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lowzihong02
2021-09-03
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Can Tesla Stock Reach $1000 As Momentum Returns?
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2021-08-23
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2021-08-13
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2021-08-13
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2021-08-12
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2021-08-12
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2021-08-06
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2021-08-04
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2021-08-02
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2021-08-02
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2021-08-02
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2021-08-02
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2021-07-30
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2021-07-30
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2021-07-29
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2021-07-28
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2021-07-28
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2021-07-27
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2021-07-26
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2021-07-26
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days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":815284115,"gmtCreate":1630680938437,"gmtModify":1676530375762,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comm for same","listText":"like n comm for same","text":"like n comm for same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/815284115","repostId":"1168724079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168724079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630658701,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168724079?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla Stock Reach $1000 As Momentum Returns?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168724079","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla stock started 2021 on the wrong footing but has since recovered strongly as it outperformed General Motors and Ford in the last three months.Investors should move on to using EBIT multiples to value the stock given the company's strong expected EBIT growth momentum moving forward.Some investors often missed out on momentum as one of the key factors driving Tesla's stock price, leading them to adopt a surprisingly bearish stance.Tesla, Inc. receives one of the highest coverage by the Stree","content":"<h3>Summary</h3>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla stock started 2021 on the wrong footing but has since recovered strongly as it outperformed General Motors and Ford in the last three months.</li>\n <li>Investors should move on to using EBIT multiples to value the stock given the company's strong expected EBIT growth momentum moving forward.</li>\n <li>Some investors often missed out on momentum as one of the key factors driving Tesla's stock price, leading them to adopt a surprisingly bearish stance.</li>\n <li>While no one has a crystal ball, we show investors what they should consider on whether the stock can reach the $1,000 milestone.</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Investment Thesis</h3>\n<p>Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) receives one of the highest coverage by the Street as 33 analysts pitched in with their thesis on Tesla, which we think is arguably one of the most contentious stocks in the US with a target price that has found little agreement as the Street's best minds derived a wide target price range from $540 to $860, including 14 very bullish/bullish ratings, 12 neutral ratings, and 7 very bearish/bearish ones.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54d68b6642f907ee5d81c7bc996b636d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Street's mean target price and ratings. Data source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p>\n<p>In case we forgot to mention, Ark Invest's super Tesla bull CEO/CIO Cathie Wood recently defended her thesis on Tesla and even emphasized that she didn't see any bubble forming in Tesla's case as the Street's indecisiveness on the company (which is also reflected in the neutral rating above) reflected the market's uncertain position where she believes is conducive for Tesla to climb the wall of worry and move towards the firm's2025 target price of $3,000.</p>\n<p>In this article, we help our readers understand whether Tesla stock can reach $1,000 (first) and the key underlying factors to consider to reach the key milestone.</p>\n<p>Before discussing further, in case you are new to Tesla, you may consider reading up on our recent articles on Tesla to help you understand Tesla's business model and market opportunity in greater detail (link to the articles are appendedhereandhere).</p>\n<h3>Tesla Stock Recent Performance</h3>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d78527f2a28bd487dfcfb5765ec5138a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>TSLA Vs. F Vs. GM 3M performance (as of 02 Sep 21).</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe48fa6769132393855a57b1d6bd422\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Tesla Vs. VLUE Vs. VUG 3M performance (as of 02 Sep 21).