[Discussion] Why Pick ASIC? Chase Broadcom or Buy the Dip in Nvidia?

Tiger_comments
2025-09-05
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$Broadcom(AVGO)$ the next Nvidia? Broadcom 🚀 soared 12% after earnings.

  • Q3 revenue: $15.95B, +22% YoY (beat est. $15.84B)

  • Non-GAAP net profit: $8.40B, +37.3% YoY

  • EPS: $1.69, also beat expectations

On the call, CEO Hock Tan dropped a bombshell:

A new mystery customer placed a $10B order for Broadcom’s custom AI accelerator XPU. Rumor has it — OpenAI is set to begin mass production with Broadcom, shipping next year.

Why do tech giants like $Alphabet(GOOG)$ turn to Broadcom for AI ASICs?

Morgan Stanley notes cloud providers like Google, Amazon, Microsoft are aggressively investing in ASIC design.

Because Nvidia’s GPUs are insanely expensive 💰 and hard to get. Plus, you’re locked into CUDA software + NVLink for scaling. For hyperscalers and AI players desperate for compute but allergic to Nvidia’s price tag, ASICs are the alternative.

  • ASICs = lower cost, lower power, more efficient for inference workloads

  • Nvidia GPUs = superior raw performance, but higher risk & cost

What’s next for the stock? 📉📈

History shows:

  • If Broadcom pops big on earnings → stock usually dips for 2+ months.

  • If it dumps on earnings → tends to rebound hard for 2 months.

Right now, AVGO is up +12%. But Nvidia’s stock is falling below $170. NVIDIA’s PE & PEG are both at a reasonable level.

So the big question: Do you chase AVGO’s rally, or buy NVDA’s dip?

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Comments

  • Shyon
    2025-09-05
    Shyon
    Win 25 Tiger-coins
    Broadcom’s $Broadcom(AVGO)$ earnings were strong, and that $10B custom AI order shows big cloud players want alternatives to Nvidia. ASICs may not fully replace GPUs, but they’re cheaper, more efficient for inference, and make Broadcom an important player in the AI ecosystem.

    Still, I’m cautious about chasing AVGO after a +12% spike, since history shows it often cools off post-earnings. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s dip looks more attractive — despite competition, it still dominates training workloads and the CUDA ecosystem, which are hard to replace.

    For now, I’d watch Broadcom for consolidation while eyeing NVDA’s $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ pullback as a better entry. Both can benefit from the AI boom, but I see Broadcom as the custom chip play and Nvidia as the core AI bet, with each serving different needs in the market.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

  • highhand
    2025-09-05
    highhand
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    do neither. avgo went up too high. don't chase the dragon. nvda drop but didnt drop below fair value.  be patient. wait for the whole market or index to correct
  • Cadi Poon
    2025-09-05
    Cadi Poon
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    在看漲期權,首席執行官Hock Tan拋出了一個重磅炸彈:

    一個新的神祕客戶放了一個$10B訂單對於博通的定製AI加速器XPU。有傳言說-OpenAI將與博通開始大規模生產,明年發貨。

  • TimothyX
    2025-09-05
    TimothyX
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    Morgan Stanley指出,Google、Amazon、微软等云提供商正在积极投资ASIC设计。

    因为Nvidia的GPU非常昂贵💰而且很难得到。另外,您被锁定在CUDA软件+NVLink中进行扩展。对于渴望计算但对Nvidia的价格标签过敏的超大规模企业和人工智能玩家来说,ASIC是另一种选择。

  • TheStrategist
    2025-09-05
    TheStrategist
    Win 5 Tiger-coins
    Chips are done
  • 闪电侠08
    2025-09-06
    闪电侠08
    Win 5 Tiger-coins
    i k
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