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haiwei183

haiwei183

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2025-04-30

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An article summarizes the important highlights of the minutes of the overnight Fed meeting!

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15:03","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Chinese faces in Ukraine, how are they doing now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2214180192","media":"经济观察报","summary":"留学并留在乌克兰的中国人不在少数。","content":"<p><div>(Photo source: Oriental IC) Reporter: Xie Chuchu Song Di evacuated At around 6 a.m. local time on February 24, Roland was awakened by the sound of a phone call. Her friend told her that the war had begun and told her to evacuate Kiev. She quickly told her family to get up and pack their clothes and bags, and ran to the west with a few students. On February 24, Beijing time, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to conduct military operations in Donbas. On the same day, explosions were heard in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, and other cities. Just as Roland was loading his luggage in the trunk, a military plane roared overhead. Roland was shocked and hurriedly set off on his way. \"This is the closest I've ever been to a war.\"...</p><p><a href=\"\">Web link</a></div></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese faces in Ukraine, how are they doing now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese faces in Ukraine, how are they doing now\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1014835943\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/53947f6c3e232c366cc0bd0fd311397d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">经济观察报 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-02-26 15:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>(Photo source: Oriental IC) Reporter: Xie Chuchu Song Di evacuated At around 6 a.m. local time on February 24, Roland was awakened by the sound of a phone call. Her friend told her that the war had begun and told her to evacuate Kiev. She quickly told her family to get up and pack their clothes and bags, and ran to the west with a few students. On February 24, Beijing time, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to conduct military operations in Donbas. On the same day, explosions were heard in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, and other cities. Just as Roland was loading his luggage in the trunk, a military plane roared overhead. Roland was shocked and hurriedly set off on his way. \"This is the closest I've ever been to a war.\"...</p><p><a href=\"\">Web link</a></div></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6f0ea65681c95c05fc970eb3496d5d","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2214180192","content_text":"（图片来源：东方IC）记者：谢楚楚 宋笛撤离当地时间2月24日早上6点多，罗兰被电话声吵醒，朋友告诉她战争开始了，让她最好撤离基辅。她赶紧叫家人起来收拾衣服、打包行李，带着几个学生，奔往西部。北京时间2月24日，俄罗斯总统普京决定在顿巴斯进行军事行动，同日，乌克兰首都基辅等城市传出爆炸声。就在罗兰往后备箱装行李时，一架军事飞机从头顶轰鸣而过，罗兰心中一惊，赶忙启程上路。“这是我离战争最近的一次。”罗兰说。小心翼翼，一路向西，罗兰看到了坦克部队在对面逆向而过，沿途的加油站排起了长队，“只能付现金”。直到当晚抵达位于乌克兰西北部的罗夫诺州，罗兰才安顿下来，四周静悄悄的，没有了枪炮的声音，但一家人依然睡得心惊胆战。罗兰对战争的爆发早有预期，经历过2014年乌克兰革命的罗兰颇具警觉性，此前数天，她就已经把家里的护照和文件收拾妥当，并储备了一定的食物和生活用品。与警觉的罗兰不同，一些在乌华人没有选择逃离基辅。一位在乌克兰从事医药贸易的华人告诉经济观察报，她昨晚一夜没睡，躲在防空洞里，一直到2月25日下午才敢回家中收拾东西，准备撤侨回国。截稿前，这位华人又回到地下车库躲避，当地已经实行宵禁，因为车库信号不好，她在出车库临时回复国内长辈信息时才抽空告知记者她的现状，随后又匆匆赶回车库。2月22日，中国驻乌克兰大使馆网站发出了一份请中国公民注意安全的提醒，提醒中提及“乌克兰东部局势发生重大变化”，2月24日又一次发布该提醒；2月25日，大使馆发布紧急通知请拟自乌克兰撤离中国公民进行登记，通知表示为准备分批包机接返有关事宜，现开始人员登记。搭乘包机根据自愿原则。包机派出时间根据飞行安全情况确定，届时将提前通知。李牧之已经下定决心，不打算撤离，他还不清楚大使馆会怎样安排相关人员，比如资费、隔离政策等，他觉得如果要隔离“14+7”天，那还不如留在这里。李牧之乐观地判断，目前局势不太会影响到普通老百姓和居民，回国的必要性不大。李牧之是一位赴乌克兰留学的中国学生。2月24日凌晨四五点左右，睡梦中的李牧之被国内亲戚朋友频繁发来的信息轰炸至醒。在亲戚朋友口中得知俄罗斯将对乌克兰发起军事攻击之后，他决定下楼看看具体情况，因为他并没有听到任何大的动静。李牧之住在距离基辅市中心不远的地方。当地时间24日下午，李牧之来到基辅市中心街道，发现一些媒体在做采访，街上人变少了，除了卖衣服的大型商场、KFC、麦当劳等饮食餐厅关门之外，大型超市、医院、银行、药店未关门。但各个地方都需要排队。在前往市中心了解情况时，李牧之发现地铁是免费开放的，地铁上能看到一些人已经打包好行李准备离开，周边社区出现了少数穿制服的警察，但未看到士兵。他听说，基辅有些人选择了去其他城市避难，有些人选择了在防空洞里面睡觉。“但我们就在家待着，绝大多数人还是在家里待着”。王旭就是在家呆着的其中一位，他在乌克兰的哈尔科夫市，“炮弹不长眼，也不知道安全不安全”，在截稿前一个半小时，还发生了一场持续两三分钟的空袭，王旭赶紧把食物转移到车库内，地下车库聚集了很多邻居。此外，乌克兰已经进入战争状态，按照当地法律，军队有权征用车辆，王旭也不打算去其他的城市，“最好还是呆在家里”。李牧之的一位朋友住在敖德萨，这也是俄军所涉之处。听闻局势动荡，李牧之的朋友也拿起了单反相机外出拍摄记录。他告诉李牧之，外面一切安好。生计与生活直到2月24日，王旭觉得在乌克兰的一切都在正常进行，尽管与俄罗斯矛盾已经持续了若干年。2007年，王旭来到乌克兰留学，因为“当地的留学费用毕竟低一些”，毕业后，王旭留在了一家中国企业的乌克兰分公司，从事机床零件贸易，主要做的是俄语区的贸易。他的妻子是乌克兰人，哈尔科夫是一座“说大不大，说小不小”的城市，上班之外，周末的时间就是和朋友聚会，在附近的商场转一转。像王旭这样，留学并留在乌克兰的中国人不在少数。2009年，因为家里企业和乌克兰有合作，罗兰来到乌克兰留学，毕业后留在了当地，与一名中国留学生相识相爱，走入婚姻。罗兰对教育很感兴趣，在大学毕业后，罗兰和朋友因缘际会下创业，做了一家留学机构，这两年公司发展还不错。目前，罗兰一家在基辅买了房和车，两个孩子也在基辅上学，一个5岁，一个3岁，一家人保持中国国籍。疫情之前，他们一年回中国一到两次，疫情后回国不太方便。战争打响后，罗兰被朋友拉入一些华人互助群，群里互相交换信息提供帮助，比如有人会报安全的防空洞地址，有人要去西部，车上还有空位会在群里问有没有人要拼车。据中国驻乌克兰大使馆发布的信息，在乌中国公民约6000人，包括中资企业、留学生和华侨等，主要分布在基辅、利沃夫、哈尔科夫、敖德萨和苏梅等地。2019年，李牧之曾赴乌克兰旅游，2021年6月底再次来到乌克兰留学，虽然这个国家的“昔日辉煌”已不再，但李牧之还是很喜欢它，他决定在这个国家生活一段时间，“乌克兰人外表生冷，内心火热”，李牧之说。如果战争没有发生，李牧之还能照常约朋友到基辅独立广场碰面，在第聂伯河河边散步。但面对如此局面，李牧之并不感到意外。“2014年到现在，他们小规模的战争其实就没停过，只是双方原来的事态没发展到这么严重。这么多年以来，乌克兰边境地区顿涅茨克和俄罗斯的边境地区，一直在擦枪走火”。贸易网络上的中国面孔2021年5月30日，装载着100个标准集装箱的中欧班列自广州白云大朗铁路货运站启程，目的地是乌克兰第四大城市敖德萨。行程全程为8408公里，预计行驶25天，车辆上满载着割草机、电饭锅、茶叶等货物，货重约646吨，货值1059万元人民币。这是华南地区首趟直达乌克兰的中欧班列，也是中国首列开往敖德萨的中欧班列。自2020年开通以来，中国直达乌克兰的中欧班列已经开行57列。2019年，乌克兰海关统计，该年一季度，乌克兰对华贸易占比超过俄罗斯，中国成为乌克兰的第一大贸易伙伴。在2021年，乌克兰与全球235个国家开展了对外贸易。其中，对中国出口最多，达到80多亿元，其中包括1700多万吨铁矿石，823万吨玉米以及300余万吨大麦；同时又从中国进口了100余亿元商品，主要是三轮车、踏板车、踏板汽车等，还包括电话机、杀虫剂以及箱包日用品等。2022年1月14日，新华社刚刚刊发了一篇题为《2021年中乌务实合作取得丰硕成果——访中国驻乌克兰大使范先荣》的文章，范先荣在接受采访时表示，“2021年中乌务实合作在双边贸易、生产投资、交通往来等多方面亮点纷呈。面对新冠肺炎疫情冲击，双边务实合作展现出强劲韧性和巨大潜力”。俄乌冲突也让国内的贸易商也受到了影响。义乌的部分乌克兰贸易企业已经暂时停摆。义乌小商品城的商户告诉经济观察报，目前市场内不安排做发往乌克兰的货品，即使送到了外贸公司也要拉回来，已经在宁波港口的也准备撤回义乌仓库。另一位长期从事对乌贸易的出口企业也收到了对方暂停发货的通知，“什么时候能恢复，我也预计不到。”他说。乌克兰何时能够恢复常态？尚无人能够给出一个准确的信息，但一些华人已经开始怀念此前平凡而日常的生活。“希望早一天能结束，能恢复一切，如常的平静，对老百姓能正常的生活，我觉得这就够了。”李牧之说。福建商人孙晨来乌克兰27年了，主要做鞋的批发生意。他判断战争很难短时间停下来，因此如果撤侨包机来了，肯定会考虑先回国的，之后就要看当地的情况了。“毕竟在这有车有房的，乌克兰百姓也好，（生活）已经习惯了，这里也算得上是第二个故乡。”孙晨说。王旭也希望在政局稳定后再回来，毕竟积累的业务资源都在这里，如果要离开乌克兰，就意味着要重新开始。罗兰一家人都非常喜欢在乌克兰的生活，不打仗的日子是平凡且幸福的，但她深知，乌克兰并不是一个太平的国度。他们在驱车往西的路上，罗兰收到大使馆的消息，大使馆正在统计回国的人数，罗兰一家人都报名了，目前他们正在等待大使馆通知什么时候、以什么方式回到中国。“如果需要我们就撤，但战争结束后我们还想回来，因为我们的房子、车子和工作都在这里。”罗兰说。（应受访者要求，文中罗兰、孙晨为化名）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079381350,"gmtCreate":1657151854270,"gmtModify":1676535958363,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"look","listText":"look","text":"look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079381350","repostId":"1177613805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177613805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657148501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177613805?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-07 07:01","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"An article summarizes the important highlights of the minutes of the overnight Fed meeting!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177613805","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摘要：6月会上美联储官员认为，7月会议可能适合加息75个基点或50个基点；通胀降至2%需要时间，加息可能导致一段时间经济放缓，但充分就业的关键是降通胀；目前有高通胀根深蒂固的风险，担心5月CPI暗示通","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Summary: At the June meeting, Fed officials believe that the July meeting may be suitable for a rate hike of 75 basis points or 50 basis points; It will take time for inflation to drop to 2%, and rate hike may lead to a period of economic slowdown, but the key to full employment is to reduce inflation; At present, there is a deep-rooted risk of high inflation, and there is concern that the May CPI suggests that inflation will last longer than previously expected; If inflation expectations get out of control, reducing inflation will pay a higher price. Minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday, July 6, Eastern Time showed that at the June monetary policy meeting, Federal Reserve officials admitted that rate hike may lead to a slowdown in economic growth, but believed that it may take a longer rate hike to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched. Because the outlook for inflation has deteriorated, interest rates need to be raised to restrictive levels that deliberately slow down the economy.</p><p>At the same time, the minutes confirmed that the Fed will discuss at this month's meeting whether to continue the rate hike by 75 basis points or slow it down to 50 basis points.</p><p>According to media comments, some investors believe that the hawkish stance reiterated by the Federal Reserve at its June meeting is outdated, considering that recent data shows that economic growth is slightly slower. This pushed U.S. stocks higher during the session, and the three major indexes that turned down more than once during the session completely got rid of the decline.</p><p>July meeting to consider whether to rate hike another 75 basis points</p><p>The Federal Reserve's June meeting decided on a 75 basis point rate hike, the strongest rate hike in more than 27 years. The minutes of this meeting showed that almost all Fed policymakers agreed to June because the labor market supply is very tight, inflation is much higher than the inflation target of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee FOMC of 2%, and the recent inflation outlook has deteriorated since the May Fed meeting. rate hike was 75 basis points, and only one voted against rate hike 50 basis points.</p><p>When discussing possible policy actions at future meetings, the participating officials still expect that it is appropriate to continue the rate hike in the future. The minutes specifically mentioned:</p><p>Participants decided that the next meeting (Wall Street News Note: That is<b>July meeting</b>）<b>Could fit rate hike 75 basis points or 50 basis points</b>。<b>Attendees</b>It is agreed that the economic outlook guarantees a restrictive stance on (monetary) policy. And they<b>Recognize that if high inflationary pressures persist, the stance may even be more restrictive</b>(even more restrictive). It will take time for inflation to fall to 2% rate hike could lead to a period of economic slowdown</p><p>The minutes showed that at the June meeting, Fed policymakers predicted that it would take time to reduce inflation, and that lowering inflation would come at a price of possible slowdown in economic growth.</p><p>Participants believe that the Russia-Ukraine conflict, China's epidemic prevention and other factors restricting the supply environment will affect the inflation outlook, and it may take some time for inflation to fall back to the Fed target. Participants also decided that maintaining a strong labor market in the process of bringing inflation down to 2% will depend on many factors affecting supply and demand. Participants recognized that firm policies could slow economic growth for some time, but they expected that bringing inflation back to 2% was the key to achieving sustained full employment. There are deep-rooted risks of high inflation, concerns that May CPI suggests inflation lasts longer than previously expected</p><p>According to the minutes, Fed policymakers at the meeting believed that since inflation is much higher than the Fed's target level, the Fed needs to change to a restrictive policy stance to achieve the dual goals of full employment and price stability. Moreover, from a risk management perspective, because once inflation is higher than expected, the Fed can be in a better position to strengthen its restrictive efforts.</p><p>many participants judged that,<b>Now the big risk for the (FOMC) committee is</b>，<b>If the public begins to doubt whether the Committee can ensure its determination to adjust its policy stance, high inflation may become deeply ingrained.</b>In this regard, participants stressed that appropriately firm monetary policy, coupled with clear and effective communication, are essential to restoring price stability. In terms of inflation, Fed officials at the meeting pointed out that inflation is still too high and continues to be well above the long-term target of 2%.</p><p>Attendees<b>worry</b>，<b>May CPI data suggests inflationary pressures have not shown signs of abating</b>。 