My Market Framework: BX Trender, Timeframes, and How I Trade

PeterDiCarlo
12-18 21:57

New here? This thread is your guide to reading my analysis and market write‑ups. 🧵

It explains how I use the BX Trender and multiple timeframes so you can see the market the way I do.

This is educational only, not financial advice.

Almost everything I do starts with one question:

“What is the Monthly BX Trender doing?”

I use it as my macro filter to separate real institutional money flow from noise and dead cat bounces. If I sound “patient,” this is why.

My timeframe rules are simple:

• Monthly BX = Big Picture / big trend (the boss)

• Weekly = path inside that trend

• Daily = execution details

If they ever conflict, the higher timeframe wins.

Monthly > Weekly > Daily. Always.

So in practice:

• If Monthly BX is green or increasing, I’m only interested in names aligned with that macro uptrend.

• If Monthly BX is heavy / rolling over, I’m not trying to be a hero catching bottoms.

I’d rather be late with confirmation than early and wrong.

Every piece of analysis I share fits this structure:

• Big Picture: Monthly / weekly context (BX trend + macro zone)

• Short Term Picture: Short‑term behavior (discount / fair value / premium, bounce, pullback, chop)

• My Plan: What I’m personally doing (watchlist / starter / add / trim / exit / no trade)

If it doesn’t change my ACTION, it’s context, not a signal.

Example you’ll see a lot:

Big Picture: Monthly BX still bearish. No confirmed macro bottom.

Short Term Picture: We’re seeing potential short‑term bottoming behavior in a discount zone.

My Plan: For me, that’s watchlist or small probes only until Monthly BX actually flips.

Early signs ≠ “bottom is in” or “go all‑in.”

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