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54oo_

54oo_

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2024-02-05

$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$

2023-10-27

$皇冠(5HT.SI)$

2023-03-06

[害羞]

This week's preview | The market focuses on the interest rate orientation conveyed by Powell's speech! The three central banks discussed interest rates together, and JD.COM Unicom and other achievements hit! Two new shares go public

2023-02-02

[流泪]

Powell: Considering about two more rate hike and then pausing, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates this year and it will take time for financial conditions to tighten

2023-02-02

[流泪]

"Wood Sister" Big Blood Return: ARKK skyrocketed 27.8% in January, the best monthly performance in history

2023-01-27

[鬼脸]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-01-21

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ [得意]

2023-01-16

yes lor

2023-01-15

funny[得意]

2023-01-15

ney

2023-01-15

neat

2023-01-14

[龇牙]

2023-01-13

Nice

2023-01-12

[得意]

2023-01-11

[惊讶]

2023-01-10

[得意]

2023-01-10

sigh[流泪]

2023-01-09

nice

2023-01-08

nice

2023-01-07

Yeah

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08:35","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"This week's preview | The market focuses on the interest rate orientation conveyed by Powell's speech! The three central banks discussed interest rates together, and JD.COM Unicom and other achievements hit! Two new shares go public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117804954","media":"老虎資訊","summary":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Important financial events this week (3.6-3.10):</b></p><p>Economic data: The market will focus on a number of employment data this week, including the changes in the employment of \"small non-farm\" ADP released on Wednesday. By Friday, there will be new non-farm jobs in February and the unemployment rate in February. The non-farm data in January far exceeded expectations and shocked the market. If there is another shock, it may cause fluctuations in US stocks. Financial events: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speech will make the market better understand the latest interest rate orientation of the authorities. In addition, the Federal Reserve released the Beige Book on Thursday, and the banks of Australia, Canada and Japan discussed interest rates this week. Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>U.S. stocks announced their results after the market on Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>U.S. stocks announced their results before the market on Tuesday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD Group-SW</a>U.S. stocks announced their results before the market on Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE</a>, AIA, etc. also announced their results this week. IPO of new shares:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Fortune</a>(09636) went public on March 9 and 10, respectively.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday, March 6</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: US January factory order monthly rate, Ctrip performance</b></p><p>Economic data: The market focuses on the monthly rate of factory orders in the United States in January, with the previous value of this data being 1.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip.com</a>U.S. stocks released their results after hours.</p><p><b>Tuesday, March 7</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: PowellCongressional hearings</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speech will make the market better understand the latest interest rate orientation of the authorities. The Reserve Bank of Australia also announced the results of the interest rate meeting on the same day.</p><p>Economic data: China's trade balance, and the monthly rate of wholesale sales in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>(SE) US stocks announced their results before the market. Wharf Real Estate (01997), SITC International (01308), Chinalco International (02068) and Minmetals Resources (01208) announced their results on the same day.</p><p><b>Wednesday, March 8</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: U.S. ADP employment, Powell delivers monetary policy testimony, China Unicom performance</b></p><p>The market is concerned about the change of \"small non-farm\" ADP employment released on Wednesday. The data forecast is 168,000, compared with the previous value of 106,000.</p><p>The February ADP private enterprise additions announced Wednesday are expected to rise to 195,000 and January JOLTS vacancies drop to 10.6 million.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Canada announced the results of its interest rate meeting.</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">Cathay Pacific Airways</a>(00293)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>(00762), SJM Holdings (00880), Uni-President China (00220), Yuexiu Services (06626)</p><p><b>Thursday, March 9</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: China CPI, U.S. initial unemployment claims for the week, Federal Reserve Beige Book, JD.COM results</b></p><p>China announced the annual CPI rate in February, which was previously up 2.1%. The United States announced the number of new unemployment claims last week, which was previously valued at 190,000.</p><p>Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book on Economic Conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD Group-SW</a>(09618), MTR (00066), Swire (00019), Swire Properties (01972), The Wharf (Holdings) (00004), etc.</p><p><b>Friday, March 10</b></p><p><b>Keywords: U.S. non-farm payrolls, U.S. unemployment rate, ZTE/Fog Core Technology earnings report</b></p><p>On Friday, there were new non-farm jobs in February and the unemployment rate in February. The non-farm data in January far exceeded expectations and shocked the market. If there is another shock, it may cause US stocks to fluctuate.</p><p>The current market predicts that the number of new jobs will drop significantly to 215,000 in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.4% in February. Another point of concern will be the growth rate of average hourly wages. The market is now expecting average hourly wages to rise by 4.7% year-on-year in February, which is higher than 4.4% in January. If the growth exceeds expectations, it may cause the market to worry about inflation and a wage spiral.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Japan announced the results of the interest rate meeting.</p><p>IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Fortune</a>(09636)</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">AIA</a>(01299), Chinese Land (00127),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE</a>(00763), Fog Core Technology (RLX), and the like.