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2021-04-05

$PARKWAYLIFE REIT(C2PU.SI)$1Q21 results will be released on the 23 April 2021 (Friday) before 9am.

2021-04-25

Interesting week. Am going to long Apple, Microsoft and Facebook

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2021-06-24

Prefer DBS

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2021-06-07

Long Paypal

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2021-08-15

Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.

AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?

2021-07-22

Long Netflix

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2021-07-04

Long FireEye

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2021-06-03

Long Upfintech!

Financial Technology Firms UP Fintech, Sea, Huobi, Razer Added to MSCI Global Index

2021-07-10

Yes of course

The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why

2021-05-14

$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$Sheng Siong long, target price: $1.75

2021-06-09

Long Paypal for crypto exposure

Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading

2021-05-19

The analyst expects the shares to pull back abit but still thinks its a long now. Wierd. Why not downgrade first then upgrade when the selling is over?

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2021-04-12

Long JPM

JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2021-04-06

Interest rates to remain accommodative

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2021-06-12

Long Keppel

How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy

2021-06-08

More upside to come

Job openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening

2021-06-06

This and Qualcomm

Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play

2021-05-31

Should be $370/share instead. Based on 45x FY21earnings.

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2021-05-30

Definitely Paypal

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2021-05-30

Too much positives priced in for a protracted recovery

The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"60.23%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a 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stock split Historical data show that stock splits usually see stock prices go higher after as stock splits result in greater accessibility of the stock to retail investors. What are your thoughts? Will you be buying before the split or after?","listText":"Nvidia's stock split Historical data show that stock splits usually see stock prices go higher after as stock splits result in greater accessibility of the stock to retail investors. What are your thoughts? Will you be buying before the split or after?","text":"Nvidia's stock split Historical data show that stock splits usually see stock prices go higher after as stock splits result in greater accessibility of the stock to retail investors. What are your thoughts? Will you be buying before the split or after?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/309658046763344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583060336953206","authorId":"3583060336953206","name":"SC CBK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9e1095c9cc5beeb5b404c1ca088cb3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583060336953206","authorIdStr":"3583060336953206"},"content":"Why ah? Can you help explain? Theoretically same same with or without stocksplit","text":"Why ah? Can you help explain? Theoretically same same with or without stocksplit","html":"Why ah? Can you help explain? Theoretically same same with or without stocksplit"},{"author":{"id":"3583060336953206","authorId":"3583060336953206","name":"SC CBK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9e1095c9cc5beeb5b404c1ca088cb3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3583060336953206","authorIdStr":"3583060336953206"},"content":"Thanks didnt know that! You are the guru indeed!","text":"Thanks didnt know that! You are the guru indeed!","html":"Thanks didnt know that! You are the guru indeed!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839919961,"gmtCreate":1629115206553,"gmtModify":1676529934708,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Intel’s a great buy","listText":"Intel’s a great buy","text":"Intel’s a great buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839919961","repostId":"2159226397","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"My largest position","text":"My largest position","html":"My largest position"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830808436,"gmtCreate":1629039543425,"gmtModify":1676529914985,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.&nbsp;","listText":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.&nbsp;","text":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830808436","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138705612?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>\n <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>\n <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>\n <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p>\n<p>This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p>\n<p>AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p>\n<p>However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p>\n<p><b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p>\n<p>An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p>\n<p>Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p>\n<p>Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p>\n<p>Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p>\n<p>At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p>\n<p>Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p>\n<p>The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p>\n<p>Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p>\n<p>However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p>\n<p>Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p>\n<p><b>An Overview of AMD</b></p>\n<p>In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p>\n<p>However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p>\n<p>AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p>\n<p>In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p>\n<p>However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p>\n<p>Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p>\n<p>Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p>\n<p>The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p>\n<p>AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p>\n<p><b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p>\n<p>NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p>\n<p>The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p>\n<p>GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p>\n<p>AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p>\n<p>ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p>\n<p>Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p>\n<p><b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p>\n<p>Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p>\n<p>Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p>\n<p>Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p>\n<p>Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p>\n<p>Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage AMD</b></p>\n<p><b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p>\n<p>AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p>\n<p>Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p>\n<p>Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p>\n<p><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p>\n<p><b>Growth Rates</b></p>\n<p>The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p>\n<p>While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage AMD</b></p>\n<p>I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p>\n<p>I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p>\n<p><b>Debt Metrics</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p>\n<p>AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p>\n<p>Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p>\n<p>All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p>\n<p><b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p>\n<p>This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p>\n<p>Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p>\n<p>AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p>\n<p>I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage INTC</b></p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p>\n<p>To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p>\n<p>Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p>\n<p>The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p>\n<p>A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p>\n<p>While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p>\n<p>However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p>\n<p>With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p>\n<p>I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p>\n<p>I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p>\n<p>For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-15 10:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581978054709801","authorId":"3581978054709801","name":"Nickystonks","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/899e00600a95e04d314b62be25a3670f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581978054709801","authorIdStr":"3581978054709801"},"content":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around.","text":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around.","html":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899369802,"gmtCreate":1628161013706,"gmtModify":1703502315849,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Intel on it fixing its&nbsp;manufacturing problems","listText":"Long Intel on it fixing its&nbsp;manufacturing problems","text":"Long Intel on it fixing its manufacturing problems","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899369802","repostId":"1119138550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119138550","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628157065,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119138550?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 17:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel has a plan to go beyond 3nm chips","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119138550","media":"engadget","summary":"Its moving past nanometers, in more than one way.\n\nEarlier this year, Intel announced they were plan","content":"<blockquote>\n Its moving past nanometers, in more than <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> way.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Earlier this year, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> announced they were planning toretake the CPU manufacturing leadand \"unquestioned leadership\" in the PC world. These were impressive goals, but what was missing was any sense of how they'd actually achieve them. Now, we finally know Intel's plan.</p>\n<p>Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger and SVP of Technology Development Dr. Ann Kelleher,laid out the company's plan for the future.For starters, Intel is renaming its manufacturing nodes. What used to be 10nm \"Enhanced Superfin\" is now just \"7.\" This may feel a little duplicitous — \"just wave a wand a you've got better technology!