only a bear market rally, with today's downward move reestablishing a bearish trend that could take market indexes far lower.There's no way to predict short-term price movements in the stock market. However, efforts to fight inflation, if successful, should result in better long-term results for investors than if the Fed simply backed off and allowed higher price trends to become a permanent feature of the U.S. economy.Stubborn inflationThe big question still facing investors is whether inflation has peaked. Many of those watching economic data were pleased to see the upward moves in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) start to moderate recently. However, just because inflation has stopped accelerating doesn't mean that it's under control.The latest numbers from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on the PCE tell the story well. The headline number that most people emphasized was that the price index fell 0.1% in July, with goods prices falling 0.4%.However, looking more closely at what goes into the PCE price index gives a more complete picture. Much of the downward pressure on the index came from a 7.7% drop in the sub-index for gasoline and other energy goods. That by itself was enough to send nondurable goods prices down half a percent, even as food and beverage prices jumped 1.3% month over month.Some other key components showed continued rises. Housing and utility costs were up 0.6% for the month, extending their gain over the past 12 months to 7%.Perhaps most importantly, even larger declines in a single month wouldn't by themselves reverse adverse trends. Energy costs are still more than 45% higher than they were this time last year. Food and beverages are up nearly 12% year over year, and even when you exclude food and energy, core PCE prices are up 4.6% since July 2021 -- more than double the 2% target that the Fed pursues.Is a recession worth long-term prosperity?Investors worry that a prolonged set of interest-rate increases from the Fed will push the economy into recession and restrain business activity. If that view from the Fed was unexpectedly hawkish, then it could leave stock market participants facing downward revisions on earnings estimates that could send stock prices lower once again.In the long run, though, the impact of inflation on stock prices historically has been more difficult to overcome than short-term business cycle fluctuations. When you look back at recent bouts of inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s, for instance, you'll notice significant volatility in stock markets that led to subpar returns. Only when inflationary pressures were resolved did solid bull markets result, and the long bull markets of the 1990s, mid-2000s, and 2010s all came in economic environments with little or no inflation.It's indeed possible that a central bank with tight monetary policy might bring short-term pain to the stock market and an end to what might materialize as a bear market rally. However, I believe investors will be happier with this outcome in the long run than they would be with sustained inflation and the complications that come with it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995476087,"gmtCreate":1661508904252,"gmtModify":1676536532387,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995476087","repostId":"1153153537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995478529,"gmtCreate":1661508860562,"gmtModify":1676536532378,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia","listText":"Nvidia","text":"Nvidia","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995478529","repostId":"2262957925","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262957925","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661507104,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262957925?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-26 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Was Cathie Wood Right to Dump Nvidia Stock Ahead of Weak Guidance?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262957925","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Cathie Wood sold some of ARK's stake in Nvidia ahead of the Q2 earnings update -- should you follow suit?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Cathie Wood's asset management firm, ARK Invest, revealed it sold nearly 300,000 shares of leading chip designer <b>Nvidia</b> on Tuesday, a day ahead of the earnings update. At first blush, it looks like Wood and her team had the right idea. As previewed a few weeks ago, Nvidia reported a 19% quarter-over-quarter decline in second-quarter revenue to $6.7 billion -- well below previous guidance of $8.1 billion. Even worse, Nvidia said it expects third-quarter revenue to be just $5.9 billion, yet another sequential decline and down from revenue of $7.1 billion in Q3 a year ago.</p><p>Nvidia is getting hit with a cyclical decline in sales, and there's no telling how long it will last. Should you follow Wood and sell Nvidia stock yourself?</p><h2>A bet (albeit a smaller bet) on Nvidia</h2><p>First, let's acknowledge that ARK Invest's sale of Nvidia stock (worth some $50 million at yesterday's prices) is relative. The two funds that sold -- the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> and the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> -- still own sizable amounts of Nvidia. Just over 1% of both funds was allocated to Nvidia stock a day before Nvidia's update for its fiscal 2023 second quarter (a three-month period that ended July 31).</p><p>Even so, Wood's ARK Invest is likely slimming down its Nvidia stake as a cyclical downturn in consumer electronics takes hold. The third-quarter outlook -- revenue of just $5.9 billion -- implies a year-over-year decline of 17% at the midpoint of guidance. Gaming hardware sales are to blame, impacted by turmoil in the cryptocurrency industry. Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) are often used to mine some cryptos like <b>Bitcoin</b> and <b>Ethereum</b>, but Ethereum's Merge is eliminating the need for high-powered chips.</p><p>The good news is that margins won't be hit as hard as some investors may have expected. After adjusted gross margin took a big dip on product sold (which Nvidia said was due to clearing existing inventory at retail partners), it looks like it will rebound in Q3. Clearing old inventory was key ahead of Nvidia announcing a refreshed lineup of gaming GPUs in September.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p><b>Period</b></p></th><th><p><b>Nvidia Adjusted Gross Profit Margin</b></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Fiscal 2022</p></td><td><p>66.8%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Q1 2023</p></td><td><p>67.1%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Q2 2023</p></td><td><p>45.9%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Q3 2023 (expected)</p></td><td><p>64.5% to 65.5%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Nvidia.</p><h2>Nvidia apparently doesn't agree with ARK Invest's sale</h2><p>If the past is any indication, this cyclical downturn for Nvidia's revenue isn't over. ARK Invest might simply be refreshing cash so it can buy stocks it thinks might perform better than Nvidia in the next six months or so as the company finds a bottom in this revenue downturn cycle.</p><p>But here's the problem: The market anticipated this cyclical downturn and clobbered Nvidia stock already this year. Sooner or later, if Nvidia's data center and automotive segments keep running higher and gaming eventually rebounds, Nvidia shares could rocket higher. Again, if the past provides a lesson for what's to come, the market will pick up on this before Nvidia reports an uptick in overall revenue growth.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b67f3f5f6da7db780418988df2289aee\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Data by YCharts.</span></p><p>On the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang talked about how uses for Nvidia GPUs have grown substantially -- and that growth isn't slowing down. Besides gaming, Nvidia hardware powers artificial intelligence (AI) in data centers, self-driving car technology, robotics, and new cloud computing services. Apparently, Huang and company think this dip will be temporary, just like past downturns.</p><p>Don't get me wrong; things could get worse before they get better for Nvidia. Perhaps Wood and her ARK Invest plan on buying more Nvidia later as the situation improves. But if you still believe in this long-term chip and AI behemoth's story, now isn't the time to sell. The end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022 would have been the time to trim a position (if that's your style). For long-term buy-and-hold investors, there's still a lot to like about Nvidia stock right now.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Was Cathie Wood Right to Dump Nvidia Stock Ahead of Weak Guidance?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWas Cathie Wood Right to Dump Nvidia Stock Ahead of Weak Guidance?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 17:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/was-cathie-wood-right-to-dump-nvda-stock-earnings/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood's asset management firm, ARK Invest, revealed it sold nearly 300,000 shares of leading chip designer Nvidia on Tuesday, a day ahead of the earnings update. At first blush, it looks like ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/was-cathie-wood-right-to-dump-nvda-stock-earnings/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/25/was-cathie-wood-right-to-dump-nvda-stock-earnings/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262957925","content_text":"Cathie Wood's asset management firm, ARK Invest, revealed it sold nearly 300,000 shares of leading chip designer Nvidia on Tuesday, a day ahead of the earnings update. At first blush, it looks like Wood and her team had the right idea. As previewed a few weeks ago, Nvidia reported a 19% quarter-over-quarter decline in second-quarter revenue to $6.7 billion -- well below previous guidance of $8.1 billion. Even worse, Nvidia said it expects third-quarter revenue to be just $5.9 billion, yet another sequential decline and down from revenue of $7.1 billion in Q3 a year ago.Nvidia is getting hit with a cyclical decline in sales, and there's no telling how long it will last. Should you follow Wood and sell Nvidia stock yourself?A bet (albeit a smaller bet) on NvidiaFirst, let's acknowledge that ARK Invest's sale of Nvidia stock (worth some $50 million at yesterday's prices) is relative. The two funds that sold -- the ARK Innovation ETF and the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF -- still own sizable amounts of Nvidia. Just over 1% of both funds was allocated to Nvidia stock a day before Nvidia's update for its fiscal 2023 second quarter (a three-month period that ended July 31).Even so, Wood's ARK Invest is likely slimming down its Nvidia stake as a cyclical downturn in consumer electronics takes hold. The third-quarter outlook -- revenue of just $5.9 billion -- implies a year-over-year decline of 17% at the midpoint of guidance. Gaming hardware sales are to blame, impacted by turmoil in the cryptocurrency industry. Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) are often used to mine some cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum, but Ethereum's Merge is eliminating the need for high-powered chips.The good news is that margins won't be hit as hard as some investors may have expected. After adjusted gross margin took a big dip on product sold (which Nvidia said was due to clearing existing inventory at retail partners), it looks like it will rebound in Q3. Clearing old inventory was key ahead of Nvidia announcing a refreshed lineup of gaming GPUs in September.PeriodNvidia Adjusted Gross Profit MarginFiscal 202266.8%Q1 202367.1%Q2 202345.9%Q3 2023 (expected)64.5% to 65.5%Data source: Nvidia.Nvidia apparently doesn't agree with ARK Invest's saleIf the past is any indication, this cyclical downturn for Nvidia's revenue isn't over. ARK Invest might simply be refreshing cash so it can buy stocks it thinks might perform better than Nvidia in the next six months or so as the company finds a bottom in this revenue downturn cycle.But here's the problem: The market anticipated this cyclical downturn and clobbered Nvidia stock already this year. Sooner or later, if Nvidia's data center and automotive segments keep running higher and gaming eventually rebounds, Nvidia shares could rocket higher. Again, if the past provides a lesson for what's to come, the market will pick up on this before Nvidia reports an uptick in overall revenue growth.Data by YCharts.On the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang talked about how uses for Nvidia GPUs have grown substantially -- and that growth isn't slowing down. Besides gaming, Nvidia hardware powers artificial intelligence (AI) in data centers, self-driving car technology, robotics, and new cloud computing services. Apparently, Huang and company think this dip will be temporary, just like past downturns.Don't get me wrong; things could get worse before they get better for Nvidia. Perhaps Wood and her ARK Invest plan on buying more Nvidia later as the situation improves. But if you still believe in this long-term chip and AI behemoth's story, now isn't the time to sell. The end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022 would have been the time to trim a position (if that's your style). For long-term buy-and-hold investors, there's still a lot to like about Nvidia stock right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995478647,"gmtCreate":1661508835793,"gmtModify":1676536532371,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995478647","repostId":"1186673642","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186673642","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661504445,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186673642?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-26 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How the Stock Market Performs After Jackson Hole, According to History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186673642","media":"Barrons","summary":"The stock market usually performs well just after the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposiu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market usually performs well just after the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium.</p><p>The first day of the Jackson Hole meeting usually kick-starts strong stock market performance in the near-term, historically speaking. The average move for the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the month following the first day of the meeting is up 0.3%, in data dating back to 1978, according to Dow Jones Market data. The S&P 500 averages a 0.5% gain, while the more volatile Nasdaq Composite averages a 0.9% rise.</p><p>There are, however, two caveats.</p><p>First off, the stock market has posted impressive gains this summer already. All three indexes are up double digits in percentage terms from their mid-June closing lows for the year. The main driver has been investors hoping that the declining rate of inflation could compel the Fed to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicates in his speech Friday that a half-percentage-point rate hike is most likely on the way for September, rather than three-quarters of a point, stocks could keep rallying. But if Powell indicates a three-quarter-point hike is on the way, stocks are likely to dip.</p><p>Second, the month of September is usually the stock market’s worst month of the year. The average move for the S&P 500 in September is down 1%, dating back to 1928. The effect has been less pronounced in recent years. The market actually averaged a 0.7% increase in September during the 2010s, though it averaged a 4.3% decline that month in 2020 and 2021.</p><p>Either way, investors will keep in mind the factors that are specific to this year. The stock market has enjoyed a substantial summer rally already and now the question is how fast the Fed will lift rates from here.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the Stock Market Performs After Jackson Hole, According to History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the Stock Market Performs After Jackson Hole, According to History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-26 17:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/jackson-hole-stock-market-history-51661448852?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market usually performs well just after the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium.The first day of the Jackson Hole meeting usually kick-starts strong stock market performance in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jackson-hole-stock-market-history-51661448852?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jackson-hole-stock-market-history-51661448852?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186673642","content_text":"The stock market usually performs well just after the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium.The first day of the Jackson Hole meeting usually kick-starts strong stock market performance in the near-term, historically speaking. The average move for the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the month following the first day of the meeting is up 0.3%, in data dating back to 1978, according to Dow Jones Market data. The S&P 500 averages a 0.5% gain, while the more volatile Nasdaq Composite averages a 0.9% rise.There are, however, two caveats.First off, the stock market has posted impressive gains this summer already. All three indexes are up double digits in percentage terms from their mid-June closing lows for the year. The main driver has been investors hoping that the declining rate of inflation could compel the Fed to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicates in his speech Friday that a half-percentage-point rate hike is most likely on the way for September, rather than three-quarters of a point, stocks could keep rallying. But if Powell indicates a three-quarter-point hike is on the way, stocks are likely to dip.Second, the month of September is usually the stock market’s worst month of the year. The average move for the S&P 500 in September is down 1%, dating back to 1928. The effect has been less pronounced in recent years. The market actually averaged a 0.7% increase in September during the 2010s, though it averaged a 4.3% decline that month in 2020 and 2021.Either way, investors will keep in mind the factors that are specific to this year. The stock market has enjoyed a substantial summer rally already and now the question is how fast the Fed will lift rates from here.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998999349,"gmtCreate":1660914045583,"gmtModify":1676536422422,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998999349","repostId":"1142247584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993794829,"gmtCreate":1660729442664,"gmtModify":1676536387910,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993794829","repostId":"2259007017","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993794028,"gmtCreate":1660729416866,"gmtModify":1676536387901,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sea","listText":"Sea","text":"Sea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993794028","repostId":"1107258045","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107258045","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660716487,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107258045?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-17 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Is It Cheap Enough?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107258045","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummarySea Limited reported second quarter results but investors were disappointed and punished the ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Sea Limited reported second quarter results but investors were disappointed and punished the stock during the following trading day.</li><li>When looking at the results, we can see signs of the business struggling already and the looming recession is adding another risk to the business.</li><li>It is difficult to determine an intrinsic value for Sea Limited, but the stock could be undervalued right now and might be a speculative bet.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a963b30c4a818dfcf6148d33a7d6eaae\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>bunhill</span></p><p>My last article about Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) was published in February 2022 when the stock was trading around $140, and I rated the stock as a hold. Since then, the stock declined more than 35% (and was trading even lower inthe meantime) and as Sea Limited was already declining before my last article it is now trading about 75% below its all-time high the stock reached in the fall of 2021.</p><p>The quarterly earnings results are a good opportunity to take a closer look at Sea Limited again and ask the question if the stock is now cheap enough and a good investment. We start by looking at the quarterly results.</p><p><b>Quarterly Results</b></p><p>On Tuesday, Sea Limited reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while the company could slightly beat earnings per share estimates, it slightly missed revenue expectations. When turning away from analysts’ estimates and look at the hard numbers we can see sales increasing 29.0% year-over-year from $2,281 million in the same quarter last year to $2,943 million this quarter. The rather negative point of view might be growth slowing down over the last few quarters as revenue growth was 64% one quarter ago and 106% two quarters earlier. However, we must keep the macro-economic environment in mind and several other technology companies have troubles growing at all these days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b36a47b7e0494c88aec4f60add1163b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>When looking at the three different segments we see extremely mixed results. Revenue for “Digital Entertainment” declined from $1,024 million in the same quarter last year to $900 million this quarter – resulting in 12.1% year-over-year decline. And “sales of goods” could increase revenue from $257 million in Q2/21 to $287 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 11.7% YoY growth. The biggest part of growth (in absolute and relative numbers) stemmed from “E-commerce and other services” which could grow 75.6% year-over-year from $1,000 million in Q2/21 to $1,756 million in Q2/22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4e50c54d34ff1ca86adbe13b84de2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>While Sea Limited is still able to grow its top line with a solid pace, the increasing costs have a huge negative impact on the operating income (or rather: operating loss) as well as the bottom line. Expenses for sales and marketing were more or less the same (compared to the same quarter last year) but costs of revenue increased with a higher pace than revenue. And especially general & administrative expenses (+96% YoY) as well as research and development expenses (+115% YoY) increased quite a lot.</p><p>As a result, operating loss increased from a loss of $334 million in the same quarter last year to $837 million this quarter and net losses per share increased from $0.61 in Q2/21 to $1.03 in Q2/22.</p><p>And finally, Sea Limited also suspended its e-commerce guidance and although there seems to be a logical explanation, I would see this move as a rather bad sign. In its earnings release, the company is stating:</p><blockquote>In our efforts to adapt to increasing macro uncertainties, we are proactively shifting our strategies to further focus on efficiency and optimization for the long-term strength and profitability of the e-commerce business. Given this strategic shift, we will be suspending e-commerce GAAP revenue guidance for the full year 2022.</blockquote><p><b>Light and Shadow</b></p><p>When looking at the e-commerce segment we see solid growth rates for Sea Limited. Year-over-year the number of gross orders increased 42% to 2.0 billion and gross merchandise volume also increased in the same timeframe, but only 27%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04efc4f6c6fdc4547ec2d87affe5352a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>Aside from e-commerce, digital financial services are also growing. Quarterly active users are growing 53% year-over-year to 52.7 million and the total payment volume for mobile wallet was increasing 36% year-over-year to $5.7 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798fa51a2c7f971c127efeeb28e5595d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>In both cases we are seeing solid growth rates, but the number of orders and quarterly active users is growing with a higher pace than gross merchandise/payment volume and this could be interpreted as small warning sign. Active customers are obviously spending less money. This could have several different reasons but could be a first hint for the economy slowing down.</p><p>And when looking at digital entertainment, the picture is becoming murkier. While digital entertainment certainly has a large global user base, we cannot ignore the negative trends over the last few quarters. Not only are quarterly active users declining from 725.2 million one year ago to 619.3 million right now (15% YoY decline), but quarterly paying users declined even 39% YoY from 92.2 million in Q2/21 to 56.1 million in Q2/22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ec45c6f2c60c8479c296ae35bef6a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>Sea Limited is explaining the decrease in revenue due to the softening of bookings post-COVID. However, the increase of quarterly paying users between Q2/20 and Q2/21 was almost completely erased. Quarterly paying users increased only with a CAGR of 6% in the last two years – from 49.9 million in Q2/20 to 56.1 million in Q2/22. And so far, digital entertainment is the only segment for Sea Limited which is profitable and with sales and operating income declining this is especially problematic as Sea Limited is using the cash to fund its other business segments.