Shyon
09-29
I think Howard Marks makes a fair point on valuations. The Magnificent 7 deserve premium multiples given their dominance, growth, and profitability, so their P/Es don’t look extreme to me. The bigger concern is the rest of the S&P 500, where the average P/E of 22 is well above historical norms and suggests the market overall is stretched.

In my portfolio, I stay diversified with some exposure to quality growth leaders but avoid over-concentration in the mega-caps. I continue dollar-cost averaging in areas I see value, while trimming positions that feel overextended. This keeps me invested but disciplined.

With the market at elevated levels, I agree it’s wise to adopt some defense. I’m balancing growth holdings with cash, short-term bonds, and dividend payers, which helps me stay exposed to long-term winners while reducing risk if valuations correct.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars

Market Master 101 | Howard: Where Do We Stand in 2025?
In his recent memo to Oaktree’s clients, Howard Marks outlined his views on the current high levels of the market. He believes the market has not yet entered a phase of irrational exuberance, but still advises clients to adopt a Level 5 defense (reducing aggressive positions and increasing defensive holdings). What do you think of his views on the valuations of the Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500? How is your own portfolio allocated right now? Since the market is at elevated levels, should we be holding some defensive assets?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • qixoo
    09-29
    qixoo
    Solid strategy, love your disciplined approach! [Cool]
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