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This week's preview | The market focuses on the interest rate orientation conveyed by Powell's speech! The three central banks discussed interest rates together, and JD.COM Unicom and other achievements hit! Two new shares go public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis week's preview | The market focuses on the interest rate orientation conveyed by Powell's speech! The three central banks discussed interest rates together, and JD.COM Unicom and other achievements hit! Two new shares go public\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1059071526\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎資訊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-06 08:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Important financial events this week (3.6-3.10):</b></p><p>Economic data: The market will focus on a number of employment data this week, including the changes in the employment of \"small non-farm\" ADP released on Wednesday. By Friday, there will be new non-farm jobs in February and the unemployment rate in February. The non-farm data in January far exceeded expectations and shocked the market. If there is another shock, it may cause fluctuations in US stocks. Financial events: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speech will make the market better understand the latest interest rate orientation of the authorities. In addition, the Federal Reserve released the Beige Book on Thursday, and the banks of Australia, Canada and Japan discussed interest rates this week. Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip</a>U.S. stocks announced their results after the market on Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>U.S. stocks announced their results before the market on Tuesday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD Group-SW</a>U.S. stocks announced their results before the market on Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE</a>, AIA, etc. also announced their results this week. IPO of new shares:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Fortune</a>(09636) went public on March 9 and 10, respectively.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Monday, March 6</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: US January factory order monthly rate, Ctrip performance</b></p><p>Economic data: The market focuses on the monthly rate of factory orders in the United States in January, with the previous value of this data being 1.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">Ctrip.com</a>U.S. stocks released their results after hours.</p><p><b>Tuesday, March 7</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: PowellCongressional hearings</b></p><p>Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend two congressional hearings on Tuesday (7th) and Wednesday (8th), and his speech will make the market better understand the latest interest rate orientation of the authorities. The Reserve Bank of Australia also announced the results of the interest rate meeting on the same day.</p><p>Economic data: China's trade balance, and the monthly rate of wholesale sales in the United States.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>(SE) US stocks announced their results before the market. Wharf Real Estate (01997), SITC International (01308), Chinalco International (02068) and Minmetals Resources (01208) announced their results on the same day.</p><p><b>Wednesday, March 8</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: U.S. ADP employment, Powell delivers monetary policy testimony, China Unicom performance</b></p><p>The market is concerned about the change of \"small non-farm\" ADP employment released on Wednesday. The data forecast is 168,000, compared with the previous value of 106,000.</p><p>The February ADP private enterprise additions announced Wednesday are expected to rise to 195,000 and January JOLTS vacancies drop to 10.6 million.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Canada announced the results of its interest rate meeting.</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">Cathay Pacific Airways</a>(00293)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">China Unicom</a>(00762), SJM Holdings (00880), Uni-President China (00220), Yuexiu Services (06626)</p><p><b>Thursday, March 9</b></p><p><b>KEYWORDS: China CPI, U.S. initial unemployment claims for the week, Federal Reserve Beige Book, JD.COM results</b></p><p>China announced the annual CPI rate in February, which was previously up 2.1%. The United States announced the number of new unemployment claims last week, which was previously valued at 190,000.</p><p>Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book on Economic Conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">Weitian Yuntong</a>(02482)</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">JD Group-SW</a>(09618), MTR (00066), Swire (00019), Swire Properties (01972), The Wharf (Holdings) (00004), etc.</p><p><b>Friday, March 10</b></p><p><b>Keywords: U.S. non-farm payrolls, U.S. unemployment rate, ZTE/Fog Core Technology earnings report</b></p><p>On Friday, there were new non-farm jobs in February and the unemployment rate in February. The non-farm data in January far exceeded expectations and shocked the market. If there is another shock, it may cause US stocks to fluctuate.</p><p>The current market predicts that the number of new jobs will drop significantly to 215,000 in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.4% in February. Another point of concern will be the growth rate of average hourly wages. The market is now expecting average hourly wages to rise by 4.7% year-on-year in February, which is higher than 4.4% in January. If the growth exceeds expectations, it may cause the market to worry about inflation and a wage spiral.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Bank of Japan announced the results of the interest rate meeting.</p><p>IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">Jiufang Fortune</a>(09636)</p><p>Results Announcement:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">AIA</a>(01299), Chinese Land (00127),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">ZTE</a>(00763), Fog Core Technology (RLX), and the like.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e1ae3d0f75bebef8011736e9031acae","relate_stocks":{"02482":"维天运通","00763":"中兴通讯","TCOM":"携程网","09636":"九方智投控股","SE":"Sea Ltd","00762":"中国联通","HSI":"恒生指数","09961":"携程集团—S",".DJI":"道琼斯","DIS":"迪士尼",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117804954","content_text":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。財經事件：聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。另外，聯儲局周四公布褐皮書，澳洲、加拿大及日本央行本周議息。業績公佈：携程网周一美股盤後公佈業績，Sea Ltd周二美股盤前公佈業績，京东集团-SW 周四美股盤前公佈業績，中国联通、中兴通讯 、友邦保險等亦于本周公佈業績。新股IPO:维天运通 (02482)、九方财富 (09636)分別于3月9日和10日上市。3月6日 週一關鍵詞：美國1月工廠訂單月率、攜程業績經濟數據：市場關注美國1月工廠訂單月率，該數據前值為1.8%。業績公布：携程网美股盤後發佈業績報告。3月7日 週二關鍵詞：鮑威爾國會聽證會聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。澳洲央行亦于當日公布議息結果。經濟數據：中國貿易帳，以及美國批發銷售月率等數據。業績公布：Sea Ltd (SE）美股盤前公布業績。九龍倉置業(01997) 、海豐國際(01308) 、中鋁國際(02068) 、五礦資源(01208) 當日公佈業績。3月8日 週三關鍵詞：美國ADP就業人數、鮑威爾發表貨幣政策證詞、中國聯通業績市場關注周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，該數據預測16.8萬，前值10.6萬。周三公布的2月ADP私人企業新增職位預計增至19.5萬個，1月JOLTS職位空缺減至1060萬個。加拿大央行公布議息結果。