Market Impact of Middle East Conflict and Inflation Concerns on Global Economy in March 2026

In March 2026, global markets experienced significant volatility due to escalating Middle East conflicts and rising inflation fears. Dow industrials dropped over 200 points, reflecting an 8% decline from record highs. The conflict affected energy prices, prompting central banks to reconsider interest rate strategies. Precious metals and aluminum prices fluctuated amid inflation expectations and demand shifts. Economic indicators showed a slowdown, with mixed manufacturing and employment data. The World Trade Organization warned of slower trade growth if the conflict persists, highlighting broad economic uncertainty and market instability.

Latest News

03-21 10:00

U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits "Oversold" Levels

03-21 08:40

Global Central Banks Conclude Pivotal Week Amid Mounting Inflation Pressures

03-21 08:31

Global Equity Markets Navigate a Turbulent March Amid Geopolitical Strains

User Discussion

lepakboy

03-21 10:51

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits "Oversold" Levels

lepakboy

03-21 10:51

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits "Oversold" Levels

Guavaxf3006

03-21 10:31

You know the global market is really f**ked when even gold and silver prices collapses. And what is worst, people are flocking to imaginary value of Crypto's. Next week may see the start of a recession.

U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits "Oversold" Levels

ZhongRenChun

03-20 20:15

But nobody thought of a real solution like EV, solar, wind, hydro, nuclear.

It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More

ZhongRenChun

03-20 20:08

Just pay for the oil in yuan and you get safe passage.

Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait

Kekemon

03-20 19:29

Aiyo. Why like that.😊

Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait

Merdeka1981

03-20 17:53

It's the classic saying of "you die, I die, everybody die..."

