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Lollmaorofl
2022-06-17
$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$
What's with the sudden price increase.Sheesh loving it
Lollmaorofl
2022-04-25
flexing my level 6 before it disappears//
@US_watchlist
:Please like and comment. Thanks
Will Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?
Lollmaorofl
2022-02-11
Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.
Rally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market
Lollmaorofl
2022-02-05
For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)
Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?
Lollmaorofl
2022-01-31
REPOSTTT
@TigerEvents:Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022
Lollmaorofl
2022-01-20
Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...
Walt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing
Lollmaorofl
2022-01-05
Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term
@Lee369:
$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$
Lol the hype is over š¤£
Lollmaorofl
2021-06-26
Oh god
Bitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700
Lollmaorofl
2021-06-01
$Walt Disney(DIS)$
, entertainment is eternal and as of now, they have a wife and deep range of IPs. as long as they handle it well, Disney would continue being an incredible entertainment juggernaut
@å°čę“»åØ:ćå äøę“»åć給åØēäøé»å³å®¶č”ļ¼ä½ éøåŖäøé»ļ¼
Lollmaorofl
2021-03-11
TO THE MOON
Analysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'
Lollmaorofl
2021-03-05
Buy the dip, average it out yo
Palantir plunged more than 13%
Lollmaorofl
2021-03-02
TO THE MOONNNN
GameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket
Lollmaorofl
2021-02-09
Nice
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Lollmaorofl
2021-02-09
Oof
These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)
Lollmaorofl
2021-01-31
Wow
Who is Trading on U.S. Markets?
Lollmaorofl
2021-01-27
Can't stop won't stop GameStop
GameStop up another 60%, amateur interest shows no sign of abating
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>What's with the sudden price increase.Sheesh loving it","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>What's with the sudden price increase.Sheesh loving it","text":"$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$What's with the sudden price increase.Sheesh loving 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Thanks","listText":"flexing my level 6 before it disappears//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3581244873474125\">@US_watchlist</a>:Please like and comment. Thanks","text":"flexing my level 6 before it disappears//@US_watchlist:Please like and comment. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084259622","repostId":"2229070197","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229070197","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650872847,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229070197?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 15:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229070197","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Don't get so caught up with stock split intentions that you fail to see the bigger picture.","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.It's important to understand how a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla's Potential Stock Split Make You Rich?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 15:47 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.It's important to understand how a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"é«ēęä»","BK4555":"ę°č½ęŗč½¦","BK4533":"AQRčµę¬ē®”ē(å Øē第äŗå¤§åƹå²åŗé)","TSLA":"ē¹ęÆę","BK4527":"ęęē§ęč”","BK4574":"ę 人驾驶","BK4551":"åÆå¾čµę¬ęä»","BK4550":"ēŗ¢ęčµę¬ęä»","BK4511":"ē¹ęÆęę¦åæµ","BK4099":"汽车å¶é å","BK4534":"ē士俔蓷ęä»","BK4548":"å·“ē¾åę·ē¦ęä»"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/24/will-teslas-potential-stock-split-make-you-rich/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229070197","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla plans to seek approval from shareholders to pursue a stock split.If approved, a stock split will multiply the number of shares Tesla investors own.It's important to understand how a stock split works before you go on a Tesla shopping spree.TeslaĀ has garnered a lot of attention since its 5-for-1 stock split in 2020, and the light continues to shine on the electric vehicle maker. Last month, Tesla announced plans for a potential stock split, and the company's share price shot up.If you're thinking about getting a slice of Tesla's stock, don't let the potential stock split be the only number that's driving your decision. There are more important factors to consider if you want a chance to profit from any stock you buy.Image source: Getty Images.Tesla's big announcementTesla's executive team always surprises the media with jaw-dropping news. Last month was no exception. On Monday, March 28, Tesla announced plans to pursue a stock split to provide shareholders with a stock dividend.The stock split ratio and dates have not been released yet. Nothing is set in stone until shareholders vote at the upcoming shareholder meeting. Last year's meeting took place in October, so we are probably a few more months away from a final decision.Tesla's last stock split occurred in August 2020. Investors received four additional shares for every one share held in their portfolio. From the time of the stock split announcement on Aug. 11 to the 5-for-1 stock split on Aug. 31, Tesla's stock price soared 80%. Although those returns were impressive, that doesn't necessarily mean the next potential stock split will yield the same results.Behind the scenes of a stock splitStock splits have been known to create excitement among investors, but they may not be worth all the hype. When a company announces a stock split, all shareholders on the books before the cutoff date will receive more shares of the company's stock. Although this may sound like a win for investors, it's only a cosmetic change. The company is just slicing every share in your portfolio into smaller pieces.Let's say you buy two shares of Tesla stock for $1,000 per share. If the company pursues a 5-for-1 stock split again, you'll have 10 shares valued at $200 each if the stock price remains the same. If you sold half your shares, you'd get $1,000 in your account.Tesla's potential stock split won't guarantee your richesA stock split will make Tesla's four-figure stock price more affordable for the average investor. After the stock split, all investors can buy a whole share of Tesla for a cheaper price.It isn't uncommon for a company's stock price to explode after a stock split. However, you can't guarantee that Tesla's stock will shoot up after the stock split. The best move you can make is to invest in a company based on the health of the underlying business. When you purchase stock in a company, you are essentially buying a piece of the business, so you want to make sure the business can attract profits in the future.Here are a few metrics you want to keep tabs on if you want to unlock wealth in the stock market:Competitive advantage or economic moatProduction capabilitiesInnovationManagement performanceFinancial statement resultsIndustry trendsDon't lose sight of what really matters as an investorAlthough a stock split sounds fancy, it's not as glamorous as you may think. A stock split, in itself, won't lead to millions of dollars in your account overnight. If you were hoping to go from rags to riches overnight, a stock split won't do the trick.That's not to say you shouldn't consider investing in Tesla stock. Pay attention to the key financial metrics, and then go beyond the numbers to determine if the company deserves a spot in your portfolio. If you do your research now, you can position yourself to attract market-beating returns that can get you one step closer to building wealth in the stock market over time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092108541,"gmtCreate":1644545727517,"gmtModify":1676533939661,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","listText":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","text":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092108541","repostId":"1174835231","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174835231","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644538697,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174835231?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-11 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174835231","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits just beneath the 3,430-point plateau although investors figure to cash in on Friday.</p><p>The global forecast for the AsianĀ marketsĀ is negative on growing concerns over the outlook for interest rates. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourse were sharply lower and the Asian markets figure to follow the latter lead.</p><p>The STI finished slightly higher on Thursday following gains from the properties, weakness from the industrials and a mixed picture from the financials.</p><p>For the day, the index rose 7.96 points or 0.23 percent to finish at 3,428.00 after trading between 3,403.95 and 3,435.68. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 1.6 billion Singapore dollars. There were 279 gainers and 182 decliners.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.35 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust accelerated 0.97 percent, Comfort DelGro climbed 0.69 percent, Dairy Farm International fell 0.34 percent, DBS Group lost 0.35 percent, Genting Singapore strengthened 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land surged 2.88 percent, Keppel Corp slid 0.17 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust added 0.55 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust soared 1.71 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.15 percent, SATS gained 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries shed 0.41 percent, Singapore Airlines advanced 0.56 percent, Singapore Exchange was up 0.10 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering spiked 1.05 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.76 percent, United Overseas Bank sank 0.79 percent, Wilmar International jumped 0.91 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, City Developments, Singapore Press Holdings and SingTel were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is broadly negative as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and the losses accelerated as the session progressed.</p><p>The Dow plummeted 526.47 points or 1.47 percent to finish at 35,241.59, while the NASDAQ tumbled 304.73 points or 2.10 percent to close at 14,185.64 and the S&P 500 sank 83.10 points or 1.81 percent to end at 4,504.08.</p><p>The sell-off on Wall Street came after the Labor Department said the annual rate of growth in consumer prices accelerated more than expected in January. The data raised concerns that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates more aggressively to fight elevated inflation.</p><p>Selling pressure accelerated after comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who indicated he supports raising interest rates by 50 basis points next month as part of a plan to raise rates by a full percentage point by the start of July.</p><p>Crude oil futures settled higher Thursday, gaining for a second straight day as falling crude inventories continued to support the commodity's prices. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for March ended higher by $0.22 or 0.25 percent at $89.88 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-11 08:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"åÆę¶ę°å å”ęµ·å³”ęę°"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174835231","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits just beneath the 3,430-point plateau although investors figure to cash in on Friday.The global forecast for the AsianĀ marketsĀ is negative on growing concerns over the outlook for interest rates. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourse were sharply lower and the Asian markets figure to follow the latter lead.The STI finished slightly higher on Thursday following gains from the properties, weakness from the industrials and a mixed picture from the financials.For the day, the index rose 7.96 points or 0.23 percent to finish at 3,428.00 after trading between 3,403.95 and 3,435.68. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 1.6 billion Singapore dollars. There were 279 gainers and 182 decliners.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.35 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust accelerated 0.97 percent, Comfort DelGro climbed 0.69 percent, Dairy Farm International fell 0.34 percent, DBS Group lost 0.35 percent, Genting Singapore strengthened 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land surged 2.88 percent, Keppel Corp slid 0.17 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust added 0.55 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust soared 1.71 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.15 percent, SATS gained 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries shed 0.41 percent, Singapore Airlines advanced 0.56 percent, Singapore Exchange was up 0.10 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering spiked 1.05 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.76 percent, United Overseas Bank sank 0.79 percent, Wilmar International jumped 0.91 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, City Developments, Singapore Press Holdings and SingTel were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is broadly negative as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and the losses accelerated as the session progressed.The Dow plummeted 526.47 points or 1.47 percent to finish at 35,241.59, while the NASDAQ tumbled 304.73 points or 2.10 percent to close at 14,185.64 and the S&P 500 sank 83.10 points or 1.81 percent to end at 4,504.08.The sell-off on Wall Street came after the Labor Department said the annual rate of growth in consumer prices accelerated more than expected in January. The data raised concerns that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates more aggressively to fight elevated inflation.Selling pressure accelerated after comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who indicated he supports raising interest rates by 50 basis points next month as part of a plan to raise rates by a full percentage point by the start of July.Crude oil futures settled higher Thursday, gaining for a second straight day as falling crude inventories continued to support the commodity's prices. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for March ended higher by $0.22 or 0.25 percent at $89.88 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9098806152,"gmtCreate":1644069551617,"gmtModify":1676533887555,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","listText":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","text":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9098806152","repostId":"1196927717","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196927717","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644033090,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196927717?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-05 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196927717","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.</li><li>Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.</li><li>During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantirās software.</li><li>Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantirās 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.</li><li>Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd7a77abaec0ea0aa58eebb9ce4b9606\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Neutral</b></p><p>Palantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.</p><p><b>Customer Detail</b></p><p>Palantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.</p><p>The following tables were compiled from PalantirāsĀ Q3 2021 10-QĀ filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantirās 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantirās largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e38ee31a1d6e826d2d02216e39ac570\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"151\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4dc61112528e104ef0d3a8dc80f89d1\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"481\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>For ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.</p><p>By definition, Palantirās largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantirās revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.</p><p>The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.</p><p>Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantirās software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not armās-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.</p><p>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the companyās 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</p><p><b>Investees</b></p><p>It is important to step back and review Palantirās investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantirās use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantirās investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dda111182479c1fbaddc642369e4bd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantirās valuation. Palantirās ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.</p><p>It remains unclear how much of each companyās funding can be spent on Palantirās software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.</p><p>I have highlighted in blue Palantirās total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantirās balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.</p><p>The following table displays Palantirās commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06664e25242d0bacb6f2a64a7a80228\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantirās software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.</p><p><b>Financial Performance</b></p><p>Turning to Palantirās recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b09c2f2aada9cb30c8b720be23d096e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the companyās 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantirās investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-armās-length sales.</p><p><b>Geographic & Segment Sales</b></p><p>The sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19bc17658ff1b951eec789ec95deddd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a553cc3913c2af281262da7b15bdc3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.</p><p><b>Gross Profit & KPI</b></p><p>Palantirās unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The companyās sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:</p><blockquote>Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...</blockquote><p>As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.</p><p>I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantirās business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55c5e5fcea6102ca9d0542c130ee1d15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.</p><p>Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc4e966e16c27ea17f99ccb08a18957\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.</p><p><b>Operating Income</b></p><p>Turning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5f344c289a598ec7824067b39c04f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.</p><p>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</p><p>As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>If Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displaysĀ consensus earnings and revenue estimatesĀ through 2023.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022fd2d18964776a3e20294c7917548f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.</p><p>The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.</p><p>The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantirās aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.</p><p>Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Palantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantirās rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.</p><p>On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.</p><p>The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>While the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The followingĀ 3-year weekly chartĀ offers a birdās eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9aaa4f2a36fa507e420c9353d0cd91c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantirās short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.</p><p>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.</p><p>If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantirās current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.