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2025-09-19

Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market

2025-07-09

I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah

China’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?

2025-01-20

$BABA-W(09988)$ Green dragon lets go! $120 by year end!

2024-11-17

$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ captain of baba boat is here $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ think recently a lot of fear and worries, i feel we are at a strong support level yes we have loss all of the recent gains as baba fell from 118 level to 88 level, a steep 25% decline at the current 88/90 level we are back at 23 sept prices the day before the annoucement of major stimulus stay calm and carry on 2025 the green dragon will come green dragon lets go !

2024-06-11

$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$ https://youtu.be/AO208tCxTE8?si=QbDXw1IzZeNLoyOi

2024-06-11

$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=OERjXM5nx4iNBqvt

2024-06-11

$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$ https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=xjzkvhcIsrJwz-gQ

2022-11-08

$Alibaba(BABA)$ https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs

2022-11-08

$Alibaba(09988)$ https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs

2022-07-05

Short tsla

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-07-03

Short hahaha

Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems

2022-06-07

Rubbish

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-03-10

$Alibaba(BABA)$https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share

2022-03-10

$JD.com(JD)$https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share

2022-03-10

$JD-SW(09618)$https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share

2022-03-10

$JD.com(JD)$https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share

2022-03-06

$Alibaba(09988)$https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share

2022-03-06

$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share

2022-02-23

$Alibaba(09988)$https://youtube.com/shorts/RQf-a4dds8Q?feature=share

2022-02-22

$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$https://youtube.com/shorts/zNB7FZKK-Qg?feature=share