Many people (a number of) treat this as<b>Reinforces the view that inflation will be more persistent than they previously expected</b>。 Inflation has upside risks such as rising commodity prices. If inflation expectations get out of control, inflation will pay a higher price</p><p>When assessing the economy, Fed officials attending the meeting emphasized that they are very concerned about inflation risks and closely monitor inflation and developments related to inflation expectations.</p><p>Most participants believed that the risk of inflation was on the upside side, citing a variety of related risks, including ongoing supply bottlenecks and rising energy and commodity prices. Participants determined that the uncertainty of economic growth in the next few years is high.</p><p>Most participants assessed that the outlook for economic growth has downside risks. The downside risks include that further tightening of the financial environment will have a greater negative impact on economic activities than expected, and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and China's epidemic prevention on economic growth. The impact exceeded expectations.</p><p>On inflation expectations, the minutes showed that,</p><p>While indicators of long-term inflation expectations from household surveys, professional forecasters and market participants are generally consistent with the FOMC Committee's long-term inflation target of 2%,<b>Many participants are worried that long-term inflation expectations may begin to rise to levels that are not in line with the 2% target. These participants pointed out that if inflation expectations get out of control, it will cost more to let inflation fall back to the FOMC target</b>。 Market reaction</p><p>After the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released at midday, U.S. stocks first fell back and then soon rose in the short term. The three major U.S. stock indexes all rose intraday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7d417276ecc91e848c333fe109e392e\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The US Dollar Index fluctuated upward, breaking through 107.00 in the short term and then quickly returning to 107.00, approaching the high since December 2002 set by US stocks approaching 107.30 in early trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0996cbbf2789acffe0ee8b062ca07b1e\" tg-width=\"714\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield maintained its upward trend. After the minutes were released, it stood at 2.90%. It once rose above 2.92% to set a new daily high. The intraday increase exceeded 10 basis points, which was higher than the intraday test of 2.75% in European stocks on Wednesday. It has rebounded by about 17 basis points from a low in more than one month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fdc9bfee7abd837e8a41feed40e5761\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>An article summarizes the important highlights of the minutes of the overnight Fed meeting!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAn article summarizes the important highlights of the minutes of the overnight Fed meeting!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-07-07 07:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Summary: At the June meeting, Fed officials believe that the July meeting may be suitable for a rate hike of 75 basis points or 50 basis points; It will take time for inflation to drop to 2%, and rate hike may lead to a period of economic slowdown, but the key to full employment is to reduce inflation; At present, there is a deep-rooted risk of high inflation, and there is concern that the May CPI suggests that inflation will last longer than previously expected; If inflation expectations get out of control, reducing inflation will pay a higher price. Minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday, July 6, Eastern Time showed that at the June monetary policy meeting, Federal Reserve officials admitted that rate hike may lead to a slowdown in economic growth, but believed that it may take a longer rate hike to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched. Because the outlook for inflation has deteriorated, interest rates need to be raised to restrictive levels that deliberately slow down the economy.</p><p>At the same time, the minutes confirmed that the Fed will discuss at this month's meeting whether to continue the rate hike by 75 basis points or slow it down to 50 basis points.</p><p>According to media comments, some investors believe that the hawkish stance reiterated by the Federal Reserve at its June meeting is outdated, considering that recent data shows that economic growth is slightly slower. This pushed U.S. stocks higher during the session, and the three major indexes that turned down more than once during the session completely got rid of the decline.</p><p>July meeting to consider whether to rate hike another 75 basis points</p><p>The Federal Reserve's June meeting decided on a 75 basis point rate hike, the strongest rate hike in more than 27 years. The minutes of this meeting showed that almost all Fed policymakers agreed to June because the labor market supply is very tight, inflation is much higher than the inflation target of the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Committee FOMC of 2%, and the recent inflation outlook has deteriorated since the May Fed meeting. rate hike was 75 basis points, and only one voted against rate hike 50 basis points.</p><p>When discussing possible policy actions at future meetings, the participating officials still expect that it is appropriate to continue the rate hike in the future. The minutes specifically mentioned:</p><p>Participants decided that the next meeting (Wall Street News Note: That is<b>July meeting</b>）<b>Could fit rate hike 75 basis points or 50 basis points</b>。<b>Attendees</b>It is agreed that the economic outlook guarantees a restrictive stance on (monetary) policy. And they<b>Recognize that if high inflationary pressures persist, the stance may even be more restrictive</b>(even more restrictive). It will take time for inflation to fall to 2% rate hike could lead to a period of economic slowdown</p><p>The minutes showed that at the June meeting, Fed policymakers predicted that it would take time to reduce inflation, and that lowering inflation would come at a price of possible slowdown in economic growth.</p><p>Participants believe that the Russia-Ukraine conflict, China's epidemic prevention and other factors restricting the supply environment will affect the inflation outlook, and it may take some time for inflation to fall back to the Fed target. Participants also decided that maintaining a strong labor market in the process of bringing inflation down to 2% will depend on many factors affecting supply and demand. Participants recognized that firm policies could slow economic growth for some time, but they expected that bringing inflation back to 2% was the key to achieving sustained full employment. There are deep-rooted risks of high inflation, concerns that May CPI suggests inflation lasts longer than previously expected</p><p>According to the minutes, Fed policymakers at the meeting believed that since inflation is much higher than the Fed's target level, the Fed needs to change to a restrictive policy stance to achieve the dual goals of full employment and price stability. Moreover, from a risk management perspective, because once inflation is higher than expected, the Fed can be in a better position to strengthen its restrictive efforts.</p><p>many participants judged that,<b>Now the big risk for the (FOMC) committee is</b>，<b>If the public begins to doubt whether the Committee can ensure its determination to adjust its policy stance, high inflation may become deeply ingrained.</b>In this regard, participants stressed that appropriately firm monetary policy, coupled with clear and effective communication, are essential to restoring price stability. In terms of inflation, Fed officials at the meeting pointed out that inflation is still too high and continues to be well above the long-term target of 2%.</p><p>Attendees<b>worry</b>，<b>May CPI data suggests inflationary pressures have not shown signs of abating</b>。 Many people (a number of) treat this as<b>Reinforces the view that inflation will be more persistent than they previously expected</b>。 Inflation has upside risks such as rising commodity prices. If inflation expectations get out of control, inflation will pay a higher price</p><p>When assessing the economy, Fed officials attending the meeting emphasized that they are very concerned about inflation risks and closely monitor inflation and developments related to inflation expectations.</p><p>Most participants believed that the risk of inflation was on the upside side, citing a variety of related risks, including ongoing supply bottlenecks and rising energy and commodity prices. Participants determined that the uncertainty of economic growth in the next few years is high.</p><p>Most participants assessed that the outlook for economic growth has downside risks. The downside risks include that further tightening of the financial environment will have a greater negative impact on economic activities than expected, and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and China's epidemic prevention on economic growth. The impact exceeded expectations.</p><p>On inflation expectations, the minutes showed that,</p><p>While indicators of long-term inflation expectations from household surveys, professional forecasters and market participants are generally consistent with the FOMC Committee's long-term inflation target of 2%,<b>Many participants are worried that long-term inflation expectations may begin to rise to levels that are not in line with the 2% target. These participants pointed out that if inflation expectations get out of control, it will cost more to let inflation fall back to the FOMC target</b>。 Market reaction</p><p>After the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released at midday, U.S. stocks first fell back and then soon rose in the short term. The three major U.S. stock indexes all rose intraday.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7d417276ecc91e848c333fe109e392e\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The US Dollar Index fluctuated upward, breaking through 107.00 in the short term and then quickly returning to 107.00, approaching the high since December 2002 set by US stocks approaching 107.30 in early trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0996cbbf2789acffe0ee8b062ca07b1e\" tg-width=\"714\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield maintained its upward trend. After the minutes were released, it stood at 2.90%. It once rose above 2.92% to set a new daily high. The intraday increase exceeded 10 basis points, which was higher than the intraday test of 2.75% in European stocks on Wednesday. It has rebounded by about 17 basis points from a low in more than one month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fdc9bfee7abd837e8a41feed40e5761\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3664052\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/123472eab1159c5e881f8e540a346014","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3664052","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1177613805","content_text":"摘要：6月会上美联储官员认为，7月会议可能适合加息75个基点或50个基点；通胀降至2%需要时间，加息可能导致一段时间经济放缓，但充分就业的关键是降通胀；目前有高通胀根深蒂固的风险，担心5月CPI暗示通胀会比之前预期持续得更久；若通胀预期失控，降通胀将付出更高代价。美东时间7月6日周三公布的会议纪要显示，6月货币政策会议上，美联储官员承认加息可能导致经济增长放慢，但认为，要避免高通胀变得根深蒂固，可能需要加息时间持续更久。因为通胀前景已恶化，需要让利率升至刻意让经济放缓的限制性水平。同时纪要确认了，联储将在本月的会议上讨论是继续加息75个基点，还是将幅度放缓到50个基点。媒体评论称，考虑到新近数据显示经济增长略为更加放缓，一些投资者认为，美联储在6月会上重申的鹰派立场已经过时。这推动美股盘中走高，盘中不止一次转跌的三大指数彻底摆脱跌势。7月会议考虑是否再加息75个基点美联储6月会议决定加息75个基点，为逾二十七年最大力度加息。本次会议纪要显示，因为考虑到劳动力市场供应非常紧张、通胀远高于美联储货币政策委员会FOMC的通胀目标2%、近期通胀前景自5月联储会议以来已经恶化，几乎所有联储决策者都同意6月加息75个基点，只有一人因支持加息50个基点而投反对票。在讨论未来几次会议可能采取的政策行动时，与会官员依然预期适合未来继续加息，纪要特别提到：与会者判定，下次会议（华尔街见闻注：即7月会议）可能适合加息75个基点或者50个基点。与会者一致认为，经济前景对（货币）政策步入限制性的立场有保障。而且他们认识到，如果高企的通胀压力持续，立场甚至可能要限制性更强（even more restrictive）。