</p><p>The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32fdab79f60368696ab122ff81b60a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-05 11:51 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196927717","content_text":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantirās software.Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantirās 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.Risk/Reward Rating: NeutralPalantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.Customer DetailPalantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.The following tables were compiled from PalantirāsĀ Q3 2021 10-QĀ filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantirās 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantirās largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxSource: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxFor ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.By definition, Palantirās largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantirās revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantirās software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not armās-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the companyās 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.InvesteesIt is important to step back and review Palantirās investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantirās use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantirās investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantirās valuation. Palantirās ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.It remains unclear how much of each companyās funding can be spent on Palantirās software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.I have highlighted in blue Palantirās total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantirās balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.The following table displays Palantirās commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantirās software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.Financial PerformanceTurning to Palantirās recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the companyās 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantirās investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-armās-length sales.Geographic & Segment SalesThe sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.Gross Profit & KPIPalantirās unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The companyās sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantirās business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.Operating IncomeTurning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.Consensus Growth EstimatesIf Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displaysĀ consensus earnings and revenue estimatesĀ through 2023.Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantirās aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.ValuationPalantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantirās rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.TechnicalsWhile the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The followingĀ 3-year weekly chartĀ offers a birdās eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantirās short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantirās current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.SummaryAll told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093878456,"gmtCreate":1643598191623,"gmtModify":1676533834702,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"REPOSTTT","listText":"REPOSTTT","text":"REPOSTTT","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093878456","repostId":"9004448317","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9004448317,"gmtCreate":1642676525258,"gmtModify":1676533734534,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022","htmlText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, itās also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and itās very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","listText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, itās also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and itās very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, itās also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and itās very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: Click to Join the Game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b44fa056439fb4010fa55e163d27c3","width":"750","height":"1726"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004448317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004584481,"gmtCreate":1642639060298,"gmtModify":1676533730570,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","listText":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","text":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004584481","repostId":"2204050636","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2204050636","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1642630714,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2204050636?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-20 06:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204050636","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"Walt Disney Co :Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Ve","content":"<html><body><p>Walt Disney Co <dis.n>:Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</dis.n></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-20 06:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Walt Disney Co <dis.n>:Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</dis.n></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"ē“¢ē½ęÆęä»","BK4507":"ęµåŖä½ę¦åæµ","BK4534":"ē士俔蓷ęä»","BK4524":"å® ē»ęµę¦åæµ","TSS":"Total System Services","BK4554":"å å®å®åARę¦åæµ","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4532":"ęčŗå¤å “ē§ęęä»","BK4108":"ēµå½±å娱ä¹","BK4551":"åÆå¾čµę¬ęä»","BK4550":"ēŗ¢ęčµę¬ęä»"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204050636","content_text":"Walt Disney Co :Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSS":1,"DIS":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008131192,"gmtCreate":1641383941716,"gmtModify":1676533608362,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","listText":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","text":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008131192","repostId":"9008320530","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9008320530,"gmtCreate":1641365542011,"gmtModify":1676533606533,"author":{"id":"3566985411425850","authorId":"3566985411425850","name":"Lee369","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b50776f2d2d44db20d06a400d7d6e289","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566985411425850","idStr":"3566985411425850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>Lol the hype is over š¤£","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>Lol the hype is over š¤£","text":"$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$Lol the hype is over š¤£","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/feec260f19de37408274f4c0edb804ca","width":"750","height":"1687"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008320530","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125608736,"gmtCreate":1624670079225,"gmtModify":1703843176107,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh god","listText":"Oh god","text":"Oh god","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125608736","repostId":"2146500392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500392","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624658618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500392?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 06:03","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500392","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from","content":"<p>June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.</p>\n<p>Ether, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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$31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.</p>\n<p>Ether, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"ęÆē¹åøETF-Grayscale"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146500392","content_text":"June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.\nBitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.\nEther, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119072485,"gmtCreate":1622510969847,"gmtModify":1704185328660,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>, entertainment is eternal and as of now, they have a wife and deep range of IPs. as long as they handle it well, Disney would continue being an incredible entertainment juggernaut","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a>, entertainment is eternal and as of now, they have a wife and deep range of IPs. as long as they handle it well, Disney would continue being an incredible entertainment juggernaut","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$, entertainment is eternal and as of now, they have a wife and deep range of IPs. as long as they handle it well, Disney would continue being an incredible entertainment juggernaut","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/119072485","repostId":"110258420","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":110258420,"gmtCreate":1622463110756,"gmtModify":1704184753054,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"å°čę“»åØ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"ćå äøę“»åć給åØēäøé»å³å®¶č”ļ¼ä½ éøåŖäøé»ļ¼","htmlText":"ę²ę³å°éåēµ¦ä½ éēå ē«„ēÆē¦®ē©ē«ē¶ęÆå儳ļ¼ļ¼ ä½ ęē®ēµ¦å儳éé»å„ļ¼ļ¼ ļ¼é¤äŗå¼å¼å¦¹å¦¹ļ¼ éę²éøå„½ļ¼ 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THE MOON ","listText":"TO THE MOON ","text":"TO THE MOON","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321413908","repostId":"1114893584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114893584","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1615443302,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114893584?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-11 14:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Analysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114893584","media":"Reuters","summary":"Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop ","content":"<p>Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.</p>\n<p>āI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā</p>\n<p>The latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.</p>\n<p>āI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā</p>\n<p>GameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.</p>\n<p>Some expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.</p>\n<p>GameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.</p>\n<p><b>ICE CREAM</b></p>\n<p>Analysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.</p>\n<p>GameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Hopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.</p>\n<p>For the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.</p>\n<p>āWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.</p>\n<p>Other analysts were slightly more optimistic.</p>\n<p>āBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā</p>\n<p>Some GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.</p>\n<p>Analysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.</p>\n<p>But the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.</p>\n<p>āThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.</p>\n<p>That did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.</p>\n<p>āThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-11 14:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.</p>\n<p>āI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā</p>\n<p>The latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.</p>\n<p>āI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā</p>\n<p>GameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.</p>\n<p>Some expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.</p>\n<p>GameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.</p>\n<p><b>ICE CREAM</b></p>\n<p>Analysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.</p>\n<p>GameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Hopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.</p>\n<p>For the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.</p>\n<p>āWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.</p>\n<p>Other analysts were slightly more optimistic.</p>\n<p>āBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā</p>\n<p>Some GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.</p>\n<p>Analysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.</p>\n<p>But the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.</p>\n<p>āThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.</p>\n<p>That did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.</p>\n<p>āThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"ęøøę驿ē«"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114893584","content_text":"Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.\nāI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā\nThe latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.\nāI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā\nGameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.\nSome expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.\nGameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.\nICE CREAM\nAnalysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.\nGameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.\nHopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.\nFor the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.\nāWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.\nOther analysts were slightly more optimistic.\nāBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā\nSome GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.\nAnalysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.\nBut the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.\nāThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.\nThat did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.\nāThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367498656,"gmtCreate":1614959969175,"gmtModify":1704777639361,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","listText":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","text":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367498656","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"äøŗēØę·ęä¾éččµč®Æćč”ę ćę°ę®ļ¼ęØåØåø®å©ęčµč ēč§£äøēļ¼åęčµå³ēć","home_visible":1,"media_name":"čččµč®Æē»¼å","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169596583?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"čččµč®Æē»¼å","summary":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">čččµč®Æē»¼å </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5)Ā Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362644878,"gmtCreate":1614637552894,"gmtModify":1704773296073,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TO THE MOONNNN","listText":"TO THE MOONNNN","text":"TO THE MOONNNN","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362644878","repostId":"1184516667","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184516667","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614602503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184516667?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-01 20:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184516667","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recen","content":"<p>The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket trade Monday. GameStop shares were up 5% premarket, while shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. the world's biggest cinema chain, were up 12%. BlackBerry Ltd was up 3.8%, and Naked Brand Group Ltd. was up 9.5%. Koss Corp. a maker of headphones, was up 2.9%.</p>\n<p> GameStop shares have gained 440% in the year to date, as investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets platform sought to punish short sellers who had driven short interest in the stock to 140% by buying the stock and creating a short squeeze.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-01 20:41 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1184516667","content_text":"The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket trade Monday. GameStop shares were up 5% premarket, while shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.Ā the world's biggest cinema chain, were up 12%. BlackBerry LtdĀ was up 3.8%, and Naked Brand Group Ltd.Ā was up 9.5%. Koss Corp.Ā a maker of headphones, was up 2.9%.\n GameStop shares have gained 440% in the year to date, as investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets platform sought to punish short sellers who had driven short interest in the stock to 140% by buying the stock and creating a short squeeze.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383691286,"gmtCreate":1612870792345,"gmtModify":1704875187580,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/383691286","repostId":"1109747216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383690538,"gmtCreate":1612870471424,"gmtModify":1704875183666,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oof","listText":"Oof","text":"Oof","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/383690538","repostId":"1149038980","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149038980","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612864337,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149038980?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-09 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149038980","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStopĀ or AMC Entertainment Hold","content":"<p>I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStop or AMC Entertainment Holdings for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.</p>\n<p>This coordinated bull raid was initiated by thousands of retail investors on Reddit, a popular website forum. We heard stories of fortunes made and lost. The ones we didnāt hear were from the folks in-between ā small retail traders and investors who suffered thousands of dollars (or more) in losses.</p>\n<p>For those still holding GME or AMC, or for those eager to pounce on the next volatile meme stock, I offer the following advice based on personal experience and observations. These are the lessons you must know before you ever get involved in the stock or options market (or if you are holding a winning stock or option):</p>\n<p><b>1. Donāt sell stocks or options on products you donāt own:</b>The traders who lost the most money in GameStop and AMC were those who sold ānakedā calls and puts (i.e. they sold options on stocks they didnāt own), or those who sold shares short (again, they sold shares on a stock they didnāt own). When using this extremely risky strategy, you can make a fortune if youāre right. If youāre wrong, the losses can be incalculable. In reality, some unwary traders lost tens of thousands of dollars last week on positions that cost a few thousand dollars. Once again, donāt sell anything naked unless youāre a professional, and in this case even the pros lost big on that risky bet.</p>\n<p><b>2. Sell at the āzero point.ā</b> Hereās a rule I created: If you have huge gains that disappear and you are at the zero point (i.e. break-even), sell before you have real losses. Itās better to walk away at zero than with losses.</p>\n<p><b>3. Donāt be a stubborn seller:</b>Why is it so hard for most traders to walk away at the zero point? Stubbornness. Many traders made huge gains last week only to watch those profits disappear. They refused to sell because they hoped to make their money back. If holding options, thatās not going to happen. (If you bought at or near the high, your money is gone. If you hold a stock, plan to wait months or even years to recover. Stubborn stockholders often end up as āstuckholders.ā</p>\n<p><b>4. Take the money and run:</b>When you are holding a stock or option position that brings outsized profits, either sell half of your holding or all of it ā but get out. I call this āselling at extremes.ā Sell something when the profits are beyond your wildest expectations. We all know the story of the gambler who wins big at the casino, but doesnāt leave the table until all his money is gone. Know when to walk away from the computer. Profits are fleeting, especially when volatility skyrockets.</p>\n<p><b>5.Trade small when making longshot trades (i.e. gambling):</b>GameStop and AMC were both big gambles, and for a time the trade worked if you were long. But if you bet wrong? I spoke to a few of these traders. One lost $8,000 on a single option contract. If he had traded his normal size (30 contracts), he told me, his losses would have been more than $240,000.