I think the more fragile assumption is the idea that AI-related memory and hard-drive shortages will stay tight for years. Toshiba’s expansion shows that high prices can eventually bring more supply, so I would be cautious about assuming today’s pricing power will last indefinitely.
I am still more comfortable with AI compute, where $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ continue to benefit from strong infrastructure demand. However, valuations are high, so expectations also need to stay realistic.
I am also watching long-term yields closely. Even with October rate-hike odds falling, the 10-year yield remains above 5%, which could pressure high-growth tech. For me, the strategy is to stay invested in strong fundamentals while avoiding aggressive chasing and keeping cash for pullbacks.
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