Gee1 personal page - To The Moon

Gee1

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2022-01-17

great

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2021-07-30

great

HK-listed restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu falls on disappointing outlook

2022-06-28

great

Wall Street Ends Down, Pulled Lower By Growth Stocks

2022-04-24

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Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why

2021-08-13

may it soar as long and as high as it can

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2022-09-19

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The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting

2022-01-07

well

S&P 500 ends choppy session nearly flat, a day after sell-off

2021-05-28

good job

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2022-09-27

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Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever

2022-09-20

ok

Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/210144097992824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945936727,"gmtCreate":1681345909569,"gmtModify":1681345911500,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945936727","repostId":"651039572","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":651039572,"gmtCreate":1681322122098,"gmtModify":1681335374587,"author":{"id":"3565306160488916","authorId":"3565306160488916","name":"锐信资本","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3b92a510cef2a3a3213c05cf857b27","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565306160488916","idStr":"3565306160488916"},"themes":[],"title":"美國3月通脹CPI解讀","htmlText":"","listText":"","text":"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/651039572","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"abdd9197cec44877814ae62275fc5175","tweetId":"651039572","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/bd90cd12243791581177255316/gH9RdmO4uNYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27511143b1b5bfa539e3b7c38b8e3b7d"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945936250,"gmtCreate":1681345889670,"gmtModify":1681345893241,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945936250","repostId":"9945082844","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9945082844,"gmtCreate":1681323858388,"gmtModify":1681323879597,"author":{"id":"4102740637684170","authorId":"4102740637684170","name":"OptionsDelta","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ab2017d32f95a165639de659b21cd1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4102740637684170","idStr":"4102740637684170"},"themes":[],"title":"Maximizing Profits: How Institutions Trade Microsoft Earnings with Options","htmlText":"Yesterday, Microsoft options change appeared consecutively several groups quite interesting strategy, once again gave a very clear guide to the recent trend of technology stocks is very instructive.There's good news and bad news for Microsoft's price action.Good news: Several institutions are somewhat bullish on Microsoft.Bad news: One institution is heavily bearish on Microsoft.You may be in a hurry to see why the opposite conclusion would be interesting, but hold on. The general split view is not enough for me to analyze. For example, some institutions have bought calls and some have bought puts. This divergence means that the institutions are split on the fundamentals, or that some of them know something they don't know. If that happens to be the case during earnings season, then for in","listText":"Yesterday, Microsoft options change appeared consecutively several groups quite interesting strategy, once again gave a very clear guide to the recent trend of technology stocks is very instructive.There's good news and bad news for Microsoft's price action.Good news: Several institutions are somewhat bullish on Microsoft.Bad news: One institution is heavily bearish on Microsoft.You may be in a hurry to see why the opposite conclusion would be interesting, but hold on. The general split view is not enough for me to analyze. For example, some institutions have bought calls and some have bought puts. This divergence means that the institutions are split on the fundamentals, or that some of them know something they don't know. If that happens to be the case during earnings season, then for in","text":"Yesterday, Microsoft options change appeared consecutively several groups quite interesting strategy, once again gave a very clear guide to the recent trend of technology stocks is very instructive.There's good news and bad news for Microsoft's price action.Good news: Several institutions are somewhat bullish on Microsoft.Bad news: One institution is heavily bearish on Microsoft.You may be in a hurry to see why the opposite conclusion would be interesting, but hold on. The general split view is not enough for me to analyze. For example, some institutions have bought calls and some have bought puts. This divergence means that the institutions are split on the fundamentals, or that some of them know something they don't know. If that happens to be the case during earnings season, then for in","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245bce7ae6be3d9f69985502d6737205","width":"2404","height":"622"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945082844","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946394287,"gmtCreate":1680854965349,"gmtModify":1680854968758,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946394287","repostId":"9946396803","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9946396803,"gmtCreate":1680854167403,"gmtModify":1680854172551,"author":{"id":"3564092433230738","authorId":"3564092433230738","name":"Bin5656","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ab1ca18ede6fec4aa0d9b9be69d8d6e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564092433230738","idStr":"3564092433230738"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good game Tiger&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"Good game Tiger&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"Good game Tiger [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946396803","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940406613,"gmtCreate":1678085215933,"gmtModify":1678085219705,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940406613","repostId":"9940408348","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940408348,"gmtCreate":1678084455984,"gmtModify":1678084538444,"author":{"id":"9000000000000657","authorId":"9000000000000657","name":"CatherineGunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776235f8fbc22077e8df03b2522caf3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000657","idStr":"9000000000000657"},"themes":[],"title":"Why Nio Stock Price Gains After Earning Report?","htmlText":"Nio<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO.SI\">$NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09866\">$NIO-SW(09866)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> stock price has slipped around 21.81% in the last month and around 6.27% year to date over the charts. This shows the decline of NIO shares and the thrashing hopes of NIO investors. However, after the release of Q4 earning reports of Nio Inc stocks. Nio share price has claimed some promising records suggesting return of NIO stocks to upper level.However, NIO shares tried to surge out of the previous consolidation phase but couldn’t sustain at the upper price range and started rallying downwards. Which led the NIO share price to slump below the consolidation phase. This time reports","listText":"Nio<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO.SI\">$NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09866\">$NIO-SW(09866)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> stock price has slipped around 21.81% in the last month and around 6.27% year to date over the charts. This shows the decline of NIO shares and the thrashing hopes of NIO investors. However, after the release of Q4 earning reports of Nio Inc stocks. Nio share price has claimed some promising records suggesting return of NIO stocks to upper level.However, NIO shares tried to surge out of the previous consolidation phase but couldn’t sustain at the upper price range and started rallying downwards. Which led the NIO share price to slump below the consolidation phase. This time reports","text":"Nio$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ stock price has slipped around 21.81% in the last month and around 6.27% year to date over the charts. This shows the decline of NIO shares and the thrashing hopes of NIO investors. However, after the release of Q4 earning reports of Nio Inc stocks. Nio share price has claimed some promising records suggesting return of NIO stocks to upper level.However, NIO shares tried to surge out of the previous consolidation phase but couldn’t sustain at the upper price range and started rallying downwards. Which led the NIO share price to slump below the consolidation phase. This time reports","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/656944d07ca995b218ab9c4c4aa0350f","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b64d32158a9ba7f934483fb89a448da3","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/531ec99b64603226e096f8793a61091d","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940408348","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3062,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940525391,"gmtCreate":1678061590513,"gmtModify":1678061594945,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940525391","repostId":"9940522397","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9940522397,"gmtCreate":1678060886219,"gmtModify":1678066745769,"author":{"id":"4111534201015342","authorId":"4111534201015342","name":"jfsrevg","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ee02d7fb604ca04ecc1f7458c0d22e86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111534201015342","idStr":"4111534201015342"},"themes":[],"title":"Fundamentally, trading is a game of odds","htmlText":"super trades are made not because u are special or intelligent. It is because u turned up &amp; acted in a consistent behaviourturn up daily &amp; embrace both the good days &amp; bad days. building wealth is a function of being there consistently &amp; acting in a consistent way, nothing elseif u have traded enough to accept yr strategy yields a winning rate of less than 50%, the primary focus should be shifted to improving risk reward &amp; money management. the setups themselves are secondary &amp; will never be groundbreaking.fundamentally, trading is a game of odds.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> https://twitter.com/jeffsuntrading/status/16","listText":"super trades are made not because u are special or intelligent. It is because u turned up &amp; acted in a consistent behaviourturn up daily &amp; embrace both the good days &amp; bad days. building wealth is a function of being there consistently &amp; acting in a consistent way, nothing elseif u have traded enough to accept yr strategy yields a winning rate of less than 50%, the primary focus should be shifted to improving risk reward &amp; money management. the setups themselves are secondary &amp; will never be groundbreaking.fundamentally, trading is a game of odds.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> https://twitter.com/jeffsuntrading/status/16","text":"super trades are made not because u are special or intelligent. It is because u turned up & acted in a consistent behaviourturn up daily & embrace both the good days & bad days. building wealth is a function of being there consistently & acting in a consistent way, nothing elseif u have traded enough to accept yr strategy yields a winning rate of less than 50%, the primary focus should be shifted to improving risk reward & money management. the setups themselves are secondary & will never be groundbreaking.fundamentally, trading is a game of odds.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ https://twitter.com/jeffsuntrading/status/16","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940522397","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911275243,"gmtCreate":1664232528883,"gmtModify":1676537412635,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911275243","repostId":"2270287703","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270287703","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664205490,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270287703?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Buy: Tesla Stock or the Entire Nasdaq?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270287703","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"In a battle between one of America's favorite stocks and a currently out-of-favor index, which will wind up on top?","content":"<div>\n<p>Few companies have quite the public following of electric-car company Tesla . Under the leadership of Elon Musk, its pioneering electric cars have changed the game so much that California has even set...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/better-buy-tesla-stock-or-the-entire-nasdaq/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy: Tesla Stock or the Entire Nasdaq?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy: Tesla Stock or the Entire Nasdaq?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/better-buy-tesla-stock-or-the-entire-nasdaq/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Few companies have quite the public following of electric-car company Tesla . Under the leadership of Elon Musk, its pioneering electric cars have changed the game so much that California has even set...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/better-buy-tesla-stock-or-the-entire-nasdaq/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ONEQ":"Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/better-buy-tesla-stock-or-the-entire-nasdaq/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270287703","content_text":"Few companies have quite the public following of electric-car company Tesla . Under the leadership of Elon Musk, its pioneering electric cars have changed the game so much that California has even set a future ban on the sale of gas-powered cars. Yet that world-changing innovation as brought with it the expectation of even more greatness to come, and that could present a problem for today's investors.Tesla's recent $862.7 billion market capitalization is more than 12 times the company's trailing revenue and more than 90 times the company's trailing profit. That makes it still look pricey, even in today's generally downward-trending stock market.This raises a key question for potential investors. Which is more important: Tesla's innovation or its valuation? In other words, if you're looking to invest in stocks as the market swoons, which looks like a better buy, Tesla or the entire Nasdaq?The case for TeslaAccording to data collected by InsideEVs, Tesla is still registering more all-electric cars than any other manufacturer, with more than 564,000 vehicles registered in the first half of 2022. In addition to its market share lead, Tesla expects that its investment in its Gigafactories will dramatically lower its costs when it comes to batteries. Since batteries are such an important component of both an electric car's cost and its range, that investment should help Tesla have a cost advantage over other manufacturers.In addition, since Tesla has always been an all-electric vehicle manufacturer, it doesn't have the legacy costs and structures that traditional gas-powered-car companies have in place. Those structures were built up over decades to optimize for manufacturing gas-powered cars. While that helps with scale and efficiency, those same factors often get in the way of helping a company be more nimble and change with the times. That may hinder other car companies' ability to play catch-up with Tesla on electric cars.A cost advantage on batteries plus a business model built from the ground up for electric vehicles certainly puts Tesla in a great spot as the world shifts to a higher proportion of electric cars.The case against TeslaOf course, Tesla faces challenges in the electric-vehicle space as well. First, it is losing its early mover advantage. While that InsideEVs report still had Tesla in the lead when it came to electric-vehicle registrations, it also indicated that Tesla's market share of EVs was 19% -- and shrinking. That means competition is getting a stronger foothold -- and gaining their own economies of scale to improve their ability to effectively operate in the electric car space.Second, according to the JD Power Initial Quality Survey for 2022, Tesla's initial quality is below average in the automobile industry. It scored 226 problems per 100 vehicles, versus 180 problems per 100 vehicles for the typical car. In a world where electric cars are premium-priced to gas-powered ones to cover those battery costs, having below-average initial quality makes it tough to command a premium price. That'll be especially true as consumer choice continues to increase as competition intensifies.Then, of course, there's Tesla's valuation. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, worldwide car sales were around 74.9 million units in 2019, up from an average around 71 million throughout the 2010s. Tesla's $862.7 billion market cap gives it a price tag of around $11,500 per car sold by all manufacturers in 2019, worldwide. To justify that kind of valuation, Tesla would need to become a dominant player across the entire industry, not just a fast mover (and one losing share) in just a segment of it.Is it possible that Tesla could get there? Maybe, but its shares are trading as though that has already happened. As a result, I'm not sure where future shareholder returns would come from, even if the company does reach that pinnacle of success.What about the entire Nasdaq?On the flip side, the Nasdaq as a whole currently trades at about 22 times the trailing earnings of its constituent companies, thanks to a fairly substantial market decline in 2022. While a little higher than a value investor would like to see, it's not that far out of whack with its pre-pandemic trends .In addition, the Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF , which attempts to track the Nasdaq, offers investors a chance to buy the index for a reasonably low 0.21% expense ratio. That makes buying shares in the entire Nasdaq about as easy as buying shares in Tesla, without having to sacrifice a huge part of your overall potential return to overhead fees.Which is a better buy?At a lower valuation -- 22 times for the Nasdaq composite, versus 90 times earnings for Tesla -- the Nasdaq wins out as a better buy on valuation. When it comes to business prospects, Tesla clearly has room to grow as the electric-vehicle market does. With its stock price already reflecting the anticipated success from that growth, however, it's hard to justify paying the premium price over the overall index.Overall, the decline in the overall market has opened up an opportunity to where the entire Nasdaq looks like a better buy at the moment than Tesla does. You get broader diversification by owning an index, a better value and, as a result, a higher likelihood of being rewarded from any business growth that may take place in the underlying companies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ONEQ":0.9,"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911275627,"gmtCreate":1664232511569,"gmtModify":1676537412627,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911275627","repostId":"2270287582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270287582","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664205506,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270287582?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270287582","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The tech sector's downturn offers investors an opportunity to pick up shares of Apple and Microsoft at a discount.","content":"<div>\n<p>Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270287582","content_text":"Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector players are unlikely to persist in the long run because of the ongoing shift away from fossil fuels, and utility stocks are considered defensive -- they don't typically generate the high growth returns many investors are looking for.Those types of gains can often be found in the technology sector, but only a handful of companies in that group can be considered safe at times like this -- among them, Microsoft  and Apple. They may not be immune to stock market turmoil, but they have time-tested business models with decades worth of success under their belts. That means when the economy bounces back, these companies will probably be among the first to recover to new highs. Not only might they help investors weather the present volatility, these two stocks also look like solid long-term bets for any portfolio.1. Microsoft serves both consumers and businessesMost people know Microsoft for its Windows operating system for computers and its Office 365 digital document suite. After all, billions of people worldwide use those products in both personal and business settings. But the company has expanded far beyond its roots and into areas its early backers probably never expected, amassing a $1.7 trillion market valuation in the process.Having diverse revenue streams is extremely beneficial for a company during an economic downturn. At the moment, consumers are tightening their belts on discretionary spending due to high inflation and rising interest rates, so Microsoft is experiencing softer demand for hardware like its Surface laptops and Xbox gaming consoles. But its intelligent cloud segment is picking up the slack in a big way, and it now contributes the largest share of the company's revenue.It's driven by the Azure platform, which helps businesses operate in the cloud. It offers solutions like data storage, virtual machines, and even cybersecurity. With more of the corporate world adopting this technology, the cloud is on track to become a $1.5 trillion annual opportunity as soon as 2030, according to one estimate by Grand View Research.In Microsoft's fiscal 2022 (which ended June 30), Azure's revenue grew by an estimated 45% (based on a calculated average of reported quarterly growth reports because Microsoft doesn't release Azure's actual revenue) while the rest of its business expanded by just 18%.But still, even though Azure is helping Microsoft weather the current unsteady economic conditions, growth from its other segments will likely kick into gear once interest rates level off. For that reason, it's important to zoom out and focus on the big picture because, as the below chart suggests, Microsoft has been a fantastic long-term investment.With Microsoft stock currently down 30.6% from its all-time high, this might be a great chance to buy ahead of its next potential wave of growth.2. Apple continues to innovate and diversifyApple is the largest public company in the world with a valuation of $2.4 trillion, and it just launched its latest smartphone, the iPhone 14. As exciting as that is, it does highlight one of the company's (minor) weak spots. As a manufacturer of premium-priced consumer electronics, Apple is very exposed to the health of the economy. But it has been diversifying its revenue base over the last few years by offering a portfolio of services, and that segment of its business is carrying the company's growth at the moment.Those services include Apple Pay, Apple TV+, Apple News, and Apple Music, to name just a few on an expanding list. The key benefit for investors is that the services segment delivers a gross profit margin of 71% compared to 52% for Apple's hardware products. Put simply, it's more profitable to deliver subscription-based services to customers than it is to sell them devices, and recurring revenue makes it easier to build scale.In the company's fiscal 2022 third quarter (which ended June 25), its services segment accounted for 23.6% of the company's $82.9 billion in total revenue. During the prior-year period, it accounted for 21.4%, so it's gradually becoming a larger part of the overall business. In fiscal Q3, services grew by 12% compared to a 1% contraction in hardware revenue.That said, the release of products like the iPhone 14 and the new, rugged Apple Watch Ultra will likely boost sales into the Christmas season. Both devices come with new feature sets. Of particular note, Apple did a major internal redesign on the iPhone 14 that made it easier for technicians outside the Apple ecosystem to repair them, a cost-saving option that could give the devices even greater appeal to consumers.With Apple stock down 17.4% from its all-time high, this could be the chance some investors have been waiting for to buy shares at a discount.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913719397,"gmtCreate":1664070391720,"gmtModify":1676537385504,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913719397","repostId":"2270941294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913656556,"gmtCreate":1663983714775,"gmtModify":1676537374690,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913656556","repostId":"2269636494","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269636494","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663965613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269636494?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-24 04:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269636494","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.</p><p>The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.</p><p>However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&amp;P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.</p><p>After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China&#39;s COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.</p><p>A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed&#39;s signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.</p><p>&#34;There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up,&#34; said David Russell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a> of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.</p><p>&#34;The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong.&#34;</p><p>Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.</p><p>The delivery giant&#39;s stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that&#39;s troubling for the economy,&#34; said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&amp;P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.</p><p>All the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.</p><p>Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.</p><p>Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.</p><p>Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Slumps As Investors Fret on Rate Hikes and Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-24 04:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.</p><p>The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.</p><p>However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&amp;P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.</p><p>After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China&#39;s COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.</p><p>A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed&#39;s signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.</p><p>&#34;There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up,&#34; said David Russell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a> of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.</p><p>&#34;The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong.&#34;</p><p>Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.</p><p>The delivery giant&#39;s stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.</p><p>&#34;We&#39;re having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that&#39;s troubling for the economy,&#34; said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&amp;P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.</p><p>All the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.</p><p>Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.</p><p>Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.</p><p>Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269636494","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes slumped to close well down on Friday, as rattled investors continued repositioning themselves to reflect fears the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish rate policy to curb inflation will push the American economy into recession.The Dow narrowly avoided ending more than 20% lower than its Jan. 4 record all-time closing peak of 36,799.64 points, meaning the blue-chip index did not attain a bear market label, according to a widely used definition.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are already in a bear market.However, all three indexes suffered heavy weekly declines. The Nasdaq dropped 5.03% - its second straight week falling by more than 5% - with the S&P down 4.77% and the Dow 4% lower.After enjoying hefty gains for last two years, Wall Street has been rocked in 2022 by worries about a host of issues including the Ukraine conflict, the energy crisis in Europe, China's COVID-19 flare ups, and tightening financial conditions across the globe.A half dozen central banks, including in the United States, Britain, Sweden, Switzerland and Norway, delivered rate hikes this week to fight inflation, but it was the Fed's signal that it expects high U.S. rates to last through 2023 that caught markets off guard.\"There had been some optimists out there saying that inflation may be coming under control but the Fed effectively told them to sit down and shut up,\" said David Russell, VP of market intelligence at TradeStation Group.\"The Fed is trying to rip the band-aid off, trying to kill inflation while the jobs market is still strong.\"Dire outlooks from a handful of companies have also added to woes in a seasonally weak period for markets. Having withdrawn its earnings forecast last week, FedEx Corp outlined on Thursday cost cuts of up to $2.7 billion after falling demand hammered first-quarter profits.The delivery giant's stock slumped 3.4% to its lowest close since June 30, 2020.The S&P 500's estimated earnings growth for the third quarter is at 4.6% down from 5% last week, according to Refinitiv data.Goldman Sachs cut its year-end target for the benchmark S&P 500 index by about 16% to 3,600 points.\"We're having everyone reassess exactly how far the Fed will go, and that's troubling for the economy,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.\"It's becoming the base case scenario that this economy is going to have a hard landing, and that is a terrible environment for U.S. stocks.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 486.27 points, or 1.62%, to 29,590.41, the S&P 500 lost 64.76 points, or 1.72%, to 3,693.23 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 198.88 points, or 1.8%, to 10,867.93.All the 11 major S&P sectors declined, led by a 6.8% slide in energy shares. Oil and gas-related stocks were pummeled by the decline in crude prices, which fell in response to concerns about demand in a recessionary environment and the strong U.S. dollar.Oilfield services were particularly hit, with Helmerich and Payne Inc down 11.2% and Schlumberger dropping 8.4%. Halliburton Co declined 8.7%, to record its lowest finish since Jan. 3.Rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks dropped with Alphabet Inc, Apple Inc, Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Tesla Inc all fell between 1.3% and 4.6%.Shares of Costco Wholesale Corp dropped 4.3% after the big-box retailer reported a fall in its fourth-quarter profit margins.The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a three-month high of 29.92.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.29 billion shares, compared with the 11.11 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 151 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 10 new highs and 823 new lows. (Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Devik Jain in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Marguerita Choy)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.6,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913902995,"gmtCreate":1663893419817,"gmtModify":1676537357217,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913902995","repostId":"1162410028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162410028","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663891513,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162410028?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-23 08:05","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Renewed Selling Pressure Likely For Singapore Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162410028","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last five trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen almost 25 points or 0.8 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,260-point plateau although it figures to head south again on Friday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asian markets is negative on recession fears and concern over the outlook for interest rates. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian markets figure to follow that lead.</p><p>The STI finished barely higher on Thursday as strong gains from the industrials were offset by weakness from the financials and properties.