</p><p><b>Recession as Headwind</b></p><p>The looming recession was mentioned countless times in the last few months (by many analysts and contributors including myself). We are seeing growth rates slowing down for many businesses – recently I wrote about Meta Platforms (META) which had to report declining revenue for the first time ever – and Sea Limited is no exception (as we already saw above). And if the recession will hit the world, growth rates might slow down even more. Sea Limited is depending on entertainment, games as well as retail/e-commerce. And these are all segments that are usually affected by a recession. People usually purchase less goods in case of a recession as the disposable income will decline. Rising interest rates will also force people to choose more wisely where to spend money. And spendings for games as well as entertainment are probably not considered essential by most people and might be among the first victims when expenses must be cut.</p><p>Of course, Sea Limited is very active in the Southeast Asia region and while I am pretty sure the United States and many European countries will be in a recession in 2023, I don’t know enough about that region to make reasonable predictions. I am just assuming the next recession being a global and brutal one and therefore affecting most countries and companies around the world.</p><p><b>Problems: Lacking Profitability and Dilution</b></p><p>One problem I see with investing in Sea Limited right now is the lacking profitability of the business. I know Sea Limited is still a rather young company (founded 13 years ago) and it is not untypical for young companies to be not profitable yet – especially if management is still focused on growing with a high pace and sacrificing profitability for high revenue growth. And it seems to be working as Sea Limited is still growing with an extremely high pace compared to other competitors. And the balance sheet (we will get to this) is allowing Sea Limited to be not profitable yet and focus on growth while still burning cash for a few more years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eed9e10e9d9d00e449ddc1b7e0df9db5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SE Average Diluted Shares Outstanding (Quarterly) data by YCharts</span></p><p>Sea Limited is also increasing the number of outstanding shares constantly – another aspect I don’t like to see as potential investors. I don’t want to see my stake in the company diluted over time. Nevertheless, Sea Limited is increasing the number of outstanding shares with a high pace in the last few quarters, and we must assume the business will continue to do so in the quarters to come.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Sea Limited is continuing to dilute is shares, which is not a good sign for investors as it is lowering the profit for each investor when the number of outstanding shares is continuously increasing. However, it is good to know that Sea Limited doesn’t have to issue additional shares to raise capital as the balance sheet is solid (when management is continuing to dilute it is happening for different reasons).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01b9f1c402d80e51be966f2ec26fc672\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Sea Limited Q2/22 Presentation</span></p><p>In the last few quarters, cash and cash equivalents as well as short-term investments declined from $11.8 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 to about $7.8 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2022. Nevertheless, on June 30, 2022, the company still had $6,493 million in cash and cash equivalents and $1,288 million in short-term investments on its balance sheet and no short- or long-term debt. And as Sea Limited will probably not be profitable in the next few quarters (and most likely not generate free cash flow) it is good to know that the business won’t have to rely on additional cash.</p><p><b>Intrinsic Value Calculation</b></p><p>Sea Limited is still not profitable, which is making it rather difficult to look at simple valuation metrics – with free cash flow as well as earnings per share being negative in the last four quarters, we can’t neither calculate a P/FCF ratio nor a P/E ratio. Instead, we can look at the price-sales ratio and since my last article in February 2022, the price-sales ratio continued to decline further. Right now, Sea Limited is trading for 4.4 times sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14542e22f7c95a056cfb343d98340c5c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"877\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SE PS Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><p>And it might be helpful to offer some perspective to interpret that price-sales ratio. Of the four companies presented above, Sea Limited has the highest price-sales ratio, but aside from Alibaba (BABA), which is trading for only 1.9 times sales, the other three companies have almost similar P/S ratios. Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) is trading for 4.3 times sales and Meta Platforms is trading for 4.2 times sales.</p><p>And these three companies – Alibaba, Tencent and Meta Platforms – are all stocks I consider undervalued right now. The fact, that two of them are trading for a similar P/S ratio as Sea Limited although Sea Limited can grow at a much higher pace might imply that Sea Limited is rather cheap right now.</p><p>Of course, Sea Limited must become profitable in a similar way as these businesses to make P/S ratios comparable. And so far, Sea Limited is struggling to be profitable, but as we are talking about similar business models, I think Sea Limited can become profitable in a similar way. The company is trying to grow with a high pace and take market shares – like most of these technology companies did in the early days.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Following earnings, Sea Limited seems to be taking a big hit and the stock declined almost 14% on Tuesday as investors are obviously not satisfied with the news. And at $75 the stock might be worth a shot, and I would describe myself as slightly bullish. Ray Dalio and his hedge fund Bridgewater also invested recently in Sea Limited (and sold the stakes in the Chinese companies Alibaba and JD.com (JD)).</p><p>Although Sea Limited might be undervalued at this point, we should not ignore that a bear market and recession is most likely still upon us. I expect the next few years to be rather challenging for stocks and when the recession will hit the economy earnings per share will decline and many stocks will go much lower. Despite an already 75% decline for Sea Limited, the stock could go lower. When remembering the Dotcom bubble and stocks declining 90% or 95%, we get a feeling how low technology stocks could go.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Is It Cheap Enough?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Is It Cheap Enough?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-17 14:08 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535070-sea-limited-is-it-cheap-enough?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySea Limited reported second quarter results but investors were disappointed and punished the stock during the following trading day.When looking at the results, we can see signs of the business...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535070-sea-limited-is-it-cheap-enough?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535070-sea-limited-is-it-cheap-enough?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1107258045","content_text":"SummarySea Limited reported second quarter results but investors were disappointed and punished the stock during the following trading day.When looking at the results, we can see signs of the business struggling already and the looming recession is adding another risk to the business.It is difficult to determine an intrinsic value for Sea Limited, but the stock could be undervalued right now and might be a speculative bet.bunhillMy last article about Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) was published in February 2022 when the stock was trading around $140, and I rated the stock as a hold. Since then, the stock declined more than 35% (and was trading even lower inthe meantime) and as Sea Limited was already declining before my last article it is now trading about 75% below its all-time high the stock reached in the fall of 2021.The quarterly earnings results are a good opportunity to take a closer look at Sea Limited again and ask the question if the stock is now cheap enough and a good investment. We start by looking at the quarterly results.Quarterly ResultsOn Tuesday, Sea Limited reported second quarter results for fiscal 2022. And while the company could slightly beat earnings per share estimates, it slightly missed revenue expectations. When turning away from analysts’ estimates and look at the hard numbers we can see sales increasing 29.0% year-over-year from $2,281 million in the same quarter last year to $2,943 million this quarter. The rather negative point of view might be growth slowing down over the last few quarters as revenue growth was 64% one quarter ago and 106% two quarters earlier. However, we must keep the macro-economic environment in mind and several other technology companies have troubles growing at all these days.Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationWhen looking at the three different segments we see extremely mixed results. Revenue for “Digital Entertainment” declined from $1,024 million in the same quarter last year to $900 million this quarter – resulting in 12.1% year-over-year decline. And “sales of goods” could increase revenue from $257 million in Q2/21 to $287 million in Q2/22 – resulting in 11.7% YoY growth. The biggest part of growth (in absolute and relative numbers) stemmed from “E-commerce and other services” which could grow 75.6% year-over-year from $1,000 million in Q2/21 to $1,756 million in Q2/22.Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationWhile Sea Limited is still able to grow its top line with a solid pace, the increasing costs have a huge negative impact on the operating income (or rather: operating loss) as well as the bottom line. Expenses for sales and marketing were more or less the same (compared to the same quarter last year) but costs of revenue increased with a higher pace than revenue. And especially general & administrative expenses (+96% YoY) as well as research and development expenses (+115% YoY) increased quite a lot.As a result, operating loss increased from a loss of $334 million in the same quarter last year to $837 million this quarter and net losses per share increased from $0.61 in Q2/21 to $1.03 in Q2/22.And finally, Sea Limited also suspended its e-commerce guidance and although there seems to be a logical explanation, I would see this move as a rather bad sign. In its earnings release, the company is stating:In our efforts to adapt to increasing macro uncertainties, we are proactively shifting our strategies to further focus on efficiency and optimization for the long-term strength and profitability of the e-commerce business. Given this strategic shift, we will be suspending e-commerce GAAP revenue guidance for the full year 2022.Light and ShadowWhen looking at the e-commerce segment we see solid growth rates for Sea Limited. Year-over-year the number of gross orders increased 42% to 2.0 billion and gross merchandise volume also increased in the same timeframe, but only 27%.Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationAside from e-commerce, digital financial services are also growing. Quarterly active users are growing 53% year-over-year to 52.7 million and the total payment volume for mobile wallet was increasing 36% year-over-year to $5.7 billion.Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationIn both cases we are seeing solid growth rates, but the number of orders and quarterly active users is growing with a higher pace than gross merchandise/payment volume and this could be interpreted as small warning sign. Active customers are obviously spending less money. This could have several different reasons but could be a first hint for the economy slowing down.And when looking at digital entertainment, the picture is becoming murkier. While digital entertainment certainly has a large global user base, we cannot ignore the negative trends over the last few quarters. Not only are quarterly active users declining from 725.2 million one year ago to 619.3 million right now (15% YoY decline), but quarterly paying users declined even 39% YoY from 92.2 million in Q2/21 to 56.1 million in Q2/22.Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationSea Limited is explaining the decrease in revenue due to the softening of bookings post-COVID. However, the increase of quarterly paying users between Q2/20 and Q2/21 was almost completely erased. Quarterly paying users increased only with a CAGR of 6% in the last two years – from 49.9 million in Q2/20 to 56.1 million in Q2/22. And so far, digital entertainment is the only segment for Sea Limited which is profitable and with sales and operating income declining this is especially problematic as Sea Limited is using the cash to fund its other business segments.Recession as HeadwindThe looming recession was mentioned countless times in the last few months (by many analysts and contributors including myself). We are seeing growth rates slowing down for many businesses – recently I wrote about Meta Platforms (META) which had to report declining revenue for the first time ever – and Sea Limited is no exception (as we already saw above). And if the recession will hit the world, growth rates might slow down even more. Sea Limited is depending on entertainment, games as well as retail/e-commerce. And these are all segments that are usually affected by a recession. People usually purchase less goods in case of a recession as the disposable income will decline. Rising interest rates will also force people to choose more wisely where to spend money. And spendings for games as well as entertainment are probably not considered essential by most people and might be among the first victims when expenses must be cut.Of course, Sea Limited is very active in the Southeast Asia region and while I am pretty sure the United States and many European countries will be in a recession in 2023, I don’t know enough about that region to make reasonable predictions. I am just assuming the next recession being a global and brutal one and therefore affecting most countries and companies around the world.Problems: Lacking Profitability and DilutionOne problem I see with investing in Sea Limited right now is the lacking profitability of the business. I know Sea Limited is still a rather young company (founded 13 years ago) and it is not untypical for young companies to be not profitable yet – especially if management is still focused on growing with a high pace and sacrificing profitability for high revenue growth. And it seems to be working as Sea Limited is still growing with an extremely high pace compared to other competitors. And the balance sheet (we will get to this) is allowing Sea Limited to be not profitable yet and focus on growth while still burning cash for a few more years.SE Average Diluted Shares Outstanding (Quarterly) data by YChartsSea Limited is also increasing the number of outstanding shares constantly – another aspect I don’t like to see as potential investors. I don’t want to see my stake in the company diluted over time. Nevertheless, Sea Limited is increasing the number of outstanding shares with a high pace in the last few quarters, and we must assume the business will continue to do so in the quarters to come.Balance SheetSea Limited is continuing to dilute is shares, which is not a good sign for investors as it is lowering the profit for each investor when the number of outstanding shares is continuously increasing. However, it is good to know that Sea Limited doesn’t have to issue additional shares to raise capital as the balance sheet is solid (when management is continuing to dilute it is happening for different reasons).Sea Limited Q2/22 PresentationIn the last few quarters, cash and cash equivalents as well as short-term investments declined from $11.8 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 to about $7.8 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2022. Nevertheless, on June 30, 2022, the company still had $6,493 million in cash and cash equivalents and $1,288 million in short-term investments on its balance sheet and no short- or long-term debt. And as Sea Limited will probably not be profitable in the next few quarters (and most likely not generate free cash flow) it is good to know that the business won’t have to rely on additional cash.Intrinsic Value CalculationSea Limited is still not profitable, which is making it rather difficult to look at simple valuation metrics – with free cash flow as well as earnings per share being negative in the last four quarters, we can’t neither calculate a P/FCF ratio nor a P/E ratio. Instead, we can look at the price-sales ratio and since my last article in February 2022, the price-sales ratio continued to decline further. Right now, Sea Limited is trading for 4.4 times sales.SE PS Ratio data by YChartsAnd it might be helpful to offer some perspective to interpret that price-sales ratio. Of the four companies presented above, Sea Limited has the highest price-sales ratio, but aside from Alibaba (BABA), which is trading for only 1.9 times sales, the other three companies have almost similar P/S ratios. Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) is trading for 4.3 times sales and Meta Platforms is trading for 4.2 times sales.And these three companies – Alibaba, Tencent and Meta Platforms – are all stocks I consider undervalued right now. The fact, that two of them are trading for a similar P/S ratio as Sea Limited although Sea Limited can grow at a much higher pace might imply that Sea Limited is rather cheap right now.Of course, Sea Limited must become profitable in a similar way as these businesses to make P/S ratios comparable. And so far, Sea Limited is struggling to be profitable, but as we are talking about similar business models, I think Sea Limited can become profitable in a similar way. The company is trying to grow with a high pace and take market shares – like most of these technology companies did in the early days.ConclusionFollowing earnings, Sea Limited seems to be taking a big hit and the stock declined almost 14% on Tuesday as investors are obviously not satisfied with the news. And at $75 the stock might be worth a shot, and I would describe myself as slightly bullish. Ray Dalio and his hedge fund Bridgewater also invested recently in Sea Limited (and sold the stakes in the Chinese companies Alibaba and JD.com (JD)).Although Sea Limited might be undervalued at this point, we should not ignore that a bear market and recession is most likely still upon us. I expect the next few years to be rather challenging for stocks and when the recession will hit the economy earnings per share will decline and many stocks will go much lower. Despite an already 75% decline for Sea Limited, the stock could go lower. When remembering the Dotcom bubble and stocks declining 90% or 95%, we get a feeling how low technology stocks could go.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907527771,"gmtCreate":1660223085995,"gmtModify":1703481578993,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907527771","repostId":"1108398706","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908752236,"gmtCreate":1659445936027,"gmtModify":1705980415256,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908752236","repostId":"1188690484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188690484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659454673,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188690484?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-02 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188690484","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.</li><li>The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward levels.</li><li>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>I am very bullish on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock. I strongly believe that the market has priced in too much negativity and pessimism as compared to reality and investors are well advised to follow one of Buffett's key maxims:</p><blockquote>Be greedy when others are fearful.</blockquote><p>Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17. This indicates a clear undervaluation.</p><p>Of course, I understand that investors are worried about a potential ADR delisting, slowing economy and crackdown on internet/tech companies. However, just like a bull market tops on the most bullish conditions, a bear market bottoms on the most bearish conditions. While investors should study and understand the risks, I personally believe that Alibaba stock will rebound strongly from current price levels of below $100/share.</p><p>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model anchored on fundamentals and analyst consensus estimates. My target price is $133.92.</p><p><b>A Best-In-Class Company</b></p><p>Alibaba is one of the biggest e-commerce companies in the world. The company operates three main shopping sites Taobao, Tmall and Alibaba.com, which cumulatively serve some 828 million monthly active buyers (fiscal year ending March 31, 2021).</p><p>Alibaba also has stakes in multiple innovative internet/technology businesses such as Youku (video entertainment), Pony.Ai (Autonomous Driving) and most notably Ant Group (The world's biggest financial service company). Alipay serves almost the entire population in China. The platform has 1.3 billion users and 80 million merchants. Notably, the total payment volume of Alipay was more than $19 trillion in 2021.</p><p>Moreover, Alibaba is a dominant force in China's cloud market with about37% market share. China's cloud market is expected to grow at a 4-year CAGR of more than 25%, reaching $85 billion in 2026. As the market leader in China, Alibaba is poised to benefit from this super-charged cloud-growth. Cloud is also a business vertical where the company should enjoy government tailwind, as the Chinese Communist Party is actively supporting digitalization efforts of the economy and has made cloud development a key-priority in the party's5-year development plan.</p><p><b>Bullish Financials</b></p><p>In the past financial year, the Alibaba Group generated total revenues of about $134.5 billion and recorded an operating income of about $15 billion. Most notably in the past five years, from March 2017 to March 2022, Alibaba has grown at an unbelievable 5-year CAGR of 42%. For reference, this is almost double the growth rate of Amazon, which grew at a 5-year CAGR of 22% CAGR over the same period. Alibaba closed the fiscal year 2021 with 9.8 billion of net-income available to common shareholders.</p><p>Alibaba'sbalance sheet is very strong: As of March 2022, the company recorded $71.7 billion of cash and cash equivalents and only $27.85 of total financial debt. This makes Alibaba a net-creditor of about $43 billion -- which is 17% of the company's market capitalization. Moreover, Alibaba's business operations, despite the strong growth, are cash-accretive. In fiscal 2021, the company generated cash from operations of $22.5 billion. Under these circumstances it should come to no surprise that the company announced a $25 billion share-buyback program, more than 10% of the outstanding shares) in March 2022.</p><p>Alibaba will announce earnings for the quarter from April to end of June on August 4th before the market open. Analyst consensus expects total revenues of $30.21 billion and EPS of $1.56.</p><p><b>The Buying Opportunity</b></p><p>Despite the strong business fundamentals, Alibaba stock suffered a spectacular sell-off. BABA shares are down about 70% from ATH as the company was pressured by multiple headwinds: ADR delisting fears, as slowing economy , Covid-19 lockdowns and an aggressive regulatory crackdown that started with the cancellation of the Ant Group IPO in November 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c01e6eab7204bcc90b5af9aa0d87ac85\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Alibaba is a quality company, and the stock's undervaluation is no secret to investors. The key-question is: is the worst behind, and can investors safely invest in Alibaba stock?</p><p>I strongly believe that a safe investment does not exist. In my opinion, every investment opportunity must be judged as a function of its price. And the lower the price, the less risky an investment becomes. Thus, investing is a question of risk/reward. Given Alibaba's extremely depressed valuation - now the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17- I argue an investment is justified.</p><p>Moreover, there are signs that all of Alibaba's headwinds are easing and the negativity surrounding the stock has peaked. China has on multiple occasions tried to communicate to investors that the internet/technology crackdown is coming to an end and is actively supporting the healthy expansion of digital platform economies.</p><p>In addition, China has vowed to push more fiscal economic support- with a special focus on digitalization. While western economies are hawkish on fiscal and monetary stimulus - ending a decade long easing cycle, China is one of the few economies that appears to start a new stimulus cycle.</p><p>Analysts agree with the bullish thesis. In general, analysts are very bullish on Alibaba stock. Based on ratings of 44 analysts, 33 analysts give a Strong Buy rating, 8 are Buy rated and 3 assign a Hold recommendation. There is no Sell or Strong Sell rating. The average price target is $155.47/share, indicating more than 70% upside.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa3c940aeeed4780c87b1ca71bdb180\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Residual Earnings Valuation</b></p><p>Let us now look at the valuation. What could be a fair per-share value for Alibaba stock? To answer the question, I have constructed a Residual Earnings framework and anchor on the following assumptions:</p><ul><li>To forecast EPS, I anchor on consensus analyst forecast as available on the Bloomberg Terminal 'till 2025. In my opinion, any estimate beyond 2025 is too speculative to include in a valuation framework. But for 2-3 years, analyst consensus is usually quite precise.</li><li>To estimate the cost of capital, I use the WACC framework. I model a three-year regression against the Hang Seng to find the stock's beta. For the risk-free rate, I used the U.S. 10-year treasury yield as of July 22nd, 2022. My calculation indicates a fair WACC of about 9.8%. I adjust upward to 12% in order to reflect the company's idiosyncratic market risk.</li><li>To derive Baidu's tax rate, I extrapolate the 3-year average effective tax-rate from 2019, 2020 and 2021.