Q: What is XPENG-W 2026/Q1 Earnings Preview?
TigerGPT Answer: ### Financial Forecast Data
**Earnings Per Share (EPS):**
- Forecast: -1.04 CNY
- Prior Year: -0.35 CNY
- Percentage Change: -197.14%
**Total Revenue:**
- Forecast: 10,707,280,500.00 CNY
- Prior Year: 15,810,628,000.00 CNY
- Percentage Change: -32.27%
**EBIT:**
- Forecast: -1,494,257,000.00 CNY
- Prior Year: -1,041,447,000.00 CNY
- Percentage Change: -43.48%
**Significance of Changes:**
The significant decrease in EPS and EBIT indicates a worsening financial performance, suggesting higher operational costs or lower profitability. The substantial drop in total revenue highlights potential challenges in sales or market demand.
### Quarterly Important News
**Positive News:**
1. **Small XPeng GX Robotaxi Production:**
- XPeng launched its first fully self-developed Robotaxi, marking a significant milestone in autonomous driving technology.
- XPeng GX Robotaxi Production
2. **XPeng Welcomes Tesla FSD:**
- XPeng's VP expressed support for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) entering China, which could validate XPeng's own autonomous driving technology.
**Negative News:**
1. **Dealer Financial Issues:**
- One of XPeng's major dealers faced financial difficulties, potentially impacting sales and distribution.
2. **Public Apology from Influencer:**
- An influencer publicly apologized to XPeng after being sued for defamation, which could affect public perception.
- Public Apology from Influencer
### Forecast Viewpoints
1. **XPeng's Autonomous Driving Milestone:**
- XPeng's advancements in autonomous driving technology are seen as a positive development for future growth.
- XPeng GX Robotaxi Production
2. **Market Competition:**
- XPeng faces intense competition from other EV manufacturers, which could impact its market share and profitability.
### Stock Trend Analysis
**Stock Price Fluctuation:**
- From the last financial report release date to the current date, the stock price decreased by 17.52%.
**Support and Resistance Levels:**
- Support Price: 62.25 HKD (as of 2026-05-21)
- Resistance Price: 60.55 HKD (as of 2026-05-21)
- Latest Price: 62.6 HKD (as of 2026-05-25)
**Current Trend and Potential Changes:**
The stock price is currently near its support level, indicating potential stability. However, the significant drop over the past quarter suggests bearish sentiment.
### Options Large Order Analysis
**Options Activity:**
- Recent large orders indicate a mix of call and put options, with a slight bias towards put options.
**Implications:**
The prevalence of put options suggests a bearish outlook, indicating a higher probability of the financial report falling below expectations.
### Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast
**Analyst Ratings:**
- 10 recommend, 15 buy, 3 hold, 1 underperform
**Target Price:**
- Mean: 100.35 HKD
- Low: 67.73 HKD
- High: 134.69 HKD
**Valuation Status:**
Based on the current stock price of 62.6 HKD, XPeng is considered undervalued compared to the mean target price of 100.35 HKD.
### Comprehensive Conclusion
XPeng faces significant financial challenges with declining EPS, revenue, and EBIT. Despite positive developments in autonomous driving technology, the company is under pressure from market competition and financial difficulties among dealers. The stock price has decreased significantly, and options activity suggests a bearish outlook. However, analyst ratings and target prices indicate potential for future growth, suggesting that the company may be undervalued at its current price.
**Disclaimer:**
The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