</p>\n<p><b>6. Donāt expect this trading frenzy to keep happening:</b>Itās possible that a group of traders on the Reddit forum will band together for more bear- or bull raids. Except Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are most likely creating new rules to prevent this from repeating. The Fed hates volatility and will do everything in its power to keep the markets calm. So once again, when you make big money on a trade, take the money as fast as you can ā because you may not get the chance again.</p>\n<p><b>7. Stop bragging about how much money you made</b>: Many traders who won big immediately bragged on social media (and to their jealous friends) about how much money they made on this trade. Yet the euphoric feeling they had was temporary. It usually goes away after all the money is gone. The smart (and polite) traders took their gains and kept the win to themselves</p>\n<p><b>8. Use a time stop:</b>Time stops are not well-known or popular, but with fast-moving stocks (or when trading options), they are invaluable. In an extremely fast market, the traditional stop-limit order wonāt get filled, as many of those meme-stock traders found out the hard way. Instead, after making a huge profit, set a day or time to sell. For example, you may sell the position by Friday no matter what (although selling at extremes is better ā see Rule #4).</p>\n<p><b>9. Sell half or all of the position:</b>Itās never an easy decision to know when to sell. If you sell too early, itās annoying to watch the stock go higher. Sell too late and you lose money. Selling half of your holding is a reasonable alternative, but you must be prepared to sell the other half if the position goes against you.</p>\n<p><b>10. Donāt seek revenge when you lose money on a stock:</b>Itās common for traders to seek revenge on a stock they lost money on. Do not fall for this emotional trap. If you lost money on a stock, let it go and move on.</p>\n<p><b>11. Trade small after you made or lost big:</b>If youāre feeling emotional about a stock, including feelings of anger or revenge, trade small. Many people who hit it big in the market canāt help but make bigger and bigger bets. Just like the gamblers at a casino, they keep trading until all their money is gone.</p>\n<p>You donāt think it can happen to you? One of the greatest speculators in the world, Jesse Livermore, made $100 million dollars in a single week in 1929. He then lost all of his money within five years. He should have moved most of his profits out of the market after his big win and traded small for the next year. Instead, he got reckless and lost it all.</p>\n<p><b>12. Donāt take on too much risk:</b>Never invest or trade with so much money that if you lost, youād lose your house or 401(k). Brokers told me about clients who cleared out their retirement funds or took cash advances on their credit cards so they could buy GameStop and AMC. Some won, some lost, but many took on way too much risk.</p>\n<p><b>The meme-stock pyramid scheme</b></p>\n<p>Those who traded GameStop, AMC and other meme stocks thought they were trading, but they were actually participating in a gigantic pyramid scheme. Those who got in early and got out early probably did well. Those who entered late or held too long lost money.</p>\n<p>My advice: Review these 12 rules periodically. They are based on the experiences and the bad luck of thousands of other traders, including myself, who thought we were smarter than the market. In truth the market was smarter than us ā because it always is.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-09 17:52 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-12-lessons-from-the-gamestop-and-amc-frenzy-can-help-you-make-money-trading-stocks-or-at-least-lose-less-11612771522?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStopĀ or AMC Entertainment HoldingsĀ for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.\nThis coordinated bull raid was ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-12-lessons-from-the-gamestop-and-amc-frenzy-can-help-you-make-money-trading-stocks-or-at-least-lose-less-11612771522?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"ęøøę驿ē«",".DJI":"éē¼ęÆ",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMCé¢ēŗæ"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-12-lessons-from-the-gamestop-and-amc-frenzy-can-help-you-make-money-trading-stocks-or-at-least-lose-less-11612771522?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1149038980","content_text":"I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStopĀ or AMC Entertainment HoldingsĀ for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.\nThis coordinated bull raid was initiated by thousands of retail investors on Reddit, a popular website forum. We heard stories of fortunes made and lost. The ones we didnāt hear were from the folks in-between ā small retail traders and investors who suffered thousands of dollars (or more) in losses.\nFor those still holding GME or AMC, or for those eager to pounce on the next volatile meme stock, I offer the following advice based on personal experience and observations. These are the lessons you must know before you ever get involved in the stock or options market (or if you are holding a winning stock or option):\n1. Donāt sell stocks or options on products you donāt own:The traders who lost the most money in GameStop and AMC were those who sold ānakedā calls and puts (i.e. they sold options on stocks they didnāt own), or those who sold shares short (again, they sold shares on a stock they didnāt own). When using this extremely risky strategy, you can make a fortune if youāre right. If youāre wrong, the losses can be incalculable. In reality, some unwary traders lost tens of thousands of dollars last week on positions that cost a few thousand dollars. Once again, donāt sell anything naked unless youāre a professional, and in this case even the pros lost big on that risky bet.\n2. Sell at the āzero point.āĀ Hereās a rule I created: If you have huge gains that disappear and you are at the zero point (i.e. break-even), sell before you have real losses. Itās better to walk away at zero than with losses.\n3. Donāt be a stubborn seller:Why is it so hard for most traders to walk away at the zero point? Stubbornness. Many traders made huge gains last week only to watch those profits disappear. They refused to sell because they hoped to make their money back. If holding options, thatās not going to happen. (If you bought at or near the high, your money is gone. If you hold a stock, plan to wait months or even years to recover. Stubborn stockholders often end up as āstuckholders.ā\n4. Take the money and run:When you are holding a stock or option position that brings outsized profits, either sell half of your holding or all of it ā but get out. I call this āselling at extremes.ā Sell something when the profits are beyond your wildest expectations. We all know the story of the gambler who wins big at the casino, but doesnāt leave the table until all his money is gone. Know when to walk away from the computer. Profits are fleeting, especially when volatility skyrockets.\n5.Trade small when making longshot trades (i.e. gambling):GameStop and AMC were both big gambles, and for a time the trade worked if you were long. But if you bet wrong? I spoke to a few of these traders. One lost $8,000 on a single option contract. If he had traded his normal size (30 contracts), he told me, his losses would have been more than $240,000.\n6. Donāt expect this trading frenzy to keep happening:Itās possible that a group of traders on the Reddit forum will band together for more bear- or bull raids. Except Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are most likely creating new rules to prevent this from repeating. The Fed hates volatility and will do everything in its power to keep the markets calm. So once again, when you make big money on a trade, take the money as fast as you can ā because you may not get the chance again.\n7. Stop bragging about how much money you made: Many traders who won big immediately bragged on social media (and to their jealous friends) about how much money they made on this trade. Yet the euphoric feeling they had was temporary. It usually goes away after all the money is gone. The smart (and polite) traders took their gains and kept the win to themselves\n8. Use a time stop:Time stops are not well-known or popular, but with fast-moving stocks (or when trading options), they are invaluable. In an extremely fast market, the traditional stop-limit order wonāt get filled, as many of those meme-stock traders found out the hard way. Instead, after making a huge profit, set a day or time to sell. For example, you may sell the position by Friday no matter what (although selling at extremes is better ā see Rule #4).\n9. Sell half or all of the position:Itās never an easy decision to know when to sell. If you sell too early, itās annoying to watch the stock go higher. Sell too late and you lose money. Selling half of your holding is a reasonable alternative, but you must be prepared to sell the other half if the position goes against you.\n10. Donāt seek revenge when you lose money on a stock:Itās common for traders to seek revenge on a stock they lost money on. Do not fall for this emotional trap. If you lost money on a stock, let it go and move on.\n11. Trade small after you made or lost big:If youāre feeling emotional about a stock, including feelings of anger or revenge, trade small. Many people who hit it big in the market canāt help but make bigger and bigger bets. Just like the gamblers at a casino, they keep trading until all their money is gone.\nYou donāt think it can happen to you? One of the greatest speculators in the world, Jesse Livermore, made $100 million dollars in a single week in 1929. He then lost all of his money within five years. He should have moved most of his profits out of the market after his big win and traded small for the next year. Instead, he got reckless and lost it all.\n12. Donāt take on too much risk:Never invest or trade with so much money that if you lost, youād lose your house or 401(k). Brokers told me about clients who cleared out their retirement funds or took cash advances on their credit cards so they could buy GameStop and AMC. Some won, some lost, but many took on way too much risk.\nThe meme-stock pyramid scheme\nThose who traded GameStop, AMC and other meme stocks thought they were trading, but they were actually participating in a gigantic pyramid scheme. Those who got in early and got out early probably did well. Those who entered late or held too long lost money.\nMy advice: Review these 12 rules periodically. They are based on the experiences and the bad luck of thousands of other traders, including myself, who thought we were smarter than the market. In truth the market was smarter than us ā because it always is.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312107607,"gmtCreate":1612058660609,"gmtModify":1704867055580,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312107607","repostId":"1131015158","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131015158","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611902095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131015158?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 14:34","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Who is Trading on U.S. Markets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131015158","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year","content":"<p>The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).</p><p>As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 trillion, representing nearly 40% of totalglobal marketcapitalization. On an average day in 2019, trading in company stocks (excluding ETPs) adds to $233 billion. That results in turnover, multiplied by a companyās market cap trades each year, which is more than double what we see in Asia or Europe.</p><p>Better liquidity for all companies should result in lower trading costs for investors and lower costs of capital for issuers.</p><p><b>Chart 1: The U.S. equity market is the most liquid in the world (2019 data shown)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750bf1eaa39bf5912710666180423d55\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Which raises a question: āWho is doing all this U.S. stock trading?ā</p><p>The answer isnāt obvious, as very little trading is attributed to counterparties in public data sources. But using a number of sources, the estimates we create below show that all the participants in the U.S. markets ecosystem have different and important roles to play. These different players keep trading spreads low and prices efficient, and transfer liquidity between markets rapidly and cheaply.</p><p><b>Chart 2: The U.S. market ecosystem shows lots of participants contribute to liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6184c14291f0a33d44ed198bce806821\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Our estimates are shown below in Table 1. But there are a few things to highlight before we get going:</p><ul><li>Liquidity is relevant to both buyers <i>and</i> And risk is hedged in dollars, not shares. So we look at the value of <i>gross</i> liquidity (trades x 2). So <i>trading</i> of $233 billion per day actually represents <i>liquidity</i> of double that, or $466 billion per day.</li><li>Because most of the data from 2020 isnāt available yet, weāre basing these estimates on 2019 trading and assets. Total liquidity in 2020 actually increased 50% to almost $700 billion per day, thanks to an increase in retail trading and volatility caused by COVID-19.</li><li>Public data becomes harder and harder to find the more we progress down the list in Table 1. Accordingly, our estimates would increasingly adjust once more data becomes available.</li><li>We donāt include ETF trading, even though they are NMS stocks, which would add another $88 billion per day, or $176 billion in liquidity.</li></ul><p>We also try to separate our estimates by strategies available to investors (ānaturalā investors) and those deployed by liquidity providers (intermediators).</p><p><b>Table 1: Estimating who contributes to market liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce7e8a9db500a8d200aab6a55764908f\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>So, letās walk through how we arrived at these estimates.</p><p><b>How much do investors trade?</b></p><p>As Chart 3 shows, investors represent a small section of the market ecosystem, although data shows that they own the majority of stock market capital.</p><p>Around two-thirds of corporate shares are owned by U.S. households via mutual funds (22%), pension funds (11%) or retail brokerage (34%) accounts. And an additional 16% are owned by foreign investors, likely mostly through professionally managed investments too.</p><p><b>Chart 3: Ownership of U.S. stocks</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86ec9c7de9bf77f18a31094ba470b364\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>How much do mutual funds trade?</b></p><p>Letās start with professionally managed investments: mutual funds (domestic and international), ETFs and pensions. We know their assets are around $21.2 trillion (Chart 3).</p><p>ICI tracks the average turnover of all mutual funds. Their data shows that average turnover has been steadily declining for most of the past 35 years and now sits below 30% per annum each side.</p><p>Some of the decline is due to the rise in index funds. As we discuss below, they have a much lower turnover. Even when we account for that, we estimate active trading has still fallen to around 47% each side, equating to longer average hold times even in active institutional accounts.</p><p><b>Chart 4: Mutual fund turnover has declined to around 30%</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa5b070aeac70dd7d00d369f1f131dda\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"583\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Knowing that mutual funds tend to stay close to fully invested, we know that their buys are likely offset by sells, so turnover will result in a two-sided trade. Doing the math:</p><p>Mutual fund trading = $21.1 trillion in assets x 28% turnover x 2 sides</p><p>= $47.2 billion per day, or less than 10% of liquidity.</p><p>This total is somewhat understated as ICI doesnāt include cash inflows and outflows. If gross cash flows are (say) half the size again of trades, that would lead to around $70 billion in liquidity each day, or just 15% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>Index funds trade much (much) less</b></p><p>One of the common myths of liquidity is that because index funds have such large assets and consistent inflows, they also do a lot of trading, which also distorts prices.</p><p>The truth is very different. In fact, BlackRock estimated in 2017 that for every $1 in index trading, there was more than $20 in active trading.</p><p>Thatās because index funds are designed to do very little trading. Once an index portfolio buys an index weight holding of a stock, in principle, they donāt have to trade it ever again. As the price of the stock rises, so does its weight in the index and in the portfolio, and the portfolio tracks the performance of the index perfectly. That should make index funds some of the longest-term holders of stocks in the market.</p><p>In the real world, some trading is required. As companies raise more capital or buy back stock, index funds also need to adjust holdings. IPOs, mergers and price changes can also cause stocks to be added and deleted from indexes, also requiring the index portfolio to trade. But index providers tend to do that infrequently. In fact, S&P 500 turnover is estimated at around 4.4%, a statistic consistent with Credit Suisseās estimates for the annual Russell 1000 reconstitution of just 3% over recent years.</p><p>Although small-cap indexes see higher turnover as their largest holdings are often promoted to large-cap indexes during the year. For example, Credit Suisse also estimates turnover in the small-cap Russell 2000 is much higher at around 20%.</p><p>In addition, because index funds are focused on replicating their index, not trying to beat it, they tend to trade exactly when the index trades. That means almost all their trading happens at the close.</p><p>Interestingly, despite their sizable assets, Credit Suisseās index team estimated that all U.S. index funds traded just over $300 billion in 2019, including adds and deletes (both buys and sells). The BlackRock study of 2017 estimated that index funds traded $460 billion annually. Even this higher turnover estimate means index funds make up less than 0.5% of all liquidity in the stock market.</p><p>Because indexes themselves tend to minimize their rebalances, we also see that there are nine dates each year when index funds do most of their trading. Data suggests that index funds are around 40% of all trading on index rebalance dates, but cash flows that occur on other days add to less than 5% of close volume, hardly enough to impact price discovery.</p><p><b>Chart 5: Trading in the close higher on index rebalance dates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2fcee6a01b19149c5c43f4810606571\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">That leaves active funds providing almost all of the $70 trillion in mutual fund liquidity, and basically to 100% of intraday trading and price discovery done by mutual funds.</p><p>There are two important points to note about this. Even though index funds are large:</p><ul><li>Their turnover is low, making them even longer-term holders than active investors.</li><li>Their contribution to price discovery (or price distortions, as some claim) is muted.</li></ul><p><b>Chart 6: Index funds have grown to around 40% of all mutual fund assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f847fbcbc3db0bbe61eb12fe1b10d8a7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Hedge funds have fewer assets but higher turnover</b></p><p>Based on estimates, hedge funds hold around 3% of total corporate equities. This translates into roughly $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM). However, most hedge funds are both levered and operating higher turnover (lower hold time) strategies, which increases the liquidity they supply to the market.</p><p>Hedge funds are notoriously secretive. They also have a wide range of strategies from long term activists to high turnover stat-arb funds. So finding good average trading data is hard.</p><ul><li>This paper suggests that equity hedge fund leverage could be around two times. That puts gross assets are closer to $2 trillion, although short interest data suggests that a lot of hedge funds actually short with ETFs (reducing stock trading). Other data suggests some hedge funds lever up during the day.</li><li>Other sources suggest hedge fund turnover is between 120% and 200% per annum, which implies an average hold time for each stock of less than one year.</li><li>Some funds likely trade much more intraday and minimize overnight exposures (increasing stock trading), but we classify them as intermediation liquidity in Table 1, rather than as a strategy used by natural investors.