</p><p>For the day, the index rose 1.28 points or 0.04 percent to finish at 3,263.07 after trading between 3,243.46 and 3,266.64. Volume was 1 billion shares worth 1.09 billion Singapore dollars. There were 257 decliners and 230 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.36 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust lost 0.49 percent, CapitaLand Investment climbed 0.55 percent, City Developments was down 0.12 percent, Comfort DelGro clumped 0.71 percent, DBS Group eased 0.03 percent, Emperador tumbled 1.01 percent, Genting Singapore accelerated 1.26 percent, Hongkong Land dipped 0.21 percent, Keppel Corp jumped 0.83 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and United Overseas Bank both shed 0.54 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust sank 0.60 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.32 percent, SATS plummeted 5.13 percent, SembCorp Industries soared 2.53 percent, SingTel gained 0.37 percent, Wilmar International added 0.51 percent, Yangzijiang Financial spiked 1.28 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding surged 6.80 percent and Singapore Technologies Engineering, Thai Beverage, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Frasers Logistics and Keppel DC REIT were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street continues to be weak as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and remained in the red throughout the session.</p><p>The Dow shed 107.10 points or 0.35 percent to finish at 30,076.68, while the NASDAQ tumbled 153.39 points or 1.37 percent to end at 11,066.81 and the S&amp;P 500 sank 31.94 points or 0.84 percent to close at 3,757.99.</p><p>The weakness on Wall Street reflected continued concerns about the economic outlook following the Federal Reserve&#39;s third straight 75-basis point interest rate hike on Wednesday.</p><p>While the Fed&#39;s economic projections provided a clearer outlook for future rate hikes, traders are concerned about the impact the aggressive rate increases will have on the economy. Several other central banks around the world followed the Fed&#39;s lead, including the Bank of England, which raised interest rates by 50 basis points in a split decision.</p><p>In economic news, Labor Department reported an uptick in jobless claims last week, while the Conference Board said its leading economic index fell by 0.3 percent in August after sliding by a revised 0.5 percent in July.</p><p>Crude oil prices settled higher on Thursday on concerns about tight supplies amid geopolitical tensions in Russia. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for November ended higher by $0.55 or 0.7 percent at $83.49 a barrel.</p><p>Closer to home, Singapore will provide August data for consumer prices later today. Overall inflation is expected to have risen 7.2 percent on year, up from 7.0 percent in July, while core CPI is tipped to advance to an annual 5.0 percent from 4.8 percent a month earlier.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Renewed Selling Pressure Likely For Singapore Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRenewed Selling Pressure Likely For Singapore Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-23 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3313021/renewed-selling-pressure-likely-for-singapore-shares.aspx><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last five trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen almost 25 points or 0.8 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3313021/renewed-selling-pressure-likely-for-singapore-shares.aspx\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3313021/renewed-selling-pressure-likely-for-singapore-shares.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162410028","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last five trading days since the end of the two-day slide in which it had fallen almost 25 points or 0.8 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,260-point plateau although it figures to head south again on Friday.The global forecast for the Asian markets is negative on recession fears and concern over the outlook for interest rates. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian markets figure to follow that lead.The STI finished barely higher on Thursday as strong gains from the industrials were offset by weakness from the financials and properties.For the day, the index rose 1.28 points or 0.04 percent to finish at 3,263.07 after trading between 3,243.46 and 3,266.64. Volume was 1 billion shares worth 1.09 billion Singapore dollars. There were 257 decliners and 230 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.36 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust lost 0.49 percent, CapitaLand Investment climbed 0.55 percent, City Developments was down 0.12 percent, Comfort DelGro clumped 0.71 percent, DBS Group eased 0.03 percent, Emperador tumbled 1.01 percent, Genting Singapore accelerated 1.26 percent, Hongkong Land dipped 0.21 percent, Keppel Corp jumped 0.83 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and United Overseas Bank both shed 0.54 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust sank 0.60 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.32 percent, SATS plummeted 5.13 percent, SembCorp Industries soared 2.53 percent, SingTel gained 0.37 percent, Wilmar International added 0.51 percent, Yangzijiang Financial spiked 1.28 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding surged 6.80 percent and Singapore Technologies Engineering, Thai Beverage, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Frasers Logistics and Keppel DC REIT were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street continues to be weak as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and remained in the red throughout the session.The Dow shed 107.10 points or 0.35 percent to finish at 30,076.68, while the NASDAQ tumbled 153.39 points or 1.37 percent to end at 11,066.81 and the S&P 500 sank 31.94 points or 0.84 percent to close at 3,757.99.The weakness on Wall Street reflected continued concerns about the economic outlook following the Federal Reserve's third straight 75-basis point interest rate hike on Wednesday.While the Fed's economic projections provided a clearer outlook for future rate hikes, traders are concerned about the impact the aggressive rate increases will have on the economy. Several other central banks around the world followed the Fed's lead, including the Bank of England, which raised interest rates by 50 basis points in a split decision.In economic news, Labor Department reported an uptick in jobless claims last week, while the Conference Board said its leading economic index fell by 0.3 percent in August after sliding by a revised 0.5 percent in July.Crude oil prices settled higher on Thursday on concerns about tight supplies amid geopolitical tensions in Russia. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for November ended higher by $0.55 or 0.7 percent at $83.49 a barrel.Closer to home, Singapore will provide August data for consumer prices later today. Overall inflation is expected to have risen 7.2 percent on year, up from 7.0 percent in July, while core CPI is tipped to advance to an annual 5.0 percent from 4.8 percent a month earlier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919261280,"gmtCreate":1663808746340,"gmtModify":1676537340195,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919261280","repostId":"2269969281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269969281","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663800880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269969281?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-22 06:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269969281","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range</p><p>* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023</p><p>* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer</p><p>* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%</p><p>Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.</p><p>All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.</p><p>At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.</p><p>However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.</p><p>Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.</p><p>In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.</p><p>&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.</p><p>&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-22 06:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range</p><p>* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023</p><p>* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer</p><p>* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%</p><p>Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.</p><p>All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.</p><p>At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.</p><p>However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.</p><p>Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.</p><p>In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.</p><p>&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.</p><p>&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4539":"次新股","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269969281","content_text":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are \"strongly resolved\" to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and \"will keep at it until the job is done,\" a process he repeated would not come without pain.\"Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,\" said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed's projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.\"Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,\" said BMO's Ma.\"But it's always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.All 11 S&P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NDX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.6,"SPY":0.67,"SSO":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".DJI":0.9,"OEX":0.6,"SH":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"COMP":0.9,"UPRO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SDS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919913043,"gmtCreate":1663718975782,"gmtModify":1676537321379,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919913043","repostId":"2269902075","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269902075","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663714243,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269902075?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 06:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269902075","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, s","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday</p><p>* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall</p><p>* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&amp;P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%</p><p>Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week&#39;s dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.</p><p>Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.</p><p>Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.</p><p>&#34;We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,&#34; said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity &amp; derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.</p><p>Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers&#39; sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.</p><p>Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.</p><p>The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.</p><p>An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It&#39;s hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,&#34; said BNP&#39;s Boutle.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.</p><p>All of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.</p><p>Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to &#34;equal weight&#34; from &#34;overweight&#34;, citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.</p><p>Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Falls As Fed, Ford Forecasts, Give Fright\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-21 06:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday</p><p>* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall</p><p>* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&amp;P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%</p><p>Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.</p><p>It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week&#39;s dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.</p><p>Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.</p><p>Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.</p><p>&#34;We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,&#34; said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity &amp; derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.</p><p>The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.</p><p>Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers&#39; sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.</p><p>Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.</p><p>The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.</p><p>An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.</p><p>&#34;There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It&#39;s hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,&#34; said BNP&#39;s Boutle.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.</p><p>All of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.</p><p>Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to &#34;equal weight&#34; from &#34;overweight&#34;, citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.</p><p>Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows. </p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GM":"通用汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","FDX":"联邦快递","F":"福特汽车","NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269902075","content_text":"* All eyes on Fed policy decision on Wednesday* Ford sees additional $1 bln in inflationary costs, shares fall* Nike slips after Barclays downgrade on China lockdown concerns* Indexes down: Dow 1.01%, S&P 1.13%, Nasdaq 0.95%Sept 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended Tuesday lower as the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike brought further evidence of the impact on corporate America from the inflation that the U.S. central bank wants to tame.The benchmark S&P 500 index has dropped 19.1% so far this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week's dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor Co.Shares of Ford slumped 12.3%, the biggest one-day drop since 2011, after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.Rival General Motors Co also sank 5.6%.\"We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings,\" said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity & derivative strategy at BNP Paribas.The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers' sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.Adding to the mix, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further.An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.\"There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It's hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening,\" said BNP's Boutle.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 313.45 points, or 1.01%, to 30,706.23, the S&P 500 lost 43.96 points, or 1.13%, to 3,855.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 109.97 points, or 0.95%, to 11,425.05.All of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors the biggest fallers, dropping 2.6% and 1.9% respectively.Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc fell 4.5% after the sportswear giant was downgraded by Barclays analysts to \"equal weight\" from \"overweight\", citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.Another apparel maker, Gap Inc, closed 3.3% lower. It announced on Tuesday it was eliminating about 500 corporate jobs, having withdrawn its annual forecasts late last month due to an inventory glut and weak sales.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.90 billion shares, compared with the 10.71 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 66 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 31 new highs and 408 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKE":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"F":1,"GPS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"FDX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910225538,"gmtCreate":1663634110324,"gmtModify":1676537304752,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910225538","repostId":"1126442526","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126442526","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663633151,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126442526?