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Jason1616

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2024-02-08

Huat ahhhhhhhh

2023-04-17

Invest safe and be patience

2023-04-16

Be patience and invest safe

2023-04-15

Be patience and invest safe.

2023-04-13

Nice invest safe and be patience

2023-04-12

Nice. Invest safe and be patience

2023-04-11

Nice. Invest safe and be patience

2023-04-10

Invest safe and be patience

2023-04-09

Invest safe and good luck

2023-04-07

Nice game To play. Disney share to win

2023-04-06

Have fun and stay safe

2023-03-13

Nice info

20 Banks That Are Sitting on Huge Potential Securities Losses--As Was SVB

2023-02-17

Reddit famous for options traders flaunting their winnings. 🤣

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-01-18

Invest safe. We are not out of the woods yet

2023-01-17

Invest safe for 2023

2023-01-16

Invest safe for 2023

2023-01-15

Invest safe And have a good 2023 investment year

2023-01-14

Rally comes, invest safe

2023-01-12

Invest safe

2023-01-11

Thought miss woody say will reach $3000 in2022. :(

Cathie Wood Makes Whopping $12M Buy In Tesla Stock — Offloads Xpeng For 3rd Straight Day

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Disney share to win","listText":"Nice game To play. Disney share to win","text":"Nice game To play. Disney share to win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946100495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9948792789,"gmtCreate":1680787275341,"gmtModify":1680788878981,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Have fun and stay safe","listText":"Have fun and stay safe","text":"Have fun and stay safe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948792789","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949654782,"gmtCreate":1678643690247,"gmtModify":1678672906881,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice info","listText":"Nice info","text":"Nice info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949654782","repostId":"2318857796","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2318857796","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1678601805,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2318857796?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-12 14:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 Banks That Are Sitting on Huge Potential Securities Losses--As Was SVB","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2318857796","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"SVB Financial Group faced a perfect storm, but there are plenty of other banks that would face big l","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVBO\">SVB Financial Group</a> faced a perfect storm, but there are plenty of other banks that would face big losses if they were forced to dump securities to raise cash</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank has failed following a run on deposits, after its parent company&#39;s share price crashed a record 60% on Thursday.</p><p>Trading of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVBP\">SVB Financial Group</a>&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">$(SIVB)$</a> stock was halted early Friday, after the shares plunged again in premarket trading. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said SVB was one of a few banks she was &#34;monitoring very carefully.&#34; Reaction poured in from several analysts who discussed the bank&#39;s liquidity risk.</p><p>California regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank and handed the wreckage over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Administration later on Friday.</p><p>Below is the same list of 10 banks we highlighted on Thursday that showed similar red flags to those shown by SVB Financial through the fourth quarter. This time, we will show how much they reported in unrealized losses on securities -- an item that played an important role in SVB&#39;s crisis.</p><p>Below that is a screen of U.S. banks with at least $10 billion in total assets, showing those that appeared to have the greatest exposure to unrealized securities losses, as a percentage of total capital, as of Dec. 31.</p><h3>First, a quick look at SVB</h3><p>Some media reports have referred to SVB of Santa Clara, Calif., as a small bank, but it had $212 billion in total assets as of Dec. 31, making it the 17th largest bank in the Russell 3000 Index  as of Dec. 31. That makes it the largest U.S. bank failure since Washington Mutual in 2008.</p><p>One unique aspect of SVB was its decades-long focus on the venture capital industry. The bank&#39;s loan growth had been slowing as interest rates rose. Meanwhile, when announcing its $21 billion dollars in securities sales on Thursday, SVB said it had taken the action not only to lower its interest-rate risk, but because &#34;client cash burn has remained elevated and increased further in February, resulting in lower deposits than forecasted.&#34;</p><p>SVB estimated it would book a $1.8 billion loss on the securities sale and said it would raise $2.25 billion in capital through two offerings of new shares and a convertible bond offering. That offering wasn&#39;t completed.</p><p>So this appears to be an example of what can go wrong with a bank focused on a particular industry. The combination of a balance sheet heavy with securities and relatively light on loans, in a rising-rate environment in which bond prices have declined and in which depositors specific to that industry are themselves suffering from a decline in cash, led to a liquidity problem.</p><h3>Unrealized losses on securities</h3><p>Banks leverage their capital by gathering deposits or borrowing money either to lend the money out or purchase securities. They earn the spread between their average yield on loans and investments and their average cost for funds.</p><p>The securities investments are held in two buckets:</p><p>In its regulatory Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies--FR Y-9C, filed with the Federal Reserve, SVB Financial, reported a negative $1.911 billion in accumulated other comprehensive income as of Dec. 31. That is line 26.b on Schedule HC of the report, for those keeping score at home. You can look up regulatory reports for any U.S. bank holding company, savings and loan holding company or subsidiary institution at the Federal Financial Institution Examination Council&#39;s National Information Center. Be sure to get the name of the company or institution right -- or you may be looking at the wrong entity.</p><p>Here&#39;s how accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) is defined in the report: &#34;Includes, but is not limited to, net unrealized holding gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities, accumulated net gains (losses) on cash flow hedges, cumulative foreign currency translation adjustments, and accumulated defined benefit pension and other postretirement plan adjustments.&#34;</p><p>In other words, it was mostly unrealized losses on SVB&#39;s available-for-sale securities. The bank booked an estimated $1.8 billion loss when selling &#34;substantially all&#34; of these securities on March 8.</p><p>The list of 10 banks with unfavorable interest margin trends</p><p>On the regulatory call reports, AOCI is added to regulatory capital. Since SVB&#39;s AOCI was negative (because of its unrealized losses on AFS securities) as of Dec. 31, it lowered the company&#39;s total equity capital. So a fair way to gauge the negative AOCI to the bank&#39;s total equity capital would be to divide the negative AOCI by total equity capital less AOCI -- effectively adding the unrealized losses back to total equity capital for the calculation.</p><p>Getting back to our list of 10 banks that raised similar red margin flags to those of SVB, here&#39;s the same group, in the same order, showing negative AOCI as a percentage of total equity capital as of Dec. 31. We have added SVB to the bottom of the list. The data was provided by FactSet:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12eb7c2420e69b60c526a6b6ef79626d\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"715\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) -- the third largest bank on the list by Dec. 31 total assets -- stands out as having the largest percentage of negative accumulated comprehensive income relative to total equity capital as of Dec. 31.</p><p>To be sure, these numbers don&#39;t mean that a bank is in trouble, or that it will be forced to sell securities for big losses. But SVB had both a troubling pattern for its interest margins and what appeared to be a relatively high percentage of securities losses relative to capital as of Dec. 31.</p><h3>Banks with the highest percentage of negative AOCI to capital</h3><p>There are 108 banks in the Russell 3000 Index  that had total assets of at least $10.0 billion as of Dec. 31. FactSet provided AOCI and total equity capital data for 105 of them. Here are the 20 which had the highest ratios of negative AOCI to total equity capital less AOCI (as explained above) as of Dec. 31:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c786a5e88cfaa8510ac5458b4a31b86\" tg-width=\"884\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bbd38b51d92ae37f23e7fbff46e9c08\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Again, this is not to suggest that any particular bank on this list based on Dec. 31 data is facing the type of perfect storm that has hurt SVB Financial. A bank sitting on large paper losses on its AFS securities may not need to sell them. In fact <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMA\">Comerica Inc.</a>, which tops the list, also improved its interest margin the most over the past four quarters, as shown here.</p><p>But it is interesting to note that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital Corp.</a>, which focused on serving clients in the virtual currency industry, made the list. It is shuttering its bank subsidiary voluntarily.</p><p>Another bank on the list facing concern among depositors is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> of New York, which has a diverse business model, but has also faced a backlash related to the services it provides to the virtual currency industry. The bank’s shares fell 12% on Thursday and were down another 24% in afternoon trading on Friday.