</li><li>For the terminal growth rate, I apply expected nominal GDP growth plus one percentage point to reflect a favorable growth outlook for Alibaba's high-potential initiatives</li><li>I do not model any share buyback further supporting a conservative valuation.</li></ul><p>Based on the above assumptions, my calculation returns a base-case target price for Alibaba of $133.92/share, implying material upside of more than 50%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7cb860aca7fa48ef2afe7e265d3effa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's Calculation</p><p>I understand that investors might have different assumptions with regards to Alibaba's required return and terminal business growth. Thus, I also enclose a sensitivity table to test varying assumptions. For reference, red-cells imply an overvaluation as compared to the current market price, and green-cells imply an undervaluation. Notably, all tested combinations imply an undervaluation!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62ba3323a1f09e75477921298d84cbf8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"154\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's Calculation</p><p><b>Investment Risks</b></p><p>Investors should be aware of the following downside risks that might cause Alibaba stock to materially deviate from my base-case target price of $133.92/share:</p><p>First, the economy is currently pressured by multiple headwinds including inflation, real-estate crisis and COVID-19 lockdowns. If the economy would slow more than what is expected and priced in, investors should adjust expectations for Alibaba's short/mid-term business monetization accordingly.</p><p>Secondly, China's internet/tech companies are strongly exposed to regulatory risk. While the worst seems to be behind us, the elevated risk exposure persists -- and will arguably never completely fade.</p><p>Third, much of BABA's share price volatility is currently driven by investor sentiment towards Chinese ADRs and risk assets. Thus, BABA stock price might show strong price volatility even though the company's business fundamentals remain unchanged.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Alibaba stock is down 70% from ATH, but the company remains a global powerhouse with enormous long-term potential. Trading at a PE of below x17, despite growing like a start-up, I argue Alibaba's sell-off could offer long-term focused investors, that can stomach short term share-price volatility, a generational buying opportunity.</p><p>Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, despite cautious and conservative valuation assumptions. Strong Buy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-02 23:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528176-alibaba-be-greedy-when-others-fearful","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188690484","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17.The stock is down about 70% from ATH and now trades at very attractive risk/reward levels.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model.ThesisI am very bullish on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) stock. I strongly believe that the market has priced in too much negativity and pessimism as compared to reality and investors are well advised to follow one of Buffett's key maxims:Be greedy when others are fearful.Alibaba has grown at a 5-year CAGR of more than 42%, but the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17. This indicates a clear undervaluation.Of course, I understand that investors are worried about a potential ADR delisting, slowing economy and crackdown on internet/tech companies. However, just like a bull market tops on the most bullish conditions, a bear market bottoms on the most bearish conditions. While investors should study and understand the risks, I personally believe that Alibaba stock will rebound strongly from current price levels of below $100/share.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, as I calculate the company's fair value with a residual earnings model anchored on fundamentals and analyst consensus estimates. My target price is $133.92.A Best-In-Class CompanyAlibaba is one of the biggest e-commerce companies in the world. The company operates three main shopping sites Taobao, Tmall and Alibaba.com, which cumulatively serve some 828 million monthly active buyers (fiscal year ending March 31, 2021).Alibaba also has stakes in multiple innovative internet/technology businesses such as Youku (video entertainment), Pony.Ai (Autonomous Driving) and most notably Ant Group (The world's biggest financial service company). Alipay serves almost the entire population in China. The platform has 1.3 billion users and 80 million merchants. Notably, the total payment volume of Alipay was more than $19 trillion in 2021.Moreover, Alibaba is a dominant force in China's cloud market with about37% market share. China's cloud market is expected to grow at a 4-year CAGR of more than 25%, reaching $85 billion in 2026. As the market leader in China, Alibaba is poised to benefit from this super-charged cloud-growth. Cloud is also a business vertical where the company should enjoy government tailwind, as the Chinese Communist Party is actively supporting digitalization efforts of the economy and has made cloud development a key-priority in the party's5-year development plan.Bullish FinancialsIn the past financial year, the Alibaba Group generated total revenues of about $134.5 billion and recorded an operating income of about $15 billion. Most notably in the past five years, from March 2017 to March 2022, Alibaba has grown at an unbelievable 5-year CAGR of 42%. For reference, this is almost double the growth rate of Amazon, which grew at a 5-year CAGR of 22% CAGR over the same period. Alibaba closed the fiscal year 2021 with 9.8 billion of net-income available to common shareholders.Alibaba'sbalance sheet is very strong: As of March 2022, the company recorded $71.7 billion of cash and cash equivalents and only $27.85 of total financial debt. This makes Alibaba a net-creditor of about $43 billion -- which is 17% of the company's market capitalization. Moreover, Alibaba's business operations, despite the strong growth, are cash-accretive. In fiscal 2021, the company generated cash from operations of $22.5 billion. Under these circumstances it should come to no surprise that the company announced a $25 billion share-buyback program, more than 10% of the outstanding shares) in March 2022.Alibaba will announce earnings for the quarter from April to end of June on August 4th before the market open. Analyst consensus expects total revenues of $30.21 billion and EPS of $1.56.The Buying OpportunityDespite the strong business fundamentals, Alibaba stock suffered a spectacular sell-off. BABA shares are down about 70% from ATH as the company was pressured by multiple headwinds: ADR delisting fears, as slowing economy , Covid-19 lockdowns and an aggressive regulatory crackdown that started with the cancellation of the Ant Group IPO in November 2020.Seeking AlphaAlibaba is a quality company, and the stock's undervaluation is no secret to investors. The key-question is: is the worst behind, and can investors safely invest in Alibaba stock?I strongly believe that a safe investment does not exist. In my opinion, every investment opportunity must be judged as a function of its price. And the lower the price, the less risky an investment becomes. Thus, investing is a question of risk/reward. Given Alibaba's extremely depressed valuation - now the company's stock is trading at a PE of about x17- I argue an investment is justified.Moreover, there are signs that all of Alibaba's headwinds are easing and the negativity surrounding the stock has peaked. China has on multiple occasions tried to communicate to investors that the internet/technology crackdown is coming to an end and is actively supporting the healthy expansion of digital platform economies.In addition, China has vowed to push more fiscal economic support- with a special focus on digitalization. While western economies are hawkish on fiscal and monetary stimulus - ending a decade long easing cycle, China is one of the few economies that appears to start a new stimulus cycle.Analysts agree with the bullish thesis. In general, analysts are very bullish on Alibaba stock. Based on ratings of 44 analysts, 33 analysts give a Strong Buy rating, 8 are Buy rated and 3 assign a Hold recommendation. There is no Sell or Strong Sell rating. The average price target is $155.47/share, indicating more than 70% upside.Seeking AlphaResidual Earnings ValuationLet us now look at the valuation. What could be a fair per-share value for Alibaba stock? To answer the question, I have constructed a Residual Earnings framework and anchor on the following assumptions:To forecast EPS, I anchor on consensus analyst forecast as available on the Bloomberg Terminal 'till 2025. In my opinion, any estimate beyond 2025 is too speculative to include in a valuation framework. But for 2-3 years, analyst consensus is usually quite precise.To estimate the cost of capital, I use the WACC framework. I model a three-year regression against the Hang Seng to find the stock's beta. For the risk-free rate, I used the U.S. 10-year treasury yield as of July 22nd, 2022. My calculation indicates a fair WACC of about 9.8%. I adjust upward to 12% in order to reflect the company's idiosyncratic market risk.To derive Baidu's tax rate, I extrapolate the 3-year average effective tax-rate from 2019, 2020 and 2021.For the terminal growth rate, I apply expected nominal GDP growth plus one percentage point to reflect a favorable growth outlook for Alibaba's high-potential initiativesI do not model any share buyback further supporting a conservative valuation.Based on the above assumptions, my calculation returns a base-case target price for Alibaba of $133.92/share, implying material upside of more than 50%.Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's CalculationI understand that investors might have different assumptions with regards to Alibaba's required return and terminal business growth. Thus, I also enclose a sensitivity table to test varying assumptions. For reference, red-cells imply an overvaluation as compared to the current market price, and green-cells imply an undervaluation. Notably, all tested combinations imply an undervaluation!Analyst Consensus EPS; Author's CalculationInvestment RisksInvestors should be aware of the following downside risks that might cause Alibaba stock to materially deviate from my base-case target price of $133.92/share:First, the economy is currently pressured by multiple headwinds including inflation, real-estate crisis and COVID-19 lockdowns. If the economy would slow more than what is expected and priced in, investors should adjust expectations for Alibaba's short/mid-term business monetization accordingly.Secondly, China's internet/tech companies are strongly exposed to regulatory risk. While the worst seems to be behind us, the elevated risk exposure persists -- and will arguably never completely fade.Third, much of BABA's share price volatility is currently driven by investor sentiment towards Chinese ADRs and risk assets. Thus, BABA stock price might show strong price volatility even though the company's business fundamentals remain unchanged.ConclusionAlibaba stock is down 70% from ATH, but the company remains a global powerhouse with enormous long-term potential. Trading at a PE of below x17, despite growing like a start-up, I argue Alibaba's sell-off could offer long-term focused investors, that can stomach short term share-price volatility, a generational buying opportunity.Personally, I see more than 50% upside for BABA stock, despite cautious and conservative valuation assumptions. Strong Buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9931071435,"gmtCreate":1662371595627,"gmtModify":1676537047528,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931071435","repostId":"1198620014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198620014","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662364882,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198620014?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-05 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198620014","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth \"pandemic darlings\" that have sold off extremely hard, and wi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We share data on 50 high-growth "pandemic darlings" that have sold off extremely hard, and with a special focus on Palantir.</li><li>We go into the details on Palantir positives and negatives (including TAM, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share-based compensation, dilution, and industrywide challenges).</li><li>We also dive deep into the very ugly macroeconomic reasons to stay bearish on the market (things can still get much worse) and on Palantir, especially in the near term.</li><li>After reviewing three high-growth stocks in total from the list, we conclude with some important takeaways and our strong opinion about investing in Palantir and in the current market environment.</li></ul><p>After the initial pandemic shock in 2020, certain high-growth stocks performed well. Extremely well. Bolstered by extraordinarily low interest rates and a new crowd of "work-from-homers" (with newfound time to "invest") it seemed the sky was the limit. Until it wasn't. Flash forward to now, the markethas fallen sharply this year (especially high-growth stocks), and there is no short supply of reasons to stay bearish. Very bearish. In this report, we share data on 50 high-growth stocks that have crashed, run through a list of compelling reasons (data points) to stay bearish, and then discuss the merits of three interesting high-growth stocks from the list that have crashed particularly hard, with a special focus on pandemic darling, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), including its positive and negatives (such as total addressable market, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share based compensation, dilution and industrywide challenges). We conclude with some important takeaways and our very strong opinion about investing in Palantir and investing in this market in general.</p><p><b>50 High-Growth Pandemic Darlings That Crashed</b></p><p>For starters, here is a look at 50 high-growth "pandemic darling" stocks (concentrated in software industries) that have crashed hard this year. The table is sorted by market cap, and you likely see at least a few that you are very familiar with.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66a68a501ea4023d237754fb86cded1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Stock Rover</p><p>A lot of conservative value-oriented investors take a lot of satisfaction seeing the sharp declines this year. They warned (often loudly) that valuations were absurdly high considering many of these pandemic darlings have never even generated a profit. What's more, there are a lot of very compelling reasons to stay bearish on these stocks (such as high inflation, rising interest rates, lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a war in Europe and indications that corporate profit estimates are still too high based on the federal budget deficit) as we will cover in more detail in a later section of this report. But first, let's take a look at one of the most hyped stocks in recent history, that rose dramatically during the pandemic, and has now fallen very hard, Palantir.</p><p><b>Palantir: Pandemic Stock Poster Child</b></p><p>Palantir is basically a data-mining software company that has strangely generated a cult-like internet following since its September 2020 IPO (despite the fact that it has existed since 2003). Perhaps it's the company's secret government contracts that had so many investors mystified, or its expansion into the non-government Software-as-Service business at exactly the time when those stocks were being most hyped (because artificially low interest rates by the Fed dramatically magnified the present value of "possible" future earnings for those types of stocks) or maybe even its unusual name (it's named after a mystical, all-powerful seeing stone in "Lord of the Rings"). Whatever the case may be, Palantir shares soared to very high valuations (for example, see how its current price-to-sales multiple compares to its 5-year (technically 2-year) range in our earlier table above).</p><p><b>Palantir Positives:</b></p><p>Before getting into the very negative things working against Palantir in the next sections of this report (both company-specific and macroeconomic) let's first consider a few of the good things the company has going for it.</p><p><b>Three things to look for in a growth stock</b>: For starters, three big things many long-term growth investors look for in a stock are a founder CEO (check: CEO Alex Karp cofounded Palantir), a very high revenue growth rate (check: the 3-year revenue CAGR is 41%, and it is expected to keep growing rapidly, per our earlier table) and a very large Total Addressable Market (check: see the "TAM" graphic below from Palantir's latest investorpresentation).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb72b760e9432fd752a4ea9aa354c7f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Investor Presentation</p><p><b>Large TAM</b>: Specifically, as you can see in the chart above, each of Palantir's major businesses have continued to grow rapidly over time and continue to have large growth potential (dotted line). For reference:</p><ul><li><p><b>Palantir Gotham</b> is a software platform that enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.</p></li><li><p><b>Palantir Foundry</b> is a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p></li><li><p><b>Apollo</b> is a software that enables customers to deploy their own software virtually in any environment.</p></li></ul><p>And according to CEO Alex Karp during the latest earnings call:</p><blockquote><i>"We have 5 of the most interesting, important and crazy baller, impactful products in the world: PG, Foundry, Nexus Peering, MetaConstellation and Apollo, all of which were built before their time, all of which have made a 41% CAGR possible."</i></blockquote><p>More specifically, in his latest letter to shareholders, Karp explained:</p><blockquote><i>"Our platforms consist of more than 700 component parts and 65 separate applications...Each one of those component parts has the potential to become a dominant and standalone software product in its own right."</i></blockquote><p>Further, Karp had this to say about TAM:</p><blockquote><i>"We are working towards a future where all large institutions in the United States and its allies abroad are running significant segments of their operations, if not their operations as a whole, on Palantir.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>Most other companies are targeting small segments of the market."</i></blockquote><p><b>Founder CEO</b>: Further, Karp is a strong leader constantly building the brand by highlighting the strengths of the products (for example, on the call he explained "their quintessential attribute that large companies, which essentially control distribution, cannot easily copy them or if at all"), and the long-term anti Wall Street approach to the business (for example, Karp says "we run this company as owners, and we do not run it purely to actually make people happy quarter-to-quarter.").</p><p><b>Client Growth</b>: In addition to high revenue growth, Palantir continues to grow its clients (which have a very high retention rate - Palantir ended Q2 2022 with net dollar retention rate of 119% - high retention is often typical for the very attractive SaaS business model)</p><p><b>High Margins and Strong Innovation</b>: Palantir has very high gross margins (see our earlier table), and strong innovation (as per its high research margin and strong expansion into non-government clients).</p><p><b>Improving Bottom Line</b>: Like a lot of high-growth business, Palantir is not yet profitable. And while this may sound like a big negative (especially considering the company has been around for almost 20 years) it is actually by design. Specifically, Palantir continues to spend heavily to capture attractive revenue growth opportunities (the types of revenue growth opportunities other companies wish they had). Moreover, Palantir's losses are shrinking (it's moving towards profitability). Per the shareholder letter, Palantir is now strongly free cash flow positive, and per the quarterly call, Karp expects to be "a profitable company in 2025."</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7b9c1704c07ba21290335407af5a237\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Shareholder Letter</p><p>As unattractive as it is to some, Palantir's decision to focus on revenue growth over bottom line income (for now) is the right decision in terms of maximizing long-term shareholder value (whether or not you are the right type of shareholder - you probably already know - but we will address this topic in the conclusion of this report).</p><p><b>Increasingly Reasonable Valuation</b>: And of course, Palantir's valuation multiples are dramatically lower than they were (price-to-sales is now only 12.8% of what it was, per our earlier table) and relatively attractive as compared to peers and as compared to its high revenue growth and large TAM.</p><p>Despite the dramatic share price sell off (shares currently sit at only 4.9% of their 52-week price range), Palantir continues to have a lot of long-term attractive qualities.</p><p><b>Palantir Negatives:</b></p><p>Of course there are a lot of negative things (challenges) Palantir currently faces, including the negative company-specific things we will cover in this section, plus the massively daunting macroeconomic challenges we will cover in the next section.</p><p><b>Slowing Government Revenue Growth</b>: For example, Palantir'sgovernment revenue(supposedly its "bread and butter") is slowing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5632018f8ec8c51db94235eadcddb9d2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"693\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Palantir Investor Presentation</p><p>According to a research note from Brad Zelnick at Deutsche Bank (Zelnick rates Palantir a "sell"):</p><blockquote><i>"While we've always been more skeptical of Palantir's commercial opportunity, our thesis was rooted in what we saw as a uniquely strong position in Public Sector… Now with the Gov't business further decelerating off of easier compares and with diminished confidence/visibility ahead, we are left with very little to support our thesis."</i></blockquote><p>Palantir lowered its forward guidance this quarter based on uncertainty around government contracts. This issue was addressed repeatedly during the call by explaining revenues are lumpy (there have actually been "a number of years where [revenue] was flat or even negative"), but worth it considering government contracts "are so big and meaty that you got to kind of wait," according to Karp.</p><p><b>Stock-Based Compensation and Shareholder Dilution</b>: Another chronic qualm with Palantir has been its heavy stock based compensation and shareholder dilution, as you can see in the chart below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e50a807f1f0923e919368c125782c78\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>However, in retrospect Palantir's actions appear prudent considering, as Karp puts it in the shareholder letter:</p><blockquote><i>"We repeatedly decided to raise and preserve capital when others were spending.Our strategy in this regard has secured our ability to continue refining and developing our software platforms in order to maximize their value to our customers over the long term."</i></blockquote><p>Specifically, Palantir was raising capital when its market value was higher (smart), has now eliminated all debt now that interest rates are higher (also smart) and now generates massive amounts of free cash flow and has ample cash on its balance sheet to support its business (at a time when raising external capital is now more expensive).</p><p><b>Negative Net Income</b>: We mentioned "improving bottom line" as a positive, net income is still negative (and expected to stay that way until 2025) and that is a big negative to a lot of investors, especially in the current market environment where interest rates are rising and investors put increasingly more value on current earnings and less value on future earnings. Even though profitability is trending in the right direction, Palantir still generates no net income.</p><p><b>Industrywide Challenges</b>: And another huge negative for Palantir is the current extreme challenges the overall industry (and economy) is facing (as we will cover in detail in the next section of this report). However, Palantir's Chief Business Affairs and Legal Officer explained it like this during the quarterly call:</p><blockquote><i>As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations. Gaps our software can solve.In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business."</i></blockquote><p>We'll share our strong opinion about investing in Palantir (in the current market environment) in the conclusion of this report, but first it is worthwhile to consider more of the macroeconomic environment which helps underpin our views.</p><p>Macroeconomic Reasons to Stay Bearish on Palantir (and the Market in General):</p><p>Like other companies, Palantir currently faces a variety of massive macroeconomic challenges that give a lot of investors reason to stay extremely bearish. For example, inflation is sky high (very bad for the economy), the Fed keeps raising rates to fight inflation (but this has the side effect of slowing the economy), there are lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a terrible war in Europe and economists remain very pessimistic (as you can see in the following chart).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c38c5b70e1a16947ad27cd31e466a1f\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"705\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Wall Street Journal</p><p>Further the federal budget deficit is about to create another big drag on the economy. If you don't know, the federal budget deficit is the difference between government revenues (i.e. taxes) and government spending. And while years of government deficit spending can create enormous long-term economic problems, the short-term deficit fluctuations can exacerbate near-term challenges.