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Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","listText":"Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","text":"Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/480263581470896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090367419885830","authorId":"4090367419885830","name":"MKYEE","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a9b3ef684fff7e58668281d93462870","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4090367419885830","idStr":"4090367419885830"},"content":"JD back now below $130. [Great]","text":"JD back now below $130. [Great]","html":"JD back now below $130. [Great]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":454620631622328,"gmtCreate":1752028950192,"gmtModify":1752118080644,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","listText":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","text":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/454620631622328","repostId":"1148381517","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148381517","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1751951700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148381517?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-07-08 13:15","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148381517","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">Meituan</a> are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.</p><p>As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.</p><h3 id=\"id_4011132819\">Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is Larger</h3><p>According to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.</p><p>However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.</p><blockquote><p>“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><p>Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.</p><h3 id=\"id_1776422778\">Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem Design</h3><p>Historically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.</p><h4 id=\"id_1782128309\">Key shifts include:</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.</p></li><li><p>JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).</p></li><li><p>Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.</p></li></ul><p>This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.</p><h3 id=\"id_1817171619\">Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next Phase</h3><p>Goldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:</p><h4 id=\"id_2824947673\">Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.</p></li><li><p>Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.</p></li><li><p>JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>EBIT per order (FY25E):<br/>• Meituan: RMB 0.7<br/>• Alibaba: RMB –1.9<br/>• JD: RMB –6.2</p></blockquote><h4 id=\"id_820349929\">Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.</p></li><li><p>Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.</p></li></ul><h4 id=\"id_1967875035\">Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.</p></li><li><p>All three maintain meaningful share.</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3662762653\">Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?</h3><h4 id=\"id_3022518170\">Meituan (3690.HK):</h4><p>Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.</p><h4 id=\"id_2142605859\">Alibaba (BABA):</h4><p>Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).</p><h4 id=\"id_930407417\">JD.com (9618.HK):</h4><p>Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.</p><h4 id=\"id_2561869728\">Pinduoduo (PDD):</h4><p>Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.</p><h3 id=\"id_2216242025\">Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff Later</h3><p>Goldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027E</p></li><li><p>GMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channels</p></li><li><p>Re-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><h3 id=\"id_1157871818\">The Front Door of Digital China</h3><p>As the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p>In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-08 13:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">Meituan</a> are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.</p><p>As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.</p><h3 id=\"id_4011132819\">Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is Larger</h3><p>According to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.</p><p>However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.</p><blockquote><p>“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><p>Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.</p><h3 id=\"id_1776422778\">Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem Design</h3><p>Historically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.</p><h4 id=\"id_1782128309\">Key shifts include:</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.</p></li><li><p>JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).</p></li><li><p>Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.</p></li></ul><p>This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.</p><h3 id=\"id_1817171619\">Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next Phase</h3><p>Goldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:</p><h4 id=\"id_2824947673\">Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.</p></li><li><p>Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.</p></li><li><p>JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>EBIT per order (FY25E):<br/>• Meituan: RMB 0.7<br/>• Alibaba: RMB –1.9<br/>• JD: RMB –6.2</p></blockquote><h4 id=\"id_820349929\">Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.</p></li><li><p>Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.</p></li></ul><h4 id=\"id_1967875035\">Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.</p></li><li><p>All three maintain meaningful share.</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3662762653\">Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?</h3><h4 id=\"id_3022518170\">Meituan (3690.HK):</h4><p>Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.</p><h4 id=\"id_2142605859\">Alibaba (BABA):</h4><p>Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).</p><h4 id=\"id_930407417\">JD.com (9618.HK):</h4><p>Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.</p><h4 id=\"id_2561869728\">Pinduoduo (PDD):</h4><p>Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.</p><h3 id=\"id_2216242025\">Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff Later</h3><p>Goldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027E</p></li><li><p>GMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channels</p></li><li><p>Re-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><h3 id=\"id_1157871818\">The Front Door of Digital China</h3><p>As the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p>In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.