\" — but to be fair to intel, the nanometer measurements of process nodes don't really correspond to anything physical any more, and in terms of density Intel's current 10nm chips are competitive with TSMC and Samsung's 7nm.</p>\n<p>Looking beyond 7nm, Intel is targeting an aggressive release schedule with major product updates happening annually. We're expecting their Alder Lake chips this fall, which will mix high and low-powered cores, followed by now-4nm Meteor Lake chips that will move to a \"tile\" (chiplet) design, and incorporate Intel's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> stacked-chip technology, Foveros.</p>\n<p>Beyond that, Intel has technology mapped out for an EUV-based 3nm node that will use the high-energy manufacturing process to streamline chip creation, and a \"20A\" for angstrom node. This is one ten-billionth of a meter (meaning it's 2nm), and will be followed by a 18A node that Intel hopes to start moving into production in 2025 for products sometime in the 2nd half of the decade. Again, while node measurements don't really correspond to physical structures any more, a silicon atom is in the area of 2 angstroms wide, so these are seriously tiny transistors.</p>\n<p>This release schedule seems aggressive, and Intel does not have the best track record of meeting targets for new nodes, but if it can even come close to these goals, expect your laptops and desktops to get a huge performance boost in the next few years.</p>","source":"lsy1628157128723","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel has a plan to go beyond 3nm chips</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel has a plan to go beyond 3nm chips\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 17:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.engadget.com/intel-laid-out-an-aggressive-plan-to-build-angstrom-scale-transistors-within-the-next-five-years-180020485.html><strong>engadget</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Its moving past nanometers, in more than one way.\n\nEarlier this year, Intel announced they were planning toretake the CPU manufacturing leadand \"unquestioned leadership\" in the PC world. These were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.engadget.com/intel-laid-out-an-aggressive-plan-to-build-angstrom-scale-transistors-within-the-next-five-years-180020485.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","INTC":"英特尔","09086":"华夏纳指-U"},"source_url":"https://www.engadget.com/intel-laid-out-an-aggressive-plan-to-build-angstrom-scale-transistors-within-the-next-five-years-180020485.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119138550","content_text":"Its moving past nanometers, in more than one way.\n\nEarlier this year, Intel announced they were planning toretake the CPU manufacturing leadand \"unquestioned leadership\" in the PC world. These were impressive goals, but what was missing was any sense of how they'd actually achieve them. Now, we finally know Intel's plan.\nIntel's CEO Pat Gelsinger and SVP of Technology Development Dr. Ann Kelleher,laid out the company's plan for the future.For starters, Intel is renaming its manufacturing nodes. What used to be 10nm \"Enhanced Superfin\" is now just \"7.\" This may feel a little duplicitous — \"just wave a wand a you've got better technology!\" — but to be fair to intel, the nanometer measurements of process nodes don't really correspond to anything physical any more, and in terms of density Intel's current 10nm chips are competitive with TSMC and Samsung's 7nm.\nLooking beyond 7nm, Intel is targeting an aggressive release schedule with major product updates happening annually. We're expecting their Alder Lake chips this fall, which will mix high and low-powered cores, followed by now-4nm Meteor Lake chips that will move to a \"tile\" (chiplet) design, and incorporate Intel's 3D stacked-chip technology, Foveros.\nBeyond that, Intel has technology mapped out for an EUV-based 3nm node that will use the high-energy manufacturing process to streamline chip creation, and a \"20A\" for angstrom node. This is one ten-billionth of a meter (meaning it's 2nm), and will be followed by a 18A node that Intel hopes to start moving into production in 2025 for products sometime in the 2nd half of the decade. Again, while node measurements don't really correspond to physical structures any more, a silicon atom is in the area of 2 angstroms wide, so these are seriously tiny transistors.\nThis release schedule seems aggressive, and Intel does not have the best track record of meeting targets for new nodes, but if it can even come close to these goals, expect your laptops and desktops to get a huge performance boost in the next few years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9,"03086":0.9,"09086":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"content":"Continue to be Strong","text":"Continue to be Strong","html":"Continue to be Strong"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177647588,"gmtCreate":1627216644844,"gmtModify":1703485653505,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Easily. Am long Netflix.","listText":"Easily. Am long Netflix.","text":"Easily. Am long Netflix.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/177647588","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172278576,"gmtCreate":1626964317895,"gmtModify":1703481540911,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Netflix","listText":"Long Netflix","text":"Long Netflix","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172278576","repostId":"1162614438","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554812130600735","authorIdStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"SInce boss chua says so","text":"SInce boss chua says so","html":"SInce boss chua says so"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Yes, bought some today","text":"Yes, bought some today","html":"Yes, bought some today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148968138,"gmtCreate":1625917579224,"gmtModify":1703750881987,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes of course","listText":"Yes of course","text":"Yes of course","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148968138","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185154176?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p>\n<p>It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p>\n<p>Here’s why.</p>\n<p>We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p>\n<p><b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p>\n<p>Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p>\n<p>First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p>\n<p>Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p>\n<p>Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p>\n<p>Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p>\n<p>Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p>\n<p>You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p>\n<p>Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p>\n<p><b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p>\n<p><b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p>\n<p>Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p>\n<p>“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p>\n<p>Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p>\n<p><b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p>\n<p>For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p>\n<p>Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p>\n<p><b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p>\n<p>Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p>\n<p><b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p>\n<p>We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p>\n<p>This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p>\n<p>True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p>\n<p><b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p>\n<p>As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p>\n<p><b>Three themes to follow</b></p>\n<p>If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p>\n<p><b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p>\n<p><b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554875963894816","authorId":"3554875963894816","name":"Shaunchiaqj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2781d9bccdced0442a01a87b45dab0a9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554875963894816","authorIdStr":"3554875963894816"},"content":"Very very acknowledged","text":"Very very acknowledged","html":"Very very acknowledged"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Today is prove again","text":"Today is prove again","html":"Today is prove again"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157277320,"gmtCreate":1625585940360,"gmtModify":1703744507662,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just avoid this or get out completely if you still own a position","listText":"Just avoid this or get out completely if you still own a position","text":"Just avoid this or get out completely if you still own a position","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157277320","repostId":"2147181921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2147181921","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1625584140,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2147181921?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Luckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147181921","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Luckin Coffee rose 11% On Tuesday, and has surged more than 50% in the past week.\n\nLuckin Coffee rel","content":"<p>Luckin Coffee&nbsp;rose&nbsp;11%&nbsp;On Tuesday, and&nbsp;has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;50% in the past&nbsp;week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73cfd66ba216cf812a82753ece61c49\" tg-width=\"782\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Luckin Coffee released its&nbsp;audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.</p>\n<p>The report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.</p>\n<p>While the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.</p>\n<p>After the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Luckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLuckin Coffee shares continuously rise after restatement of 2019 financial results.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-06 23:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Luckin Coffee&nbsp;rose&nbsp;11%&nbsp;On Tuesday, and&nbsp;has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;50% in the past&nbsp;week.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c73cfd66ba216cf812a82753ece61c49\" tg-width=\"782\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Luckin Coffee released its&nbsp;audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.</p>\n<p>The report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.</p>\n<p>While the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.</p>\n<p>After the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2147181921","content_text":"Luckin Coffee rose 11% On Tuesday, and has surged more than 50% in the past week.\n\nLuckin Coffee released its audited 2019 financial statementson the evening of June 30, detailing thefraudcommitted by the company more than two years ago andadmitted to in April 2020.\nThe report shows Luckin Coffee’s fraudulent transactions began as early as April 2019, while it inflated operating income by RMB 2.12 billion (USD 327.7 million) for the entirety of 2019. Luckin Coffee’s revenue inflation increased throughout the year, totaling RMB 250 million (USD 38.6 million) in Q2 2019, RMB 700 million (USD 108.2 million) in Q3, and RMB 1.17 billion (USD 172.6 million) in Q4.