郑凯文宝宝
郑凯文宝宝
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2025-12-01

NIO 3Q25: Beat or Beware?

$蔚来(NIO)$   $蔚来-SW(09866)$   $蔚来(NIO.SI)$   NIO’s 3Q25 results came in stronger on margins, but the bigger picture remains challenging. Gross margin beat expectations, yet net loss was still RMB 3.66bn. Management also cut 4Q guidance and is less confident about breakeven this year. Competition in China’s EV SUV market is intensifying, and NIO may need price cuts when its new L-series arrives. Key question now: Can NIO protect margins and recover volume in early 2026?
NIO 3Q25: Beat or Beware?

Xiaomi’s most valuable product isn’t phones — it’s AI

$XIAOMI-W(01810)$   This launch wasn’t just about SU7, but a full AI stack. Over RMB60bn will be invested in AI. Short term profits are under pressure, but rating stays BUY.
Xiaomi’s most valuable product isn’t phones — it’s AI
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2025-12-03

Alibaba 2QFY26: Cloud Explodes, but QC Burns the Profits — Turning Point or Trap?

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$   $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$   Alibaba just posted one of its most contradictory quarters in years. ☁ Cloud revenue jumped 34.5% YoY — the strongest growth since the restructuring. 🔥 But adj. EBITA collapsed 78%, dragged down by heavy investment in quick commerce (QC). Here’s the twist: Management says cloud demand is so strong that supply can’t keep up, and QC losses have been cut by 50% per order since August. And Keeta Hong Kong? ➡ Turned profitable in just 29 months, beating its own 36-month target. So the big question: Is Alibaba entering a new “cloud + quick commerce” synergy cycle? Or will QC continue burning profits?
Alibaba 2QFY26: Cloud Explodes, but QC Burns the Profits — Turning Point or Trap?
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2025-12-10

NetEase 3Q25: The Market Is Sleeping on a 25% Deferred Revenue Spike — 2026 Could Surprise Everyone

$网易(NTES)$   $网易-S(09999)$   NetEase’s 3Q25 looked “fine” at first glance — but one number changes everything: 🔥 Deferred revenue +25% YoY This is future profit already locked in and waiting to be recognized. If you follow China gaming, you know: Deferred revenue spikes → earnings beat in the next 1–2 quarters. And the setup looks strong: 🎮 PC games +33% YoY after Blizzard’s return 📱 Mobile still growing with legacy blockbusters + new momentum 🚀 A loaded 2026 pipeline: Forgotten Seas, Unbounded, Starry Abyss, Returning Tang — multiple titles capable of becoming annual hits. Profitability is inflecting too: Non-GAAP NP +26.7% YoY Youdao: 5th consecutive profitable quarter Cloud Music: stable
NetEase 3Q25: The Market Is Sleeping on a 25% Deferred Revenue Spike — 2026 Could Surprise Everyone
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2025-11-07
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2025-11-13
One Chart to Understand the New Listing: $Coliwoo Hldgs(W8W.SI)$ 
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2025-12-05

Salesforce 3QFY26: AI Revenue Is Exploding — Is CRM Entering Its Next Supercycle?

$赛富时(CRM)$   Salesforce just posted one of its strongest AI-driven quarters yet. 🔥 AI ARR jumped 114% YoY (Agentforce + Data 360) 🔥 Agentforce ARR surged 330% YoY, with over 3.2 trillion tokens processed 🔥 The company closed 9,500 Agentforce deals — up 50% QoQ Meanwhile, operating margin improved and cRPO growth outpaced expectations. Management now believes AI will be a multi-year growth engine, with FY30 revenue still tracking toward US$60B. But here’s the key question: Is Salesforce becoming the leading enterprise AI agent platform, or is the market already pricing in perfection? What’s your take on CRM right now?
Salesforce 3QFY26: AI Revenue Is Exploding — Is CRM Entering Its Next Supercycle?
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2025-12-05

Moore Threads’ IPO just sent China’s local GPU race into overdrive.

$摩尔线程(688795)$  Retail investors piled into the deal with 4,000× subscription, signalling massive appetite for domestic AI chip plays as China pushes to replace Nvidia hardware. The Beijing-based GPU start-up — founded in 2020 by former Nvidia China head James Zhang and staffed with ex-Nvidia/AMD veterans — has launched four generations of GPUs (Sudi, Chunxiao, Quyuan, Pinghu) despite being on the U.S. Entity List. Key numbers investors overlooked: 2024 revenue: RMB 438.5m (+200% 3-yr CAGR) 2024 net loss: RMB –1.5bn (heavy R&D + inventory) 1H25 revenue: RMB 701.8m 1H25 net loss: narrowed to RMB –271m IPO proceeds: RMB 8bn Valuation: RMB 53.7bn Backers include Tencent, ByteDance, Sequoia China, GGV and Shenzhen Capital Group — almost 90 sha
Moore Threads’ IPO just sent China’s local GPU race into overdrive.
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2025-12-12

Mixue Group (2097.HK): Cost Leadership and Global Expansion Set the Stage for Multi-Year Growth

$蜜雪集团(02097)$  Mixue Group’s latest coverage highlights a business model that is scaling more rapidly — and more efficiently — than most beverage peers. The company now operates 53,000+ stores worldwide, including nearly 4,800 overseas, making it the world’s largest freshly-made beverage chain. Its core advantage comes from an integrated cost structure: End-to-end supply chain with self-produced ingredients Highly standardized operations A widely recognized brand IP (“Snow King”) Extremely low marketing spending relative to industry norms Deferred demand in lower-tier Chinese cities and accelerating growth in Southeast Asia provide meaningful visibility for store expansion. Mixue already holds 19.5% market share in Southeast Asia and is extendi
Mixue Group (2097.HK): Cost Leadership and Global Expansion Set the Stage for Multi-Year Growth

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