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2022-11-28
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Weekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a "surprise"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book
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07:21","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Weekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128751495","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将于次日凌晨2:30发表讲话。截至11月26日当周初请失业金人数亦将公布。美联储还将于当日发布褐皮书。此外，2023年FOMC票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根，美联储理事丽莎·库克，美联储理事鲍曼将于当日发表讲话。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major events this week (November 28-December 2):</b></p><p><b>Financial events</b>Led by Powell, several Federal Reserve officials delivered a series of speeches ahead of the December silence period, and the Fed released its Beige Book.<b>Regarding economic data,</b>Several important economic data points will be released this week. Data such as the US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and November unemployment rate, the US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, the US November ADP employment numbers, the Conference Board consumer confidence index, the number of initial jobless claims for the week, the US EIA crude oil inventories/strategic petroleum reserve inventories for the week, China's November manufacturing PMI, and the November Caixin manufacturing PMI have been released one after another.<b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The financial report will be released later;<b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b744f4ba4cda49ac1eb8ec01ceb0cad3\" tg-width=\"2059\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Keywords for Monday, November 28th: Dallas Fed Business Activity Index, Pinduoduo releases earnings report.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360 Digital</a>-S announces lottery results</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdcfd1e90d2aec33df680bf26ce30d8c\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, investors can focus on the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index.</b>The previous value of this data was below 0 points, which to some extent means that the US economy is in recession territory and that the recession is likely to deepen further.</p><p><b>Regarding economic events,</b>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will deliver an introductory speech at a hearing of the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b>Key attention should be paid to the pre-market release of US stocks on November 28th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Financial report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600109\">Guojin Securities</a>Pinduoduo is projected to report revenue of 30.9 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 44%, and its Non-GAAP profit margin for Q3 is expected to be approximately 23%. The bank stated that Pinduoduo's high-cost-performance platform characteristics are attracting more merchants and consumers in a weak consumption environment. In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01179.HK\">Huazhu Group-S</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">Alibaba Health</a>The financial report will be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b>Fintech platform<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>The lottery results will be announced. The company previously announced that 1.38 million shares were subscribed for in Hong Kong on the retail side, representing an oversubscription of 2.47 times.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, November 29th: Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, New York Fed President<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Speaking with St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard, Bilibili releases financial report</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27890e43932f31743891af5449365e2\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"881\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>On Tuesday, regarding economic data</b>Investors should pay close attention to this.<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November</b>This index is a leading indicator of U.S. consumers' willingness to consume goods and services, reflecting the performance of the economy.</p><p>The Conference Board's October consumer confidence index came in at 102.5, the lowest reading since August, significantly lower than the market's previous expectation of 105.9, and down 5.3 points from 107.8 the previous month. In a report, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, wrote that the confidence index fell in October after rising in August and September, indicating that economic growth began to slow in the fourth quarter. In addition, two important indicators of the US real estate industry—<b>U.S. September S&P/CS20 Major City Home Price Index Annual Rate</b>and<b>US September FHFA Home Price Index Month-on-Month Rate</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index, industrial sentiment index, and consumer confidence index will also be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>follow<b>New York Fed President Williams</b>and<b>St. Louis Fed President Bullard</b>In their speeches, both Fed officials were voting members this year.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">Bilibili-W</a>/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>The third quarter 2022 financial results will be released on the same day, and the earnings conference call will be held at 20:00 Beijing time on Tuesday, November 29, 2022.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>A technical opinion report was released, pointing out that the market generally believes that Bilibili's game and advertising revenue in the second half of the year and next year is too high, and that there are potential balance sheet risks in 2024. The bank gave it a target price of $11 for US stocks and a rating of \"in line with the market\". In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS Zhipin</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Happy Gathering</a>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01060\">Ali Pictures</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09991\">Baozun E-commerce - W</a>Financial reports will be released.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>It will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, November 30th: US November ADP employment figures, US core PCE price index annualized rate revision, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week, China's official manufacturing PMI, XPeng Motor Company earnings report.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/273b0a86a773f36b88f9164beaeb69c4\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Wednesday, regarding economic data</b>Known as the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" section<b>November ADP employment data</b>It will be announced, and<b>JOLTs Job Vacancies</b>It will also be announced on the same day. These data have some predictive effect on the non-farm payroll data released on Friday, and investors should pay attention to them.</p><p>The ADP employment data for October was generally strong. ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said that given the maturity of the economic recovery, it was a very strong employment data, but at the same time, hiring activity was not widespread. He also stated that while early signs of Federal Reserve-driven demand disruption are being seen, it is only affecting certain areas of the labor market. In addition,<b>EIA crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory</b>、<b>API crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>Revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the third quarter</b>、<b>US Q3 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarterly Rate Revision</b>、<b>November Chicago PMI</b>Economic data will also be released.</p><p>In China, investors need to pay attention to<b>November Official Manufacturing PMI</b>。</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at 2:30 a.m. the following day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02390\">Zhihu-W</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02423\">Shell-W</a>Release financial reports.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, December 1st: US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, initial jobless claims for the week, China's November Caixin manufacturing PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on the US economic outlook and job market.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a45c82e82f6627db6f607997c5b9b1c\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"1209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Thursday, regarding economic data</b>Investors need to pay close attention.<b>US October PCE data</b>This is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator.</p><p>The U.S. core PCE price index rose 5.1% year-on-year in September, lower than the expected 5.20%, but higher than the previous value of 4.9%. The core PCE price index rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, in line with market expectations. As of<b>Number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 26</b>It will also be announced.