</p><p>Signature Bank said in a statement that it was in a “strong, well-diversified financial position.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 Banks That Are Sitting on Huge Potential Securities Losses--As Was SVB</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 Banks That Are Sitting on Huge Potential Securities Losses--As Was SVB\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-12 14:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVBO\">SVB Financial Group</a> faced a perfect storm, but there are plenty of other banks that would face big losses if they were forced to dump securities to raise cash</p><p>Silicon Valley Bank has failed following a run on deposits, after its parent company&#39;s share price crashed a record 60% on Thursday.</p><p>Trading of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVBP\">SVB Financial Group</a>&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">$(SIVB)$</a> stock was halted early Friday, after the shares plunged again in premarket trading. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said SVB was one of a few banks she was &#34;monitoring very carefully.&#34; Reaction poured in from several analysts who discussed the bank&#39;s liquidity risk.</p><p>California regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank and handed the wreckage over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Administration later on Friday.</p><p>Below is the same list of 10 banks we highlighted on Thursday that showed similar red flags to those shown by SVB Financial through the fourth quarter. This time, we will show how much they reported in unrealized losses on securities -- an item that played an important role in SVB&#39;s crisis.</p><p>Below that is a screen of U.S. banks with at least $10 billion in total assets, showing those that appeared to have the greatest exposure to unrealized securities losses, as a percentage of total capital, as of Dec. 31.</p><h3>First, a quick look at SVB</h3><p>Some media reports have referred to SVB of Santa Clara, Calif., as a small bank, but it had $212 billion in total assets as of Dec. 31, making it the 17th largest bank in the Russell 3000 Index  as of Dec. 31. That makes it the largest U.S. bank failure since Washington Mutual in 2008.</p><p>One unique aspect of SVB was its decades-long focus on the venture capital industry. The bank&#39;s loan growth had been slowing as interest rates rose. Meanwhile, when announcing its $21 billion dollars in securities sales on Thursday, SVB said it had taken the action not only to lower its interest-rate risk, but because &#34;client cash burn has remained elevated and increased further in February, resulting in lower deposits than forecasted.&#34;</p><p>SVB estimated it would book a $1.8 billion loss on the securities sale and said it would raise $2.25 billion in capital through two offerings of new shares and a convertible bond offering. That offering wasn&#39;t completed.</p><p>So this appears to be an example of what can go wrong with a bank focused on a particular industry. The combination of a balance sheet heavy with securities and relatively light on loans, in a rising-rate environment in which bond prices have declined and in which depositors specific to that industry are themselves suffering from a decline in cash, led to a liquidity problem.</p><h3>Unrealized losses on securities</h3><p>Banks leverage their capital by gathering deposits or borrowing money either to lend the money out or purchase securities. They earn the spread between their average yield on loans and investments and their average cost for funds.</p><p>The securities investments are held in two buckets:</p><p>In its regulatory Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies--FR Y-9C, filed with the Federal Reserve, SVB Financial, reported a negative $1.911 billion in accumulated other comprehensive income as of Dec. 31. That is line 26.b on Schedule HC of the report, for those keeping score at home. You can look up regulatory reports for any U.S. bank holding company, savings and loan holding company or subsidiary institution at the Federal Financial Institution Examination Council&#39;s National Information Center. Be sure to get the name of the company or institution right -- or you may be looking at the wrong entity.</p><p>Here&#39;s how accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) is defined in the report: &#34;Includes, but is not limited to, net unrealized holding gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities, accumulated net gains (losses) on cash flow hedges, cumulative foreign currency translation adjustments, and accumulated defined benefit pension and other postretirement plan adjustments.&#34;</p><p>In other words, it was mostly unrealized losses on SVB&#39;s available-for-sale securities. The bank booked an estimated $1.8 billion loss when selling &#34;substantially all&#34; of these securities on March 8.</p><p>The list of 10 banks with unfavorable interest margin trends</p><p>On the regulatory call reports, AOCI is added to regulatory capital. Since SVB&#39;s AOCI was negative (because of its unrealized losses on AFS securities) as of Dec. 31, it lowered the company&#39;s total equity capital. So a fair way to gauge the negative AOCI to the bank&#39;s total equity capital would be to divide the negative AOCI by total equity capital less AOCI -- effectively adding the unrealized losses back to total equity capital for the calculation.</p><p>Getting back to our list of 10 banks that raised similar red margin flags to those of SVB, here&#39;s the same group, in the same order, showing negative AOCI as a percentage of total equity capital as of Dec. 31. We have added SVB to the bottom of the list. The data was provided by FactSet:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12eb7c2420e69b60c526a6b6ef79626d\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"715\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) -- the third largest bank on the list by Dec. 31 total assets -- stands out as having the largest percentage of negative accumulated comprehensive income relative to total equity capital as of Dec. 31.</p><p>To be sure, these numbers don&#39;t mean that a bank is in trouble, or that it will be forced to sell securities for big losses. But SVB had both a troubling pattern for its interest margins and what appeared to be a relatively high percentage of securities losses relative to capital as of Dec. 31.</p><h3>Banks with the highest percentage of negative AOCI to capital</h3><p>There are 108 banks in the Russell 3000 Index  that had total assets of at least $10.0 billion as of Dec. 31. FactSet provided AOCI and total equity capital data for 105 of them. Here are the 20 which had the highest ratios of negative AOCI to total equity capital less AOCI (as explained above) as of Dec. 31:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c786a5e88cfaa8510ac5458b4a31b86\" tg-width=\"884\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bbd38b51d92ae37f23e7fbff46e9c08\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Again, this is not to suggest that any particular bank on this list based on Dec. 31 data is facing the type of perfect storm that has hurt SVB Financial. A bank sitting on large paper losses on its AFS securities may not need to sell them. In fact <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMA\">Comerica Inc.</a>, which tops the list, also improved its interest margin the most over the past four quarters, as shown here.</p><p>But it is interesting to note that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SI\">Silvergate Capital Corp.</a>, which focused on serving clients in the virtual currency industry, made the list. It is shuttering its bank subsidiary voluntarily.</p><p>Another bank on the list facing concern among depositors is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBNY\">Signature Bank</a> of New York, which has a diverse business model, but has also faced a backlash related to the services it provides to the virtual currency industry. The bank’s shares fell 12% on Thursday and were down another 24% in afternoon trading on Friday.</p><p>Signature Bank said in a statement that it was in a “strong, well-diversified financial position.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4139":"生物科技","LU0390134368.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL GROWTH \"A\" (USD) ACC","SBNY":"签字银行","ALLY":"Ally Financial Inc.","KEY":"KeyCorp","BK4166":"消费信贷","BK4191":"家用电器","BK4588":"碎股","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","BOLT":"Bolt Biotherapeutics, Inc.","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","LU0266013472.USD":"AXA WF - Framlington Longevity Economy A Cap USD","BK4007":"制药","SI":"Shoulder Innovations, Inc.","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4539":"次新股","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2318857796","content_text":"SVB Financial Group faced a perfect storm, but there are plenty of other banks that would face big losses if they were forced to dump securities to raise cashSilicon Valley Bank has failed following a run on deposits, after its parent company's share price crashed a record 60% on Thursday.Trading of SVB Financial Group's $(SIVB)$ stock was halted early Friday, after the shares plunged again in premarket trading. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said SVB was one of a few banks she was \"monitoring very carefully.\" Reaction poured in from several analysts who discussed the bank's liquidity risk.California regulators closed Silicon Valley Bank and handed the wreckage over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Administration later on Friday.Below is the same list of 10 banks we highlighted on Thursday that showed similar red flags to those shown by SVB Financial through the fourth quarter. This time, we will show how much they reported in unrealized losses on securities -- an item that played an important role in SVB's crisis.Below that is a screen of U.S. banks with at least $10 billion in total assets, showing those that appeared to have the greatest exposure to unrealized securities losses, as a percentage of total capital, as of Dec. 31.First, a quick look at SVBSome media reports have referred to SVB of Santa Clara, Calif., as a small bank, but it had $212 billion in total assets as of Dec. 31, making it the 17th largest bank in the Russell 3000 Index  as of Dec. 31. That makes it the largest U.S. bank failure since Washington Mutual in 2008.One unique aspect of SVB was its decades-long focus on the venture capital industry. The bank's loan growth had been slowing as interest rates rose. Meanwhile, when announcing its $21 billion dollars in securities sales on Thursday, SVB said it had taken the action not only to lower its interest-rate risk, but because \"client cash burn has remained elevated and increased further in February, resulting in lower deposits than forecasted.