</p></blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多","MPNGY":"美团ADR","03690":"美团-W","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148381517","content_text":"China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like Alibaba, JD.com, and Meituan are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is LargerAccording to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”— Goldman Sachs, July 2025Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem DesignHistorically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.Key shifts include:Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next PhaseGoldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.EBIT per order (FY25E):• Meituan: RMB 0.7• Alibaba: RMB –1.9• JD: RMB –6.2Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.All three maintain meaningful share.Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?Meituan (3690.HK):Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.Alibaba (BABA):Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).JD.com (9618.HK):Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.Pinduoduo (PDD):Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff LaterGoldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027EGMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channelsRe-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”— Goldman Sachs, July 2025The Front Door of Digital ChinaAs the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":1.1,"09988":1.1,"PDD":1.1,"09618":1.1,"03690":1.1,"BABA":1.1,"MPNGY":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":394498848903376,"gmtCreate":1737339544308,"gmtModify":1737339548236,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$BABA-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> Green dragon lets go! $120 by year end!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$BABA-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> Green dragon lets go! $120 by year end!","text":"$BABA-W(09988)$ Green dragon lets go! $120 by year end!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/394498848903376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554690539949891","authorId":"3554690539949891","name":"St0nker","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3554690539949891","idStr":"3554690539949891"},"content":"I wonder how many people has bankrupted because of your sharing as a Master :(","text":"I wonder how many people has bankrupted because of your sharing as a Master :(","html":"I wonder how many people has bankrupted because of your sharing as a Master :("},{"author":{"id":"4096237042804640","authorId":"4096237042804640","name":"lesflo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6f1dcefec1f23a7e7dddeb6ce11702cc","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4096237042804640","idStr":"4096237042804640"},"content":"This is a snake year, shall we say green snake let's go, huat ah!","text":"This is a snake year, shall we say green snake let's go, huat ah!","html":"This is a snake year, shall we say green snake let's go, huat ah!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371965878444392,"gmtCreate":1731851703037,"gmtModify":1731851709601,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ captain of baba boat is here $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ think recently a lot of fear and worries, i feel we are at a strong support level yes we have loss all of the recent gains as baba fell from 118 level to 88 level, a steep 25% decline at the current 88/90 level we are back at 23 sept prices the day before the annoucement of major stimulus stay calm and carry on 2025 the green dragon will come green dragon lets go !&nbsp;","listText":"$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ captain of baba boat is here $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ think recently a lot of fear and worries, i feel we are at a strong support level yes we have loss all of the recent gains as baba fell from 118 level to 88 level, a steep 25% decline at the current 88/90 level we are back at 23 sept prices the day before the annoucement of major stimulus stay calm and carry on 2025 the green dragon will come green dragon lets go !&nbsp;","text":"$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ captain of baba boat is here $Alibaba (BABA.US)$ think recently a lot of fear and worries, i feel we are at a strong support level yes we have loss all of the recent gains as baba fell from 118 level to 88 level, a steep 25% decline at the current 88/90 level we are back at 23 sept prices the day before the annoucement of major stimulus stay calm and carry on 2025 the green dragon will come green dragon lets go !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371965878444392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315678239682640,"gmtCreate":1718101330520,"gmtModify":1718101642104,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00101\">$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/AO208tCxTE8?si=QbDXw1IzZeNLoyOi","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00101\">$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/AO208tCxTE8?si=QbDXw1IzZeNLoyOi","text":"$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$ https://youtu.be/AO208tCxTE8?si=QbDXw1IzZeNLoyOi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315678239682640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315678457684216,"gmtCreate":1718101272839,"gmtModify":1718101333792,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03690\">$MEITUAN-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=OERjXM5nx4iNBqvt","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03690\">$MEITUAN-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=OERjXM5nx4iNBqvt","text":"$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=OERjXM5nx4iNBqvt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315678457684216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315677717848104,"gmtCreate":1718101181901,"gmtModify":1718101276900,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00101\">$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=xjzkvhcIsrJwz-gQ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00101\">$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$</a>&nbsp; https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=xjzkvhcIsrJwz-gQ","text":"$HANG LUNG PPT(00101)$ https://youtu.be/XCMEHc2AhKM?si=xjzkvhcIsrJwz-gQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315677717848104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987217800,"gmtCreate":1667918828300,"gmtModify":1676537984607,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987217800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987214618,"gmtCreate":1667918756234,"gmtModify":1676537984575,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a> https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a> https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$ https://youtu.be/vHXHwQtT9Zs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987214618","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070991882,"gmtCreate":1656990502646,"gmtModify":1676535928741,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Short tsla","listText":"Short tsla","text":"Short tsla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070991882","repostId":"2248101463","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047091729,"gmtCreate":1656824116561,"gmtModify":1676535900699,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Short hahaha","listText":"Short hahaha","text":"Short hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047091729","repostId":"2248980919","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2248980919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656848586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248980919?