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 08:19","language":"en","title":"ASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126442526","media":"AFR","summary":"The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoye","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.</p><p>Lithium stocks extended their rally after carbonate prices hit a fresh record of 500,500 yuan ($US71,315) a tonne in China; Lake Resources added 3.8 percent to $1.08, Pilbara Minerals rose 3.9 percent to $4.93, Core Lithium firmed 3.1 percent to $1.48, Allkem climbed 2.9 percent to $15.78.</p><p>New Hope rallied 7.5 percent to $5.87 after reporting a surge in profits for the 12 months ended July 31 on the back of soaring coal prices.</p><p>IDP Education rose 2.4 percent to $28.29 after announcing it has entered into a binding agreement to acquire student placement agency Intake Education.</p><p>Fortescue Metals Group jumped 1.3 percent to $17.67 after announcing it will spend $US6.2 billion ($9.2 billion) on renewable energy projects to save more than $1 billion in costs a year and hit its 2030 net zero emissions target.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1647389686240","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Opens 1.1pc Higher; Lithium Stocks Rally\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 08:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn><strong>AFR</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.Lithium stocks extended their rally after ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数","XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数"},"source_url":"https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/asx-to-rise-techs-pace-us-stocks-higher-20220920-p5bjdn","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126442526","content_text":"The S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1 percent, or 73.4 points, to 6793.3 in the opening minutes of trade, buoyed by strong gains posted across the resources sector.Lithium stocks extended their rally after carbonate prices hit a fresh record of 500,500 yuan ($US71,315) a tonne in China; Lake Resources added 3.8 percent to $1.08, Pilbara Minerals rose 3.9 percent to $4.93, Core Lithium firmed 3.1 percent to $1.48, Allkem climbed 2.9 percent to $15.78.New Hope rallied 7.5 percent to $5.87 after reporting a surge in profits for the 12 months ended July 31 on the back of soaring coal prices.IDP Education rose 2.4 percent to $28.29 after announcing it has entered into a binding agreement to acquire student placement agency Intake Education.Fortescue Metals Group jumped 1.3 percent to $17.67 after announcing it will spend $US6.2 billion ($9.2 billion) on renewable energy projects to save more than $1 billion in costs a year and hit its 2030 net zero emissions target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XAO.AU":0.9,"XKO.AU":0.9,"XJO.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910225120,"gmtCreate":1663634098560,"gmtModify":1676537304744,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910225120","repostId":"1180566683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180566683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663633551,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180566683?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 08:25","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180566683","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to","content":"<div>\n<p>Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Steadies as Looming Interest-Rate Hikes Spur Demand Concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 08:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steadies-looming-interest-rate-000337580.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180566683","content_text":"Oil was steady near $86 a barrel ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday that’s expected to see further monetary tightening.West Texas Intermediate futures were little changed after closing 0.7% higher on Tuesday following a choppy session. The Fed and other central banks from Europe to Asia are expected to deliver interest-rate hikes this week as they seek to tame rampant inflation that’s taken a toll on demand.Crude has lost about a third of its value since early June, erasing all the gains made in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as concerns about a global slowdown weighed on demand. Liquidity has also thinned, leading to volatile price swings, while a stronger dollar has added to headwinds.The potential for increased supply has weighed on the outlook. The US said it would release an additional 10 million barrels of oil from its strategic reserves ahead of plans by the European Union to ban Russian crude in December.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910225085,"gmtCreate":1663634076847,"gmtModify":1676537304735,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910225085","repostId":"1138109779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138109779","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663657079,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138109779?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 14:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138109779","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Based on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.</li><li>The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).</li><li>Based on this indicator&#39;s performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.</li><li>During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.</li></ul><p>The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fa6bb04bc853fbd931923244cc99010\" tg-width=\"322\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)</p><p>So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?</p><p>This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).</p><p>Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call &#34;Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,&#34; or &#34;RAD&#34;) using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.</p><p>I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.</p><ul><li>A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31fa4d91f6e2f217f96ffedcbe75b0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><ul><li>It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).</li><li>It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:</li></ul><ul><li>If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.</li></ul><p>Let&#39;s break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.</p><p><b>Apr 2006-Dec 2009</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f009ba873bff7511fd700c2356c7d8e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.</p><p>The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.</p><p><b>2010-2014</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc1edef16b00f55de39e5890b823d3f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.</p><p><b>2015-2019</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d88b8cb61e2fe0a41c28f2eeebdc04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.</p><p><b>2020-present</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815e2eef76ef056d502e7cd89efda830\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.</p><p>The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.</p><p><b>Where are we in the current stage:</b></p><p>From the chart above, it&#39;s apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.<i>Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.</i></p><p>I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:</p><ul><li>As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.</li><li>The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I&#39;m sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.</li></ul><p><b>Appendix: Calculation methodology of RAD</b></p><ul><li>Calculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.</li><li>Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.</li><li>9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.</li><li>The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 14:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138109779","content_text":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).Based on this indicator's performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call \"Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,\" or \"RAD\") using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.Let's break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.Apr 2006-Dec 2009RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.2010-2014RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.2015-2019RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.2020-presentRAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.Where are we in the current stage:From the chart above, it's apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I'm sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.Appendix: Calculation methodology of RADCalculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910918525,"gmtCreate":1663546947468,"gmtModify":1676537286603,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910918525","repostId":"1177047620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177047620","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663570508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177047620?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177047620","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.</li><li>Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.</li><li>Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.</li><li>Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.</li><li>The ultimate bottom for the S&amp;P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it&#39;s doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.</p><p>Moreover, we haven&#39;t seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&amp;P 500 in a base case outcome. I&#39;m capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.</p><p>The Technical Image - Very Bearish Now</p><p><b>SPX 1-Year Chart</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86a0e3641f8acc8cb2a23a7d95ff08fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPX(StockCharts.com )</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we&#39;ve seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell&#39;s Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.</p><p>Now, we&#39;re looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&amp;P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&amp;P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.</p><h2>What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?</h2><p>At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed&#39;s bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell&#39;s speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.</p><p>Now, Let&#39;s Look At Inflation</p><p><b>CPI Inflation</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e415ae81767865727859c61ace2822d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )</p><p>While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we&#39;ve seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we&#39;re seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.</p><h2>Don&#39;t Fight The Fed</h2><p>Wise people have told me, &#34;you don&#39;t fight the Fed.&#34; You don&#39;t want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we&#39;ve underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed&#39;s commitment to making it &#34;go away.&#34;</p><p><b>Rate Probabilities</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e5b344a6418c8597ba3e52b0570b80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Fed Watch(CMEGroup.com )</p><p>Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week&#39;s meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.</p><h2>Uncertainty Ahead For Stocks</h2><p>There is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.</p><p>One of the most troubling factors is that we don&#39;t know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.</p><h2>The Valuation Dynamic</h2><p><b>The Shiller P/E Ratio</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d6272d7dbe21608d8468cf653f5ad0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)</p><p>We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn&#39;t overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&amp;P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&amp;P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500: There Will Be Blood</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500: There Will Be Blood\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541687-sp-500-there-will-be-blood","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177047620","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 and stocks, in general, are dropping again.Despite an optimistic run in the summer, the reality is setting in once again.Inflation is more persistent than expected, and the Fed likely has to do much more tightening.Many stocks are still expensive, and valuations remain relatively high.The ultimate bottom for the S&P 500 may come at 3,000 or lower. I am hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) hit a low of around 3,640 in mid-June, roughly a 25% drop from the top. Then, we saw a significant counter-trend rally into mid-August. However, despite the late summer stock market optimism, it's doubtful that the bear market is over. Recent inflation numbers illustrate that the economic climate remains highly challenging, and the Fed needs to do more. Unfortunately, interest rates are moving higher, and stocks will probably continue dropping.Moreover, we haven't seen many of the hallmark signs of a long-term bottom. There should be more blood in the streets, and the ultimate bear market bottom could arrive at around 3,000 in the S&P 500 in a base case outcome. I'm capitalizing on the volatility by hedging and buying high-quality stocks on big dips.The Technical Image - Very Bearish NowSPX 1-Year ChartSPX(StockCharts.com )The S&P 500's bear market began right around the start of 2022. Since the bearish trend began, we've seen a series of lower highs and lower lows. The most recent high occurred in mid-August when I put out a near-term top alert. Now, things are becoming more bearish. After the recent high, the market attempted to rebound but got smacked down by Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole remarks. More recently, the market tried to muster another rally, but the higher-than-anticipated inflation numbers brought a quick end to that attempt.Now, we're looking at an increasingly bearish technical image as the SPX is putting in a pessimistic head and shoulders pattern and is on the verge of busting through critical 3,900 support. Once below this level, the S&P 500 should at least retest the prior low around 3,700-3,600. However, a likelier scenario is that the S&P will make a lower low, dropping the SPX down into the 3,400-3,000 range next.What Do Jackson Hole And Inflation Have In Common?At Jackson Hole, we learned just how intent the Fed is on battling inflation and how bearish this phenomenon is for the stock market. I wrote about the Fed's bearish symposium several weeks ago. The key takeaway from Chair Powell's speech is that inflation is much more persistent and challenging to deal with than previously expected. The Fed must do much more to lower inflation. The dynamic of high-interest rates, slower growth, and a worsening labor market will bring substantial pain to households and businesses.Now, Let's Look At InflationCPI InflationCPI inflation(TradingEconomics.com )While inflation has decreased from the 9.1% reading, it remains remarkably high. Inflation is running hotter than we've seen in about 40 years now. The primary issue is that the Fed has been raising interest rates and implementing other tightening measures like QT, but we're seeing a minimal effect on inflation. Therefore, the Fed needs to do more. However, more tightening will further constrict economic growth and decrease consumer confidence. Additionally, higher inflation, lower growth, and worsening spending negatively impact corporate profits and should lead to more pain as we advance.Don't Fight The FedWise people have told me, \"you don't fight the Fed.\" You don't want to fight the Fed when the central bank is easing. We saw ultra-loose monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis, and stocks did great for much of that time. However, we are in a completely different economic environment now. As the Fed pulls liquidity out of markets, the cost of borrowing increases, growth slows, sentiment worsens, and risk assets deflate. Furthermore, we've underestimated the severity of the inflation problem and the Fed's commitment to making it \"go away.