Operation Epic Fury Part 2: The $33B "Iron Bastion" and 2 Other SG War Hedges | 🦖 EP1457
The chatter at the coffee shop in Marine Parade is starting to sound a lot like 2022 again. Everyone is talking about "war hedges" and "safe havens" as the headlines around Operation Epic Fury continue to escalate.
But when I run the numbers on our local "Iron Bastion" stocks—the names everyone assumes are safe right now—the forensic reality is actually quite jarring. ST Engineering and SGX are currently priced so high that the yield spread against your CPF Special Account has actually turned negative.
You are essentially paying a premium for the privilege of taking on equity risk when the "risk-free" floor is already giving you more. That is a trade that makes very little sense once you strip away the emotion of the moment and look at the spread compression.
If you are between 45 and 60 and feeling that itchy finger to "do something" with your SRS or CPF funds because of the geopolitical noise, I made this for you. In our community, we lean on the 150 basis point rule to keep us disciplined when the headlines get loud.
Right now, my highest conviction move isn’t a defensive stock—it is simply staying liquid and letting the CPF floor do the heavy lifting while the market overpays for protection.
The full forensic analysis is waiting for you below.
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