通胀降至2%需要时间 加息可能导致一段时间经济放缓纪要显示，6月会上，美联储决策者预计降低通胀需要时间，而且压低通胀将付出经济增长可能放缓的代价。与会者认为，俄乌冲突、中国防疫和其他限制供应环境的因素将影响通胀前景，让通胀回落到联储目标可能需要一些时间。与会者还判定，在让通胀降至2%的过程中，保持强劲的劳动力市场将取决于很多影响供需的因素。与会者认识到，坚定政策可能让经济增长一段时间内放缓，但他们预计，让通胀回到2%是实现持续充分就业的关键。有高通胀根深蒂固的风险 担心5月CPI暗示通胀比之前预期持续得更久纪要称，与会美联储决策者认为，由于通胀远高于联储目标水平，要实现充分就业和价格稳定的双重目标，美联储需要转变为限制性的政策立场。而且，从风险管理的角度看，因为一旦通胀高于预期，美联储就能处于加强限制性力度的更有利地位。很多（many）与会者判定，现在（FOMC）委员会面临的一大风险是，假如公众开始怀疑委员会能否确保调整政策立场的决心，高企的通胀可能变得根深蒂固。在这方面，与会者强调，适宜地坚定货币政策，加之清晰有效的沟通，都对恢复价格稳定至关重要。在通胀方面，与会联储官员指出，通胀仍旧太高，继续远高于长期目标2%。与会者担心，5月CPI数据暗示，通胀压力还未显示减弱的迹象。多人（a number of）将此视为强化了通胀会比他们之前预期的更持久这一观点。通胀有大宗商品涨价等上行风险 若通胀预期失控 降通胀将付出更高代价在评估经济时，与会美联储官员强调，他们非常关注通胀风险，密切监控通胀以及通胀预期相关的发展变化。大多数与会者认为通胀的风险偏上行，并提到多种相关风险，包括持续的供应瓶颈、能源和大宗商品价格上涨。与会者认定，未来几年经济增长的不确定性很高。大部分与会者评估认为，经济增长的前景有偏下行的风险，下行风险包括，金融环境进一步收紧会对经济活动造成比预期更大的负面影响，以及俄乌冲突和中国防疫对经济增长的影响超出预期。在通胀预期方面，纪要显示，虽然来自家庭调查、专业预测方和市场参与者的长期通胀预期指标总体和FOMC委员会的长期通胀目标2%保持一致，但很多与会者担心，长期通胀预期可能开始上行至不符合2%目标的水平。这些与会者指出，假如通胀预期变得失控，让通胀回落到FOMC目标将付出更高的代价。市场反应午盘时段美联储会议纪要公布后，美股先回落后很快短线拉升，三大美股指盘中齐涨。美元指数震荡上行，短线下破107.00后迅速重上107.00，逼近美股早盘时逼近107.30所创的2002年12月以来高位。基准10年期美国国债收益率保持升势，纪要公布后站上2.90%，一度升破2.92%刷新日高，日内升幅超过10个基点，较周三欧股盘中下测2.75%所创的一个多月来低位回升约17个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048063807,"gmtCreate":1656119565809,"gmtModify":1676535770826,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"look","listText":"look","text":"look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048063807","repostId":"1182322747","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010878503,"gmtCreate":1648346698121,"gmtModify":1676534329574,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"look","listText":"look","text":"look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010878503","repostId":"1104202250","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104202250","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648340339,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104202250?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-27 08:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"China Internet Fog: What do you believe in?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104202250","media":"远川投资评论","summary":"这些年，机构苦口婆心教育基民“越跌越买”，但似乎只有中概互联，能让大家一边痛骂不如改名“中丐互怜”，一边乖乖掏钱。2021年2月18日，（易方达）中概互联网ETF场内价格创出历史新高。当时，这只基金的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In recent years, institutions have worked hard to educate Christians to \"buy more and more\", but it seems that only Zhonggai Internet can make everyone scold and change its name to \"Mutual Pity of Chinese Beggars\" while paying obediently.</p><p>On February 18, 2021, the on-site price of (E Fund) Zhonggai Internet ETF hit a record high. At that time, the share of this fund was less than 3.5 billion shares, and the product was far less famous than it is now. Unexpectedly, during the subsequent decline in net value and on-market prices, the share of this fund increased instead of decreasing, increasing more than 10 times in more than a year, approaching 35.5 billion shares. (Bank of Communications) Zhonggai Internet LOF, (GF) Zhonggai Internet ETF, Hang Seng Technology ETF and other index funds that can invest in Hong Kong stocks and the Internet have achieved a great leap forward during this period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002c4daa1600178dc042fd90aa7fe201\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This kind of \"suicidal\" bargain-hunting behavior, investors who are accustomed to conspiracy theories will think without hesitation that 80% of the institutions are luring leeks to go deeper. Actually, it's not.</p><p>Wind data shows that when the share and scale of (E Fund) Zhonggai Internet ETF are rising against the trend, the proportion of institutional holdings is rising slightly, and the proportion of internal holdings is also rising slightly. This shows that not only institutional funds, but also insiders of fund companies Personnel are also constantly buying bottoms during the decline of Chinese concept stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/275016ee3f4b499c5320654bfaa41997\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>When domestic funds are full of enthusiasm for bargain hunting, foreign capital is hit head-on. The 13F report shows that many foreign investors such as Goldman Sachs, Temasek, BlackRock, and JPMorgan Chase have reduced their holdings of leading Chinese concept stocks such as Alibaba. The five Chinese concept stocks were even included in the \"pre-delisting list\" by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. JPMorgan Chase gave a \"sell rating\" to Chinese concept stocks in batches, and the cold ice rain pressed the bulls on the ground and rubbed them repeatedly.</p><p>Some people get on the bus and buy more and more as they fall, while others get off the boat and leave the market at the expense of cutting their meat. The huge differences seem to make the future of Chinese concept stocks even more confusing.</p><p>This article mainly answers the reasons for the decline of Chinese concept stocks and what domestic and foreign funds bought at the bottom. It is divided into three parts:</p><p>1) Reveal: Why did Chinese concept stocks plummet?</p><p>2) Bottom-hunting: domestic funds buy \"platforms\"</p><p>3) Change: Overseas institutions love to play with cars</p><p><b>01. Why did it fall sharply?</b></p><p>\"Just out of ICU, I entered KTV again\", the recent performance of Chinese concept stocks is almost crazy. However, short-lived joy can't soothe the wounded hearts of investors.</p><p>Wind data shows that as of the close on March 21, 231 of the 370 Chinese concept stocks have fallen this year, accounting for 62%; Among them, there are 29 stocks whose stock prices have been cut in half, and Tiandihui and Juhao Mall both fell by nearly 90%. In a market without rise and fall limits, it is so unrestrained when it falls.</p><p>If we count the decline of the stock price from its high point so far, the situation is even more tragic. For example, Alibaba, which currently has the largest market value in the Chinese concept stock market, hit a record high of US $319.32 at the end of October 2020, but now its stock price is less than 1/3 of that at that time, with a drop of as much as 67%, and the lowest during the period fell to US $73.28; Baidu, Pinduoduo and other Chinese concept stocks have all fallen by more than 50% since the high point, and even JD.com, which is more resilient to decline, has fallen by 40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/693d152af3bc7480f2d07bf9b4e2479d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1047\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The stock prices of Internet companies such as Tencent Holdings, Meituan, and Xiaomi listed on the Hong Kong stock market have also been losing ground, falling to the point that shareholders don't even recognize them.</p><p>This round of adjustment of Chinese concept stocks, with a large decline, a long cycle, and a wide scope, is rare in history. The reasons behind it must not be simply explained by performance. Behind the near destruction of the group, there are four words: internal troubles and external troubles.</p><p>As we all know, the biggest \"external trouble\" faced by Chinese concept stocks is the risk of delisting.</p><p>According to the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act passed by the U.S. Congress in 2020, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is allowed to delist a foreign listed company from the exchange if it fails to submit the report required by the U.S. Public Company Accounting Oversight Board for three consecutive years; These include the unequal requirement that foreign companies listed in the United States disclose audit papers.</p><p>On March 10 this year, the SEC included five Chinese concept stock companies in the tentative list of the \"Foreign Company Accountability Act\", which once again triggered a wave of selling in Chinese concept stocks and made investors have a more intuitive understanding of the lethality of delisting. feel. The risk of delisting is, in the final analysis, a crisis of confidence, and the pressure on Chinese concept stocks mainly comes from two aspects:</p><p>First, concerns about liquidity discounts. U.S. stocks are a global market with flooding liquidity. The premium of listing in the United States is relatively high, and the financing efficiency is higher; In contrast, the liquidity of Hong Kong stocks is not so abundant, and the premium of listing in Hong Kong is low. After Chinese concept stocks are delisted in the United States, they are transferred to Hong Kong stocks, which tests the ability of domestic investors to undertake, and there may be liquidity discount risks.</p><p>Second, the pressure of US dollar investors to concentrate on selling. At present, there are still a large number of overseas institutions among shareholders of Chinese concept stocks. If these companies delist from the US stock market, it will inevitably trigger a large-scale sell-off by overseas investors.</p><p>The house leaks and it rains all night. The sword of delisting is still hanging, and the tightening of domestic industry regulatory policies has cast an unpredictable shadow over the prospects of Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>In the past year or so, policies such as anti-monopoly in the Internet industry, \"double reduction\" in the education industry, and new regulations on anti-addiction to online games have been introduced one after another. Although the starting point of these policies is good, not to suppress individual industries and enterprises, it takes time for overseas investors to adjust their domestic policy expectations, which can easily lead to short-term market overreaction, sudden drop in risk appetite and panic decline.</p><p>In the communication with some fund managers, I found that there is another voice about the reason for the decline of Chinese concept stocks. Some people think that after years of development, the penetration rate of the Internet is very high, and the development of the industry has entered the second half. In recent years, the growth logic of the Internet industry is that the market is sinking, but the entire industry space may have approached the \"ceiling\". It is expected that the future industry growth rate will peak and fall back.</p><p>In other words, the rapid growth period of the Internet industry has passed, and it will enter a mature period in the future, and the imagination space of valuation has become smaller. Although this view is somewhat \"hindsight\", it undoubtedly aggravates the pessimistic expectations of the market.</p><p>However, delisting, policy supervision, and the peak of industry growth may be only the superficial reasons for the decline of Chinese concept stocks. The deep-seated reason is that the underlying valuation logic has changed.</p><p>When common prosperity is placed in an important position, when economic development changes from high speed to high quality, and the distribution system also shifts from giving priority to efficiency to taking into account fairness, in this context, the market valuation system may be reshaped.</p><p>The ghost story that firm holders of Chinese concept stocks are most afraid of hearing is that the Internet will become a public utility. As we all know, technology stocks tend to grow fast, have huge industry space, and the market is willing to give them high valuations; On the contrary, public utility companies are not so sexy in terms of performance growth rate or industry space. If this change really happens, Internet companies are bound to encounter the double-kill pressure of performance and valuation.</p><p>Compared with the simple and straightforward performance, the company's valuation is too vague, which is often a matter of opinion. The biggest problem currently encountered by Internet companies is how much they are worth and how to give valuations when the market environment changes drastically. Market participants have not yet reached a consensus, and there is no reference standard. In the view of Jiang Cheng of Zhongtai Asset Management, the reason behind it is the absence of \"value anchor\".