Shyon
03-18
Last week was pure TACO + HALO. When Donald Trump hinted the Iran situation was wrapping up, oil pulled back and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bounced sharply. I’m still leaning into that setup—fade oil spikes like W&T Offshore and rotate into beneficiaries like Carnival as energy pressure eases, while watching for broader risk-on continuation.

What changed quickly is sentiment on HALO. Even Goldman Sachs is stepping back from crowded names like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ . When weaker, low-quality names start outperforming, I take that as a sign the trade is overheated and positioning is stretched.

So I’m staying selective. I’m still bullish on AI long term, but I’m trimming momentum-driven exposure and focusing on companies with real earnings power. My approach now is simple—trade TACO tactically, but anchor my core portfolio in fundamentals and valuation discipline.

@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @Tiger_chat

TACO or HALO, Which Trade Do You Trust?
The recent oil price moves have been more thrilling than a rollercoaster! Brent crude surged to $120/bbl before plunging back to around $90. Today’s market has two competing narratives: Trump’s “tweet-style” diplomacy (TACO) versus Wall Street’s newly exalted hard-core paradigm (HALO).
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Comments

  • sadsam
    03-19 17:22
    sadsam
    Solid move trimming momentum plays! Focusing on fundamentals makes sense amid sentiment shifts. [看涨]
    • Shyon
      Great sharing from you
  • PSG2010
    03-19 17:21
    PSG2010
    Spot on! Rotating to solid earnings beats chasing hype. [看涨]
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