\nWhile the company’s number of monthly transacting users increased sharply in 2019, largely due to a deluge of subsidies for free coffee, the number of cups of coffee consumed per user fell from around three in 2018 to 2.59 in 2019. Luckin Coffee recorded a net loss of RMB 3.16 billion (USD 488.4 million) in 2019, an increase of 95% year-on-year.\nAfter the financial misrepresentation came to light and the US Securities and Exchange Commission leviedhefty finesagainst the company, Luckin Coffee has attempted to revive its business byrestructuring debtandraising USD 250 million in April. The companysaid on Wednesdaythat it currently operates more than 5,200 stores throughout China.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LUCKIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Absolutely","text":"Absolutely","html":"Absolutely"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"going down","text":"going down","html":"going down"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155871104,"gmtCreate":1625405949108,"gmtModify":1703741375795,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long FireEye","listText":"Long FireEye","text":"Long FireEye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155871104","repostId":"2148807114","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554812130600735","authorIdStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?","text":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?","html":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?"},{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554812130600735","authorIdStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region","text":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region","html":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156305736,"gmtCreate":1625193560625,"gmtModify":1703738084489,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is an easy long. Have a big position on this.&nbsp;","listText":"This is an easy long. Have a big position on this.&nbsp;","text":"This is an easy long. Have a big position on this.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156305736","repostId":"2148382755","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Same, best name in the semiconductor space","text":"Same, best name in the semiconductor space","html":"Same, best name in the semiconductor space"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156302985,"gmtCreate":1625193438447,"gmtModify":1703738081348,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Apple","listText":"Long Apple","text":"Long Apple","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156302985","repostId":"1104728487","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104728487","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625189058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104728487?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When AAPL Traded Like A Meme Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104728487","media":"thestreet","summary":"Apple is one of the most unlikely meme stock candidates. However, the Apple Maven thinks that AAPL b","content":"<p>Apple is one of the most unlikely meme stock candidates. However, the Apple Maven thinks that AAPL behaved like one in the third quarter of 2020. Here is what happened.</p>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;is nothing likea meme stock. The sheer size of the company, trading volume, institutional ownership and multi trillion-dollar market cap make it nearly impossible for a relatively small number of retail traders to sway the stock price in any meaningful way. But there are often exceptions to the rule.</p>\n<p>Today, the Apple Maven goes back to third calendar quarter of 2020 and revisits the few weeks when Apple stock traded like meme: up sharply and quickly, on heavy volume and arguably decoupled from business or macroeconomic fundamentals, followed by a sudden drop from the peak.</p>\n<p>AAPL stock: to the moon!</p>\n<p>Apple’s fiscal third quarter, reported in late July 2020, was quite impressive given the COVID-19 disruptions. The company managed to post revenue growth of nearly 11% and EPS of $2.58 that topped consensus by around 50 cents.</p>\n<p>But, despite the strong performance, it is still not easy to justify what happened to Apple stock in the month or so that followed the earnings release. Between July 31 and September 1, AAPL climbed a staggering 40%, the most in such a short period of time in the past ten years at least.</p>\n<p>Not even the recovery from the bottom of the COVID-19 bear was so fast and so furious. See chart below: a histogram of the one-month returns in Apple stock on any given day over the past decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4cd9696f95e583da810bdc74facce25\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2: Distribution of one-month returns in AAPL, past decade.DM Martins Research</span></p>\n<p>The roots of the meme attack</p>\n<p>In my view, there is one key factor that explains the bullish reaction of August 2020. Along with financial results, Apple also announced its first stock split since 2014. One share of AAPL would become four on Monday, August 31. CEO Tim Cook explained the company’s decision:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We are announcing a four for one split of Apple common stock to make our stock more accessible to a broader base of investors.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>While accessibility to retail investors is probably the main reason for splitting a stock, the rationale does not work as well in today’s trading environment. Nearly all major brokerage firms allow for fractional ownership, which means an investor can buy or sell less than one share of Apple stock.</p>\n<p>The only way that a stock split matters nowadays, in my view, is by catching the attention of investors who believe that the event unveils “a good deal”: two, or four, or ten shares for the price of one. This was probably the key factor driving AAPL share price to $134 from $106 in less than five weeks.</p>\n<p>The morning-after hangover</p>\n<p>Like any good “meme attack”, AAPL share price spike was followed by a sudden pullback.</p>\n<p>After reaching a peak of $134 in early September, the stock dropped below $107 only 12 trading days later. It entered correction territory, defined as a 10%-plus pullback from the peak, in a record four trading days. In fact, Apple was still priced below September 1 levels as recently as a couple of days ago.</p>\n<p>It is probably not a coincidence that Apple’s sharp fall from the top started to unfold within one or two days of the stock split finally being executed, when the “buzz” finally wore off – the telltale sign of a meme stock-like frenzy running its course.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When AAPL Traded Like A Meme Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen AAPL Traded Like A Meme Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 09:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/when-aapl-traded-like-a-meme-stock><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple is one of the most unlikely meme stock candidates. However, the Apple Maven thinks that AAPL behaved like one in the third quarter of 2020. Here is what happened.\nApple (AAPL) is nothing likea ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/when-aapl-traded-like-a-meme-stock\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/when-aapl-traded-like-a-meme-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104728487","content_text":"Apple is one of the most unlikely meme stock candidates. However, the Apple Maven thinks that AAPL behaved like one in the third quarter of 2020. Here is what happened.\nApple (AAPL) is nothing likea meme stock. The sheer size of the company, trading volume, institutional ownership and multi trillion-dollar market cap make it nearly impossible for a relatively small number of retail traders to sway the stock price in any meaningful way. But there are often exceptions to the rule.\nToday, the Apple Maven goes back to third calendar quarter of 2020 and revisits the few weeks when Apple stock traded like meme: up sharply and quickly, on heavy volume and arguably decoupled from business or macroeconomic fundamentals, followed by a sudden drop from the peak.\nAAPL stock: to the moon!\nApple’s fiscal third quarter, reported in late July 2020, was quite impressive given the COVID-19 disruptions. The company managed to post revenue growth of nearly 11% and EPS of $2.58 that topped consensus by around 50 cents.\nBut, despite the strong performance, it is still not easy to justify what happened to Apple stock in the month or so that followed the earnings release. Between July 31 and September 1, AAPL climbed a staggering 40%, the most in such a short period of time in the past ten years at least.\nNot even the recovery from the bottom of the COVID-19 bear was so fast and so furious. See chart below: a histogram of the one-month returns in Apple stock on any given day over the past decade.\nFigure 2: Distribution of one-month returns in AAPL, past decade.DM Martins Research\nThe roots of the meme attack\nIn my view, there is one key factor that explains the bullish reaction of August 2020. Along with financial results, Apple also announced its first stock split since 2014. One share of AAPL would become four on Monday, August 31. CEO Tim Cook explained the company’s decision:\n\n “We are announcing a four for one split of Apple common stock to make our stock more accessible to a broader base of investors.”\n\nWhile accessibility to retail investors is probably the main reason for splitting a stock, the rationale does not work as well in today’s trading environment. Nearly all major brokerage firms allow for fractional ownership, which means an investor can buy or sell less than one share of Apple stock.\nThe only way that a stock split matters nowadays, in my view, is by catching the attention of investors who believe that the event unveils “a good deal”: two, or four, or ten shares for the price of one. This was probably the key factor driving AAPL share price to $134 from $106 in less than five weeks.\nThe morning-after hangover\nLike any good “meme attack”, AAPL share price spike was followed by a sudden pullback.\nAfter reaching a peak of $134 in early September, the stock dropped below $107 only 12 trading days later. It entered correction territory, defined as a 10%-plus pullback from the peak, in a record four trading days. In fact, Apple was still priced below September 1 levels as recently as a couple of days ago.\nIt is probably not a coincidence that Apple’s sharp fall from the top started to unfold within one or two days of the stock split finally being executed, when the “buzz” finally wore off – the telltale sign of a meme stock-like frenzy running its course.