</p><p>Counterintuitive to some, when the economy is strong, the government should reduce spending (build a rainy-day fund), and when the economy is struggling, extra government spending can actually help end the funk. Unfortunately, the economy is struggling big time this year, yet the government has dramatically reduced deficit spending, as you can see in the following chart.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac674eb8a63a4c87f03f8285114e8e66\" tg-width=\"1162\" tg-height=\"747\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bipartisan Policy Center</p><p>And according to GMO Capital'sJeremy Grantham, this reduced government deficit may be about to cause corporate profit margins and earnings to take a hit, due to the Kalecki equation(basically, reduced government deficit spending will be a hit to corporate earnings, and this is not yet reflected in stock prices).</p><p>And of course we can make a strong case that growth stocks in particular (such as Palantir and the other names in our earlier table) are still greatly overvalued (versus value stocks) based on historical levels, such as this chart(below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a845355734238edf4d60511f6a135796\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Charles Schwab</p><p>Notice the divergence (in the chart above) becomes most pronounced around the time the US implemented and accelerated quantitative easing following the Great Financial Crisis (2008-2009) and the pandemic bubble (2020-2021), and right before the tech bubble bust (2000). Importantly, the Fed is now starting to unwind quantitative easing (increasing rates and reducing its balance sheet) which could have the opposite affect (i.e. growth could start to underperform value dramatically). And here is another chart on growth versus value, for your consideration.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97350b28cfa6f02b7ed3cbb8da022107\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"871\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>JP Morgan</p><p>Further, a slew of recent layoff announcements by technology companies (see table below) suggest growth stocks in particular are just now finally bracing for the challenging markets ahead.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe29d0f62d8b6a744287ace5791248a\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"1029\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Crunchbase</p><p><b>More Pandemic Darlings Worth Considering</b></p><p>With all of the negative things going on in the market, the thought of investing in growth stocks right now makes a lot of people want to puke. Even though Jeremy Grantham's latest report (linked earlier) suggests we are just now entering the final stage of the market's latest "super bubble," the market has already been puking (particularly growth stocks) this year, and from a contrarian long-term investment standpoint - some investors believe that's the best time to be buying stocks in buckets. Let's take a closer look at a few high growth stocks in particular, before finally concluding this report with a few important takeaways and our strong opinion on investing in this market.</p><p><b>Datadog</b>(DDOG)</p><p>Datadog is a performance monitoring and cloud security platform, and the shares are more than 50% below their 52-week high as the valuation has taken an extreme hit as the pandemic bubble bursts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31fdd261203344e781999772d71eece7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>However, Datadog continues to benefit from the three important growth stock characteristics we described earlier, including very high revenue growth (see chart above), a large TAM (so it can keep growing, see below) and the company is led by its founder (CEO Olivier Pomel cofounded the company along with CTO Alexis Lê-Quôc, in 2010).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e606abe56c40452a715c442428bf21c8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>Also Datadog was named a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Application Performance Monitoring and Observability (see below). This is a very good thing for its continuing industry leadership.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c5f0f318e5e7fcf1c2c7a1d0f4d6a1a\" tg-width=\"730\" tg-height=\"787\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>Also, Datadog has high customer retention rates (also very good for continuing growth, see below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b79e91c50944b985847e9c5ce7a95f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Datadog Investor Presentation</p><p>And again, its valuation has come way down over the last year (for example, both its price and price-to-sales ratios are significantly below their 52-week highs, as you can see in our earlier table), but its high revenue growth remains intact as it moves closer to GAAP profitability (all good things). We'll have more to say about Datadog in the conclusion of this report.</p><p><b>The Trade Desk</b>(TTD)</p><p>The Trade Desk is another high-growth stock that has recently sold off very hard (it's down more than 30% this year).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46c8205e9996a50cd1b3614c8745ca8f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"975\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Trade Desk Investor Presentation</p><p>And like the other growth stocks we have highlighted in this report, it is an attractive founder-led business (Jeff Green is co-founder and current CEO), with very high revenue growth (see graphic above), and a very large TAM (see the graphic below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5835d0d241411e28f035d95c99c49e7d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The Trade Desk Investor Presentation</p><p>If you don't know, The Trade Desk is basically a self-service omni-channel advertising platform that allows ad buyers to pick from over 500 billion digital ad opportunities a day (including targeted ads across connected TV, mobile, video, audio, display, social, and native). We recently wrote about The Trade Desk in detail last month (where we correctly predicted that it would resume its steep share price declines in the short term), and we'll have more to say about The Trade Desk in the conclusion of this report.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>The market is ugly. Very ugly. Aside from the sky-high valuation levels many top growth stocks achieved last year (a bubble that continues to burst), macroeconomic conditions are bad (as described in this report). And unless you are in a position to buy-and-hold for the next decade, it would probably be a terrible idea to dump 100% of your nest egg into high growth stocks as described in this report (you might instead want to consider our recent report: Top 10 Big-Dividend Preferred Stocks).</p><p>On the other hand, if you are a long-term investor, you have a distinct advantage. That is to say, long-term compound growth is one of the most powerful wealth-creating machines in the history of the world, but only if you have the ability to hang on (to high-growth secular leaders like Palantir, The Trade Desk and Datadog) through years of very high volatility (like we are experiencing now). In fact, this year's steep price declines may get even worse (for reasons described in this report), but if you truly are a long-term investor you might also want to consider our expanded list of 150 top growth stocks down big (which also includes a few more top growth stock ideas in particular) especially because we strongly believe the market will eventually get better.</p><p>No one knows where the market will be next week, next month or even next year. But over the long-term, it's likely eventually going much higher (especially top growth stocks, like Palantir). And over the long-term, top-quality dividends stocks are also likely to keep paying big, steady, growing dividends. Choose an investment strategy that is right for you, based on your unique situation and goals. We believe disciplined, long-term, goal-focused investing will continue to be a winner.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: 50 Hated Pandemic Stocks, These 3 Worth Considering\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 16:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth \"pandemic darlings\" that have sold off extremely hard, and with a special focus on Palantir.We go into the details on Palantir positives and negatives (including...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538851-palantir-50-hated-pandemic-stocks-3-worth-considering","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198620014","content_text":"SummaryWe share data on 50 high-growth \"pandemic darlings\" that have sold off extremely hard, and with a special focus on Palantir.We go into the details on Palantir positives and negatives (including TAM, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share-based compensation, dilution, and industrywide challenges).We also dive deep into the very ugly macroeconomic reasons to stay bearish on the market (things can still get much worse) and on Palantir, especially in the near term.After reviewing three high-growth stocks in total from the list, we conclude with some important takeaways and our strong opinion about investing in Palantir and in the current market environment.After the initial pandemic shock in 2020, certain high-growth stocks performed well. Extremely well. Bolstered by extraordinarily low interest rates and a new crowd of \"work-from-homers\" (with newfound time to \"invest\") it seemed the sky was the limit. Until it wasn't. Flash forward to now, the markethas fallen sharply this year (especially high-growth stocks), and there is no short supply of reasons to stay bearish. Very bearish. In this report, we share data on 50 high-growth stocks that have crashed, run through a list of compelling reasons (data points) to stay bearish, and then discuss the merits of three interesting high-growth stocks from the list that have crashed particularly hard, with a special focus on pandemic darling, Palantir (NYSE:PLTR), including its positive and negatives (such as total addressable market, growth, leadership, products, margins, profits, valuation, government versus commercial, share based compensation, dilution and industrywide challenges). We conclude with some important takeaways and our very strong opinion about investing in Palantir and investing in this market in general.50 High-Growth Pandemic Darlings That CrashedFor starters, here is a look at 50 high-growth \"pandemic darling\" stocks (concentrated in software industries) that have crashed hard this year. The table is sorted by market cap, and you likely see at least a few that you are very familiar with.Stock RoverA lot of conservative value-oriented investors take a lot of satisfaction seeing the sharp declines this year. They warned (often loudly) that valuations were absurdly high considering many of these pandemic darlings have never even generated a profit. What's more, there are a lot of very compelling reasons to stay bearish on these stocks (such as high inflation, rising interest rates, lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a war in Europe and indications that corporate profit estimates are still too high based on the federal budget deficit) as we will cover in more detail in a later section of this report. But first, let's take a look at one of the most hyped stocks in recent history, that rose dramatically during the pandemic, and has now fallen very hard, Palantir.Palantir: Pandemic Stock Poster ChildPalantir is basically a data-mining software company that has strangely generated a cult-like internet following since its September 2020 IPO (despite the fact that it has existed since 2003). Perhaps it's the company's secret government contracts that had so many investors mystified, or its expansion into the non-government Software-as-Service business at exactly the time when those stocks were being most hyped (because artificially low interest rates by the Fed dramatically magnified the present value of \"possible\" future earnings for those types of stocks) or maybe even its unusual name (it's named after a mystical, all-powerful seeing stone in \"Lord of the Rings\"). Whatever the case may be, Palantir shares soared to very high valuations (for example, see how its current price-to-sales multiple compares to its 5-year (technically 2-year) range in our earlier table above).Palantir Positives:Before getting into the very negative things working against Palantir in the next sections of this report (both company-specific and macroeconomic) let's first consider a few of the good things the company has going for it.Three things to look for in a growth stock: For starters, three big things many long-term growth investors look for in a stock are a founder CEO (check: CEO Alex Karp cofounded Palantir), a very high revenue growth rate (check: the 3-year revenue CAGR is 41%, and it is expected to keep growing rapidly, per our earlier table) and a very large Total Addressable Market (check: see the \"TAM\" graphic below from Palantir's latest investorpresentation).Palantir Investor PresentationLarge TAM: Specifically, as you can see in the chart above, each of Palantir's major businesses have continued to grow rapidly over time and continue to have large growth potential (dotted line). For reference:Palantir Gotham is a software platform that enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, as well as facilitates the handoff between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform.Palantir Foundry is a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.Apollo is a software that enables customers to deploy their own software virtually in any environment.And according to CEO Alex Karp during the latest earnings call:\"We have 5 of the most interesting, important and crazy baller, impactful products in the world: PG, Foundry, Nexus Peering, MetaConstellation and Apollo, all of which were built before their time, all of which have made a 41% CAGR possible.\"More specifically, in his latest letter to shareholders, Karp explained:\"Our platforms consist of more than 700 component parts and 65 separate applications...Each one of those component parts has the potential to become a dominant and standalone software product in its own right.\"Further, Karp had this to say about TAM:\"We are working towards a future where all large institutions in the United States and its allies abroad are running significant segments of their operations, if not their operations as a whole, on Palantir.Most other companies are targeting small segments of the market.\"Founder CEO: Further, Karp is a strong leader constantly building the brand by highlighting the strengths of the products (for example, on the call he explained \"their quintessential attribute that large companies, which essentially control distribution, cannot easily copy them or if at all\"), and the long-term anti Wall Street approach to the business (for example, Karp says \"we run this company as owners, and we do not run it purely to actually make people happy quarter-to-quarter.\").Client Growth: In addition to high revenue growth, Palantir continues to grow its clients (which have a very high retention rate - Palantir ended Q2 2022 with net dollar retention rate of 119% - high retention is often typical for the very attractive SaaS business model)High Margins and Strong Innovation: Palantir has very high gross margins (see our earlier table), and strong innovation (as per its high research margin and strong expansion into non-government clients).Improving Bottom Line: Like a lot of high-growth business, Palantir is not yet profitable. And while this may sound like a big negative (especially considering the company has been around for almost 20 years) it is actually by design. Specifically, Palantir continues to spend heavily to capture attractive revenue growth opportunities (the types of revenue growth opportunities other companies wish they had). Moreover, Palantir's losses are shrinking (it's moving towards profitability). Per the shareholder letter, Palantir is now strongly free cash flow positive, and per the quarterly call, Karp expects to be \"a profitable company in 2025.\"Palantir Shareholder LetterAs unattractive as it is to some, Palantir's decision to focus on revenue growth over bottom line income (for now) is the right decision in terms of maximizing long-term shareholder value (whether or not you are the right type of shareholder - you probably already know - but we will address this topic in the conclusion of this report).Increasingly Reasonable Valuation: And of course, Palantir's valuation multiples are dramatically lower than they were (price-to-sales is now only 12.8% of what it was, per our earlier table) and relatively attractive as compared to peers and as compared to its high revenue growth and large TAM.Despite the dramatic share price sell off (shares currently sit at only 4.9% of their 52-week price range), Palantir continues to have a lot of long-term attractive qualities.Palantir Negatives:Of course there are a lot of negative things (challenges) Palantir currently faces, including the negative company-specific things we will cover in this section, plus the massively daunting macroeconomic challenges we will cover in the next section.Slowing Government Revenue Growth: For example, Palantir'sgovernment revenue(supposedly its \"bread and butter\") is slowing.Palantir Investor PresentationAccording to a research note from Brad Zelnick at Deutsche Bank (Zelnick rates Palantir a \"sell\"):\"While we've always been more skeptical of Palantir's commercial opportunity, our thesis was rooted in what we saw as a uniquely strong position in Public Sector… Now with the Gov't business further decelerating off of easier compares and with diminished confidence/visibility ahead, we are left with very little to support our thesis.\"Palantir lowered its forward guidance this quarter based on uncertainty around government contracts. This issue was addressed repeatedly during the call by explaining revenues are lumpy (there have actually been \"a number of years where [revenue] was flat or even negative\"), but worth it considering government contracts \"are so big and meaty that you got to kind of wait,\" according to Karp.Stock-Based Compensation and Shareholder Dilution: Another chronic qualm with Palantir has been its heavy stock based compensation and shareholder dilution, as you can see in the chart below.YChartsHowever, in retrospect Palantir's actions appear prudent considering, as Karp puts it in the shareholder letter:\"We repeatedly decided to raise and preserve capital when others were spending.Our strategy in this regard has secured our ability to continue refining and developing our software platforms in order to maximize their value to our customers over the long term.\"Specifically, Palantir was raising capital when its market value was higher (smart), has now eliminated all debt now that interest rates are higher (also smart) and now generates massive amounts of free cash flow and has ample cash on its balance sheet to support its business (at a time when raising external capital is now more expensive).Negative Net Income: We mentioned \"improving bottom line\" as a positive, net income is still negative (and expected to stay that way until 2025) and that is a big negative to a lot of investors, especially in the current market environment where interest rates are rising and investors put increasingly more value on current earnings and less value on future earnings. Even though profitability is trending in the right direction, Palantir still generates no net income.Industrywide Challenges: And another huge negative for Palantir is the current extreme challenges the overall industry (and economy) is facing (as we will cover in detail in the next section of this report). However, Palantir's Chief Business Affairs and Legal Officer explained it like this during the quarterly call:As organizations around the world face more pressure and experience more pain, there will be a slowdown in the rate of spending and lengthening of sales cycles, but it will also reveal gaps in enterprises operations. Gaps our software can solve.In the short term, this means less revenue now. But on longer time horizons, it accelerates our business.\"We'll share our strong opinion about investing in Palantir (in the current market environment) in the conclusion of this report, but first it is worthwhile to consider more of the macroeconomic environment which helps underpin our views.Macroeconomic Reasons to Stay Bearish on Palantir (and the Market in General):Like other companies, Palantir currently faces a variety of massive macroeconomic challenges that give a lot of investors reason to stay extremely bearish. For example, inflation is sky high (very bad for the economy), the Fed keeps raising rates to fight inflation (but this has the side effect of slowing the economy), there are lingering pandemic supply chain issues, a terrible war in Europe and economists remain very pessimistic (as you can see in the following chart).Wall Street JournalFurther the federal budget deficit is about to create another big drag on the economy. If you don't know, the federal budget deficit is the difference between government revenues (i.e. taxes) and government spending. And while years of government deficit spending can create enormous long-term economic problems, the short-term deficit fluctuations can exacerbate near-term challenges.Counterintuitive to some, when the economy is strong, the government should reduce spending (build a rainy-day fund), and when the economy is struggling, extra government spending can actually help end the funk. Unfortunately, the economy is struggling big time this year, yet the government has dramatically reduced deficit spending, as you can see in the following chart.Bipartisan Policy CenterAnd according to GMO Capital'sJeremy Grantham, this reduced government deficit may be about to cause corporate profit margins and earnings to take a hit, due to the Kalecki equation(basically, reduced government deficit spending will be a hit to corporate earnings, and this is not yet reflected in stock prices).And of course we can make a strong case that growth stocks in particular (such as Palantir and the other names in our earlier table) are still greatly overvalued (versus value stocks) based on historical levels, such as this chart(below).Charles SchwabNotice the divergence (in the chart above) becomes most pronounced around the time the US implemented and accelerated quantitative easing following the Great Financial Crisis (2008-2009) and the pandemic bubble (2020-2021), and right before the tech bubble bust (2000). Importantly, the Fed is now starting to unwind quantitative easing (increasing rates and reducing its balance sheet) which could have the opposite affect (i.e. growth could start to underperform value dramatically). And here is another chart on growth versus value, for your consideration.JP MorganFurther, a slew of recent layoff announcements by technology companies (see table below) suggest growth stocks in particular are just now finally bracing for the challenging markets ahead.CrunchbaseMore Pandemic Darlings Worth ConsideringWith all of the negative things going on in the market, the thought of investing in growth stocks right now makes a lot of people want to puke. Even though Jeremy Grantham's latest report (linked earlier) suggests we are just now entering the final stage of the market's latest \"super bubble,\" the market has already been puking (particularly growth stocks) this year, and from a contrarian long-term investment standpoint - some investors believe that's the best time to be buying stocks in buckets. Let's take a closer look at a few high growth stocks in particular, before finally concluding this report with a few important takeaways and our strong opinion on investing in this market.Datadog(DDOG)Datadog is a performance monitoring and cloud security platform, and the shares are more than 50% below their 52-week high as the valuation has taken an extreme hit as the pandemic bubble bursts.Datadog Investor PresentationHowever, Datadog continues to benefit from the three important growth stock characteristics we described earlier, including very high revenue growth (see chart above), a large TAM (so it can keep growing, see below) and the company is led by its founder (CEO Olivier Pomel cofounded the company along with CTO Alexis Lê-Quôc, in 2010).Datadog Investor PresentationAlso Datadog was named a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Application Performance Monitoring and Observability (see below). This is a very good thing for its continuing industry leadership.Datadog Investor PresentationAlso, Datadog has high customer retention rates (also very good for continuing growth, see below).Datadog Investor PresentationAnd again, its valuation has come way down over the last year (for example, both its price and price-to-sales ratios are significantly below their 52-week highs, as you can see in our earlier table), but its high revenue growth remains intact as it moves closer to GAAP profitability (all good things). We'll have more to say about Datadog in the conclusion of this report.The Trade Desk(TTD)The Trade Desk is another high-growth stock that has recently sold off very hard (it's down more than 30% this year).The Trade Desk Investor PresentationAnd like the other growth stocks we have highlighted in this report, it is an attractive founder-led business (Jeff Green is co-founder and current CEO), with very high revenue growth (see graphic above), and a very large TAM (see the graphic below).The Trade Desk Investor PresentationIf you don't know, The Trade Desk is basically a self-service omni-channel advertising platform that allows ad buyers to pick from over 500 billion digital ad opportunities a day (including targeted ads across connected TV, mobile, video, audio, display, social, and native). We recently wrote about The Trade Desk in detail last month (where we correctly predicted that it would resume its steep share price declines in the short term), and we'll have more to say about The Trade Desk in the conclusion of this report.ConclusionThe market is ugly. Very ugly. Aside from the sky-high valuation levels many top growth stocks achieved last year (a bubble that continues to burst), macroeconomic conditions are bad (as described in this report). And unless you are in a position to buy-and-hold for the next decade, it would probably be a terrible idea to dump 100% of your nest egg into high growth stocks as described in this report (you might instead want to consider our recent report: Top 10 Big-Dividend Preferred Stocks).On the other hand, if you are a long-term investor, you have a distinct advantage. That is to say, long-term compound growth is one of the most powerful wealth-creating machines in the history of the world, but only if you have the ability to hang on (to high-growth secular leaders like Palantir, The Trade Desk and Datadog) through years of very high volatility (like we are experiencing now). In fact, this year's steep price declines may get even worse (for reasons described in this report), but if you truly are a long-term investor you might also want to consider our expanded list of 150 top growth stocks down big (which also includes a few more top growth stock ideas in particular) especially because we strongly believe the market will eventually get better.No one knows where the market will be next week, next month or even next year. But over the long-term, it's likely eventually going much higher (especially top growth stocks, like Palantir). And over the long-term, top-quality dividends stocks are also likely to keep paying big, steady, growing dividends. Choose an investment strategy that is right for you, based on your unique situation and goals. We believe disciplined, long-term, goal-focused investing will continue to be a winner.