</p><p>In the week ending November 19, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States was 240,000, compared with the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 223,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States rose more than expected to a three-month high, a sign of a cooling labor market. In addition,<b>US personal spending month-on-month rate in October</b>、<b>November<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>Final Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>November ISM Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>Number of layoffs at challenger companies in November</b>Economic data will be released on the same day.</p><p>In China,<b>November Caixin Manufacturing PMI</b>It will be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell</b>Powell will deliver a speech on the U.S. economic outlook and the job market. The market believes that Powell's speech may solidify market expectations regarding the size of the potential interest rate hike announced after the December policy meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will also release information on the same day.<b>Brown Book</b>。</p><p>The Beige Book is a report on the economic conditions of the 12 Federal Reserve regions of the United States over a certain period of time, depicting the economic trends and challenges facing the United States. The report is published eight times a year, two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.</p><p>In addition,<b>Logan, 2023 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman</b>He will deliver a speech on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on November 30th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">Bank of Montreal</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DG\">Dale Company, USA</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The earnings report will be released before the market closes on December 1st, Eastern Time.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, December 2nd: US November unemployment rate, US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29d4b46f8941239d90a646e8b1fe80f\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Friday, economic data will focus on seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in November and the U.S. unemployment rate in November.</b>。</p><p>The U.S. added more non-farm payrolls in October than expected, indicating that the labor market remains strong. Non-farm payrolls increased by 261,000 in October, a decrease from the previous month, but still not low. At the same time, the employment report also raised the previous revision of non-farm payrolls for September to 315,000 (original value 263,000). Although the August data was lowered, the total number of new jobs in August and September was 29,000 higher than the previous report. The market currently expects the non-farm payrolls figure to increase by 200,000 in November, lower than the previous reading of 261,000. The unemployment rate was 3.8% in November, slightly higher than 3.7%. In terms of financial reports, EHang, a manufacturer of autonomous vehicles,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$(EH)$</a>The earnings report will be released before the market opens on December 2nd, Eastern Time.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-11-28 07:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major events this week (November 28-December 2):</b></p><p><b>Financial events</b>Led by Powell, several Federal Reserve officials delivered a series of speeches ahead of the December silence period, and the Fed released its Beige Book.<b>Regarding economic data,</b>Several important economic data points will be released this week. Data such as the US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and November unemployment rate, the US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, the US November ADP employment numbers, the Conference Board consumer confidence index, the number of initial jobless claims for the week, the US EIA crude oil inventories/strategic petroleum reserve inventories for the week, China's November manufacturing PMI, and the November Caixin manufacturing PMI have been released one after another.<b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The financial report will be released later;<b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b744f4ba4cda49ac1eb8ec01ceb0cad3\" tg-width=\"2059\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Keywords for Monday, November 28th: Dallas Fed Business Activity Index, Pinduoduo releases earnings report.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360 Digital</a>-S announces lottery results</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdcfd1e90d2aec33df680bf26ce30d8c\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, investors can focus on the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index.</b>The previous value of this data was below 0 points, which to some extent means that the US economy is in recession territory and that the recession is likely to deepen further.</p><p><b>Regarding economic events,</b>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will deliver an introductory speech at a hearing of the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b>Key attention should be paid to the pre-market release of US stocks on November 28th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Financial report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600109\">Guojin Securities</a>Pinduoduo is projected to report revenue of 30.9 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 44%, and its Non-GAAP profit margin for Q3 is expected to be approximately 23%. The bank stated that Pinduoduo's high-cost-performance platform characteristics are attracting more merchants and consumers in a weak consumption environment. In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01179.HK\">Huazhu Group-S</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">Alibaba Health</a>The financial report will be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b>Fintech platform<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>The lottery results will be announced. The company previously announced that 1.38 million shares were subscribed for in Hong Kong on the retail side, representing an oversubscription of 2.47 times.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, November 29th: Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, New York Fed President<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Speaking with St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard, Bilibili releases financial report</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27890e43932f31743891af5449365e2\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"881\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>On Tuesday, regarding economic data</b>Investors should pay close attention to this.<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November</b>This index is a leading indicator of U.S. consumers' willingness to consume goods and services, reflecting the performance of the economy.</p><p>The Conference Board's October consumer confidence index came in at 102.5, the lowest reading since August, significantly lower than the market's previous expectation of 105.9, and down 5.3 points from 107.8 the previous month. In a report, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, wrote that the confidence index fell in October after rising in August and September, indicating that economic growth began to slow in the fourth quarter. In addition, two important indicators of the US real estate industry—<b>U.S. September S&P/CS20 Major City Home Price Index Annual Rate</b>and<b>US September FHFA Home Price Index Month-on-Month Rate</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index, industrial sentiment index, and consumer confidence index will also be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>follow<b>New York Fed President Williams</b>and<b>St. Louis Fed President Bullard</b>In their speeches, both Fed officials were voting members this year.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">Bilibili-W</a>/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>The third quarter 2022 financial results will be released on the same day, and the earnings conference call will be held at 20:00 Beijing time on Tuesday, November 29, 2022.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>A technical opinion report was released, pointing out that the market generally believes that Bilibili's game and advertising revenue in the second half of the year and next year is too high, and that there are potential balance sheet risks in 2024. The bank gave it a target price of $11 for US stocks and a rating of \"in line with the market\". In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS Zhipin</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Happy Gathering</a>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01060\">Ali Pictures</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09991\">Baozun E-commerce - W</a>Financial reports will be released.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>It will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, November 30th: US November ADP employment figures, US core PCE price index annualized rate revision, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week, China's official manufacturing PMI, XPeng Motor Company earnings report.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/273b0a86a773f36b88f9164beaeb69c4\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Wednesday, regarding economic data</b>Known as the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" section<b>November ADP employment data</b>It will be announced, and<b>JOLTs Job Vacancies</b>It will also be announced on the same day. These data have some predictive effect on the non-farm payroll data released on Friday, and investors should pay attention to them.