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-03 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248980919","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second q","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-03 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248980919","content_text":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053786982,"gmtCreate":1654589054246,"gmtModify":1676535474515,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rubbish","listText":"Rubbish","text":"Rubbish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053786982","repostId":"2241998880","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038759665,"gmtCreate":1646923068591,"gmtModify":1676534177484,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038759665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038759002,"gmtCreate":1646923043352,"gmtModify":1676534177507,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","text":"$JD.com(JD)$https://youtube.com/shorts/aeDU-mZ8DXk?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038759002","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038796562,"gmtCreate":1646910414215,"gmtModify":1676534175960,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09618\">$JD-SW(09618)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09618\">$JD-SW(09618)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","text":"$JD-SW(09618)$https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038796562","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038796872,"gmtCreate":1646910365841,"gmtModify":1676534175951,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","text":"$JD.com(JD)$https://youtube.com/shorts/HaSYpfyz-pA?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038796872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031219533,"gmtCreate":1646578600083,"gmtModify":1676534140776,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031219533","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9031219262,"gmtCreate":1646578582859,"gmtModify":1676534140776,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","text":"$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$https://youtube.com/shorts/lAnUfFQymcE?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9031219262","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9030913683,"gmtCreate":1645600907581,"gmtModify":1676534044470,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/RQf-a4dds8Q?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/RQf-a4dds8Q?feature=share","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$https://youtube.com/shorts/RQf-a4dds8Q?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030913683","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097469537,"gmtCreate":1645534771615,"gmtModify":1676534036679,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3552356306564860","idStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/zNB7FZKK-Qg?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a>https://youtube.com/shorts/zNB7FZKK-Qg?feature=share","text":"$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$https://youtube.com/shorts/zNB7FZKK-Qg?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097469537","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9096632646,"gmtCreate":1644370794371,"gmtModify":1676533918177,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>All in alibaba 9000 shares","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>All in alibaba 9000 shares","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$All in alibaba 9000 shares","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/27124143fdd74cc1ebd83c69641b3830","width":"750","height":"1334"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":683,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9096632646","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"content":"Alibaba will report results 24th feb and my views about it https://youtube.com/shorts/wWbg3ex678c?feature=share","text":"Alibaba will report results 24th feb and my views about it https://youtube.com/shorts/wWbg3ex678c?feature=share","html":"Alibaba will report results 24th feb and my views about it https://youtube.com/shorts/wWbg3ex678c?feature=share"},{"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"content":"I do daily updates including alibaba do feel free check out my youtube totally free and no ads as all short videos https://youtube.com/c/MasterLeong888","text":"I do daily updates including alibaba do feel free check out my youtube totally free and no ads as all short videos https://youtube.com/c/MasterLeong888","html":"I do daily updates including alibaba do feel free check out my youtube totally free and no ads as all short videos https://youtube.com/c/MasterLeong888"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9096671849,"gmtCreate":1644383707144,"gmtModify":1676533919950,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Up 8% in HK market as Softbank dispels all rumors of sellinghttps://youtube.com/shorts/Y6fGcTV85qs?feature=share","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Up 8% in HK market as Softbank dispels all rumors of sellinghttps://youtube.com/shorts/Y6fGcTV85qs?feature=share","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Up 8% in HK market as Softbank dispels all rumors of sellinghttps://youtube.com/shorts/Y6fGcTV85qs?feature=share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9096671849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274778362153","authorId":"3479274778362153","name":"vibzee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea77ccd21d5c1ea016a76d14eaff2fc2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274778362153","authorIdStr":"3479274778362153"},"content":"Alibaba shares are Softbank's best asset. If sold, Softbank is nothing.","text":"Alibaba shares are Softbank's best asset. If sold, Softbank is nothing.","html":"Alibaba shares are Softbank's best asset. If sold, Softbank is nothing."},{"author":{"id":"3479274787036362","authorId":"3479274787036362","name":"huuou","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture129","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274787036362","authorIdStr":"3479274787036362"},"content":"Don't worry. Softbank has long held Alibaba shares, accounting for about 25% of Alibaba's shares. Among them, more than 90% of Softbank is still held for a long time, and only a small part is realized to support the investment of Vision Fund.","text":"Don't worry. Softbank has long held Alibaba shares, accounting for about 25% of Alibaba's shares. Among them, more than 90% of Softbank is still held for a long time, and only a small part is realized to support the investment of Vision Fund.","html":"Don't worry. Softbank has long held Alibaba shares, accounting for about 25% of Alibaba's shares. Among them, more than 90% of Softbank is still held for a long time, and only a small part is realized to support the investment of Vision Fund."