It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More

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Here's how the Iran war reshaped Wall Street's outlook in one week.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-21 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPLV":"Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF","SPYI":"NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF","JEPI":"JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVW":"标普500成长股指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPMO":"Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","RSP":"平均加权指数ETF-Rydex S&P","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF","SPYV":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF","GPIX":"GOLDMAN SACHS S&P 500 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","BMAY":"Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","XDTE":"Roundhill S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF","IVOO":"Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","BK4581":"高盛持仓","XYLD":"Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPYG":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/market-summary/26/03/51391526/iran-war-inflation-rate-hikes-wall-street-week-review","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621751123","content_text":"A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.The Federal Reserve — which President Donald Trump has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.Oil Shock Triggers Inflation WarningsThe University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair Jerome Powell acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.The S&P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.Chart of The Week: S&P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IVW":0.6,"SPY":1.91,"RSP":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVOO":0.6,"SPLV":0.6,".SPX":2,"OEX":0.6,"XDTE":0.6,"XYLD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"BMAY":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"VTI":0.6,".IXIC":2,"SPXL":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SPYV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"VTV":0.6,".DJI":2,"HIBL":0.6,"SPYI":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"JEPI":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SPMO":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"GPIX":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"SPYG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544974140891208,"gmtCreate":1774061487065,"gmtModify":1774064320910,"author":{"id":"3580107861694257","authorId":"3580107861694257","name":"lepakboy","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580107861694257","authorIdStr":"3580107861694257"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544974140891208","repostId":"2621751123","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621751123","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1774058400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2621751123?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-21 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621751123","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Hormuz stays closed, crude tops $110, and money markets are now pricing rate hikes. Here's how the Iran war reshaped Wall Street's outlook in one week.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-21 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPLV":"Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF","SPYI":"NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF","JEPI":"JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVW":"标普500成长股指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPMO":"Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","RSP":"平均加权指数ETF-Rydex S&P","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF","SPYV":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF","GPIX":"GOLDMAN SACHS S&P 500 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","BMAY":"Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","XDTE":"Roundhill S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF","IVOO":"Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","BK4581":"高盛持仓","XYLD":"Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPYG":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/market-summary/26/03/51391526/iran-war-inflation-rate-hikes-wall-street-week-review","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621751123","content_text":"A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.The Federal Reserve — which President Donald Trump has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.Oil Shock Triggers Inflation WarningsThe University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair Jerome Powell acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.The S&P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.Chart of The Week: S&P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IVW":0.6,"SPY":1.91,"RSP":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVOO":0.6,"SPLV":0.6,".SPX":2,"OEX":0.6,"XDTE":0.6,"XYLD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"BMAY":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"VTI":0.6,".IXIC":2,"SPXL":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SPYV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"VTV":0.6,".DJI":2,"HIBL":0.6,"SPYI":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"JEPI":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SPMO":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"GPIX":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"SPYG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544969174975120,"gmtCreate":1774060279145,"gmtModify":1774064321607,"author":{"id":"3576140222331577","authorId":"3576140222331577","name":"Guavaxf3006","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ff15ff6aa254c9130f9af922f7e2447","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576140222331577","authorIdStr":"3576140222331577"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"You know the global market is really f**ked when even gold and silver prices collapses. And what is worst, people are flocking to imaginary value of Crypto's.&nbsp; Next week may see the start of a recession.&nbsp;","listText":"You know the global market is really f**ked when even gold and silver prices collapses. And what is worst, people are flocking to imaginary value of Crypto's.&nbsp; Next week may see the start of a recession.&nbsp;","text":"You know the global market is really f**ked when even gold and silver prices collapses. And what is worst, people are flocking to imaginary value of Crypto's. Next week may see the start of a recession.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544969174975120","repostId":"2621751123","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621751123","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1774058400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2621751123?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-21 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621751123","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Hormuz stays closed, crude tops $110, and money markets are now pricing rate hikes. Here's how the Iran war reshaped Wall Street's outlook in one week.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Weekly Review | Iran War Reignites Rate Hike Fears – S&P 500 Hits \"Oversold\" Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-21 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.