業績公布：国泰航空(00293) 、中国联通 (00762) 、澳博控股(00880) 、統一企業中國(00220) 、越秀服務(06626)3月9日 週四關鍵詞：中國CPI、美國當週初請失業金、美聯儲褐皮書、京東業績中國公佈2月CPI年率，該數據前值為升2.1%。美國公佈上周新申領失業金人數，該數據前值為19萬。美聯儲公布經濟狀況褐皮書。新股上市：维天运通(02482)業績公布：京东集团-SW(09618) 、港鐵(00066) 、太古(00019) 、太古地產(01972) 、九龍倉集團(00004)等3月10日 週五關鍵詞：美國非農就業人口、美國失業率、中興通訊/霧芯科技財報周五有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。現時市場預測2月份新增職位會顯著回落至21.5萬份。2月失業率則預期維持3.4%。另一個關注點會是平均時薪增長幅度，市場現時料2月平均時薪按年升4.7%，較1月4.4%為高，若增長超過預期，或會引起市場對通脹及工資螺旋上升的擔憂。日本央行公布議息結果。新股上市：九方财富 (09636)業績公布：友邦保险 (01299) 、華人置業(00127) 、中兴通讯 (00763)、 霧芯科技(RLX)等。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00763":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"09961":0.9,"TCOM":0.9,"SE":0.9,"00762":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"DIS":0.9,"02482":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"09636":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158402,"gmtCreate":1675295652606,"gmtModify":1676538990254,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158402","repostId":"1139522843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139522843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1675293368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139522843?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:16","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Powell: Considering about two more rate hike and then pausing, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates this year and it will take time for financial conditions to tighten","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139522843","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Summary: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that inflation has eased but remains high, but \"now for the first time, it can be said that the process of inflation slowing has begun.\" He said that the full effect of the FOMC's swift tightening of monetary policy has not yet been visible. The FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels and then a pause, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of restarting the rate hike after suspending the rate hike. Powell stressed that no rate cuts are expected this year given the state of the economy. He said that the current cycle in which the U.S. economy is in is not a standard economic cycle, it is unique. On Wednesday, February 1st, after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference.</p><p><b>Powell said that the FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels and then a pause, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of restarting the rate hike after suspending rate hike. He said policymakers do not see now as the time to suspend rate hike.</b></p><p><b>Regarding how many rate hike \"several times\" here refers to, Bloomberg interpreted that not everyone will think it is twice, but the media believed that it was basically certain that it would be rate hike twice again, that is, it would continue to rate hike once at 25 basis points at the FOMC meetings in March and May, which would make the Federal Funds rate rise to the range of 5% to 5.25%, reaching the expected peak interest rate level of the Federal Reserve in December.</b></p><p>The Fed is widely expected to continue to rate hike 25 basis points in March, but Powell emphasized that he has no certainty about the May FOMC meeting. Regarding the dot plot in March, he believes that it may be higher than December or lower, depending on the data. The Fed's March FOMC meeting will update the rate hike path assessment, and the Fed will keep an eye on the data from now to March.</p><p><b>Powell said he and his FOMC colleagues have made projections that suggest cutting rates this year is inappropriate.</b>He said:</p><p>Given our anticipated economic outlook, I don't think we will cut interest rates this year. However, he added that if inflation falls faster, it will affect policy decisions. On inflation, Powell said:</p><p>We will be cautious in declaring victory in anti-inflation, we are in the early stages of anti-inflation and it will take time to win. Continued rate hike is appropriate, current interest rate levels are not far from peak interest rates</p><p>At the press conference, regarding last year's rate hike action, Powell concluded that the Federal Reserve has taken strong action.</p><p>Looking ahead, he said, there will be a need to maintain the restrictive nature of monetary policy on the U.S. economy for some time,<b>The Fed continues to expect that a sustained rate hike is appropriate to reach a sufficiently restrictive stance. He stressed that the current interest rate set by the Federal Reserve has not reached a sufficiently restrictive policy stance.</b></p><p>He continues to strongly pledge to meet the 2% inflation target. He stressed that price stability is the foundation of the economy, that current levels of inflation are well above the Fed's target, that Fed officials still need to work more, and that the Fed will stay the course until the job is done. He said it was too early to declare victory:</p><p>Our expectation is that it will take some time for inflation to come back down and we need to be patient and therefore will need to keep interest rates higher for longer. He remains confident of a soft landing for the U.S. economy:</p><p>I think inflation can fall back to 2% without a really severe recession. Regarding the market's discussion of the Fed's future rate hike path,<b>He said Fed officials have spent a lot of time discussing the future path of interest rate policy but haven't made a decision on what the peak rate will be for this rate hike cycle, but he believes the current level of interest rates is not far from peaking.</b></p><p>As in previous press conferences, Powell once again reiterated that history cautions against premature policy easing, that the Fed does not want inflation to return, and it is difficult to manage the risks posed by insufficient rate hike. Powell said:</p><p>I don't want it to be six or 12 months after stopping rate hike before the Fed is forced to conclude that it hasn't done enough to bring down inflation this year and will have to raise interest rates again. But he also stressed that the Fed has no incentive and does not want to tighten interest rates too much, but if the Fed does, the agency still has the tools to solve this problem.</p><p><b>Slowing down the pace of rate hike allows the FOMC to assess progress, he said. For the future rate hike process, Powell said decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the policy lags that the market is focusing on, Powell responded that it will take some time to fully see the effects of the tightening policy, and these lags influenced today's FOMC rate hike decision of 25 basis points.</b>The full effect of the FOMC's swift tightening of monetary policy has yet to be seen, but importantly, the market does reflect the tightening the Fed is implementing, Powell said. But,<b>He also said that if it needs to adjust the rate hike to pre-December strength (that is, 75 basis points per rate hike), the Fed will do that.