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":480263581470896,"gmtCreate":1758275820005,"gmtModify":1758513040896,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","listText":"Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","text":"Green Dragon Lets Go!!! Alibaba and JD have rallied do not fomo do not chase Look at ICBC BOC HDL BYD Still many opportunities in HK market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/480263581470896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090367419885830","authorId":"4090367419885830","name":"MKYEE","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1a9b3ef684fff7e58668281d93462870","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4090367419885830","authorIdStr":"4090367419885830"},"content":"JD back now below $130. [Great]","text":"JD back now below $130. [Great]","html":"JD back now below $130. [Great]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":454620631622328,"gmtCreate":1752028950192,"gmtModify":1752118080644,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","listText":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","text":"I am long both alibaba and jd, huat ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/454620631622328","repostId":"1148381517","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148381517","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1751951700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148381517?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-07-08 13:15","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"China’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148381517","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">Meituan</a> are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.</p><p>As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.</p><h3 id=\"id_4011132819\">Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is Larger</h3><p>According to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.</p><p>However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.</p><blockquote><p>“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><p>Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.</p><h3 id=\"id_1776422778\">Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem Design</h3><p>Historically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.</p><h4 id=\"id_1782128309\">Key shifts include:</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.</p></li><li><p>JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).</p></li><li><p>Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.</p></li></ul><p>This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.</p><h3 id=\"id_1817171619\">Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next Phase</h3><p>Goldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:</p><h4 id=\"id_2824947673\">Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.</p></li><li><p>Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.</p></li><li><p>JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>EBIT per order (FY25E):<br/>• Meituan: RMB 0.7<br/>• Alibaba: RMB –1.9<br/>• JD: RMB –6.2</p></blockquote><h4 id=\"id_820349929\">Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.</p></li><li><p>Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.</p></li></ul><h4 id=\"id_1967875035\">Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.</p></li><li><p>All three maintain meaningful share.</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3662762653\">Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?</h3><h4 id=\"id_3022518170\">Meituan (3690.HK):</h4><p>Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.</p><h4 id=\"id_2142605859\">Alibaba (BABA):</h4><p>Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).</p><h4 id=\"id_930407417\">JD.com (9618.HK):</h4><p>Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.</p><h4 id=\"id_2561869728\">Pinduoduo (PDD):</h4><p>Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.</p><h3 id=\"id_2216242025\">Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff Later</h3><p>Goldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027E</p></li><li><p>GMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channels</p></li><li><p>Re-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><h3 id=\"id_1157871818\">The Front Door of Digital China</h3><p>As the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p>In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s Food Delivery & Instant Retail War: Who Will Emerge Victorious—Alibaba, JD, Meituan or PDD?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-08 13:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">JD.com</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">Meituan</a> are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.</p><p>As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.</p><h3 id=\"id_4011132819\">Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is Larger</h3><p>According to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.</p><p>However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.</p><blockquote><p>“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><p>Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.</p><h3 id=\"id_1776422778\">Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem Design</h3><p>Historically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.</p><h4 id=\"id_1782128309\">Key shifts include:</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.</p></li><li><p>JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).</p></li><li><p>Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.</p></li></ul><p>This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.</p><h3 id=\"id_1817171619\">Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next Phase</h3><p>Goldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:</p><h4 id=\"id_2824947673\">Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.</p></li><li><p>Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.</p></li><li><p>JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>EBIT per order (FY25E):<br/>• Meituan: RMB 0.7<br/>• Alibaba: RMB –1.9<br/>• JD: RMB –6.2</p></blockquote><h4 id=\"id_820349929\">Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.</p></li><li><p>Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.</p></li></ul><h4 id=\"id_1967875035\">Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)</h4><ul style=\"\"><li><p>JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.</p></li><li><p>All three maintain meaningful share.</p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_3662762653\">Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?