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youwantwhat
2021-06-09
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GameStop’s Five Year Trajectory Is Tenuous
youwantwhat
2021-06-09
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2021-06-09
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Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling
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However, retail investors have bid up the stock, and shares are more than double their May low of $136.50. Meanwhile, in the first two hours of June 8, the price has risen nearly 17% to a high of $344.66 and then dropped even lower than its starting price.</p>\n<p>Many investors are hoping that a digital transformation will help the company mount a much-needed turnaround — GameStop has a long-term vision of transforming from a brick-and-mortar retail company into a digital enterprise.</p>\n<p>However, this is easier said than done.</p>\n<p>As I have mentionedin prior articles, GameStop was struggling long before the pandemic. The top line is consistently declining over the last five years as it tries to keep up with<b>Sony</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SONY</u></b>),<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>MSFT</u></b>), and<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>), competitors who are increasingly relying on digital innovation for their future success. Not the case when it comes to GME.</p>\n<p>Hence, even though the temptation to join in is there, I will still advise you to stay miles away from this one.</p>\n<p><b>Flawed Fundamentals</b></p>\n<p>Through the end of 2020, GameStop’s sales reportedlydropped more than 30% per quarter, dropping in 10 out of 11 of its previous quarters. In the last decade, the video game retailer has had several years with negative revenue growth. If we take a look at the data from the last 12 quarters, GME has reported a “positive” surprisejust four times. GME had an operating income of $648 million in 2015. Last year, the company was sitting at a $238 million operating loss.</p>\n<p>In many ways, GME reminds me of<b>Dish Network’s</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>DISH</u></b>) Blockbuster. There was a time when it looked like the home movie provider could do no wrong. However, it has become a cautionary tale of not evolving with the times. In 2004 then CEO of Blockbuster John Antioco understood the need to invest in an online platform. However, he faced stiff opposition from activist investor Carl Icahn who disagreed and removed him. In five years, the company was bankrupt.</p>\n<p>Understandably, if GME wants to avoid this future, it must think outside of the box and focus on building its digital platform. The good thing is that when George E. Sherman took the helm as GameStop’s new CEO in April 2019, he had two things in mind: reducing costs on the brick-and-mortar business and expanding the digital platform.</p>\n<p>The strategy is working. On Jan. 11, the video gamereportedworldwide sales results reflecting a 4.8% increase in comparable-store sales and a 309% increase in e-commerce sales.</p>\n<p>But the company’s e-commerce setup still does not compare in any way to Amazon or Sony.</p>\n<p><b>Beginning of the End</b></p>\n<p>The biggest question surrounding GME stock is whether it is best to count your blessings and exit. Shares are still up over 80% in a month, so Redditors still like this stock — GME and<b>AMC</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) have traded spots several times for the most popular choice among members of the platform.</p>\n<p>However, you have to ask yourself where GME stock will be in five years. Our very own Chris Markochwrote a great articleabout<b>Disney</b>(NYSE:<b><u>DIS</u></b>). He wrote, “If you had purchased shares of DIS stock on Jan. 7, 2000 and never sold your shares, you are sitting on a share price gain of over 470%. That doesn’t include any dividend gains you may have reinvested over that time.”</p>\n<p>In the article, he highlights how Disney did not sit on its haunches and has transformed itself into one of the biggest conglomerates in the world.</p>\n<p>Although new GME management deserves credit for pivoting the company into a new direction, it will take time to alleviate the issues that ail the video game retailer and move forward with a coherent strategy. Reddit enthusiasm notwithstanding, a lot of work still needs to be done before GME stock is a viable investment again.</p>\n<p><b>My Final Word</b></p>\n<p>For a long time now, I have been advocating against loading up on GME stock because of the flawed fundamentals. But does that mean that another rally is not around the corner? For sure, one cannot say that considering time and again, Redditors have shown their resilience when it comes to this company.</p>\n<p>In many ways, GME stock has become iconic because of thesupport it has receivedfrom r/WallStreetBets. I do not expect that to change anytime soon. However, is this a stock that you can buy and keep for the next five years? According to the fundamentals, if you do that, it will be a bad decision.</p>\n<p><i>On the date of publication, Faizan Farooque</i><i>did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.</i></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop’s Five Year Trajectory Is Tenuous</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop’s Five Year Trajectory Is Tenuous\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/06/gamestops-five-year-trajectory-is-tenuous/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GME management is trying to steer the ship to calmer waters, but they have a tough task ahead of them.\n\nThe meme stock to end all meme stocks,GameStop(NYSE:GME), is finally losing a bit of steam.