\"SVB estimated it would book a $1.8 billion loss on the securities sale and said it would raise $2.25 billion in capital through two offerings of new shares and a convertible bond offering. That offering wasn't completed.So this appears to be an example of what can go wrong with a bank focused on a particular industry. The combination of a balance sheet heavy with securities and relatively light on loans, in a rising-rate environment in which bond prices have declined and in which depositors specific to that industry are themselves suffering from a decline in cash, led to a liquidity problem.Unrealized losses on securitiesBanks leverage their capital by gathering deposits or borrowing money either to lend the money out or purchase securities. They earn the spread between their average yield on loans and investments and their average cost for funds.The securities investments are held in two buckets:In its regulatory Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies--FR Y-9C, filed with the Federal Reserve, SVB Financial, reported a negative $1.911 billion in accumulated other comprehensive income as of Dec. 31. That is line 26.b on Schedule HC of the report, for those keeping score at home. You can look up regulatory reports for any U.S. bank holding company, savings and loan holding company or subsidiary institution at the Federal Financial Institution Examination Council's National Information Center. Be sure to get the name of the company or institution right -- or you may be looking at the wrong entity.Here's how accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) is defined in the report: \"Includes, but is not limited to, net unrealized holding gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities, accumulated net gains (losses) on cash flow hedges, cumulative foreign currency translation adjustments, and accumulated defined benefit pension and other postretirement plan adjustments.\"In other words, it was mostly unrealized losses on SVB's available-for-sale securities. The bank booked an estimated $1.8 billion loss when selling \"substantially all\" of these securities on March 8.The list of 10 banks with unfavorable interest margin trendsOn the regulatory call reports, AOCI is added to regulatory capital. Since SVB's AOCI was negative (because of its unrealized losses on AFS securities) as of Dec. 31, it lowered the company's total equity capital. So a fair way to gauge the negative AOCI to the bank's total equity capital would be to divide the negative AOCI by total equity capital less AOCI -- effectively adding the unrealized losses back to total equity capital for the calculation.Getting back to our list of 10 banks that raised similar red margin flags to those of SVB, here's the same group, in the same order, showing negative AOCI as a percentage of total equity capital as of Dec. 31. We have added SVB to the bottom of the list. The data was provided by FactSet:Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) -- the third largest bank on the list by Dec. 31 total assets -- stands out as having the largest percentage of negative accumulated comprehensive income relative to total equity capital as of Dec. 31.To be sure, these numbers don't mean that a bank is in trouble, or that it will be forced to sell securities for big losses. But SVB had both a troubling pattern for its interest margins and what appeared to be a relatively high percentage of securities losses relative to capital as of Dec. 31.Banks with the highest percentage of negative AOCI to capitalThere are 108 banks in the Russell 3000 Index  that had total assets of at least $10.0 billion as of Dec. 31. FactSet provided AOCI and total equity capital data for 105 of them. Here are the 20 which had the highest ratios of negative AOCI to total equity capital less AOCI (as explained above) as of Dec. 31:Again, this is not to suggest that any particular bank on this list based on Dec. 31 data is facing the type of perfect storm that has hurt SVB Financial. A bank sitting on large paper losses on its AFS securities may not need to sell them. In fact Comerica Inc., which tops the list, also improved its interest margin the most over the past four quarters, as shown here.But it is interesting to note that Silvergate Capital Corp., which focused on serving clients in the virtual currency industry, made the list. It is shuttering its bank subsidiary voluntarily.Another bank on the list facing concern among depositors is Signature Bank of New York, which has a diverse business model, but has also faced a backlash related to the services it provides to the virtual currency industry. The bank’s shares fell 12% on Thursday and were down another 24% in afternoon trading on Friday.Signature Bank said in a statement that it was in a “strong, well-diversified financial position.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SI":0.9,"ALLY":1,"BOLT":0.9,"TERN":0.9,"SIVB":0.9,"SBNY":0.9,"KEY":0.9,"CRCT":0.9,"FRC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954790624,"gmtCreate":1676607545668,"gmtModify":1676607676093,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reddit famous for options traders flaunting their winnings. &nbsp;🤣","listText":"Reddit famous for options traders flaunting their winnings. &nbsp;🤣","text":"Reddit famous for options traders flaunting their winnings. 🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954790624","repostId":"2312228194","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956607253,"gmtCreate":1673976278173,"gmtModify":1676538911738,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest safe. We are not out of the woods yet","listText":"Invest safe. We are not out of the woods yet","text":"Invest safe. We are not out of the woods yet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956607253","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956920505,"gmtCreate":1673884881408,"gmtModify":1676538898787,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest safe for 2023","listText":"Invest safe for 2023","text":"Invest safe for 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2023","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958428382","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958637254,"gmtCreate":1673712410979,"gmtModify":1676538877616,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest safe And have a good 2023 investment year&nbsp;","listText":"Invest safe And have a good 2023 investment year&nbsp;","text":"Invest safe And have a good 2023 investment year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958637254","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958397089,"gmtCreate":1673626271344,"gmtModify":1676538867418,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rally comes, invest safe","listText":"Rally comes, invest safe","text":"Rally comes, invest safe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958397089","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951840722,"gmtCreate":1673453471767,"gmtModify":1676538839891,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest safe","listText":"Invest safe","text":"Invest safe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951840722","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951108258,"gmtCreate":1673410714974,"gmtModify":1676538832547,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572267605406030","authorIdStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thought miss woody say will reach $3000 in2022. :(","listText":"Thought miss woody say will reach $3000 in2022. :(","text":"Thought miss woody say will reach $3000 in2022. :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951108258","repostId":"1169268846","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169268846","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1673402121,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169268846?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Makes Whopping $12M Buy In Tesla Stock — Offloads Xpeng For 3rd Straight Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169268846","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Investment Management bought a whopping 100,982 shares of Tesla Inc on Tuesday a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Investment Management</b> bought a whopping 100,982 shares of <b>Tesla Inc</b> on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $12 million based on Tuesday’s closing price, taking its cumulative purchase of the EV maker&#39;s stock this year to about 384,000 shares.</p><p>The purchase was done through the<b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> (ARKK) and the <b>ARK Autonomous Tech. &amp; Robotics ETF</b> (ARKQ).</p><p>Shares of Tesla closed 0.77% lower on Tuesday. The company has applied to expand its Gigafactory in Texas with a total investment of $775.7 million, one of its largest expansion drives since it set up the $5.5 billion Gigafactory in Germany, Reuters reported citing government filings.</p><p>ARK’s cumulative purchases of Tesla since mid-December amount to over 860,000 shares. The fund’s 2026 price target for the stock would be about $500 per share, based on its EV business alone, the firm’s analyst <b>Tasha Keeney</b> said. The projection is adjusted for the 3-for-1 stock split that became effective on Aug. 25, 2022.</p><p><b>Major Sale</b>: ARK continued to offload shares of Chinese EV-maker <b>Xpeng Inc</b> for the third straight day. The <b>ARK Autonomous Tech. &amp; Robotics ETF</b> sold 339,543 shares of the company on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $3.4 million. ARK had sold 111,173 shares of the company on Monday while offloading over 169,000 shares of the EV-maker on Friday last week.