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159701376,"gmtCreate":1624978790295,"gmtModify":1703849412115,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Qualcomm too","listText":"Long Qualcomm too","text":"Long Qualcomm too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159701376","repostId":"2147850348","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126167694,"gmtCreate":1624548081218,"gmtModify":1703840132506,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Prefer DBS","listText":"Prefer DBS","text":"Prefer DBS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126167694","repostId":"1152622139","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570969181408297","authorId":"3570969181408297","name":"hydros","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/999af31c7ffcd1eea8c03e9a51f02a24","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3570969181408297","authorIdStr":"3570969181408297"},"content":"dbs is leader of sg banks","text":"dbs is leader of sg banks","html":"dbs is leader of sg banks"},{"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"content":"Banks rallied today","text":"Banks rallied today","html":"Banks rallied today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121643178,"gmtCreate":1624463342494,"gmtModify":1703837615785,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I doubt it. Long Tesla","listText":"I doubt it. Long Tesla","text":"I doubt it. Long Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121643178","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167385644,"gmtCreate":1624247343088,"gmtModify":1703831505844,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The clearest here is Fedex. There are 2 main drivers: 1)&nbsp;Shipments for the vaccine will remain elevated beyond 2023; and 2) Online spending&nbsp;will continue to rise in the next few years as more people stay at home.Consensus P/E for FY21 is about 12x, which isway cheaper than the S&amp;P500 average. I’m long Fedex.","listText":"The clearest here is Fedex. There are 2 main drivers: 1)&nbsp;Shipments for the vaccine will remain elevated beyond 2023; and 2) Online spending&nbsp;will continue to rise in the next few years as more people stay at home.Consensus P/E for FY21 is about 12x, which isway cheaper than the S&amp;P500 average. I’m long Fedex.","text":"The clearest here is Fedex. There are 2 main drivers: 1) Shipments for the vaccine will remain elevated beyond 2023; and 2) Online spending will continue to rise in the next few years as more people stay at home.Consensus P/E for FY21 is about 12x, which isway cheaper than the S&P500 average. I’m long Fedex.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167385644","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154249454","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624230573,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154249454?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154249454","media":"barrons","summary":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will r","content":"<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from&nbsp;Johnson &amp;&nbsp;Johnson,&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline,and&nbsp;Equinix.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.</p>\n<p>And on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.</p>\n<p>Monday 6/21</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve Bank</b>of Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 6/22</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 6/23</p>\n<p>Equinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.</p>\n<p>GlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.</p>\n<p>Johnson &amp; Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.</p>\n<p><b>IHS Markitreports</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.</p>\n<p>Thursday 6/24</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.</p>\n<p>Accenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of England</b>announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.</p>\n<p>Friday 6/25</p>\n<p>CarMax and Paychex report earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The BEA reports</b>personal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRI":"达登饭店","FDX":"联邦快递","JNJ":"强生","NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154249454","content_text":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.\nEconomic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.\nAnd on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.\nMonday 6/21\nThe Federal Reserve Bankof Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.\nTuesday 6/22\nThe National Associationof Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.\nWednesday 6/23\nEquinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.\nGlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.\nJohnson & Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Census Bureaureports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.\nIHS Markitreportsboth its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.\nThursday 6/24\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysisreports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.\nAccenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bank of Englandannounces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.\nThe Census Bureaureleases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.\nFriday 6/25\nCarMax and Paychex report earnings.\nThe BEA reportspersonal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRI":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"FDX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"content":"Accumulated more","text":"Accumulated more","html":"Accumulated more"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Well said","text":"Well said","html":"Well said"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169567817,"gmtCreate":1623843811439,"gmtModify":1703821112965,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will still be buying more of this solid company&nbsp;","listText":"Will still be buying more of this solid company&nbsp;","text":"Will still be buying more of this solid company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169567817","repostId":"2143679504","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186054300,"gmtCreate":1623466601600,"gmtModify":1704204427632,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Keppel","listText":"Long Keppel","text":"Long Keppel","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186054300","repostId":"2142744202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142744202","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623452760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142744202?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142744202","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOi","content":"<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142744202","content_text":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.\nBut with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.\n\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.\n\"No one can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"\nCompany executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.\nBut there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.\nAs Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"\nPrices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.\nThis chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.\nKeeping up?\nPrices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.\nIEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.\nThe changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&K Investment.\nRead:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell\nBut that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.\n\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.\n\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.\n\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.\n\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.\n$100 oil is a mixed blessing\nIt took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.\nRecently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.\nAs a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.\nWhile energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.\n\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.\nStarting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.\nThen, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.\nAmundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554875963894816","authorId":"3554875963894816","name":"Shaunchiaqj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2781d9bccdced0442a01a87b45dab0a9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554875963894816","authorIdStr":"3554875963894816"},"content":"Very vEry Tired indeed","text":"Very vEry Tired indeed","html":"Very vEry Tired indeed"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189154309,"gmtCreate":1623249105201,"gmtModify":1704199363663,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","listText":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","text":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189154309","repostId":"1115361632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115361632","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623247721,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115361632?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Most of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115361632","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 9) Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading, Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, ","content":"<p>(June 9)&nbsp;Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading,&nbsp;Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f5e3fa7938b53319d9dd069278593b2\" tg-width=\"327\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Bitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.</p>\n<p>Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.</p>\n<p>U.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.</p>\n<p>A key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such as<b>Coinbase</b>(COIN) to report large transactions.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Most of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-09 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 9)&nbsp;Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading,&nbsp;Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f5e3fa7938b53319d9dd069278593b2\" tg-width=\"327\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Bitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.</p>\n<p>Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.</p>\n<p>U.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.</p>\n<p>A key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such as<b>Coinbase</b>(COIN) to report large transactions.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115361632","content_text":"(June 9) Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading, Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.\n\nBitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.\nOther cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.\nU.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.\nA key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such asCoinbase(COIN) to report large transactions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"MARA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"yes long Paypal","text":"yes long Paypal","html":"yes long Paypal"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"up today","text":"up today","html":"up today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117777781,"gmtCreate":1623162810043,"gmtModify":1704197459381,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More upside to come","listText":"More upside to come","text":"More upside to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117777781","repostId":"1175116155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175116155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623161467,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175116155?