8899Nar
8899Nar
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avatar8899Nar
2025-06-05

TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVEHERE'S WHY🧵:1) If you believe in CEO execution Transmedics could achieve 10k transplants by 2028 and 20-30k by 2033.Image2) You can convert these numbers in approximately $1.2B and $2.5B of revenue.I assumed a ~2x and not more because kidney procedures will cost less than the other organs ones.3) So, we can assume:• $2.5B revenue in 2033 • 24% profit margin • 30x PE multple: Below medtech mature leaders with good growth profiles (ISRG, EW, BSX)4) The result is $600M of net income by 2033 and a possible $18B market cap.Considering the actual market cap at 4.5B the stock can 4X in ~9 years delivering a 17% CAGR return.5) Si
TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE
avatar8899Nar
2025-07-01

Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025

Performances of all my stocks YTD at the end of H1 2025 :NATAN'S PORTFOLIO: +31.8%S&P500: +5.5% $Robinhood(HOOD)$ +151% $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ +115% $B2Gold(BTG)$ +48% $Alibaba(BABA)$ +34% $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +26% $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +17% (sold at +56%) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ +8% $Edwards Lifesciences(EW)$ +6% $PayPal(PYPL)$ -13% $Regeneron
Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025
avatar8899Nar
2025-08-23

MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵

1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the leading cloud services provider in the accelerating China market at 14x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+32%)2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is down 15% from recent high and remains very undervalued. The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$174 (+45%)3) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ One of the fastest growing ecommerces in the world trading at 8X EV/FCF.Management proved many times its ability to deliver impressive growth and profitability in one of the most competitive market in the world.Natan's fair
MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵
avatar8899Nar
2025-09-02

𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊

Tell me if you agree or not 👇1) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ ~$173Potential upside: +44%2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ ~$174Potential upside: +51%3) $Alibaba(BABA)$ ~$169Potential upside: +21%4) $Robinhood(HOOD)$ ~$87Potential upside: -14%5) $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ ~$364Potential upside: +17% 6) $PayPal(PYPL)$ ~$107Potential upside: +53%7) $Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)$ ~$786Potential upside: +35% 8) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ~$926Potential upside: +25%
𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊
avatar8899Nar
04-01 22:26

Q1 2026 Turned out to Be my Second Worst Quarter

Q1 2026 turned out to be my second worst quarter since 2022, with a -14.5% return. With many names down 30% in just one month, it was hard to do much better. My exposure to healthcare partially protected part of the portfolio. Given the numerous opportunities, I preferred to rotate that part of the healthcare allocation into more offensive stocks in order to take advantage of the current discounts. I’m extremely confident in my allocation and, based on my fair value estimates, I believe the portfolio can deliver a 24% CAGR over the next five years, a number from which a large part of my conviction comes. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
Q1 2026 Turned out to Be my Second Worst Quarter
avatar8899Nar
2025-12-01

META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60% ✅"Q3 revenue up 26% was impressive. Margin decline from heavy investments may weigh short term, but I remain very bullish long term"ASSUMPTIONS:LTM Revenue: $189.458B5Y Revenue CAGR: 13%2030 Profit Margin: 39%2030 PE Ratio: 27Shares outstanding: 2.572BShares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION:Q3 2030 $META Share Price =189.458 * (1.13)^5 * 0.39 * 27 /[2.572 * (0.99)^5] = 1503$You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Meta I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $640FAIR VALUE: $9331Y PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60%EXPECTED RETURNS: 18.6%/yearDIVIDEND YIELD: 0.3%For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading lim
META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!
avatar8899Nar
2025-09-29

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵Since my post these stocks are up 43% on average YTD vs 13% of S&P500 🤯1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world and the leading cloud services provider in China.Natan's fair value: ~$172 (+0%)2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 70% YTD but remains extremely cheap vs peers.The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$174 (+53%)3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 26x Fwd PE.The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.In my opinion Meta wil
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025🧵
avatar8899Nar
02-11

Do You Own HOOD Shares?

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ I believe HHOODOOD can deliver 20%+ CAGR returns over the next 5 years: PRICE TARGET: $148 --> $148 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +85% ✅ ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $4.473B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 22% --> 20% 2030 Profit Margin: 52% 2030 PE Ratio: 35 Shares outstanding: 0.908B Shares reduction: 0%/year VALUATION: Q4 2030 $HOOD SHARE PRICE = 4.473 * (1.20)^5 * 0.52 * 35 / [0.908 * (1.00)^5] = 223$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Robinhood I want to use a 11%. ACTUAL PRICE: $80 FAIR VALUE: $132 PRICE TARGET (1Y): $148 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: 85% EXPECTED RETURNS: 22.8%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: - Do you own $Robinhood(HOOD)$ shares? Image Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Do You Own HOOD Shares?
avatar8899Nar
01-07

MNDY IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻

$Monday.com Ltd.(MNDY)$ IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻PRICE TARGET: $230POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +59% ✅ASSUMPTIONS:LTM Revenue: $1.166B5Y Revenue CAGR: 18% 2030 Profit Margin: 20%2030 PE Ratio: 35 Shares outstanding: 0.0533BShares dilution: 0%/yearVALUATION:Q3 2030 $MNDY SHARE PRICE =1.166 * (1.18)^5 * 0.20 * 35 /[0.0533 * (1.00)^5] = 350$You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Monday I want to use 11%ACTUAL PRICE: $145FAIR VALUE: $208PRICE TARGET (1Y): $230POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +59%EXPECTED RETURNS: 19.3%/yearDIVIDEND YIELD: - ImageFor SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
MNDY IS VERY UNDERVALUED 👇🏻
avatar8899Nar
2025-06-12

MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)🧵

These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of S&P500 🤯1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)Image2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off.The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)Image3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE.The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.In my opinion Me
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)🧵

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