</span></p>\n<p>There is no doubt that Tesla stock has significantly underperformed the broad market in 2021 with a 4.83% YTD return as of 02 Sep 21. However, the stock has been performing well lately, as it notched an 18.6% return over the last 3 months, which significantly outperformed Ford (F) stock -11% return, and General Motors (GM) stock -17.1% return, as the growth-to-value rotation's momentum fizzled out spectacularly, with growth investing regaining center stage among dip buyers as readers can easily observe from Vanguard Growth ETF's (VUG) outperformance against iShares Value Factor ETF (VLUE) in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p>Therefore, with momentum having returned to growth investing and Tesla stock, we think it's an opportune time for us to help investors to consider whether Tesla could be on its way to break its previous post-split all-time high (ATH) of $900 and reach the $1,000 milestone.</p>\n<h3>Focus on Tesla's EBIT Growth</h3>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b6e2fd23dafe3a5ebff061d0bbee412\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Quarterly regulatory credits revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p>Tesla's Q2 numbers rebutted a key criticism that detractors often labeled: that the company depends mainly on regulatory credits to generate its profits. In the recent earnings release, Tesla reported a highly impressive quarterly operating income of $1.36B, representing an impressive YoY increase of 308.3%. Moreover, despite Tesla posting its weakest performance for regulatory credits sales of $354M over the last 5 quarters, which clearly demonstrates that the company is making huge strides in its underlying operating performances as it scales.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c95f5b5e59b532167d0cad3569032ea2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LTM EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Importantly, the company has steadily improved its EBIT profile as it scales its operations and achieved an LTM EBIT margin of 7.8% on an EBIT of $3.25B.</p>\n<p>Therefore, we think investors must consider how Tesla will grow its EBIT profitability moving forward to understand how to value Tesla appropriately and test the thesis on whether Tesla stock has the valuation foundation to reach the $1,000 milestone.</p>\n<h3>How Fast is Tesla Expected to Grow its EBIT Next?</h3>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de994736c433e76a039925072a652626\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Street's mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89faa434742b5012620921e2a463b67c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Estimates CAGR (FY21 to FY25). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Readers should be able to easily glean from the above where it's clear that even the \"neutral\" Street analysts expect Tesla's operating performance to continue to shine moving forward as revenue is expected to reach $120.4B by FY25 (which is 17.2% of Ark's $700B FY25 forecast), which would represent an impressive CAGR of 24.4%.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, if investors consider the revenue CAGR of General Motors (5.15%), Toyota (3.14%) (TM), and Volkswagen (4.33%) (OTCPK:VWAGY) over the same period, the Street is certainly expecting Tesla to continue marching forward strongly in its quest to expand its budding electric vehicles (EV) leadership in the automotive market which is undergoing an immense transformation as the legacy automakers are busy preparing for their massive pivot to the EV market in the next few years.</p>\n<p>While we think Tesla's expected revenue CAGR certainly looks impressive, what's even more important is that its EBIT and EBITDA are expected to grow even faster than its revenue, as the CAGR for EBIT and EBITDA is expected to reach 43.8% and 26.7%, respectively.</p>\n<p>Investors who have been used to looking at revenue multiples (EV/Rev or Price/Sales) to value Tesla previously are encouraged to consider valuing Tesla using either EBITDA or EBIT multiples to arrive at meaningful valuation conclusions given the company's expected outperformance in EBIT or EBITDA growth.</p>\n<p>To help our readers to understand how they can look at Tesla using either of these two metrics, in the following section, we would present our valuation model that considers a blended comp set, as well as a comp set that considers Tesla as a Tech company with software as a focus for our readers to make sense of the company's valuation.</p>\n<h3>Making Sense of Tesla's EBIT Multiples</h3>\n<p>We have elected to use EBIT multiples for this discussion. We consider it more meaningful for comparison given Tesla's relatively high CapEx margins, which is expected for an automaker.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4913a49c673db29ea52abfe6b10af357\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Automotive Blended comps set. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e34a70e430f0f41134456e7829e122\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Software comps set. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Let us first give a quick introduction to the logic behind both comps sets. The first one is a composite set that comprises some of Tesla's automotive peers. Readers should be able to glean that based on the forward multiples (FY+3 or CY24) of Tesla's pure-play electric peers such as Nio Inc. (NIO) and BYD Company Ltd (OTCPK:BYDDF), Tesla's EV/FY24 EBIT multiple of 64.7x didn't seem unreasonable especially as the company is expected to grow its EBIT much faster and have higher margins than the peers listed in the automotive comps set.