</p><p>Shares of Xpeng have lost over 4% in the last five days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Makes Whopping $12M Buy In Tesla Stock — Offloads Xpeng For 3rd Straight Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Makes Whopping $12M Buy In Tesla Stock — Offloads Xpeng For 3rd Straight Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-11 09:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Investment Management</b> bought a whopping 100,982 shares of <b>Tesla Inc</b> on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $12 million based on Tuesday’s closing price, taking its cumulative purchase of the EV maker&#39;s stock this year to about 384,000 shares.</p><p>The purchase was done through the<b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> (ARKK) and the <b>ARK Autonomous Tech. &amp; Robotics ETF</b> (ARKQ).</p><p>Shares of Tesla closed 0.77% lower on Tuesday. The company has applied to expand its Gigafactory in Texas with a total investment of $775.7 million, one of its largest expansion drives since it set up the $5.5 billion Gigafactory in Germany, Reuters reported citing government filings.</p><p>ARK’s cumulative purchases of Tesla since mid-December amount to over 860,000 shares. The fund’s 2026 price target for the stock would be about $500 per share, based on its EV business alone, the firm’s analyst <b>Tasha Keeney</b> said. The projection is adjusted for the 3-for-1 stock split that became effective on Aug. 25, 2022.</p><p><b>Major Sale</b>: ARK continued to offload shares of Chinese EV-maker <b>Xpeng Inc</b> for the third straight day. The <b>ARK Autonomous Tech. &amp; Robotics ETF</b> sold 339,543 shares of the company on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $3.4 million. ARK had sold 111,173 shares of the company on Monday while offloading over 169,000 shares of the EV-maker on Friday last week.</p><p>Shares of Xpeng have lost over 4% in the last five days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169268846","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Investment Management bought a whopping 100,982 shares of Tesla Inc on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $12 million based on Tuesday’s closing price, taking its cumulative purchase of the EV maker's stock this year to about 384,000 shares.The purchase was done through theARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) and the ARK Autonomous Tech. & Robotics ETF (ARKQ).Shares of Tesla closed 0.77% lower on Tuesday. The company has applied to expand its Gigafactory in Texas with a total investment of $775.7 million, one of its largest expansion drives since it set up the $5.5 billion Gigafactory in Germany, Reuters reported citing government filings.ARK’s cumulative purchases of Tesla since mid-December amount to over 860,000 shares. The fund’s 2026 price target for the stock would be about $500 per share, based on its EV business alone, the firm’s analyst Tasha Keeney said. The projection is adjusted for the 3-for-1 stock split that became effective on Aug. 25, 2022.Major Sale: ARK continued to offload shares of Chinese EV-maker Xpeng Inc for the third straight day. The ARK Autonomous Tech. & Robotics ETF sold 339,543 shares of the company on Tuesday at an estimated valuation of over $3.4 million. ARK had sold 111,173 shares of the company on Monday while offloading over 169,000 shares of the EV-maker on Friday last week.Shares of Xpeng have lost over 4% in the last five days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKQ":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9054143280,"gmtCreate":1655358142540,"gmtModify":1676535622530,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DNA\">$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$</a>Quick trade during the volatile market. Nimble fast. Don't swing long.&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DNA\">$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$</a>Quick trade during the volatile market. Nimble fast. Don't swing long.&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$Quick trade during the volatile market. Nimble fast. Don't swing long. [Cool]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7dd739ee87658ced16088437cd308950","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054143280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9067738082,"gmtCreate":1652507244546,"gmtModify":1676535114377,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BA\">$Boeing(BA)$</a>Sharp rebound. &nbsp;Bottom established at $124. Back to pandemic bottom. Should see minor rally soon.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BA\">$Boeing(BA)$</a>Sharp rebound. &nbsp;Bottom established at $124. Back to pandemic bottom. Should see minor rally soon.&nbsp;","text":"$Boeing(BA)$Sharp rebound. Bottom established at $124. Back to pandemic bottom. Should see minor rally soon.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/52c04fd871c71d06d1d1f6110eae5d98","width":"1125","height":"3086"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9067738082","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070573560,"gmtCreate":1657080997250,"gmtModify":1676535946266,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DNA\">$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$</a>With such high volatility and uncertainties, good to take quick short profits. Always tradewith a plan. What's is your trade plan? Shortterm , mid term or long term ?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DNA\">$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$</a>With such high volatility and uncertainties, good to take quick short profits. Always tradewith a plan. What's is your trade plan? Shortterm , mid term or long term ?&nbsp;","text":"$Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc.(DNA)$With such high volatility and uncertainties, good to take quick short profits. Always tradewith a plan. What's is your trade plan? Shortterm , mid term or long term ?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8be8097e2b16351584858d813e638697","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070573560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3585445160991289","authorId":"3585445160991289","name":"sgFIREmm","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbb261867d5d3143912a5abbd0fe846b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3585445160991289","idStr":"3585445160991289"},"content":"Are you looking for financial freedom in Singapore? or are you a victim of Samtrade or Terra luna crypto? View the latest video and updates on the above topic at sgFIREmovement on youtube","text":"Are you looking for financial freedom in Singapore? or are you a victim of Samtrade or Terra luna crypto? View the latest video and updates on the above topic at sgFIREmovement on youtube","html":"Are you looking for financial freedom in Singapore? or are you a victim of Samtrade or Terra luna crypto? View the latest video and updates on the above topic at sgFIREmovement on youtube"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035957377,"gmtCreate":1647493000964,"gmtModify":1676534237359,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking at their covid control, maintaining zero covid policy is quite impossible for 1 billion population. Housing issues have not iron out. &nbsp;These uncertainties will create dominoes effects. And high inflatuon issues haven't factor into the price actions.&nbsp;","listText":"Looking at their covid control, maintaining zero covid policy is quite impossible for 1 billion population. Housing issues have not iron out. &nbsp;These uncertainties will create dominoes effects. And high inflatuon issues haven't factor into the price actions.&nbsp;","text":"Looking at their covid control, maintaining zero covid policy is quite impossible for 1 billion population. Housing issues have not iron out. These uncertainties will create dominoes effects. And high inflatuon issues haven't factor into the price actions.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035957377","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"content":"When US sanction Russia and Russia is one Of the major exporter to energy and food sources, This will create supplies shortage in western couNtries. when demanD exceed SuPply, This increase inflation","text":"When US sanction Russia and Russia is one Of the major exporter to energy and food sources, This will create supplies shortage in western couNtries. when demanD exceed SuPply, This increase inflation","html":"When US sanction Russia and Russia is one Of the major exporter to energy and food sources, This will create supplies shortage in western couNtries. when demanD exceed SuPply, This increase inflation"},{"author":{"id":"3479274734601276","authorId":"3479274734601276","name":"Meet0","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776235f8fbc22077e8df03b2522caf3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274734601276","idStr":"3479274734601276"},"content":"I don't know when the Covid-19 will disappear. hope every thing will be ok.","text":"I don't know when the Covid-19 will disappear. hope every thing will be ok.","html":"I don't know when the Covid-19 will disappear. hope every thing will be ok."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981154233,"gmtCreate":1666431417422,"gmtModify":1676537756052,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>Is it the bottom for technical trade ? Let's see next week price actions.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>Is it the bottom for technical trade ? Let's see next week price actions.&nbsp;","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$Is it the bottom for technical trade ? Let's see next week price actions.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8b02bc396d9d63e806e31a1b49db52cf","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981154233","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097106033,"gmtCreate":1645364114543,"gmtModify":1676534021636,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I guess a lot of retail investors ready to jump into alphabet after stock splits.&nbsp;","listText":"I guess a lot of retail investors ready to jump into alphabet after stock splits.&nbsp;","text":"I guess a lot of retail investors ready to jump into alphabet after stock splits.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097106033","repostId":"2212245076","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2212245076","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1645345805,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2212245076?