\"Rate ProbabilitiesFed Watch(CMEGroup.com )Just one month ago, the market expected a 50 basis point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting. There is about a 25% probability that we may see a 100 basis point move. Whether we see a 75 basis point hike or a full 1% increase next week is not that relevant. The fact is that the Fed is intent on increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. Unfortunately, the benchmark will be above 3% after next week's meeting. With rates at such elevated levels, economic growth will weaken further, and there is no telling when the inflation problem may end.Uncertainty Ahead For StocksThere is increased uncertainty surrounding inflation, growth, Fed tightening, the consumer, recession, corporate earnings, and much more. Typically, I would say that the stock market will climb the wall of worry, but this wall of worry may be too high to climb.One of the most troubling factors is that we don't know how deep the downturn will cut into corporate results. We already see declining revenues, worsening margins, and fewer profits at major corporations. However, these declines could continue, and future downward earnings revisions could persist. Additionally, valuations remain relatively high, and this dynamic could mean lower stock prices before this bear market gets sorted out.The Valuation DynamicThe Shiller P/E RatioShiller P/E ratio(multpl.com)We see the Shiller P/E coming down lately, but the drop has just begun. We can see that once the Shiller P/E drops, it rarely stops until a relatively low has been achieved. We should see the CAPE P/E ratio decline as the economy weakens, earnings decrease, and valuations come down. A reasonably conservative target could be a Shiller P/E ratio of approximately 20. While the historical mean is only 17, the market has become accustomed to higher P/E ratio valuations in recent years. Therefore, we may see increased buy interest around the 20 level, if the SPX doesn't overshoot to the downside. A decline to a 20 Shiller P/E ratio would equate to an approximately 28% drop from current levels, roughly coinciding with the 2,800 level in the S&P 500. Therefore, my ultimate bottom in the S&P 500 target remains at 3,000. However, the market may overshoot lower into the 2,800-2,400 range in a bearish case outcome.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910918614,"gmtCreate":1663546939338,"gmtModify":1676537286595,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910918614","repostId":"1100137906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100137906","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663560476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100137906?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 12:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100137906","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The Fed has no room for errors at this week&#39;s FOMC meeting.</li><li>The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.</li><li>The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.</li></ul><p>No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn&#39;t believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.</p><p>Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747885c2bf42aec7edd0434de89ff03d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Markets Still Don&#39;t Believe The Fed</b></p><p>But still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a05f27f21f9f58f44993c24f0daa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Sure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn&#39;t believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.</p><p><b>Higher For Longer</b></p><p>If the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a3147d1203e0785cbe84a8f5761d45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Mott Capital</p><p>It is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077b423c22c6af690494f068eac8c266\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>This curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.</p><p><b>No Room For Error</b></p><p>The Fed can&#39;t afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466b229bd2abeb5cbc959893c58891b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00da5e8bda75fedfab02d3efed87ff04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>The Fed Needs To Break The Market</b></p><p>This is the Fed&#39;s battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.</p><p>So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don&#39;t be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.</p><p>Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 12:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100137906","content_text":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn't believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.BloombergMarkets Still Don't Believe The FedBut still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.BloombergSure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn't believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.Higher For LongerIf the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.Mott CapitalIt is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.BloombergThis curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.No Room For ErrorThe Fed can't afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.BloombergThe Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.BloombergThe Fed Needs To Break The MarketThis is the Fed's battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don't be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937258977,"gmtCreate":1663460892599,"gmtModify":1676537272303,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555136548043615","idStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937258977","repostId":"1129633132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129633132","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663378125,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129633132?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129633132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.</li><li>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.</li><li>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.</li><li>How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?</li><li>Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f531f7b392a181968ec72c4a8f89f8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>The Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by &#34;mining&#34;. The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new &#34;proof-of-stake&#34; approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.</p><p><b>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming &#34;mining&#34;</b></p><p>The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4872c823bfeb3e06182d2d3f6ab87879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"574\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ethereum.org</span></p><p>Mining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.</p><p>In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.</p><p>Some miners may go to work on a &#34;hard fork&#34; of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it&#39;s unclear whether mining this will be profitable.</p><p>Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.</p><p><b>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales</b></p><p>Following Nvidia&#39;s revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.</p><p>The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.</p><p>However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe36f2d53f47c0d7e5cdf964d09c67fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BinInfoCharts</span></p><p>This implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.</p><p>This turned out to account very well for Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8223bcd7d3f44c30f5c60970c616fe0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>Note that the revenue impact doesn&#39;t only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.</p><p><b>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia&#39;s sales will be, at best, ugly</b></p><p>The model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it&#39;s not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.</p><p>If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c00465fed542c67659f55786fcdf366b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>The model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.</p><p>This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn&#39;t absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.</p><p>As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren&#39;t comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0a909d1edae7870adea14e3f987d28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>So the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won&#39;t fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia&#39;s crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum&#39;s mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.</p><p><b>How will the Merge affect Nvidia&#39;s expected RTX 40 series launch?</b></p><p>Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c5990337b62c49447e21da39a199e14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Nvidia</span></p><p>Various tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.</p><p>The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It&#39;s not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.</p><p>Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.</p><p>Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.</p><p>Unfortunately, I don&#39;t have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD&#39;s next-generation GPUs have only been &#34;teased&#34; but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.</p><p>The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.</p><p>Since<i>none</i>of the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.</p><p>Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.</p><p>Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.</p><p><b>Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</b></p><p>Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?</p><p>When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.</p><p>If Nvidia really wasn&#39;t accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.</p><p>In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I&#39;m assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.</p><p>Despite this, I&#39;m still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia&#39;s next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.</p><p>Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia&#39;s ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8026f845d3af92219bdc2bb1bc67be19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>According to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia&#39;s future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.</p><p>Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I&#39;m pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I&#39;m waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia&#39;s price even lower.</p><p>Also, I&#39;m waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 09:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129633132","content_text":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesThe Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by \"mining\". The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new \"proof-of-stake\" approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming \"mining\"The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:Ethereum.orgMining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.Some miners may go to work on a \"hard fork\" of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it's unclear whether mining this will be profitable.Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card salesFollowing Nvidia's revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:BinInfoChartsThis implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.This turned out to account very well for Nvidia's fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia's Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:Mark HibbenNote that the revenue impact doesn't only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia's fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia's sales will be, at best, uglyThe model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it's not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia's RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:Mark HibbenThe model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn't absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren't comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:Mark HibbenSo the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won't fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia's crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum's mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.How will the Merge affect Nvidia's expected RTX 40 series launch?Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:NvidiaVarious tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It's not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.Unfortunately, I don't have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD's next-generation GPUs have only been \"teased\" but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.Sincenoneof the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.If Nvidia really wasn't accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I'm assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.Despite this, I'm still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia's next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia's ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:Mark HibbenAccording to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia's future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I'm pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I'm waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia's price even lower.Also, I'm waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9005432601,"gmtCreate":1642379476549,"gmtModify":1676533705559,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005432601","repostId":"1163440073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575443999456708","authorId":"3575443999456708","name":"ponyinvestor","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/138d1ebc8820019726a687f0ffe45994","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575443999456708","authorIdStr":"3575443999456708"},"content":"Like qnd comment","text":"Like qnd comment","html":"Like qnd comment"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806999995,"gmtCreate":1627621829317,"gmtModify":1703493559129,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806999995","repostId":"2155330511","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155330511","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627621001,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155330511?