</b></p><p>Stable inflation expectations are reassuring, and the process of inflation slowdown has begun</p><p>Regarding inflation, Powell said that the market expects inflation to decline faster than the Fed expects, but he stressed that he doesn't know whether it will be \"tough\" to slow inflation further. If inflation does fall faster than the Fed expects, it will affect the Fed's policy decisions. As far as the current situation is concerned, the three-month (quarterly) core PCE inflation indicator in the United States is quite low, and the quarterly inflation slowdown is welcome, but whether this trend can continue or not, the Fed needs more evidence.</p><p>Powell appeared confident in the Fed's actions to control inflation, saying:</p><p>It will be satisfying that the United States is on track to slip into ultra-low inflation. He also stressed that the good thing is that market expectations for long-term inflation remain stable:</p><p>Inflation expectations appear to be stable, which is reassuring. Powell said it may be necessary to slow inflation growth to a slower economic growth rate than the long-term trend. He said the Fed is acutely aware of the difficulties that high inflation can present and will be highly focused on the two-way risks that inflation poses. He said this will be reflected in policy over time as evidence builds of inflation pulling back.</p><p>Regarding the Fed's action against inflation, Powell believes that inflation is expected to continue to rise and then fall in the housing services sector. However, in the core service industry excluding housing, ultra-low inflation has not been seen yet, and the core of service industry inflation is still around 4%. However, the Federal Reserve expects that the core service industry will soon experience ultra-low inflation.</p><p><b>Unlike previous press conferences, Powell highlighted the deflationary risk posed by rate hike for the first time.</b>He said deflationary pressures have emerged, particularly on commodities, and the Fed is mindful of impending deflation in the housing market. He said:</p><p>For the first time, we can now say that the process of slowing inflation has begun. The current cycle of the U.S. economy is unique</p><p>Regarding the state of the U.S. economy, Powell said growth slowed significantly last year, consumer spending appeared to be restrained, and housing activity continued to weaken.</p><p><b>Regarding the current economic cycle in the United States, he said that the current cycle is not a standard economic cycle, it is unique. He predicted that U.S. economic growth would continue to be moderate.</b></p><p>He stressed that the global economic situation has improved, which is important for the United States.</p><p>On whether the U.S. Congress will raise the debt ceiling, Powell said that discussions on the debt ceiling continue and that the Fed will carefully monitor money market conditions:</p><p>I believe Congress will raise the debt ceiling, which is a must. Powell believes that a downward trend in inflation must be rolled out across the U.S. economy. He emphasized not assuming that the Fed can protect the economy in the event of a debt default.</p><p>Powell also said that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. economy is no longer significant.</p><p>The Fed keeps a close eye on financial conditions, which will take time to tighten</p><p>Regarding the situation of the financial market that the market is concerned about, Powell believes that since December last year, the financial situation has remained basically unchanged, and the Federal Reserve has been carefully monitoring the financial situation.</p><p><b>Powell emphasized that the Fed's focus now is not on short-term changes in financial conditions, but on ongoing changes in financial conditions, which the Fed will consider and other conditions when formulating policy.</b></p><p>Tightening financial conditions will take time and require patience, Powell said.</p><p>The tightening of financial conditions last year was very severe, Powell said. But he did not appear to comment on the recent loosening of financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334e207d92f00fd25d372217cc8daa89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Powell's statement was interpreted dovely by the market. After Powell's statement on the financial market situation, the U.S. stock market and gold rose, and the yield of U.S. bonds fell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23929968e05b7811623571bc0446d58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef9b697f1432afc1602eb96cafd2cb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9dbead1045aa1b53ad50b77b4a3874\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The labor market remains extremely tight</p><p>On the labor market in the United States, Powell said that the labor market remains \"extremely tight,\" with wage growth rising, employment growth momentum strong, and labor demand still significantly exceeding supply.</p><p>He emphasized the importance of cooling the labor market to control inflation:</p><p>On the whole, my personal view is that inflation will not be sustained back to 2% if the labor market does not strike a better balance. In a specific split, Powell said that the Fed is seeing a decline in wage growth, but the job vacancy numbers in the JOLTs report have been quite volatile. Although the labor cost index ECI and average hourly wage have moved off their highs, they are still quite high. So far, the Fed's tightening has not come at the expense of the labor market, which is a good thing, he said.</p><p>Powell said the Fed will also be watching the next ECI report, and yesterday's data showed a constructive decline in wages.</p><p>Powell said that once the wage-price spiral can be observed, it will be too late, and the Fed cannot allow that to happen. At present, the Fed sees no sign of a wage-price spiral.</p><p>Regarding the unemployment rate, Powell said most policymakers predict it could rise slightly.</p><p>Market reaction</p><p>Traders in the interest rate swap market have concluded that the policy direction will shift further to dovish from the middle of this year. Traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points from its peak in June by the end of 2023. Traders believe the U.S. policy rate will peak in June this year, with the overnight lending rate at 4.9%; By December this year, this rate will drop to 4.4%.</p><p>For the next FOMC interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve to be held in March, the market is currently only pricing a rate hike premium of 21 basis points, which indicates that the market thinks that the probability that the Federal Reserve will rate hike another 25 basis points is 84%. On top of that, the market believes that the prospect of another Fed rate hike in May has declined.</p><p>The S&P 500 rose 1.3% at one point, the Dow turned higher and the Nasdaq rose 2.2% at one point.