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/gamestops-five-year-trajectory-is-tenuous/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/06/gamestops-five-year-trajectory-is-tenuous/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184778465","content_text":"GME management is trying to steer the ship to calmer waters, but they have a tough task ahead of them.\n\nThe meme stock to end all meme stocks,GameStop(NYSE:GME), is finally losing a bit of steam.\nSource: Shutterstock\nShares cooled off last Thursday after volatility across the broader markets pushed the major indices in the red. However, retail investors have bid up the stock, and shares are more than double their May low of $136.50. Meanwhile, in the first two hours of June 8, the price has risen nearly 17% to a high of $344.66 and then dropped even lower than its starting price.\nMany investors are hoping that a digital transformation will help the company mount a much-needed turnaround — GameStop has a long-term vision of transforming from a brick-and-mortar retail company into a digital enterprise.\nHowever, this is easier said than done.\nAs I have mentionedin prior articles, GameStop was struggling long before the pandemic. The top line is consistently declining over the last five years as it tries to keep up withSony(NYSE:SONY),Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), andAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), competitors who are increasingly relying on digital innovation for their future success. Not the case when it comes to GME.\nHence, even though the temptation to join in is there, I will still advise you to stay miles away from this one.\nFlawed Fundamentals\nThrough the end of 2020, GameStop’s sales reportedlydropped more than 30% per quarter, dropping in 10 out of 11 of its previous quarters. In the last decade, the video game retailer has had several years with negative revenue growth. If we take a look at the data from the last 12 quarters, GME has reported a “positive” surprisejust four times. GME had an operating income of $648 million in 2015. Last year, the company was sitting at a $238 million operating loss.\nIn many ways, GME reminds me ofDish Network’s(NASDAQ:DISH) Blockbuster. There was a time when it looked like the home movie provider could do no wrong. However, it has become a cautionary tale of not evolving with the times. In 2004 then CEO of Blockbuster John Antioco understood the need to invest in an online platform. However, he faced stiff opposition from activist investor Carl Icahn who disagreed and removed him. In five years, the company was bankrupt.\nUnderstandably, if GME wants to avoid this future, it must think outside of the box and focus on building its digital platform. The good thing is that when George E. Sherman took the helm as GameStop’s new CEO in April 2019, he had two things in mind: reducing costs on the brick-and-mortar business and expanding the digital platform.\nThe strategy is working. On Jan. 11, the video gamereportedworldwide sales results reflecting a 4.8% increase in comparable-store sales and a 309% increase in e-commerce sales.\nBut the company’s e-commerce setup still does not compare in any way to Amazon or Sony.\nBeginning of the End\nThe biggest question surrounding GME stock is whether it is best to count your blessings and exit. Shares are still up over 80% in a month, so Redditors still like this stock — GME andAMC(NYSE:AMC) have traded spots several times for the most popular choice among members of the platform.\nHowever, you have to ask yourself where GME stock will be in five years. Our very own Chris Markochwrote a great articleaboutDisney(NYSE:DIS). He wrote, “If you had purchased shares of DIS stock on Jan. 7, 2000 and never sold your shares, you are sitting on a share price gain of over 470%. That doesn’t include any dividend gains you may have reinvested over that time.”\nIn the article, he highlights how Disney did not sit on its haunches and has transformed itself into one of the biggest conglomerates in the world.\nAlthough new GME management deserves credit for pivoting the company into a new direction, it will take time to alleviate the issues that ail the video game retailer and move forward with a coherent strategy. Reddit enthusiasm notwithstanding, a lot of work still needs to be done before GME stock is a viable investment again.\nMy Final Word\nFor a long time now, I have been advocating against loading up on GME stock because of the flawed fundamentals. But does that mean that another rally is not around the corner? For sure, one cannot say that considering time and again, Redditors have shown their resilience when it comes to this company.\nIn many ways, GME stock has become iconic because of thesupport it has receivedfrom r/WallStreetBets. I do not expect that to change anytime soon. However, is this a stock that you can buy and keep for the next five years? According to the fundamentals, if you do that, it will be a bad decision.\nOn the date of publication, Faizan Farooquedid not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189059728,"gmtCreate":1623235112964,"gmtModify":1704198940331,"author":{"id":"3586328023047423","authorId":"3586328023047423","name":"youwantwhat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040336c34819c84fe9c8dd63e1246f78","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586328023047423","authorIdStr":"3586328023047423"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189059728","repostId":"1150925841","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189050468,"gmtCreate":1623235029154,"gmtModify":1704198939353,"author":{"id":"3586328023047423","authorId":"3586328023047423","name":"youwantwhat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040336c34819c84fe9c8dd63e1246f78","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586328023047423","authorIdStr":"3586328023047423"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189050468","repostId":"1181136591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181136591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623229921,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181136591?