</p><p>The ADP employment data for October was generally strong. ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said that given the maturity of the economic recovery, it was a very strong employment data, but at the same time, hiring activity was not widespread. He also stated that while early signs of Federal Reserve-driven demand disruption are being seen, it is only affecting certain areas of the labor market. In addition,<b>EIA crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory</b>、<b>API crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>Revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the third quarter</b>、<b>US Q3 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarterly Rate Revision</b>、<b>November Chicago PMI</b>Economic data will also be released.</p><p>In China, investors need to pay attention to<b>November Official Manufacturing PMI</b>。</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at 2:30 a.m. the following day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02390\">Zhihu-W</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02423\">Shell-W</a>Release financial reports.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, December 1st: US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, initial jobless claims for the week, China's November Caixin manufacturing PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on the US economic outlook and job market.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a45c82e82f6627db6f607997c5b9b1c\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"1209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Thursday, regarding economic data</b>Investors need to pay close attention.<b>US October PCE data</b>This is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator.</p><p>The U.S. core PCE price index rose 5.1% year-on-year in September, lower than the expected 5.20%, but higher than the previous value of 4.9%. The core PCE price index rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, in line with market expectations. As of<b>Number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 26</b>It will also be announced.</p><p>In the week ending November 19, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States was 240,000, compared with the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 223,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States rose more than expected to a three-month high, a sign of a cooling labor market. In addition,<b>US personal spending month-on-month rate in October</b>、<b>November<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>Final Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>November ISM Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>Number of layoffs at challenger companies in November</b>Economic data will be released on the same day.</p><p>In China,<b>November Caixin Manufacturing PMI</b>It will be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell</b>Powell will deliver a speech on the U.S. economic outlook and the job market. The market believes that Powell's speech may solidify market expectations regarding the size of the potential interest rate hike announced after the December policy meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will also release information on the same day.<b>Brown Book</b>。</p><p>The Beige Book is a report on the economic conditions of the 12 Federal Reserve regions of the United States over a certain period of time, depicting the economic trends and challenges facing the United States. The report is published eight times a year, two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.</p><p>In addition,<b>Logan, 2023 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman</b>He will deliver a speech on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on November 30th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">Bank of Montreal</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DG\">Dale Company, USA</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The earnings report will be released before the market closes on December 1st, Eastern Time.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, December 2nd: US November unemployment rate, US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29d4b46f8941239d90a646e8b1fe80f\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Friday, economic data will focus on seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in November and the U.S. unemployment rate in November.</b>。</p><p>The U.S. added more non-farm payrolls in October than expected, indicating that the labor market remains strong. Non-farm payrolls increased by 261,000 in October, a decrease from the previous month, but still not low. At the same time, the employment report also raised the previous revision of non-farm payrolls for September to 315,000 (original value 263,000). Although the August data was lowered, the total number of new jobs in August and September was 29,000 higher than the previous report. The market currently expects the non-farm payrolls figure to increase by 200,000 in November, lower than the previous reading of 261,000. The unemployment rate was 3.8% in November, slightly higher than 3.7%. In terms of financial reports, EHang, a manufacturer of autonomous vehicles,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$(EH)$</a>The earnings report will be released before the market opens on December 2nd, Eastern Time.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46744ceebcd5f9f6cbe09f85295d7cfe","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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周二关键词：美国谘商会消费者信心指数、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德讲话、哔哩哔哩发布财报周二，经济数据方面，投资者可重点关注11月美国谘商会消费者信心指数，这一指数是衡量美国消费者消费商品和服务的意愿的领先指标，反映经济的运行情况。美国谘商会公布的10月消费者信心指数录得102.5，为8月以来的最低读数，显著不及市场此前预期的105.9，较上月的107.8下跌了5.3个点。谘商会经济指标高级主管Lynn Franco在报告中写道，信心指数在8月和9月上升后，在10月回落，表明经济增长在第四季度开始放缓。此外，美国房地产行业的两项重要指标——美国9月S&P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率和美国9月FHFA房价指数月率，以及欧元区经济景气指数、工业景气指数、消费者信心指数将于同日公布。财经事件方面，关注纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德发表的讲话，两位联储官员都是今年的票委。财报方面，哔哩哔哩-W/哔哩哔哩将于当日公布2022年第三季度财报，业绩电话会议将在北京时间2022年11月29日（星期二）20:00召开。摩根士丹利发表技术意见报告，指出市场普遍认为哔哩哔哩下半年和明年的游戏和广告收入过高，并在2024年存在潜在资产负债表风险。该行予其美股目标价11美元，评级为“与大市同步”。此外，BOSS直聘、欢聚，阿里影业、宝尊电商-W将发布财报。新股方面，360数科-S将登陆港交所。11月30日 周三关键词：美国11月ADP就业人数、美国核心PCE物价指数年率修正值、美国第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国当周EIA原油库存、中国官方制造业PMI、小鹏汽车财报周三，经济数据方面，有小非农之称的11月ADP就业数据将公布，而JOLTs职位空缺数也将于同日公布。这些数据对于周五公布的非农数据有一定预示作用，投资者可关注。10月ADP就业数据总体表现强劲，ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson表示，鉴于经济复苏的成熟程度，这是一个非常强劲的就业数据，但同时招聘活动并不广泛。他还表示，虽然看到了美联储驱动的需求破坏的早期迹象，但它只影响到劳动力市场的某些领域。此外，当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存、当周API原油库存、第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国第三季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率修正值、11月芝加哥PMI等经济数据亦将公布。中国方面，投资者需要关注11月官方制造业PMI。财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将于次日凌晨2:30发表讲话。财报方面，加拿大皇家银行、小鹏汽车、知乎-W、贝壳-W发布财报。12月1日 周四关键词：美国10月核心PCE物价指数年率/月率、当周初请失业金人数、中国11月财新制造业PMI、美联储主席鲍威尔就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话周四，经济数据方面，投资者需密切关注美国10月PCE数据，这是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。美国9月核心PCE物价指数年率录得5.1%，低于预期的5.20%，但高于前值的4.9%，9月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.5%，符合市场预期。截至11月26日当周初请失业金人数亦将公布。截至11月19日当周，美国初请失业金人数为24万，预期为22.5万人，前值为22.3万人。美国初请失业金人数增长超过预期，达到3个月来的高点，这是劳动力市场降温的一个迹象。此外，美国10月个人支出月率、11月Markit制造业PMI终值、11月ISM制造业PMI、11月挑战者企业裁员人数等经济数据将于当日公布。中国方面，11月财新制造业PMI将于当日公布。财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话，市场认为，鲍威尔的讲话可能会巩固市场对12月政策会议后宣布的利率可能上调的规模的预期。美联储还将于当日发布褐皮书。褐皮书是美国12个联储地区在一定时段经济状况的报告，描绘了美国的经济趋势和所面临的挑战。该报告每年公布8次，公布时间为联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议的两周前。此外，2023年FOMC票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根，美联储理事丽莎·库克，美联储理事鲍曼将于当日发表讲话。财报方面，Snowflake、赛富时将于美东时间11月30日盘后公布财报，蒙特利尔银行、美国达乐公司、克罗格将于美东时间12月1日盘前公布财报。12月2日 周五关键词：美国11月失业率、美国季调后非农就业人口周五，经济数据重点关注11月季调后非农就业人口和美国11月失业率。美国10月新增非农就业超预期，显示劳动力市场仍很强劲。10月新增非农就业26.1万人，虽较上月下降，但水平仍然不低。与此同时，就业报告还上调了此前9月非农就业至31.5万人（原值26.3万），虽然下调了8月数据，但8、9两月新增就业人数的总和要比此前报告高出2.9万人。目前市场预期11月非农增加20万，低于26.1万的前值；11月失业率为3.8%，略高于3.7%。财报方面，自动驾驶飞行器制造商$亿航智能$(EH)$将于美东时间12月2日盘前发布财报。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MGCmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"SImain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":663368191,"gmtCreate":1662945320716,"gmtModify":1676537168332,"author":{"id":"3549429515257467","authorId":"3549429515257467","name":"熙熙999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3f81fe1ffbc68bb9cafbc1cabc37b76","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549429515257467","authorIdStr":"3549429515257467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🇦🇿🇦🇿","listText":"🇦🇿🇦🇿","text":"🇦🇿🇦🇿","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/663368191","repostId":"1143843528","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1143843528","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662938251,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143843528?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-12 07:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Weekly Preview | The Federal Reserve officially enters a period of silence! Market focuses on US CPI data","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143843528","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"本周（9.12-9.16）重磅财经事件：经济数据方面，欧元区9月ZEW经济景气指数，美国8月CPI数据，美国当周初请失业金人数、被称为“恐怖数据”的零售销售数据等将陆续公布。