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 22:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Job openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175116155","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 8) Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the","content":"<p>(June&nbsp;8)&nbsp;Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.</p><p>The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.</p><p>Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.</p><p>Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Job openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJob openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-08 22:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June&nbsp;8)&nbsp;Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.</p><p>The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.</p><p>Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.</p><p>Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175116155","content_text":"(June 8) Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114843034,"gmtCreate":1623068849528,"gmtModify":1704195361253,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561859229387101","authorIdStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Paypal","listText":"Long Paypal","text":"Long Paypal","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114843034","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577963183517164","authorIdStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"my best performing stock","text":"my best performing stock","html":"my best performing stock"},{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554812130600735","authorIdStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"I trust mr expert","text":"I trust mr expert","html":"I trust mr expert"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":349870278,"gmtCreate":1617594322994,"gmtModify":1704700658744,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C2PU.SI\">$PARKWAYLIFE REIT(C2PU.SI)$</a>1Q21 results will be released on the 23 April 2021 (Friday) before 9am.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C2PU.SI\">$PARKWAYLIFE REIT(C2PU.SI)$</a>1Q21 results will be released on the 23 April 2021 (Friday) before 9am.","text":"$PARKWAYLIFE REIT(C2PU.SI)$1Q21 results will be released on the 23 April 2021 (Friday) before 9am.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349870278","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375624172,"gmtCreate":1619335586496,"gmtModify":1704722626993,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting week. Am going to long Apple, Microsoft and Facebook","listText":"Interesting week. Am going to long Apple, Microsoft and Facebook","text":"Interesting week. Am going to long Apple, Microsoft and Facebook","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375624172","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"content":"What about you?","text":"What about you?","html":"What about you?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126167694,"gmtCreate":1624548081218,"gmtModify":1703840132506,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Prefer DBS","listText":"Prefer DBS","text":"Prefer DBS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126167694","repostId":"1152622139","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570969181408297","authorId":"3570969181408297","name":"hydros","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/999af31c7ffcd1eea8c03e9a51f02a24","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3570969181408297","idStr":"3570969181408297"},"content":"dbs is leader of sg banks","text":"dbs is leader of sg banks","html":"dbs is leader of sg banks"},{"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"content":"Banks rallied today","text":"Banks rallied today","html":"Banks rallied today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114843034,"gmtCreate":1623068849528,"gmtModify":1704195361253,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Paypal","listText":"Long Paypal","text":"Long Paypal","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114843034","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"my best performing stock","text":"my best performing stock","html":"my best performing stock"},{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554812130600735","idStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"I trust mr expert","text":"I trust mr expert","html":"I trust mr expert"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830808436,"gmtCreate":1629039543425,"gmtModify":1676529914985,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.&nbsp;","listText":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.&nbsp;","text":"Intel definitely. It has the capacity to fix its manufacturing and sell faster than its rivals.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830808436","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138705612?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>\n <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>\n <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>\n <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p>\n<p>This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p>\n<p>AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p>\n<p>However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p>\n<p><b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p>\n<p>An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p>\n<p>Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p>\n<p>Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p>\n<p>Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p>\n<p>At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p>\n<p>Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p>\n<p>The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p>\n<p>Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p>\n<p>However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p>\n<p>Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p>\n<p><b>An Overview of AMD</b></p>\n<p>In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p>\n<p>However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p>\n<p>AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p>\n<p>In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p>\n<p>However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p>\n<p>Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p>\n<p>Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p>\n<p>The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p>\n<p>AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p>\n<p><b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p>\n<p>NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p>\n<p>The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p>\n<p>GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p>\n<p>AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p>\n<p>ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p>\n<p>Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p>\n<p><b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p>\n<p>Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p>\n<p>Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p>\n<p>Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p>\n<p>Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p>\n<p>Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage AMD</b></p>\n<p><b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p>\n<p>AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p>\n<p>Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p>\n<p>Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p>\n<p><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p>\n<p><b>Growth Rates</b></p>\n<p>The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p>\n<p>While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage AMD</b></p>\n<p>I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p>\n<p>I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p>\n<p><b>Debt Metrics</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p>\n<p>AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p>\n<p>Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p>\n<p>All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p>\n<p><b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p>\n<p>This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p>\n<p>Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p>\n<p>AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p>\n<p>I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p>\n<p><b>=Advantage INTC</b></p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p>\n<p>To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p>\n<p>Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p>\n<p>The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p>\n<p>A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p>\n<p>While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p>\n<p>However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p>\n<p>With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p>\n<p>I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p>\n<p>I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p>\n<p>For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-15 10:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581978054709801","authorId":"3581978054709801","name":"Nickystonks","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/899e00600a95e04d314b62be25a3670f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581978054709801","idStr":"3581978054709801"},"content":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around.","text":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around.","html":"yep. it needs to fix things. hopefully the CEO will be able to turn things around."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172278576,"gmtCreate":1626964317895,"gmtModify":1703481540911,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Netflix","listText":"Long Netflix","text":"Long Netflix","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172278576","repostId":"1162614438","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554812130600735","idStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"SInce boss chua says so","text":"SInce boss chua says so","html":"SInce boss chua says so"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Yes, bought some today","text":"Yes, bought some today","html":"Yes, bought some today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155871104,"gmtCreate":1625405949108,"gmtModify":1703741375795,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long FireEye","listText":"Long FireEye","text":"Long FireEye","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155871104","repostId":"2148807114","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554812130600735","idStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?","text":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?","html":"I was long FEYE previusky at $15 but sold at $20. Whats ur long term TP?"