</p><p>At the end of trading, U.S. stocks collectively turned to a daily high, with the Dow rising nearly 250 points or 0.7% at the highest. It once fell by more than 500 points or more than 1.5% before, briefly falling below 34,000 integer digits. The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.8% and rose above 4,100 points, after falling 1% and leading the decline in the energy sector. The Nasdaq rose as high as 2.8%, after falling 0.7%. Russell small-cap stocks rose as high as 2.3%, after falling 0.5%.</p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield fell by about 12 basis points, setting a daily low of 3.3819%; The yield of two-year U.S. bonds once fell by more than 10 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.0981%; The 2/10-year U.S. bond yield spread quickly fell to a daily low of-76.226 basis points after the interest rate resolution statement was released, and now it has rebounded above-71.000 basis points, with the overall decline narrowing to less than 1.6 basis points during the day.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell: Considering about two more rate hike and then pausing, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates this year and it will take time for financial conditions to tighten</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell: Considering about two more rate hike and then pausing, it is not appropriate to cut interest rates this year and it will take time for financial conditions to tighten\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-02-02 07:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Summary: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that inflation has eased but remains high, but \"now for the first time, it can be said that the process of inflation slowing has begun.\" He said that the full effect of the FOMC's swift tightening of monetary policy has not yet been visible. The FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels and then a pause, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of restarting the rate hike after suspending the rate hike. Powell stressed that no rate cuts are expected this year given the state of the economy. He said that the current cycle in which the U.S. economy is in is not a standard economic cycle, it is unique. On Wednesday, February 1st, after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference.</p><p><b>Powell said that the FOMC is discussing a couple more rate hike to restrictive levels and then a pause, and the Fed has not explored the possibility of restarting the rate hike after suspending rate hike. He said policymakers do not see now as the time to suspend rate hike.</b></p><p><b>Regarding how many rate hike \"several times\" here refers to, Bloomberg interpreted that not everyone will think it is twice, but the media believed that it was basically certain that it would be rate hike twice again, that is, it would continue to rate hike once at 25 basis points at the FOMC meetings in March and May, which would make the Federal Funds rate rise to the range of 5% to 5.25%, reaching the expected peak interest rate level of the Federal Reserve in December.</b></p><p>The Fed is widely expected to continue to rate hike 25 basis points in March, but Powell emphasized that he has no certainty about the May FOMC meeting. Regarding the dot plot in March, he believes that it may be higher than December or lower, depending on the data. The Fed's March FOMC meeting will update the rate hike path assessment, and the Fed will keep an eye on the data from now to March.</p><p><b>Powell said he and his FOMC colleagues have made projections that suggest cutting rates this year is inappropriate.</b>He said:</p><p>Given our anticipated economic outlook, I don't think we will cut interest rates this year. However, he added that if inflation falls faster, it will affect policy decisions. On inflation, Powell said:</p><p>We will be cautious in declaring victory in anti-inflation, we are in the early stages of anti-inflation and it will take time to win. Continued rate hike is appropriate, current interest rate levels are not far from peak interest rates</p><p>At the press conference, regarding last year's rate hike action, Powell concluded that the Federal Reserve has taken strong action.</p><p>Looking ahead, he said, there will be a need to maintain the restrictive nature of monetary policy on the U.S. economy for some time,<b>The Fed continues to expect that a sustained rate hike is appropriate to reach a sufficiently restrictive stance. He stressed that the current interest rate set by the Federal Reserve has not reached a sufficiently restrictive policy stance.</b></p><p>He continues to strongly pledge to meet the 2% inflation target. He stressed that price stability is the foundation of the economy, that current levels of inflation are well above the Fed's target, that Fed officials still need to work more, and that the Fed will stay the course until the job is done. He said it was too early to declare victory:</p><p>Our expectation is that it will take some time for inflation to come back down and we need to be patient and therefore will need to keep interest rates higher for longer. He remains confident of a soft landing for the U.S. economy:</p><p>I think inflation can fall back to 2% without a really severe recession. Regarding the market's discussion of the Fed's future rate hike path,<b>He said Fed officials have spent a lot of time discussing the future path of interest rate policy but haven't made a decision on what the peak rate will be for this rate hike cycle, but he believes the current level of interest rates is not far from peaking.</b></p><p>As in previous press conferences, Powell once again reiterated that history cautions against premature policy easing, that the Fed does not want inflation to return, and it is difficult to manage the risks posed by insufficient rate hike. Powell said:</p><p>I don't want it to be six or 12 months after stopping rate hike before the Fed is forced to conclude that it hasn't done enough to bring down inflation this year and will have to raise interest rates again. But he also stressed that the Fed has no incentive and does not want to tighten interest rates too much, but if the Fed does, the agency still has the tools to solve this problem.</p><p><b>Slowing down the pace of rate hike allows the FOMC to assess progress, he said. For the future rate hike process, Powell said decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis.</b></p><p><b>Regarding the policy lags that the market is focusing on, Powell responded that it will take some time to fully see the effects of the tightening policy, and these lags influenced today's FOMC rate hike decision of 25 basis points.</b>The full effect of the FOMC's swift tightening of monetary policy has yet to be seen, but importantly, the market does reflect the tightening the Fed is implementing, Powell said. But,<b>He also said that if it needs to adjust the rate hike to pre-December strength (that is, 75 basis points per rate hike), the Fed will do that.