</p><p>Although the haze of delisting has not dissipated, and the original valuation logic may be overturned and started over, in the face of Internet companies whose stock prices are frequently cut in half and whose valuations have entered historically low ranges, bargain-hunting funds can be described as going forward one after another.</p><p><b>02. Domestic capital buying platform</b></p><p>Deng Xiaofeng, chief investment officer of Gaoyi Assets, shared his views on the Internet industry when communicating with investors online at the beginning of this year.</p><p>In his view, the Internet industry is similar to the liquor industry in 2012 and 2013. At that time, affected by the \"eight regulations\" and the \"plasticizer\" incident, liquor stocks continued to adjust and did not begin to recover until 2016, but this did not hinder the long-term high returns of this industry, because liquor itself is a good business. The business model of the Internet is also very good. When the industry is stable, it is easy to create considerable returns for shareholders.</p><p>He believes that when the impact of external factors on Internet companies in Chinese concept stocks reaches its maximum, there is a high probability that the industry will perform the worst in the capital market. He asserted that although the space and timing of the upside of the Internet industry are uncertain, the Internet is at least an industry with little downside risk this year.</p><p>In this round of panic decline in early March, it is unknown whether Deng Xiaofeng bought Chinese concept stocks at the bottom, but his optimistic expectations for the Internet industry are undoubtedly representative. \"Chinese Buffett\" Duan Yongping is also a loyal believer in Chinese concept stocks. He once bucked the trend in the Internet bubble and became famous in NetEase. Now, in addition to \"venture capital\" Pinduoduo, the most talked about by the outside world is his bargain-hunting Tencent.</p><p>In 2018, Tencent's stock price plummeted due to issues such as the suspension of game version numbers. In just a few months, it fell by more than 40%. Duan Yongping took the opportunity to get on the bus. Last year, Tencent was criticized as \"spiritual opium\", and its stock price plummeted by nearly 40% again. On August 4th, Duan Yongping said on Xueqiu (ID: The road is invisible, I have style) that he bought Tencent, and then continued to buy it when it fell again, buying the bottom for the second time. On February 28 this year, some snowball fans teased that Tencent reached the bottom of the road again. Duan Yongping replied, \"It's lower than the price I bought last time, so I'll buy some tomorrow.\" Since then, he has repeatedly expressed his optimism about Tencent.</p><p>On March 8, in response to a question from a netizen, he said, \"There is no plan to increase the position (every) 10% drop.\" On March 14th, he said that in another week or two, some Apple puts should expire, and then he can consider buying more; The next morning, he claimed that \"I'm going to exchange Berkshire B shares for Tencent tomorrow, and I won't wait.\" Those words may be more like jokes, though. He once said that Tencent's attraction to him is not enough to let him sell any other stocks in exchange, and he may have to think about it seriously if it falls a few more times.</p><p>In the past few years, Tencent has been widely criticized for its game business. As the founder of the game learning machine \"Little Overlord\", Duan Yongping has different views on games. He once explained the reason for buying Tencent. In his view, the most fundamental thing of games is to spend time and get happiness, and online games are the most cost-effective way for most people to get simple happiness. There is no difference between games and other consumer goods, and there is no problem of conscience. If calculated in 10 years, holding Maotai and Tencent should be better than holding cash.</p><p>Even Duan Yongping, a high-profile bargain-hunter of Tencent, still holds a very low proportion of Tencent. In contrast,<b>Some domestic public offering products are the backbone of heavy positions or bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks against the trend.</b></p><p>For example, SDIC UBS China Value Discovery has been holding heavy positions in Tencent Holdings and Alibaba. In the fourth quarter of last year, it also increased its position in the latter, and is currently the first and second heavy positions respectively. Fund manager Tang Haibo said that he is optimistic about platform-based Internet companies whose valuations are currently at historically low levels due to continuous policy suppression in the past year. He believes that there is still plenty of room for development in these industries, and believes in the competitive advantages of leading Chinese Internet companies on a global scale.</p><p>Zhang Jun, manager of Shanghai Investment Morgan Asia Pacific Advantage Fund, also said that the forward P/E of Chinese concept stocks is about 13 times, while that of the US stock market is more than 20 times. Chinese stocks aren't expensive. Even if P/E simply stays at current levels, the expected economic expansion should propel company earnings up significantly in the coming years.</p><p>Hu Yaosheng, manager of Chuangjin Hexin Hong Kong Stock Internet Fund, put forward the logic of being optimistic about the Internet industry from the perspective of performance. He said in the Four Seasons Report that the revenue side of core Internet companies still maintains a high growth rate. Although the profit side is not ideal, it is not that there is a problem with the company's operation, and there is no risk in the fundamentals. And the current decline in stock prices is somewhat overreacted. In the fourth quarter, he \"recharged\" his cognition with real money and increased his positions in stocks such as Meituan, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, JD.com, and Baidu Group.</p><p>After counting Public Offering of Fund's heavy holdings, it is found that Internet leaders and platform companies are still the first choice for domestic capital layout, even for QDII funds with a wider investment range. Specifically, leading stocks such as Tencent, Meituan, Ali, and JD.com have become a must-weight stock for many funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18ef80ff846d568d3767f826d9465a9f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Domestic investors know China and Chinese companies best. The fair value of Internet companies may not be judged, but many of these companies are good companies, which many people believe. The more they fall, the more they buy. Looking at the prolonged cycle, they may only lose time.</p><p>What's more, when the margin of safety has dropped significantly enough, even overseas investors in foreign countries have gradually reached a consensus on the issue of bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks.</p><p><b>03. Foreign institutions love to play with cars</b></p><p>The 97-year-old Munger has never concealed his optimism about the Chinese economy and Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>According to the 13F document disclosed not long ago, as of the end of December 2021, Charlie Munger's company DailyJournalCorp (Daily Journal) has accumulated 602,060 shares of Alibaba through American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), with a market value of approximately US $72 million. Accounting for about 28%, it is the company's third largest holding.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fc040ddf768d01d0aea9c221812efaa\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that compared with the third quarter of last year, the number of Alibaba shares purchased by daily journals in the fourth quarter nearly doubled. Such a large increase in positions shows that Munger truly loves Alibaba and has a true love for the Chinese economy and Internet. Confidence is not just lip service.</p><p>In the first quarter of last year, Ali's stock price plummeted, and Munger bought 165,320 shares for the first time; In the second quarter, Ali's stock price fluctuated little. He did not rush to increase his position, but maintained his previous position unchanged; In the third quarter, Ali fell nearly 35% in a single quarter. Munger made another move, buying 136,740 shares, and the total number of shares held also rose to 300,000 shares; In the fourth quarter, Ali fell by nearly 20%. This time, he chose to strike hard and bought 300,000 shares in one go.</p><p>Although the price falls more and more, the cost of holding positions continues to dilute, but premature bargain-hunting still makes Munger somewhat passive in this investment. So much so that at the recent daily journal shareholders' meeting, issues such as his views on Chinese concept stocks and Alibaba were repeatedly mentioned by shareholders.</p><p>In response to questions from shareholders, Munger said that the reason why he invested in Chinese companies was that he could buy more value. Some Chinese companies are not only cheaper, but also more competitive. Compared with the investment opportunities in the United States, the investment opportunities in China are better, and you can buy at a cheaper price and obtain higher company value.<b>He doesn't think Alibaba's ownership structure is a particularly big risk, but feels that its moat is not as deep as Apple and Alphabet.</b></p><p>In fact, Munger is not alone on the road of bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>Pioneer Pilot Group, which is familiar to domestic investors, bought 74 Chinese concept stocks in the fourth quarter of last year, all of which are new positions. The stocks with the highest market value include Baidu, Nio, XPeng Automobile, Pinduoduo, Li Auto, etc.; However, Pioneer Group did not buy the established retail e-commerce leaders such as Alibaba and JD.com, but chose the rising star Pinduoduo.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06055d73f7cf1860d227a11b89cbf027\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"722\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In the fourth quarter, BlackRock increased or decreased Chinese concept stocks, increased its holdings of 63 Chinese concept stocks, reduced or cleared its holdings of 66 Chinese concept stocks, and newly bought Red, Yellow, Blue, Dingdong Maicai, etc. 4 Chinese concept stocks. Among them, Nio, Pinduoduo, Li Auto, Alibaba and other stocks have all increased their holdings, while Baidu, Yum China, and XPeng Automobile have been slightly reduced.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4d9672340b514df2dd4c24c6fa6910d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"793\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Interestingly, well-known foreign-funded institutions such as State Street Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of New York Mellon, Norwegian Central Bank, and Goldman Sachs Group have shown strong interest in China's \"new car-making forces\" and increased their holdings of related companies in the fourth quarter. Among them, Nio received the most attention, with 149 institutions increasing their holdings and 189 institutions newly buying them.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ad4f29b0386e4aa8a269f32a110be5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"793\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>From the perspective of the number of shareholding institutions, Alibaba has the largest number of foreign investors stationed in it, reaching 1,287, a slight decrease from the third quarter; In addition, Yum! China, JD.com, Baidu, and Nio all hold more than 500 shares.