Shyon
05-04
$DBS(D05.SI)$ results reinforced my view that SG banks are shifting toward a fee-driven growth model rather than relying on interest rates. With DBS delivering record wealth management fees & strong deposit inflows, the franchise remains resilient even in a lower-rate environment. CASA strength and inverted rate sensitivity suggest earnings are increasingly driven by client flows, not just margins.

The focus now shifts to whether UOB & OCBC can replicate this momentum. With NIM pressure largely priced in, wealth & fee income will be the key differentiator. If both banks show solid private banking and investment product growth, the sector still has upside.

My base case is a partial match on wealth strength, supported by continued safe-haven inflows into Singapore. I expect $ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ at SGD 22.50 & $UOB(U11.SI)$ at SGD 37. If this holds, the narrative continues shifting from rate sensitivity to fee-driven compounders.

@Tiger_SG @TigerClub @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

SG Banks Q1: NII Under Pressure, Who Held Up on Wealth Management?
All three beat Bloomberg consensus, but for different reasons: DBS and OCBC outperformed on wealth management, while UOB defended earnings through lower credit provisions. With SORA averaging 1.07% in Q1 versus 2.54% a year earlier, NII compression across the board is a foregone conclusion. The real question is which bank's wealth management narrative can sustain momentum in the second half — after these three reports, which do you favor?
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Comments

  • BellaFaraday
    05-05
    BellaFaraday
    Solid analysis, the fee shift is key.
    • Shyon
      Thanks for your support yea
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