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181136591","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Stock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.</li>\n <li>High growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.</li>\n <li>Shares need to break out of their technical range.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>We are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c4a0333188c18d1f43e4e85b41523a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"272\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>The first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).</p>\n<p>In my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b61b66cfb83a8e7f307580dd6277be6\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"397\">(<i>Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)</i></p>\n<p>I said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.</p>\n<p>Also, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.</p>\n<p>The second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.</p>\n<p>In a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.</p>\n<p>But with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.</p>\n<p>Right now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e9824e0460f9dd99f18e189ee0cff4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>While Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Why Shares Are Struggling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1181136591","content_text":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nThe first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).\nIn my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)\nI said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.\nAlso, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.\nThe second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.\nIn a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.\nBut with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.\nRight now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nWhile Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":189053242,"gmtCreate":1623235171086,"gmtModify":1704198941150,"author":{"id":"3586328023047423","authorId":"3586328023047423","name":"youwantwhat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040336c34819c84fe9c8dd63e1246f78","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586328023047423","authorIdStr":"3586328023047423"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good very good ","listText":"Good very good ","text":"Good very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189053242","repostId":"1184778465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189050468,"gmtCreate":1623235029154,"gmtModify":1704198939353,"author":{"id":"3586328023047423","authorId":"3586328023047423","name":"youwantwhat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040336c34819c84fe9c8dd63e1246f78","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586328023047423","authorIdStr":"3586328023047423"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189050468","repostId":"1181136591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181136591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623229921,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181136591?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181136591","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Stock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.</li>\n <li>High growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.</li>\n <li>Shares need to break out of their technical range.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>We are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c4a0333188c18d1f43e4e85b41523a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"272\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>The first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).</p>\n<p>In my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b61b66cfb83a8e7f307580dd6277be6\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"397\">(<i>Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)</i></p>\n<p>I said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.</p>\n<p>Also, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.</p>\n<p>The second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.</p>\n<p>In a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.</p>\n<p>But with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.</p>\n<p>Right now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e9824e0460f9dd99f18e189ee0cff4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\">(<i>Source: Yahoo! Finance)</i></p>\n<p>While Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Why Shares Are Struggling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Why Shares Are Struggling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:12 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433665-apple-why-shares-are-struggling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1181136591","content_text":"Summary\n\nStock is down this year despite two massive earnings beats.\nHigh growth bar and rising taxes may be the two biggest culprits.\nShares need to break out of their technical range.