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042277402,"gmtCreate":1656490627006,"gmtModify":1676535839753,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pltr","listText":"Pltr","text":"Pltr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042277402","repostId":"1148096186","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148096186","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656486106,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148096186?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-29 15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: This Is What A Rare Buying Opportunity Looks Like","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148096186","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryShares of Palantir have dropped 50% year to date and are now trading below their IPO price.Bu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Shares of Palantir have dropped 50% year to date and are now trading below their IPO price.</li><li>Business fundamentals have continued to march forward, completely disconnected to the stock crash. In particular, Palantir continues to grow commercial revenue at a 50%+ y/y pace.</li><li>Products like Foundry, with massive TAMs, have the ambition of taking over AWS' dominance in enterprise software.</li><li>Palantir is trading cheaply at ~9x forward revenue, especially as it expects to continue 30%+ y/y revenue growth for the next three years.</li></ul><p>If you were to ask me for a single stock I would choose to invest in for a year-end rebound, I wouldn't hesitate to name Palantir (NYSE:PLTR). This big data giant, a fabled software company for its close relationships with the U.S. government (particularly the armed forces), has seen a tremendous stock market reversal this year. Dropping quite suddenly from being one of the most celebrated and richly-valued tech stocks in the industry, Palantir has now shed half of its value.</p><p>It's time, in my view, for investors to take a hard second look at this name.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/435db134f2fc8dbf9289c062fbad1864\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p><b>What's going on with Palantir? Slightly soft guidance doesn't justify the massive share price collapse</b></p><p>First of all, let's address the recent goings-on with Palantir. If you look at the stock price chart above, you'll notice that Palantir's correction accelerated in May, after the company released Q1 earnings results and updated its guidance. Two things are at play here: of course, the broader stock market correction and "risk off" attitude have hammered high-growth stocks like Palantir.</p><p>Separately outside of that, investors reacted harshly to Palantir's Q2 guidance outlook.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e8c07bb7c75548a94a1abbbf47d3b54\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir outlook(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>For Q2, Palantir is guiding to "base case" revenue of $470 million. This represents 30% y/y growth, and was below the $483.8 million (+34% y/y growth) that Wall Street had hoped for.</p><p>The key thing here, however: <b>Palantir has a "wide range" of potential upside drivers to this forecast.</b> The company has notoriously long offered very flimsy guidance targets relative to other companies and frequently sets a low bar for itself to cross. This guidance update should not be read as any meaningful slowdown in Palantir's go-to-market performance.</p><p><b>The long-term bull case is still vibrant</b></p><p>Wall Street and most investors are famously short-term oriented, but with a company like Palantir, we should be far more interested in the longer-term bullish thesis.</p><p>It's important to recognize that Palantir remains one of the leading software companies in big data and AI. Since its IPO only two years ago, the company has rolled out a slew of new products:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/669be31c4037d75a919175406729f826\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir new products(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>Though not a new product, the product we should be watching closely is Palantir Foundry, which is the company's PaaS (platform-as-a-service) offering for both government and corporate clients to build and deploy applications. Palantir has ambitions of Foundry overtaking AWS as the central hub for app development. Per COO Shyam Sankar's prepared remarks on the Q1 earnings call:</p><blockquote>The greatest opportunity for Foundry continues to be the application development infrastructure platform. We believe that Foundry will become the place that you go to build the applications of the future. With AWS or Azure with their highly unopinionated collection of services, most of the work remains in front of you to get to value. And all of that onus is on you, the customer, to get to that value.</blockquote><blockquote>With Foundry, you're 90% of the way there on day 1. Software-defined data integration, native multi-tenancy for your applications, the OPIs, version pipelines, applications, artifacts, to just name some of the components, that make Foundry work from the start.</blockquote><blockquote>That's why U.S. Space Forces’, Kobayashi Maru factory realized their ambition, building 13 operationally accepted applications on top of Foundry in months while sunsetting legacy $100 million-plus programs. That's why Airbus rolled out an internally developed supply chain network control tower, a suite built on top of Foundry's application development infrastructure. And this set of applications, it mitigates supply chain issues and is working towards saving hundreds of millions of euros annually by speeding up production against existing fixed capacity and reducing inventory across all parts.</blockquote><blockquote>What AWS was in the last decade, Foundry will be in the next."</blockquote><p>Here, in my view, are all the key reasons to be bullish on Palantir for the long haul:</p><ul><li><b>Big data is a massive discipline that can be applied in nearly limitless ways.</b> Palantir isn't a software company that serves only one or a limited set of use cases. Data and inferences that can be made from data are prevalent in just about everything: which explains why Palantir is such a powerful tool for both public and private sector clients.</li><li><b>Growth at scale.</b> Despite being at a ~$2 billion annual revenue scale, Palantir continues to deliver 30-40% y/y revenue growth, and its long-term outlook calls for the company to be able to sustain growth rates in excess of 30% y/y through at least 2025. Few companies are able to achieve this kind of growth at scale, and it's a testament to the wide applicability of Palantir's products and the humongous clientele it has drawn (in particular, the U.S. Army).</li><li><b>Stepping up go-to-market momentum.</b> Palantir is chasing growth across a wide variety of channels. The company has stepped up its sales hiring this year, a nod at the broad market opportunity it has and the need for more territory coverage. Palantir also has deepened relationships with ISVs (integrated service vendors) that can resell Palantir's products without its involvement and offer additional coverage that Palantir's direct sales force can't handle.</li><li><b>One foot in the public sector, one foot in private</b>. Palantir made its name on being a large federal government contractor, but its products are just as compelling to an enterprise segment that is growing ever more obsessed with the value of big data. Most software companies start off as primarily dealing with enterprise buyers, and then hopefully getting FedRAMP certification to sell into public sector clients later. Palantir did the reverse: but now, its momentum with Fortune 100 companies is continuing to grow, and customer adds are continuing to trend at an impressive pace.</li><li><b>Free cash flow.</b> Though not yet profitable from a GAAP standpoint, Palantir continues to exceed internal expectations for free cash flow, which means the business is self-financing (a departure from many other rapid-growth software companies that continue to need to raise capital to finance their losses).</li></ul><p>In short, focus on the long-term expansion potential here: Q2 guidance is just noise, a drop in the bucket.</p><p><b>Formidable growth continues</b></p><p>Nor should investors get the impression that Palantir's growth in recent quarters has been lagging, either. One highlight to extract from Palantir's Q1 earnings results: total commercial revenue grew 54% y/y to $205 million. As seen in the chart below, that represents four straight quarters of acceleration:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/833acc59cf63e20602348b8cb23afb9b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir commercial revenue performance(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>The company has also broadened its customer counts. At present, Palantir's business revolves primarily around large government contracts and mega blue-chip corporations. But with the company stepping up its go-to-market activities on the commercial side, the mid-market represents another major growth leg for Palantir that it has not yet tapped into. In Q1 alone, Palantir grew its customer base by 40 customers, or 17%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2cdeb72f8b2a25fe7b7a3a8320408f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir customer growth(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)</p><p>For now, Palantir's growth metrics are still vibrant (and note as well that with 124% net revenue retention rates, there's plenty of revenue expansion happening within the existing install base too). The fact that the company is expecting to continue pushing for 30%+ y/y growth through 2025 is also quite rare for a company of its scale.</p><p><b>GAAP margins are drifting toward breakeven</b></p><p>One final point to extract from Palantir's latest Q1 results: though investors flagged Palantir's high GAAP losses at the time of its IPO, these margins are slowly converging toward break-even. In Q1, GAAP operating margins boosted to -9%, versus -33% in the year-ago Q1 (helped in no small part by the devaluation of Palantir's stock, which reduces stock-comp expenses on paper):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db7c309dbda404642f0722d408632b6c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Palantir margin trends(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)</p><p><b>Valuation and key takeaways</b></p><p>In spite of Palantir's strengths and all its long-term potential, the stock is currently trading at what I consider to be an unmissable bargain. At current share prices just below $10, Palantir trades at a $19.70 billion market cap. After we net off the $2.52 billion of cash on Palantir's most recent balance sheet, its resulting <b>enterprise value is $17.16 billion.</b></p><p>For the current fiscal year FY22, Wall Street analysts are expecting revenue of $1.99 billion (+29% y/y), and for next year FY23, consensus stands at $2.56 billion (+29% y/y). Both estimates, by the way, fall short of Palantir's stated guidance of maintaining 30%+ growth through 2025 (and so far, Palantir has never backed down on a commitment). Nevertheless, at Wall Street's consensus figures, the stock trades at:</p><ul><li><b>8.6x EV/FY22 revenue</b></li><li><b>6.7x EV/FY23 revenue</b></li></ul><p>There was a time when A) Palantir traded north of >25x current-year revenue, and B) when software companies with mere 15-20% y/y growth traded at a 9-10x revenue multiple. Though I'm not exactly calling for tech valuation multiples to revert to the excesses of 2021, I think Palantir looks incredibly cheap given its target to sustain 30% y/y growth for the long term.</p><p><b>The bottom line here:</b> Palantir is a rare combination of strong execution, unparalleled branding and reputation, a wide basket of massive-TAM products, and reasonable valuation. Don't miss this buying opportunity.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: This Is What A Rare Buying Opportunity Looks Like</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: This Is What A Rare Buying Opportunity Looks Like\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 15:01 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520635-palantir-stock-rare-buying-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryShares of Palantir have dropped 50% year to date and are now trading below their IPO price.Business fundamentals have continued to march forward, completely disconnected to the stock crash. In ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520635-palantir-stock-rare-buying-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520635-palantir-stock-rare-buying-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148096186","content_text":"SummaryShares of Palantir have dropped 50% year to date and are now trading below their IPO price.Business fundamentals have continued to march forward, completely disconnected to the stock crash. In particular, Palantir continues to grow commercial revenue at a 50%+ y/y pace.Products like Foundry, with massive TAMs, have the ambition of taking over AWS' dominance in enterprise software.Palantir is trading cheaply at ~9x forward revenue, especially as it expects to continue 30%+ y/y revenue growth for the next three years.If you were to ask me for a single stock I would choose to invest in for a year-end rebound, I wouldn't hesitate to name Palantir (NYSE:PLTR). This big data giant, a fabled software company for its close relationships with the U.S. government (particularly the armed forces), has seen a tremendous stock market reversal this year. Dropping quite suddenly from being one of the most celebrated and richly-valued tech stocks in the industry, Palantir has now shed half of its value.It's time, in my view, for investors to take a hard second look at this name.Data byYChartsWhat's going on with Palantir? Slightly soft guidance doesn't justify the massive share price collapseFirst of all, let's address the recent goings-on with Palantir. If you look at the stock price chart above, you'll notice that Palantir's correction accelerated in May, after the company released Q1 earnings results and updated its guidance. Two things are at play here: of course, the broader stock market correction and \"risk off\" attitude have hammered high-growth stocks like Palantir.Separately outside of that, investors reacted harshly to Palantir's Q2 guidance outlook.Palantir outlook(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)For Q2, Palantir is guiding to \"base case\" revenue of $470 million. This represents 30% y/y growth, and was below the $483.8 million (+34% y/y growth) that Wall Street had hoped for.The key thing here, however: Palantir has a \"wide range\" of potential upside drivers to this forecast. The company has notoriously long offered very flimsy guidance targets relative to other companies and frequently sets a low bar for itself to cross. This guidance update should not be read as any meaningful slowdown in Palantir's go-to-market performance.The long-term bull case is still vibrantWall Street and most investors are famously short-term oriented, but with a company like Palantir, we should be far more interested in the longer-term bullish thesis.It's important to recognize that Palantir remains one of the leading software companies in big data and AI. Since its IPO only two years ago, the company has rolled out a slew of new products:Palantir new products(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)Though not a new product, the product we should be watching closely is Palantir Foundry, which is the company's PaaS (platform-as-a-service) offering for both government and corporate clients to build and deploy applications. Palantir has ambitions of Foundry overtaking AWS as the central hub for app development. Per COO Shyam Sankar's prepared remarks on the Q1 earnings call:The greatest opportunity for Foundry continues to be the application development infrastructure platform. We believe that Foundry will become the place that you go to build the applications of the future. With AWS or Azure with their highly unopinionated collection of services, most of the work remains in front of you to get to value. And all of that onus is on you, the customer, to get to that value.With Foundry, you're 90% of the way there on day 1. Software-defined data integration, native multi-tenancy for your applications, the OPIs, version pipelines, applications, artifacts, to just name some of the components, that make Foundry work from the start.That's why U.S. Space Forces’, Kobayashi Maru factory realized their ambition, building 13 operationally accepted applications on top of Foundry in months while sunsetting legacy $100 million-plus programs. That's why Airbus rolled out an internally developed supply chain network control tower, a suite built on top of Foundry's application development infrastructure. And this set of applications, it mitigates supply chain issues and is working towards saving hundreds of millions of euros annually by speeding up production against existing fixed capacity and reducing inventory across all parts.What AWS was in the last decade, Foundry will be in the next.\"Here, in my view, are all the key reasons to be bullish on Palantir for the long haul:Big data is a massive discipline that can be applied in nearly limitless ways. Palantir isn't a software company that serves only one or a limited set of use cases. Data and inferences that can be made from data are prevalent in just about everything: which explains why Palantir is such a powerful tool for both public and private sector clients.Growth at scale. Despite being at a ~$2 billion annual revenue scale, Palantir continues to deliver 30-40% y/y revenue growth, and its long-term outlook calls for the company to be able to sustain growth rates in excess of 30% y/y through at least 2025. Few companies are able to achieve this kind of growth at scale, and it's a testament to the wide applicability of Palantir's products and the humongous clientele it has drawn (in particular, the U.S. Army).Stepping up go-to-market momentum. Palantir is chasing growth across a wide variety of channels. The company has stepped up its sales hiring this year, a nod at the broad market opportunity it has and the need for more territory coverage. Palantir also has deepened relationships with ISVs (integrated service vendors) that can resell Palantir's products without its involvement and offer additional coverage that Palantir's direct sales force can't handle.One foot in the public sector, one foot in private. Palantir made its name on being a large federal government contractor, but its products are just as compelling to an enterprise segment that is growing ever more obsessed with the value of big data. Most software companies start off as primarily dealing with enterprise buyers, and then hopefully getting FedRAMP certification to sell into public sector clients later. Palantir did the reverse: but now, its momentum with Fortune 100 companies is continuing to grow, and customer adds are continuing to trend at an impressive pace.Free cash flow. Though not yet profitable from a GAAP standpoint, Palantir continues to exceed internal expectations for free cash flow, which means the business is self-financing (a departure from many other rapid-growth software companies that continue to need to raise capital to finance their losses).In short, focus on the long-term expansion potential here: Q2 guidance is just noise, a drop in the bucket.Formidable growth continuesNor should investors get the impression that Palantir's growth in recent quarters has been lagging, either. One highlight to extract from Palantir's Q1 earnings results: total commercial revenue grew 54% y/y to $205 million. As seen in the chart below, that represents four straight quarters of acceleration:Palantir commercial revenue performance(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)The company has also broadened its customer counts. At present, Palantir's business revolves primarily around large government contracts and mega blue-chip corporations. But with the company stepping up its go-to-market activities on the commercial side, the mid-market represents another major growth leg for Palantir that it has not yet tapped into. In Q1 alone, Palantir grew its customer base by 40 customers, or 17%.Palantir customer growth(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)For now, Palantir's growth metrics are still vibrant (and note as well that with 124% net revenue retention rates, there's plenty of revenue expansion happening within the existing install base too). The fact that the company is expecting to continue pushing for 30%+ y/y growth through 2025 is also quite rare for a company of its scale.GAAP margins are drifting toward breakevenOne final point to extract from Palantir's latest Q1 results: though investors flagged Palantir's high GAAP losses at the time of its IPO, these margins are slowly converging toward break-even. In Q1, GAAP operating margins boosted to -9%, versus -33% in the year-ago Q1 (helped in no small part by the devaluation of Palantir's stock, which reduces stock-comp expenses on paper):Palantir margin trends(Palantir Q1 earnings deck)Valuation and key takeawaysIn spite of Palantir's strengths and all its long-term potential, the stock is currently trading at what I consider to be an unmissable bargain. At current share prices just below $10, Palantir trades at a $19.70 billion market cap. After we net off the $2.52 billion of cash on Palantir's most recent balance sheet, its resulting enterprise value is $17.16 billion.For the current fiscal year FY22, Wall Street analysts are expecting revenue of $1.99 billion (+29% y/y), and for next year FY23, consensus stands at $2.56 billion (+29% y/y). Both estimates, by the way, fall short of Palantir's stated guidance of maintaining 30%+ growth through 2025 (and so far, Palantir has never backed down on a commitment). Nevertheless, at Wall Street's consensus figures, the stock trades at:8.6x EV/FY22 revenue6.7x EV/FY23 revenueThere was a time when A) Palantir traded north of >25x current-year revenue, and B) when software companies with mere 15-20% y/y growth traded at a 9-10x revenue multiple. Though I'm not exactly calling for tech valuation multiples to revert to the excesses of 2021, I think Palantir looks incredibly cheap given its target to sustain 30% y/y growth for the long term.The bottom line here: Palantir is a rare combination of strong execution, unparalleled branding and reputation, a wide basket of massive-TAM products, and reasonable valuation. Don't miss this buying opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039902538,"gmtCreate":1645862978370,"gmtModify":1676534071409,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cybersecurity","listText":"Cybersecurity","text":"Cybersecurity","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039902538","repostId":"1190464811","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915533898,"gmtCreate":1665065785715,"gmtModify":1676537551845,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915533898","repostId":"1191721961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048458134,"gmtCreate":1656249227028,"gmtModify":1676535792109,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Warren Buffett ","listText":"Warren Buffett ","text":"Warren Buffett","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048458134","repostId":"1191010488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191010488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656202469,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191010488?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-26 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191010488","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as theS&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dipthat bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs,Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it's Buffett.So it m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.</p><p>Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs, Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it's Buffett.</p><p>So it makes sense to lean on his expertise to get through this tough climate with your wealth intact, right? To get you started, here are four of Buffett's famous rules for investing in a bear market.</p><p>1. Buy quality merchandise on sale</p><blockquote><i>"Whether we're talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down."</i></blockquote><p>Buffett invests in high-quality businesses -- companies with a proven ability to create shareholder value through all economic climates. In his view, bear markets provide opportunities to buy these quality stocks at lower prices.</p><p>As an example, Buffett's response earlier this year to the tech stock sell-off was to buy more of his favorite technology company, Apple. Although Apple already comprised more than 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett bought another 3.78 million shares.</p><p>You can mimic his strategy by identifying stocks you love for their long-term prospects. If your budget allows, increase your investing activity and pad your share counts while prices remain low.</p><p>2. Hold forever</p><blockquote><i>"Our favorite holding period is forever."