</li></ul><p>Using these conservative estimates:</p><p>Hedge fund trading = $1 trillion in assets x (2 leverage x 2 sides) x 200% turnover = $9 trillion in liquidity each year</p><p>= $36 billion/day or 8% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>What about ETFs?</b></p><p>With ETF liquidity of $176 billion per day (both sides) in 2019, it is easy to say they cause a lot of stock trading, but thatās not true. There are three types of ETF liquidity:</p><ol><li><b>ETFs as mutual funds:</b> Just like other mutual funds, their portfolio will turnover as indexes change. However, most ETF assets are in index-style portfolios where turnover by the portfolio manager is limited. Consequently, we have included these in the mutual fund turnover metrics in the mutual funds section above.</li><li><b>ETF trading:</b> ETFs are their own ticker. An investor trading an ETF usually has nothing to do with underlying company stocks. In many QQQ trades, both the buyer and seller usually represent traders choosing ETFs because they are a cheaper way to gain portfolio exposure.</li><li><b>ETF to stock arbitrage</b>: Only authorized participants have the ability to arbitrage between the ETF and the stocks. We classify them as intermediaries (not naturals) and discuss their impact on stock liquidity later.</li></ol><p><b>What proportion of professional investors trade in dark pools?</b></p><p>All of the categories above could be considered āprofessional investors.ā They are likely to use brokersā algorithms to work orders in the market. As a whole, these professional investors (mutual, international, pension and ETF funds) represent almost 60% of all investor assets, but just 23% of all liquidity.</p><p>We also know that brokers route their orders through dark poolsāand we know that dark pools represent around 12% of all liquidity.</p><p>Even with market makers in dark pools, the math shows that professional investors execute a material proportion of their trades in dark pools, possibly 30% or more.</p><p><b>What about retail?</b></p><p>Retail trading grew significantly in 2020 to around 20% of the market. However, even in 2019, with 15% of all trades being retail, they represented a meaningful amount of āinvestorā liquidity.</p><p>However, the way people refer to retail market share overstates their contribution to liquidity for two reasons:</p><ol><li>Each retail trade represents a buyer <i>or</i> seller, so they are on one side of 15% of <i>shares</i></li><li>Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks (see Chart 7). Using non-ATS TRF data by ticker, we estimate their contribution to <i>value</i> traded is actually 15% lower.</li></ol><p>That adds to closer to $30 billion each day in 2019, or just over 6% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>Chart 7: Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks more, reducing their contribution to notional liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fb7571f7a20913204cd900b55773c47\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Where do Naturals trade?</b></p><p>So far, we have accounted for around 93% of assets but less than 30% of all liquidity.</p><p>Thatās less than all the liquidity that trades off-exchange. With dark pools representing 12% of all trades and other off exchange adding to 29% of all trades.</p><p>That seems to indicate that a material proportion of naturals execute off-exchange ā even though they rely on the exchanges for efficient prices and tight spreads. Ironically that makes the role of intermediaries, and competitive quotes on exchanges, even more important to the whole ecosystem. (Itās also a reason to reward the public market for sharing price data ā but thatās a topic for another day)</p><p><b>Chart 8: These calculations indicate natural investors rely on exchanges for efficient prices but do a large proportion of trading off exchanges</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8a0508b17c8db1f9b8a96b973225c11\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"769\"></p><p><b>What about the rest?</b></p><p>The breakdown for the other 70% of liquidity is much harder to support with public data, but our estimates show this is where specialist liquidity providers step in to keep markets and spreads efficient.</p><p>It includes a lot of different strategies, from two-sided liquidity provision to cross market arbitrage to statistical arbitrage strategies, all targeting short-term mispricing caused by other traders.</p><p>Their size in the U.S. market is a testament to low transaction costs, which allow for risk to be transferred via one or more additional trades. It is also a result of fragmentation and segmentation that increases facilitated trades.</p><p>Here our estimates are based on less hard data but inferred from other levels of activity. To see how intermediaries could add to 70% of liquidity, consider:</p><ul><li><b>Wholesaler facilitation</b>: Each retail trade facilitated off-exchange has a wholesaler on the other side. So the intermediation doubles the liquidity recorded (totaling 13% of all liquidity). However, TRF data shows the major wholesalers actually print trades representing closer to 25% of all liquidity, or about $117 billion per day. That additional 12% of all liquidity represents $57 billion, and likely trades with institutional investors or even other brokers.</li><li><b>Equity futures</b> traded around $620 billion each day in 2019, even more liquidity than the whole underlying U.S. stock market (Chart 9). S&P 500 Futures spreads are tight, at 0.8 basis points (bps), and there are arbitrage opportunities with SPY ETFs at 0.4bps and underlying portfolio at 4bps. Given stocks are the most expensive, itās likely that most futures trades do NOT cause stocks to trade. But if just 5% of futures trading led to stock arbitrage, that would account for around $31bn/day or 7% of all stock liquidity, almost all in S&P500 stocks.</li><li><b>ETF arbitrage:</b>As discussed above, some āauthorized participantsā are able to convert rich stocks into cheaper ETFs and vice versa, a critical market function that keeps ETFs fairly priced for investors. However, ETF spreads are often so cheap that there are no arbitrage opportunities. Industry estimates peg the amount of trading that is ETF arbitrage at between 4% and 10% of ETF trading. If thatās the case, then ETF arbitrage contributes around $11 billion per day in liquidity, of just 2% of all liquidity. Thatās consistent with the average creations plus redemptions per day (Chart 9), although that also includes many non-U.S. equity ETFs.</li></ul><p><b>Chart 9: ETF creations are a fraction of ETF liquidity, which is a fraction of stock liquidity, which itself is a fraction of equity futures liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12186b4f2fe4046cb66be42b3a4428cf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li><b>Options</b> markets require initial hedges and constant delta hedging. Notional trading of stock options totals $221 billion per day. If just 30% of notional leads to stock hedges and arbitrage, that translates to $66 billion per day, or 14% of liquidity.</li><li><b>Market makersā</b> purpose is to provide two-sided liquidity, not hold stocks long or short. They make money by accurately pricing the spread, and investors benefit from instantaneous liquidity on market orders. Given how few natural investors actually trade on-exchange, itās more likely than many expect that the quotes on the screen are in fact market makers intermediating trades. If market makers provide liquidity on one side of every second trade on-exchange, that would add to around 16% in total liquidity.</li><li><b>Opportunistic traders:</b> Some traders run arbitrage strategies that correct mispricing, often by taking liquidity. We note that this paper suggests hedge funds made up as much as 30% of all trades, almost double our estimate above. Thatās likely because traders with short-term mispricing strategies and small overnight balance, like statistical arbitrage, are excluded from our estimates above. These traders provide important risk transfers, even though there are little overnight positions or leverage. Given liquidity providers make up 16%, itās possible these taker strategies add to 8% of all liquidity, or $37 billion per day.</li></ul><p>That still leaves us with a pretty large āotherā category, at least from the perspective of natural investors. However, there are many other trading and hedging strategies we donāt know much about. For example, hedge funds also buy swaps and OTC options contracts from banks who still need to hedge their risk. Without data on the size of those markets, itās difficult to estimate their impact on stock trading, but their gamma could even explain some of the growth in market-on-close trading.</p><p>Itās also possible some of our intermediation estimates are off by at least this amount (given the lack of real data to reconcile to).</p><p><b>Chart 10: Naturals hold most assets, but intermediation makes up most of the trading</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5433155e6e58652d046d387c3c7bc1f6\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What does this teach us?</b></p><p>We would love to have more data to refine our results. But even as they stand, it helps us understand the role of each participant, bringing liquidity and price efficiency to the ecosystem. The data also busts some common myths:</p><ul><li><b>Index funds donāt trade much at all</b>, which means they canāt permanently distort prices either.</li><li><b>Price discovery comes from active funds and hedge funds.</b>Informed trading overwhelms index fund inflows.</li><li><b>Lots of other participants specialize in risk transfer</b>, from futures arbitrage to statistical arbitrage to classic market making. By process of elimination, these participants may trade even more than all the natural investors combined. But having all this competition for lit trading is also critical to the rest of the market who rely on tight spreads and instant liquidity.</li></ul><p>The key takeaway though is that very low costs to trade in the U.S. allow so many specialists to play a role in keeping markets efficient. Rather than degrading market quality, all the competition for marginally profitable trades translates into more liquidity and tighter spreads for investors, which in turn leads to more attractive valuations for issuers.</p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Who is Trading on U.S. Markets?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWho is Trading on U.S. Markets?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-29 14:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28><strong>Nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131015158","content_text":"The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 trillion, representing nearly 40% of totalglobal marketcapitalization. On an average day in 2019, trading in company stocks (excluding ETPs) adds to $233 billion. That results in turnover, multiplied by a companyās market cap trades each year, which is more than double what we see in Asia or Europe.Better liquidity for all companies should result inĀ lower trading costsĀ for investors and lowerĀ costs of capitalĀ for issuers.Chart 1: The U.S. equity market is the most liquid in the world (2019 data shown)Which raises a question: āWho is doing all this U.S. stock trading?āThe answer isnāt obvious, as very little trading is attributed to counterparties in public data sources. But using a number of sources, the estimates we create below show that all the participants in theĀ U.S. markets ecosystemĀ have different and important roles to play. These different players keep trading spreads low and prices efficient, and transfer liquidity between markets rapidly and cheaply.Chart 2: The U.S. market ecosystem shows lots of participants contribute to liquidityOur estimates are shown below in Table 1. But there are a few things to highlight before we get going:Liquidity is relevant to both buyersĀ andĀ And risk is hedged in dollars, not shares. So we look at the value ofĀ grossĀ liquidity (trades x 2). SoĀ tradingĀ of $233 billion per day actually representsĀ liquidityĀ of double that, or $466 billion per day.Because most of the data from 2020 isnāt available yet, weāre basing these estimates on 2019 trading and assets. Total liquidity in 2020 actually increased 50% to almost $700 billion per day, thanks to an increase in retail trading and volatility caused by COVID-19.Public data becomes harder and harder to find the more we progress down the list in Table 1. Accordingly, our estimates would increasingly adjust once more data becomes available.We donāt include ETF trading, even though they areĀ NMS stocks, which would add another $88 billion per day, or $176 billion in liquidity.We also try to separate our estimates by strategies available to investors (ānaturalā investors) and those deployed by liquidity providers (intermediators).Table 1: Estimating who contributes to market liquiditySo, letās walk through how we arrived at these estimates.How much do investors trade?As Chart 3 shows, investors represent a small section of the market ecosystem, although data shows that they own the majority of stock market capital.Around two-thirds of corporate shares are owned by U.S. households via mutual funds (22%), pension funds (11%) or retail brokerage (34%) accounts. And an additional 16% are owned by foreign investors, likely mostly through professionally managed investments too.Chart 3: Ownership of U.S. stocksHow much do mutual funds trade?Letās start with professionally managed investments: mutual funds (domestic and international), ETFs and pensions. We know their assets are around $21.2 trillion (Chart 3).ICI tracks theĀ average turnoverĀ of all mutual funds. Their data shows that average turnover has been steadily declining for most of the past 35 years and now sits below 30% per annum each side.Some of the decline is due to the rise in index funds. As we discuss below, they have a muchĀ lower turnover. Even when we account for that, we estimate active trading has still fallen to around 47% each side, equating to longer average hold times even in active institutional accounts.Chart 4: Mutual fund turnover has declined to around 30%Knowing that mutual funds tend to stay close to fully invested, we know that their buys are likely offset by sells, so turnover will result in a two-sided trade. Doing the math:Mutual fund trading = $21.1 trillion in assets x 28% turnover x 2 sides= $47.2 billion per day, or less than 10% of liquidity.This total is somewhat understated as ICI doesnāt include cash inflows and outflows. If gross cash flows are (say) half the size again of trades, that would lead to around $70 billion in liquidity each day, or just 15% of all liquidity.Index funds trade much (much) lessOne of the common myths of liquidity is that because index funds have such large assets and consistent inflows, they also do a lot of trading, which also distorts prices.The truth is very different. In fact,Ā BlackRockĀ estimated in 2017 that for every $1 in index trading, there was more than $20 in active trading.Thatās because index funds are designed to do very little trading. Once an index portfolio buys an index weight holding of a stock, in principle, they donāt have to trade it ever again. As the price of the stock rises, so does its weight in the index and in the portfolio, and the portfolio tracks the performance of the index perfectly. That should make index funds some of the longest-term holders of stocks in the market.In the real world, some trading is required. As companies raise more capital or buy back stock, index funds also need to adjust holdings. IPOs, mergers and price changes can also cause stocks to be added and deleted from indexes, also requiring the index portfolio to trade. But index providers tend to do that infrequently. In fact,Ā S&P 500 turnoverĀ is estimated at around 4.4%, a statistic consistent with Credit Suisseās estimates for the annual Russell 1000 reconstitution of just 3% over recent years.Although small-cap indexes see higher turnover as their largest holdings are often promoted to large-cap indexes during the year. For example, Credit Suisse also estimates turnover in the small-cap Russell 2000 is much higher at around 20%.In addition, because index funds are focused on replicating their index, not trying to beat it, they tend to trade exactly when the index trades. That means almost all their trading happens at the close.Interestingly, despite their sizable assets, Credit Suisseās index team estimated that all U.S. index funds tradedĀ just over $300 billionĀ in 2019, including adds and deletes (both buys and sells). TheĀ BlackRockĀ study of 2017 estimated that index funds traded $460 billion annually. Even this higher turnover estimate means index funds make up less than 0.5% of all liquidity in the stock market.Because indexes themselves tend to minimize their rebalances, we also see that there are nine dates each year when index funds doĀ most of their trading. Data suggests that index funds are around 40% of all trading on index rebalance dates, but cash flows that occur on other days add to less than 5% of close volume, hardly enough to impact price discovery.Chart 5: Trading in the close higher on index rebalance datesThat leaves active funds providing almost all of the $70 trillion in mutual fund liquidity, and basically to 100% of intraday trading and price discovery done by mutual funds.There are two important points to note about this. Even though index funds are large:Their turnover is low, making them even longer-term holders than active investors.Their contribution to price discovery (or price distortions, as some claim) is muted.Chart 6: Index funds have grown to around 40% of all mutual fund assetsHedge funds have fewer assets but higher turnoverBased onĀ estimates, hedge funds hold around 3% of total corporate equities. This translates into roughly $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM). However, most hedge funds are both levered and operating higher turnover (lower hold time) strategies, which increases the liquidity they supply to the market.Hedge funds are notoriously secretive. They also have a wide range of strategies from long term activists to high turnover stat-arb funds. So finding good average trading data is hard.This paperĀ suggests that equity hedge fund leverage could be around two times. That puts gross assets are closer to $2 trillion, althoughĀ short interest dataĀ suggests that a lot of hedge funds actually short with ETFs (reducing stock trading). Other data suggests some hedge funds lever up during the day.Other sources suggest hedge fund turnover is betweenĀ 120%Ā andĀ 200%Ā per annum, which implies an average hold time for each stock of less than one year.Some funds likely trade much more intraday and minimize overnight exposures (increasing stock trading), but we classify them as intermediation liquidity in Table 1, rather than as a strategy used by natural investors.Using these conservative estimates:Hedge fund trading = $1 trillion in assets x (2 leverage x 2 sides) x 200% turnover = $9 trillion in liquidity each year= $36 billion/day or 8% of all liquidity.What about ETFs?WithĀ ETF liquidity of $176 billion per dayĀ (both sides) in 2019, it is easy to say they cause a lot of stock trading, but thatās not true. There are three types of ETF liquidity:ETFs as mutual funds:Ā Just like other mutual funds, their portfolio will turnover as indexes change. However, most ETF assets are in index-style portfolios where turnover by the portfolio manager is limited. Consequently, we have included these in the mutual fund turnover metrics in the mutual funds section above.ETF trading:Ā ETFs are their own ticker. An investor trading an ETFĀ usually has nothing to doĀ with underlying company stocks. In many QQQ trades, both the buyer and seller usually represent traders choosing ETFs because they are a cheaper way to gain portfolio exposure.ETF to stock arbitrage: Only authorized participants have the ability to arbitrage between the ETF and the stocks. We classify them as intermediaries (not naturals) and discuss their impact on stock liquidity later.What proportion of professional investors trade in dark pools?All of the categories above could be considered āprofessional investors.