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-20 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Turned $5,000 Into $10,000 (or More) in Just a Few Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2212245076","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors don't have to find a proverbial diamond in the rough to score big gains. They just have to look for sustainable growth and settle in.","content":"<div>\n<p>Contrary to a commonly held belief, the buy-and-hold approach to investing isn't dead. It's not even on the defensive, nor does it only work if you find the market's up-and-comers at the right time. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/18/3-stocks-that-turned-5000-into-10000-or-more/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Turned $5,000 Into $10,000 (or More) in Just a Few Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Turned $5,000 Into $10,000 (or More) in Just a Few Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-20 16:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/18/3-stocks-that-turned-5000-into-10000-or-more/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Contrary to a commonly held belief, the buy-and-hold approach to investing isn't dead. It's not even on the defensive, nor does it only work if you find the market's up-and-comers at the right time. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/18/3-stocks-that-turned-5000-into-10000-or-more/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOG":"谷歌","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/18/3-stocks-that-turned-5000-into-10000-or-more/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2212245076","content_text":"Contrary to a commonly held belief, the buy-and-hold approach to investing isn't dead. It's not even on the defensive, nor does it only work if you find the market's up-and-comers at the right time. You can still reap huge profits using blue-chip stocks well after they've become blue chips.Here's a closer look at three familiar names that dished out triple-digit percentage gains on their stocks just within the past few years, and could do the same again over the course of the next few years.1. AlphabetAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is of course the company behind search engine behemoth Google, which according to GlobalStats' statcounter handles more than 90% of the world's web searches -- a market share the company has enjoyed for a long, long time. The Google brand also accounts for around two-thirds of Alphabet's top line, and (for the time being, anyway) all of the company's actual profits.And what profit growth we've seen. Last year's net income of $76 billion is leaps and bounds better than the $9.7 billion bottom line the company produced 10 years ago, back in 2011. The stock's price has rallied nearly 800% during that timeframe, from $305 per share then to $2,720 now.That's a tough act to follow, leading some investors to think Alphabet's highest-growth days are behind it. And, perhaps they are. The world certainly seems to already be using the world wide web as much as it feasibly can. What's left to drive future growth?As it turns out though, there's still plenty of opportunities for Alphabet to continue its expansion. The company's Android is also the world's most popular mobile operating system, with GlobalStats data indicating it's installed on 70% of the world's actively used mobile devices. This market isn't saturated yet, meaning there's plenty more growth potential in the cards for the advertisement and app-selling platform. In the meantime, Alphabet continues to refine its YouTube property, which boasts 2 billion users per month consuming over 1 billion hours' worth of video content every single day. Alphabet is also showing strong growth in the ever-expanding area of cloud services with its Google Cloud offering.2. WalmartIt's not known or viewed by investors as a high-octane investment, but Walmart (NYSE:WMT) stock has been surprisingly rewarding in recent years despite the fact that Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has encroached on its turf. Shares of the world's biggest brick-and-mortar retailer are up more than 90% for the past five years, and higher by 125% for the past 10. That reflects annualized revenue growth from $440 billion then to more than $570 billion now.Profits haven't grown nearly as much, but for good reason -- the company continues to invest in it is future, and in e-commerce in particular. Walmart's also earmarked $14 billion specifically for automation and supply chain improvements, which are ultimately meant to support its growing online marketplace.There's more going on here, however, than the establishment of an e-commerce presence that can at least compete with Amazon.com. Its online shopping efforts are just part of a bigger-picture effort to become more of a lifestyle company akin to Amazon. Primary healthcare, premium private label wine, subscription-based delivery of online orders, and tech-installation services are all part of the bigger plan to make Walmart the go-to name consumers lean on.In that, the plan is working (albeit it at a snail's pace), don't be surprised to see shares double again over the course of the next 10 years.3. AmazonWhile nearly everything Walmart does these days is first and foremost meant to combat Amazon.com, that hasn't prevented the e-commerce giant from growing like crazy. Amazon's revenue has improved from 2011's $48 billion to last year's $470 billion. The stock's up more than 1,700% for that timeframe, however, buoyed by earnings growth that has dramatically outpaced sales growth thanks to the launch of the company's cloud computing arm, Amazon Web Services. As it turns out, cloud computing is a considerably more profitable venture than selling merchandise online is.It's unlikely Amazon stock will be able to repeat the feat by 2032. A great deal of the rally stems from the fact that not many people saw the growth coming, and therefore underestimated the stock back in 2012. Investors won't make the same mistake again.Still, even producing half of the gain it produced over the course of the past 10 years during the next 10 years would be a huge win for shareholders.And there's little reason to dismiss the possibility. Amazon is constantly evolving in ways that set the stage for more growth. For instance, the company confirmed it generated $31 billion worth of advertising revenue last year, and that's despite the service being relatively young, unrefined, and not fully understood by advertisers. Other more nuanced growth drivers include payment services, point-of-sale solutions, and even a grocery store business that cements its relationships with consumers in place. There's certainly no reason not to expect more big things from the company, and its stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000640","authorId":"9000000000000640","name":"DaisyMoore","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/907cd7c24e0c3693fe01cf437bf1e553","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000640","idStr":"9000000000000640"},"content":"I quite agree with you. Alphabet has a good reputation and development plan.","text":"I quite agree with you. Alphabet has a good reputation and development plan.","html":"I quite agree with you. Alphabet has a good reputation and development plan."},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000463","authorId":"9000000000000463","name":"MurrayBulwer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b11c256c9adb7debe80fba544b0e6b3d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000463","idStr":"9000000000000463"},"content":"Does this mean that the share price of alphabet will rise because more retail investors join?","text":"Does this mean that the share price of alphabet will rise because more retail investors join?","html":"Does this mean that the share price of alphabet will rise because more retail investors join?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998227044,"gmtCreate":1661009617090,"gmtModify":1676536438652,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like crypto winter gonna last longer","listText":"Looks like crypto winter gonna last longer","text":"Looks like crypto winter gonna last longer","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998227044","repostId":"1161973648","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161973648","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660961604,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161973648?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-20 10:13","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161973648","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the &#34;return to normal&#34; stage of a bubble.</li><li>We anticipate Bitcoin is entering &#34;phase 2&#34; of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.</li><li>Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06049fcdc1faaaf8e98c02d34d25e737\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>rayisa</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin: This Time Is Different!</b></p><p>As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin&#39;s (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad60d9dee720c7827a97c38a6feb675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>With Bitcoin&#39;s unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:</p><ol><li>Bitcoin&#39;s unsustainable growth rate,</li><li>Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,</li><li>The crypto market&#39;s <i>over-reliance</i> on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.</li></ol><p>After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin&#39;s all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I&#39;ve ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop of<i>favorable financial conditions</i>has characterized Bitcoin&#39;s entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.</p><p>Now, when faced with a<i>bearish</i>stock market and<i>high</i>rates, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s price will plummet.</p><p><b>Bitcoin All-Time Price Chart</b></p><p>The chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbbc9b759a44f7933564ded412fb9314\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>Amidst such <i>extensively beneficial</i> market conditions, Bitcoin&#39;s price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.</p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).