</i></blockquote><p>When you buy stocks you'd like to hold forever, bear markets become far less stressful. Since your plan is to hold for the long run, you don't have to do anything when the market goes sideways. No reshuffling your portfolio and no guessing when share prices will bottom out. Your only job is to wait.</p><p>3. Stay calm</p><blockquote><i>"The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect."</i></blockquote><p>It's normal and useful to second-guess your "hold forever" plan when circumstances change. Certainly, there will be times when you should drop a stock you thought was a keeper.</p><p>The distinction you must make is whether circumstances have changed permanently or temporarily. And that's easier to do when you can analyze what's happening calmly and rationally. If you let your emotions take over, they can convince you to scrap your plan, cut your losses, or take some other dramatic action that's sure to dampen your long-term returns.</p><p>4. Keep your distance</p><p>Buffett said this when asked what advice he had for investors in tough markets:<i>"I would tell them: Don't watch the market too closely."</i></p><p>Let's say you're confident that your "hold forever" stocks can withstand a temporary bear market. And for that reason, you're not going to react to falling share prices. In that scenario, what's the benefit of tracking every bump along the way? There isn't one.</p><p>It's OK to keep some distance from financial headlines when the market is going crazy. Consider it a survival strategy that helps you stay calm and stick to your investing plan.</p><p>Buy or do nothing</p><p>When a bear market sets in, you'll see Buffett mostly buy or hold. If you're questioning whether those are the right moves for your portfolio, remember this: Buffett is worth about $95 billion, and he has invested through more bear markets than almost anyone. His tactics can help you emerge from this bear market stronger and wealthier than ever.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's 4 Rules for Investing in a Bear Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-26 08:14 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1943735/how-to-pick-great-value-stocks-like-warren-buffett?art_rec=home-home-top_stories-ID01-txt-1943735","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191010488","content_text":"Warren Buffett began his investing career in a bear market. He bought his first stock in the early 1940s at age 11 as the S&P 500 was on its way to a 35% dip that bottomed in 1942. Since then, he's managed through 12 more bear markets not including this one.Despite those downturns, Buffett has managed to create billions in value for himself and the shareholders of the company he runs, Berkshire Hathaway. If any investor is qualified to share wisdom on investing in bear markets, it's Buffett.So it makes sense to lean on his expertise to get through this tough climate with your wealth intact, right? To get you started, here are four of Buffett's famous rules for investing in a bear market.1. Buy quality merchandise on sale\"Whether we're talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.\"Buffett invests in high-quality businesses -- companies with a proven ability to create shareholder value through all economic climates. In his view, bear markets provide opportunities to buy these quality stocks at lower prices.As an example, Buffett's response earlier this year to the tech stock sell-off was to buy more of his favorite technology company, Apple. Although Apple already comprised more than 40% of Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, Buffett bought another 3.78 million shares.You can mimic his strategy by identifying stocks you love for their long-term prospects. If your budget allows, increase your investing activity and pad your share counts while prices remain low.2. Hold forever\"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"When you buy stocks you'd like to hold forever, bear markets become far less stressful. Since your plan is to hold for the long run, you don't have to do anything when the market goes sideways. No reshuffling your portfolio and no guessing when share prices will bottom out. Your only job is to wait.3. Stay calm\"The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect.\"It's normal and useful to second-guess your \"hold forever\" plan when circumstances change. Certainly, there will be times when you should drop a stock you thought was a keeper.The distinction you must make is whether circumstances have changed permanently or temporarily. And that's easier to do when you can analyze what's happening calmly and rationally. If you let your emotions take over, they can convince you to scrap your plan, cut your losses, or take some other dramatic action that's sure to dampen your long-term returns.4. Keep your distanceBuffett said this when asked what advice he had for investors in tough markets:\"I would tell them: Don't watch the market too closely.\"Let's say you're confident that your \"hold forever\" stocks can withstand a temporary bear market. And for that reason, you're not going to react to falling share prices. In that scenario, what's the benefit of tracking every bump along the way? There isn't one.It's OK to keep some distance from financial headlines when the market is going crazy. Consider it a survival strategy that helps you stay calm and stick to your investing plan.Buy or do nothingWhen a bear market sets in, you'll see Buffett mostly buy or hold. If you're questioning whether those are the right moves for your portfolio, remember this: Buffett is worth about $95 billion, and he has invested through more bear markets than almost anyone. His tactics can help you emerge from this bear market stronger and wealthier than ever.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049070061,"gmtCreate":1655729197753,"gmtModify":1676535693764,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049070061","repostId":"2244119397","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244119397","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655739014,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244119397?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Looking for the Next FAANG Stocks? 4 Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244119397","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The STAR stocks could deliver market-crushing returns in the coming decades.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The FAANG stocks dramatically outperformed the market over the past decade. <b>Netflix</b> led the way with a 1,750% return, followed by <b>Amazon</b> and <b>Alphabet</b> with returns of 847% and 651%. Finally, <b>Apple </b>and <b>Meta Platforms</b> delivered gains of 535% and 438%.</p><p>All those companies benefited from industry leadership, strong revenue growth, and a massive market opportunity, and there's a good chance the next FAANG stocks will share those traits. With that in mind, the STAR stocks could deliver market-crushing returns in the coming decades.</p><h2>1. Shopify</h2><p><b>Shopify</b> provides software and services that allow merchants to manage businesses across physical and digital channels, including direct to consumer (D2C) websites. That differentiates it from marketplace operators like Amazon. D2C models afford merchants greater control over the buyer experience, which can help them build lasting customer relationships.</p><p>Shopify has become a key player in the commerce industry. Its platform powers over 2 million businesses, and it ranks as the leading e-commerce software vendor as measured by market presence. Perhaps more impressively, Shopify powered 10.3% of e-commerce sales in the U.S. last year, more than any other retailer except Amazon.</p><p>The company's strong competitive position has translated into solid financial results.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q1 2020</p></th><th><p>Q1 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$1.7 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$4.8 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>67%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Free cash flow (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>($107 million)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$254 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Online retail sales totaled $4.9 trillion last year, but that figure will climb as e-commerce takes share from traditional retail. That puts Shopify in front of a big opportunity. Management is working to strengthen its market presence by expanding internationally, engaging buyers through its mobile app, extending payments services to non-Shopify merchants, and building a fulfillment network to enable next-day delivery.</p><p>If Shopify successfully executes on those initiatives, it could be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the world's most valuable companies a decade or two down the road. That would likely mean market-crushing returns for patient investors.</p><h2>2. Tesla</h2><p><b>Tesla</b> has revolutionized the auto industry with its direct sales model, semiconductor expertise, and battery cell technology. In the first quarter, Tesla once again ranked as the leader in electric car sales, capturing 15.5% market share. Better yet, its relentless pursuit of manufacturing efficiency is paying off. It posted an industry-leading operating margin of 14.6% in third-quarter 2021, and that figure rose to 19.2% in Q1 2022.</p><p>Financially, Tesla is firing on all cylinders.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q1 2020</p></th><th><p>Q1 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$26 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$62.2 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>55%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Free cash flow (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$992 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$6.9 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>164%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Tesla aims to grow vehicle deliveries by 50% per year, and it should benefit from several near-term catalysts, including increased production capacity from new factories in Germany and Texas, and the debut of the Cybertruck and Semi. However, CEO Elon Musk sees its largest opportunities in artificial intelligence and robotics.</p><p>Tesla has a robotaxi slated for production in 2024, and Musk says full self-driving (FSD) technology will ultimately be the primary profit engine for the car business. Once its FSD software is ready, Tesla will launch an autonomous ride-hailing service, entering a market that could generate $2 trillion in annual profits by 2030, according to Ark Invest.</p><p>Tesla also plans to build an autonomous humanoid robot that Musk believes could be more valuable than its car business. Production could start as early as next year. If Tesla achieves its ambitions, it could reshape the world in the coming decades.</p><h2>3. Airbnb</h2><p><b>Airbnb</b> has disrupted the travel industry with its asset-light business model. By sourcing rental properties from hosts in tens of thousands of cities, its business model is more cost-efficient than traditional hotels. Airbnb can onboard new hosts (and add new listings) in minutes, with little expense, and its platform offers a greater variety of lodging options for guests.</p><p>Despite facing significant headwinds at the pandemic's onset, Airbnb has rebounded quickly. Its free cash flow margin of over 40% is particularly noteworthy.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q1 2020</p></th><th><p>Q1 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$4.8 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$6.6 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>17%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Free cash flow (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>($765 million)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$2.8 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>N/A%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: SEC filings, YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Thanks to recent innovations like flexible search parameters and listing categories (like "treehouse" or "castles"), Airbnb is evolving into a recommendation engine. Its platform can offer ideas for people who are flexible on where and when they travel. It's also working to disrupt the tourism industry by enabling guests to book experiences while traveling.</p><p>In the past year, Airbnb's gross booking value was $53.8 billion, a fraction of its $3.4 trillion addressable market. If the company continues to innovate, this growth stock could generate monster returns.</p><h2>4. Roku</h2><p><b>Roku</b> is the most popular streaming platform in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. It accounted for 31% of global streaming time in Q1, nearly doubling the market share of the next closest competitor, Amazon Fire TV. It owes that success to brand authority and the growing collection of free programming (including original content) on its ad-supported streaming service, The Roku Channel.</p><p>Thanks to that competitive edge, Roku has become a key player in the rapidly growing digital ad industry.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q1 2020</p></th><th><p>Q1 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$1.2 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$2.9 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>53%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Free cash flow (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>($54.5 million)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$183 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Roku is well positioned to maintain its momentum. Connected TV ad spend in the U.S. will reach $100 billion by 2030, up from $21 billion in 2021, according to BMO Capital Markets. Just as Google built its ad supremacy by positioning itself as the gateway to the internet, Roku could achieve the same success as the gateway to streaming entertainment.</p><p>Roku also recently announced shoppable ads for retailers, a service that will leverage its payments platform (Roku Pay) to enable consumer purchases directly through ads on the platform. To that end, Roku could have a sizable digital payments business in a decade or two, in addition to a digital ad empire. That's why this growth stock is a buy.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Looking for the Next FAANG Stocks? 4 Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLooking for the Next FAANG Stocks? 4 Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/the-next-faang-stocks-4-growth-stocks-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The FAANG stocks dramatically outperformed the market over the past decade. Netflix led the way with a 1,750% return, followed by Amazon and Alphabet with returns of 847% and 651%. Finally, Apple and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/the-next-faang-stocks-4-growth-stocks-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","ABNB":"爱彼迎","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/the-next-faang-stocks-4-growth-stocks-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244119397","content_text":"The FAANG stocks dramatically outperformed the market over the past decade. Netflix led the way with a 1,750% return, followed by Amazon and Alphabet with returns of 847% and 651%. Finally, Apple and Meta Platforms delivered gains of 535% and 438%.All those companies benefited from industry leadership, strong revenue growth, and a massive market opportunity, and there's a good chance the next FAANG stocks will share those traits. With that in mind, the STAR stocks could deliver market-crushing returns in the coming decades.1. ShopifyShopify provides software and services that allow merchants to manage businesses across physical and digital channels, including direct to consumer (D2C) websites. That differentiates it from marketplace operators like Amazon. D2C models afford merchants greater control over the buyer experience, which can help them build lasting customer relationships.Shopify has become a key player in the commerce industry. Its platform powers over 2 million businesses, and it ranks as the leading e-commerce software vendor as measured by market presence. Perhaps more impressively, Shopify powered 10.3% of e-commerce sales in the U.S. last year, more than any other retailer except Amazon.The company's strong competitive position has translated into solid financial results.MetricQ1 2020Q1 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$1.7 billion$4.8 billion67%Free cash flow (TTM)($107 million)$254 millionN/AData source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Online retail sales totaled $4.9 trillion last year, but that figure will climb as e-commerce takes share from traditional retail. That puts Shopify in front of a big opportunity. Management is working to strengthen its market presence by expanding internationally, engaging buyers through its mobile app, extending payments services to non-Shopify merchants, and building a fulfillment network to enable next-day delivery.If Shopify successfully executes on those initiatives, it could be one of the world's most valuable companies a decade or two down the road. That would likely mean market-crushing returns for patient investors.2. TeslaTesla has revolutionized the auto industry with its direct sales model, semiconductor expertise, and battery cell technology. In the first quarter, Tesla once again ranked as the leader in electric car sales, capturing 15.5% market share. Better yet, its relentless pursuit of manufacturing efficiency is paying off. It posted an industry-leading operating margin of 14.6% in third-quarter 2021, and that figure rose to 19.2% in Q1 2022.Financially, Tesla is firing on all cylinders.MetricQ1 2020Q1 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$26 billion$62.2 billion55%Free cash flow (TTM)$992 million$6.9 billion164%Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Tesla aims to grow vehicle deliveries by 50% per year, and it should benefit from several near-term catalysts, including increased production capacity from new factories in Germany and Texas, and the debut of the Cybertruck and Semi. However, CEO Elon Musk sees its largest opportunities in artificial intelligence and robotics.Tesla has a robotaxi slated for production in 2024, and Musk says full self-driving (FSD) technology will ultimately be the primary profit engine for the car business. Once its FSD software is ready, Tesla will launch an autonomous ride-hailing service, entering a market that could generate $2 trillion in annual profits by 2030, according to Ark Invest.Tesla also plans to build an autonomous humanoid robot that Musk believes could be more valuable than its car business. Production could start as early as next year. If Tesla achieves its ambitions, it could reshape the world in the coming decades.3. AirbnbAirbnb has disrupted the travel industry with its asset-light business model. By sourcing rental properties from hosts in tens of thousands of cities, its business model is more cost-efficient than traditional hotels. Airbnb can onboard new hosts (and add new listings) in minutes, with little expense, and its platform offers a greater variety of lodging options for guests.Despite facing significant headwinds at the pandemic's onset, Airbnb has rebounded quickly. Its free cash flow margin of over 40% is particularly noteworthy.MetricQ1 2020Q1 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$4.8 billion$6.6 billion17%Free cash flow (TTM)($765 million)$2.8 billionN/A%Data source: SEC filings, YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Thanks to recent innovations like flexible search parameters and listing categories (like \"treehouse\" or \"castles\"), Airbnb is evolving into a recommendation engine. Its platform can offer ideas for people who are flexible on where and when they travel. It's also working to disrupt the tourism industry by enabling guests to book experiences while traveling.In the past year, Airbnb's gross booking value was $53.8 billion, a fraction of its $3.4 trillion addressable market. If the company continues to innovate, this growth stock could generate monster returns.4. RokuRoku is the most popular streaming platform in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. It accounted for 31% of global streaming time in Q1, nearly doubling the market share of the next closest competitor, Amazon Fire TV. It owes that success to brand authority and the growing collection of free programming (including original content) on its ad-supported streaming service, The Roku Channel.Thanks to that competitive edge, Roku has become a key player in the rapidly growing digital ad industry.MetricQ1 2020Q1 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$1.2 billion$2.9 billion53%Free cash flow (TTM)($54.5 million)$183 billionN/AData source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Roku is well positioned to maintain its momentum. Connected TV ad spend in the U.S. will reach $100 billion by 2030, up from $21 billion in 2021, according to BMO Capital Markets. Just as Google built its ad supremacy by positioning itself as the gateway to the internet, Roku could achieve the same success as the gateway to streaming entertainment.Roku also recently announced shoppable ads for retailers, a service that will leverage its payments platform (Roku Pay) to enable consumer purchases directly through ads on the platform. To that end, Roku could have a sizable digital payments business in a decade or two, in addition to a digital ad empire. That's why this growth stock is a buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049047893,"gmtCreate":1655729157612,"gmtModify":1676535693749,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple","listText":"Apple","text":"Apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049047893","repostId":"2244145198","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244145198","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655738413,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244145198?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-20 23:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: Bull vs. Bear","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244145198","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Are you for or against Apple stock?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Apple</b> ranks high among the most popular companies in the world. Its flagship product, the iPhone, is one of the most successful tech-based devices of all time.</p><p>That popularity has helped make Apple stock successful and in demand for more than a decade now. But is the stock still a buy? There are undoubtedly opinions on both sides.</p><p>Let's look at both sides of the argument and see if we can determine whether the bull case or the bear case wins the day on Apple stock.</p><h2>Bull case: Innovation spanning decades</h2><p>The decades of proven innovation are at the core of my bull case for Apple. The company has developed multiple iconic products that have generated billions of dollars in sales, and that ability is attractive to investors. The ability to keep coming up with something new that consumers want suggests that Apple can keep the revenue train rolling even when sales of its current lineup start to lose steam (something that is not yet the case with its current lineup).</p><p>Annual revenue has gone from $156 billion a decade ago to $365 billion in the latest fiscal year. That growth boosted annual operating income from $55 billion to $109 billion over the same timeframe. The various iterations of the iPhone have fueled much of that surge and show no significant signs of slowing down.</p><p>In Apple's most recent quarter, sales of the iPhone (now in its 13th iteration) increased from $47.9 billion in the prior year's quarter to $50.6 billion. The most recent update included the latest 5G technology, spurring higher-than-average upgrades from older models.</p><p>Moreover, the popularity of the iPhone has allowed Apple to build a robust services business that complements the pioneering smartphone. The company boasts a whopping 825 million service subscribers, an increase of 165 million from last year. Its lineup includes Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, Apple Fitness, and more. Note the gross margin on its services segment is 72.6%, while that of its products is 36.4%.</p><p>Those 825 million subscribers are not only providing high-margin revenue to Apple, but are also prime candidates to buy its latest products. Once customers enter the Apple ecosystem and customize their products and services to their liking, they'll likely stick around long term.</p><h2>Bear case: Heavy dependence on iPhone</h2><p>The bear case concedes that Apple is a tremendously successful innovator with decades of proof. However, the case against investing in Apple centers around its iPhone dependence. While Apple has done an excellent job creating sought-after consumer electronics like the iPod, iPad, AirPods, Apple Watch, etc., it's still largely dependent on the iPhone.</p><p>In its most recent quarter, the iPhone comprised 52% of the company's overall sales. That's not even including all the attachments that go along with it. The risk is that if Apple doesn't continue its iPhone success, revenue growth could stall or even reverse. Similarly, if another business creates a more attractive consumer electronic that unseats the iPhone, it could be disastrous for Apple.</p><p>There are hints of wearable glasses that could be capable of everything a smartphone can do and more. Virtual-reality headsets are gaining in popularity alongside the metaverse. Innovation is unpredictable. For Apple to rely so heavily on one product for 52% of its sales adds a layer of risk to the business.</p><h2>The bulls win out</h2><p>Overall, the bull case carries more weight. Admittedly, there's a risk in Apple's dependence on the iPhone. That being said, with its decades-long history of creating multiple innovative products, Apple stands a reasonable chance of pivoting to the next popular thing when it comes to light.