</b></p><p>Stable inflation expectations are reassuring, and the process of inflation slowdown has begun</p><p>Regarding inflation, Powell said that the market expects inflation to decline faster than the Fed expects, but he stressed that he doesn't know whether it will be \"tough\" to slow inflation further. If inflation does fall faster than the Fed expects, it will affect the Fed's policy decisions. As far as the current situation is concerned, the three-month (quarterly) core PCE inflation indicator in the United States is quite low, and the quarterly inflation slowdown is welcome, but whether this trend can continue or not, the Fed needs more evidence.</p><p>Powell appeared confident in the Fed's actions to control inflation, saying:</p><p>It will be satisfying that the United States is on track to slip into ultra-low inflation. He also stressed that the good thing is that market expectations for long-term inflation remain stable:</p><p>Inflation expectations appear to be stable, which is reassuring. Powell said it may be necessary to slow inflation growth to a slower economic growth rate than the long-term trend. He said the Fed is acutely aware of the difficulties that high inflation can present and will be highly focused on the two-way risks that inflation poses. He said this will be reflected in policy over time as evidence builds of inflation pulling back.</p><p>Regarding the Fed's action against inflation, Powell believes that inflation is expected to continue to rise and then fall in the housing services sector. However, in the core service industry excluding housing, ultra-low inflation has not been seen yet, and the core of service industry inflation is still around 4%. However, the Federal Reserve expects that the core service industry will soon experience ultra-low inflation.</p><p><b>Unlike previous press conferences, Powell highlighted the deflationary risk posed by rate hike for the first time.</b>He said deflationary pressures have emerged, particularly on commodities, and the Fed is mindful of impending deflation in the housing market. He said:</p><p>For the first time, we can now say that the process of slowing inflation has begun. The current cycle of the U.S. economy is unique</p><p>Regarding the state of the U.S. economy, Powell said growth slowed significantly last year, consumer spending appeared to be restrained, and housing activity continued to weaken.</p><p><b>Regarding the current economic cycle in the United States, he said that the current cycle is not a standard economic cycle, it is unique. He predicted that U.S. economic growth would continue to be moderate.</b></p><p>He stressed that the global economic situation has improved, which is important for the United States.</p><p>On whether the U.S. Congress will raise the debt ceiling, Powell said that discussions on the debt ceiling continue and that the Fed will carefully monitor money market conditions:</p><p>I believe Congress will raise the debt ceiling, which is a must. Powell believes that a downward trend in inflation must be rolled out across the U.S. economy. He emphasized not assuming that the Fed can protect the economy in the event of a debt default.</p><p>Powell also said that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. economy is no longer significant.</p><p>The Fed keeps a close eye on financial conditions, which will take time to tighten</p><p>Regarding the situation of the financial market that the market is concerned about, Powell believes that since December last year, the financial situation has remained basically unchanged, and the Federal Reserve has been carefully monitoring the financial situation.</p><p><b>Powell emphasized that the Fed's focus now is not on short-term changes in financial conditions, but on ongoing changes in financial conditions, which the Fed will consider and other conditions when formulating policy.</b></p><p>Tightening financial conditions will take time and require patience, Powell said.</p><p>The tightening of financial conditions last year was very severe, Powell said. But he did not appear to comment on the recent loosening of financial markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334e207d92f00fd25d372217cc8daa89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Powell's statement was interpreted dovely by the market. After Powell's statement on the financial market situation, the U.S. stock market and gold rose, and the yield of U.S. bonds fell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23929968e05b7811623571bc0446d58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef9b697f1432afc1602eb96cafd2cb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9dbead1045aa1b53ad50b77b4a3874\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The labor market remains extremely tight</p><p>On the labor market in the United States, Powell said that the labor market remains \"extremely tight,\" with wage growth rising, employment growth momentum strong, and labor demand still significantly exceeding supply.</p><p>He emphasized the importance of cooling the labor market to control inflation:</p><p>On the whole, my personal view is that inflation will not be sustained back to 2% if the labor market does not strike a better balance. In a specific split, Powell said that the Fed is seeing a decline in wage growth, but the job vacancy numbers in the JOLTs report have been quite volatile. Although the labor cost index ECI and average hourly wage have moved off their highs, they are still quite high. So far, the Fed's tightening has not come at the expense of the labor market, which is a good thing, he said.</p><p>Powell said the Fed will also be watching the next ECI report, and yesterday's data showed a constructive decline in wages.</p><p>Powell said that once the wage-price spiral can be observed, it will be too late, and the Fed cannot allow that to happen. At present, the Fed sees no sign of a wage-price spiral.</p><p>Regarding the unemployment rate, Powell said most policymakers predict it could rise slightly.</p><p>Market reaction</p><p>Traders in the interest rate swap market have concluded that the policy direction will shift further to dovish from the middle of this year. Traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points from its peak in June by the end of 2023. Traders believe the U.S. policy rate will peak in June this year, with the overnight lending rate at 4.9%; By December this year, this rate will drop to 4.4%.</p><p>For the next FOMC interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve to be held in March, the market is currently only pricing a rate hike premium of 21 basis points, which indicates that the market thinks that the probability that the Federal Reserve will rate hike another 25 basis points is 84%. On top of that, the market believes that the prospect of another Fed rate hike in May has declined.</p><p>The S&P 500 rose 1.3% at one point, the Dow turned higher and the Nasdaq rose 2.2% at one point.</p><p>At the end of trading, U.S. stocks collectively turned to a daily high, with the Dow rising nearly 250 points or 0.7% at the highest. It once fell by more than 500 points or more than 1.5% before, briefly falling below 34,000 integer digits. The S&P 500 rose as much as 1.8% and rose above 4,100 points, after falling 1% and leading the decline in the energy sector. The Nasdaq rose as high as 2.8%, after falling 0.7%. Russell small-cap stocks rose as high as 2.3%, after falling 0.5%.