央行动态方面，美联储正式进","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major financial events this week (September 12-16):</b></p><p>In terms of economic data, the Eurozone September ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, the US August CPI data, the number of initial jobless claims in the US that week, and the retail sales data, known as \"terrifying data,\" will be released successively. Regarding central bank developments, the Federal Reserve has officially entered a period of silence. The Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate meeting on September 21-22. According to regulations, the Fed will enter a period of silence for 10 days prior to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and Fed officials are prohibited from continuing to speak out about monetary policy. In terms of financial reports, this week was generally quiet, with Oracle and Adobe among the companies worth paying attention to. In terms of new listings, Dingdang Health, a pioneer and leader in digital healthcare services in China, is about to go public.<b>Keywords for Monday, September 12th: Fed silence period, Hong Kong stock market closed for one day</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519cffd4c0e0eaa80c66c5a2240a1f06\" tg-width=\"1390\" tg-height=\"994\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, economic data was relatively lackluster, Hong Kong stocks were closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival, and US stocks traded normally.</b></p><p><b>It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve also officially entered a period of silence this week.</b>The Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate meeting on September 21-22. According to regulations, the Fed will enter a period of silence for 10 days prior to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and Fed officials are prohibited from continuing to speak out about monetary policy.</p><p>Judging from recent statements by Federal Reserve officials, including Powell, they have made virtually no attempt to reverse market expectations that the Fed will rate hike by 75 basis points for the third consecutive time. Powell's final major statement before the September policy meeting continued his hawkish rhetoric, reiterated his determination to fight inflation, and stated that rate hike would continue until the fight against inflation was successfully completed.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, September 13th: US August CPI data, Oracle earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83809386f5c1bdcd55976283573f8421\" tg-width=\"1362\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Tuesday, the Eurozone's September ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will be released, and it is expected to remain at a low level.</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index fell to 97.6 in August from 99 the previous month, the lowest level in 19 months, and also below the expected 98. The reason is that record-breaking inflation and limited energy supply have brought the economy to the brink of recession.</p><p><b>In addition, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August.</b></p><p>On a monthly basis, the CPI is expected to decline by 0.1%, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, is expected to remain unchanged at 0.3%. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policymakers did not confirm the September rate hike of 75 basis points, and the weak inflation report could increase the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points. In this case, U.S. Treasury Bond yields could fall sharply and trigger a decisive rebound in gold prices. On the other hand, if the CPI data is stronger than expected, it may solidify rate hike’s decision of 75 basis points.</p><p>However, it is worth noting that the market has already leaned towards a significant rate hike, indicating that the potential gains for the US dollar may still be limited. Previously, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that lower gasoline prices might ease overall consumer price inflation in August, but the inflation outlook remains highly uncertain.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle bone script</a><b>Earnings reports will be released after the US stock market closes on Monday.</b>Analysts generally expect Oracle's earnings per share to be $1.07.</p><p><b>Wednesday, September 14th Keywords: Dingdang Health IPO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9988025e5882645c20fe374903ce3f6\" tg-width=\"1365\" tg-height=\"885\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, economic data was relatively lackluster, and investors should pay attention to the US PPI month-on-month rate.</p><p><b>In terms of new listings, Hong Kong stocks</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09886\">Dingdang Health</a><b>It will be listed today.</b></p><p>According to the Frost & Sullivan Report, Dingdang Health is the leading service provider in China's digital retail pharmacy industry based on 2021 revenue, ranking third in the industry with a market share of 1.0%, while the first and second largest service providers in China's digital retail pharmacy industry based on 2021 revenue had market shares of 10.0% and 6.5%, respectively. According to a Frost & Sullivan report, Dingdang Health is the largest product and service provider in China's instant home delivery digital pharmacy industry by revenue in 2021, with a market share of 6.8%.<b>Keywords for Thursday, September 15th: US initial jobless claims for the week, US August retail sales data</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8062868314f41ec78b52e82c2290968f\" tg-width=\"1367\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week will be released on Thursday, and the data is expected to continue to decline.</b></p><p>Data released last week by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 3 were 222,000, falling for the fourth consecutive week to the lowest level since May, compared to 228,000 in the previous week and 240,000 expected. This suggests that despite the uncertain economic outlook, demand for workers remains healthy.</p><p><b>In addition, investors should also pay attention to the US retail sales data for August, which is known as \"horror data\".</b>This data will be an important indicator of how consumers perform after the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate hikes.</p><p><b>In terms of economic events, 600 billion yuan of 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) matured today, while 2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured.</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, September 16th: Eurozone CPI data, US consumer confidence index, Adobe earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802250e6f4f6c48642d34cc40075eea6\" tg-width=\"1361\" tg-height=\"714\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>The final reading of the Eurozone's August harmonized CPI annual rate (unseasonally adjusted) will be released on Friday.</b>The current expected value is 9.1%, the same as the previous value. Previously, the European Central Bank held a monetary policy meeting and announced a 75 basis point increase in its three key interest rates, which will take effect on September 14. The European Central Bank stated that the current inflation rate remains too high and expects further rate hike to be implemented to curb inflation.</p><p><b>In addition, the University of Michigan will release its September consumer confidence index.</b>The general expectation is 59.3, about 1 percentage point higher than 58.2 in August. The Federal Reserve will closely monitor consumer inflation expectations from the survey.</p><p><b>In terms of earnings reports, US stocks closed after trading on Thursday.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a><b>Financial reports will be released.</b></p><p><b>Further reading:</b></p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2266368064\" target=\"_blank\">The Federal Reserve's rate hike balance is entirely leaning towards 75 basis points. How far can the oversold rebound in US stocks go?</a></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weekly Preview | The Federal Reserve officially enters a period of silence! 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Market focuses on US CPI data\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-09-12 07:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major financial events this week (September 12-16):</b></p><p>In terms of economic data, the Eurozone September ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, the US August CPI data, the number of initial jobless claims in the US that week, and the retail sales data, known as \"terrifying data,\" will be released successively. Regarding central bank developments, the Federal Reserve has officially entered a period of silence. The Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate meeting on September 21-22. According to regulations, the Fed will enter a period of silence for 10 days prior to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and Fed officials are prohibited from continuing to speak out about monetary policy. In terms of financial reports, this week was generally quiet, with Oracle and Adobe among the companies worth paying attention to. In terms of new listings, Dingdang Health, a pioneer and leader in digital healthcare services in China, is about to go public.<b>Keywords for Monday, September 12th: Fed silence period, Hong Kong stock market closed for one day</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519cffd4c0e0eaa80c66c5a2240a1f06\" tg-width=\"1390\" tg-height=\"994\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, economic data was relatively lackluster, Hong Kong stocks were closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival, and US stocks traded normally.