</li></ul><p>Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin&#39;s growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (<i>Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren&#39;t kidding. If there is another &#34;cryptocurrency cycle,&#34; it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation</i>).</p><p>As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin&#39;s previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to <i>at least</i> $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.</p><ul><li>Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.</li><li>We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.</li><li>We&#39;re also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.</li></ul><p><b>Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% Decline</b></p><p>Technically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shifted<i>bearish,</i>prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:</p><ul><li>A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,</li><li>the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,</li><li>the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/761c7bbe9eaa8132d4fbcd6b8fa72ed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)</span></p><p>In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a <i>reflexive rally</i> powered by<i>less bad</i>economic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b89df931566e267cc18e520965fb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)</span></p><p>The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin&#39;s speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin&#39;s current price!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13a0514bb05bd64ce0bcc045a3283170\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider&#39;s weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin&#39;s <i>real</i> logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a &#34;bowling ball thrown out a window&#34; until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796db43ff5d73d88d492a35e626ae320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Hence, Bitcoin&#39;s technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we&#39;re planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin&#39;s bottom:</p><ol><li>The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.</li><li>Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.</li><li>Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.</li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4449d83f87efa2a1cd3cfb2cb066f6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin&#39;s First True Bear Market</b></p><p>By observing Bitcoin&#39;s lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin&#39;s long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds <i>in anticipation</i> of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facing<i>the opposite</i>of each of these dynamics.</p><p>In our view, Bitcoin&#39;s recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents &#39;phase 1&#39; of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever <i>real</i> bear market.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin &#39;bear markets&#39; <i>weren&#39;t actually bear markets.</i> Instead, they were bull market corrections!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db68ad989673aafb983acbfdf6ef8dc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its <i>true</i> bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin&#39;s first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.</p><p>While Bitcoin&#39;s stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed4a896fd6b61d52a0f24867a6da507\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Incoming Black Swan Events</b></p><p>So far, we&#39;ve covered Bitcoin&#39;s bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin&#39;s<i>worst ever</i>. Going forward, we&#39;re anticipating the following &#39;Black Swan&#39; events will power a violent downturn:</p><p><b>1) Stock Market Collapse</b></p><p>Despite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is still<i>overvalued</i>relative to its long-term base-level trendline:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d58fcfab0b93b5fbc217eca0329f8f91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)</span></p><p>As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq&#39;s current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.</p><p><b>2) Cryptocurrency Regulation</b></p><p>As previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application &#39;Tornado Cash&#39; on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one of<i>many</i>attacks soon to come.</p><p>Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.</p><p>Therefore, we expect <i>increasing regulation</i> and the <i>relinquishment of previously held beliefs</i> will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.</p><blockquote>Laura Shin&#39;s &#39;Unchained&#39; podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I&#39;ve found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.</blockquote><p><b>3) Tether Collapse</b></p><p>The Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin&#39;s price during the 2017 rally.</p><p>Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market&#39;s largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it&#39;s reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.</p><p><b>4) Exchange Insolvencies</b></p><p>&#34;Phase 1&#34; of Bitcoin&#39;s bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.</p><p>Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager&#39;s pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn&#39;t<i>prove</i>anything, it&#39;s objectively not a good sign.</p><p><b>5) Monkeypox</b></p><p>Lastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant &#39;black swan&#39; event that markets aren&#39;t pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c26dd7ca82e31f91a6c9b4f244da256\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)</span></p><p>Although it&#39;s unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51042d06277e56a3fa14ecf273febd78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)</span></p><p>We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.</p><p><b>Short Trades</b></p><p>Currently, we&#39;re margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we&#39;re short Ethereum at $1902. We&#39;re also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Trends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include any<i>hint</i>of dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.</p><p>Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month&#39;s inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>After 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its first<i>real</i>bear market).</li><li>We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.</li><li>Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market&#39;s surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. </i><i>This document is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161973648","content_text":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.rayisaBitcoin: This Time Is Different!As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)With Bitcoin's unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:Bitcoin's unsustainable growth rate,Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,The crypto market's over-reliance on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin's all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I've ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop offavorable financial conditionshas characterized Bitcoin's entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.Now, when faced with abearishstock market andhighrates, we expect Bitcoin's price will plummet.Bitcoin All-Time Price ChartThe chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Amidst such extensively beneficial market conditions, Bitcoin's price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.Bitcoin's hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin's growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren't kidding. If there is another \"cryptocurrency cycle,\" it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation).As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin's previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to at least $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.We're also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% DeclineTechnically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shiftedbearish,prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a reflexive rally powered byless badeconomic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin's speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin's current price!BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider's weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin's real logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a \"bowling ball thrown out a window\" until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)Hence, Bitcoin's technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we're planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin's bottom:The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Bitcoin's First True Bear MarketBy observing Bitcoin's lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin's long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds in anticipation of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facingthe oppositeof each of these dynamics.In our view, Bitcoin's recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents 'phase 1' of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever real bear market.As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin 'bear markets' weren't actually bear markets. Instead, they were bull market corrections!BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its true bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin's first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.While Bitcoin's stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin's Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Incoming Black Swan EventsSo far, we've covered Bitcoin's bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin'sworst ever. Going forward, we're anticipating the following 'Black Swan' events will power a violent downturn:1) Stock Market CollapseDespite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is stillovervaluedrelative to its long-term base-level trendline:NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq's current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.2) Cryptocurrency RegulationAs previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application 'Tornado Cash' on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one ofmanyattacks soon to come.Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.Therefore, we expect increasing regulation and the relinquishment of previously held beliefs will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.Laura Shin's 'Unchained' podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I've found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.3) Tether CollapseThe Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin's price during the 2017 rally.Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market's largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it's reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.4) Exchange Insolvencies\"Phase 1\" of Bitcoin's bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager's pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn'tproveanything, it's objectively not a good sign.5) MonkeypoxLastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant 'black swan' event that markets aren't pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)Although it's unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.Short TradesCurrently, we're margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we're short Ethereum at $1902. We're also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.RisksTrends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include anyhintof dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month's inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.Key TakeawaysAfter 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its firstrealbear market).We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market's surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. This document is for reference only.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9019366038,"gmtCreate":1648534364375,"gmtModify":1676534351170,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like Biotech at its bottom.&nbsp;","listText":"Looks like Biotech at its bottom.&nbsp;","text":"Looks like Biotech at its bottom.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9019366038","repostId":"1141266128","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038963713,"gmtCreate":1646714546922,"gmtModify":1676534154528,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As long the war persists for sometime. All tech stocks will suffer. But don't think this warwill last long. Everyday expenses are too costly for Russia. Is a matter of time they will reach a negotiation.&nbsp;","listText":"As long the war persists for sometime. All tech stocks will suffer. But don't think this warwill last long. Everyday expenses are too costly for Russia. Is a matter of time they will reach a negotiation.&nbsp;","text":"As long the war persists for sometime. All tech stocks will suffer. But don't think this warwill last long. Everyday expenses are too costly for Russia. Is a matter of time they will reach a negotiation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038963713","repostId":"1183643552","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183643552","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646708017,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183643552?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-08 10:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Stock Rallied Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183643552","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A respected Wall Street firm is less bearish on the software company.","content":"<div>\n<p>What happenedShares of Palantir Technologies rose on Monday, following an analyst upgrade. As of closed, the data analytics company's stock price was up 1.4% after rising as much as 7.2% earlier in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/07/why-palantir-stock-rallied-today/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Stock Rallied Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Stock Rallied Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-08 10:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/07/why-palantir-stock-rallied-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happenedShares of Palantir Technologies rose on Monday, following an analyst upgrade. As of closed, the data analytics company's stock price was up 1.4% after rising as much as 7.2% earlier in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/07/why-palantir-stock-rallied-today/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/07/why-palantir-stock-rallied-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183643552","content_text":"What happenedShares of Palantir Technologies rose on Monday, following an analyst upgrade. As of closed, the data analytics company's stock price was up 1.4% after rising as much as 7.2% earlier in the day.So whatMorgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss raised his rating on Palantir's shares from underweight to equal weight. Though he cut his price forecast from $24 to $16 to reflect investors' recent reticence to pay high valuation multiples for tech stocks, his new estimate is still more than 40% higher than Palantir's current price near $11.25.Image source: Getty Images.Weiss believes Palantir's government operations are well situated for the current geological environment. Recent turmoil in Europe should only boost demand for the company's defense-focused data services.Additionally, Weiss expects Palantir's efforts to build out its commercial salesforce to bear fruit in the coming years. The software company's commercial revenue jumped 47% year over year in the fourth quarter, including a 132% surge in the U.S.Moreover, Weiss notes that Palantir's stock is now more attractively priced after its recent swoon, particularly when factoring in its growth rates and cash flow production. In turn, he believes that many of the risks inherent in an investment in Palantir are already reflected in its share price.Still, Weiss would like to see more stability in Palantir's operating margins and evidence of stronger growth in its government and commercial segments before upgrading the stock to an overweight rating.Now whatEven after today's gains, Palantir's stock price is down about 38% so far this year. Although its shares aren't cheap at roughly 60 times analysts' earnings estimates for 2022, they are now much more reasonable, especially when considering Palantir's greater than 40% projected growth rate over the next five years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9033356107,"gmtCreate":1646196567503,"gmtModify":1676534102860,"author":{"id":"3572267605406030","authorId":"3572267605406030","name":"Jason1616","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572267605406030","idStr":"3572267605406030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes and no. Yes to sell stocks to lock your gains. For instance. Those tech stocks parabolic move over 70% should sell. Else you aresitting 70% losses.&nbsp;No for defensive stocks like Apple &amp; Google&nbsp;","listText":"Yes and no. Yes to sell stocks to lock your gains. For instance. Those tech stocks parabolic move over 70% should sell. Else you aresitting 70% losses.&nbsp;No for defensive stocks like Apple &amp; Google&nbsp;","text":"Yes and no. Yes to sell stocks to lock your gains. For instance. Those tech stocks parabolic move over 70% should sell. Else you aresitting 70% losses. No for defensive stocks like Apple & Google","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9033356107","repostId":"1162614571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162614571","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1646193023,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162614571?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-02 11:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fear, Panic And War Are Bad Reasons To Sell Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162614571","media":"TheStreet","summary":"SummaryMany people are concerned that the war in Ukraine will damage their portfolios.It is natural ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Many people are concerned that the war in Ukraine will damage their portfolios.</li><li>It is natural to be worried during scary situations, but history shows that times like now are poor times to sell.</li><li>Generally speaking, stock market declines due to disaster scenarios are very short lived.</li><li>In this article, I will make the case that many stocks (particularly energy stocks) will do just fine in this environment.</li></ul><p>The world is a scary place right now. An armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine has created an atmosphere of panic unlike any in recent memory. Various media outlets have described the crisis as the biggest armed conflict in Europe since World War 2. The days-old conflict has already claimed hundreds of lives, and displaced hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. It is a very frightening, and tragic, situation.</p><p>So, it shouldn&#39;t come as any surprise that markets have been jittery since the war began. On February 24, the first day after Russia&#39;s invasion, markets opened1.65% lower than they closed the day before. In subsequent trading days, the markets regained what they had lost, and then some. Nevertheless, scary sounding headlines continued to be released for the remainder of the week. Some examples include:</p><ul><li><p>&#34;These 13 Stocks Implode as the World Prepares for War.&#34; (Investor&#39;s Business Daily).</p></li><li><p>&#34;Stocks tank as War Threat intensifies.&#34; (Morningstar).</p></li><li><p>&#34;War Will Give Stocks no Peace.&#34; (Forbes).</p></li></ul><p>The subtext of these headlines couldn&#39;t be clearer:</p><p><i>War is a scary prospect for stock market investors. Be very afraid!