</p>\n<p>Next, when we positioned Tesla, Inc. against the leading and emerging software peers, we also didn't find Tesla's CY24 EBIT multiple as excessive either. However, we certainly think it aligns with the peers listed in the comps set as Tesla's EBIT growth rate is impressive. Therefore we think it deserves to be rated in line with emerging software leaders like Palantir (PLTR) or Zoom (ZM), even though its EBIT margins are lower than its software counterparts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80e148fe9d8306e28b7b149aeceee9d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Fair value computation (with reference to automotive blended comps). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>In arriving at Tesla's fair value, we rounded down our selected EBIT multiple to 60x at the midpoint and derived a fair value of about $713. Based on the closing price of $739, there is a slight potential downside of -3.6% for TSLA.</p>\n<p>We think our analysis shows that Tesla's tremendous EBIT growth and progress has been the key pillar underpinning its premium valuation, which didn't look out of line with its pure-play EV peers or the software counterparts.</p>\n<p>So, if we consider Tesla to be fairly valued right now using estimates up to FY24, then what could drive the stock to reach its $1,000 in the next few years?</p>\n<h3>Market Momentum and Growth Optimism</h3>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49acf3a1f6a4f9cb003baddf701d2339\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Seeking Alpha Quant Rating. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p>\n<p>Readers can observe clearly that apart from the value factor, Tesla is rated impressively in the other important areas, especially for Growth and Profitability, as it received the best possible A+ rating. On the other hand, we think TSLA received an F grade for Value, mainly because the quant system compared it against the automotive sector, where the legacy automakers' relatively low valuations affected Tesla's rating.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c08c2d3204a494c7d8fa8b72133ebc49\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Momentum Grade. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p>\n<p>Importantly, TSLA's 3M momentum grade of A clearly underscores the huge improvement in upward momentum for the stock as the bulls have been gaining traction in their quest to return the stock to its ATH that was achieved in Jan 21. Unfortunately, we think some investors often do not account for the power of momentum in their analysis, leading to a bearish stance at important inflection points of returning upward momentum for Tesla stock.</p>\n<p>Even though we think valuation is an important component driving stock prices (and valuation is a highly subjective matter for Tesla, as readers could easily refer to the wide range in the Street's forecasts to understand this), readers need to understand that investors' optimism for its growth prospects are crucial factors to consider as this drives momentum. In Tesla's case, we believe these bullish investors consider the huge market opportunities not just in the EV market, but also the company's prospects in autonomous driving, in robotaxi, in insurance, in energy, among others that are key driving forces behind their growth optimism that Tesla would be able to outperform the market's expectations, which would lead to further value expansion.</p>\n<p>The key risk here for investors to note is that we think bearish investors correctly point out that Tesla still seems far away from achieving these goals. Without these, bearish investors think there's no way that Tesla would be able to sustain its premium valuation.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, we have also shown that Tesla's current valuation may not seem out of line with its other pure-play EV peers, and so the bulls can certainly justify Tesla's current valuation. What's more challenging for investors is to present a path towards the $1,000 milestone. In this case, we think neither the bulls nor the bears could put forward a convincing fundamental argument right now based on realizing Tesla's market opportunity.</p>\n<h3>TSLA Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis”</h3>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d36971ff9d95d8a510b4851f36f1fd40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>TSLA weekly chart.</span></p>\n<p>We highlighted previously that despite all the negative press and bearish shoutouts in the market, Tesla stock has never failed to deliver since the COVID-19 market bottom. We are not talking about the fantastic returns that TSLA provided its investors with its monstrous run in 2020, but about the robust long-term momentum that we can clearly observe in Tesla's price action.</p>\n<p>The rotation in Feb 21 (1st bottom) and May 21 (second bottom) created enough negative sentiments in the market for the stock back then, which not only took out the late bullish investors who were chasing the rally but also bearish investors who were lured into the weak sentiments in Feb 21 and May 21 to adopt a bearish against the EV leader as the strong buyers returned to shake out these bearish bets quickly.