</p><p>The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.</p><p>The Federal Reserve — which President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.</p><h2 id=\"id_3911157274\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil Shock Triggers Inflation Warnings</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.</p><p>Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.</p><p>A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.</p><p>The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair <strong>Jerome Powell </strong>acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.</p><p>The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The S&amp;P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the <strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund </strong>(NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.</p><h2 id=\"id_1639101647\" style=\"text-align: start;\">Chart of The Week: S&amp;P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b7909accf906c326f6ea9c2b3f38e22f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"568\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPLV":"Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF","SPYI":"NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF","JEPI":"JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVW":"标普500成长股指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPMO":"Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","RSP":"平均加权指数ETF-Rydex S&P","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF","SPYV":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF","GPIX":"GOLDMAN SACHS S&P 500 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","BMAY":"Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","XDTE":"Roundhill S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF","IVOO":"Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","BK4581":"高盛持仓","XYLD":"Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPYG":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/market-summary/26/03/51391526/iran-war-inflation-rate-hikes-wall-street-week-review","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621751123","content_text":"A single uncomfortable question defined the week on Wall Street: Has the Iran war permanently reset the inflation and interest rate outlook for 2026?By Friday, markets had an answer — and it wasn’t reassuring.The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent crude ended the week above $110 per barrel.But the crisis has now moved from Hormuz to the gas station: U.S. retail diesel crossed $5 per gallon — up 35% from $3.69 just a month ago, and closing in near the 2022 record. Gasoline is approaching $4.Consumers have noticed. So have money markets.Traders are now pricing in a scenario that felt unthinkable three weeks ago: rate hikes.The Federal Reserve — which President Donald Trump has spent his entire second term trying to push toward cuts — may now be forced to move in the opposite direction.Oil Shock Triggers Inflation WarningsThe University of Michigan documented a dramatic shift in inflation expectations in the nine days following the start of U.S. military operations: expectations for gas price increases over the next year surged to 42.6%, from just 10% beforehand.Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed from 3.3% to 3.5%, while long-run expectations rose from 3.1% to 3.3% — an early signal that the energy shock may be reshaping how Americans think about prices more broadly.Prediction markets have moved sharply, too.Traders now assign a coin-flip chance that annual March inflation will exceed 3.4% — compared to 2.4% in February.A one-percentage-point jump in annual inflation over a single month is historically rare, occurring only a handful of times in modern history, almost always around major energy crises.The Federal Reserve took notice at its meeting this week.In its updated Summary of Economic Projections, policymakers raised their inflation forecasts, with Chair Jerome Powell acknowledging that energy-driven price pressures represent a meaningful upside risk to the inflation outlook.The Fed held rates steady but pointedly declined to rule out future increases.Markets interpreted the message quickly and harshly. By Friday, money markets were pricing a better-than-even chance the Fed raises rates by October.U.S. short-term Treasury yields spiked toward 4%, on pace for their biggest monthly jump since February 2023.The result was a brutal week for rate-sensitive assets.Gold, which had surged through last year on expectations of falling rates, tumbled 9.8% by midday Friday — its worst weekly performance since 1983.Silver and gold mining stocks fell sharply in sympathy.The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all closed below their 200-day moving averages at the end of the week, for the first time since March 2025.The S&P 500’s 14-day RSI dropped below 30 for the first time since the April 2025 tariff shock — crossing into oversold territory as selling pressure showed no sign of letting up.Every major sector finished in the red, save one: the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLE), which remains the sole beneficiary of the crisis.Chart of The Week: S&P 500 Closes Below 200-day Average, Hits ‘Oversold’ RSI","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IVW":0.6,"SPY":1.91,"RSP":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVOO":0.6,"SPLV":0.6,".SPX":2,"OEX":0.6,"XDTE":0.6,"XYLD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"BMAY":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"VTI":0.6,".IXIC":2,"SPXL":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SPYV":0.6,"SH":0.6,"VTV":0.6,".DJI":2,"HIBL":0.6,"SPYI":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"JEPI":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SPMO":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"GPIX":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"SPYG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544759080019840,"gmtCreate":1774008922361,"gmtModify":1774008926635,"author":{"id":"4142648172044492","authorId":"4142648172044492","name":"ZhongRenChun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/626c9b2d6a6580aa7acb2f7bf1552413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142648172044492","authorIdStr":"4142648172044492"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"But nobody thought of a real solution like EV, solar, wind, hydro, nuclear.&nbsp;","listText":"But nobody thought of a real solution like EV, solar, wind, hydro, nuclear.&nbsp;","text":"But nobody thought of a real solution like EV, solar, wind, hydro, nuclear.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544759080019840","repostId":"2620226672","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2620226672","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1773999000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2620226672?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-20 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2620226672","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Fallout from the Middle East conflict is rippling through the global economy—and growing worse the longer it lasts.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil tankers drifting aimlessly in the Persian Gulf may be the most visible economic symbol of the Iran war, but the damage is starting to spread to areas that aren’t as immediately obvious—American farmers, Asian chip makers, and European drugmakers, to name just a few. The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.