},{"author":{"id":"3554812130600735","authorId":"3554812130600735","name":"RoyK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224d19b59f850b38cc51174b1f5f6a54","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554812130600735","idStr":"3554812130600735"},"content":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region","text":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region","html":"Feels like good entry at 200EMA at around $18 region"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118136909,"gmtCreate":1622722612201,"gmtModify":1704189723076,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Upfintech!","listText":"Long Upfintech!","text":"Long Upfintech!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118136909","repostId":"1134617207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134617207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622719403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134617207?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Financial Technology Firms UP Fintech, Sea, Huobi, Razer Added to MSCI Global Index","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134617207","media":"Crowdfund Insider","summary":"Financial technology companies UP Fintech (NASDAQ:TIGR), an Asian online brokerage firm focusing on ","content":"<p>Financial technology companies&nbsp;<b>UP Fintech</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TIGR), an Asian online brokerage firm focusing on global investors;<b>Sea</b>, a digital commerce business;<b>Huobi Technology</b>, a blockchain-focused company;&nbsp;and<b>Razer</b>, a multinational gaming and financial services provider, were among the firms that have been added to the<i>MSCI global indexes</i>on Thursday (May 27, 2021).</p>\n<p>MSCI indexes aims to provide a measurement of stock market performance in a certain area or industry, offering investors important insights on different market segments.</p>\n<p>Constituents for MSCI indexes are adjusted every quarter (3 months) or on a semi-annual basis to show the evolution and ongoing development of equity markets and related segments.</p>\n<p>After the results of MSCI’s May 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review were announced, it was revealed that UP Fintech Holding had beenaddedto the MSCI China All Shares Index. As firstreportedby Fintech News HK, the index aims to capture large and mid-cap representation. The index also aims to showcase the opportunity set of Chinese share classes that are listed in Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen and in jurisdictions outsidemainland China.</p>\n<p>Established in 2014, UP Fintech manages Hong Kong’s Tiger Brokers, a digital equities trading firm that has become popular in Chinese markets. The firm, which lets customers trade various equities from US, UK, Hong Kong, Singapore and Australian markets, reports over 1 million registered users.</p>\n<p>Singapore-based Sea is an Internet company that also made it to the global standard index, joining the MSCI Singapore Standard Index. MSCI has reportedly named Sea as one of the largest new additions to the MSCI World Index by full company market cap, along with Volvo and Palantir Technologies.</p>\n<p>Sea is a multi-national consumer Internet firm that offers digital entertainment services (<b>Garena</b>), a digital commerce platform (Shopee), and virtual payments and financial services (<b>SeaMoney</b>). Sea is notably one of just four recipients of a digital banking license in Singapore. The company stated that it will be focused on fulfilling unmet financial services requirements. It will also serve younger Asiana consumers and SMEs.</p>\n<p>In MSCI Global Small Cap Indexes, Huobi Technology Holdings notably became the first major blockchain or distributed ledger tech (DLT) firm to be added to the Hong Kong-focused index. The MSCI Hong Kong Small Cap Index has been designed to assess the performance of the small cap sector of the Hong Kong market, accounting for around 14% of the free float-adjusted market cap of the region’s equity ecosystem.</p>\n<p>Huobi Technology Holdings manufactures electronics products and provides a digital asset exchange (along with other crypto services).</p>","source":"lsy1622719399088","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Financial Technology Firms UP Fintech, Sea, Huobi, Razer Added to MSCI Global Index</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFinancial Technology Firms UP Fintech, Sea, Huobi, Razer Added to MSCI Global Index\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 19:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2021/05/176008-financial-technology-firms-up-fintech-sea-huobi-razer-added-to-msci-global-index/?fbclid=IwAR0tNmbiAGzCMuX00UTImxkKeXy38RTySc66MaWgIlL82XuPSOxhuvaLaLk><strong>Crowdfund Insider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Financial technology companies UP Fintech (NASDAQ:TIGR), an Asian online brokerage firm focusing on global investors;Sea, a digital commerce business;Huobi Technology, a blockchain-focused company; ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2021/05/176008-financial-technology-firms-up-fintech-sea-huobi-razer-added-to-msci-global-index/?fbclid=IwAR0tNmbiAGzCMuX00UTImxkKeXy38RTySc66MaWgIlL82XuPSOxhuvaLaLk\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"source_url":"https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2021/05/176008-financial-technology-firms-up-fintech-sea-huobi-razer-added-to-msci-global-index/?fbclid=IwAR0tNmbiAGzCMuX00UTImxkKeXy38RTySc66MaWgIlL82XuPSOxhuvaLaLk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134617207","content_text":"Financial technology companies UP Fintech (NASDAQ:TIGR), an Asian online brokerage firm focusing on global investors;Sea, a digital commerce business;Huobi Technology, a blockchain-focused company; andRazer, a multinational gaming and financial services provider, were among the firms that have been added to theMSCI global indexeson Thursday (May 27, 2021).\nMSCI indexes aims to provide a measurement of stock market performance in a certain area or industry, offering investors important insights on different market segments.\nConstituents for MSCI indexes are adjusted every quarter (3 months) or on a semi-annual basis to show the evolution and ongoing development of equity markets and related segments.\nAfter the results of MSCI’s May 2021 Semi-Annual Index Review were announced, it was revealed that UP Fintech Holding had beenaddedto the MSCI China All Shares Index. As firstreportedby Fintech News HK, the index aims to capture large and mid-cap representation. The index also aims to showcase the opportunity set of Chinese share classes that are listed in Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen and in jurisdictions outsidemainland China.\nEstablished in 2014, UP Fintech manages Hong Kong’s Tiger Brokers, a digital equities trading firm that has become popular in Chinese markets. The firm, which lets customers trade various equities from US, UK, Hong Kong, Singapore and Australian markets, reports over 1 million registered users.\nSingapore-based Sea is an Internet company that also made it to the global standard index, joining the MSCI Singapore Standard Index. MSCI has reportedly named Sea as one of the largest new additions to the MSCI World Index by full company market cap, along with Volvo and Palantir Technologies.\nSea is a multi-national consumer Internet firm that offers digital entertainment services (Garena), a digital commerce platform (Shopee), and virtual payments and financial services (SeaMoney). Sea is notably one of just four recipients of a digital banking license in Singapore. The company stated that it will be focused on fulfilling unmet financial services requirements. It will also serve younger Asiana consumers and SMEs.\nIn MSCI Global Small Cap Indexes, Huobi Technology Holdings notably became the first major blockchain or distributed ledger tech (DLT) firm to be added to the Hong Kong-focused index. The MSCI Hong Kong Small Cap Index has been designed to assess the performance of the small cap sector of the Hong Kong market, accounting for around 14% of the free float-adjusted market cap of the region’s equity ecosystem.\nHuobi Technology Holdings manufactures electronics products and provides a digital asset exchange (along with other crypto services).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148968138,"gmtCreate":1625917579224,"gmtModify":1703750881987,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes of course","listText":"Yes of course","text":"Yes of course","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148968138","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185154176?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p>\n<p>It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&amp;P 500 Index&nbsp;this year. But you should buy then, too.</p>\n<p>Here’s why.</p>\n<p>We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p>\n<p><b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p>\n<p>Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p>\n<p>First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p>\n<p>Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p>\n<p>Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p>\n<p>Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p>\n<p>Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p>\n<p>You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p>\n<p>Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p>\n<p><b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p>\n<p><b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p>\n<p>The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&amp;P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p>\n<p>Paulsen expects 2021 S&amp;P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p>\n<p>“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p>\n<p>Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p>\n<p><b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p>\n<p>For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p>\n<p>Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p>\n<p><b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p>\n<p>Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p>\n<p><b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p>\n<p>We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p>\n<p>This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&amp;P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p>\n<p>True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000&nbsp;small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq&nbsp;recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p>\n<p><b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p>\n<p>As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p>\n<p><b>Three themes to follow</b></p>\n<p>If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p>\n<p><b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p>\n<p><b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot&nbsp;in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management&nbsp;in consumer finance.