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/010e1c582eed020439cd680854100f5f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Of course, for Chinese concept stocks, especially Chinese Internet companies that are at the forefront of anti-monopoly, there are differences among foreign-funded institutions. But for some good companies, especially high-quality companies that are growing rapidly in the Chinese market, they have never been stingy with the bullets in their hands, such as Pinduoduo, a new car-making force, which started as a sinking market.</p><p><b>04. Epilogue</b></p><p>Duan Yongping was once asked by a reporter, when NetEase fell to only $0.8, where did you get the courage to buy it? He asked rhetorically, what was originally worth 10 yuan, now someone crying and shouting to sell it to you for 1 yuan. Does it take any courage?</p><p>When the price is significantly lower than the value of the enterprise, bargain hunting certainly does not require courage and courage, but it requires bullets.</p><p>Many times, investment will fall into the dilemma of \"you can know it at a glance, but you can't learn it as soon as you learn it\". The reason is not only related to ability, but also the lack of freedom of funds. Most people don't have the ability to judge the value of a company, and stock price bottoming and value discovery usually don't come at the same time.</p><p>After all, there was only one Duan Yongping, but there were many people who fell in the darkness before dawn.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"lsy1583835599575","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China Internet Fog: What do you believe in?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina Internet Fog: What do you believe in?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">远川投资评论</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-03-27 08:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In recent years, institutions have worked hard to educate Christians to \"buy more and more\", but it seems that only Zhonggai Internet can make everyone scold and change its name to \"Mutual Pity of Chinese Beggars\" while paying obediently.</p><p>On February 18, 2021, the on-site price of (E Fund) Zhonggai Internet ETF hit a record high. At that time, the share of this fund was less than 3.5 billion shares, and the product was far less famous than it is now. Unexpectedly, during the subsequent decline in net value and on-market prices, the share of this fund increased instead of decreasing, increasing more than 10 times in more than a year, approaching 35.5 billion shares. (Bank of Communications) Zhonggai Internet LOF, (GF) Zhonggai Internet ETF, Hang Seng Technology ETF and other index funds that can invest in Hong Kong stocks and the Internet have achieved a great leap forward during this period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002c4daa1600178dc042fd90aa7fe201\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This kind of \"suicidal\" bargain-hunting behavior, investors who are accustomed to conspiracy theories will think without hesitation that 80% of the institutions are luring leeks to go deeper. Actually, it's not.</p><p>Wind data shows that when the share and scale of (E Fund) Zhonggai Internet ETF are rising against the trend, the proportion of institutional holdings is rising slightly, and the proportion of internal holdings is also rising slightly. This shows that not only institutional funds, but also insiders of fund companies Personnel are also constantly buying bottoms during the decline of Chinese concept stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/275016ee3f4b499c5320654bfaa41997\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>When domestic funds are full of enthusiasm for bargain hunting, foreign capital is hit head-on. The 13F report shows that many foreign investors such as Goldman Sachs, Temasek, BlackRock, and JPMorgan Chase have reduced their holdings of leading Chinese concept stocks such as Alibaba. The five Chinese concept stocks were even included in the \"pre-delisting list\" by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. JPMorgan Chase gave a \"sell rating\" to Chinese concept stocks in batches, and the cold ice rain pressed the bulls on the ground and rubbed them repeatedly.</p><p>Some people get on the bus and buy more and more as they fall, while others get off the boat and leave the market at the expense of cutting their meat. The huge differences seem to make the future of Chinese concept stocks even more confusing.</p><p>This article mainly answers the reasons for the decline of Chinese concept stocks and what domestic and foreign funds bought at the bottom. It is divided into three parts:</p><p>1) Reveal: Why did Chinese concept stocks plummet?</p><p>2) Bottom-hunting: domestic funds buy \"platforms\"</p><p>3) Change: Overseas institutions love to play with cars</p><p><b>01. Why did it fall sharply?</b></p><p>\"Just out of ICU, I entered KTV again\", the recent performance of Chinese concept stocks is almost crazy. However, short-lived joy can't soothe the wounded hearts of investors.</p><p>Wind data shows that as of the close on March 21, 231 of the 370 Chinese concept stocks have fallen this year, accounting for 62%; Among them, there are 29 stocks whose stock prices have been cut in half, and Tiandihui and Juhao Mall both fell by nearly 90%. In a market without rise and fall limits, it is so unrestrained when it falls.</p><p>If we count the decline of the stock price from its high point so far, the situation is even more tragic. For example, Alibaba, which currently has the largest market value in the Chinese concept stock market, hit a record high of US $319.32 at the end of October 2020, but now its stock price is less than 1/3 of that at that time, with a drop of as much as 67%, and the lowest during the period fell to US $73.28; Baidu, Pinduoduo and other Chinese concept stocks have all fallen by more than 50% since the high point, and even JD.com, which is more resilient to decline, has fallen by 40%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/693d152af3bc7480f2d07bf9b4e2479d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1047\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The stock prices of Internet companies such as Tencent Holdings, Meituan, and Xiaomi listed on the Hong Kong stock market have also been losing ground, falling to the point that shareholders don't even recognize them.</p><p>This round of adjustment of Chinese concept stocks, with a large decline, a long cycle, and a wide scope, is rare in history. The reasons behind it must not be simply explained by performance. Behind the near destruction of the group, there are four words: internal troubles and external troubles.</p><p>As we all know, the biggest \"external trouble\" faced by Chinese concept stocks is the risk of delisting.</p><p>According to the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act passed by the U.S. Congress in 2020, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is allowed to delist a foreign listed company from the exchange if it fails to submit the report required by the U.S. Public Company Accounting Oversight Board for three consecutive years; These include the unequal requirement that foreign companies listed in the United States disclose audit papers.</p><p>On March 10 this year, the SEC included five Chinese concept stock companies in the tentative list of the \"Foreign Company Accountability Act\", which once again triggered a wave of selling in Chinese concept stocks and made investors have a more intuitive understanding of the lethality of delisting. feel. The risk of delisting is, in the final analysis, a crisis of confidence, and the pressure on Chinese concept stocks mainly comes from two aspects:</p><p>First, concerns about liquidity discounts. U.S. stocks are a global market with flooding liquidity. The premium of listing in the United States is relatively high, and the financing efficiency is higher; In contrast, the liquidity of Hong Kong stocks is not so abundant, and the premium of listing in Hong Kong is low. After Chinese concept stocks are delisted in the United States, they are transferred to Hong Kong stocks, which tests the ability of domestic investors to undertake, and there may be liquidity discount risks.</p><p>Second, the pressure of US dollar investors to concentrate on selling. At present, there are still a large number of overseas institutions among shareholders of Chinese concept stocks. If these companies delist from the US stock market, it will inevitably trigger a large-scale sell-off by overseas investors.</p><p>The house leaks and it rains all night. The sword of delisting is still hanging, and the tightening of domestic industry regulatory policies has cast an unpredictable shadow over the prospects of Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>In the past year or so, policies such as anti-monopoly in the Internet industry, \"double reduction\" in the education industry, and new regulations on anti-addiction to online games have been introduced one after another. Although the starting point of these policies is good, not to suppress individual industries and enterprises, it takes time for overseas investors to adjust their domestic policy expectations, which can easily lead to short-term market overreaction, sudden drop in risk appetite and panic decline.</p><p>In the communication with some fund managers, I found that there is another voice about the reason for the decline of Chinese concept stocks. Some people think that after years of development, the penetration rate of the Internet is very high, and the development of the industry has entered the second half. In recent years, the growth logic of the Internet industry is that the market is sinking, but the entire industry space may have approached the \"ceiling\". It is expected that the future industry growth rate will peak and fall back.</p><p>In other words, the rapid growth period of the Internet industry has passed, and it will enter a mature period in the future, and the imagination space of valuation has become smaller. Although this view is somewhat \"hindsight\", it undoubtedly aggravates the pessimistic expectations of the market.</p><p>However, delisting, policy supervision, and the peak of industry growth may be only the superficial reasons for the decline of Chinese concept stocks. The deep-seated reason is that the underlying valuation logic has changed.</p><p>When common prosperity is placed in an important position, when economic development changes from high speed to high quality, and the distribution system also shifts from giving priority to efficiency to taking into account fairness, in this context, the market valuation system may be reshaped.</p><p>The ghost story that firm holders of Chinese concept stocks are most afraid of hearing is that the Internet will become a public utility. As we all know, technology stocks tend to grow fast, have huge industry space, and the market is willing to give them high valuations; On the contrary, public utility companies are not so sexy in terms of performance growth rate or industry space. If this change really happens, Internet companies are bound to encounter the double-kill pressure of performance and valuation.</p><p>Compared with the simple and straightforward performance, the company's valuation is too vague, which is often a matter of opinion. The biggest problem currently encountered by Internet companies is how much they are worth and how to give valuations when the market environment changes drastically. Market participants have not yet reached a consensus, and there is no reference standard. In the view of Jiang Cheng of Zhongtai Asset Management, the reason behind it is the absence of \"value anchor\".</p><p>Although the haze of delisting has not dissipated, and the original valuation logic may be overturned and started over, in the face of Internet companies whose stock prices are frequently cut in half and whose valuations have entered historically low ranges, bargain-hunting funds can be described as going forward one after another.