</p><p>The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”</p><p>The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/114528e2afdc07d6ece332b7553bcfb8\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"1214\"/></p><p>“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.</p><p>A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.</p><p>India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company told<em>Barron’s</em>that “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.</p><p>Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared <em>force majeure</em> on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CF\">CF Industries Holdings</a>, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-20 17:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil tankers drifting aimlessly in the Persian Gulf may be the most visible economic symbol of the Iran war, but the damage is starting to spread to areas that aren’t as immediately obvious—American farmers, Asian chip makers, and European drugmakers, to name just a few. The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.</p><p>The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”</p><p>The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/114528e2afdc07d6ece332b7553bcfb8\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"1214\"/></p><p>“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.</p><p>A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.</p><p>India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company told<em>Barron’s</em>that “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.</p><p>Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared <em>force majeure</em> on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CF\">CF Industries Holdings</a>, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0942090050.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD)  INC","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930813.SGD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY \"AS\" (SGD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2097344431.USD":"SCHRODER ISF SUSTAINABLE MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHDG) INC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0070217475.USD":"JPM GLOBAL SELECT EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU2097344357.USD":"SCHRODER ISF SUSTAINABLE MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1069344957.HKD":"AB SICAV I - 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The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company toldBarron’sthat “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared force majeure on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker CF Industries Holdings, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":2,"NVDA":2,".DJI":2,"CF":2,".SPX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3569809505691000","authorId":"3569809505691000","name":"breAkdaWn","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c3676c14de9bfcd6f45bcf7ba4ddb6c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569809505691000","authorIdStr":"3569809505691000"},"content":"not iran war! US started it. US retreats, all is back to normal!","text":"not iran war! US started it. US retreats, all is back to normal!","html":"not iran war! US started it. US retreats, all is back to normal!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544757034423216,"gmtCreate":1774008493315,"gmtModify":1774011990738,"author":{"id":"4142648172044492","authorId":"4142648172044492","name":"ZhongRenChun","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/626c9b2d6a6580aa7acb2f7bf1552413","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142648172044492","authorIdStr":"4142648172044492"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Just pay for the oil in yuan and you get safe passage.&nbsp;","listText":"Just pay for the oil in yuan and you get safe passage.&nbsp;","text":"Just pay for the oil in yuan and you get safe passage.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544757034423216","repostId":"1158318586","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158318586","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1032215980","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48"},"pubTimestamp":1774001682,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158318586?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-20 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158318586","media":"Reuters","summary":"March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran's ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday,...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran&#39;s ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.</p><p>Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&amp;P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9a6f931857fec66b5aa3e794d276d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"255\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13f8b58ec50d7d39da7504e5af3a7e42\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"258\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1032215980\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-20 18:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran&#39;s ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.</p><p>Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&amp;P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9a6f931857fec66b5aa3e794d276d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"255\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13f8b58ec50d7d39da7504e5af3a7e42\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"258\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158318586","content_text":"March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran's ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2,"YMmain":2,"ESmain":2,"NQmain":2,"BZmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544747960854312,"gmtCreate":1774006181264,"gmtModify":1774006185433,"author":{"id":"3575949343225606","authorId":"3575949343225606","name":"Kekemon","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/acc569fb2b4b8cb1641acae354a1df48","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575949343225606","authorIdStr":"3575949343225606"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Aiyo. Why like that.😊","listText":"Aiyo. Why like that.😊","text":"Aiyo. Why like that.😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544747960854312","repostId":"1158318586","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158318586","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1032215980","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48"},"pubTimestamp":1774001682,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158318586?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-20 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158318586","media":"Reuters","summary":"March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran's ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday,...","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran&#39;s ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.