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-30 12:56","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"HK-listed restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu falls on disappointing outlook","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155330511","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of Chinese hot-pot restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co Ltd","content":"<p>** Shares of Chinese hot-pot restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co Ltd fall 6.7% to HK$6.59</p>\n<p>** The Beijing-based operator expects to post a loss of up to 60 mln yuan ($9.30 mln) for the six months ended in June, versus the 255 mln yuan loss reported last year, but that falls short of its target to turn to a profit</p>\n<p>** Says H1 loss was due to the provision for impairment losses as the company plans to close about 200 loss-making Xiabuxiabu restaurants throughout the year and as its restaurants have been hit by the COVID-19 outbreaks</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index&nbsp;falls 1.2% and the Hang Seng Composite index drops 1.8%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises index plunges 2.6% and the benchmark index slips 1.8%</p>\n<p>** Stock had dropped 60.1% this year, as of last close</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>HK-listed restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu falls on disappointing outlook</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHK-listed restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu falls on disappointing outlook\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-30 12:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of Chinese hot-pot restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co Ltd fall 6.7% to HK$6.59</p>\n<p>** The Beijing-based operator expects to post a loss of up to 60 mln yuan ($9.30 mln) for the six months ended in June, versus the 255 mln yuan loss reported last year, but that falls short of its target to turn to a profit</p>\n<p>** Says H1 loss was due to the provision for impairment losses as the company plans to close about 200 loss-making Xiabuxiabu restaurants throughout the year and as its restaurants have been hit by the COVID-19 outbreaks</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index&nbsp;falls 1.2% and the Hang Seng Composite index drops 1.8%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng China Enterprises index plunges 2.6% and the benchmark index slips 1.8%</p>\n<p>** Stock had dropped 60.1% this year, as of last close</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00520":"呷哺呷哺"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155330511","content_text":"** Shares of Chinese hot-pot restaurant chain Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co Ltd fall 6.7% to HK$6.59\n** The Beijing-based operator expects to post a loss of up to 60 mln yuan ($9.30 mln) for the six months ended in June, versus the 255 mln yuan loss reported last year, but that falls short of its target to turn to a profit\n** Says H1 loss was due to the provision for impairment losses as the company plans to close about 200 loss-making Xiabuxiabu restaurants throughout the year and as its restaurants have been hit by the COVID-19 outbreaks\n** The Hong Kong Hang Seng consumer goods and services index falls 1.2% and the Hang Seng Composite index drops 1.8%\n** The Hang Seng China Enterprises index plunges 2.6% and the benchmark index slips 1.8%\n** Stock had dropped 60.1% this year, as of last close","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00520":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046544248,"gmtCreate":1656374281884,"gmtModify":1676535815331,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046544248","repostId":"2246438749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246438749","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656370292,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246438749?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-28 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Down, Pulled Lower By Growth Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246438749","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Rising crude prices boost energy stocks* Durable goods, pending home sales surprise to the upside*","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Rising crude prices boost energy stocks</p><p>* Durable goods, pending home sales surprise to the upside</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.2%, S&amp;P 0.3%, Nasdaq 0.8%</p><p>NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with few catalysts to sway investor sentiment as they approach the half-way point of a year in which the equity markets have been slammed by heightened inflation worries and tightening Fed policy.</p><p>The major U.S. stock indexes lost ground after oscillating earlier in the session, with weakness in interest rate sensitive megacaps such as Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc providing the heaviest drag.</p><p>&#34;The reason for lack of direction this week and next week is investors are looking for what’s going to happen in the second quarter reporting period,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>All three indexes are on course to notch two straight quarterly declines for the first time since 2015. They also appear set to post losses for June, which would mark three consecutive down months for the tech-heavy Nasdaq, its longest losing streak since 2015.</p><p>The S&amp;P was on track to report its fifth worst year-to-date price decline since 1962 as of Friday, Stovall said.</p><p>&#34;Every time the SPX rose by more than 20% in a year it fell by an average of 11% starting relatively early in the new year. And all years where the decline started in the first half got back to break even before the year was out.&#34;</p><p>&#34;No guarantee that’s going to happen this year, but the market could surprise us to the upside,&#34; Stovall said.</p><p>Rising oil prices helped put energy stocks out front, with economically sensitive smallcaps and semiconductors and transports also outperforming the broader market.</p><p>Economic data surprised to the upside, with new orders for durable goods and pending home sales beating expectations and adding credence to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#39;s assertion that the economy is robust enough to withstand the central bank&#39;s attempts to rein in decades-high inflation without sliding into recession.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 62.42 points, or 0.2%, to 31,438.26, the S&amp;P 500 lost 11.63 points, or 0.3%, to 3,900.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 93.05 points, or 0.8%, to 11,514.57.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, eight ended the session in negative territory, with consumer discretionary suffering the largest percentage loss. Energy stocks were the clear winners, gaining 2.8% on the day.</p><p>With several weeks to go until second-quarter reporting commences, 130 S&amp;P 500 companies have pre-announced. Of those, 45 have been positive and 77 have been negative, resulting in a negative/positive ratio of 1.7 stronger than the first quarter but weaker than a year ago, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>During Monday&#39;s session, Coinbase Global Inc    dropped over 10% after Goldman Sachs downgraded that cryptocurrency exchange to &#34;sell&#34; from &#34;buy&#34;.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.17-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 84 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.91 billion shares, compared with the 12.95 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Down, Pulled Lower By Growth Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Down, Pulled Lower By Growth Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-28 06:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Rising crude prices boost energy stocks</p><p>* Durable goods, pending home sales surprise to the upside</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.2%, S&amp;P 0.3%, Nasdaq 0.8%</p><p>NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with few catalysts to sway investor sentiment as they approach the half-way point of a year in which the equity markets have been slammed by heightened inflation worries and tightening Fed policy.</p><p>The major U.S. stock indexes lost ground after oscillating earlier in the session, with weakness in interest rate sensitive megacaps such as Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc providing the heaviest drag.</p><p>&#34;The reason for lack of direction this week and next week is investors are looking for what’s going to happen in the second quarter reporting period,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.</p><p>All three indexes are on course to notch two straight quarterly declines for the first time since 2015. They also appear set to post losses for June, which would mark three consecutive down months for the tech-heavy Nasdaq, its longest losing streak since 2015.</p><p>The S&amp;P was on track to report its fifth worst year-to-date price decline since 1962 as of Friday, Stovall said.</p><p>&#34;Every time the SPX rose by more than 20% in a year it fell by an average of 11% starting relatively early in the new year. And all years where the decline started in the first half got back to break even before the year was out.&#34;</p><p>&#34;No guarantee that’s going to happen this year, but the market could surprise us to the upside,&#34; Stovall said.</p><p>Rising oil prices helped put energy stocks out front, with economically sensitive smallcaps and semiconductors and transports also outperforming the broader market.</p><p>Economic data surprised to the upside, with new orders for durable goods and pending home sales beating expectations and adding credence to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell&#39;s assertion that the economy is robust enough to withstand the central bank&#39;s attempts to rein in decades-high inflation without sliding into recession.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 62.42 points, or 0.2%, to 31,438.26, the S&amp;P 500 lost 11.63 points, or 0.3%, to 3,900.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 93.05 points, or 0.8%, to 11,514.57.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, eight ended the session in negative territory, with consumer discretionary suffering the largest percentage loss. Energy stocks were the clear winners, gaining 2.8% on the day.</p><p>With several weeks to go until second-quarter reporting commences, 130 S&amp;P 500 companies have pre-announced. Of those, 45 have been positive and 77 have been negative, resulting in a negative/positive ratio of 1.7 stronger than the first quarter but weaker than a year ago, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>During Monday&#39;s session, Coinbase Global Inc    dropped over 10% after Goldman Sachs downgraded that cryptocurrency exchange to &#34;sell&#34; from &#34;buy&#34;.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.17-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 84 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.91 billion shares, compared with the 12.95 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","HOOD":"Robinhood","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","GOOGL":"谷歌A","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4566":"资本集团","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4538":"云计算","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4579":"人工智能","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246438749","content_text":"* Rising crude prices boost energy stocks* Durable goods, pending home sales surprise to the upside* Indexes down: Dow 0.2%, S&P 0.3%, Nasdaq 0.8%NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with few catalysts to sway investor sentiment as they approach the half-way point of a year in which the equity markets have been slammed by heightened inflation worries and tightening Fed policy.The major U.S. stock indexes lost ground after oscillating earlier in the session, with weakness in interest rate sensitive megacaps such as Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc providing the heaviest drag.\"The reason for lack of direction this week and next week is investors are looking for what’s going to happen in the second quarter reporting period,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.All three indexes are on course to notch two straight quarterly declines for the first time since 2015. They also appear set to post losses for June, which would mark three consecutive down months for the tech-heavy Nasdaq, its longest losing streak since 2015.The S&P was on track to report its fifth worst year-to-date price decline since 1962 as of Friday, Stovall said.\"Every time the SPX rose by more than 20% in a year it fell by an average of 11% starting relatively early in the new year. And all years where the decline started in the first half got back to break even before the year was out.\"\"No guarantee that’s going to happen this year, but the market could surprise us to the upside,\" Stovall said.Rising oil prices helped put energy stocks out front, with economically sensitive smallcaps and semiconductors and transports also outperforming the broader market.Economic data surprised to the upside, with new orders for durable goods and pending home sales beating expectations and adding credence to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's assertion that the economy is robust enough to withstand the central bank's attempts to rein in decades-high inflation without sliding into recession.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 62.42 points, or 0.2%, to 31,438.26, the S&P 500 lost 11.63 points, or 0.3%, to 3,900.11 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 93.05 points, or 0.8%, to 11,514.57.Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, eight ended the session in negative territory, with consumer discretionary suffering the largest percentage loss. Energy stocks were the clear winners, gaining 2.8% on the day.With several weeks to go until second-quarter reporting commences, 130 S&P 500 companies have pre-announced. Of those, 45 have been positive and 77 have been negative, resulting in a negative/positive ratio of 1.7 stronger than the first quarter but weaker than a year ago, according to Refinitiv data.During Monday's session, Coinbase Global Inc    dropped over 10% after Goldman Sachs downgraded that cryptocurrency exchange to \"sell\" from \"buy\".Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.17-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 24 new highs and 84 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.91 billion shares, compared with the 12.95 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"PSQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"GOOG":0.64,"QQQ":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"GOOGL":0.9,"HOOD":0.9,"SQQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9085737500,"gmtCreate":1650765157742,"gmtModify":1676534788522,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085737500","repostId":"2229815110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229815110","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650681404,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229815110?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-23 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229815110","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Wall Street is bullish on Palantir because it see catalysts for the company's long-term growth. But the software company's stock price has been cratering.","content":"<div>\n<p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Thinks Palantir Is Poised for a Comeback. Here's Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-23 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/22/wall-street-thinks-palantir-is-poised-for-a-comeba/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229815110","content_text":"Technology stocks have experienced pronounced market volatility over the last two years. Whether it was a fleeting interest in the metaverse, high-profile initial public offerings (IPO), or the rising adoption of crypto, investors have witnessed peaks and valleys in growth stocks since the outset of the pandemic.Data analytics provider Palantir Technologies often finds its name in the headlines because both the public and private sectors are increasingly using the company's robust software platform. However, over the last 12 months, the company's stock has cratered by 45%. But as investor enthusiasm has waned, Wall Street has identified some catalysts that could serve as long-term growth drivers for the stock.What is Wall Street saying?Over the last month, Wall Street banks Piper Sandler and Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company have initiated coverage of Palantir stock and assigned a buy or buy-equivalent rating. Piper Sandler's current price target is $15 per share, while Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Company arrived at $20 per share, which implies a 67% upside from where the stock trades today.Alongside Palantir's 2021 earnings results, management issued guidance with expectations of at least 30% revenue growth year over year through 2025. Both banks believe that this target is achievable, given Palantir's most recent operating results, and highlighted increased sales and marketing hiring, as well as continued geographic penetration, as top tailwinds that could propel the company forward.Image source: Getty Images.Are these points valid?In 2021, Palantir generated $1.5 billion in revenue, up 41% year over year. What's most impressive about this growth is the company's penetration of both the public and private sectors. In its early days, Palantir primarily focused on selling software products to the U.S. Government. However, its 2021 results showcased how the company is beginning to gain traction in the commercial atmosphere. Given Palantir's ability to expand beyond its core end market of government agencies and win large deals in the private sector, Wall Street believes that Palantir should be able to reach its future revenue commitment of at least 30%.In 2021, Palantir grew revenue in its commercial segment by 34% year over year. Moreover, commercial-sector customers tripled in 2021 to 147 total clients.Perhaps the most encouraging indicator of Palantir's capabilities is its net dollar retention, which measures how much a company's recurring revenue has increased or decreased over some time by accounting for expansions, as well as churn. Net dollar retention was 113% in the commercial sector, while Palantir's government business reported 146%.  