</p><p><b>02. Domestic capital buying platform</b></p><p>Deng Xiaofeng, chief investment officer of Gaoyi Assets, shared his views on the Internet industry when communicating with investors online at the beginning of this year.</p><p>In his view, the Internet industry is similar to the liquor industry in 2012 and 2013. At that time, affected by the \"eight regulations\" and the \"plasticizer\" incident, liquor stocks continued to adjust and did not begin to recover until 2016, but this did not hinder the long-term high returns of this industry, because liquor itself is a good business. The business model of the Internet is also very good. When the industry is stable, it is easy to create considerable returns for shareholders.</p><p>He believes that when the impact of external factors on Internet companies in Chinese concept stocks reaches its maximum, there is a high probability that the industry will perform the worst in the capital market. He asserted that although the space and timing of the upside of the Internet industry are uncertain, the Internet is at least an industry with little downside risk this year.</p><p>In this round of panic decline in early March, it is unknown whether Deng Xiaofeng bought Chinese concept stocks at the bottom, but his optimistic expectations for the Internet industry are undoubtedly representative. \"Chinese Buffett\" Duan Yongping is also a loyal believer in Chinese concept stocks. He once bucked the trend in the Internet bubble and became famous in NetEase. Now, in addition to \"venture capital\" Pinduoduo, the most talked about by the outside world is his bargain-hunting Tencent.</p><p>In 2018, Tencent's stock price plummeted due to issues such as the suspension of game version numbers. In just a few months, it fell by more than 40%. Duan Yongping took the opportunity to get on the bus. Last year, Tencent was criticized as \"spiritual opium\", and its stock price plummeted by nearly 40% again. On August 4th, Duan Yongping said on Xueqiu (ID: The road is invisible, I have style) that he bought Tencent, and then continued to buy it when it fell again, buying the bottom for the second time. On February 28 this year, some snowball fans teased that Tencent reached the bottom of the road again. Duan Yongping replied, \"It's lower than the price I bought last time, so I'll buy some tomorrow.\" Since then, he has repeatedly expressed his optimism about Tencent.</p><p>On March 8, in response to a question from a netizen, he said, \"There is no plan to increase the position (every) 10% drop.\" On March 14th, he said that in another week or two, some Apple puts should expire, and then he can consider buying more; The next morning, he claimed that \"I'm going to exchange Berkshire B shares for Tencent tomorrow, and I won't wait.\" Those words may be more like jokes, though. He once said that Tencent's attraction to him is not enough to let him sell any other stocks in exchange, and he may have to think about it seriously if it falls a few more times.</p><p>In the past few years, Tencent has been widely criticized for its game business. As the founder of the game learning machine \"Little Overlord\", Duan Yongping has different views on games. He once explained the reason for buying Tencent. In his view, the most fundamental thing of games is to spend time and get happiness, and online games are the most cost-effective way for most people to get simple happiness. There is no difference between games and other consumer goods, and there is no problem of conscience. If calculated in 10 years, holding Maotai and Tencent should be better than holding cash.</p><p>Even Duan Yongping, a high-profile bargain-hunter of Tencent, still holds a very low proportion of Tencent. In contrast,<b>Some domestic public offering products are the backbone of heavy positions or bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks against the trend.</b></p><p>For example, SDIC UBS China Value Discovery has been holding heavy positions in Tencent Holdings and Alibaba. In the fourth quarter of last year, it also increased its position in the latter, and is currently the first and second heavy positions respectively. Fund manager Tang Haibo said that he is optimistic about platform-based Internet companies whose valuations are currently at historically low levels due to continuous policy suppression in the past year. He believes that there is still plenty of room for development in these industries, and believes in the competitive advantages of leading Chinese Internet companies on a global scale.</p><p>Zhang Jun, manager of Shanghai Investment Morgan Asia Pacific Advantage Fund, also said that the forward P/E of Chinese concept stocks is about 13 times, while that of the US stock market is more than 20 times. Chinese stocks aren't expensive. Even if P/E simply stays at current levels, the expected economic expansion should propel company earnings up significantly in the coming years.</p><p>Hu Yaosheng, manager of Chuangjin Hexin Hong Kong Stock Internet Fund, put forward the logic of being optimistic about the Internet industry from the perspective of performance. He said in the Four Seasons Report that the revenue side of core Internet companies still maintains a high growth rate. Although the profit side is not ideal, it is not that there is a problem with the company's operation, and there is no risk in the fundamentals. And the current decline in stock prices is somewhat overreacted. In the fourth quarter, he \"recharged\" his cognition with real money and increased his positions in stocks such as Meituan, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, JD.com, and Baidu Group.</p><p>After counting Public Offering of Fund's heavy holdings, it is found that Internet leaders and platform companies are still the first choice for domestic capital layout, even for QDII funds with a wider investment range. Specifically, leading stocks such as Tencent, Meituan, Ali, and JD.com have become a must-weight stock for many funds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18ef80ff846d568d3767f826d9465a9f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Domestic investors know China and Chinese companies best. The fair value of Internet companies may not be judged, but many of these companies are good companies, which many people believe. The more they fall, the more they buy. Looking at the prolonged cycle, they may only lose time.</p><p>What's more, when the margin of safety has dropped significantly enough, even overseas investors in foreign countries have gradually reached a consensus on the issue of bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks.</p><p><b>03. Foreign institutions love to play with cars</b></p><p>The 97-year-old Munger has never concealed his optimism about the Chinese economy and Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>According to the 13F document disclosed not long ago, as of the end of December 2021, Charlie Munger's company DailyJournalCorp (Daily Journal) has accumulated 602,060 shares of Alibaba through American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), with a market value of approximately US $72 million. Accounting for about 28%, it is the company's third largest holding.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fc040ddf768d01d0aea9c221812efaa\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that compared with the third quarter of last year, the number of Alibaba shares purchased by daily journals in the fourth quarter nearly doubled. Such a large increase in positions shows that Munger truly loves Alibaba and has a true love for the Chinese economy and Internet. Confidence is not just lip service.</p><p>In the first quarter of last year, Ali's stock price plummeted, and Munger bought 165,320 shares for the first time; In the second quarter, Ali's stock price fluctuated little. He did not rush to increase his position, but maintained his previous position unchanged; In the third quarter, Ali fell nearly 35% in a single quarter. Munger made another move, buying 136,740 shares, and the total number of shares held also rose to 300,000 shares; In the fourth quarter, Ali fell by nearly 20%. This time, he chose to strike hard and bought 300,000 shares in one go.</p><p>Although the price falls more and more, the cost of holding positions continues to dilute, but premature bargain-hunting still makes Munger somewhat passive in this investment. So much so that at the recent daily journal shareholders' meeting, issues such as his views on Chinese concept stocks and Alibaba were repeatedly mentioned by shareholders.</p><p>In response to questions from shareholders, Munger said that the reason why he invested in Chinese companies was that he could buy more value. Some Chinese companies are not only cheaper, but also more competitive. Compared with the investment opportunities in the United States, the investment opportunities in China are better, and you can buy at a cheaper price and obtain higher company value.<b>He doesn't think Alibaba's ownership structure is a particularly big risk, but feels that its moat is not as deep as Apple and Alphabet.</b></p><p>In fact, Munger is not alone on the road of bargain-hunting Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>Pioneer Pilot Group, which is familiar to domestic investors, bought 74 Chinese concept stocks in the fourth quarter of last year, all of which are new positions. The stocks with the highest market value include Baidu, Nio, XPeng Automobile, Pinduoduo, Li Auto, etc.; However, Pioneer Group did not buy the established retail e-commerce leaders such as Alibaba and JD.com, but chose the rising star Pinduoduo.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06055d73f7cf1860d227a11b89cbf027\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"722\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>In the fourth quarter, BlackRock increased or decreased Chinese concept stocks, increased its holdings of 63 Chinese concept stocks, reduced or cleared its holdings of 66 Chinese concept stocks, and newly bought Red, Yellow, Blue, Dingdong Maicai, etc. 4 Chinese concept stocks. Among them, Nio, Pinduoduo, Li Auto, Alibaba and other stocks have all increased their holdings, while Baidu, Yum China, and XPeng Automobile have been slightly reduced.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4d9672340b514df2dd4c24c6fa6910d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"793\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Interestingly, well-known foreign-funded institutions such as State Street Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of New York Mellon, Norwegian Central Bank, and Goldman Sachs Group have shown strong interest in China's \"new car-making forces\" and increased their holdings of related companies in the fourth quarter. Among them, Nio received the most attention, with 149 institutions increasing their holdings and 189 institutions newly buying them.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ad4f29b0386e4aa8a269f32a110be5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"793\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>From the perspective of the number of shareholding institutions, Alibaba has the largest number of foreign investors stationed in it, reaching 1,287, a slight decrease from the third quarter; In addition, Yum! China, JD.com, Baidu, and Nio all hold more than 500 shares.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/010e1c582eed020439cd680854100f5f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Of course, for Chinese concept stocks, especially Chinese Internet companies that are at the forefront of anti-monopoly, there are differences among foreign-funded institutions. But for some good companies, especially high-quality companies that are growing rapidly in the Chinese market, they have never been stingy with the bullets in their hands, such as Pinduoduo, a new car-making force, which started as a sinking market.