</b></p><p><b>It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve also officially entered a period of silence this week.</b>The Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate meeting on September 21-22. According to regulations, the Fed will enter a period of silence for 10 days prior to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and Fed officials are prohibited from continuing to speak out about monetary policy.</p><p>Judging from recent statements by Federal Reserve officials, including Powell, they have made virtually no attempt to reverse market expectations that the Fed will rate hike by 75 basis points for the third consecutive time. Powell's final major statement before the September policy meeting continued his hawkish rhetoric, reiterated his determination to fight inflation, and stated that rate hike would continue until the fight against inflation was successfully completed.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, September 13th: US August CPI data, Oracle earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83809386f5c1bdcd55976283573f8421\" tg-width=\"1362\" tg-height=\"592\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Tuesday, the Eurozone's September ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will be released, and it is expected to remain at a low level.</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index fell to 97.6 in August from 99 the previous month, the lowest level in 19 months, and also below the expected 98. The reason is that record-breaking inflation and limited energy supply have brought the economy to the brink of recession.</p><p><b>In addition, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August.</b></p><p>On a monthly basis, the CPI is expected to decline by 0.1%, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, is expected to remain unchanged at 0.3%. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policymakers did not confirm the September rate hike of 75 basis points, and the weak inflation report could increase the probability of rate hike reaching 50 basis points. In this case, U.S. Treasury Bond yields could fall sharply and trigger a decisive rebound in gold prices. On the other hand, if the CPI data is stronger than expected, it may solidify rate hike’s decision of 75 basis points.</p><p>However, it is worth noting that the market has already leaned towards a significant rate hike, indicating that the potential gains for the US dollar may still be limited. Previously, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that lower gasoline prices might ease overall consumer price inflation in August, but the inflation outlook remains highly uncertain.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle bone script</a><b>Earnings reports will be released after the US stock market closes on Monday.</b>Analysts generally expect Oracle's earnings per share to be $1.07.</p><p><b>Wednesday, September 14th Keywords: Dingdang Health IPO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9988025e5882645c20fe374903ce3f6\" tg-width=\"1365\" tg-height=\"885\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>On Wednesday, economic data was relatively lackluster, and investors should pay attention to the US PPI month-on-month rate.</p><p><b>In terms of new listings, Hong Kong stocks</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09886\">Dingdang Health</a><b>It will be listed today.</b></p><p>According to the Frost & Sullivan Report, Dingdang Health is the leading service provider in China's digital retail pharmacy industry based on 2021 revenue, ranking third in the industry with a market share of 1.0%, while the first and second largest service providers in China's digital retail pharmacy industry based on 2021 revenue had market shares of 10.0% and 6.5%, respectively. According to a Frost & Sullivan report, Dingdang Health is the largest product and service provider in China's instant home delivery digital pharmacy industry by revenue in 2021, with a market share of 6.8%.<b>Keywords for Thursday, September 15th: US initial jobless claims for the week, US August retail sales data</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8062868314f41ec78b52e82c2290968f\" tg-width=\"1367\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week will be released on Thursday, and the data is expected to continue to decline.</b></p><p>Data released last week by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 3 were 222,000, falling for the fourth consecutive week to the lowest level since May, compared to 228,000 in the previous week and 240,000 expected. This suggests that despite the uncertain economic outlook, demand for workers remains healthy.</p><p><b>In addition, investors should also pay attention to the US retail sales data for August, which is known as \"horror data\".</b>This data will be an important indicator of how consumers perform after the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate hikes.</p><p><b>In terms of economic events, 600 billion yuan of 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) matured today, while 2 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured.</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, September 16th: Eurozone CPI data, US consumer confidence index, Adobe earnings report</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802250e6f4f6c48642d34cc40075eea6\" tg-width=\"1361\" tg-height=\"714\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>The final reading of the Eurozone's August harmonized CPI annual rate (unseasonally adjusted) will be released on Friday.</b>The current expected value is 9.1%, the same as the previous value. Previously, the European Central Bank held a monetary policy meeting and announced a 75 basis point increase in its three key interest rates, which will take effect on September 14. The European Central Bank stated that the current inflation rate remains too high and expects further rate hike to be implemented to curb inflation.</p><p><b>In addition, the University of Michigan will release its September consumer confidence index.</b>The general expectation is 59.3, about 1 percentage point higher than 58.2 in August. The Federal Reserve will closely monitor consumer inflation expectations from the survey.</p><p><b>In terms of earnings reports, US stocks closed after trading on Thursday.</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a><b>Financial reports will be released.</b></p><p><b>Further reading:</b></p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2266368064\" target=\"_blank\">The Federal Reserve's rate hike balance is entirely leaning towards 75 basis points. How far can the oversold rebound in US stocks go?</a></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb8d19d3e08337f29cab892fefc4ecea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143843528","content_text":"本周（9.12-9.16）重磅财经事件：经济数据方面，欧元区9月ZEW经济景气指数，美国8月CPI数据，美国当周初请失业金人数、被称为“恐怖数据”的零售销售数据等将陆续公布。央行动态方面，美联储正式进入噤声期。美联储将于9月21日-9月22日召开议息会议，按照规定，在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）召开会议之前的10天内，美联储将进入噤声期，联储官员被禁止继续对外界就货币政策观点发声。财报方面，本周整体较为清淡，值得关注的有甲骨文、Adobe等。新股方面，中国数字医疗健康到家服务的先驱及领导者叮当健康即将上市。9月12日 周一关键词：美联储噤声期、港股休市一日周一，经济数据较平淡，港股因中秋节休市一日，美股正常交易。值得注意的是，本周美联储也正式进入噤声期。美联储将于9月21日-9月22日召开议息会议，按照规定，在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）召开会议之前的10天内，美联储将进入噤声期，联储官员被禁止继续对外界就货币政策观点发声。而从近期包括鲍威尔等美联储官员的表态来看，他们基本没有任何尝试扭转市场对美联储将连续第三次加息75个基点的预期。鲍威尔9月议息会议前最后的重磅表态，继续坚持鹰派言论，重申抗通胀决心，表示要继续加息直到抗击通胀大功告成。9月13日 周二关键词：美国8月CPI数据、甲骨文财报周二，欧元区9月ZEW经济景气指数将公布，料继续维持低位。欧元区8月经济景气指数从上月的99降至97.6，创下19个月以来的最低水平，也低于预期的98。原因是通胀屡破纪录以及能源供应受限，使经济濒临衰退。此外，美国劳工统计局将发布8月份消费者价格指数(CPI)数据。按月计算，CPI预计将下降0.1%，剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将保持在0.3%不变。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)政策制定者没有确认9月加息75个基点，疲弱的通胀报告可能导致加息50个基点的概率上升，在这种情况下，美国国债收益率可能会大幅下跌，并引发金价的决定性反弹。另一方面，如果CPI数据强于预期可能巩固加息75个基点的决定。但值得注意的是，市场已经倾向于大幅加息，这表明美元的潜在涨幅可能仍然有限。此前，美国财政部长耶伦表示，汽油价格下降可能会缓解8月份的整体消费价格通胀，但通胀前景仍存在很大的不确定性。财报方面，甲骨文将于周一美股盘后公布财报。分析师普遍预计，甲骨文每股收益将为1.07美元。9月14日 周三关键词：叮当健康上市周三，经济数据较为平淡，投资者可关注美国PPI月率。新股方面，港股叮当健康将于本日上市。根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，按2021年收入计，叮当健康为在中国数字零售药房行业处于领先地位的服务提供商，在该行业中排名第三，市场份额为1.0%，而按2021年收入计中国数字零售药房行业排名第一和第二的服务提供商的市场份额分别为10.0%及6.5%。根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，按2021年收入计，叮当健康是中国即时到家数字药房行业最大的产品及服务提供商，市场份额达6.8%。9月15日 周四关键词：美国当周初请失业金、美国8月零售销售数据周四将公布美国当周初请失业金人数，该数据有望继续下滑。上周美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国至9月3日当周初请失业金人数为22.2万，连续第四周下降至5月以来的最低水平，前值为22.8万，预期24万。这表明尽管经济前景不明朗，但对工人的需求仍然健康。此外，投资者还需关注被称为“恐怖数据”的美国8月零售销售数据，该数据将是判断消费者在美联储大幅升息后表现如何的重要指标。经济事件方面，本日有6000亿元1年期中期借贷便利（MLF）到期，同时有20亿元7天期逆回购到期。9月16日周五关键词：欧元区CPI数据、美国消费者信心指数、Adobe财报周五将公布欧元区8月调和CPI年率-未季调终值，目前预期值为9.1%，和前值相同。此前，欧洲央行召开货币政策会议，宣布将三大关键利率上调75个基点，调整后的利率将于9月14日生效。欧洲央行称，当前通胀率仍然过高，预计后续将进一步加息以抑制通胀。此外，密歇根大学将公布9月份消费者信心指数。普遍预期为59.3，比8月份的58.2高出约1个百分点。美联储将从调查中密切关注消费者对通胀的预期。财报方面，周四美股盘后Adobe将公布财报。延伸阅读：美联储加息天平完全倾向75基点，美股超跌反弹能走多远？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":620168595,"gmtCreate":1669595223019,"gmtModify":1676538210305,"author":{"id":"3549429515257467","authorId":"3549429515257467","name":"熙熙999","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3f81fe1ffbc68bb9cafbc1cabc37b76","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549429515257467","authorIdStr":"3549429515257467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🕎🕎🕎","listText":"🕎🕎🕎","text":"🕎🕎🕎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/620168595","repostId":"1128751495","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128751495","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1669591307,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128751495?