\n\nWe are just a few weeks away from the midpoint of 2021. If you had told someone that technology giant Apple (AAPL) would have reported two of the biggest earnings beats in corporate history so far this year and yet the stock would have significantly underperformed the NASDAQ Index, they might not have believed you. However, that's just where we are now, as the chart below shows how the stock has declined 5.1% through Monday despite the Index's nice gains. Today, I'd like to discuss why I believe shares are doing poorly at the moment, why these bearish points should be mostly discounted, and how Apple can get back to all-time highs.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nThe first thing I can point to as a reason for underperformance is actually outperformance. Apple shares over the past five years, prior to the start of this one, had gone from the mid $20s (dividend and split-adjusted) to roughly $132 a share. The stock was a big winner and thus expectations continued to go higher and higher. Some investors just weren't willing to bet on a company worth a bit more than $2 trillion, and a number of last year's winners have struggled so far this year, like Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN).\nIn my last Apple article, I discussed how the company was becominga victim of its own success. Because the two earnings reports so far this year were so great, the thought process has shifted to can Apple ever do any better? In this case, I'm not talking about strict dollar amounts, but growth percentages. Look at the chart below, showing how once we hit the December 2021 (fiscal Q1 2022) quarter, revenue growth rates are expected to crash down.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha estimates page,seen here)\nI said previously that Apple bears would jump at the possibility of Apple announcing a revenue decline for the March 2022 fiscal quarter, even if it is due to the previous year being one of the best quarters we've ever seen. Fortunately, Apple's overall revenue trajectory remains strong, and I think management has a solid plan in place. Just like we saw with the iPad earlier this year, I think new storage options on this year's iPhones will allow for average selling price upside, offsetting some concerns of a supercycle sales slowdown.\nAlso, despite Apple having a great start to the year, Macmarket share wasonly 8% in calendar Q1, so imagine how much more room there is to grow in the PC space. I'm not concerned with a revenue blip every now and then if the long-term trajectory is still for more records, which is what most expectations call for in the coming years.\nThe second item I believe investors are a little worried about is the potential for rising taxes. The first part of this would obviously be higher taxes on the rich, especially capital gains taxes, that could limit investment in stocks. For Apple though, the issue would be higher corporate taxes, which obviously would impact the profit monster. For instance, the difference between an overall tax rate of 15% versus 18% for Apple in its fiscal 2022 year (based on current estimates) is roughly $3 billion in net income, or almost 20 cents in EPS. A nickel per quarter headwind makes it harder to impress investors, especially when you are coming off the best year in your history.\nIn a similar manner, investors are likely concerned about the potential rise in interest rates and ending of easy money policies around the globe. Stocks have been pushed to new all-time highs as a result, but what happens when the Fed starts to taper and other central banks follow suit? Apple shares had run to a forward P/E valuation in the low to mid 30s, well above themid-teens figure it was at just a few years ago.\nBut with the decline in shares from their highs and the rise in EPS estimates after two large beats, you are now paying about 24 times the next twelve months' expected EPS. That's not a terrible price to pay considering the total package, including the massive buyback, and theaverage analyst price targetrepresents more than $30 upside from current levels. Interestingly enough, rising interest rates are actually good further down the Apple income statement, as its $80 billion or so in net cash will generate a bit of extra interest.\nRight now, Apple shares are stuck in a trading range, as the chart below shows. The 50-day moving average (purple line) is forming resistance, while the 200-day (orange line) is forming support. The next major move can occur once Apple can get out of this channel, and investors are hoping it is to the upside, which could form the base to get the stock to new highs. If shares drop, the 50-day could cross below its longer-term counterpart, which would be the dreaded technical death cross.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nWhile Apple as a business has been firing on all cylinders lately, the same cannot be said for shares of the stock. After a massive multi-year rally, it seems that investors are worried about tough growth comparisons coming up, rising interest rates, and higher corporate taxes. While these fears are something to keep in mind, the valuation of the name has improved to a point where they should mostly be digested. Now, the stock just needs to break out of its recent trading range, and getting above the 50-day could be the catalyst to get the name going again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189059728,"gmtCreate":1623235112964,"gmtModify":1704198940331,"author":{"id":"3586328023047423","authorId":"3586328023047423","name":"youwantwhat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040336c34819c84fe9c8dd63e1246f78","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586328023047423","authorIdStr":"3586328023047423"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189059728","repostId":"1150925841","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