</p><p>Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&amp;P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9a6f931857fec66b5aa3e794d276d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"255\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13f8b58ec50d7d39da7504e5af3a7e42\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"258\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq Futures Slide 0.93%; Brent Oil Futures Jump 2%. Trump Mulls Kharg Island Takeover to Force Iran to Open Hormuz Strait\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1032215980\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-20 18:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran&#39;s ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.</p><p>Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&amp;P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9a6f931857fec66b5aa3e794d276d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"255\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13f8b58ec50d7d39da7504e5af3a7e42\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"258\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158318586","content_text":"March 20 (Reuters) - The Trump administration is ‌considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran's ⁠Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ‌Axios ⁠reported on Friday, citing four sources ⁠with knowledge of the issue.Nasdaq futures slid 0.93% while S&P futures sank 0.68% on the news. While Brent oil futures jumped about 2% to $105.84 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2,"YMmain":2,"ESmain":2,"NQmain":2,"BZmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544724552581648,"gmtCreate":1774000436044,"gmtModify":1774000726442,"author":{"id":"4102568791638160","authorId":"4102568791638160","name":"Merdeka1981","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/370fc16a4d1090b47fe92034808ebbdd","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102568791638160","authorIdStr":"4102568791638160"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It's the classic saying of \"you die, I die, everybody die...\"","listText":"It's the classic saying of \"you die, I die, everybody die...\"","text":"It's the classic saying of \"you die, I die, everybody die...\"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544724552581648","repostId":"2620226672","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2620226672","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1773999000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2620226672?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-03-20 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2620226672","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Fallout from the Middle East conflict is rippling through the global economy—and growing worse the longer it lasts.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil tankers drifting aimlessly in the Persian Gulf may be the most visible economic symbol of the Iran war, but the damage is starting to spread to areas that aren’t as immediately obvious—American farmers, Asian chip makers, and European drugmakers, to name just a few. The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.</p><p>The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”</p><p>The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/114528e2afdc07d6ece332b7553bcfb8\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"1214\"/></p><p>“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.</p><p>A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.</p><p>India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company told<em>Barron’s</em>that “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.</p><p>Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared <em>force majeure</em> on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CF\">CF Industries Holdings</a>, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Not Just Oil. The Iran War Sparked a Supply-Chain Mess That’s Hitting Tech, Medicine, and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-20 17:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Oil tankers drifting aimlessly in the Persian Gulf may be the most visible economic symbol of the Iran war, but the damage is starting to spread to areas that aren’t as immediately obvious—American farmers, Asian chip makers, and European drugmakers, to name just a few. The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.</p><p>The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”</p><p>The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/114528e2afdc07d6ece332b7553bcfb8\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"1214\"/></p><p>“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.</p><p>A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.</p><p>India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company told<em>Barron’s</em>that “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.</p><p>Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared <em>force majeure</em> on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CF\">CF Industries Holdings</a>, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0942090050.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD)  INC","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930813.SGD":"FRANKLIN TEMPLETON SHARIAH GLOBAL EQUITY \"AS\" (SGD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2097344431.USD":"SCHRODER ISF SUSTAINABLE MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHDG) INC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0070217475.USD":"JPM GLOBAL SELECT EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU2097344357.USD":"SCHRODER ISF SUSTAINABLE MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1069344957.HKD":"AB SICAV I - 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The war has sparked a supply-chain mess that’s disrupting the global economy and boosting inflation.The U.S. has seemed largely immune to the war’s impact so far, because of strong domestic production of energy and chemicals. Though gasoline prices have surged, there are no lines at gas stations in the U.S., as there were in the 1970s energy crisis. But on Tuesday, Moody’s economist Mark Zandi wrote that the war, along with a weakening U.S. labor market, has raised the odds of a recession in the next year to an “uncomfortably high 49%.”The rest of the world is in a tougher spot. Energy is the biggest problem in sheer dollar terms. The war has cut off access to about 20% of the world’s crude oil and another 20% of the liquefied natural gas, or LNG, that normally traverses the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. Oil prices are up about 50% since the war began.The impact on some other commodities, though, is starting to cause serious problems. Urea, a crucial fertilizer, and helium, which is needed to make microchips, are in short supply due to the war. Aluminum, a material used in everything from cans to cars, was already in a supply deficit before the war, and is now getting more scarce and expensive as output from the Middle East is curtailed. Some of these commodities have been in the direct line of fire—attacks on Qatar last week hit a processing plant that makes helium and sulfur as well as LNG, and are expected to take supplies offline for years, QatarEnergy’s CEO told Reuters.