</p>\n<p>Bear traps are potent methods used by strong and astute market participants to lure and trap bearish investors at the right time to profit off their negative sentiments and turn the stock around for them to go long just when these unsuspecting bearish investors expect the weak sentiments to carry on. Readers need to go back to the coverage of Tesla during Feb and May to find out just how bearish the market was back then. The double bottom price action in May was a bullish signal for Tesla. Unfortunately, many investors who do not have a strong grounding in reading price action often fail to spot these important signals that the market gives away from time to time.</p>\n<h3>So, Can Tesla Reach $1,000?</h3>\n<p>First, we are Tesla shareholders and have a good margin of safety from the current price. Therefore we are very comfortable holding the remainder of our positions as we have taken profit along the way to protect our capital and would leave the rest of it as a speculative bet on Tesla's future, just in case Ark's $3,000 FY25 price target comes true (as they had done so the first time around). We don't think anyone has a crystal ball to be certain that Tesla can reach $1,000 or even $2,000, or when that would happen.</p>\n<p>Despite that, we have presented our arguments for Tesla's current valuation, arguments for its momentum, price action, and long-term uptrend bias that we think is likely to point Tesla on a path towards $1,000 more than going back to $500. We hope you get our gist.</p>\n<p>Lastly, based on the current valuations and price action (it has moved off from our preferred buy point), we<i>maintain our neutral rating on Tesla</i>for now.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla Stock Reach $1000 As Momentum Returns?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla Stock Reach $1000 As Momentum Returns?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-03 16:45 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453330-tesla-stock-reach-1000><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla stock started 2021 on the wrong footing but has since recovered strongly as it outperformed General Motors and Ford in the last three months.\nInvestors should move on to using EBIT ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453330-tesla-stock-reach-1000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4453330-tesla-stock-reach-1000","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1168724079","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla stock started 2021 on the wrong footing but has since recovered strongly as it outperformed General Motors and Ford in the last three months.\nInvestors should move on to using EBIT multiples to value the stock given the company's strong expected EBIT growth momentum moving forward.\nSome investors often missed out on momentum as one of the key factors driving Tesla's stock price, leading them to adopt a surprisingly bearish stance.\nWhile no one has a crystal ball, we show investors what they should consider on whether the stock can reach the $1,000 milestone.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nTesla, Inc. (TSLA) receives one of the highest coverage by the Street as 33 analysts pitched in with their thesis on Tesla, which we think is arguably one of the most contentious stocks in the US with a target price that has found little agreement as the Street's best minds derived a wide target price range from $540 to $860, including 14 very bullish/bullish ratings, 12 neutral ratings, and 7 very bearish/bearish ones.\nStreet's mean target price and ratings. Data source: Seeking Alpha Premium\nIn case we forgot to mention, Ark Invest's super Tesla bull CEO/CIO Cathie Wood recently defended her thesis on Tesla and even emphasized that she didn't see any bubble forming in Tesla's case as the Street's indecisiveness on the company (which is also reflected in the neutral rating above) reflected the market's uncertain position where she believes is conducive for Tesla to climb the wall of worry and move towards the firm's2025 target price of $3,000.\nIn this article, we help our readers understand whether Tesla stock can reach $1,000 (first) and the key underlying factors to consider to reach the key milestone.\nBefore discussing further, in case you are new to Tesla, you may consider reading up on our recent articles on Tesla to help you understand Tesla's business model and market opportunity in greater detail (link to the articles are appendedhereandhere).\nTesla Stock Recent Performance\nTSLA Vs. F Vs. GM 3M performance (as of 02 Sep 21).\nTesla Vs. VLUE Vs. VUG 3M performance (as of 02 Sep 21).\nThere is no doubt that Tesla stock has significantly underperformed the broad market in 2021 with a 4.83% YTD return as of 02 Sep 21. However, the stock has been performing well lately, as it notched an 18.6% return over the last 3 months, which significantly outperformed Ford (F) stock -11% return, and General Motors (GM) stock -17.1% return, as the growth-to-value rotation's momentum fizzled out spectacularly, with growth investing regaining center stage among dip buyers as readers can easily observe from Vanguard Growth ETF's (VUG) outperformance against iShares Value Factor ETF (VLUE) in the last 3 months.