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: Bull vs. Bear</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: Bull vs. Bear\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 23:20 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/apple-stock-bull-vs-bear/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple ranks high among the most popular companies in the world. Its flagship product, the iPhone, is one of the most successful tech-based devices of all time.That popularity has helped make Apple ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/apple-stock-bull-vs-bear/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/17/apple-stock-bull-vs-bear/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244145198","content_text":"Apple ranks high among the most popular companies in the world. Its flagship product, the iPhone, is one of the most successful tech-based devices of all time.That popularity has helped make Apple stock successful and in demand for more than a decade now. But is the stock still a buy? There are undoubtedly opinions on both sides.Let's look at both sides of the argument and see if we can determine whether the bull case or the bear case wins the day on Apple stock.Bull case: Innovation spanning decadesThe decades of proven innovation are at the core of my bull case for Apple. The company has developed multiple iconic products that have generated billions of dollars in sales, and that ability is attractive to investors. The ability to keep coming up with something new that consumers want suggests that Apple can keep the revenue train rolling even when sales of its current lineup start to lose steam (something that is not yet the case with its current lineup).Annual revenue has gone from $156 billion a decade ago to $365 billion in the latest fiscal year. That growth boosted annual operating income from $55 billion to $109 billion over the same timeframe. The various iterations of the iPhone have fueled much of that surge and show no significant signs of slowing down.In Apple's most recent quarter, sales of the iPhone (now in its 13th iteration) increased from $47.9 billion in the prior year's quarter to $50.6 billion. The most recent update included the latest 5G technology, spurring higher-than-average upgrades from older models.Moreover, the popularity of the iPhone has allowed Apple to build a robust services business that complements the pioneering smartphone. The company boasts a whopping 825 million service subscribers, an increase of 165 million from last year. Its lineup includes Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, Apple Fitness, and more. Note the gross margin on its services segment is 72.6%, while that of its products is 36.4%.Those 825 million subscribers are not only providing high-margin revenue to Apple, but are also prime candidates to buy its latest products. Once customers enter the Apple ecosystem and customize their products and services to their liking, they'll likely stick around long term.Bear case: Heavy dependence on iPhoneThe bear case concedes that Apple is a tremendously successful innovator with decades of proof. However, the case against investing in Apple centers around its iPhone dependence. While Apple has done an excellent job creating sought-after consumer electronics like the iPod, iPad, AirPods, Apple Watch, etc., it's still largely dependent on the iPhone.In its most recent quarter, the iPhone comprised 52% of the company's overall sales. That's not even including all the attachments that go along with it. The risk is that if Apple doesn't continue its iPhone success, revenue growth could stall or even reverse. Similarly, if another business creates a more attractive consumer electronic that unseats the iPhone, it could be disastrous for Apple.There are hints of wearable glasses that could be capable of everything a smartphone can do and more. Virtual-reality headsets are gaining in popularity alongside the metaverse. Innovation is unpredictable. For Apple to rely so heavily on one product for 52% of its sales adds a layer of risk to the business.The bulls win outOverall, the bull case carries more weight. Admittedly, there's a risk in Apple's dependence on the iPhone. That being said, with its decades-long history of creating multiple innovative products, Apple stands a reasonable chance of pivoting to the next popular thing when it comes to light.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035402773,"gmtCreate":1647650073481,"gmtModify":1676534254967,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035402773","repostId":"2220772010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220772010","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647648841,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220772010?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-03-19 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DocuSign Stock Rises as CEO Buy ~$5M in Company Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220772010","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"DocuSign shares have popped 9.5% on disclosure that CEO Daniel Springer purchased 66,882 shares of ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DocuSign shares have popped 9.5% on disclosure that CEO Daniel Springer purchased 66,882 shares of the common's stock, worth ~$5M.</p><p>The shares were purchased at $73.20 - $77.07 price range in a transaction dated Mar. 15, 2022.</p><p>A look at DOCU's ownership composition:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e6c475214f80f88ffba8b89faecf16b\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>DocuSign plunged 20% on Mar. 11, 2022, after the electronic signature company posted fourth-quarter results that topped estimates, but provided guidance for slower growth, a concern for investors.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DocuSign Stock Rises as CEO Buy ~$5M in Company Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDocuSign Stock Rises as CEO Buy ~$5M in Company Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 08:14 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3815051-docusign-stock-rises-as-ceo-buy-5m-in-company-shares><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DocuSign shares have popped 9.5% on disclosure that CEO Daniel Springer purchased 66,882 shares of the common's stock, worth ~$5M.The shares were purchased at $73.20 - $77.07 price range in a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3815051-docusign-stock-rises-as-ceo-buy-5m-in-company-shares\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4528":"SaaS概念","DOCU":"Docusign","BK4023":"应用软件"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3815051-docusign-stock-rises-as-ceo-buy-5m-in-company-shares","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220772010","content_text":"DocuSign shares have popped 9.5% on disclosure that CEO Daniel Springer purchased 66,882 shares of the common's stock, worth ~$5M.The shares were purchased at $73.20 - $77.07 price range in a transaction dated Mar. 15, 2022.A look at DOCU's ownership composition:DocuSign plunged 20% on Mar. 11, 2022, after the electronic signature company posted fourth-quarter results that topped estimates, but provided guidance for slower growth, a concern for investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917931404,"gmtCreate":1665408926808,"gmtModify":1676537601044,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917931404","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056504332,"gmtCreate":1655039361226,"gmtModify":1676535551262,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056504332","repostId":"2242306965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242306965","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655005845,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242306965?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-12 11:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Fear Of Missing Out? Do Not Miss The Boat Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242306965","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Investment ThesisSince our last analysis, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) has risen by 18.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Investment Thesis</b></h2><p>Since our last analysis, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) has risen by 18.59%, from $92.67 on 17 May 2022 to $109.90 on 9 June 2022. It is evident that the recovery has been swift, given the multiple positive tailwinds in its direction. However, with the shaky Chinese stock market, it is uncertain if the gains could hold and trigger a bull run for BABA.</p><p>However, if we were to split up China's unrelenting COVID-19 strategies and the potential easing of big tech punishment, BABA's recovery is almost certain, given its good execution in FQ4'22. That would be <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> highly welcomed news, given how dreary the stock market looks right now, given that BABA had recovered 28.04% of its value in the past month compared to S&P 500 Index at 0.42%. Opportune investors would be well advised to take advantage of the current bear market to add more undervalued stocks to their portfolios, since it is entirely possible that the time of maximum pain is over.</p><p>Nevertheless, investors hoping for the revival of ANT IPO would definitely be disappointed, since the Chinese government denied the news report, leading to a -8.13% stock decline from $119.62 on 8 June 2022.</p><h2>BABA Closed Off FY2022 Beautifully Despite Macro Issues</h2><p><b>BABA Revenue and Gross Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bddd3fb20de09e66cd1e37175083889\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>In FQ4'22, BABA reported revenues of $32.18B, representing excellent YoY growth of 12.51%, despite the enforced lockdowns in multiple Chinese cities. Though the company's declining gross margins may worry some investors, we could attribute it partly to the inflation caused by global supply chain issues and China's Zero Covid Policy and reinvestments into its businesses, and therefore, temporary.</p><p><b>BABA Revenue By Segment</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5beecf897ef22504ee5d40ec234fb7c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>It is evident that BABA's e-commerce segment continues to be the revenue driver, with 13.1% YoY growth while accounting for the majority of its revenue at 86.6%. Its cloud segment also reported remarkable growth with an increase of 16.7% increase YoY, despite the impact of COVID restrictions and reduced demand from the tech industry.</p><p><b>BABA Net Income and Net Income Margin</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dc8d3c27a586f36ff581a18d27e41c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>BABA's net income also grew from -$0.82B in FQ4'21 to $0.45B in FQ4'22, thereby improving its net income margins YoY from -2.9% to 2.8%, respectively.</p><p><b>BABA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF, and FCF Margins</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4595749199296e7f0bad57afe634ddd0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>Nonetheless, it is also apparent that the generation of BABA's previously robust free cash flows is declining, given the decreasing profitability and its payment towards the Anti-monopoly fine at approximately $1.36B. However, since the latter represents the final payment towards the Chinese government, we may expect improved FCF from FQ1'23 onwards.</p><p><b>BABA Operating Expense</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09cc638b935d072afe2e931e33e1995\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>Given BABA's continuous efforts to improve its operating efficiencies by cutting jobs in March 2022 and enhancing its logistical costs, we may also see improved operating margins moving ahead. We can see hints of these improvements in FQ4'22, where the company spent $7.19B in its operating expenses in FQ4'22, representing a 25% decrease QoQ in R&D, Selling/Marketing, and General/Administrative expenses. Assuming that BABA continues on this cost reduction path, we are confident of BABA's capabilities in improving its profitability moving forward.</p><p><b>BABA Projected Revenue and Net Income</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab3c1f73050159ba48c5b0ef34aaaef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>Since our previous analysis in May 2022, BABA's revenue growth has been upgraded from a CAGR of 7.09% to 9.33%, though its net income is projected to grow even faster from a CAGR of 38.94% to 56.53%. For FY2023, consensus estimates also upgraded its revenue growth to 3.62% YoY, thereby underlining their optimistic view on the recovery of BABA stock and the overall Chinese market. Assuming the stabilization of the Chinese economy as per the government's intention with a GDP target of 5.5%, we could potentially see an upwards rerating of BABA's projected revenue and net income growth moving forward. We shall see.</p><h2><b>So, Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</b></h2><p><b>BABA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E Valuations</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30d659fd1b639f4a0b0ba027100df036\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&P Capital IQ</p><p>BABA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 1.92x and NTM P/E of 14.73x, lower than its 5Y mean of 6.29x and 25.10x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $109.90, down 52.4% from its 52 weeks high of $230.89, though already at a 49.9% premium from its 52 weeks low of $73.28.</p><p><b>BABA 5Y Stock Price</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b57cbc8c4a7a3a3577e51256f83f2e97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Nonetheless, given the consensus estimates price target of $170.89 for BABA, investors who add now would still have a 55.5% upside from current prices. It is also evident from the chart that its pre-pandemic prices stand at $170s before rallying to over $300 during the ANT IPO hype.</p><p>Therefore, it is not too late to back up the truck and load up on BABA now.</p><p>Therefore, we <i>rate BABA stock as a Buy.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Fear Of Missing Out? Do Not Miss The Boat Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Fear Of Missing Out? Do Not Miss The Boat Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-12 11:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517691-alibaba-fomo-do-not-miss-boat-again><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment ThesisSince our last analysis, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) has risen by 18.59%, from $92.67 on 17 May 2022 to $109.90 on 9 June 2022. It is evident that the recovery has been ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517691-alibaba-fomo-do-not-miss-boat-again\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4517691-alibaba-fomo-do-not-miss-boat-again","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242306965","content_text":"Investment ThesisSince our last analysis, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) has risen by 18.59%, from $92.67 on 17 May 2022 to $109.90 on 9 June 2022. It is evident that the recovery has been swift, given the multiple positive tailwinds in its direction. However, with the shaky Chinese stock market, it is uncertain if the gains could hold and trigger a bull run for BABA.However, if we were to split up China's unrelenting COVID-19 strategies and the potential easing of big tech punishment, BABA's recovery is almost certain, given its good execution in FQ4'22. That would be one highly welcomed news, given how dreary the stock market looks right now, given that BABA had recovered 28.04% of its value in the past month compared to S&P 500 Index at 0.42%. Opportune investors would be well advised to take advantage of the current bear market to add more undervalued stocks to their portfolios, since it is entirely possible that the time of maximum pain is over.Nevertheless, investors hoping for the revival of ANT IPO would definitely be disappointed, since the Chinese government denied the news report, leading to a -8.13% stock decline from $119.62 on 8 June 2022.BABA Closed Off FY2022 Beautifully Despite Macro IssuesBABA Revenue and Gross IncomeS&P Capital IQIn FQ4'22, BABA reported revenues of $32.18B, representing excellent YoY growth of 12.51%, despite the enforced lockdowns in multiple Chinese cities. Though the company's declining gross margins may worry some investors, we could attribute it partly to the inflation caused by global supply chain issues and China's Zero Covid Policy and reinvestments into its businesses, and therefore, temporary.BABA Revenue By SegmentS&P Capital IQIt is evident that BABA's e-commerce segment continues to be the revenue driver, with 13.1% YoY growth while accounting for the majority of its revenue at 86.6%. Its cloud segment also reported remarkable growth with an increase of 16.7% increase YoY, despite the impact of COVID restrictions and reduced demand from the tech industry.BABA Net Income and Net Income MarginS&P Capital IQBABA's net income also grew from -$0.82B in FQ4'21 to $0.45B in FQ4'22, thereby improving its net income margins YoY from -2.9% to 2.8%, respectively.BABA Cash/ Equivalents, FCF, and FCF MarginsS&P Capital IQNonetheless, it is also apparent that the generation of BABA's previously robust free cash flows is declining, given the decreasing profitability and its payment towards the Anti-monopoly fine at approximately $1.36B. However, since the latter represents the final payment towards the Chinese government, we may expect improved FCF from FQ1'23 onwards.BABA Operating ExpenseS&P Capital IQGiven BABA's continuous efforts to improve its operating efficiencies by cutting jobs in March 2022 and enhancing its logistical costs, we may also see improved operating margins moving ahead. We can see hints of these improvements in FQ4'22, where the company spent $7.19B in its operating expenses in FQ4'22, representing a 25% decrease QoQ in R&D, Selling/Marketing, and General/Administrative expenses. Assuming that BABA continues on this cost reduction path, we are confident of BABA's capabilities in improving its profitability moving forward.BABA Projected Revenue and Net IncomeS&P Capital IQSince our previous analysis in May 2022, BABA's revenue growth has been upgraded from a CAGR of 7.09% to 9.33%, though its net income is projected to grow even faster from a CAGR of 38.94% to 56.53%. For FY2023, consensus estimates also upgraded its revenue growth to 3.62% YoY, thereby underlining their optimistic view on the recovery of BABA stock and the overall Chinese market. Assuming the stabilization of the Chinese economy as per the government's intention with a GDP target of 5.5%, we could potentially see an upwards rerating of BABA's projected revenue and net income growth moving forward. We shall see.So, Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?BABA 5Y EV/Revenue and P/E ValuationsS&P Capital IQBABA is currently trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 1.92x and NTM P/E of 14.73x, lower than its 5Y mean of 6.29x and 25.10x, respectively. The stock is also trading at $109.90, down 52.4% from its 52 weeks high of $230.89, though already at a 49.9% premium from its 52 weeks low of $73.28.BABA 5Y Stock PriceSeeking AlphaNonetheless, given the consensus estimates price target of $170.89 for BABA, investors who add now would still have a 55.5% upside from current prices. It is also evident from the chart that its pre-pandemic prices stand at $170s before rallying to over $300 during the ANT IPO hype.Therefore, it is not too late to back up the truck and load up on BABA now.Therefore, we rate BABA stock as a Buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010159059,"gmtCreate":1648300942187,"gmtModify":1676534326356,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pltr ","listText":"Pltr ","text":"Pltr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010159059","repostId":"2222598883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998999349,"gmtCreate":1660914045583,"gmtModify":1676536422422,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998999349","repostId":"1142247584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077736453,"gmtCreate":1658577135972,"gmtModify":1676536178609,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077736453","repostId":"2253060339","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253060339","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658541519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2253060339?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-07-23 09:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Going Up? It Might Depend on the Definition of Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253060339","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Not since Bill Clinton testified about the meaning of the word \"is\" has so much hinged on the meanin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Not since Bill Clinton testified about the meaning of the word "is" has so much hinged on the meaning of one simple word.</p><p>The word is " recession," and defining one isn't easy. It's usually up to the National Bureau of Economic Research to determine when one has started, but it often takes so long that the slowdown is over by the time one is declared. Others point to the technical definition of two consecutive quarters of declining economic growth -- something that could be declared as soon as this coming Thursday, when second-quarter gross domestic product is released. (The Atlanta Fed's GDP Now tool is indicating a potential contraction of 1.6%, the same as in the first quarter.)</p><p>This isn't merely semantics. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2% this past week, while the S&P 500 was up 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite notched a 3.3% gain. Whether or not we're in a recession, have already had one, or are heading into one isn't irrelevant when trying to interpret the stock market's gains.</p><p>If the technical definition of two consecutive down quarters is correct, then the economy is probably in a recession -- and it may be almost over. If that's the case, then it could be argued that the S&P 500's 24% drop from its January peak through its June low was the stock market reflecting the slowdown -- and the bottom wasn't just a bottom, but the bottom. Optimists could -- and will -- argue that the index's 8% rally since the June low is the start of a new bull market.</p><p>But the two-quarter rule might fall short in this case. Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, notes that the first quarter's decline was driven by a massive amount of imports relative to exports, while the second quarter's decline -- if, in fact, there was one -- will have been driven not by a lack of business activity but a drawdown of inventories. "Even if the 2Q GDP is negative, it is premature to say the U.S. economy is in a recession," Adam writes.</p><p>There can be no doubt that the economy is weakening, perhaps to a worrisome extent. This past Friday, we learned that the Markit Composite Purchasing Managers Index, which accounts for both services and manufacturing, fell to 47.5, below the 50 level that separates growth from contraction. The Conference Board's leading indicators also turned negative, while jobless claims continue to rise.</p><p>"If you have a monetary-policy-driven road to recession, it happens slowly, then suddenly," says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p>It's now up to the Federal Reserve to determine where the economy goes next, says John Silvia, who writes the Dynamic Economic Strategy newsletter. On one hand, the Fed could decide to keep fighting inflation until its target is reached, leading to a recession that lasts four quarters or more. It could also decide enough is enough, in which case the economy keeps growing, but inflation gets stuck around 4% to 5%. "[It's a] very complex give/take process with no simple linear solutions, " Silva says.</p><p>Don't expect the stock market to go in a straight line either.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Going Up? It Might Depend on the Definition of Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Going Up? It Might Depend on the Definition of Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-23 09:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Not since Bill Clinton testified about the meaning of the word "is" has so much hinged on the meaning of one simple word.</p><p>The word is " recession," and defining one isn't easy. It's usually up to the National Bureau of Economic Research to determine when one has started, but it often takes so long that the slowdown is over by the time one is declared. Others point to the technical definition of two consecutive quarters of declining economic growth -- something that could be declared as soon as this coming Thursday, when second-quarter gross domestic product is released. (The Atlanta Fed's GDP Now tool is indicating a potential contraction of 1.6%, the same as in the first quarter.)</p><p>This isn't merely semantics. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2% this past week, while the S&P 500 was up 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite notched a 3.3% gain. Whether or not we're in a recession, have already had one, or are heading into one isn't irrelevant when trying to interpret the stock market's gains.</p><p>If the technical definition of two consecutive down quarters is correct, then the economy is probably in a recession -- and it may be almost over. If that's the case, then it could be argued that the S&P 500's 24% drop from its January peak through its June low was the stock market reflecting the slowdown -- and the bottom wasn't just a bottom, but the bottom. Optimists could -- and will -- argue that the index's 8% rally since the June low is the start of a new bull market.</p><p>But the two-quarter rule might fall short in this case. Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, notes that the first quarter's decline was driven by a massive amount of imports relative to exports, while the second quarter's decline -- if, in fact, there was one -- will have been driven not by a lack of business activity but a drawdown of inventories. "Even if the 2Q GDP is negative, it is premature to say the U.S. economy is in a recession," Adam writes.</p><p>There can be no doubt that the economy is weakening, perhaps to a worrisome extent. This past Friday, we learned that the Markit Composite Purchasing Managers Index, which accounts for both services and manufacturing, fell to 47.5, below the 50 level that separates growth from contraction. The Conference Board's leading indicators also turned negative, while jobless claims continue to rise.