</p>\n<p><b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 11:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554875963894816","authorId":"3554875963894816","name":"Shaunchiaqj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2781d9bccdced0442a01a87b45dab0a9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554875963894816","idStr":"3554875963894816"},"content":"Very very acknowledged","text":"Very very acknowledged","html":"Very very acknowledged"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"Today is prove again","text":"Today is prove again","html":"Today is prove again"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198513187,"gmtCreate":1620969409949,"gmtModify":1704351320816,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>Sheng Siong long, target price: $1.75","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>Sheng Siong long, target price: $1.75","text":"$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$Sheng Siong long, target price: $1.75","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198513187","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"My guess is higher, $1.80","text":"My guess is higher, $1.80","html":"My guess is higher, $1.80"},{"author":{"id":"3554875963894816","authorId":"3554875963894816","name":"Shaunchiaqj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2781d9bccdced0442a01a87b45dab0a9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554875963894816","idStr":"3554875963894816"},"content":"Why dairy farm no move?","text":"Why dairy farm no move?","html":"Why dairy farm no move?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189154309,"gmtCreate":1623249105201,"gmtModify":1704199363663,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","listText":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","text":"Long Paypal for crypto exposure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189154309","repostId":"1115361632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115361632","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623247721,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115361632?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 22:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Most of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115361632","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 9) Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading, Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, ","content":"<p>(June 9)&nbsp;Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading,&nbsp;Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f5e3fa7938b53319d9dd069278593b2\" tg-width=\"327\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Bitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.</p>\n<p>Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.</p>\n<p>U.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.</p>\n<p>A key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such as<b>Coinbase</b>(COIN) to report large transactions.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Most of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost of Blockchain Stocks rally  in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-09 22:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 9)&nbsp;Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading,&nbsp;Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f5e3fa7938b53319d9dd069278593b2\" tg-width=\"327\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Bitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.</p>\n<p>Other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.</p>\n<p>U.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.</p>\n<p>A key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such as<b>Coinbase</b>(COIN) to report large transactions.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115361632","content_text":"(June 9) Most of Blockchain Stocks rally in morning trading, Bitcoin traded above $35000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier.\n\nBitcoin traded above $35,000 Wednesday, up from a day earlier. On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price sank as low as to $31,035, undercutting a late May low. Dropping below $30,000 would signal a key breakdown for Bitcoin, which has been trying to hold support but hitting resistance at around $40,000 over the past couple of weeks. Bitcoin hit a record $64,829.14 in mid-April.\nOther cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum and Dogecoin also sold off Tuesday before rebounding somewhat.\nU.S. law enforcement said Monday they had recovered Bitcoin currently worth $2.3 million paid by the Colonial Pipeline last month to hackers. That cyberattack spurred a shutdown of the major East Coast gasoline pipeline. Colonial said it had paid Bitcoin worth $4.4 million at the time.\nA key selling point for Bitcoin is that it's private and hard to trace, making it popular with criminals and tax evaders. But the partial recovery of the Colonial Pipeline ransom suggests law enforcement can trace Bitcoin payments to some extent. Meanwhile, the U.S. is taking steps to crack down on Bitcoin-related tax evasion, moving toward requiring cryptocurrency exchanges such asCoinbase(COIN) to report large transactions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"MARA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"yes long Paypal","text":"yes long Paypal","html":"yes long Paypal"},{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"up today","text":"up today","html":"up today"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197155849,"gmtCreate":1621435310181,"gmtModify":1704357644988,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The analyst expects the shares to pull back abit but still thinks its a long now. Wierd. Why not downgrade first then upgrade when the selling is over?","listText":"The analyst expects the shares to pull back abit but still thinks its a long now. Wierd. Why not downgrade first then upgrade when the selling is over?","text":"The analyst expects the shares to pull back abit but still thinks its a long now. Wierd. Why not downgrade first then upgrade when the selling is over?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197155849","repostId":"1198710574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"can't understand too","text":"can't understand too","html":"can't understand too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342163164,"gmtCreate":1618191282958,"gmtModify":1704707275200,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long JPM","listText":"Long JPM","text":"Long JPM","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/342163164","repostId":"1137529737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137529737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618184239,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137529737?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-12 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137529737","media":"Barrons","summary":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of ","content":"<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed&nbsp;by Bank of&nbsp;America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial&nbsp;supplier&nbsp;Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and&nbsp;UnitedHealth Group&nbsp;publish results on Thursday. And&nbsp;Kansas City Southern&nbsp;reports on Friday.&nbsp; A total of 22&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p>Nvidia&nbsp;hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b>&nbsp;in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is set to&nbsp;make its Wall Street debut&nbsp;on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><b>The BLS reports</b>&nbsp;export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-12 07:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","JPM":"摩根大通","NVDA":"英伟达","GS":"高盛",".DJI":"道琼斯","WFC":"富国银行",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137529737","content_text":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday.  A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.Monday 4/12Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.Tuesday 4/13Fastenal reports quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.Wednesday 4/14Earnings season begins in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.First Republic Bankreleases earnings.Coinbase Global is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.The BLS reports export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.Thursday 4/15Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.Friday 4/16Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"GS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343921753,"gmtCreate":1617670902572,"gmtModify":1704701572335,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interest rates to remain accommodative","listText":"Interest rates to remain accommodative","text":"Interest rates to remain accommodative","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/343921753","repostId":"2125757547","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186054300,"gmtCreate":1623466601600,"gmtModify":1704204427632,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long Keppel","listText":"Long Keppel","text":"Long Keppel","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186054300","repostId":"2142744202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142744202","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623452760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142744202?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142744202","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOi","content":"<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow oil soaring to $100 a barrel could be bad for this boom-bust sector and the economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.</p>\n<p>But with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.</p>\n<p>\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.</p>\n<p>\"No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"</p>\n<p>Company executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.</p>\n<p>But there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.</p>\n<p>As Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"</p>\n<p>Prices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.</p>\n<p>This chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.</p>\n<p><b>Keeping up?</b></p>\n<p>Prices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.</p>\n<p>IEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>The changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&amp;K Investment.</p>\n<p>Read:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell</p>\n<p>But that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.</p>\n<p>\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.</p>\n<p>\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.</p>\n<p><b>$100 oil is a mixed blessing</b></p>\n<p>It took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.</p>\n<p>Recently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.</p>\n<p>As a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&amp;P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.</p>\n<p>While energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.</p>\n<p>\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.</p>\n<p>Starting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.</p>\n<p>Then, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.</p>\n<p>Amundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142744202","content_text":"If demand returns to 100 million barrels a day, 'that feels very ominous to me,' debt pro warns.\n\nOil companies often find religion in the wake of a boom-and-bust cycle, including after last year when crude prices crashed into negative territory for the first time on record.\nBut with oil prices recently back near $70 a barrel, and some analysts speculating on the return to $100 during the COVID recovery, investors fear wildcatting and other risky financial behavior by energy companies will make a comeback.\n\"We lost a lot of our weakest companies,\" Andrew Feltus, co-director of high-yield at Amundi US, said of the ripple effects of oil futures going negative in April 2020 as demand collapsed with the first waves of COVID outbreaks and oil-producing giants Saudi Arabia and Russia waged an ugly price war.