\nTherefore, with momentum having returned to growth investing and Tesla stock, we think it's an opportune time for us to help investors to consider whether Tesla could be on its way to break its previous post-split all-time high (ATH) of $900 and reach the $1,000 milestone.\nFocus on Tesla's EBIT Growth\nQuarterly regulatory credits revenue. Data source: Company filings\nTesla's Q2 numbers rebutted a key criticism that detractors often labeled: that the company depends mainly on regulatory credits to generate its profits. In the recent earnings release, Tesla reported a highly impressive quarterly operating income of $1.36B, representing an impressive YoY increase of 308.3%. Moreover, despite Tesla posting its weakest performance for regulatory credits sales of $354M over the last 5 quarters, which clearly demonstrates that the company is making huge strides in its underlying operating performances as it scales.\nLTM EBIT. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nImportantly, the company has steadily improved its EBIT profile as it scales its operations and achieved an LTM EBIT margin of 7.8% on an EBIT of $3.25B.\nTherefore, we think investors must consider how Tesla will grow its EBIT profitability moving forward to understand how to value Tesla appropriately and test the thesis on whether Tesla stock has the valuation foundation to reach the $1,000 milestone.\nHow Fast is Tesla Expected to Grow its EBIT Next?\nStreet's mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEstimates CAGR (FY21 to FY25). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nReaders should be able to easily glean from the above where it's clear that even the \"neutral\" Street analysts expect Tesla's operating performance to continue to shine moving forward as revenue is expected to reach $120.4B by FY25 (which is 17.2% of Ark's $700B FY25 forecast), which would represent an impressive CAGR of 24.4%.\nFurthermore, if investors consider the revenue CAGR of General Motors (5.15%), Toyota (3.14%) (TM), and Volkswagen (4.33%) (OTCPK:VWAGY) over the same period, the Street is certainly expecting Tesla to continue marching forward strongly in its quest to expand its budding electric vehicles (EV) leadership in the automotive market which is undergoing an immense transformation as the legacy automakers are busy preparing for their massive pivot to the EV market in the next few years.\nWhile we think Tesla's expected revenue CAGR certainly looks impressive, what's even more important is that its EBIT and EBITDA are expected to grow even faster than its revenue, as the CAGR for EBIT and EBITDA is expected to reach 43.8% and 26.7%, respectively.\nInvestors who have been used to looking at revenue multiples (EV/Rev or Price/Sales) to value Tesla previously are encouraged to consider valuing Tesla using either EBITDA or EBIT multiples to arrive at meaningful valuation conclusions given the company's expected outperformance in EBIT or EBITDA growth.\nTo help our readers to understand how they can look at Tesla using either of these two metrics, in the following section, we would present our valuation model that considers a blended comp set, as well as a comp set that considers Tesla as a Tech company with software as a focus for our readers to make sense of the company's valuation.\nMaking Sense of Tesla's EBIT Multiples\nWe have elected to use EBIT multiples for this discussion. We consider it more meaningful for comparison given Tesla's relatively high CapEx margins, which is expected for an automaker.\nAutomotive Blended comps set. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nSoftware comps set. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLet us first give a quick introduction to the logic behind both comps sets. The first one is a composite set that comprises some of Tesla's automotive peers. Readers should be able to glean that based on the forward multiples (FY+3 or CY24) of Tesla's pure-play electric peers such as Nio Inc. (NIO) and BYD Company Ltd (OTCPK:BYDDF), Tesla's EV/FY24 EBIT multiple of 64.7x didn't seem unreasonable especially as the company is expected to grow its EBIT much faster and have higher margins than the peers listed in the automotive comps set.\nNext, when we positioned Tesla, Inc. against the leading and emerging software peers, we also didn't find Tesla's CY24 EBIT multiple as excessive either. However, we certainly think it aligns with the peers listed in the comps set as Tesla's EBIT growth rate is impressive. Therefore we think it deserves to be rated in line with emerging software leaders like Palantir (PLTR) or Zoom (ZM), even though its EBIT margins are lower than its software counterparts.\nFair value computation (with reference to automotive blended comps). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn arriving at Tesla's fair value, we rounded down our selected EBIT multiple to 60x at the midpoint and derived a fair value of about $713. Based on the closing price of $739, there is a slight potential downside of -3.6% for TSLA.\nWe think our analysis shows that Tesla's tremendous EBIT growth and progress has been the key pillar underpinning its premium valuation, which didn't look out of line with its pure-play EV peers or the software counterparts.\nSo, if we consider Tesla to be fairly valued right now using estimates up to FY24, then what could drive the stock to reach its $1,000 in the next few years?\nMarket Momentum and Growth Optimism\nSeeking Alpha Quant Rating. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium\nReaders can observe clearly that apart from the value factor, Tesla is rated impressively in the other important areas, especially for Growth and Profitability, as it received the best possible A+ rating. On the other hand, we think TSLA received an F grade for Value, mainly because the quant system compared it against the automotive sector, where the legacy automakers' relatively low valuations affected Tesla's rating.\nMomentum Grade. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium\nImportantly, TSLA's 3M momentum grade of A clearly underscores the huge improvement in upward momentum for the stock as the bulls have been gaining traction in their quest to return the stock to its ATH that was achieved in Jan 21. Unfortunately, we think some investors often do not account for the power of momentum in their analysis, leading to a bearish stance at important inflection points of returning upward momentum for Tesla stock.\nEven though we think valuation is an important component driving stock prices (and valuation is a highly subjective matter for Tesla, as readers could easily refer to the wide range in the Street's forecasts to understand this), readers need to understand that investors' optimism for its growth prospects are crucial factors to consider as this drives momentum. In Tesla's case, we believe these bullish investors consider the huge market opportunities not just in the EV market, but also the company's prospects in autonomous driving, in robotaxi, in insurance, in energy, among others that are key driving forces behind their growth optimism that Tesla would be able to outperform the market's expectations, which would lead to further value expansion.\nThe key risk here for investors to note is that we think bearish investors correctly point out that Tesla still seems far away from achieving these goals. Without these, bearish investors think there's no way that Tesla would be able to sustain its premium valuation.\nOn the other hand, we have also shown that Tesla's current valuation may not seem out of line with its other pure-play EV peers, and so the bulls can certainly justify Tesla's current valuation. What's more challenging for investors is to present a path towards the $1,000 milestone. In this case, we think neither the bulls nor the bears could put forward a convincing fundamental argument right now based on realizing Tesla's market opportunity.\nTSLA Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis”\nTSLA weekly chart.\nWe highlighted previously that despite all the negative press and bearish shoutouts in the market, Tesla stock has never failed to deliver since the COVID-19 market bottom. We are not talking about the fantastic returns that TSLA provided its investors with its monstrous run in 2020, but about the robust long-term momentum that we can clearly observe in Tesla's price action.\nThe rotation in Feb 21 (1st bottom) and May 21 (second bottom) created enough negative sentiments in the market for the stock back then, which not only took out the late bullish investors who were chasing the rally but also bearish investors who were lured into the weak sentiments in Feb 21 and May 21 to adopt a bearish against the EV leader as the strong buyers returned to shake out these bearish bets quickly.\nBear traps are potent methods used by strong and astute market participants to lure and trap bearish investors at the right time to profit off their negative sentiments and turn the stock around for them to go long just when these unsuspecting bearish investors expect the weak sentiments to carry on. Readers need to go back to the coverage of Tesla during Feb and May to find out just how bearish the market was back then. The double bottom price action in May was a bullish signal for Tesla. Unfortunately, many investors who do not have a strong grounding in reading price action often fail to spot these important signals that the market gives away from time to time.\nSo, Can Tesla Reach $1,000?\nFirst, we are Tesla shareholders and have a good margin of safety from the current price. Therefore we are very comfortable holding the remainder of our positions as we have taken profit along the way to protect our capital and would leave the rest of it as a speculative bet on Tesla's future, just in case Ark's $3,000 FY25 price target comes true (as they had done so the first time around). We don't think anyone has a crystal ball to be certain that Tesla can reach $1,000 or even $2,000, or when that would happen.\nDespite that, we have presented our arguments for Tesla's current valuation, arguments for its momentum, price action, and long-term uptrend bias that we think is likely to point Tesla on a path towards $1,000 more than going back to $500. We hope you get our gist.