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-28 07:21","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Weekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128751495","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将于次日凌晨2:30发表讲话。截至11月26日当周初请失业金人数亦将公布。美联储还将于当日发布褐皮书。此外，2023年FOMC票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根，美联储理事丽莎·库克，美联储理事鲍曼将于当日发表讲话。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major events this week (November 28-December 2):</b></p><p><b>Financial events</b>Led by Powell, several Federal Reserve officials delivered a series of speeches ahead of the December silence period, and the Fed released its Beige Book.<b>Regarding economic data,</b>Several important economic data points will be released this week. Data such as the US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and November unemployment rate, the US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, the US November ADP employment numbers, the Conference Board consumer confidence index, the number of initial jobless claims for the week, the US EIA crude oil inventories/strategic petroleum reserve inventories for the week, China's November manufacturing PMI, and the November Caixin manufacturing PMI have been released one after another.<b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The financial report will be released later;<b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b744f4ba4cda49ac1eb8ec01ceb0cad3\" tg-width=\"2059\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Keywords for Monday, November 28th: Dallas Fed Business Activity Index, Pinduoduo releases earnings report.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360 Digital</a>-S announces lottery results</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdcfd1e90d2aec33df680bf26ce30d8c\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, investors can focus on the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index.</b>The previous value of this data was below 0 points, which to some extent means that the US economy is in recession territory and that the recession is likely to deepen further.</p><p><b>Regarding economic events,</b>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will deliver an introductory speech at a hearing of the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b>Key attention should be paid to the pre-market release of US stocks on November 28th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Financial report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600109\">Guojin Securities</a>Pinduoduo is projected to report revenue of 30.9 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 44%, and its Non-GAAP profit margin for Q3 is expected to be approximately 23%. The bank stated that Pinduoduo's high-cost-performance platform characteristics are attracting more merchants and consumers in a weak consumption environment. In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01179.HK\">Huazhu Group-S</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">Alibaba Health</a>The financial report will be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b>Fintech platform<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>The lottery results will be announced. The company previously announced that 1.38 million shares were subscribed for in Hong Kong on the retail side, representing an oversubscription of 2.47 times.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, November 29th: Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, New York Fed President<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Speaking with St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard, Bilibili releases financial report</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27890e43932f31743891af5449365e2\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"881\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>On Tuesday, regarding economic data</b>Investors should pay close attention to this.<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November</b>This index is a leading indicator of U.S. consumers' willingness to consume goods and services, reflecting the performance of the economy.</p><p>The Conference Board's October consumer confidence index came in at 102.5, the lowest reading since August, significantly lower than the market's previous expectation of 105.9, and down 5.3 points from 107.8 the previous month. In a report, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, wrote that the confidence index fell in October after rising in August and September, indicating that economic growth began to slow in the fourth quarter. In addition, two important indicators of the US real estate industry—<b>U.S. September S&P/CS20 Major City Home Price Index Annual Rate</b>and<b>US September FHFA Home Price Index Month-on-Month Rate</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index, industrial sentiment index, and consumer confidence index will also be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>follow<b>New York Fed President Williams</b>and<b>St. Louis Fed President Bullard</b>In their speeches, both Fed officials were voting members this year.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">Bilibili-W</a>/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>The third quarter 2022 financial results will be released on the same day, and the earnings conference call will be held at 20:00 Beijing time on Tuesday, November 29, 2022.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>A technical opinion report was released, pointing out that the market generally believes that Bilibili's game and advertising revenue in the second half of the year and next year is too high, and that there are potential balance sheet risks in 2024. The bank gave it a target price of $11 for US stocks and a rating of \"in line with the market\". In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS Zhipin</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Happy Gathering</a>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01060\">Ali Pictures</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09991\">Baozun E-commerce - W</a>Financial reports will be released.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>It will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, November 30th: US November ADP employment figures, US core PCE price index annualized rate revision, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week, China's official manufacturing PMI, XPeng Motor Company earnings report.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/273b0a86a773f36b88f9164beaeb69c4\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Wednesday, regarding economic data</b>Known as the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" section<b>November ADP employment data</b>It will be announced, and<b>JOLTs Job Vacancies</b>It will also be announced on the same day. These data have some predictive effect on the non-farm payroll data released on Friday, and investors should pay attention to them.</p><p>The ADP employment data for October was generally strong. ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said that given the maturity of the economic recovery, it was a very strong employment data, but at the same time, hiring activity was not widespread. He also stated that while early signs of Federal Reserve-driven demand disruption are being seen, it is only affecting certain areas of the labor market. In addition,<b>EIA crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory</b>、<b>API crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>Revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the third quarter</b>、<b>US Q3 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarterly Rate Revision</b>、<b>November Chicago PMI</b>Economic data will also be released.</p><p>In China, investors need to pay attention to<b>November Official Manufacturing PMI</b>。</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at 2:30 a.m. the following day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02390\">Zhihu-W</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02423\">Shell-W</a>Release financial reports.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, December 1st: US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, initial jobless claims for the week, China's November Caixin manufacturing PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on the US economic outlook and job market.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a45c82e82f6627db6f607997c5b9b1c\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"1209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Thursday, regarding economic data</b>Investors need to pay close attention.<b>US October PCE data</b>This is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator.</p><p>The U.S. core PCE price index rose 5.1% year-on-year in September, lower than the expected 5.20%, but higher than the previous value of 4.9%. The core PCE price index rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, in line with market expectations. As of<b>Number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 26</b>It will also be announced.