</p><p>The U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield fell by about 12 basis points, setting a daily low of 3.3819%; The yield of two-year U.S. bonds once fell by more than 10 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.0981%; The 2/10-year U.S. bond yield spread quickly fell to a daily low of-76.226 basis points after the interest rate resolution statement was released, and now it has rebounded above-71.000 basis points, with the overall decline narrowing to less than 1.6 basis points during the day.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/499d73ece33aa33a20d67cc087f64953","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139522843","content_text":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。鲍威尔强调，鉴于经济状况，预计今年不会降息。他说，当前美国经济所处的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。2月1日周三，在美联储公布最新利率决议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。鲍威尔说，FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。他说，政策制定者并不认为现在是暂停加息的时候。关于这里的“几次”指的是多少次加息，彭博社解读认为，并非每个人都会认为是两次，但该媒体认为基本上可以确定是再加息两次，即在3月和5月的FOMC会议上继续以25个基点的幅度分别加息一次，这将令联邦基金利率上升至5%至5.25%的区间，达到12月时美联储的预期利率峰值水平。市场普遍预计3月美联储将继续加息25个基点，但鲍威尔强调，他对5月FOMC会议不抱任何确定性。关于3月的点阵图，他认为，可能高于12月，也可能更低，具体取决于数据，美联储3月FOMC会议将更新加息路径评估，美联储将留意从现在到三月的数据。鲍威尔表示，他和他的FOMC同事们做出的预测表明，今年降息是不合适。他表示：鉴于我们预期的经济前景，我认为我们今年不会降息。不过他补充称，如果通胀下降得更快，那么这将影响政策决策。在通胀问题上，鲍威尔表示：我们将在宣布抗通胀取得胜利上采取谨慎态度，我们正处于反通胀的早期阶段，取得胜利需要时间。继续加息是适当的，当前利率水平距利率峰值不远在记者会上，对去年一年的加息行动，鲍威尔总结说，美联储采取了有力的行动。展望未来，他说，将需要在一段时期内维持货币政策对美国经济的的限制性，美联储继续预期持续的加息是适当的，以达到充分的限制性立场。他强调，当前美联储制定的利率还没有达到足够限制性的政策立场。他继续强烈承诺将实现2%通胀目标。他强调，物价稳定是经济的基础，当前的通胀水平远高于美联储的目标，美联储官员们仍然需要付出更多努力，美联储将坚持到底，直到工作完成。他说，现在宣布胜利还为时过早：我们的预期是，通胀需要一定时间才能回落，我们需要耐心，因此将需要在更长时间内保持较高的利率。他对美国经济软着陆依然有信心：我认为通胀可以回落到2%，而不会出现真正严重的经济衰退。关于市场对于美联储未来加息路径的讨论，他说，美联储官员们花了很多时间讨论利率政策的未来路径，但还没有就本轮加息周期的利率峰值是多少做出决定，但他相信当前的利率水平已经距离利率峰值不远了。和前几次记者会一样，鲍威尔再次重申，历史告诫不要过早放松政策，美联储不希望通货膨胀卷土重来，很难管理加息不够带来的风险。鲍威尔说：我不希望在停止加息后的6个月或12个月后，美联储才迫不得已得出结论：今年在降低通货膨胀方面做得不够，将不得不再次提高利率。但他也强调，美联储没有动力也不想过度收紧利率，但如果美联储真的过度收紧，该机构依然有工具来解决这个问题。他说，放慢加息节奏可以让FOMC评估进展。对于未来的加息进程，鲍威尔说，将在逐个会议上做出决定。对于市场关注的政策滞后性，鲍威尔回应称，需要一段时间才能充分看到紧缩政策的效果，这些滞后性影响了今天FOMC加息25个基点的决定。鲍威尔说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来，但重要的是，市场确实反映了美联储正在实施的紧缩政策。不过，他也说，如果需要调整加息幅度至12月以前的力度（即每次加息75个基点），美联储将那样做。通胀预期稳定令人安心，通胀放缓进程已经开始关于通胀，鲍威尔说，市场预计通胀下降速度比美联储预期的更快，但是他强调，不知道通胀进一步放缓是否会“艰难”。如果通胀下降速度真的比美联储预期的快，这将影响美联储的政策决策。就目前的状况来看，美国三个月期（季度性）核心PCE通胀指标相当低，季度性通胀放缓是可喜的，但这一趋势是否可以延续，美联储需要更多证据。鲍威尔对美联储控制通胀的行动似乎很有信心，他说：美国有望陷入超低通胀，这将让人感到心满意足。他也强调，好的一点是，市场对长期通胀的预期保持稳定：通胀预期似乎很稳定，这令人安心。鲍威尔说，可能需要将通胀增速降低至低于长期趋势的经济增长速度。他说，美联储敏锐地意识到高通胀会带来困难，将高度关注通胀带来的双向风险。他说，随着通货膨胀回落的证据越来越多，这将随着时间的推移反映在政策中。关于美联储对抗通胀的行动，鲍威尔认为，预计通胀将继续在住房服务领域上升，然后下降。但在不包括住房的核心服务业中，还没有看到超低通胀现象，服务业通胀的核心仍在4%左右，不过美联储预计核心服务业将很快出现超低通胀现象。和前几次记者会不同的是，鲍威尔首次强调了加息带来的通缩风险。他说，通缩压力已经浮现，特别是在商品方面，美联储注意到房地产市场即将出现通货紧缩。他说：我们现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。美国经济当前所处的周期独一无二关于美国的经济状况，鲍威尔说，去年经济增长明显放缓，消费者支出似乎受到抑制，房地产活动继续疲软。关于美国当前所处的经济周期，他说，当前的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。他预测美国经济增长将继续保持温和。他强调，全球经济形势有所改善，这对美国很重要。关于美国国会是否会提高债务上限，鲍威尔说，关于债务上限的讨论仍在继续，美联储将仔细监测货币市场状况：我相信国会会提高债务上限，这是必须的。鲍威尔认为，通胀下降的趋势必须在整个美国经济中铺开。他强调，不要假设美联储可以在发生债务违约时保护经济。鲍威尔还说，新冠疫情在美国经济中影响不再重大。美联储密切关注金融状况，金融状况收紧需要时间关于市场关注的金融市场的状况，鲍威尔认为，自去年12月以来，金融状况基本保持不变，美联储也在一直仔细监控金融状况。鲍威尔强调，美联储现在关注的重点不是金融状况的短期变化，而是侧重于金融条件的持续变化，在制定政策时，美联储将考虑金融状况和其他条件。鲍威尔说，金融状况收紧将需要时间，需要耐心。鲍威尔说，去年金融状况收紧非常严重。但他似乎并没有对最近金融市场变得宽松作出评论。鲍威尔的此番表态被市场做了鸽派解读，在鲍威尔就金融市场状况表态后，美国股市、黄金上涨，美债收益率下行。劳动力市场依然极度紧张关于美国的劳动力市场，鲍威尔说，劳动力市场仍然“极度紧张”，工资增速提高，就业增长势头强劲，劳动力需求依然大幅超过供给。他强调劳动力市场降温对于控制通胀的重要性：总的来看，如果劳动力市场没有达到更好的平衡，我个人的观点是，通胀率不会持续回到2%。具体拆分来看，鲍威尔说，美联储看到工资增速在下降，但是JOLTs报告中的职位空缺数字一直相当不稳定。尽管劳动力成本指数ECI和平均时薪已经脱离高点，但仍然相当高。他说，到目前为止，美联储的紧缩政策并没有以劳动力市场为代价，这是一件好事。鲍威尔说，美联储还将关注下一份ECI报告，昨天的数据显示工资下降，具有建设性。鲍威尔说，一旦能观察到工资—价格螺旋上升，就太晚了，美联储不能允许这种情况发生，当前，美联储没有看到工资—价格螺旋上升的迹象。关于失业率，鲍威尔说，大多数政策制定者预测失业率可能会略有上升。市场反应利率互换市场的交易员得出的结论是，政策方向将从今年年中开始进一步转向鸽派。交易员们预计，到2023年年底，美联储将较6月利率峰值降息50个基点。交易员们认为，今年6月美国政策利率将达到峰值，隔夜拆借利率为4.9%；到今年12月，这一利率将下降至4.4%。对于下一次即3月召开的美联储FOMC议息会议，目前市场仅定价21个基点的加息溢价，这表明市场认为美联储将再加息25个基点的可能性为 84%。除此之外，市场认为美联储在5月份再次加息的前景已经下降。标普500指数一度上涨1.3%，道指转涨，纳指一度上涨2.2%。尾盘时美股集体转涨至日高，道指最高涨近250点或涨0.7%，此前一度跌超500点或跌超1.5%，短暂失守3.4万点整数位。标普500指数最高涨1.8%并升破4100点，此前跌1%且能源板块领跌。纳指最高涨2.8%，此前跌0.7%。罗素小盘股最高涨2.3%，此前跌0.5%。美国10年期国债收益率跌约12个基点，刷新日低至3.3819%；两年期美债收益率一度跌超10个基点，刷新日低至4.0981%；2/10年期美债收益率利差在利率决议声明发布后迅速跌至日低-76.226个基点，目前反弹至-71.000个基点上方，日内整体跌幅收窄至不足1.6个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158255,"gmtCreate":1675295602577,"gmtModify":1676538990246,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158255","repostId":"2308726057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2308726057","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1675295438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308726057?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"\"Wood Sister\" Big Blood Return: ARKK skyrocketed 27.8% in January, the best monthly performance in history","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308726057","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>After two consecutive years of declines, ARKK surged 27.8% in January for its best monthly performance on record, benefiting from a strong rally in tech stocks in January. Sister Wood recently reminded investors that U.S. stocks need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve saying that it is sending a signal to end the rate hike process. With the strong rebound of U.S. technology stocks in January, the flagship fund run by \"Wood Sister\" Cathie Wood also \"made a big return\" and recorded its best monthly performance ever.</p><p>Cathie Wood's flagship fund, according to Dow Jones Market Data<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(ARKK) accumulated 27.8% gains in January, its best monthly performance on record.</p><p>In 2020, U.S. tech stocks benefited from the wave of working from home and learning brought on by the COVID pandemic, with ARKK surging nearly 150% that year. With the Fed thinking about Taper starting in 2021, especially since the Fed began its aggressive rate hike last year, tech stocks were the first to be hit by rising interest rates that dropped valuations of tech companies, and ARKK's investment strategy was also hit, with ARKK falling 21% and 67% in 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bb19e68d53ab5d955a20abaca1cf54\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since the beginning of this year, the yield of U.S. bonds has begun to fall, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to further slow down its rate hike. In addition, investors don't believe that the Federal Reserve will really implement its plan to keep interest rates above 5% for a period of time, and traders bet that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates within the year.</p><p>U.S. bond yields fell sharply in January. The 2-year and 5-year Treasury Bond yields fell 22 basis points and 37 basis points, respectively. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury also fell to 3.49% from a peak of 4.2% last October.