ā They are likely to useĀ brokersā algorithmsĀ to work orders in the market. As a whole, these professional investors (mutual, international, pension and ETF funds) represent almost 60% of all investor assets, but just 23% of all liquidity.We also know that brokers route their orders through dark poolsāand we know thatĀ dark pools represent around 12%Ā of all liquidity.Even with market makers in dark pools, the math shows that professional investors execute a material proportion of their trades in dark pools, possibly 30% or more.What about retail?Retail trading grew significantly in 2020 toĀ around 20%Ā of the market. However, even in 2019, with 15% of all trades being retail, they represented a meaningful amount of āinvestorā liquidity.However, the way people refer to retail market share overstates their contribution to liquidity for two reasons:Each retail trade represents a buyerĀ orĀ seller, so they are on one side of 15% ofĀ sharesRetail tends to trade lower-priced stocks (see Chart 7). Using non-ATS TRF data by ticker, we estimate their contribution toĀ valueĀ traded is actually 15% lower.That adds to closer to $30 billion each day in 2019, or just over 6% of all liquidity.Chart 7: Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks more, reducing their contribution to notional liquidityWhere do Naturals trade?So far, we have accounted for around 93% of assets but less than 30% of all liquidity.Thatās less than all the liquidity that trades off-exchange. With dark pools representing 12% of all trades and other off exchange adding to 29% of all trades.That seems to indicate that a material proportion of naturals execute off-exchange ā even though they rely on the exchanges for efficient prices and tight spreads. Ironically that makes the role of intermediaries, and competitive quotes on exchanges, even more important to the whole ecosystem. (Itās also a reason to reward the public market for sharing price data ā but thatās a topic for another day)Chart 8: These calculations indicate natural investors rely on exchanges for efficient prices but do a large proportion of trading off exchangesWhat about the rest?The breakdown for the other 70% of liquidity is much harder to support with public data, but our estimates show this is where specialist liquidity providers step in to keep markets and spreads efficient.It includes a lot of different strategies, from two-sided liquidity provision to cross market arbitrage to statistical arbitrage strategies, all targeting short-term mispricing caused by other traders.Their size in the U.S. market is a testament to low transaction costs, which allow for risk to be transferred via one or more additional trades. It is also a result of fragmentation and segmentation that increases facilitated trades.Here our estimates are based on less hard data but inferred from other levels of activity. To see how intermediaries could add to 70% of liquidity, consider:Wholesaler facilitation: EachĀ retail trade facilitated off-exchangeĀ has a wholesaler on the other side. So the intermediation doubles the liquidity recorded (totaling 13% of all liquidity). However, TRF data shows the major wholesalers actually print trades representing closer to 25% of all liquidity, or about $117 billion per day. That additional 12% of all liquidity represents $57 billion, and likely trades with institutional investors or even other brokers.Equity futuresĀ traded around $620 billion each day in 2019, even more liquidity than the whole underlying U.S. stock market (Chart 9). S&P 500 Futures spreads are tight, at 0.8 basis points (bps), and there are arbitrage opportunities with SPY ETFs at 0.4bps and underlying portfolio at 4bps. Given stocks are the most expensive, itās likely that most futures trades do NOT cause stocks to trade. But if just 5% of futures trading led to stock arbitrage, that would account for around $31bn/day or 7% of all stock liquidity, almost all in S&P500 stocks.ETF arbitrage:As discussed above, some āauthorized participantsā are able to convert rich stocks into cheaper ETFs and vice versa, a critical market function that keeps ETFs fairly priced for investors. However, ETF spreads areĀ often so cheapĀ that there are no arbitrage opportunities. Industry estimates peg the amount of trading that is ETF arbitrage atĀ between 4% and 10% of ETF trading. If thatās the case, then ETF arbitrage contributes around $11 billion per day in liquidity, of just 2% of all liquidity. Thatās consistent with the average creations plus redemptions per day (Chart 9), although that also includes many non-U.S. equity ETFs.Chart 9: ETF creations are a fraction of ETF liquidity, which is a fraction of stock liquidity, which itself is a fraction of equity futures liquidityOptionsĀ markets require initial hedges and constant delta hedging. Notional trading of stock options totals $221 billion per day. If just 30% of notional leads to stock hedges and arbitrage, that translates to $66 billion per day, or 14% of liquidity.Market makersāĀ purpose is to provide two-sided liquidity, not hold stocks long or short. They make money by accurately pricing the spread, and investors benefit from instantaneous liquidity on market orders. Given how few natural investors actually trade on-exchange, itās more likely than many expect that the quotes on the screen are in fact market makers intermediating trades. If market makers provide liquidity on one side of every second trade on-exchange, that would add to around 16% in total liquidity.Opportunistic traders:Ā Some traders run arbitrage strategies that correct mispricing, often by taking liquidity. We note thatĀ this paperĀ suggests hedge funds made up as much as 30% of all trades, almost double our estimate above. Thatās likely because traders with short-term mispricing strategies and small overnight balance, like statistical arbitrage, are excluded from our estimates above. These traders provide important risk transfers, even though there are little overnight positions or leverage. Given liquidity providers make up 16%, itās possible these taker strategies add to 8% of all liquidity, or $37 billion per day.That still leaves us with a pretty large āotherā category, at least from the perspective of natural investors. However, there are many other trading and hedging strategies we donāt know much about. For example, hedge funds also buy swaps and OTC options contracts from banks who still need to hedge their risk. Without data on the size of those markets, itās difficult to estimate their impact on stock trading, but their gamma could even explain some of the growth in market-on-close trading.Itās also possible some of our intermediation estimates are off by at least this amount (given the lack of real data to reconcile to).Chart 10: Naturals hold most assets, but intermediation makes up most of the tradingWhat does this teach us?We would love to have more data to refine our results. But even as they stand, it helps us understand the role of each participant, bringing liquidity and price efficiency to the ecosystem. The data also busts some common myths:Index funds donāt trade much at all, which means they canāt permanently distort prices either.Price discovery comes from active funds and hedge funds.Informed trading overwhelms index fund inflows.Lots of other participants specialize in risk transfer, from futures arbitrage to statistical arbitrage to classic market making. By process of elimination, these participants may trade even more than all the natural investors combined. But having all this competition for lit trading is also critical to the rest of the market who rely on tight spreads and instant liquidity.The key takeaway though is that very low costs to trade in the U.S. allow so many specialists to play a role in keeping markets efficient. Rather than degrading market quality, all the competition for marginally profitable trades translates into more liquidity and tighter spreads for investors, which in turn leads toĀ more attractive valuationsĀ for issuers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":313738389,"gmtCreate":1611750461341,"gmtModify":1704862738006,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573124081715681","idStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can't stop won't stop GameStop ","listText":"Can't stop won't stop GameStop ","text":"Can't stop won't stop GameStop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/313738389","repostId":"2106281886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2106281886","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1611738637,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2106281886?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-27 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop up another 60%, amateur interest shows no sign of abating","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2106281886","media":"Reuters","summary":"LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - GameStop shares surged another 60% on Wednesday in pre-market trading, bo","content":"<p>LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - GameStop shares surged another 60% on Wednesday in pre-market trading, boosted by increased interest among amateur investors who have lifted the share price by 700% over the past two weeks.</p><p>But some hedge funds have refused to budge from their bearish bets, with FIS' Analytics data showing investors had piled on $2.2 billion in bearish bets on the U.S. video game retailer -- a whopping 20% of its market capitalisation,</p><p>In the meantime, Reddit's Wallstreetbets stock trading discussion group were backing the company, buying shares and call options on the stock.</p><p>A similar euphoria has boosted BlackBerry and Nokia</p><p>Meanwhile in Europe, shares of Evotec and Varta</p><p>jumped on a chatter that Melvin Capital Management was being forced to unwind its short positions to cover losses on its other bearish bets, including GameStop.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop up another 60%, amateur interest shows no sign of abating</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop up another 60%, amateur interest shows no sign of abating\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-27 17:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - GameStop shares surged another 60% on Wednesday in pre-market trading, boosted by increased interest among amateur investors who have lifted the share price by 700% over the past two weeks.</p><p>But some hedge funds have refused to budge from their bearish bets, with FIS' Analytics data showing investors had piled on $2.2 billion in bearish bets on the U.S. video game retailer -- a whopping 20% of its market capitalisation,</p><p>In the meantime, Reddit's Wallstreetbets stock trading discussion group were backing the company, buying shares and call options on the stock.</p><p>A similar euphoria has boosted BlackBerry and Nokia</p><p>Meanwhile in Europe, shares of Evotec and Varta</p><p>jumped on a chatter that Melvin Capital Management was being forced to unwind its short positions to cover losses on its other bearish bets, including GameStop.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FIS":"ē¹å¾·äæ”ęÆęęÆ","GME":"ęøøę驿ē«"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2106281886","content_text":"LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - GameStop shares surged another 60% on Wednesday in pre-market trading, boosted by increased interest among amateur investors who have lifted the share price by 700% over the past two weeks.But some hedge funds have refused to budge from their bearish bets, with FIS' Analytics data showing investors had piled on $2.2 billion in bearish bets on the U.S. video game retailer -- a whopping 20% of its market capitalisation,In the meantime, Reddit's Wallstreetbets stock trading discussion group were backing the company, buying shares and call options on the stock.A similar euphoria has boosted BlackBerry and NokiaMeanwhile in Europe, shares of Evotec and Vartajumped on a chatter that Melvin Capital Management was being forced to unwind its short positions to cover losses on its other bearish bets, including GameStop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"FIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9098806152,"gmtCreate":1644069551617,"gmtModify":1676533887555,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","listText":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","text":"For the long term, things may work out find if you get in at a good price :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9098806152","repostId":"1196927717","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196927717","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644033090,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196927717?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-05 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196927717","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.</li><li>Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.</li><li>During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantirās software.</li><li>Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantirās 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.</li><li>Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd7a77abaec0ea0aa58eebb9ce4b9606\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Neutral</b></p><p>Palantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.</p><p><b>Customer Detail</b></p><p>Palantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.</p><p>The following tables were compiled from PalantirāsĀ Q3 2021 10-QĀ filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantirās 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantirās largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e38ee31a1d6e826d2d02216e39ac570\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"151\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4dc61112528e104ef0d3a8dc80f89d1\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"481\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>For ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.</p><p>By definition, Palantirās largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantirās revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.</p><p>The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.</p><p>Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantirās software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not armās-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.</p><p>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the companyās 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</p><p><b>Investees</b></p><p>It is important to step back and review Palantirās investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantirās use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantirās investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dda111182479c1fbaddc642369e4bd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantirās valuation. Palantirās ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.</p><p>It remains unclear how much of each companyās funding can be spent on Palantirās software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.</p><p>I have highlighted in blue Palantirās total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantirās balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.</p><p>The following table displays Palantirās commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06664e25242d0bacb6f2a64a7a80228\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantirās software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.</p><p><b>Financial Performance</b></p><p>Turning to Palantirās recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b09c2f2aada9cb30c8b720be23d096e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the companyās 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantirās investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-armās-length sales.</p><p><b>Geographic & Segment Sales</b></p><p>The sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19bc17658ff1b951eec789ec95deddd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a553cc3913c2af281262da7b15bdc3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.</p><p><b>Gross Profit & KPI</b></p><p>Palantirās unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The companyās sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:</p><blockquote>Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...</blockquote><p>As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.</p><p>I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantirās business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55c5e5fcea6102ca9d0542c130ee1d15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.</p><p>Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc4e966e16c27ea17f99ccb08a18957\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.</p><p><b>Operating Income</b></p><p>Turning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5f344c289a598ec7824067b39c04f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.</p><p>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</p><p>As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>If Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displaysĀ consensus earnings and revenue estimatesĀ through 2023.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022fd2d18964776a3e20294c7917548f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.</p><p>The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.</p><p>The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantirās aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.</p><p>Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Palantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantirās rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.</p><p>On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.</p><p>The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>While the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The followingĀ 3-year weekly chartĀ offers a birdās eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9aaa4f2a36fa507e420c9353d0cd91c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantirās short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.</p><p>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.</p><p>If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantirās current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.</p><p>The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32fdab79f60368696ab122ff81b60a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-05 11:51 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196927717","content_text":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantirās core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantirās software.Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantirās 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.Risk/Reward Rating: NeutralPalantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.Customer DetailPalantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.The following tables were compiled from PalantirāsĀ Q3 2021 10-QĀ filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantirās 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantirās largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxSource: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxFor ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.By definition, Palantirās largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantirās revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantirās software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not armās-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the companyās 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.InvesteesIt is important to step back and review Palantirās investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantirās use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantirās investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantirās valuation. Palantirās ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.It remains unclear how much of each companyās funding can be spent on Palantirās software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.I have highlighted in blue Palantirās total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantirās balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.The following table displays Palantirās commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantirās software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.Financial PerformanceTurning to Palantirās recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the companyās 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantirās investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-armās-length sales.Geographic & Segment SalesThe sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.Gross Profit & KPIPalantirās unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The companyās sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantirās business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantirās Q3 2021 10-Q.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.Operating IncomeTurning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.Consensus Growth EstimatesIf Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displaysĀ consensus earnings and revenue estimatesĀ through 2023.Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantirās aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.ValuationPalantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantirās rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.TechnicalsWhile the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The followingĀ 3-year weekly chartĀ offers a birdās eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantirās short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantirās current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.SummaryAll told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092108541,"gmtCreate":1644545727517,"gmtModify":1676533939661,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","listText":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","text":"Surprised how Capitaland Investment is not mentioned maongsg the top stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092108541","repostId":"1174835231","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174835231","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644538697,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174835231?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-11 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174835231","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits just beneath the 3,430-point plateau although investors figure to cash in on Friday.</p><p>The global forecast for the AsianĀ marketsĀ is negative on growing concerns over the outlook for interest rates. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourse were sharply lower and the Asian markets figure to follow the latter lead.</p><p>The STI finished slightly higher on Thursday following gains from the properties, weakness from the industrials and a mixed picture from the financials.</p><p>For the day, the index rose 7.96 points or 0.23 percent to finish at 3,428.00 after trading between 3,403.95 and 3,435.68. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 1.6 billion Singapore dollars. There were 279 gainers and 182 decliners.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.35 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust accelerated 0.97 percent, Comfort DelGro climbed 0.69 percent, Dairy Farm International fell 0.34 percent, DBS Group lost 0.35 percent, Genting Singapore strengthened 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land surged 2.88 percent, Keppel Corp slid 0.17 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust added 0.55 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust soared 1.71 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.15 percent, SATS gained 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries shed 0.41 percent, Singapore Airlines advanced 0.56 percent, Singapore Exchange was up 0.10 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering spiked 1.05 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.76 percent, United Overseas Bank sank 0.79 percent, Wilmar International jumped 0.91 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, City Developments, Singapore Press Holdings and SingTel were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is broadly negative as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and the losses accelerated as the session progressed.</p><p>The Dow plummeted 526.47 points or 1.47 percent to finish at 35,241.59, while the NASDAQ tumbled 304.73 points or 2.10 percent to close at 14,185.64 and the S&P 500 sank 83.10 points or 1.81 percent to end at 4,504.08.</p><p>The sell-off on Wall Street came after the Labor Department said the annual rate of growth in consumer prices accelerated more than expected in January. The data raised concerns that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates more aggressively to fight elevated inflation.</p><p>Selling pressure accelerated after comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who indicated he supports raising interest rates by 50 basis points next month as part of a plan to raise rates by a full percentage point by the start of July.</p><p>Crude oil futures settled higher Thursday, gaining for a second straight day as falling crude inventories continued to support the commodity's prices. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for March ended higher by $0.22 or 0.25 percent at $89.88 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRally Expected To Stall For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-11 08:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx><strong>RTTNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"åÆę¶ę°å å”ęµ·å³”ęę°"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3262038/rally-expected-to-stall-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174835231","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has climbed higher in six straight sessions, soaring more than 180 points or 5.5 percent along the way. Now at a fresh 30-month closing high, the Straits Times Index sits just beneath the 3,430-point plateau although investors figure to cash in on Friday.The global forecast for the AsianĀ marketsĀ is negative on growing concerns over the outlook for interest rates. The European markets were mixed and the U.S. bourse were sharply lower and the Asian markets figure to follow the latter lead.The STI finished slightly higher on Thursday following gains from the properties, weakness from the industrials and a mixed picture from the financials.For the day, the index rose 7.96 points or 0.23 percent to finish at 3,428.00 after trading between 3,403.95 and 3,435.68. Volume was 1.4 billion shares worth 1.6 billion Singapore dollars. There were 279 gainers and 182 decliners.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT rose 0.35 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust accelerated 0.97 percent, Comfort DelGro climbed 0.69 percent, Dairy Farm International fell 0.34 percent, DBS Group lost 0.35 percent, Genting Singapore strengthened 0.65 percent, Hongkong Land surged 2.88 percent, Keppel Corp slid 0.17 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust added 0.55 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust soared 1.71 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation collected 0.15 percent, SATS gained 0.50 percent, SembCorp Industries shed 0.41 percent, Singapore Airlines advanced 0.56 percent, Singapore Exchange was up 0.10 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering spiked 1.05 percent, Thai Beverage rallied 0.76 percent, United Overseas Bank sank 0.79 percent, Wilmar International jumped 0.91 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, City Developments, Singapore Press Holdings and SingTel were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is broadly negative as the major averages opened lower on Thursday and the losses accelerated as the session progressed.The Dow plummeted 526.47 points or 1.47 percent to finish at 35,241.59, while the NASDAQ tumbled 304.73 points or 2.10 percent to close at 14,185.64 and the S&P 500 sank 83.10 points or 1.81 percent to end at 4,504.08.The sell-off on Wall Street came after the Labor Department said the annual rate of growth in consumer prices accelerated more than expected in January. The data raised concerns that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates more aggressively to fight elevated inflation.Selling pressure accelerated after comments from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who indicated he supports raising interest rates by 50 basis points next month as part of a plan to raise rates by a full percentage point by the start of July.Crude oil futures settled higher Thursday, gaining for a second straight day as falling crude inventories continued to support the commodity's prices. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for March ended higher by $0.22 or 0.25 percent at $89.88 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362644878,"gmtCreate":1614637552894,"gmtModify":1704773296073,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TO THE MOONNNN","listText":"TO THE MOONNNN","text":"TO THE MOONNNN","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362644878","repostId":"1184516667","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184516667","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614602503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184516667?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-01 20:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184516667","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recen","content":"<p>The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket trade Monday. GameStop shares were up 5% premarket, while shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. the world's biggest cinema chain, were up 12%. BlackBerry Ltd was up 3.8%, and Naked Brand Group Ltd. was up 9.5%. Koss Corp. a maker of headphones, was up 2.9%.</p>\n<p> GameStop shares have gained 440% in the year to date, as investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets platform sought to punish short sellers who had driven short interest in the stock to 140% by buying the stock and creating a short squeeze.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop and AMC Entertainment shares active again premarket\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-01 20:41 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-and-amc-entertainment-shares-active-again-premarket-2021-03-01","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1184516667","content_text":"The group of \"meme\" stocks, led by videogame retailer GameStop Corp.that have been volatile in recent weeks as investors on a Reddit subgroup have egged each other on, were active again in premarket trade Monday. GameStop shares were up 5% premarket, while shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.Ā the world's biggest cinema chain, were up 12%. BlackBerry LtdĀ was up 3.8%, and Naked Brand Group Ltd.Ā was up 9.5%. Koss Corp.Ā a maker of headphones, was up 2.9%.\n GameStop shares have gained 440% in the year to date, as investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets platform sought to punish short sellers who had driven short interest in the stock to 140% by buying the stock and creating a short squeeze.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004584481,"gmtCreate":1642639060298,"gmtModify":1676533730570,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","listText":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","text":"Much higher than expected, and not exactly good news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004584481","repostId":"2204050636","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2204050636","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1642630714,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2204050636?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-20 06:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204050636","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"Walt Disney Co :Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Ve","content":"<html><body><p>Walt Disney Co <dis.n>:Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</dis.n></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalt Disney Co Says CEO Robert Chapek's 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - SEC Filing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-20 06:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Walt Disney Co <dis.n>:Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</dis.n></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"ē“¢ē½ęÆęä»","BK4507":"ęµåŖä½ę¦åæµ","BK4534":"ē士俔蓷ęä»","BK4524":"å® ē»ęµę¦åæµ","TSS":"Total System Services","BK4554":"å å®å®åARę¦åæµ","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4532":"ęčŗå¤å “ē§ęęä»","BK4108":"ēµå½±å娱ä¹","BK4551":"åÆå¾čµę¬ęä»","BK4550":"ēŗ¢ęčµę¬ęä»"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2204050636","content_text":"Walt Disney Co :Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Was $32.5 Million Versus $14.2 Million In 2020 - Sec Filing.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $45.9 Million Versus $21 Million.Walt Disney Co - Ceo Pay Ratio For Fiscal 2021 Was 644:1.Walt Disney Co - Cfo Christine M. Mccarthy'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Was $21.7 Million Versus About $11 Million.Walt Disney Co Says Ceo Robert Chapek'S 2021 Total Compensation Includes Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation Of $14.33 Million.Walt Disney Co - Robert A. Iger'S Total Fiscal Year 2021 Compensation Included $22.9 Million In Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSS":1,"DIS":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125608736,"gmtCreate":1624670079225,"gmtModify":1703843176107,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh god","listText":"Oh god","text":"Oh god","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125608736","repostId":"2146500392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146500392","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624658618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146500392?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 06:03","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146500392","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from","content":"<p>June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.</p>\n<p>Ether, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin falls 8.5% to $31,700\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-26 06:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.</p>\n<p>Ether, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"ęÆē¹åøETF-Grayscale"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146500392","content_text":"June 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin dipped 8.51% to $31,699.83 at 22:04 GMT on Friday, losing $2,937.27 from its previous close.\nBitcoin, the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, is up 14.3% from the year's low of $27,734 on Jan. 4.\nEther, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, dropped 7.37 % to $1,843.07 on Friday, losing $146.56 from its previous close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008131192,"gmtCreate":1641383941716,"gmtModify":1676533608362,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","listText":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","text":"Lol y'all gotta invest for the long term","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008131192","repostId":"9008320530","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9008320530,"gmtCreate":1641365542011,"gmtModify":1676533606533,"author":{"id":"3566985411425850","authorId":"3566985411425850","name":"Lee369","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b50776f2d2d44db20d06a400d7d6e289","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566985411425850","authorIdStr":"3566985411425850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>Lol the hype is over š¤£","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/9CI.SI\">$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$</a>Lol the hype is over š¤£","text":"$CapitaLandInves(9CI.SI)$Lol the hype is over š¤£","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/feec260f19de37408274f4c0edb804ca","width":"750","height":"1687"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008320530","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321413908,"gmtCreate":1615460472004,"gmtModify":1704783048701,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TO THE MOON ","listText":"TO THE MOON ","text":"TO THE MOON","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/321413908","repostId":"1114893584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114893584","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1615443302,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114893584?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-11 14:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Analysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114893584","media":"Reuters","summary":"Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop ","content":"<p>Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.</p>\n<p>āI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā</p>\n<p>The latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.</p>\n<p>āI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā</p>\n<p>GameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.</p>\n<p>Some expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.</p>\n<p>GameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.</p>\n<p><b>ICE CREAM</b></p>\n<p>Analysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.</p>\n<p>GameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Hopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.</p>\n<p>For the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.</p>\n<p>āWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.</p>\n<p>Other analysts were slightly more optimistic.</p>\n<p>āBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā</p>\n<p>Some GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.</p>\n<p>Analysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.</p>\n<p>But the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.</p>\n<p>āThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.</p>\n<p>That did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.</p>\n<p>āThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Analysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnalysis: Riding GameStop's resurgent rally - 'not for the faint of heart'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-11 14:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.</p>\n<p>āI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā</p>\n<p>The latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.</p>\n<p>āI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā</p>\n<p>GameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.</p>\n<p>Some expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.</p>\n<p>GameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.</p>\n<p><b>ICE CREAM</b></p>\n<p>Analysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.</p>\n<p>GameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Hopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.</p>\n<p>For the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.</p>\n<p>āWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.</p>\n<p>Other analysts were slightly more optimistic.</p>\n<p>āBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā</p>\n<p>Some GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.</p>\n<p>Analysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.</p>\n<p>But the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.</p>\n<p>āThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.</p>\n<p>That did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.</p>\n<p>āThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"ęøøę驿ē«"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114893584","content_text":"Joe Youngblood, who works in digital marketing in Dallas, Texas, bought his first share of GameStop at $98 in early February and found his investment cut in half in a matter of days. After a wild ride, he is now up more than 200% and expects the video game retailer to initiate a much-awaited turnaround of its business.\nāI am kicking myself for not buying more when it dropped below $50,ā said Youngblood. āAfter research I believe GameStop has a good chance to pull it off.ā\nThe latest resurgence in GameStop shares has reinvigorated true believers. Still, many analysts point to the rally in beaten-down āmeme stocksā championed in forums such as Redditās WallStreetBets as evidence for speculative excess in stimulus-fueled markets.\nāI think this is a cult stock,ā said Michael Pachter, managing director of equity research at Wedbush Securities. āThe rally is because of demand from the Reddit Raiders, and itās not clear it will be sustainable as the stock rises to ever higher levels.ā\nGameStop shares closed on Wednesday up 7% at $265 after hitting a session peak of $348.50, which was 800% above last monthās low. Among the factors driving the stock are bets on improving fundamentals and hopes for another short squeeze like the one in late January, which drove prices as high as $483. Many GameStop investors also hope Americans will plow money from their coming stimulus checks into the stock.\nSome expect GameStop to take advantage of the new rally by launching a share offering to pay down debt. Its earnings report, scheduled for March 23, could clear the way.\nGameStop did not reply to a request for comment on its stock price.\nICE CREAM\nAnalysts who cover GameStop have a median price target of $12.50 on the stock. Wednesdayās closing price was 21 times higher than that.\nGameStop bulls say the fundamental picture is changing. Many cheered moves to tap Ryan Cohen, a shareholder and co-founder of online pet products retailer Chewy Inc , to spearhead a committee guiding GameStopās transition to e-commerce.\nHopeful investors have interpreted Cohenās cryptic tweets, including a picture of an ice cream cone, as signs he is pushing the retail chain away from its brick-and-mortar model. Still, Pachter said even the most successful transition would not justify such a stratospheric stock price.