</p><p><b>04. Epilogue</b></p><p>Duan Yongping was once asked by a reporter, when NetEase fell to only $0.8, where did you get the courage to buy it? He asked rhetorically, what was originally worth 10 yuan, now someone crying and shouting to sell it to you for 1 yuan. Does it take any courage?</p><p>When the price is significantly lower than the value of the enterprise, bargain hunting certainly does not require courage and courage, but it requires bullets.</p><p>Many times, investment will fall into the dilemma of \"you can know it at a glance, but you can't learn it as soon as you learn it\". The reason is not only related to ability, but also the lack of freedom of funds. Most people don't have the ability to judge the value of a company, and stock price bottoming and value discovery usually don't come at the same time.</p><p>After all, there was only one Duan Yongping, but there were many people who fell in the darkness before dawn.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/XPCA4w1aSfUe4N1SA4X6-g\">远川投资评论</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00745cd781f91ef6ef359064c639fbb","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/XPCA4w1aSfUe4N1SA4X6-g","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104202250","content_text":"这些年，机构苦口婆心教育基民“越跌越买”，但似乎只有中概互联，能让大家一边痛骂不如改名“中丐互怜”，一边乖乖掏钱。2021年2月18日，（易方达）中概互联网ETF场内价格创出历史新高。当时，这只基金的份额不到35亿份，产品的名气远没有现在这么大。没想到的是，在随后净值和场内价格持续下跌过程中，这只基金的份额不减反增，1年多时间翻了10倍以上，直逼355亿份。（交银）中概互联网LOF、（广发）中概互联ETF、恒生科技ETF等可投港股互联网的指数基金，份额在这期间都实现了大跃进。这种“自杀式”的抄底行为，习惯了阴谋论的投资者们会不假思索地认为，八成又是机构在诱韭菜深入。其实并非如此。Wind 数据显示，在（易方达）中概互联网ETF份额和规模逆势攀升之际，机构持有比例在小幅上升，而且内部持有比例也在小幅升高，这说明不仅是机构资金，基金公司内部人员也在中概股下跌的过程中不断抄底。当国内资金抄底热情满满，外资却迎头一棒。13F报告显示，高盛、淡马锡、贝莱德、摩根大通等多家外资减持了阿里巴巴等中概股龙头。而5家中概股更被美国证监会列入“预摘牌名单”，摩根大通对中概股批量给出“卖出评级”，冷冷冰雨把多头按在地上反复摩擦。有人上车，越跌越买，有人下船，不惜割肉离场。巨大的分歧，似乎让中概股的未来更加扑朔迷离。本文主要回答中概股下跌的原因，以及国内外资金抄底都买了什么，一共分为三个部分：1）揭秘：中概股为何大跌？2）抄底：国内资金买“平台”3）变化：海外机构爱玩车01、缘何大跌？“刚出ICU，又进KTV”，中概股最近的表现几近癫狂。不过，短暂的欢愉并不能抚慰投资者受伤的心。Wind数据显示，截至3月21日收盘，370只中概股中有231只今年以来下跌，占比62%；其中，股价腰斩的个股29只，天地荟、聚好商城跌幅均逼近90%。没有涨跌板限制的市场，跌起来就是这么奔放。若统计股价高点至今的跌幅，情况更为惨烈。比如，目前中概股市值最大的阿里巴巴，2020年10月底曾创出了319.32美元的历史最高价，而如今股价不到当时的1/3，跌幅高达67%，期间最低跌至73.28美元；百度、拼多多等中概股自高点以来的跌幅均在50%以上，即使是较为抗跌的京东跌幅也达到40%。在港股上市的腾讯控股、美团、小米等互联网公司，股价也节节败退，跌到股东都不认识。中概股这轮调整，下跌幅度之大、周期之长、波及范围之广历史罕见，背后原因肯定不能简单的用业绩来解释。近乎团灭的背后，总的就是四个字：内忧外患。众所周知，中概股面临的最大“外患”就是退市风险。根据美国国会2020年通过的《外国公司问责法案》，如果外国上市公司连续三年未能提交美国上市公司会计监督委员会所要求的报告，允许美国证监会（SEC）将其从交易所摘牌；其中就包括在美上市的外国公司需要披露审计底稿的不对等要求。今年3月10日，SEC将5家中概股公司列入《外国公司问责法》的暂定清单，再次引发了中概股的抛售潮，让投资者对退市的杀伤力有了更直观的感受。退市风险，说到底是信任危机，对中概股造成的压力主要来自于两个方面：一是，对流动性折价的担忧。美股是一个全球性的市场，流动性泛滥，在美上市的溢价比较高，融资效率更高；与之相比，港股流动性没有那么充裕，在港上市的溢价较低。中概股在美退市后转到港股上市，考验着国内投资者的承接能力，可能存在流动性折价风险。二是，美元投资者集中抛售的压力。目前中概股股东中仍有大量的海外机构，若这些公司从美股退市，势必会引发海外投资者的大规模抛售。屋漏偏逢连夜雨。退市之剑悬而未落，国内行业监管政策的收紧，又给中概股的前景蒙着捉摸不透的阴影。在过去一年多里，互联网行业反垄断、教育行业“双减”、网络游戏防沉迷新规等政策陆续出台。尽管这些政策的出发点都是好的，并非为了打压个别行业和企业，但海外投资者对国内政策预期调整需要时间，容易导致市场短期过度反应，风险偏好骤降，出现恐慌式下跌。在与一些基金经理的交流中发现，对于中概股下跌的原因，还有另外一种声音。有人认为，经过多年发展，互联网的渗透率非常高，行业发展进入后半段，近几年互联网行业的增长逻辑是市场下沉，但整个行业空间或许已经逼近“天花板”，预计未来行业增速将见顶回落。换句话说，互联网行业高速成长期已经过去了，未来将进入成熟期，估值的想象空间变小了。这样的看法虽然有些“马后炮”，但无疑加重了市场的悲观预期。不过，退市、政策监管，以及行业增速见顶，可能都只是中概股下跌的表层原因，深层次的原因在于底层估值逻辑发生了变化。当共同富裕摆在了重要的位置，当经济发展从高速度转变为高质量，分配制度也从效率优先到兼顾公平，在此背景下，市场的估值体系可能被重塑。中概股的坚定持有者们最怕听到的鬼故事，就是互联网要变为公共事业。众所周知，科技股往往增速快，行业空间巨大，市场也愿意给它们高估值；相反，公共事业公司无论是业绩增速，还是行业空间，都没有那么性感。如果真的发生这种改变，互联网公司势必会遇到业绩和估值的双杀压力。相比业绩的简单直白，公司估值要模糊太多，常常是见仁见智。互联网公司当前遇到的最大问题是，当市场环境发生剧烈改变后，它们到底值多少钱，估值应该怎么给，市场参与者还没有形成共识，也没有一个可参考的标准。在中泰资管姜诚看来，隐藏在背后的原因是“价值锚”的缺位。尽管退市阴霾未散，原有估值逻辑也有可能被推倒重来，但是面对股价动辄腰斩、估值进入历史较低区间的互联网公司，抄底资金可谓是前赴后继。02、国内资金买「平台」高毅资产首席投资官邓晓峰在今年初与投资者线上交流时分享了自己对互联网行业的看法。在他看来，互联网行业类似2012、2013年时的白酒行业。当时受“八项规定”和“塑化剂”事件的影响，白酒股持续调整，直到2016年才开始复苏，但这并不妨碍这个行业长期的高回报，因为白酒本身是一门好生意。互联网的商业模式也非常优秀，当行业稳定之后，很容易为股东创造可观的回报。他认为，外部因素对中概股互联网公司影响达到最大值的时候，大概率是行业在资本市场表现最差的时候。他断言，尽管互联网行业上行的空间和时间尚不确定，但今年互联网至少是一个下行风险很小的行业。在3月初这轮恐慌性下跌中，邓晓峰有没有抄底中概股不得而知，但他对于互联网行业的乐观预期无疑是具有代表性的。“中国巴菲特”段永平也是中概股的忠实信徒，曾在互联网泡沫中逆势抄底网易一战成名，如今除了“风投”拼多多之外，外界最为津津乐道的还是他抄底腾讯。2018年，腾讯因游戏版号停发等问题股价暴跌，短短几个月跌幅超40%，段永平趁机上车。去年，腾讯被批为“精神鸦片”，股价再次大跌近40%。段永平8月4日在雪球（ID：大道无形我有型）上称买了腾讯，再跌继续买，二度抄底。今年2月28日，有雪球粉丝调侃，腾讯又到了大道底。段永平回复称，“低过我上次买的价钱了，那明天再买点”。此后，他还多次表达了对腾讯的看好。3月8日，他在回复网友提问时表示，“计划没（每）掉10%加一次仓”。3月14日，他表示再过一两个礼拜，应该还有些苹果的put到期，到时可以考虑再买点；次日上午，他又声称“明天准备拿伯克希尔B股换点腾讯，不等了”。不过，这些话可能更像开玩笑。他曾表示，腾讯对他的吸引力还没到让他卖掉任何别的股票去换的地步，再跌几次说不定就要认真想想了。过去几年，腾讯因游戏业务广受诟病。作为游戏学习机“小霸王”的缔造者，段永平对游戏有着不同的看法。他曾经解释过买腾讯的理由。在他看来，游戏最根本的东西是消费时间并获得快乐，而网络游戏是大多数人获取简单快乐最具有性价比的办法。游戏和其他消费品没有任何差别，并不存在良知的问题。如果以10年计，拿着茅台和腾讯应该比拿着现金好。即使是高调抄底腾讯的段永平，持有腾讯的比重还很低。相比之下，国内一些公募产品才是重仓持有或是逆势抄底中概股的中坚力量。比如，国投瑞银中国价值发现一直重仓持有腾讯控股和阿里巴巴，去年四季度还加仓了后者，目前分别为第一和第二重仓。基金经理汤海波表示，看好过去 一年中受持续政策打压，目前估值处于历史低位的平台型互联网公司。他认为这些行业仍有充足的发展空间，并相信中国互联网龙头公司在全球范围内的竞争优势。上投摩根亚太优势基金经理张军也表示，中概股的远期市盈率约为13倍，而美国股市则超过20倍。中国股票并不昂贵。即使市盈率只是停留在目前水平，预期的经济扩张应该会推动公司收益在未来几年大幅上升。创金合信港股互联网基金经理胡尧盛则从业绩角度提出了看好互联网行业的逻辑。他在四季报中表示，核心互联网公司收入端依然维持较高增速，虽然利润端不理想，但并非公司经营出了问题，基本面并没有出现风险。而当前股价下跌反应有些过度。他四季度真金白银为自己的认知“充值”，加仓了美团、腾讯控股、阿里巴巴、京东集团、百度集团等股票。统计公募基金重仓股后发现，互联网龙头、平台型公司仍是国内资金布局首选，即使是投资范围更广的QDII基金也是如此。具体来看，腾讯、美团、阿里、京东等龙头股成为很多基金必配重仓股。国内投资者最懂中国，也最懂中国的公司，互联网公司的公允价值可能无法判断，但这些公司中不少是好公司，这于这一点很多人深信不疑。他们越跌越买，拉长周期看，输的或许只是时间。更何况，当安全边际已经跌得足够明显，哪怕是异国他乡的海外投资者，也在抄底中概股这件事情上逐渐有了共识。03、国外机构爱玩车97岁的芒格对中国经济、中概股的看好从来不掩饰。根据不久前披露的13F文件显示，截至2021年12月底，查理·芒格旗下公司DailyJournalCorp（每日期刊）通过美国存托凭证(ADR)累积持有阿里巴巴602060股，持有市值约0.72亿美元，占比约28%，为公司第三大持仓。值得一提的是，与去年三季度相比，四季度每日期刊买入阿里巴巴的股票数量接近翻倍，如此大手笔的加仓，可见芒格对阿里巴巴是真爱，对中国经济、互联网的信心并非嘴上说说而已。去年一季度，阿里股价大跌，芒格首次买入了165320股；二季度阿里股价波动较小，他并没有急于加仓，只是维持之前的持仓不变；三季度阿里单季下跌近35%，芒格再次出手，买入136740股，持股总数也上升至30万股；四季度阿里又下跌了近20%，他这次选择了重拳出击，一口气买了30万股。尽管越跌越买，持仓成本不断摊薄，但过早的抄底，还是让芒格在这笔投资上有些被动。以至于在近期召开的每日期刊股东大会上，他对中概股、对阿里巴巴的看法之类的问题被股东们反复提到。芒格在回答股东提问时表示，之所以投资中国公司，是因为能够买到更多的价值。一些中国公司不仅价格便宜，而且竞争力更强。与美国的投资机会相比，中国的投资机会更好，而且能以更便宜的价格买入，获得更高的公司价值。他不觉得阿里巴巴的股权结构是一项特别大的风险，只是觉得其护城河没有苹果和Alphabet那么深。实际上，在抄底中概股的道路上，芒格并不孤单。国内投资者比较熟悉的先锋领航集团，去年四季度买入了74只中概股，而且均为新进持仓，持有市值排名靠前的个股包括百度、蔚来、小鹏汽车、拼多多、理想汽车等；但是，先锋集团没有买阿里巴巴、京东这些老牌零售电商龙头，而是选择了后起之秀拼多多。贝莱德四季度对中概股有增有减，对63只中概股进行了增持，对66只中概股进行了减持或清仓，另外新进买入红黄蓝、叮咚买菜等4只中概股。其中，蔚来、拼多多、理想汽车、阿里巴巴等个股均获得增持，百度、百胜中国、小鹏汽车虽被小幅减持。有意思的是，道富银行、摩根大通、纽约梅隆银行、挪威中央银行、高盛集团等知名外资机构，对中国“造车新势力”表现出了浓厚的兴趣，四季度纷纷增持了相关公司，其中蔚来受关注度最高，获得149家机构增持，189家机构新买入。若从持股机构数来看，阿里巴巴中驻扎的外资数量最多，达1287家，较三季度小幅下降；另外，百胜中国、京东、百度、蔚来持股机构数均超过500家。当然，对于中概股，尤其是处于反垄断风口浪尖的中国互联网公司，外资机构之间是有分歧的。但对于一些好公司，尤其是中国市场上快速成长的优质公司，他们从来不吝啬手里的子弹，比如造车新势力、以做下沉市场起家的拼多多。04、尾声段永平曾被记者问道，当年网易跌得仅剩0.8美元，你哪来的勇气敢买入？他反问道，原本值10块钱的东西，现在有人哭着喊着要以1块钱的价格卖给你，这还需要什么勇气吗？当价格显著低于企业价值时，抄底当然不需要勇气和胆识，但需要子弹。很多时候投资会陷入“一看就会，一学就废”的困境，原因既关乎能力，又在于资金的不自由。大多数人是不具备判断一家公司价值的能力的，而股价见底与价值发现通常不会同时到来。毕竟，段永平只有一个，但倒在了黎明前黑暗中的人，却有许多。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010317217,"gmtCreate":1648258116774,"gmtModify":1676534322778,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"look","listText":"look","text":"look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010317217","repostId":"1175213400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9056450267,"gmtCreate":1655077840159,"gmtModify":1676535555831,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"look","listText":"look","text":"look","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9056450267","repostId":"2243743215","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243743215","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1655075294,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243743215?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-13 07:08","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | Highlight! Fed rate hike Storm Continues","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243743215","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"鲍威尔将在美联储为期两天的会议后向媒体作简报。Astra Space火箭发射任务失败 NASA气象卫星丢失周日，美国火箭公司Astra Space将小型天气监测NASA卫星送入轨道的任务失败了。失败发生在Astra火箭3.3从佛罗里达州卡纳维拉尔角太空部队发射台成功发射大约10分钟后。美国5月份消费者价格同比涨幅意外加速至8.6%，创40年新高，可能会推动美联储延长激进的加息周期。埃里安再次批评美联储在通胀方面“落后”，并表示他预计在本周的利率会议上加息50个基点。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The highlight! Fed to rate hike this week, but Powell speech may be particularly important</b><b>2. Summers urges the Fed to face up to the severity of inflation and says the risk of recession is imminent</b><b>3. Oil prices continue to soar, UK orders review of fuel market</b><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTR\">Astra Space</a>Rocket Launch Mission Fails, NASA Weather Satellite Lost</b><b>5. Dutch regulators said<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Additional payment methods will be available in dating apps</b><b>6. Allianz chief economist says Fed action \"lags behind\" U.S. inflation rate may reach 9%</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c2adadd4cdfbf839dcfc63699815f5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Highlight! Fed to rate hike this week, but Powell speech may be particularly important</b></p><p>The important events in the coming week may all come down to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at 2:30 p.m. EST on Wednesday.</p><p>Powell will brief the media after the Fed's two-day meeting. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise the federal funds target rate range by 0.5 percentage points, but the red-hot inflation data in May has caused the market to worry about whether policymakers will be more aggressive or predict a faster pace of future rate hike.</p><p>Stocks and bonds have been volatile amid investors' concerns that inflation may not peak and that rate hike could lead to a recession.</p><p>Stocks tumbled after Friday's May consumer price index came in well above expectations. For the week, the S&P 500 fell 5.1%. The index closed Friday at 3,900 points, down 2.9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c979b143c8dcaab8d1f208af870ba0a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Summers urges Fed to face up to the severity of inflation, saying recession risk is imminent</b></p><p>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers urged the Federal Reserve to realize the seriousness of inflation, which has accelerated to its highest level in 40 years by the time policymakers meet this week and the risk of a recession is looming.</p><p>\"When inflation is as high as it is and unemployment is as low as it is, there is almost always a recession within two years,\" he said on CNN's \"State of the Union\" Sunday. When it comes to inflation, \"the Fed's forecasts tend to be overly optimistic, and I hope they are fully aware of the seriousness of the problem.\"</p><p>Summers pointed to the risk of a possible recession next year, though he said it was \"more likely\" within the next two years.</p><p>Summers, who has been predicting high inflation since last year, said the path of inflation depends on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its impact on oil prices. U.S. consumer prices rose 8.6% year-over-year in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a35993591bceb2e3ecfd4a9b8961ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>UK orders fuel market review as oil prices continue to surge</b></p><p>The UK government has asked the competition watchdog to review the retail fuel market to see whether tariff cuts have been passed on to consumers as prices at petrol stations reach unprecedented highs.</p><p>Britain's Business Secretary Kwarteng said on Sunday that the investigation will find out why fuel prices are always rising fast but falling slowly.</p><p>The UK cut fuel duty by 5p a litre for a year in March in a £ 5 bn ($6.2bn) package to ease the burden on motorists amid the growing cost-of-living crunch for families.</p><p>However, fuel prices continue to rise in the UK, with the average cost of refueling a family car exceeding 100lbs for the first time last week. The British people are frustrated that the £ 5 billion package has not been passed on to fuel prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7ef7448a731908a5f6838b48b9973cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"478\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Astra Space Rocket Launch Mission Fails, NASA Weather Satellite Lost</b></p><p>U.S. rocket company Astra Space's mission to send small weather-monitoring NASA satellites into orbit failed on Sunday. It is reported that the second-stage booster engine was shut down early in early space.