LanlanCC
11-24

October 2025: CDS spread ~43 bp → relatively low credit risk.

- November 2025: CDS spread ~110 bp → more than doubled, signaling heightened investor concern.

- Implication: Investors are paying ~1.1% annually of notional to insure Oracle’s debt, reflecting caution about its aggressive AI infrastructure spending and debt load.

📌 Why This Matters

- Debt Financing: Oracle is investing heavily in AI and cloud infrastructure, which increases leverage.

- Credit Ratings: Still investment grade (BBB range), but weaker than peers like Microsoft.

- Market Sentiment: CDS widening often precedes bond yield increases or equity volatility.  



Oracle may depend heavily on loan if open ai does not make AI great again 

Google changes the trend of market


Oracle Deepens AI Anxiety: Will It Accelerate the Sell-Off?
Oracle reported its fiscal Q2 2026 results after the market closed on Wednesday, with revenue and cloud revenue both falling short of analyst expectations. The company also posted –$10 billion in free cash flow for the quarter. At the same time, Oracle raised its full-year capital expenditure guidance, saying it now expects to spend about $15 billion more than previously planned. These updates triggered a sharp reaction in the market — Oracle’s share price plunged more than 10%.
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Comments

  • 自由與躺平
    11-24
    自由與躺平

    这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看

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