</h3><h4 id=\"id_3022518170\">Meituan (3690.HK):</h4><p>Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.</p><h4 id=\"id_2142605859\">Alibaba (BABA):</h4><p>Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).</p><h4 id=\"id_930407417\">JD.com (9618.HK):</h4><p>Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.</p><h4 id=\"id_2561869728\">Pinduoduo (PDD):</h4><p>Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.</p><h3 id=\"id_2216242025\">Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff Later</h3><p>Goldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027E</p></li><li><p>GMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channels</p></li><li><p>Re-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”<br/>— Goldman Sachs, July 2025</p></blockquote><h3 id=\"id_1157871818\">The Front Door of Digital China</h3><p>As the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p>In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.</p></blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多","MPNGY":"美团ADR","03690":"美团-W","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148381517","content_text":"China’s leading digital platforms are entering a new era—one defined not by product category leadership but by user frequency and integration. In a landscape once dominated by transaction-based competition, players like Alibaba, JD.com, and Meituan are now locked in a broader race: to become the “everyday app” for Chinese consumers.As outlined in Goldman Sachs’ July 2025 research, this transition is being powered by food delivery and instant commerce—services with the highest user frequency, and therefore, the greatest potential to drive cross-platform engagement and monetization.Market Size Is Large—But Frequency Is LargerAccording to Goldman Sachs, the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for food delivery is projected to reach RMB 2.4 trillion by 2030, while instant commerce will grow to RMB 1.5 trillion, driven by a respective 9% and 18% CAGR from 2024.However, what’s more strategically important is frequency: up to 2–3 transactions per day per user are now occurring within the main shopping apps via food delivery. This is enabling platforms to rethink traffic not as paid advertising, but as recurring utility.“Food delivery today plays the role search ads did a decade ago—it’s the first tap of the day.”— Goldman Sachs, July 2025Platforms are also adopting operational innovations like centralized kitchens (live-monitored kitchens for safety and efficiency) and micro-warehouses, helping to lower costs and improve fulfillment density.Strategic Shift: From Subsidies to Ecosystem DesignHistorically, food delivery was seen as a high-cost, low-margin battleground. But the “everyday app” strategy, as described by Goldman Sachs, reframes it as a customer acquisition engine.Key shifts include:Alibaba consolidating Ele.me and Fliggy into its core Taobao-Tmall Group, leveraging Taobao’s 410M+ DAUs to funnel traffic into daily services.JD.com using food delivery to replace expensive digital marketing, with 40% of new users from food delivery converting into JD eCommerce buyers (p.35; Exhibit 14).Meituan investing in Instashopping and closing unprofitable Meituan Select to focus on margin-accretive categories.This convergence has blurred the boundaries between shopping, services, and logistics, enabling integrated app experiences that meet consumer needs across the day.Competitive Landscape: Three Scenarios for the Next PhaseGoldman Sachs outlines three potential mid-term outcomes based on current order volume trends and strategic investments:Scenario 1 (Base Case – 5.5:3.5:1 Market Share)Meituan maintains dominance (90M daily orders), leveraging scale, algorithmic routing, and supply chain edge.Alibaba surges to 60–80M orders.JD stabilizes at 20M with limited user density.EBIT per order (FY25E):• Meituan: RMB 0.7• Alibaba: RMB –1.9• JD: RMB –6.2Scenario 2 (Duopoly – 4.5:4.5:1)Alibaba’s sustained RMB 50B investment closes the gap with Meituan.Market tilts to a duopoly; JD remains distant.Scenario 3 (Fragmented – 5:3:2)JD improves merchant coverage and rider operations.All three maintain meaningful share.Platform Implications: Who Gains, Who Hurts?Meituan (3690.HK):Despite short-term EBIT pressures (–RMB 25B expected loss), it remains the scale leader, benefiting from centralized kitchens (“Raccoon Kitchen”) and robust Instashopping growth. Profit recovery is expected post-2026E as competition normalizes.Alibaba (BABA):Faced with short-term profit declines in core eCommerce due to subsidies, but backed by traffic synergy, and upside from Alibaba Cloud (projected 20% YoY revenue growth with 9% EBIT margin in FY26E).JD.com (9618.HK):Still the most under-appreciated turnaround, per Goldman Sachs. Food delivery is expected to drive DAU expansion and re-accelerate profitability from 2026 onward.Pinduoduo (PDD):Not actively participating in food delivery, but benefiting from Meituan Select’s exit. Duo Duo Grocery gains share with strong cost efficiency, while Temu revamp may unlock international upside.Investment Outlook: Pain Now, Payoff LaterGoldman Sachs forecasts peak food delivery losses in Q3 2025 due to seasonal volume (beverage demand) and promotional intensity. However, platforms are reframing these as CAC investments, expecting:Alibaba/JD food delivery to reach breakeven or modest profit by 2027EGMV margins to rise, as food delivery displaces inefficient ad channelsRe-rating potential, especially for JD and Alibaba (current P/E: JD at 11x FY25E, Alibaba at 12x FY26E)“We expect 2H25 to mark a possible inflection point for eCommerce platform share prices.”— Goldman Sachs, July 2025The Front Door of Digital ChinaAs the Goldman Sachs report emphasizes, food delivery is no longer a standalone vertical—it is a gateway. Platforms that master hyperlocal fulfillment, frequency-based traffic, and cross-category conversion will be best positioned to become China’s next-generation digital infrastructure.In the battle to be the everyday app, the winners will be those who serve not just what users want—but when and how they want it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":1.1,"09988":1.1,"PDD":1.1,"09618":1.1,"03690":1.1,"BABA":1.1,"MPNGY":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315678239682640,"gmtCreate":1718101330520,"gmtModify":1718101642104,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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https://youtu.be/AO208tCxTE8?si=QbDXw1IzZeNLoyOi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315678239682640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108444957,"gmtCreate":1620051280979,"gmtModify":1704337934482,"author":{"id":"3552356306564860","authorId":"3552356306564860","name":"Labubu888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/49490f996fb242d5f152a222f52220ff","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3552356306564860","authorIdStr":"3552356306564860"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All in china techBaba tencent jd","listText":"All in china techBaba tencent jd","text":"All in china techBaba tencent 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