\nFor the quarter ended Oct. 31, GameStop reportedherea net loss of $18.8 million and a loss per share of 29 cents. To justify a trading price of $235, it would need to earn between $10 and $12 a share annually on a sustainable basis, Pachter said. He expects the company to earn $1 a share for the fiscal year ending in January 2022.\nāWe donāt know what Ryan Cohen proposes to change, but those numbers sound unattainable in the short term,ā he said.\nOther analysts were slightly more optimistic.\nāBefore, when the stock rallied there was really no legitimate, fundamental reason,ā said David Keller, chief market strategist at Stockcharts.com, a technical analysis and charting platform targeted at retail investors. āNow all of a sudden this feels more like a growth stock.ā\nSome GameStop bulls believe improving fundamentals and a climbing stock price will put bearish investors into another āshort squeeze,ā forcing them to unwind bets against the company. When this happened in January, GameStop surged by 1,600%. It pared most of those gains in February.\nAnalysts said a short squeeze is likely accelerating the latest rally. Investors short GameStop shares have incurred over $1.3 billion in losses over the last couple of days.\nBut the number of GameStop shares sold short has dropped since early January to its lowest level in at least three years, according to S3 Partners.\nāThe stock can go up from just buyers but it likely wonāt go up quite as quickly,ā said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research.\nThat did not stop Eric Diaz, an operations manager in Tampa, Florida, who added more GameStop shares at $100 apiece to the 10 he has been holding since January. After the most recent runup, Diaz said he sold all but two of his GameStop shares.\nāThis isnāt really a rational investment,ā he said. āNot for the faint of heart.ā","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367498656,"gmtCreate":1614959969175,"gmtModify":1704777639361,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","listText":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","text":"Buy the dip, average it out yo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/367498656","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"äøŗēØę·ęä¾éččµč®Æćč”ę ćę°ę®ļ¼ęØåØåø®å©ęčµč ēč§£äøēļ¼åęčµå³ēć","home_visible":1,"media_name":"čččµč®Æē»¼å","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169596583?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"čččµč®Æē»¼å","summary":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">čččµč®Æē»¼å </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5)Ā Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383691286,"gmtCreate":1612870792345,"gmtModify":1704875187580,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/383691286","repostId":"1109747216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312107607,"gmtCreate":1612058660609,"gmtModify":1704867055580,"author":{"id":"3573124081715681","authorId":"3573124081715681","name":"Lollmaorofl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d359f1ef78d2115b312a9a26806c1e40","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573124081715681","authorIdStr":"3573124081715681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312107607","repostId":"1131015158","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131015158","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611902095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131015158?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-29 14:34","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Who is Trading on U.S. Markets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131015158","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year","content":"<p>The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).</p><p>As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 trillion, representing nearly 40% of totalglobal marketcapitalization. On an average day in 2019, trading in company stocks (excluding ETPs) adds to $233 billion. That results in turnover, multiplied by a companyās market cap trades each year, which is more than double what we see in Asia or Europe.</p><p>Better liquidity for all companies should result in lower trading costs for investors and lower costs of capital for issuers.</p><p><b>Chart 1: The U.S. equity market is the most liquid in the world (2019 data shown)</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/750bf1eaa39bf5912710666180423d55\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Which raises a question: āWho is doing all this U.S. stock trading?ā</p><p>The answer isnāt obvious, as very little trading is attributed to counterparties in public data sources. But using a number of sources, the estimates we create below show that all the participants in the U.S. markets ecosystem have different and important roles to play. These different players keep trading spreads low and prices efficient, and transfer liquidity between markets rapidly and cheaply.</p><p><b>Chart 2: The U.S. market ecosystem shows lots of participants contribute to liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6184c14291f0a33d44ed198bce806821\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Our estimates are shown below in Table 1. But there are a few things to highlight before we get going:</p><ul><li>Liquidity is relevant to both buyers <i>and</i> And risk is hedged in dollars, not shares. So we look at the value of <i>gross</i> liquidity (trades x 2). So <i>trading</i> of $233 billion per day actually represents <i>liquidity</i> of double that, or $466 billion per day.</li><li>Because most of the data from 2020 isnāt available yet, weāre basing these estimates on 2019 trading and assets. Total liquidity in 2020 actually increased 50% to almost $700 billion per day, thanks to an increase in retail trading and volatility caused by COVID-19.</li><li>Public data becomes harder and harder to find the more we progress down the list in Table 1. Accordingly, our estimates would increasingly adjust once more data becomes available.</li><li>We donāt include ETF trading, even though they are NMS stocks, which would add another $88 billion per day, or $176 billion in liquidity.</li></ul><p>We also try to separate our estimates by strategies available to investors (ānaturalā investors) and those deployed by liquidity providers (intermediators).</p><p><b>Table 1: Estimating who contributes to market liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce7e8a9db500a8d200aab6a55764908f\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"661\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>So, letās walk through how we arrived at these estimates.</p><p><b>How much do investors trade?</b></p><p>As Chart 3 shows, investors represent a small section of the market ecosystem, although data shows that they own the majority of stock market capital.</p><p>Around two-thirds of corporate shares are owned by U.S. households via mutual funds (22%), pension funds (11%) or retail brokerage (34%) accounts. And an additional 16% are owned by foreign investors, likely mostly through professionally managed investments too.</p><p><b>Chart 3: Ownership of U.S. stocks</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86ec9c7de9bf77f18a31094ba470b364\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>How much do mutual funds trade?</b></p><p>Letās start with professionally managed investments: mutual funds (domestic and international), ETFs and pensions. We know their assets are around $21.2 trillion (Chart 3).</p><p>ICI tracks the average turnover of all mutual funds. Their data shows that average turnover has been steadily declining for most of the past 35 years and now sits below 30% per annum each side.</p><p>Some of the decline is due to the rise in index funds. As we discuss below, they have a much lower turnover. Even when we account for that, we estimate active trading has still fallen to around 47% each side, equating to longer average hold times even in active institutional accounts.</p><p><b>Chart 4: Mutual fund turnover has declined to around 30%</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa5b070aeac70dd7d00d369f1f131dda\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"583\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Knowing that mutual funds tend to stay close to fully invested, we know that their buys are likely offset by sells, so turnover will result in a two-sided trade. Doing the math:</p><p>Mutual fund trading = $21.1 trillion in assets x 28% turnover x 2 sides</p><p>= $47.2 billion per day, or less than 10% of liquidity.</p><p>This total is somewhat understated as ICI doesnāt include cash inflows and outflows. If gross cash flows are (say) half the size again of trades, that would lead to around $70 billion in liquidity each day, or just 15% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>Index funds trade much (much) less</b></p><p>One of the common myths of liquidity is that because index funds have such large assets and consistent inflows, they also do a lot of trading, which also distorts prices.</p><p>The truth is very different. In fact, BlackRock estimated in 2017 that for every $1 in index trading, there was more than $20 in active trading.</p><p>Thatās because index funds are designed to do very little trading. Once an index portfolio buys an index weight holding of a stock, in principle, they donāt have to trade it ever again. As the price of the stock rises, so does its weight in the index and in the portfolio, and the portfolio tracks the performance of the index perfectly. That should make index funds some of the longest-term holders of stocks in the market.</p><p>In the real world, some trading is required. As companies raise more capital or buy back stock, index funds also need to adjust holdings. IPOs, mergers and price changes can also cause stocks to be added and deleted from indexes, also requiring the index portfolio to trade. But index providers tend to do that infrequently. In fact, S&P 500 turnover is estimated at around 4.4%, a statistic consistent with Credit Suisseās estimates for the annual Russell 1000 reconstitution of just 3% over recent years.</p><p>Although small-cap indexes see higher turnover as their largest holdings are often promoted to large-cap indexes during the year. For example, Credit Suisse also estimates turnover in the small-cap Russell 2000 is much higher at around 20%.</p><p>In addition, because index funds are focused on replicating their index, not trying to beat it, they tend to trade exactly when the index trades. That means almost all their trading happens at the close.</p><p>Interestingly, despite their sizable assets, Credit Suisseās index team estimated that all U.S. index funds traded just over $300 billion in 2019, including adds and deletes (both buys and sells). The BlackRock study of 2017 estimated that index funds traded $460 billion annually. Even this higher turnover estimate means index funds make up less than 0.5% of all liquidity in the stock market.</p><p>Because indexes themselves tend to minimize their rebalances, we also see that there are nine dates each year when index funds do most of their trading. Data suggests that index funds are around 40% of all trading on index rebalance dates, but cash flows that occur on other days add to less than 5% of close volume, hardly enough to impact price discovery.</p><p><b>Chart 5: Trading in the close higher on index rebalance dates</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2fcee6a01b19149c5c43f4810606571\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">That leaves active funds providing almost all of the $70 trillion in mutual fund liquidity, and basically to 100% of intraday trading and price discovery done by mutual funds.</p><p>There are two important points to note about this. Even though index funds are large:</p><ul><li>Their turnover is low, making them even longer-term holders than active investors.</li><li>Their contribution to price discovery (or price distortions, as some claim) is muted.</li></ul><p><b>Chart 6: Index funds have grown to around 40% of all mutual fund assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f847fbcbc3db0bbe61eb12fe1b10d8a7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"554\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Hedge funds have fewer assets but higher turnover</b></p><p>Based on estimates, hedge funds hold around 3% of total corporate equities. This translates into roughly $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM). However, most hedge funds are both levered and operating higher turnover (lower hold time) strategies, which increases the liquidity they supply to the market.</p><p>Hedge funds are notoriously secretive. They also have a wide range of strategies from long term activists to high turnover stat-arb funds. So finding good average trading data is hard.</p><ul><li>This paper suggests that equity hedge fund leverage could be around two times. That puts gross assets are closer to $2 trillion, although short interest data suggests that a lot of hedge funds actually short with ETFs (reducing stock trading). Other data suggests some hedge funds lever up during the day.</li><li>Other sources suggest hedge fund turnover is between 120% and 200% per annum, which implies an average hold time for each stock of less than one year.</li><li>Some funds likely trade much more intraday and minimize overnight exposures (increasing stock trading), but we classify them as intermediation liquidity in Table 1, rather than as a strategy used by natural investors.</li></ul><p>Using these conservative estimates:</p><p>Hedge fund trading = $1 trillion in assets x (2 leverage x 2 sides) x 200% turnover = $9 trillion in liquidity each year</p><p>= $36 billion/day or 8% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>What about ETFs?</b></p><p>With ETF liquidity of $176 billion per day (both sides) in 2019, it is easy to say they cause a lot of stock trading, but thatās not true. There are three types of ETF liquidity:</p><ol><li><b>ETFs as mutual funds:</b> Just like other mutual funds, their portfolio will turnover as indexes change. However, most ETF assets are in index-style portfolios where turnover by the portfolio manager is limited. Consequently, we have included these in the mutual fund turnover metrics in the mutual funds section above.</li><li><b>ETF trading:</b> ETFs are their own ticker. An investor trading an ETF usually has nothing to do with underlying company stocks. In many QQQ trades, both the buyer and seller usually represent traders choosing ETFs because they are a cheaper way to gain portfolio exposure.</li><li><b>ETF to stock arbitrage</b>: Only authorized participants have the ability to arbitrage between the ETF and the stocks. We classify them as intermediaries (not naturals) and discuss their impact on stock liquidity later.</li></ol><p><b>What proportion of professional investors trade in dark pools?</b></p><p>All of the categories above could be considered āprofessional investors.ā They are likely to use brokersā algorithms to work orders in the market. As a whole, these professional investors (mutual, international, pension and ETF funds) represent almost 60% of all investor assets, but just 23% of all liquidity.</p><p>We also know that brokers route their orders through dark poolsāand we know that dark pools represent around 12% of all liquidity.</p><p>Even with market makers in dark pools, the math shows that professional investors execute a material proportion of their trades in dark pools, possibly 30% or more.</p><p><b>What about retail?</b></p><p>Retail trading grew significantly in 2020 to around 20% of the market. However, even in 2019, with 15% of all trades being retail, they represented a meaningful amount of āinvestorā liquidity.</p><p>However, the way people refer to retail market share overstates their contribution to liquidity for two reasons:</p><ol><li>Each retail trade represents a buyer <i>or</i> seller, so they are on one side of 15% of <i>shares</i></li><li>Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks (see Chart 7). Using non-ATS TRF data by ticker, we estimate their contribution to <i>value</i> traded is actually 15% lower.</li></ol><p>That adds to closer to $30 billion each day in 2019, or just over 6% of all liquidity.</p><p><b>Chart 7: Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks more, reducing their contribution to notional liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fb7571f7a20913204cd900b55773c47\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Where do Naturals trade?</b></p><p>So far, we have accounted for around 93% of assets but less than 30% of all liquidity.</p><p>Thatās less than all the liquidity that trades off-exchange. With dark pools representing 12% of all trades and other off exchange adding to 29% of all trades.</p><p>That seems to indicate that a material proportion of naturals execute off-exchange ā even though they rely on the exchanges for efficient prices and tight spreads. Ironically that makes the role of intermediaries, and competitive quotes on exchanges, even more important to the whole ecosystem. (Itās also a reason to reward the public market for sharing price data ā but thatās a topic for another day)</p><p><b>Chart 8: These calculations indicate natural investors rely on exchanges for efficient prices but do a large proportion of trading off exchanges</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8a0508b17c8db1f9b8a96b973225c11\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"769\"></p><p><b>What about the rest?</b></p><p>The breakdown for the other 70% of liquidity is much harder to support with public data, but our estimates show this is where specialist liquidity providers step in to keep markets and spreads efficient.</p><p>It includes a lot of different strategies, from two-sided liquidity provision to cross market arbitrage to statistical arbitrage strategies, all targeting short-term mispricing caused by other traders.</p><p>Their size in the U.S. market is a testament to low transaction costs, which allow for risk to be transferred via one or more additional trades. It is also a result of fragmentation and segmentation that increases facilitated trades.</p><p>Here our estimates are based on less hard data but inferred from other levels of activity. To see how intermediaries could add to 70% of liquidity, consider:</p><ul><li><b>Wholesaler facilitation</b>: Each retail trade facilitated off-exchange has a wholesaler on the other side. So the intermediation doubles the liquidity recorded (totaling 13% of all liquidity). However, TRF data shows the major wholesalers actually print trades representing closer to 25% of all liquidity, or about $117 billion per day. That additional 12% of all liquidity represents $57 billion, and likely trades with institutional investors or even other brokers.</li><li><b>Equity futures</b> traded around $620 billion each day in 2019, even more liquidity than the whole underlying U.S. stock market (Chart 9). S&P 500 Futures spreads are tight, at 0.8 basis points (bps), and there are arbitrage opportunities with SPY ETFs at 0.4bps and underlying portfolio at 4bps. Given stocks are the most expensive, itās likely that most futures trades do NOT cause stocks to trade. But if just 5% of futures trading led to stock arbitrage, that would account for around $31bn/day or 7% of all stock liquidity, almost all in S&P500 stocks.</li><li><b>ETF arbitrage:</b>As discussed above, some āauthorized participantsā are able to convert rich stocks into cheaper ETFs and vice versa, a critical market function that keeps ETFs fairly priced for investors. However, ETF spreads are often so cheap that there are no arbitrage opportunities. Industry estimates peg the amount of trading that is ETF arbitrage at between 4% and 10% of ETF trading. If thatās the case, then ETF arbitrage contributes around $11 billion per day in liquidity, of just 2% of all liquidity. Thatās consistent with the average creations plus redemptions per day (Chart 9), although that also includes many non-U.S. equity ETFs.</li></ul><p><b>Chart 9: ETF creations are a fraction of ETF liquidity, which is a fraction of stock liquidity, which itself is a fraction of equity futures liquidity</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12186b4f2fe4046cb66be42b3a4428cf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><ul><li><b>Options</b> markets require initial hedges and constant delta hedging. Notional trading of stock options totals $221 billion per day. If just 30% of notional leads to stock hedges and arbitrage, that translates to $66 billion per day, or 14% of liquidity.</li><li><b>Market makersā</b> purpose is to provide two-sided liquidity, not hold stocks long or short. They make money by accurately pricing the spread, and investors benefit from instantaneous liquidity on market orders. Given how few natural investors actually trade on-exchange, itās more likely than many expect that the quotes on the screen are in fact market makers intermediating trades. If market makers provide liquidity on one side of every second trade on-exchange, that would add to around 16% in total liquidity.