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339d561af834045964365a2ae1c50075\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This is the second-largest monthly decline in 5-year Treasury yields since March 2020, the peak of the Fed's intervention during the pandemic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe059733e60730ad473fd43fcdd465b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Not long ago, Wood said at a quarterly investor seminar:</p><p><b>We're happy to see bond yields start to decline.</b>If the logic of rising interest rates disproportionately hurting growth stocks last year is reversed, the discounted value of future cash flows should rise. Just like in the early 1980s, the stock market needs to take note that the Fed says it is signaling an end to the rate hike process. Wood has repeatedly warned that a sudden Fed rate hike could trigger a period of deflation,<b>Inflation could drop to 3% or less by mid-2023.</b></p><p>I think the Fed is about to end this tightening move. In January, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 10.7%, the best January performance since 2001, and the biggest monthly increase since July last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180e00989326614d76f66b198186237a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Wood's favored<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Tesla, which performed well in January and had its worst performance in history last year, gained 44% in January.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Wood Sister\" Big Blood Return: ARKK skyrocketed 27.8% in January, the best monthly performance in history</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Wood Sister\" Big Blood Return: ARKK skyrocketed 27.8% in January, the best monthly performance in history\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-02-02 07:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>After two consecutive years of declines, ARKK surged 27.8% in January for its best monthly performance on record, benefiting from a strong rally in tech stocks in January. Sister Wood recently reminded investors that U.S. stocks need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve saying that it is sending a signal to end the rate hike process. With the strong rebound of U.S. technology stocks in January, the flagship fund run by \"Wood Sister\" Cathie Wood also \"made a big return\" and recorded its best monthly performance ever.</p><p>Cathie Wood's flagship fund, according to Dow Jones Market Data<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(ARKK) accumulated 27.8% gains in January, its best monthly performance on record.</p><p>In 2020, U.S. tech stocks benefited from the wave of working from home and learning brought on by the COVID pandemic, with ARKK surging nearly 150% that year. With the Fed thinking about Taper starting in 2021, especially since the Fed began its aggressive rate hike last year, tech stocks were the first to be hit by rising interest rates that dropped valuations of tech companies, and ARKK's investment strategy was also hit, with ARKK falling 21% and 67% in 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bb19e68d53ab5d955a20abaca1cf54\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since the beginning of this year, the yield of U.S. bonds has begun to fall, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to further slow down its rate hike. In addition, investors don't believe that the Federal Reserve will really implement its plan to keep interest rates above 5% for a period of time, and traders bet that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates within the year.</p><p>U.S. bond yields fell sharply in January. The 2-year and 5-year Treasury Bond yields fell 22 basis points and 37 basis points, respectively. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury also fell to 3.49% from a peak of 4.2% last October.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339d561af834045964365a2ae1c50075\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This is the second-largest monthly decline in 5-year Treasury yields since March 2020, the peak of the Fed's intervention during the pandemic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe059733e60730ad473fd43fcdd465b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Not long ago, Wood said at a quarterly investor seminar:</p><p><b>We're happy to see bond yields start to decline.</b>If the logic of rising interest rates disproportionately hurting growth stocks last year is reversed, the discounted value of future cash flows should rise. Just like in the early 1980s, the stock market needs to take note that the Fed says it is signaling an end to the rate hike process. Wood has repeatedly warned that a sudden Fed rate hike could trigger a period of deflation,<b>Inflation could drop to 3% or less by mid-2023.</b></p><p>I think the Fed is about to end this tightening move. In January, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 10.7%, the best January performance since 2001, and the biggest monthly increase since July last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180e00989326614d76f66b198186237a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Wood's favored<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Tesla, which performed well in January and had its worst performance in history last year, gained 44% in January.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdcf7fb84fcd8462e772a725a35e3d36","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308726057","content_text":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。随着美国科技股在1月的强劲反弹，“木头姐”Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金也“大回血”，创下有史以来的最佳月度表现。根据道琼斯市场数据，Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金ARK Innovation ETF（ARKK）在1月份累计上涨达27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。在2020年，美国科技股受益于新冠疫情带来的居家办公和学习浪潮，ARKK在当年飙涨了近150%。随着美联储从2021年开始考虑Taper，尤其是去年美联储开始激进加息以来，不断提高的利率令科技公司估值下降，科技股最先受到打击，ARKK的投资策略也遭到波及，ARKK在2021年和2022年分别下跌了21%和67%。今年以来，美债收益率开始回落，市场也普遍预期美联储将进一步放缓加息脚步，此外，投资者不相信美联储真的会落实维持利率在5%以上一段时间的计划，交易员们押注美联储将在年内开始降息。美债收益率在1月份大幅下行。2年期和5年期国债收益率分别下行22个基点和37个基点。10年期美债收益率也从去年10月4.2%的峰值回落至3.49%。这是自2020年3月（美联储在疫情期间实施干预措施的高峰）以来，5年期美债收益率出现的第二大月度降幅。前不久，Wood在季度投资者研讨会上说：我们很高兴看到债券收益率开始下降。如果去年利率上升对成长型股票造成不成比例伤害的逻辑逆转了，那么未来现金流的折现价值应该会上升。就像在1980年代初期一样，股市需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。Wood曾一再警告称，美联储突然加息可能引发一段时期的通缩，并表示，到2023年年中，通胀率可能降至3%或更低。我认为美联储即将结束这一紧缩举措。1月纳斯达克综合指数为累计上涨10.7%，创2001年以来的最佳1月份表现，并刷新去年7月来最大月度涨幅。Wood青睐的特斯拉在1月表现抢眼，在去年创历史最差表现的特斯拉，在1月斩获44%的涨幅。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKK":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952565631,"gmtCreate":1674829243924,"gmtModify":1676538961150,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[鬼脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[鬼脸]&nbsp;","text":"[鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952565631","repostId":"1142142923","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952022680,"gmtCreate":1674274904741,"gmtModify":1676538935043,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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