For me, the recent U.S. employment data reinforces the “bad news is good news” narrative. Some softness in the labor market increases the odds of further Fed rate cuts, which is generally supportive for equities as long as the slowdown remains orderly rather than recessionary.
That said, I’m watching the BOJ closely. A hike to 0.75% would be a meaningful shift, and historically BOJ tightening has coincided with higher global volatility. With U.S. stocks at record highs, a more cautious near-term stance feels reasonable, even if history doesn’t repeat perfectly.
In terms of positioning, I’m neither fully in cash nor blindly all-in. I stay invested in core holdings while keeping some dry powder to deploy if macro or BOJ headlines trigger a pullback. If a Santa Claus rally arrives, I participate; if not, I’m prepared to ride out some volatility.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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