The impressive net dollar retention has contributed nicely to Palantir's profitability profile. For the year ended Dec. 31, 2021, Palantir's operating cash flow was $334 million. To reach its long-term revenue goal, Palantir has stated its intent to aggressively invest in sales efforts.For reference, the company began 2021 with only 12 members of its U.S. commercial sales force. But by year's end, Palantir had grown this to a team of 80. Throughout the year, it signed several impressive customers in the commercial realm such as The Merck Group and Korean shipbuilder Hyundai Heavy Industries. To nurture these customers and augment growth in other areas around the globe, Palantir will parallel its U.S. commercial-sector hiring strategy and target additional sales representatives throughout western Europe in countries like France, Germany, and Italy, as well as in South Korea and the Middle East.Another key focus that made Wall Street perk up is Palantir's ongoing investment in digital transformation. Although areas such as customer relationship management (CRM) or financial reporting analytics have their own specific tools, Palantir differentiates itself because its platforms mesh together software, artificial intelligence, and data analytics into one cohesive solution. As data becomes more integral for decision-makers inside corporations, Palantir could benefit from its all-in-one platform.Keep an eye on valuationPalantir stock is down over 30% since early January and over 40% during the last 12 months. Currently, the company is trading at 15 times its trailing-12-month sales. By comparison, Palantir was trading at 21 times trailing-12-month sales around the same time in 2021.Despite Palantir's sell-off, Wall Street has highlighted several interesting growth drivers for the company. Moreover, the catalysts identified are meant to serve long-term growth rather than short-term momentum. The company is trading at a significant discount compared to its prior highs and has created a roadmap to generate and sustain long-term growth. As a result, now might be the optimal time to take a look at Palantir for your own portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894887959,"gmtCreate":1628816751171,"gmtModify":1676529863282,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"may it soar as long and as high as it can","listText":"may it soar as long and as high as it can","text":"may it soar as long and as high as it can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894887959","repostId":"1180393666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910918614,"gmtCreate":1663546939338,"gmtModify":1676537286595,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910918614","repostId":"1100137906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100137906","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663560476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100137906?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 12:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100137906","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The Fed has no room for errors at this week&#39;s FOMC meeting.</li><li>The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.</li><li>The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.</li></ul><p>No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn&#39;t believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.</p><p>Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747885c2bf42aec7edd0434de89ff03d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Markets Still Don&#39;t Believe The Fed</b></p><p>But still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a05f27f21f9f58f44993c24f0daa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Sure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn&#39;t believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.</p><p><b>Higher For Longer</b></p><p>If the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a3147d1203e0785cbe84a8f5761d45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Mott Capital</p><p>It is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077b423c22c6af690494f068eac8c266\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>This curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.</p><p><b>No Room For Error</b></p><p>The Fed can&#39;t afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466b229bd2abeb5cbc959893c58891b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00da5e8bda75fedfab02d3efed87ff04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>The Fed Needs To Break The Market</b></p><p>This is the Fed&#39;s battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.</p><p>So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don&#39;t be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.</p><p>Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 12:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100137906","content_text":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn't believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.BloombergMarkets Still Don't Believe The FedBut still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.BloombergSure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn't believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.Higher For LongerIf the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.Mott CapitalIt is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.BloombergThis curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.No Room For ErrorThe Fed can't afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.BloombergThe Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.BloombergThe Fed Needs To Break The MarketThis is the Fed's battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don't be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008717991,"gmtCreate":1641523255467,"gmtModify":1676533625401,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"well&nbsp;","listText":"well&nbsp;","text":"well","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008717991","repostId":"2201295996","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2201295996","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1641510309,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2201295996?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-07 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends choppy session nearly flat, a day after sell-off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2201295996","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Financials, energy among top gaining sectors; tech falls* Meta Platforms shares rise* Monthly U.S.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Financials, energy among top gaining sectors; tech falls</p><p>* <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> shares rise</p><p>* Monthly U.S. jobs report due Friday</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.5%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.1%, Nasdaq down 0.1%</p><p>NEW YORK Jan 6 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended a volatile session close to unchanged on Thursday, as technology shares fell but financials lent support a day after the market sold off on a hawkish slant in Federal Reserve minutes.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index rose 1.6%, extending this week&#39;s strong gains. Other economically sensitive sectors also advanced. Energy    gained 2.3% and is up more than 9% since Dec. 31.</p><p>Banks were among top performers among financials, with the S&amp;P 500 bank index up 2.6% following a rise in the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, which touched its highest level since April 2021.Higher interest rates can increase profit margins for banks and financial firms.</p><p>Shares of Meta Platforms jumped 2.6%, the biggest boost to the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p>The Dow ended down 0.5% and the heavily weighted S&amp;P 500 technology sector also eased 0.5%. The tech sector was biggest drag on the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday when minutes from the Fed&#39;s December meeting signaled the possibility of sooner-than-expected interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed minutes cited a &#34;very tight&#34; job market and unabated inflation, increasing investor unease ahead of Friday&#39;s monthly jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department.</p><p>&#34;We have a jobs report tomorrow, which continues to be a focal area for the market in terms of the progression of the labor market,&#34; said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.</p><p>A private payrolls report on Wednesday was stronger than expected.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 170.64 points, or 0.47%, to 36,236.47, the S&amp;P 500 lost 4.53 points, or 0.10%, to 4,696.05 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 19.31 points, or 0.13%, to 15,080.87.</p><p>Investors this week have mostly rotated out of technology-heavy growth shares and into more value-oriented stocks that tend to do better in a high interest-rate environment.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 value index was up 0.1% on Thursday compared with a 0.3% decline in its growth counterpart.</p><p>Netflix Inc ended down 2.5% after J.P. Morgan cut its price target on the movie streaming platform&#39;s stock.</p><p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week. Separately, U.S. services industry activity slowed more than expected in December, but supply bottlenecks appeared to be easing.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.07-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 492 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.10 billion shares, compared with the 10.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends choppy session nearly flat, a day after sell-off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends choppy session nearly flat, a day after sell-off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-07 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Financials, energy among top gaining sectors; tech falls</p><p>* <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> shares rise</p><p>* Monthly U.S. jobs report due Friday</p><p>* Indexes: Dow down 0.5%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.1%, Nasdaq down 0.1%</p><p>NEW YORK Jan 6 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended a volatile session close to unchanged on Thursday, as technology shares fell but financials lent support a day after the market sold off on a hawkish slant in Federal Reserve minutes.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index rose 1.6%, extending this week&#39;s strong gains. Other economically sensitive sectors also advanced. Energy    gained 2.3% and is up more than 9% since Dec. 31.</p><p>Banks were among top performers among financials, with the S&amp;P 500 bank index up 2.6% following a rise in the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, which touched its highest level since April 2021.Higher interest rates can increase profit margins for banks and financial firms.</p><p>Shares of Meta Platforms jumped 2.6%, the biggest boost to the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p>The Dow ended down 0.5% and the heavily weighted S&amp;P 500 technology sector also eased 0.5%. The tech sector was biggest drag on the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday when minutes from the Fed&#39;s December meeting signaled the possibility of sooner-than-expected interest rate hikes.</p><p>The Fed minutes cited a &#34;very tight&#34; job market and unabated inflation, increasing investor unease ahead of Friday&#39;s monthly jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department.</p><p>&#34;We have a jobs report tomorrow, which continues to be a focal area for the market in terms of the progression of the labor market,&#34; said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.</p><p>A private payrolls report on Wednesday was stronger than expected.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 170.64 points, or 0.47%, to 36,236.47, the S&amp;P 500 lost 4.53 points, or 0.10%, to 4,696.05 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 19.31 points, or 0.13%, to 15,080.87.</p><p>Investors this week have mostly rotated out of technology-heavy growth shares and into more value-oriented stocks that tend to do better in a high interest-rate environment.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 value index was up 0.1% on Thursday compared with a 0.3% decline in its growth counterpart.</p><p>Netflix Inc ended down 2.5% after J.P. Morgan cut its price target on the movie streaming platform&#39;s stock.</p><p>Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week. Separately, U.S. services industry activity slowed more than expected in December, but supply bottlenecks appeared to be easing.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.07-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 492 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.10 billion shares, compared with the 10.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","FB":"ProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2201295996","content_text":"* Financials, energy among top gaining sectors; tech falls* Meta Platforms shares rise* Monthly U.S. jobs report due Friday* Indexes: Dow down 0.5%, S&P 500 down 0.1%, Nasdaq down 0.1%NEW YORK Jan 6 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended a volatile session close to unchanged on Thursday, as technology shares fell but financials lent support a day after the market sold off on a hawkish slant in Federal Reserve minutes.The S&P 500 financials index rose 1.6%, extending this week's strong gains. Other economically sensitive sectors also advanced. Energy    gained 2.3% and is up more than 9% since Dec. 31.Banks were among top performers among financials, with the S&P 500 bank index up 2.6% following a rise in the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, which touched its highest level since April 2021.Higher interest rates can increase profit margins for banks and financial firms.Shares of Meta Platforms jumped 2.6%, the biggest boost to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The Dow ended down 0.5% and the heavily weighted S&P 500 technology sector also eased 0.5%. The tech sector was biggest drag on the S&P 500 on Wednesday when minutes from the Fed's December meeting signaled the possibility of sooner-than-expected interest rate hikes.The Fed minutes cited a \"very tight\" job market and unabated inflation, increasing investor unease ahead of Friday's monthly jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department.\"We have a jobs report tomorrow, which continues to be a focal area for the market in terms of the progression of the labor market,\" said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.A private payrolls report on Wednesday was stronger than expected.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 170.64 points, or 0.47%, to 36,236.47, the S&P 500 lost 4.53 points, or 0.10%, to 4,696.05 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 19.31 points, or 0.13%, to 15,080.87.Investors this week have mostly rotated out of technology-heavy growth shares and into more value-oriented stocks that tend to do better in a high interest-rate environment.The S&P 500 value index was up 0.1% on Thursday compared with a 0.3% decline in its growth counterpart.Netflix Inc ended down 2.5% after J.P. Morgan cut its price target on the movie streaming platform's stock.Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week. Separately, U.S. services industry activity slowed more than expected in December, but supply bottlenecks appeared to be easing.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.07-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 492 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.10 billion shares, compared with the 10.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":1,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134132997,"gmtCreate":1622210789519,"gmtModify":1704181589898,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good job","listText":"good job","text":"good job","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/134132997","repostId":"2138125100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911275627,"gmtCreate":1664232511569,"gmtModify":1676537412627,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911275627","repostId":"2270287582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270287582","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664205506,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270287582?