</p><p>"If you have a monetary-policy-driven road to recession, it happens slowly, then suddenly," says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p>It's now up to the Federal Reserve to determine where the economy goes next, says John Silvia, who writes the Dynamic Economic Strategy newsletter. On one hand, the Fed could decide to keep fighting inflation until its target is reached, leading to a recession that lasts four quarters or more. It could also decide enough is enough, in which case the economy keeps growing, but inflation gets stuck around 4% to 5%. "[It's a] very complex give/take process with no simple linear solutions, " Silva says.</p><p>Don't expect the stock market to go in a straight line either.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253060339","content_text":"Not since Bill Clinton testified about the meaning of the word \"is\" has so much hinged on the meaning of one simple word.The word is \" recession,\" and defining one isn't easy. It's usually up to the National Bureau of Economic Research to determine when one has started, but it often takes so long that the slowdown is over by the time one is declared. Others point to the technical definition of two consecutive quarters of declining economic growth -- something that could be declared as soon as this coming Thursday, when second-quarter gross domestic product is released. (The Atlanta Fed's GDP Now tool is indicating a potential contraction of 1.6%, the same as in the first quarter.)This isn't merely semantics. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2% this past week, while the S&P 500 was up 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite notched a 3.3% gain. Whether or not we're in a recession, have already had one, or are heading into one isn't irrelevant when trying to interpret the stock market's gains.If the technical definition of two consecutive down quarters is correct, then the economy is probably in a recession -- and it may be almost over. If that's the case, then it could be argued that the S&P 500's 24% drop from its January peak through its June low was the stock market reflecting the slowdown -- and the bottom wasn't just a bottom, but the bottom. Optimists could -- and will -- argue that the index's 8% rally since the June low is the start of a new bull market.But the two-quarter rule might fall short in this case. Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James' private client group, notes that the first quarter's decline was driven by a massive amount of imports relative to exports, while the second quarter's decline -- if, in fact, there was one -- will have been driven not by a lack of business activity but a drawdown of inventories. \"Even if the 2Q GDP is negative, it is premature to say the U.S. economy is in a recession,\" Adam writes.There can be no doubt that the economy is weakening, perhaps to a worrisome extent. This past Friday, we learned that the Markit Composite Purchasing Managers Index, which accounts for both services and manufacturing, fell to 47.5, below the 50 level that separates growth from contraction. The Conference Board's leading indicators also turned negative, while jobless claims continue to rise.\"If you have a monetary-policy-driven road to recession, it happens slowly, then suddenly,\" says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.It's now up to the Federal Reserve to determine where the economy goes next, says John Silvia, who writes the Dynamic Economic Strategy newsletter. On one hand, the Fed could decide to keep fighting inflation until its target is reached, leading to a recession that lasts four quarters or more. It could also decide enough is enough, in which case the economy keeps growing, but inflation gets stuck around 4% to 5%. \"[It's a] very complex give/take process with no simple linear solutions, \" Silva says.Don't expect the stock market to go in a straight line either.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079393156,"gmtCreate":1657150487975,"gmtModify":1676535957551,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079393156","repostId":"1130426171","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130426171","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657132064,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130426171?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-07-07 02:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve Officials Saw Potential to Be More Hawkish If Inflation Persists","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130426171","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Federal Reserve officials in June emphasized the need to fight inflation even if it meant slowing an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve officials in June emphasized the need to fight inflation even if it meant slowing an economy that already appears on the brink of a recession, according to meeting minutes released Wednesday.</p><p>Members said the July meeting likely also would see another 50- or 75-basis point move. A basis point is one one-hundredth of 1 percentage point.</p><p>“In discussing potential policy actions at upcoming meetings, participants continued to anticipate that ongoing increases in the target range for the federal funds rate would be appropriate to achieve the Committee’s objectives,” the minutes stated. “In particular, participants judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the next meeting.”</p><p>In raising benchmark borrowing rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, central bankers said the move was necessary to control cost-of-living increases running at their highest levels since 1981.</p><p>“Participants concurred that the economic outlook warranted moving to a restrictive stance of policy, and they recognized the possibility that an even more restrictive stance could be appropriate if elevated inflation pressures were to persist,” the document said.</p><p>They acknowledged that the policy tightening likely would come with a price.</p><p>“Participants recognized that policy firming could slow the pace of economic growth for a time, but they saw the return of inflation to 2 percent as critical to achieving maximum employment on a sustained basis,” the meeting summary stated.</p><p>The move to hike rates by 75 basis points followed an unusual sequence in which policymakers appeared to have a last-minute change of heart after saying for weeks that a 50 basis point move was almost certain.</p><p>Following data showing consumer prices running at an 8.6% 12-month rate and inflation expectations rising, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee chose the more stringent path.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve Officials Saw Potential to Be More Hawkish If Inflation Persists</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve Officials Saw Potential to Be More Hawkish If Inflation Persists\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-07 02:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Federal Reserve officials in June emphasized the need to fight inflation even if it meant slowing an economy that already appears on the brink of a recession, according to meeting minutes released Wednesday.</p><p>Members said the July meeting likely also would see another 50- or 75-basis point move. A basis point is one one-hundredth of 1 percentage point.</p><p>“In discussing potential policy actions at upcoming meetings, participants continued to anticipate that ongoing increases in the target range for the federal funds rate would be appropriate to achieve the Committee’s objectives,” the minutes stated. “In particular, participants judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the next meeting.”</p><p>In raising benchmark borrowing rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, central bankers said the move was necessary to control cost-of-living increases running at their highest levels since 1981.</p><p>“Participants concurred that the economic outlook warranted moving to a restrictive stance of policy, and they recognized the possibility that an even more restrictive stance could be appropriate if elevated inflation pressures were to persist,” the document said.</p><p>They acknowledged that the policy tightening likely would come with a price.</p><p>“Participants recognized that policy firming could slow the pace of economic growth for a time, but they saw the return of inflation to 2 percent as critical to achieving maximum employment on a sustained basis,” the meeting summary stated.</p><p>The move to hike rates by 75 basis points followed an unusual sequence in which policymakers appeared to have a last-minute change of heart after saying for weeks that a 50 basis point move was almost certain.</p><p>Following data showing consumer prices running at an 8.6% 12-month rate and inflation expectations rising, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee chose the more stringent path.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130426171","content_text":"Federal Reserve officials in June emphasized the need to fight inflation even if it meant slowing an economy that already appears on the brink of a recession, according to meeting minutes released Wednesday.Members said the July meeting likely also would see another 50- or 75-basis point move. A basis point is one one-hundredth of 1 percentage point.“In discussing potential policy actions at upcoming meetings, participants continued to anticipate that ongoing increases in the target range for the federal funds rate would be appropriate to achieve the Committee’s objectives,” the minutes stated. “In particular, participants judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the next meeting.”In raising benchmark borrowing rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, central bankers said the move was necessary to control cost-of-living increases running at their highest levels since 1981.“Participants concurred that the economic outlook warranted moving to a restrictive stance of policy, and they recognized the possibility that an even more restrictive stance could be appropriate if elevated inflation pressures were to persist,” the document said.They acknowledged that the policy tightening likely would come with a price.“Participants recognized that policy firming could slow the pace of economic growth for a time, but they saw the return of inflation to 2 percent as critical to achieving maximum employment on a sustained basis,” the meeting summary stated.The move to hike rates by 75 basis points followed an unusual sequence in which policymakers appeared to have a last-minute change of heart after saying for weeks that a 50 basis point move was almost certain.Following data showing consumer prices running at an 8.6% 12-month rate and inflation expectations rising, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee chose the more stringent path.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994877720,"gmtCreate":1661613092062,"gmtModify":1676536549630,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994877720","repostId":"2262901563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995478529,"gmtCreate":1661508860562,"gmtModify":1676536532378,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia","listText":"Nvidia","text":"Nvidia","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995478529","repostId":"2262957925","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908752236,"gmtCreate":1659445936027,"gmtModify":1705980415256,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908752236","repostId":"1188690484","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079399676,"gmtCreate":1657150478195,"gmtModify":1676535957527,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079399676","repostId":"1103023863","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103023863","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657150083,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103023863?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-07-07 07:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Growth Stocks Are Soaring as a Recession Looms Large","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103023863","media":"investorplace","summary":"Investors will increasingly pivot into growth stocks that can power through an economic slowdown.The","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Investors will increasingly pivot into growth stocks that can power through an economic slowdown.</li><li>The 5-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year yesterday for the first time this cycle.</li><li>Since yields are plunging, we think this recession-driven selloff is at that critical tipping point where growth stocks start to surge.</li></ul><p>Like it or not, a <b>recession</b> is coming. And Wall Street is finally preparing.</p><p>Yesterday, bond yields and commodity prices plunged while stocks struggled. That’s exactly what you’d expect as investors prep for a recession over the next 12 months.</p><p>But guess what else happened? <b>Investors piled into growth stocks</b>. The signature portfolio in our <b><i>Innovation Investor</i></b> investment research advisory comprises <b>the top 10 growth stocks to buy right now</b>. And it soared more than 6% yesterday!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dec2966c935c9760232b4c9c440118f\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This is also typical “recession prep” trading action.</p><p>Usually, when a recession hits, investors seek growth stocks that have so much momentum, they’ll grow through the storm. Not to mention, those same growth stocks also benefit from the lower bond yields that typically accompany recessions.</p><p>Therefore, yesterday’s huge move higher in growth stocks isn’t surprising.</p><p>It’s also just the beginning of something much, much bigger…</p><p>The reality is that the U.S. economy is spiraling into a recession. Wall Street has long neglected this. Finally, investors are waking up. Over the next six months, investors will prepare for and navigate through a recession. And they’ll increasingly pivot into growth stocks that power through an economic slowdown.</p><p>Net-net — growth stocks are in the early stages of a big multi-month breakout.</p><h2>Recession Incoming</h2><p>One of the best recession signals in the markets is a <b>yield curve inversion</b>.</p><p>In short, the U.S. government issues a bunch of “bonds” with different maturity dates. Typically, the Treasuries with shorter maturity dates have lower yields than those with longer maturities. That indicates that investors require more return to hold a certain security for a longer period.</p><p>However, when investors get nervous about a recession, they don’t want to hold short-term bonds. Their confidence in the near-term outlook for the economy is reduced. So, they sell short-term bonds and buy long-term ones instead. This pushes short yields higher and long yields lower. When this dynamic becomes extreme, long yields fall below short yields. This is called a yield curve inversion.</p><p>Yield curve inversions are rare. They only happen about once a decade. <b>But when they do happen, they’re almost always followed by a recession.</b></p><p>Yesterday, the yield curve inverted as the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year. Some of you may recall that this 10-2 inversion happened once before in 2022. It did. But what we haven’t seen so far in 2022 — and, indeed, haven’t seen since the months before the COVID-driven recession and before that, 2007 — is a “5-2 inversion.” That’s when the 5-year Treasury yield drops below 2-year.</p><p>That happened yesterday for the first time this cycle. Such an inversion is pretty much a surefire recession indicator.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb348086ec4ba7f6e9d3efa4012a7ad8\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the bond market is the biggest market in the world. And it’s flashing its biggest warning signal yet that a recession’s on the horizon.</p><p>We’d be fools not to listen.</p><p>That’s why Wall Street played “recession prep” so strongly yesterday. Yields plunged. Commodities crashed. Stocks struggled.</p><h2>Growth Stocks Thrive in Recessions</h2><p>Many investors think that recessions kill all stocks. That’s not true. Recessions impact all stocks differently. And when it comes to growth stocks, recessions can actually be beneficial.</p><p>The reasoning is two-fold.</p><p><b>First</b>, recessions create a scarcity of earnings growth. This pushes investors to allocate funds into the stocks that can still create strong earnings growth despite a no-growth environment. (Those are secular growth stocks).</p><p><b>Second</b>, recessions push bond yields lower. And when bond yields go lower, the future cash flows upon which growth stocks are valued become worth more today. (That’s because bond yields are used as a proxy for the discount rate on those cash flows).</p><p>In other words, investors pile into growth stocks during recessions because they can keep growing. And they benefit from the lower yields that accompany recessions.</p><p>Makes sense, right?</p><p>This is more than just theory. Look at the last “real” recession the U.S. faced in 2008.</p><p>During that downturn, there was a five-month stretch at the end of the market’s selloff where the <b>S&P 500</b> and <b>Dow Jones</b> both dropped about 10%. Yet growth stocks like <b>Amazon</b>(Nasdaq:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>), <b>Netflix</b>(Nasdaq:<b><u>NFLX</u></b>) and <b>Booking</b>(Nasdaq:<b><u>BKNG</u></b>) all rose more than 50%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da43cc3c7710e30c731d7a49ea6680a3\" tg-width=\"1430\" tg-height=\"1009\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>It was the same with the recession before that. In 2001-02, there was a year-long stretch where the stock market dropped more than 20% as the economy’s growth slowed. Yet, over that same period, growth stocks like Amazon rose nearly 150%!</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c9a3e3684b35cfb1574b1f66054a21\" tg-width=\"1430\" tg-height=\"951\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In every recession-driven stock market selloff, there comes a point where investors start piling into growth stocks to play defense.</p><p><b>We think we’re at that point today.</b></p><p>Usually, it happens when yields start to plunge. In the early 2000s, yields took a dive in mid-2001. And that’s when growth stocks started to soar as the rest of the market struggled. In 2008, yields dropped in late 2008, and growth stocks began to roar as the rest of the market slumped.</p><p>Today, yields are plunging. The 10-year was 3.5% just a week ago. Now it’s at 2.8%.</p><p>Yields are plunging. And as such, we think this recession-driven selloff is at that critical tipping point where <b>growth stocks start to surge.</b></p><h2>The Final Word on Growth Stocks</h2><p>History doesn’t repeat – but it does rhyme.</p><p>Every time a recession hits the stock market, the cycle is simple:</p><ol><li>Recession fears emerge. Stocks and bonds drop as investors sell everything.</li><li>Recession fears are confirmed, leading investors to rush into bonds for safety. Yields drop.</li><li>As yields drop, growth stocks start to rise and even surge, but the rest of the market drops.</li><li>The recession ends, and the whole market rebounds.</li></ol><p>Right now, we are between steps two and three. Recession fears have been all but confirmed. Investors are rushing into bonds. Yields are plunging. And growth stocks are starting to rise from the ashes.</p><p>What comes next? <b>A mega-rally in growth stocks</b>… while the rest of the market flops.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Growth Stocks Are Soaring as a Recession Looms Large</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrowth Stocks Are Soaring as a Recession Looms Large\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-07 07:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-are-soaring-as-a-recession-looms-large/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors will increasingly pivot into growth stocks that can power through an economic slowdown.The 5-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year yesterday for the first time this cycle.Since yields...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-are-soaring-as-a-recession-looms-large/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/07/growth-stocks-are-soaring-as-a-recession-looms-large/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103023863","content_text":"Investors will increasingly pivot into growth stocks that can power through an economic slowdown.The 5-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year yesterday for the first time this cycle.Since yields are plunging, we think this recession-driven selloff is at that critical tipping point where growth stocks start to surge.Like it or not, a recession is coming. And Wall Street is finally preparing.Yesterday, bond yields and commodity prices plunged while stocks struggled. That’s exactly what you’d expect as investors prep for a recession over the next 12 months.But guess what else happened? Investors piled into growth stocks. The signature portfolio in our Innovation Investor investment research advisory comprises the top 10 growth stocks to buy right now. And it soared more than 6% yesterday!This is also typical “recession prep” trading action.Usually, when a recession hits, investors seek growth stocks that have so much momentum, they’ll grow through the storm. Not to mention, those same growth stocks also benefit from the lower bond yields that typically accompany recessions.Therefore, yesterday’s huge move higher in growth stocks isn’t surprising.It’s also just the beginning of something much, much bigger…The reality is that the U.S. economy is spiraling into a recession. Wall Street has long neglected this. Finally, investors are waking up. Over the next six months, investors will prepare for and navigate through a recession. And they’ll increasingly pivot into growth stocks that power through an economic slowdown.Net-net — growth stocks are in the early stages of a big multi-month breakout.Recession IncomingOne of the best recession signals in the markets is a yield curve inversion.In short, the U.S. government issues a bunch of “bonds” with different maturity dates. Typically, the Treasuries with shorter maturity dates have lower yields than those with longer maturities. That indicates that investors require more return to hold a certain security for a longer period.However, when investors get nervous about a recession, they don’t want to hold short-term bonds. Their confidence in the near-term outlook for the economy is reduced. So, they sell short-term bonds and buy long-term ones instead. This pushes short yields higher and long yields lower. When this dynamic becomes extreme, long yields fall below short yields. This is called a yield curve inversion.Yield curve inversions are rare. They only happen about once a decade. But when they do happen, they’re almost always followed by a recession.Yesterday, the yield curve inverted as the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year. Some of you may recall that this 10-2 inversion happened once before in 2022. It did. But what we haven’t seen so far in 2022 — and, indeed, haven’t seen since the months before the COVID-driven recession and before that, 2007 — is a “5-2 inversion.” That’s when the 5-year Treasury yield drops below 2-year.That happened yesterday for the first time this cycle. Such an inversion is pretty much a surefire recession indicator.In other words, the bond market is the biggest market in the world. And it’s flashing its biggest warning signal yet that a recession’s on the horizon.We’d be fools not to listen.That’s why Wall Street played “recession prep” so strongly yesterday. Yields plunged. Commodities crashed. Stocks struggled.Growth Stocks Thrive in RecessionsMany investors think that recessions kill all stocks. That’s not true. Recessions impact all stocks differently. And when it comes to growth stocks, recessions can actually be beneficial.The reasoning is two-fold.First, recessions create a scarcity of earnings growth. This pushes investors to allocate funds into the stocks that can still create strong earnings growth despite a no-growth environment. (Those are secular growth stocks).Second, recessions push bond yields lower. And when bond yields go lower, the future cash flows upon which growth stocks are valued become worth more today. (That’s because bond yields are used as a proxy for the discount rate on those cash flows).In other words, investors pile into growth stocks during recessions because they can keep growing. And they benefit from the lower yields that accompany recessions.Makes sense, right?This is more than just theory. Look at the last “real” recession the U.S. faced in 2008.During that downturn, there was a five-month stretch at the end of the market’s selloff where the S&P 500 and Dow Jones both dropped about 10%. Yet growth stocks like Amazon(Nasdaq:AMZN), Netflix(Nasdaq:NFLX) and Booking(Nasdaq:BKNG) all rose more than 50%.It was the same with the recession before that. In 2001-02, there was a year-long stretch where the stock market dropped more than 20% as the economy’s growth slowed. Yet, over that same period, growth stocks like Amazon rose nearly 150%!In every recession-driven stock market selloff, there comes a point where investors start piling into growth stocks to play defense.We think we’re at that point today.Usually, it happens when yields start to plunge. In the early 2000s, yields took a dive in mid-2001. And that’s when growth stocks started to soar as the rest of the market struggled. In 2008, yields dropped in late 2008, and growth stocks began to roar as the rest of the market slumped.Today, yields are plunging. The 10-year was 3.5% just a week ago. Now it’s at 2.8%.Yields are plunging. And as such, we think this recession-driven selloff is at that critical tipping point where growth stocks start to surge.The Final Word on Growth StocksHistory doesn’t repeat – but it does rhyme.Every time a recession hits the stock market, the cycle is simple:Recession fears emerge. Stocks and bonds drop as investors sell everything.Recession fears are confirmed, leading investors to rush into bonds for safety. Yields drop.As yields drop, growth stocks start to rise and even surge, but the rest of the market drops.The recession ends, and the whole market rebounds.Right now, we are between steps two and three. Recession fears have been all but confirmed. Investors are rushing into bonds. Yields are plunging. And growth stocks are starting to rise from the ashes.What comes next? A mega-rally in growth stocks… while the rest of the market flops.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}