\nLastly, based on the current valuations and price action (it has moved off from our preferred buy point), wemaintain our neutral rating on Teslafor now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835837731,"gmtCreate":1629702275923,"gmtModify":1676530104350,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment for same","listText":"Like n comment for same","text":"Like n comment for 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[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158892992","repostId":"1131385251","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172041124,"gmtCreate":1626923324668,"gmtModify":1703480670742,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment for same","listText":"like n comment for same","text":"like n comment for 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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/180041051","repostId":"1136550999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835837731,"gmtCreate":1629702275923,"gmtModify":1676530104350,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment for same","listText":"Like n comment for same","text":"Like n comment for same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/835837731","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161747692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629673828,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161747692?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161747692","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at","content":"<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.</p>\n<p>The event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>This asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.</p>\n<p>\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.</p>\n<p>But as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.</p>\n<p>\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"</p>\n<p>\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd135dd0d8cdc399e0982d54e39f5bd\" tg-width=\"6000\" tg-height=\"4000\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS</span></p>\n<p>As for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.</p>\n<p>\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"</p>\n<p>\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"</p>\n<h2>Personal spending, income</h2>\n<p>New economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.</p>\n<p>Just last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.</p>\n<p>Other data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.</p>\n<p>\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.</p>\n<p>Friday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.</p>\n<p>Even with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.</p>\n<p>\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Best Buy (BBY) before market open; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 07:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","BBY":"百思买",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WMT":"沃尔玛","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2161747692","content_text":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.\nThis asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.\nLast week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.\n\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.\nBut as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.\n\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"\n\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"\nFederal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAs for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.\n\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"\n\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"\nPersonal spending, income\nNew economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.\nConsensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.\nJust last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.\nOther data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.\n\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.\nFriday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.\nEven with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.\n\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)\nTuesday: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)\nFriday: Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close\nWednesday: Best Buy (BBY) before market open; Salesforce (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nThursday: The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142542999,"gmtCreate":1626164265111,"gmtModify":1703754615046,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment for the same[Cool] [Cool] ","listText":"Like and comment for the same[Cool] [Cool] ","text":"Like and comment for the same[Cool] [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142542999","repostId":"1101566017","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173586947,"gmtCreate":1626670181489,"gmtModify":1703763066612,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment for same[Cool] ","listText":"like n comment for same[Cool] ","text":"like n comment for 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and comment and ill do the same","listText":"Like and comment and ill do the same","text":"Like and comment and ill do the same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166542163","repostId":"1131081247","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894059903,"gmtCreate":1628778902902,"gmtModify":1676529853061,"author":{"id":"3580416644219401","authorId":"3580416644219401","name":"lowzihong02","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76f270b52aa06462fabeaf396c0091f4","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580416644219401","authorIdStr":"3580416644219401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment for same[Cool] ","listText":"like n comment for same[Cool] ","text":"like n comment for 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