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270287582","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The tech sector's downturn offers investors an opportunity to pick up shares of Apple and Microsoft at a discount.","content":"<div>\n<p>Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Market Sell-Off: 2 Safe Tech Stocks to Buy Now and Hold Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/stock-market-sell-off-2-safe-stocks-buy-now-foreve/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270287582","content_text":"Stocks, broadly speaking, have been hammered in 2022. At this point, only two S&P 500 sectors are trading in the green year to date: energy and utilities. But the big gains for many energy sector players are unlikely to persist in the long run because of the ongoing shift away from fossil fuels, and utility stocks are considered defensive -- they don't typically generate the high growth returns many investors are looking for.Those types of gains can often be found in the technology sector, but only a handful of companies in that group can be considered safe at times like this -- among them, Microsoft  and Apple. They may not be immune to stock market turmoil, but they have time-tested business models with decades worth of success under their belts. That means when the economy bounces back, these companies will probably be among the first to recover to new highs. Not only might they help investors weather the present volatility, these two stocks also look like solid long-term bets for any portfolio.1. Microsoft serves both consumers and businessesMost people know Microsoft for its Windows operating system for computers and its Office 365 digital document suite. After all, billions of people worldwide use those products in both personal and business settings. But the company has expanded far beyond its roots and into areas its early backers probably never expected, amassing a $1.7 trillion market valuation in the process.Having diverse revenue streams is extremely beneficial for a company during an economic downturn. At the moment, consumers are tightening their belts on discretionary spending due to high inflation and rising interest rates, so Microsoft is experiencing softer demand for hardware like its Surface laptops and Xbox gaming consoles. But its intelligent cloud segment is picking up the slack in a big way, and it now contributes the largest share of the company's revenue.It's driven by the Azure platform, which helps businesses operate in the cloud. It offers solutions like data storage, virtual machines, and even cybersecurity. With more of the corporate world adopting this technology, the cloud is on track to become a $1.5 trillion annual opportunity as soon as 2030, according to one estimate by Grand View Research.In Microsoft's fiscal 2022 (which ended June 30), Azure's revenue grew by an estimated 45% (based on a calculated average of reported quarterly growth reports because Microsoft doesn't release Azure's actual revenue) while the rest of its business expanded by just 18%.But still, even though Azure is helping Microsoft weather the current unsteady economic conditions, growth from its other segments will likely kick into gear once interest rates level off. For that reason, it's important to zoom out and focus on the big picture because, as the below chart suggests, Microsoft has been a fantastic long-term investment.With Microsoft stock currently down 30.6% from its all-time high, this might be a great chance to buy ahead of its next potential wave of growth.2. Apple continues to innovate and diversifyApple is the largest public company in the world with a valuation of $2.4 trillion, and it just launched its latest smartphone, the iPhone 14. As exciting as that is, it does highlight one of the company's (minor) weak spots. As a manufacturer of premium-priced consumer electronics, Apple is very exposed to the health of the economy. But it has been diversifying its revenue base over the last few years by offering a portfolio of services, and that segment of its business is carrying the company's growth at the moment.Those services include Apple Pay, Apple TV+, Apple News, and Apple Music, to name just a few on an expanding list. The key benefit for investors is that the services segment delivers a gross profit margin of 71% compared to 52% for Apple's hardware products. Put simply, it's more profitable to deliver subscription-based services to customers than it is to sell them devices, and recurring revenue makes it easier to build scale.In the company's fiscal 2022 third quarter (which ended June 25), its services segment accounted for 23.6% of the company's $82.9 billion in total revenue. During the prior-year period, it accounted for 21.4%, so it's gradually becoming a larger part of the overall business. In fiscal Q3, services grew by 12% compared to a 1% contraction in hardware revenue.That said, the release of products like the iPhone 14 and the new, rugged Apple Watch Ultra will likely boost sales into the Christmas season. Both devices come with new feature sets. Of particular note, Apple did a major internal redesign on the iPhone 14 that made it easier for technicians outside the Apple ecosystem to repair them, a cost-saving option that could give the devices even greater appeal to consumers.With Apple stock down 17.4% from its all-time high, this could be the chance some investors have been waiting for to buy shares at a discount.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910225085,"gmtCreate":1663634076847,"gmtModify":1676537304735,"author":{"id":"3555136548043615","authorId":"3555136548043615","name":"Gee1","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555136548043615","authorIdStr":"3555136548043615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910225085","repostId":"1138109779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138109779","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663657079,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138109779?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-20 14:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138109779","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Based on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.</li><li>The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).</li><li>Based on this indicator&#39;s performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.</li><li>During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.</li></ul><p>The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fa6bb04bc853fbd931923244cc99010\" tg-width=\"322\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)</p><p>So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?</p><p>This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).</p><p>Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call &#34;Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,&#34; or &#34;RAD&#34;) using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.</p><p>I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.</p><ul><li>A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31fa4d91f6e2f217f96ffedcbe75b0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><ul><li>It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).</li><li>It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:</li></ul><ul><li>If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.</li></ul><p>Let&#39;s break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.</p><p><b>Apr 2006-Dec 2009</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f009ba873bff7511fd700c2356c7d8e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.</p><p>The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.</p><p><b>2010-2014</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc1edef16b00f55de39e5890b823d3f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.</p><p><b>2015-2019</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d88b8cb61e2fe0a41c28f2eeebdc04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.</p><p><b>2020-present</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815e2eef76ef056d502e7cd89efda830\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)</p><p>Note:</p><p>Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.</p><p>This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.</p><p>The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.</p><p><b>Where are we in the current stage:</b></p><p>From the chart above, it&#39;s apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.<i>Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.</i></p><p>I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:</p><ul><li>As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.</li><li>The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I&#39;m sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.</li></ul><p><b>Appendix: Calculation methodology of RAD</b></p><ul><li>Calculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.</li><li>Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.</li><li>9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.</li><li>The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The Nasdaq In A Bear Market: One High Frequency Indicator Says Yes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 14:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541853-is-the-nasdaq-in-a-bear-market-one-high-frequency-indicator-says-yes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138109779","content_text":"SummaryBased on the observation that in a bear market afterhours trading is often at a higher price than U.S. hours trading, I have constructed an indicator reflecting this divergence.The indicator reflects the difference between average prices during regular and afterhours trading and trends down during a bear market (vice versa for bull market).Based on this indicator's performance from 2006 to present, we are currently still in a bear market.During the March 2020 Coronavirus pandemic, this indicator was screaming buy despite the sharp declines in the market during that month.The Nasdaq has experienced several sharp declines since bottoming in 2009, but the right strategy has been to buy the dip each time. We will use Nasdaq 100 futures (which track the Nasdaq 100 index, same as the Invesco QQQ ETF) for our analysis. For simplicity purposes, if we use the 200-day moving average as a benchmark, Nasdaq 100 has been under the 200-day MA for 852 days out of the last 4236 trading days. 2022 so far has seen the most number of days under the 200-day MA since 2008.Days below 200 day MA (Author calc on public info)So this begs the question, is the current dip a buy or a sell? Given that the right move has been to buy for the last 13 years, how can we tell this time?This article is based on an observation: during a downtrend, the Nasdaq 100 index futures are often trading flat or even up before the U.S. equities markets open, and then it suddenly starts to head south during the U.S. session (9:30 AM to 4 PM ET).Based on this observation, I constructed an indicator (which I will call \"Regular/After-hours Divergence Indicator,\" or \"RAD\") using all-day Nasdaq 100 index futures data to show divergence between U.S. session regular hours (i.e., 9:30 AM to 4 PM) and afterhours. For details on how RAD is calculated, please see the appendix at the bottom.I will use the Nasdaq 100 index futures as it has regular and afterhours trading, whereas the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has more limited afterhours trading data.A positive RAD means that average prices during the regular hours are higher than after hours, vice versa for a negative RAD. The cumulative RAD is shown below (i.e., the daily RAD is added cumulatively). The results are plotted below against the Nasdaq 100.RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.It appears the RAD is trendless or trends positively in a bull market and trends negatively in a bear market/correction. Which means in a bear market, afterhours trading is generally at a higher price before declining during regular hours trading (this is consistent with our observation and feel of how the market usually behaves).It is hard to precisely explain this phenomenon, it could be that:If we combine this with 200-day MA (greyed out areas represent those days/periods where the closing prices were under the 200-day MA), we can see that the sharp moves down in the RAD coincide with the periods where the closing price was below the 200-day MA, while the RAD levelled off or increased when the closing price was above the 200-day MA.Let's break it down into a few major periods and see how the RAD performed in each.Apr 2006-Dec 2009RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.In 2006-2007, both the Nasdaq 100 and the RAD largely trended in the same direction and the RAD hovered around 0% and did not portend the tectonic shift to come.The RAD sharply fell after the September 2008 Lehman shock and continued to fall till bottoming in February 2009 (stocks ultimately bottomed in March 2009). From February 2009 onwards, the RAD largely did not trend though it fluctuated on a day-to-day basis.2010-2014RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.2010 started with a selloff in mid to late 2010. During this period, Nasdaq 100 spent a lot of time oscillating around the 200-day MA as the European debt crisis simmered, but there was not a major negative movement in the RAD and stocks resumed their upward course.2015-2019RAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.From 2015-2019, the RAD showed a persistently negative move in Sep-2015 to Mar-2016 but afterwards it did not deteriorate any further and stocks resumed their upward trend. Amazingly, during this entire trade war period, the RAD did not show much of a negative move except in late 2018. Most of the time the RAD oscillated nowhere and stocks went up.2020-presentRAD vs Nasdaq 100 (Author calc based on Nasdaq 100 index futures continuous contract)Note:Greyed out areas indicate days/periods where the closing price was below the 200-day moving average.This period gets very interesting. Despite a sharp sell-off in March 2020, RAD trended up (meaning regular hours trading had prices higher than afterhours) for most of the period! The RAD was screaming buy while the media was hyping up 100% infection rates on a certain unfortunate cruise ship and Europeans going into lockdown, etc.The RAD started persistently falling in Nov-21, similar to when stocks overall began declining. Since then the Nasdaq has mostly been under the 200-day MA and the RAD has entered a fresh bout of declining since August 2022.Where are we in the current stage:From the chart above, it's apparent the current downtrend is the longest time spent below 200-day MA for 13 years, and also the sharpest and longest decline in the RAD in the past 13 years, and the RAD has recently continued declining rather than bottoming out. The last time it was this bearish in 2008/2009, the RAD indicator and Nasdaq spent 5 months bottoming out, before entering into a bull market.Per 2008-2009, once this indicator starts to level out and the Nasdaq regains the 200-day MA, it may be a sign of a real bottom, but it appears we may yet be some time away.I am not presenting this indicator as a silver bullet, however, it may be helpful:As a high frequency indicator (economic indicators and earnings are much more lagging). It is especially interesting to see despite the large declines in U.S. equities during the March 2020 coronavirus panic, U.S. regular trading hour session investors were more interested in buying equities than the afterhours investors, which may have been a good indicator of where the smart money was going when every other price-based indicator would have gone haywire, economic data would not be known for months and the news implied the apocalypse was just days away.The reader is encouraged to do his own iterations, I'm sure there can be fancier iterations (e.g., adding volatility, cross-checking with other indicators, etc.), I will just show the bare-bones analysis in this article without any bells and whistles.Appendix: Calculation methodology of RADCalculated average price for the regular trading hours and after hours for each day based on Nasdaq 100 index futures 5-minute data from Apr 2006 (two years before the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 to establish a baseline) to mid-Sept 2022.Subtracted for the difference and converted into a percentage.9:30 AM to 4 PM as U.S. sessions regular trading hours (referred to below as regular trading hours) and all other hours as afterhours.The difference is then added cumulatively, so it is easier to see a trend (as there are large gyrations day-to-day, if the daily results are plotted, the trend is less obvious).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}