\n\"No one can exist in that type of situation for long,\" Feltus told MarketWatch. \"If you don't have enough money to survive, you are gone.\"\nCompany executives took those lessons for the U.S. energy complex to heart after pandemic shutdowns depressed oil demand and, for a period, led to higher borrowing costs in the sector. It also led to greater prudence.\nBut there's no telling how long the latest stretch of \"good\" energy company behavior -- actions preferred by their risk-wary lenders and investors -- will last. That's particularly true if prices shoot dramatically higher and breach $100 a barrel.\nAs Feltus said, \"$50 oil is the price we want. $70 is just gravy. With $100 oil, they will be dancing in the streets of Dallas.\"\nPrices for U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery were near $70.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday and headed for a weekly rise of about 1.7%.\nThis chart tracks the plunge and recovery of WTI since April 2020, with the red line highlighting the stretch in which prices stayed below $40 a barrel.\nKeeping up?\nPrices saw a boost Friday from the International Energy Agency, which said global oil demand would return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by the end of next year.\nIEA also forecast demand to reach 100.6 million barrels a day by the end of 2022, while indicating that producers will need to boost output to keep up with demand.\nThe changing landscape for oil, including the increased focus by investors and the Biden administration on encouraging more environmentally sustainable practices, comes as a U.S. rig count has hovered at about half of pre-COVID levels, said Steve Repoff, portfolio manager at GW&K Investment.\nRead:Climate-change pressure builds on Big Oil after activist wins Exxon board seats, court ruling hits Shell\nBut that's not without its own set of concerns as vaccinations in the U.S. increase, demand for oil climbs and the economy opens more broadly, including over the summer. And the post-COVID travel season could turn costly for drivers.\n\"It seems these companies, for now, have demonstrated capital discipline, in a sector notorious for being unable to display capital discipline,\" Repoff told MarketWatch.\n\"But if we see demand of 100 million barrels a day return, that feels very ominous to me,\" he said, adding that it's unclear if U.S. producers will struggle to ramp up production.\n\"What if all the best shale, in aggregate, has been drilled already?\" Repoff said, while explaining how higher oil prices can be good for the oil industry, but also deflationary, even as the Federal Reserve expects the cost of living in America to overshoot its 2% inflation target for awhile during the recovery.\n\"When applied to the broader economy, it's effectively a tax on businesses and consumers, and at the systemwide level is ultimately deflationary,\" Repoff said of booming oil prices.\n$100 oil is a mixed blessing\nIt took no time for COVID shutdowns to rattle the booming U.S. high-yield bond market last year, with defaults quickly jumping to a 10-year high of almost 5% and helping prompt the Fed to launch its first program ever of buying up corporate debt.\nRecently, as the sector has recovered, including with yields on the overall ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index plunging near all-time lows of 4.1% , the Fed said it would sell its remaining corporate bond exposure.\nAs a result, the so-called \"junk-bond\" market ended up with its highest-quality mix of companies by credit rating in at least a decade, but perhaps even 20 to 30 years, according to Feltus at Amundi, even while energy remains the sector's biggest exposure at about 13% of its benchmark high-yield index. That compares with a roughly 3% slice for energy in the S&P 500 index, leaving investors in it grappling with swings in exposure.\nWhile energy has long been a key part of the U.S. high-yield market, oil booms haven't always been great over the long run for bond investors who help finance the sector.\n\"History says it depends on what else is going on in the market,\" said Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, particularly when oil prices rise and fall around times of economic crisis.\nStarting in the summer of 2007, oil prices quickly advanced over eight months from $70.68 on June 29 to $101.84 on Feb. 29, 2008. But when Fridson looked at how the energy component fared over that stretch, it outperformed the ICE BofA US High Yield Index, returning 3.88% compared to negative 3.32%.\nThen, in the more protracted recovery phase, oil went from $70.61 on Sept. 30, 2009, to $96.07 on Feb. 28, 2011, while energy underperformed the index, 23.57% to 26.38%.\nAmundi's Feltus also pointed out that companies \"got religion for like six to 12 months of discipline,\" after each recent oil bust. \"This time breaks the record. But we can't let up the pressure.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554875963894816","authorId":"3554875963894816","name":"Shaunchiaqj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2781d9bccdced0442a01a87b45dab0a9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554875963894816","idStr":"3554875963894816"},"content":"Very vEry Tired indeed","text":"Very vEry Tired indeed","html":"Very vEry Tired indeed"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117777781,"gmtCreate":1623162810043,"gmtModify":1704197459381,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More upside to come","listText":"More upside to come","text":"More upside to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117777781","repostId":"1175116155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175116155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623161467,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175116155?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 22:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Job openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175116155","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 8) Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the","content":"<p>(June&nbsp;8)&nbsp;Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.</p><p>The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.</p><p>Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.</p><p>Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Job openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJob openings set new record of 9.3 million amid economic reopening\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-08 22:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June&nbsp;8)&nbsp;Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.</p><p>The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.</p><p>Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.</p><p>Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175116155","content_text":"(June 8) Job openings in April soared to a new record high, with 9.3 million vacancies coming as the economy rapidly recovered from its pandemic depths.The standard set in April was well above the 8.3 million in March that itself was a new series high going back to 2000 for the Labor Departments Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.Federal Reserve policymakers closely watch the JOLTS numbers for indications of labor market slack, though they run a month behind the more widely publicized nonfarm payrolls count.Markets had been looking for a JOLTS number around 8.18 million, according to FactSet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115682599,"gmtCreate":1622986597211,"gmtModify":1704194089853,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This and Qualcomm","listText":"This and Qualcomm","text":"This and Qualcomm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115682599","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102972710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622948427,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102972710?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577963183517164","authorId":"3577963183517164","name":"rosemary2288","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493bd15fd8020f4f92f8b0ea69d57ee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577963183517164","idStr":"3577963183517164"},"content":"I'm long Qualcomm too","text":"I'm long Qualcomm too","html":"I'm long Qualcomm too"},{"author":{"id":"3576581950204567","authorId":"3576581950204567","name":"Shenlf","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab634f6ad460b0cb1e78e6a6df00377","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576581950204567","idStr":"3576581950204567"},"content":"Im long qualcomm too","text":"Im long qualcomm too","html":"Im long qualcomm too"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110525533,"gmtCreate":1622470969622,"gmtModify":1704184882391,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should be $370/share instead. Based on 45x&nbsp;FY21earnings.","listText":"Should be $370/share instead. Based on 45x&nbsp;FY21earnings.","text":"Should be $370/share instead. Based on 45x FY21earnings.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110525533","repostId":"1133890180","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576275613425159","authorId":"3576275613425159","name":"Lynny","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c0b8b78e97626dedf9ed61da1957ab7","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3576275613425159","idStr":"3576275613425159"},"content":"Their model is very conservative","text":"Their model is very conservative","html":"Their model is very conservative"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137450493,"gmtCreate":1622380497912,"gmtModify":1704183665521,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Definitely Paypal","listText":"Definitely Paypal","text":"Definitely Paypal","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137450493","repostId":"2138312488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571959390768435","authorId":"3571959390768435","name":"stormlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80629ef9648273c0d6465aee66dbd98a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3571959390768435","idStr":"3571959390768435"},"content":"Comment & like pls","text":"Comment & like pls","html":"Comment & like pls"},{"author":{"id":"3584012815018475","authorId":"3584012815018475","name":"MichaelSoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72ae47215451de670c682f68f79b1ce8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3584012815018475","idStr":"3584012815018475"},"content":"PayPal is more established yes","text":"PayPal is more established yes","html":"PayPal is more established yes"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137424126,"gmtCreate":1622380209565,"gmtModify":1704183663576,"author":{"id":"3561859229387101","authorId":"3561859229387101","name":"Tchua","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245ba7d1360ad877e076f09e9d78c378","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561859229387101","idStr":"3561859229387101"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too much positives priced in for a protracted recovery","listText":"Too much positives priced in for a protracted recovery","text":"Too much positives priced in for a protracted recovery","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137424126","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}