“Most people are just focusing on the energy market,” says Chris Tang, a professor at the University of California, Los Angeles’ business school who focuses on supply chains. “But I think the impact is really far-reaching. People are just beginning to see it.”Just how this plays out for the global economy depends on how long the war lasts, say economists and supply-chain experts.A quick resolution—say, in three to five weeks—would push inflation higher but result in a relatively small hit to global gross domestic product. “You would have to take out your magnifying glass” to see the GDP impact, says Nathan Sheets, Citigroup’s chief global economist. In a more grinding and drawn-out scenario, the stakes rise. If Iran succeeds in blocking the strait for months, and oil stays above $100, Sheets thinks it could shave 0.9 percentage points off his expectations for 2.9% global GDP growth this year. J.P. Morgan sees a similar impact if the war drags on, with a 1.2 percentage point hit to GDP in the first half of the year. Inflation, too, would pick up significantly.Some areas face much more dire risks, and could be forced into recession or hyperinflation sooner. Asia and Europe, in that order, are most exposed, at least in the near term. A recession seems likely in Asia “if this drags on for a couple months,” says Jennifer Schuch-Page, a principal at The Asia Group. Historically, about 80% of the oil and natural gas transported through the Strait of Hormuz goes to Asia. Already, countries in the region are taking emergency measures to reduce the impact. China was the biggest buyer of Iran’s oil, but the world’s second-largest economy has been building reserves and diversifying in ways that cushion some of the blow better than its neighbors.India is facing a shortage of liquefied petroleum gas—used for cooking, heating, and powering factories—and has limited how much businesses are allowed to use to make sure consumers have enough. Some Indian restaurants have had to close for lack of cooking fuel. Sri Lanka is running so low that it declared that Wednesdays will be public holidays for the foreseeable future. Bangladesh is closing its universities early, and Pakistan is limiting fuel use by businesses. Emerging market stocks were leading global markets through February, but the war has “reversed that sharply,” notes Abhishek Gupta, executive director of research and development at MSCI.Richer Asian countries and major multinational businesses are also at risk. It isn’t just because of energy. Fitch Ratings warned this week that chip companies in Korea and Taiwan face looming shortages of helium —a gas used in semiconductor manufacturing. Helium cools so-called clean rooms where chips are made under extremely precise temperature and pressure conditions. Substituting another gas would entail completely reconfiguring the system, says Tang.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world’s most important chip maker and arguably Nvidia’s most important partner. Asked about the helium shortage, the company toldBarron’sthat “we do not anticipate any significant impact at this time, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.” Fitch sees the danger as more of “medium term” risk than an immediate supply crunch.For agricultural products, commodity shortages are more acute. The spring planting season is here, and fertilizer prices are skyrocketing. The Middle East accounts for more than a third of urea supplies and nearly as much ammonia and sulfur—chemicals that are hugely important to farmers. Nearly two-thirds of India’s nitrogen-based fertilizer comes through the Persian Gulf, according to Robin Mills, a fellow at Columbia University who is based in Dubai.Urea, a nitrogen-rich fertilizer that increases corn yields, is 32% more expensive since the start of the war. On top of that, farmers use a lot of diesel fuel, which now fetches over $5 a gallon at the pump, 38% higher than a month ago. American corn farmers have already dealt with three years of financial losses, and this year is setting up for a fourth, says Gretchen Kuck, an economist with the National Corn Growers Association. Farmers say they’re struggling to manage costs, which may lead to higher food prices in the months ahead. “We’re in a pretty tough spot today,” says Kentucky farmer Brandon Hunt.The American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents nearly six million farmers, warned the White House in a letter of a “shortfall in crops” unless policymakers prioritize the issue. Its policy recommendations include allowing for higher blends of ethanol in gasoline year-round, suspending tariffs on fertilizer, and loosening shipping restrictions to allow products to get to farmers faster. The White House announced a 60-day waiver for certain shipping rules on Wednesday.“Many of the producers have used up their equity, they’ve used up their borrowing power, and they simply have no cash to even put a respectable crop in this year on top of those high prices,” says Matt Frostic, a corn farmer in Michigan. “It’s a real red flag at this point.”The aluminum market has also been upended. Smelters in the Middle East—responsible for 9% of global production—have had trouble exporting their products. Alba, a major aluminum company in Bahrain, declared force majeure on contracts because of the war. Aluminum goes into cars, cans, and products like solar panels. Smelters take a long time to restart once capacity has been restricted. And as prices rise, those products are likely to get more expensive.The disruptions extend to even more unexpected places, including the supply chain for pharmaceuticals. The Middle East is an important link in the pharma supply chain, serving as a hub for drugs that are transported from factories in Asia to markets in Europe. Countries like the United Arab Emirates own “cold chain” warehouses to store the drugs mid-transit and help distribute them. With airports closed, pharmaceutical companies are relying on new routes, and some analysts have warned that the supply chain is at risk for critical medicines such as cancer drugs. “The logistics operation is much more complicated,” Tang says.The full impact of all this disruption has yet to hit. Ships tend to take about two weeks to get from the Middle East to Asia, and the war started 2½ weeks ago. The pace at which the U.S. and Israel can get the Strait of Hormuz unstuck will determine just how long these problems last. “Time is the enemy for the macro outlook,” says Joyce Chang, chair of global research at J.P. Morgan.There aren’t many easy ways for investors to profit off gummed-up supply chains. The stocks of companies that can replace disrupted commodities, like fertilizer maker CF Industries Holdings, have already risen. Investors can hedge against more inflationary shocks—which are sure to come if the war drags on—through a broad-based commodities index fund like theInvesco DB Commodity Tracking.Regardless of the war’s resolution, analysts see it having lasting impacts on supply chains. Middle Eastern fossil-fuel producers are likely to build pipelines to divert products to the Red Sea from the Gulf. Asian countries may tilt toward alternate sources of supply like the U.S. And everyone will take a harder look at alternate-energy sources, from renewables to nuclear power, says Mills.“If this goes on a bit longer and the consequences all come home very clearly, I expect big changes,” Mills says. “There will be a lot more desire for self-sufficiency or reliable partners, diversification of partners, diversification of supply chains, alternative materials—obviously a lot less reliance on oil and gas, a lot more on renewable energy.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":2,"NVDA":2,".DJI":2,"CF":2,".SPX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}]}