At the start of the new year, the drama keeps coming. Over the weekend, the United States launched an operation, directly apprehending Venezuela’s president and bringing him to the U.S. for trial; the speed of the action and the precision of the intelligence once again demonstrated America’s military capabilities. Although there are rumors that the operation went so smoothly because there was an insider, being able to secure an insider is itself a reflection of military strength. Since the incident both occurred and concluded over the weekend (many recent military operations share this style: short duration, clear objectives, and no sustained escalation in responses from either side), for financial markets it would likely be digested within the few hours from Monday’s open through the Asia

Two weeks ago, we discussed that WTI crude oil was trading within a range-bound market, making it suitable for selling weekly WTI put options below the prior low of $55 or holding a short WTI futures position combined with selling weekly put options to construct a covered put strategy for this environment. Investors without access to futures or options can consider energy or crude oil ETFs as an alternative.Bearish Crude Reports Trigger a Sharp Selloff: How to Use Options to Trade a Choppy Market？Since then, WTI crude oil has continued to oscillate and weaken, but it has not yet broken below the $55 level, confirming the effectiveness of the previous strategy. Recently, the price volatility has increased, and WTI crude

Ahead of OPEC’s monthly market analysis and the IEA’s annual energy outlook this week, WTI steadied after three straight up days, signaling a shift from chasing strength to waiting on new data. Traders are focused on Wednesday night’s OPEC release and the forthcoming IEA outlook.​ $WTI原油主连 2512(CLmain)$ Curve signalsThe WTI term structure has seen the spread between far-month and near-month contracts narrow markedly, a classic sign that inventories are moving from tight toward looser in the physical market. Since the October 20 bottom in WTI, far-month vs near-month spread have kept compressing, implying faltering buy interest in near-month and a supply backdrop shifting from tight to more ample. Throughout the year, worries about a “large sur

Overview Oil prices surged for a second consecutive day as escalating Middle East tensions fueled supply concerns. Iranian missile strikes on Israel and Prime Minister Netanyahu's promise of retaliation triggered sharp price movements, reflecting the heightened risk premium now attached to crude oil. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 1.5% on the day, continuing the momentum from an earlier 5.5% jump, while Brent crude also climbed significantly. Oil Prices React to Escalating Middle East Conflict Following Iranian missile strikes that launched 200 ballistic missiles at Israel, oil prices reacted with sharp upward movements. The attacks led to an immediate rise in crude prices, with WTI futures for November delivery reaching $70.87 per barrel, up by 1.5% on the day. This comes after

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1. Oil Call Option Volumes Are SoaringAfter Israel vowed to respond to missile and drone attacks from Iran, trading volume of crude oil call options surged to an all-time high. On Monday, trading volume of Brent crude oil call options approached 350,000 contracts, surpassing the record set in 2019. The premiums for these contracts relative to put options also rose to the highest level since October. Source:BloombergAccording to market sources, the majority of trades are focused on establishing new bullish positions and transferring existing contracts bought in the weeks leading up to the Iranian attacks. Open interest has seen an increase.With ongoing unrest in the Middle East, coupled with robust demand and tight supply, Brent crude futures prices have surged to around $90 per barrel, hit

$Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf(XOP)$  $Devon(DVN)$  $apache(APA)$   I'm bearish on oil price and expect price to go down by end of 2024. 1. Global Economic Recovery: The pace of global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic will be a significant driver of oil demand. Strong economic growth could lead to increased demand for oil and support higher prices, while economic slowdowns could have the opposite effect. 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and conflicts in major oil-producing regions such as the Middle East can disrupt supply and contribute to price volatility. Events such as geopolitical conflicts

Oil prices experienced a decline in early trade on Wednesday, driven by concerns over global demand stemming from weak economic momentum in China and diminished hopes for immediate U.S. interest rate cuts. These factors outweighed fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East due to heightened tensions. Oil prices softened earlier in the week as economic challenges dampened investor sentiment, counteracting the impact of geopolitical tensions. Investors remained attentive to Israel's potential response to Iran's recent attack on Israeli territory, which occurred over the weekend. In China, the world's largest oil importer, first-quarter economic growth exceeded expectations. However, various indicators for March, including property investment, retail sales, and industrial output, suggeste