</li><li><b>Opportunistic traders:</b> Some traders run arbitrage strategies that correct mispricing, often by taking liquidity. We note that this paper suggests hedge funds made up as much as 30% of all trades, almost double our estimate above. Thatās likely because traders with short-term mispricing strategies and small overnight balance, like statistical arbitrage, are excluded from our estimates above. These traders provide important risk transfers, even though there are little overnight positions or leverage. Given liquidity providers make up 16%, itās possible these taker strategies add to 8% of all liquidity, or $37 billion per day.</li></ul><p>That still leaves us with a pretty large āotherā category, at least from the perspective of natural investors. However, there are many other trading and hedging strategies we donāt know much about. For example, hedge funds also buy swaps and OTC options contracts from banks who still need to hedge their risk. Without data on the size of those markets, itās difficult to estimate their impact on stock trading, but their gamma could even explain some of the growth in market-on-close trading.</p><p>Itās also possible some of our intermediation estimates are off by at least this amount (given the lack of real data to reconcile to).</p><p><b>Chart 10: Naturals hold most assets, but intermediation makes up most of the trading</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5433155e6e58652d046d387c3c7bc1f6\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>What does this teach us?</b></p><p>We would love to have more data to refine our results. But even as they stand, it helps us understand the role of each participant, bringing liquidity and price efficiency to the ecosystem. The data also busts some common myths:</p><ul><li><b>Index funds donāt trade much at all</b>, which means they canāt permanently distort prices either.</li><li><b>Price discovery comes from active funds and hedge funds.</b>Informed trading overwhelms index fund inflows.</li><li><b>Lots of other participants specialize in risk transfer</b>, from futures arbitrage to statistical arbitrage to classic market making. By process of elimination, these participants may trade even more than all the natural investors combined. But having all this competition for lit trading is also critical to the rest of the market who rely on tight spreads and instant liquidity.</li></ul><p>The key takeaway though is that very low costs to trade in the U.S. allow so many specialists to play a role in keeping markets efficient. Rather than degrading market quality, all the competition for marginally profitable trades translates into more liquidity and tighter spreads for investors, which in turn leads to more attractive valuations for issuers.</p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Who is Trading on U.S. Markets?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWho is Trading on U.S. Markets?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-29 14:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28><strong>Nasdaq</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/who-is-trading-on-u.s.-markets-2021-01-28","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131015158","content_text":"The U.S. equity market is the largest and most liquid stock market in the world (Chart 1).As of year-end 2019, the market cap of publicly traded companies listed in the U.S. totaled almost $38 trillion, representing nearly 40% of totalglobal marketcapitalization. On an average day in 2019, trading in company stocks (excluding ETPs) adds to $233 billion. That results in turnover, multiplied by a companyās market cap trades each year, which is more than double what we see in Asia or Europe.Better liquidity for all companies should result inĀ lower trading costsĀ for investors and lowerĀ costs of capitalĀ for issuers.Chart 1: The U.S. equity market is the most liquid in the world (2019 data shown)Which raises a question: āWho is doing all this U.S. stock trading?āThe answer isnāt obvious, as very little trading is attributed to counterparties in public data sources. But using a number of sources, the estimates we create below show that all the participants in theĀ U.S. markets ecosystemĀ have different and important roles to play. These different players keep trading spreads low and prices efficient, and transfer liquidity between markets rapidly and cheaply.Chart 2: The U.S. market ecosystem shows lots of participants contribute to liquidityOur estimates are shown below in Table 1. But there are a few things to highlight before we get going:Liquidity is relevant to both buyersĀ andĀ And risk is hedged in dollars, not shares. So we look at the value ofĀ grossĀ liquidity (trades x 2). SoĀ tradingĀ of $233 billion per day actually representsĀ liquidityĀ of double that, or $466 billion per day.Because most of the data from 2020 isnāt available yet, weāre basing these estimates on 2019 trading and assets. Total liquidity in 2020 actually increased 50% to almost $700 billion per day, thanks to an increase in retail trading and volatility caused by COVID-19.Public data becomes harder and harder to find the more we progress down the list in Table 1. Accordingly, our estimates would increasingly adjust once more data becomes available.We donāt include ETF trading, even though they areĀ NMS stocks, which would add another $88 billion per day, or $176 billion in liquidity.We also try to separate our estimates by strategies available to investors (ānaturalā investors) and those deployed by liquidity providers (intermediators).Table 1: Estimating who contributes to market liquiditySo, letās walk through how we arrived at these estimates.How much do investors trade?As Chart 3 shows, investors represent a small section of the market ecosystem, although data shows that they own the majority of stock market capital.Around two-thirds of corporate shares are owned by U.S. households via mutual funds (22%), pension funds (11%) or retail brokerage (34%) accounts. And an additional 16% are owned by foreign investors, likely mostly through professionally managed investments too.Chart 3: Ownership of U.S. stocksHow much do mutual funds trade?Letās start with professionally managed investments: mutual funds (domestic and international), ETFs and pensions. We know their assets are around $21.2 trillion (Chart 3).ICI tracks theĀ average turnoverĀ of all mutual funds. Their data shows that average turnover has been steadily declining for most of the past 35 years and now sits below 30% per annum each side.Some of the decline is due to the rise in index funds. As we discuss below, they have a muchĀ lower turnover. Even when we account for that, we estimate active trading has still fallen to around 47% each side, equating to longer average hold times even in active institutional accounts.Chart 4: Mutual fund turnover has declined to around 30%Knowing that mutual funds tend to stay close to fully invested, we know that their buys are likely offset by sells, so turnover will result in a two-sided trade. Doing the math:Mutual fund trading = $21.1 trillion in assets x 28% turnover x 2 sides= $47.2 billion per day, or less than 10% of liquidity.This total is somewhat understated as ICI doesnāt include cash inflows and outflows. If gross cash flows are (say) half the size again of trades, that would lead to around $70 billion in liquidity each day, or just 15% of all liquidity.Index funds trade much (much) lessOne of the common myths of liquidity is that because index funds have such large assets and consistent inflows, they also do a lot of trading, which also distorts prices.The truth is very different. In fact,Ā BlackRockĀ estimated in 2017 that for every $1 in index trading, there was more than $20 in active trading.Thatās because index funds are designed to do very little trading. Once an index portfolio buys an index weight holding of a stock, in principle, they donāt have to trade it ever again. As the price of the stock rises, so does its weight in the index and in the portfolio, and the portfolio tracks the performance of the index perfectly. That should make index funds some of the longest-term holders of stocks in the market.In the real world, some trading is required. As companies raise more capital or buy back stock, index funds also need to adjust holdings. IPOs, mergers and price changes can also cause stocks to be added and deleted from indexes, also requiring the index portfolio to trade. But index providers tend to do that infrequently. In fact,Ā S&P 500 turnoverĀ is estimated at around 4.4%, a statistic consistent with Credit Suisseās estimates for the annual Russell 1000 reconstitution of just 3% over recent years.Although small-cap indexes see higher turnover as their largest holdings are often promoted to large-cap indexes during the year. For example, Credit Suisse also estimates turnover in the small-cap Russell 2000 is much higher at around 20%.In addition, because index funds are focused on replicating their index, not trying to beat it, they tend to trade exactly when the index trades. That means almost all their trading happens at the close.Interestingly, despite their sizable assets, Credit Suisseās index team estimated that all U.S. index funds tradedĀ just over $300 billionĀ in 2019, including adds and deletes (both buys and sells). TheĀ BlackRockĀ study of 2017 estimated that index funds traded $460 billion annually. Even this higher turnover estimate means index funds make up less than 0.5% of all liquidity in the stock market.Because indexes themselves tend to minimize their rebalances, we also see that there are nine dates each year when index funds doĀ most of their trading. Data suggests that index funds are around 40% of all trading on index rebalance dates, but cash flows that occur on other days add to less than 5% of close volume, hardly enough to impact price discovery.Chart 5: Trading in the close higher on index rebalance datesThat leaves active funds providing almost all of the $70 trillion in mutual fund liquidity, and basically to 100% of intraday trading and price discovery done by mutual funds.There are two important points to note about this. Even though index funds are large:Their turnover is low, making them even longer-term holders than active investors.Their contribution to price discovery (or price distortions, as some claim) is muted.Chart 6: Index funds have grown to around 40% of all mutual fund assetsHedge funds have fewer assets but higher turnoverBased onĀ estimates, hedge funds hold around 3% of total corporate equities. This translates into roughly $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM). However, most hedge funds are both levered and operating higher turnover (lower hold time) strategies, which increases the liquidity they supply to the market.Hedge funds are notoriously secretive. They also have a wide range of strategies from long term activists to high turnover stat-arb funds. So finding good average trading data is hard.This paperĀ suggests that equity hedge fund leverage could be around two times. That puts gross assets are closer to $2 trillion, althoughĀ short interest dataĀ suggests that a lot of hedge funds actually short with ETFs (reducing stock trading). Other data suggests some hedge funds lever up during the day.Other sources suggest hedge fund turnover is betweenĀ 120%Ā andĀ 200%Ā per annum, which implies an average hold time for each stock of less than one year.Some funds likely trade much more intraday and minimize overnight exposures (increasing stock trading), but we classify them as intermediation liquidity in Table 1, rather than as a strategy used by natural investors.Using these conservative estimates:Hedge fund trading = $1 trillion in assets x (2 leverage x 2 sides) x 200% turnover = $9 trillion in liquidity each year= $36 billion/day or 8% of all liquidity.What about ETFs?WithĀ ETF liquidity of $176 billion per dayĀ (both sides) in 2019, it is easy to say they cause a lot of stock trading, but thatās not true. There are three types of ETF liquidity:ETFs as mutual funds:Ā Just like other mutual funds, their portfolio will turnover as indexes change. However, most ETF assets are in index-style portfolios where turnover by the portfolio manager is limited. Consequently, we have included these in the mutual fund turnover metrics in the mutual funds section above.ETF trading:Ā ETFs are their own ticker. An investor trading an ETFĀ usually has nothing to doĀ with underlying company stocks. In many QQQ trades, both the buyer and seller usually represent traders choosing ETFs because they are a cheaper way to gain portfolio exposure.ETF to stock arbitrage: Only authorized participants have the ability to arbitrage between the ETF and the stocks. We classify them as intermediaries (not naturals) and discuss their impact on stock liquidity later.What proportion of professional investors trade in dark pools?All of the categories above could be considered āprofessional investors.ā They are likely to useĀ brokersā algorithmsĀ to work orders in the market. As a whole, these professional investors (mutual, international, pension and ETF funds) represent almost 60% of all investor assets, but just 23% of all liquidity.We also know that brokers route their orders through dark poolsāand we know thatĀ dark pools represent around 12%Ā of all liquidity.Even with market makers in dark pools, the math shows that professional investors execute a material proportion of their trades in dark pools, possibly 30% or more.What about retail?Retail trading grew significantly in 2020 toĀ around 20%Ā of the market. However, even in 2019, with 15% of all trades being retail, they represented a meaningful amount of āinvestorā liquidity.However, the way people refer to retail market share overstates their contribution to liquidity for two reasons:Each retail trade represents a buyerĀ orĀ seller, so they are on one side of 15% ofĀ sharesRetail tends to trade lower-priced stocks (see Chart 7). Using non-ATS TRF data by ticker, we estimate their contribution toĀ valueĀ traded is actually 15% lower.That adds to closer to $30 billion each day in 2019, or just over 6% of all liquidity.Chart 7: Retail tends to trade lower-priced stocks more, reducing their contribution to notional liquidityWhere do Naturals trade?So far, we have accounted for around 93% of assets but less than 30% of all liquidity.Thatās less than all the liquidity that trades off-exchange. With dark pools representing 12% of all trades and other off exchange adding to 29% of all trades.That seems to indicate that a material proportion of naturals execute off-exchange ā even though they rely on the exchanges for efficient prices and tight spreads. Ironically that makes the role of intermediaries, and competitive quotes on exchanges, even more important to the whole ecosystem. (Itās also a reason to reward the public market for sharing price data ā but thatās a topic for another day)Chart 8: These calculations indicate natural investors rely on exchanges for efficient prices but do a large proportion of trading off exchangesWhat about the rest?The breakdown for the other 70% of liquidity is much harder to support with public data, but our estimates show this is where specialist liquidity providers step in to keep markets and spreads efficient.It includes a lot of different strategies, from two-sided liquidity provision to cross market arbitrage to statistical arbitrage strategies, all targeting short-term mispricing caused by other traders.Their size in the U.S. market is a testament to low transaction costs, which allow for risk to be transferred via one or more additional trades. It is also a result of fragmentation and segmentation that increases facilitated trades.Here our estimates are based on less hard data but inferred from other levels of activity. To see how intermediaries could add to 70% of liquidity, consider:Wholesaler facilitation: EachĀ retail trade facilitated off-exchangeĀ has a wholesaler on the other side. So the intermediation doubles the liquidity recorded (totaling 13% of all liquidity). However, TRF data shows the major wholesalers actually print trades representing closer to 25% of all liquidity, or about $117 billion per day. That additional 12% of all liquidity represents $57 billion, and likely trades with institutional investors or even other brokers.Equity futuresĀ traded around $620 billion each day in 2019, even more liquidity than the whole underlying U.S. stock market (Chart 9). S&P 500 Futures spreads are tight, at 0.8 basis points (bps), and there are arbitrage opportunities with SPY ETFs at 0.4bps and underlying portfolio at 4bps. Given stocks are the most expensive, itās likely that most futures trades do NOT cause stocks to trade. But if just 5% of futures trading led to stock arbitrage, that would account for around $31bn/day or 7% of all stock liquidity, almost all in S&P500 stocks.ETF arbitrage:As discussed above, some āauthorized participantsā are able to convert rich stocks into cheaper ETFs and vice versa, a critical market function that keeps ETFs fairly priced for investors. However, ETF spreads areĀ often so cheapĀ that there are no arbitrage opportunities. Industry estimates peg the amount of trading that is ETF arbitrage atĀ between 4% and 10% of ETF trading. If thatās the case, then ETF arbitrage contributes around $11 billion per day in liquidity, of just 2% of all liquidity. Thatās consistent with the average creations plus redemptions per day (Chart 9), although that also includes many non-U.S. equity ETFs.Chart 9: ETF creations are a fraction of ETF liquidity, which is a fraction of stock liquidity, which itself is a fraction of equity futures liquidityOptionsĀ markets require initial hedges and constant delta hedging. Notional trading of stock options totals $221 billion per day. If just 30% of notional leads to stock hedges and arbitrage, that translates to $66 billion per day, or 14% of liquidity.Market makersāĀ purpose is to provide two-sided liquidity, not hold stocks long or short. They make money by accurately pricing the spread, and investors benefit from instantaneous liquidity on market orders. Given how few natural investors actually trade on-exchange, itās more likely than many expect that the quotes on the screen are in fact market makers intermediating trades. If market makers provide liquidity on one side of every second trade on-exchange, that would add to around 16% in total liquidity.Opportunistic traders:Ā Some traders run arbitrage strategies that correct mispricing, often by taking liquidity. We note thatĀ this paperĀ suggests hedge funds made up as much as 30% of all trades, almost double our estimate above. Thatās likely because traders with short-term mispricing strategies and small overnight balance, like statistical arbitrage, are excluded from our estimates above. These traders provide important risk transfers, even though there are little overnight positions or leverage. Given liquidity providers make up 16%, itās possible these taker strategies add to 8% of all liquidity, or $37 billion per day.That still leaves us with a pretty large āotherā category, at least from the perspective of natural investors. However, there are many other trading and hedging strategies we donāt know much about. For example, hedge funds also buy swaps and OTC options contracts from banks who still need to hedge their risk. Without data on the size of those markets, itās difficult to estimate their impact on stock trading, but their gamma could even explain some of the growth in market-on-close trading.Itās also possible some of our intermediation estimates are off by at least this amount (given the lack of real data to reconcile to).Chart 10: Naturals hold most assets, but intermediation makes up most of the tradingWhat does this teach us?We would love to have more data to refine our results. But even as they stand, it helps us understand the role of each participant, bringing liquidity and price efficiency to the ecosystem. The data also busts some common myths:Index funds donāt trade much at all, which means they canāt permanently distort prices either.Price discovery comes from active funds and hedge funds.Informed trading overwhelms index fund inflows.Lots of other participants specialize in risk transfer, from futures arbitrage to statistical arbitrage to classic market making. By process of elimination, these participants may trade even more than all the natural investors combined. But having all this competition for lit trading is also critical to the rest of the market who rely on tight spreads and instant liquidity.The key takeaway though is that very low costs to trade in the U.S. allow so many specialists to play a role in keeping markets efficient. Rather than degrading market quality, all the competition for marginally profitable trades translates into more liquidity and tighter spreads for investors, which in turn leads toĀ more attractive valuationsĀ for issuers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}