</p><p>The failure occurred approximately 10 minutes after the successful launch of the Astra rocket 3.3 from the Space Force launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida.</p><p>\"We made a nominal first-stage flight. However, the engine of the higher stage did shut down early, and we didn't put the payload into orbit,\" Astra said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d797560c158b6042e149885c94c1dd3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Dutch regulator says Apple will offer other payment methods in dating app</b></p><p>Apple Inc. will allow different payment methods in the Dutch dating app, the Dutch antitrust regulator said on Saturday, ending a dispute that led to a 50 million euro ($52.58 million) fine for the company.</p><p>The Dutch Consumer and Markets Authority (AMC) said in a statement: With this concession, Apple will meet the requirements set by regulators under EU and Dutch competition rules.</p><p>Apple has long mandated the use of its in-app payment system, which charges a commission of up to 30%, which some developers like Tinder owner Match Group Inc think is too high.</p><p>\"In the digital economy, powerful companies have a special responsibility to keep markets fair and open. Apple has evaded this responsibility and abused its dominant position as a dating app provider,\" said Martijn Snoep, chairman of the ACM board.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4560aea1e2ff209bde08e7fb0a0f3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Allianz chief economist says Fed action'lags behind 'US inflation could hit 9%</b></p><p>Mohamed El-Erian, chief economist of Allianz Group, believes that the inflation rate in the United States is likely to rise further, while recession risks are \"currently tilting in a negative way.\"</p><p>\"I think you have to be very modest about what we know about the inflation process,\" El-Erian said Sunday. \"And I'm afraid it's going to get worse. At this rate, we're likely to get to 9%.\"</p><p>U.S. consumer price gains unexpectedly accelerated to a 40-year high of 8.6% year-over-year in May, potentially pushing the Federal Reserve to extend its aggressive rate hike cycle.</p><p>El-Erian once again criticized the Fed for \"lagging behind\" on inflation and said he expects a 50 basis point rate hike at this week's interest rate meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | Highlight! Fed rate hike Storm Continues</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | Highlight! Fed rate hike Storm Continues\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-06-13 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The highlight! Fed to rate hike this week, but Powell speech may be particularly important</b><b>2. Summers urges the Fed to face up to the severity of inflation and says the risk of recession is imminent</b><b>3. Oil prices continue to soar, UK orders review of fuel market</b><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASTR\">Astra Space</a>Rocket Launch Mission Fails, NASA Weather Satellite Lost</b><b>5. Dutch regulators said<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Additional payment methods will be available in dating apps</b><b>6. Allianz chief economist says Fed action \"lags behind\" U.S. inflation rate may reach 9%</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c2adadd4cdfbf839dcfc63699815f5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Highlight! Fed to rate hike this week, but Powell speech may be particularly important</b></p><p>The important events in the coming week may all come down to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at 2:30 p.m. EST on Wednesday.</p><p>Powell will brief the media after the Fed's two-day meeting. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise the federal funds target rate range by 0.5 percentage points, but the red-hot inflation data in May has caused the market to worry about whether policymakers will be more aggressive or predict a faster pace of future rate hike.</p><p>Stocks and bonds have been volatile amid investors' concerns that inflation may not peak and that rate hike could lead to a recession.</p><p>Stocks tumbled after Friday's May consumer price index came in well above expectations. For the week, the S&P 500 fell 5.1%. The index closed Friday at 3,900 points, down 2.9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c979b143c8dcaab8d1f208af870ba0a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Summers urges Fed to face up to the severity of inflation, saying recession risk is imminent</b></p><p>Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers urged the Federal Reserve to realize the seriousness of inflation, which has accelerated to its highest level in 40 years by the time policymakers meet this week and the risk of a recession is looming.</p><p>\"When inflation is as high as it is and unemployment is as low as it is, there is almost always a recession within two years,\" he said on CNN's \"State of the Union\" Sunday. When it comes to inflation, \"the Fed's forecasts tend to be overly optimistic, and I hope they are fully aware of the seriousness of the problem.\"</p><p>Summers pointed to the risk of a possible recession next year, though he said it was \"more likely\" within the next two years.</p><p>Summers, who has been predicting high inflation since last year, said the path of inflation depends on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its impact on oil prices. U.S. consumer prices rose 8.6% year-over-year in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a35993591bceb2e3ecfd4a9b8961ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>UK orders fuel market review as oil prices continue to surge</b></p><p>The UK government has asked the competition watchdog to review the retail fuel market to see whether tariff cuts have been passed on to consumers as prices at petrol stations reach unprecedented highs.</p><p>Britain's Business Secretary Kwarteng said on Sunday that the investigation will find out why fuel prices are always rising fast but falling slowly.</p><p>The UK cut fuel duty by 5p a litre for a year in March in a £ 5 bn ($6.2bn) package to ease the burden on motorists amid the growing cost-of-living crunch for families.</p><p>However, fuel prices continue to rise in the UK, with the average cost of refueling a family car exceeding 100lbs for the first time last week. The British people are frustrated that the £ 5 billion package has not been passed on to fuel prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7ef7448a731908a5f6838b48b9973cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"478\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Astra Space Rocket Launch Mission Fails, NASA Weather Satellite Lost</b></p><p>U.S. rocket company Astra Space's mission to send small weather-monitoring NASA satellites into orbit failed on Sunday. It is reported that the second-stage booster engine was shut down early in early space.</p><p>The failure occurred approximately 10 minutes after the successful launch of the Astra rocket 3.3 from the Space Force launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida.</p><p>\"We made a nominal first-stage flight. However, the engine of the higher stage did shut down early, and we didn't put the payload into orbit,\" Astra said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d797560c158b6042e149885c94c1dd3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Dutch regulator says Apple will offer other payment methods in dating app</b></p><p>Apple Inc. will allow different payment methods in the Dutch dating app, the Dutch antitrust regulator said on Saturday, ending a dispute that led to a 50 million euro ($52.58 million) fine for the company.</p><p>The Dutch Consumer and Markets Authority (AMC) said in a statement: With this concession, Apple will meet the requirements set by regulators under EU and Dutch competition rules.</p><p>Apple has long mandated the use of its in-app payment system, which charges a commission of up to 30%, which some developers like Tinder owner Match Group Inc think is too high.</p><p>\"In the digital economy, powerful companies have a special responsibility to keep markets fair and open. Apple has evaded this responsibility and abused its dominant position as a dating app provider,\" said Martijn Snoep, chairman of the ACM board.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4560aea1e2ff209bde08e7fb0a0f3\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Allianz chief economist says Fed action'lags behind 'US inflation could hit 9%</b></p><p>Mohamed El-Erian, chief economist of Allianz Group, believes that the inflation rate in the United States is likely to rise further, while recession risks are \"currently tilting in a negative way.\"</p><p>\"I think you have to be very modest about what we know about the inflation process,\" El-Erian said Sunday. \"And I'm afraid it's going to get worse. At this rate, we're likely to get to 9%.\"</p><p>U.S. consumer price gains unexpectedly accelerated to a 40-year high of 8.6% year-over-year in May, potentially pushing the Federal Reserve to extend its aggressive rate hike cycle.</p><p>El-Erian once again criticized the Fed for \"lagging behind\" on inflation and said he expects a 50 basis point rate hike at this week's interest rate meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-13/doc-imizmscu6490264.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c2adadd4cdfbf839dcfc63699815f5d","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4564":"太空概念","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","ASTR":"Astra Space",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-13/doc-imizmscu6490264.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243743215","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、重头戏！美联储将在本周加息 但鲍威尔讲话可能尤为重要 2、萨默斯敦促美联储正视通胀严重性 并称衰退风险近在眼前3、油价持续飙升 英国下令对燃料市场进行审查4、Astra Space火箭发射任务失败 NASA气象卫星丢失5、荷兰监管机构称苹果将在约会应用中提供其他支付方式6、安联首席经济学家称美联储行动“落后” 美国通胀率可能达到9%重头戏！美联储将在本周加息 但鲍威尔讲话可能尤为重要未来一周重要事件可能都归结为美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔在美国东部时间周三下午2：30发表的讲话。鲍威尔将在美联储为期两天的会议后向媒体作简报。外界普遍预计美联储将把联邦基金目标利率区间上调0.5个百分点，但5月份炙手可热的通胀数据令市场担心决策者是否会更加激进或预测未来加息步伐会更快。由于投资者担心通胀可能不会见顶，以及加息可能导致经济衰退，股票和债券一直波动。周五的5月消费者价格指数远高于预期后，股市暴跌。本周，标普500指数下跌 5.1%。该指数周五收于3900点，下跌 2.9%。萨默斯敦促美联储正视通胀严重性 并称衰退风险近在眼前美国前财政部长萨默斯敦促美联储意识到通胀的严重性，在政策制定者本周开会时，通胀已经加速至40年来的最高水平，经济衰退的风险即将来临。他周日在美国有线电视新闻网的“国情咨文”节目中说：“当通货膨胀像现在这样高而失业率像现在这样低时，几乎总是在两年内出现衰退。” 谈到通胀，“美联储的预测往往过于乐观，我希望他们能充分意识到问题的严重性。”萨默斯指出明年可能出现衰退的风险，不过他表示，未来两年内“更有可能”发生。自去年以来一直在预测高通胀的萨默斯表示，通胀的路径取决于俄乌冲突及其对油价的影响。美国5月份消费者价格同比上涨 8.6%，这表明价格压力在经济中变得根深蒂固。油价持续飙升 英国下令对燃料市场进行审查英国政府已要求竞争监管机构审查零售燃料市场，以了解随着加油站价格达到前所未有的高位，是否已将关税削减转嫁给消费者。英国商务部长夸滕周日表示，调查将找出为什么燃料价格总是快速上涨但缓慢下降的原因。英国在3月份以50亿英镑（合62亿美元）的一揽子计划将燃油税每升降低5便士，为期一年，以减轻家庭生活成本紧缩日益严重的情况下驾驶者的负担。然而，英国燃油价格继续上涨，上周家用汽车的平均加油成本首次超过100磅。英国人民对50亿英镑的一揽子计划未被传递到燃油价格感到沮丧。Astra Space火箭发射任务失败 NASA气象卫星丢失周日，美国火箭公司Astra Space将小型天气监测NASA卫星送入轨道的任务失败了。据悉，第二级助推发动机在太空早期提前关闭。失败发生在Astra火箭3.3从佛罗里达州卡纳维拉尔角太空部队发射台成功发射大约10分钟后。“我们进行了名义上的第一级飞行。但是，更高一级的发动机确实提前关闭，我们没有将有效载荷送入轨道，”Astra公司表示。荷兰监管机构称苹果将在约会应用中提供其他支付方式荷兰反垄断监管机构周六表示，苹果公司将允许在荷兰约会应用程序中使用不同的支付方式，结束导致该公司被罚款 5000 万欧元（5258 万美元）的纠纷。荷兰消费者和市场管理局 （AMC） 在一份声明中表示：通过这一让步，苹果将满足监管机构根据欧盟和荷兰竞争规则制定的要求。苹果公司长期以来一直强制使用其应用内支付系统，该系统收取高达30%的佣金，Tinder所有者 Match Group Inc 等一些开发商认为这太高了。“在数字经济中，强大的公司负有保持市场公平和开放的特殊责任。苹果回避了这一责任，并滥用了其在约会应用程序提供商方面的主导地位，”ACM董事会主席 Martijn Snoep 表示。安联首席经济学家称美联储行动“落后” 美国通胀率可能达到9%安联集团首席经济学家穆罕默德-埃尔-埃里安（Mohamed El-Erian）认为，美国的通胀率可能会进一步上升，而衰退风险“目前正以负面的方式倾斜”。“我认为你必须对我们对通胀过程的了解保持非常谦虚，”El-Erian 周日表示。“而且我担心情况还会变得更糟。按照这个速度，我们很可能会达到9%。”美国5月份消费者价格同比涨幅意外加速至8.6%，创40年新高，可能会推动美联储延长激进的加息周期。埃里安再次批评美联储在通胀方面“落后”，并表示他预计在本周的利率会议上加息50个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".DJI":1,"MNQmain":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".IXIC":1,"QID":0.6,"ASTR":1,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"SPY":1,"NQmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254434989961504,"gmtCreate":1703154573703,"gmtModify":1703154578000,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good game join&nbsp; 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