</p><p>In the week ending November 19, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States was 240,000, compared with the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 223,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States rose more than expected to a three-month high, a sign of a cooling labor market. In addition,<b>US personal spending month-on-month rate in October</b>、<b>November<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>Final Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>November ISM Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>Number of layoffs at challenger companies in November</b>Economic data will be released on the same day.</p><p>In China,<b>November Caixin Manufacturing PMI</b>It will be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell</b>Powell will deliver a speech on the U.S. economic outlook and the job market. The market believes that Powell's speech may solidify market expectations regarding the size of the potential interest rate hike announced after the December policy meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will also release information on the same day.<b>Brown Book</b>。</p><p>The Beige Book is a report on the economic conditions of the 12 Federal Reserve regions of the United States over a certain period of time, depicting the economic trends and challenges facing the United States. The report is published eight times a year, two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.</p><p>In addition,<b>Logan, 2023 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman</b>He will deliver a speech on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on November 30th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">Bank of Montreal</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DG\">Dale Company, USA</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The earnings report will be released before the market closes on December 1st, Eastern Time.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, December 2nd: US November unemployment rate, US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29d4b46f8941239d90a646e8b1fe80f\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Friday, economic data will focus on seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in November and the U.S. unemployment rate in November.</b>。</p><p>The U.S. added more non-farm payrolls in October than expected, indicating that the labor market remains strong. Non-farm payrolls increased by 261,000 in October, a decrease from the previous month, but still not low. At the same time, the employment report also raised the previous revision of non-farm payrolls for September to 315,000 (original value 263,000). Although the August data was lowered, the total number of new jobs in August and September was 29,000 higher than the previous report. The market currently expects the non-farm payrolls figure to increase by 200,000 in November, lower than the previous reading of 261,000. The unemployment rate was 3.8% in November, slightly higher than 3.7%. In terms of financial reports, EHang, a manufacturer of autonomous vehicles,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$(EH)$</a>The earnings report will be released before the market opens on December 2nd, Eastern Time.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Weekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWeekly Preview | Will the non-farm payrolls report be a \"surprise\"? Has core PCE peaked? Focus on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-11-28 07:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Major events this week (November 28-December 2):</b></p><p><b>Financial events</b>Led by Powell, several Federal Reserve officials delivered a series of speeches ahead of the December silence period, and the Fed released its Beige Book.<b>Regarding economic data,</b>Several important economic data points will be released this week. Data such as the US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and November unemployment rate, the US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, the US November ADP employment numbers, the Conference Board consumer confidence index, the number of initial jobless claims for the week, the US EIA crude oil inventories/strategic petroleum reserve inventories for the week, China's November manufacturing PMI, and the November Caixin manufacturing PMI have been released one after another.<b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The financial report will be released later;<b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b744f4ba4cda49ac1eb8ec01ceb0cad3\" tg-width=\"2059\" tg-height=\"1458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Keywords for Monday, November 28th: Dallas Fed Business Activity Index, Pinduoduo releases earnings report.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QFIN\">360 Digital</a>-S announces lottery results</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdcfd1e90d2aec33df680bf26ce30d8c\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Monday, investors can focus on the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index.</b>The previous value of this data was below 0 points, which to some extent means that the US economy is in recession territory and that the recession is likely to deepen further.</p><p><b>Regarding economic events,</b>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will deliver an introductory speech at a hearing of the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b>Key attention should be paid to the pre-market release of US stocks on November 28th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Financial report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600109\">Guojin Securities</a>Pinduoduo is projected to report revenue of 30.9 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 44%, and its Non-GAAP profit margin for Q3 is expected to be approximately 23%. The bank stated that Pinduoduo's high-cost-performance platform characteristics are attracting more merchants and consumers in a weak consumption environment. In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01179.HK\">Huazhu Group-S</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">Alibaba Health</a>The financial report will be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b>Fintech platform<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>The lottery results will be announced. The company previously announced that 1.38 million shares were subscribed for in Hong Kong on the retail side, representing an oversubscription of 2.47 times.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, November 29th: Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, New York Fed President<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Speaking with St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard, Bilibili releases financial report</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27890e43932f31743891af5449365e2\" tg-width=\"950\" tg-height=\"881\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>On Tuesday, regarding economic data</b>Investors should pay close attention to this.<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November</b>This index is a leading indicator of U.S. consumers' willingness to consume goods and services, reflecting the performance of the economy.</p><p>The Conference Board's October consumer confidence index came in at 102.5, the lowest reading since August, significantly lower than the market's previous expectation of 105.9, and down 5.3 points from 107.8 the previous month. In a report, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, wrote that the confidence index fell in October after rising in August and September, indicating that economic growth began to slow in the fourth quarter. In addition, two important indicators of the US real estate industry—<b>U.S. September S&P/CS20 Major City Home Price Index Annual Rate</b>and<b>US September FHFA Home Price Index Month-on-Month Rate</b>The Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index, industrial sentiment index, and consumer confidence index will also be released on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>follow<b>New York Fed President Williams</b>and<b>St. Louis Fed President Bullard</b>In their speeches, both Fed officials were voting members this year.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">Bilibili-W</a>/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>The third quarter 2022 financial results will be released on the same day, and the earnings conference call will be held at 20:00 Beijing time on Tuesday, November 29, 2022.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>A technical opinion report was released, pointing out that the market generally believes that Bilibili's game and advertising revenue in the second half of the year and next year is too high, and that there are potential balance sheet risks in 2024. The bank gave it a target price of $11 for US stocks and a rating of \"in line with the market\". In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS Zhipin</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">Happy Gathering</a>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01060\">Ali Pictures</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09991\">Baozun E-commerce - W</a>Financial reports will be released.</p><p><b>Regarding new stocks,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03660\">360 Digital-S</a>It will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, November 30th: US November ADP employment figures, US core PCE price index annualized rate revision, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate revision, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week, China's official manufacturing PMI, XPeng Motor Company earnings report.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/273b0a86a773f36b88f9164beaeb69c4\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"1393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Wednesday, regarding economic data</b>Known as the \"mini-non-farm payrolls\" section<b>November ADP employment data</b>It will be announced, and<b>JOLTs Job Vacancies</b>It will also be announced on the same day. These data have some predictive effect on the non-farm payroll data released on Friday, and investors should pay attention to them.</p><p>The ADP employment data for October was generally strong. ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said that given the maturity of the economic recovery, it was a very strong employment data, but at the same time, hiring activity was not widespread. He also stated that while early signs of Federal Reserve-driven demand disruption are being seen, it is only affecting certain areas of the labor market. In addition,<b>EIA crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory</b>、<b>API crude oil inventories for the week</b>、<b>Revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the third quarter</b>、<b>US Q3 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarterly Rate Revision</b>、<b>November Chicago PMI</b>Economic data will also be released.</p><p>In China, investors need to pay attention to<b>November Official Manufacturing PMI</b>。</p><p><b>Regarding financial events,</b>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at 2:30 a.m. the following day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">Royal Bank of Canada</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02390\">Zhihu-W</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02423\">Shell-W</a>Release financial reports.</p><p><b>Keywords for Thursday, December 1st: US October core PCE price index year-on-month rate, initial jobless claims for the week, China's November Caixin manufacturing PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on the US economic outlook and job market.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a45c82e82f6627db6f607997c5b9b1c\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"1209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Thursday, regarding economic data</b>Investors need to pay close attention.<b>US October PCE data</b>This is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator.</p><p>The U.S. core PCE price index rose 5.1% year-on-year in September, lower than the expected 5.20%, but higher than the previous value of 4.9%. The core PCE price index rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, in line with market expectations. As of<b>Number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending November 26</b>It will also be announced.</p><p>In the week ending November 19, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States was 240,000, compared with the expected 225,000 and the previous figure of 223,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States rose more than expected to a three-month high, a sign of a cooling labor market. In addition,<b>US personal spending month-on-month rate in October</b>、<b>November<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>Final Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>November ISM Manufacturing PMI</b>、<b>Number of layoffs at challenger companies in November</b>Economic data will be released on the same day.</p><p>In China,<b>November Caixin Manufacturing PMI</b>It will be announced on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial events, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell</b>Powell will deliver a speech on the U.S. economic outlook and the job market. The market believes that Powell's speech may solidify market expectations regarding the size of the potential interest rate hike announced after the December policy meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve will also release information on the same day.<b>Brown Book</b>。</p><p>The Beige Book is a report on the economic conditions of the 12 Federal Reserve regions of the United States over a certain period of time, depicting the economic trends and challenges facing the United States. The report is published eight times a year, two weeks before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.</p><p>In addition,<b>Logan, 2023 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook</b>，<b>Federal Reserve Governor Bowman</b>He will deliver a speech on the same day.</p><p><b>Regarding financial reports,</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a>The financial report will be released after the market closes on November 30th, Eastern Time.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">Bank of Montreal</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DG\">Dale Company, USA</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KR\">Kroger</a>The earnings report will be released before the market closes on December 1st, Eastern Time.</p><p><b>Keywords for Friday, December 2nd: US November unemployment rate, US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c29d4b46f8941239d90a646e8b1fe80f\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>On Friday, economic data will focus on seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in November and the U.S. unemployment rate in November.</b>。</p><p>The U.S. added more non-farm payrolls in October than expected, indicating that the labor market remains strong. Non-farm payrolls increased by 261,000 in October, a decrease from the previous month, but still not low. At the same time, the employment report also raised the previous revision of non-farm payrolls for September to 315,000 (original value 263,000). Although the August data was lowered, the total number of new jobs in August and September was 29,000 higher than the previous report. The market currently expects the non-farm payrolls figure to increase by 200,000 in November, lower than the previous reading of 261,000. The unemployment rate was 3.8% in November, slightly higher than 3.7%. In terms of financial reports, EHang, a manufacturer of autonomous vehicles,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$(EH)$</a>The earnings report will be released before the market opens on December 2nd, Eastern Time.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46744ceebcd5f9f6cbe09f85295d7cfe","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128751495","content_text":"本周（11·28-12·2）重磅事件：财经事件方面，鲍威尔领衔，多位美联储官员在12月噤声期前密集发表讲话，美联储发布褐皮书；经济数据方面，本周将发布多个重要经济数据。美国11月美国季调后非农就业人口和11月失业率、美国10月核心PCE物价指数年率/月率、美国11月ADP就业人数、美国谘商会消费者信心指数、当周初请失业金人数、美国当周EIA原油库存/战略石油储备库存，中国11月制造业PMI、11月财新制造业PMI等数据陆续出炉；财报方面，哔哩哔哩、拼多多、小鹏汽车、加拿大皇家银行、克罗格等发布财报；新股方面，360数科-S登陆港交所。11月28日 周一关键词：美国达拉斯联储商业活动指数、拼多多发布财报、360数科-S公布中签结果周一，投资者可关注美国达拉斯联储商业活动指数，该数据的前值位于0点下方，在某种程度上意味着美国经济处于衰退区间，且衰退有进一步加深的趋势。经济事件方面，欧洲央行行长拉加德将在在欧洲议会经济和货币事务委员会听证会上做介绍性发言。财报方面，重点关注美东时间11月28日美股盘前发布的拼多多财报。国金证券预计，拼多多 Q3 的收入 309 亿，同比增长 44%，预计 Q3 的 Non-GAAP 利润率约为 23%；该行表示，拼多多高性价比的平台特性在消费偏弱的环境下吸引更多商家和消费者。此外，华住集团-S、阿里健康将于当日发布财报。新股方面，金融科技平台360数科-S公布中签结果。公司此前公布，港股在零售端认购股数为138万股，超额认购达2.47倍。11月29日 周二关键词：美国谘商会消费者信心指数、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德讲话、哔哩哔哩发布财报周二，经济数据方面，投资者可重点关注11月美国谘商会消费者信心指数，这一指数是衡量美国消费者消费商品和服务的意愿的领先指标，反映经济的运行情况。美国谘商会公布的10月消费者信心指数录得102.5，为8月以来的最低读数，显著不及市场此前预期的105.9，较上月的107.8下跌了5.3个点。谘商会经济指标高级主管Lynn Franco在报告中写道，信心指数在8月和9月上升后，在10月回落，表明经济增长在第四季度开始放缓。此外，美国房地产行业的两项重要指标——美国9月S&P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率和美国9月FHFA房价指数月率，以及欧元区经济景气指数、工业景气指数、消费者信心指数将于同日公布。财经事件方面，关注纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德发表的讲话，两位联储官员都是今年的票委。财报方面，哔哩哔哩-W/哔哩哔哩将于当日公布2022年第三季度财报，业绩电话会议将在北京时间2022年11月29日（星期二）20:00召开。摩根士丹利发表技术意见报告，指出市场普遍认为哔哩哔哩下半年和明年的游戏和广告收入过高，并在2024年存在潜在资产负债表风险。该行予其美股目标价11美元，评级为“与大市同步”。此外，BOSS直聘、欢聚，阿里影业、宝尊电商-W将发布财报。新股方面，360数科-S将登陆港交所。11月30日 周三关键词：美国11月ADP就业人数、美国核心PCE物价指数年率修正值、美国第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国当周EIA原油库存、中国官方制造业PMI、小鹏汽车财报周三，经济数据方面，有小非农之称的11月ADP就业数据将公布，而JOLTs职位空缺数也将于同日公布。这些数据对于周五公布的非农数据有一定预示作用，投资者可关注。10月ADP就业数据总体表现强劲，ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson表示，鉴于经济复苏的成熟程度，这是一个非常强劲的就业数据，但同时招聘活动并不广泛。他还表示，虽然看到了美联储驱动的需求破坏的早期迹象，但它只影响到劳动力市场的某些领域。此外，当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存、当周API原油库存、第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国第三季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率修正值、11月芝加哥PMI等经济数据亦将公布。中国方面，投资者需要关注11月官方制造业PMI。财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将于次日凌晨2:30发表讲话。财报方面，加拿大皇家银行、小鹏汽车、知乎-W、贝壳-W发布财报。12月1日 周四关键词：美国10月核心PCE物价指数年率/月率、当周初请失业金人数、中国11月财新制造业PMI、美联储主席鲍威尔就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话周四，经济数据方面，投资者需密切关注美国10月PCE数据，这是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。美国9月核心PCE物价指数年率录得5.1%，低于预期的5.20%，但高于前值的4.9%，9月核心PCE物价指数月率录得0.5%，符合市场预期。截至11月26日当周初请失业金人数亦将公布。截至11月19日当周，美国初请失业金人数为24万，预期为22.5万人，前值为22.3万人。美国初请失业金人数增长超过预期，达到3个月来的高点，这是劳动力市场降温的一个迹象。此外，美国10月个人支出月率、11月Markit制造业PMI终值、11月ISM制造业PMI、11月挑战者企业裁员人数等经济数据将于当日公布。中国方面，11月财新制造业PMI将于当日公布。财经事件方面，美联储主席鲍威尔将就美国经济前景和就业市场发表讲话，市场认为，鲍威尔的讲话可能会巩固市场对12月政策会议后宣布的利率可能上调的规模的预期。美联储还将于当日发布褐皮书。褐皮书是美国12个联储地区在一定时段经济状况的报告，描绘了美国的经济趋势和所面临的挑战。该报告每年公布8次，公布时间为联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议的两周前。此外，2023年FOMC票委、达拉斯联储主席洛根，美联储理事丽莎·库克，美联储理事鲍曼将于当日发表讲话。财报方面，Snowflake、赛富时将于美东时间11月30日盘后公布财报，蒙特利尔银行、美国达乐公司、克罗格将于美东时间12月1日盘前公布财报。12月2日 周五关键词：美国11月失业率、美国季调后非农就业人口周五，经济数据重点关注11月季调后非农就业人口和美国11月失业率。美国10月新增非农就业超预期，显示劳动力市场仍很强劲。10月新增非农就业26.1万人，虽较上月下降，但水平仍然不低。与此同时，就业报告还上调了此前9月非农就业至31.5万人（原值26.3万），虽然下调了8月数据，但8、9两月新增就业人数的总和要比此前报告高出2.9万人。目前市场预期11月非农增加20万，低于26.1万的前值；11月失业率为3.8%，略高于3.7%。财报方面，自动驾驶飞行器制造商$亿航智能$(EH)$将于美东时间12月2日盘前发布财报。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MGCmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"SImain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