</i></p><p>To be sure, there are legitimate reasons to be afraid of war. The human toll is very real, and wars can bring short term economic disruptions as well. The war in Ukraine has reportedly taken energy pipelines offline, contributing to higher energy costs and inflation. So there are very real reasons to be concerned. The question is,<i>&#34;is the stock market one of these reasons?&#34;</i></p><p>Going by history, no. Although the flash point moments in war do tend to be correlated with brief selloffs, stocks recover from these events quickly. There was only one case in the last 100 years in which a war was correlated with a long-term decline in stock prices but, as you&#39;re about to see, the war was not likely what caused stocks to go down that time. Generally speaking, wars can coincide with panic selling, but it doesn&#39;t last long. Given this, it would be foolhardy to sell your stocks right now because of the situation in Eastern Europe.</p><p><b>Wars and Stocks: the Correlation</b></p><p>If we look at historical market data, we can see that the very early moments of wars do tend to be correlated with stock market selloffs. A recentFortune article reviewed five major conflict situations and how they impacted stocks. It concluded that war-related stock market dips do occur, but tend to be short lived. The examples given are:</p><ul><li><p>World War 1: the Dow fell 30%, then was closed for six months, then surged 88% in 1915.</p></li><li><p>World War 2: 2.9% drawdown on the morning of the Pearl Harbor attack. Losses erased within a month.</p></li><li><p>Cuban Missile Crisis: tiny 1.2% selloff followed by a 10% gain for the remainder of the year.</p></li><li><p>9/11: 15% selloff within days of the attack. The market didn&#39;t find a bottom this time until 2002. It then went on to enter a bull market that lasted until 2008.</p></li><li><p>U.S. invading Iraq: stocks jumped 2.3% on the day of the invasion and ended the year up 30%.</p></li></ul><p>I&#39;ve included a chart below, borrowed from Trading Economics, that shows the approximate dates of the events above (except World War 1). Looking at it visually, you can see that all of these war-related events coincided with near term lows, but were followed by long-term gains. The one exception is 9/11: it took stocks nearly a year to find a bottom after that one. However, in that particular case, the long-term downtrend was not actually caused by the attack, as I&#39;ll explain shortly.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d1ac70f5e16bcef0d0abacea19479d\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"517\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Trading Economics</span></p><p>As you can see, 9/11 occurred about halfway through a bear market that began in 2000 and ended in 2002. It was the one &#34;war&#34; related event of the five mentioned in Fortune that was followed by prolonged bearishness. However, it was also the one where there was a lot more than conflict contributing to the selloff. The 9/11 crash occurred about halfway through the Dotcom bubble burst. The bear market of the time was caused by the rapid collapse in prices of high flying tech stocks, some of which went bankrupt and were delisted. Notable examples included:</p><ul><li><p>Pets.com (went bankrupt).</p></li><li><p>Priceline (acquired after falling 94%).</p></li><li><p>Garden.com (shut down after falling to 9 cents a share).</p></li></ul><p>All of these stocks went bust long before 9/11 was part of the conversation. Therefore, it&#39;s hard to say how much of the losses in the 2000-2002 period were due to the bubble collapsing, and how much were due to 9/11. The 2000 bubble collapsed mainly due to valuation concerns, companies experiencing financial strain, and a series of interest rate hikes in1999 and 2000. At the peak, the NASDAQ had a 175 P/E ratio. These factors probably contributed to the 2000-2002 bear market more than any conflict did.</p><p>If we take the post-9/11 selloff without the historical context, then it took the markets a little under a year to recover from the 15% drawdown. That&#39;s not too bad, all things considered. Of course, the markets took much longer to get back to the highs set in 2000. The S&amp;P 500 took six years to get back to the previous top, the NASDAQ a full 15! So the bear market of 2000-2002 was quite long, and the recovery from it was even longer. But again, most of it took place long before 9/11. The losses incurred in the immediate aftermath of that event reversed in less than a year.</p><p><b>Why Isn&#39;t War Bad For Stocks?</b></p><p>Having established that war has not historically been bad for the stock market, the next logical question to ask is, &#34;why?&#34; War is certainly among the most destructive mass-scale activities human beings participate in. Lives are lost, infrastructure is destroyed, people are displaced, and the list just goes on and on. It certainly seems like wars destroy a lot of value. Why, then, do stocks generally go up when they are happening?</p><p>First, it helps to understand how broad the stock market really is.</p><p>To begin with just the U.S., the Wilshire 5000 index consists of 3,500 stocks. It is generally taken as equivalent to the total U.S. stock market. It may exclude some OTC stocks, but it is a pretty good proxy for U.S. listed securities.</p><p>Looking abroad, there are even more stocks to choose from. The OECD says that there are41,000 listed equities globally, and the number rises every year.</p><p>What all of this means is that the universe of stocks is very large. It follows logically from this that different stocks will respond to armed conflict in different ways. While you might find some companies out there that lose money because of armed conflict, you&#39;ll find others that won&#39;t. Some companies will inevitably do just fine. Out of respect for the lives in jeopardy in Eastern Europe right now, I will avoid any talk of arms dealers, defense contractors and other &#34;war beneficiary&#34; stocks. But I will draw your attention to one major industry that serves as a perfect illustration of how companies can thrive during wars:</p><p><b>Energy</b></p><p>As you might be aware, the Russia/Ukraine war has severely disrupted global energy supplies. Russia&#39;s Nord Stream 2 pipeline has been suspended, pipelines in Ukraine have been knocked out, and Western energy companies have withdrawn from Russia. Without a doubt, there are Russian energy companies that could lose a lot of money over this.<b>Gazprom</b>(OTCPK:OGZPY), for example, is heavily invested in the now suspended Nord Stream 2. Its stock had fallen 35% for the year before trading was suspended on February 25th. That&#39;s noteworthy because energy stocks as a whole rose in the same period.</p><p>So, Russian energy stocks are in a bad place right now.</p><p>But remember:</p><p><i>It&#39;s a big world out there.</i></p><p>All of the oil that&#39;s not flowing because of the Russia/Ukraine conflict has to be supplied by someone else. And because of the supply shock, that &#34;someone else&#34; is going to collect higher prices on the oil they sell. When supply decreases but demand is unchanged, prices rise. And right now, the global supply of oil is being reduced.</p><p>There are many companies that can thrive in such an environment. If you look at a Canadian energy company like <b>Suncor Energy</b>(SU), for example, it is about as insulated from the Russia/Ukraine situation as you can imagine. It makes money by selling gasoline to Canadians and by exporting crude oil to Americans. None of this is in any way threatened by the situation in Eastern Europe. Yet oil prices are rising worldwide, even in regions that are not being directly impacted by the conflict. Gasoline prices are rising right along side them. All of this means that Suncor gets to charge higher prices for its products than it did before. That results in higher earnings, as we saw the fourth quarter. In Q4, Suncor&#39;s funds from operations (FFO)grew 157%year-over-year. Net income and operating income swung from losses to profits. That was all thanks to oil prices rising year-over-year. Today, oil prices are even higher than they were in Q4, having set new 7 year highs. So Suncor should do even better in Q1.</p><p>What this example illustrates is the fact that equities can respond to crises in surprising ways. Sure, some are damaged by pandemonium, but others can do just fine. Overall, the presence of disorder in the world shouldn&#39;t affect your outlook. As history shows, it has little effect on the markets.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fear, Panic And War Are Bad Reasons To Sell Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFear, Panic And War Are Bad Reasons To Sell Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-02 11:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/how-important-is-russia-to-apples-business><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMany people are concerned that the war in Ukraine will damage their portfolios.It is natural to be worried during scary situations, but history shows that times like now are poor times to sell....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/how-important-is-russia-to-apples-business\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/how-important-is-russia-to-apples-business","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162614571","content_text":"SummaryMany people are concerned that the war in Ukraine will damage their portfolios.It is natural to be worried during scary situations, but history shows that times like now are poor times to sell.Generally speaking, stock market declines due to disaster scenarios are very short lived.In this article, I will make the case that many stocks (particularly energy stocks) will do just fine in this environment.The world is a scary place right now. An armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine has created an atmosphere of panic unlike any in recent memory. Various media outlets have described the crisis as the biggest armed conflict in Europe since World War 2. The days-old conflict has already claimed hundreds of lives, and displaced hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. It is a very frightening, and tragic, situation.So, it shouldn't come as any surprise that markets have been jittery since the war began. On February 24, the first day after Russia's invasion, markets opened1.65% lower than they closed the day before. In subsequent trading days, the markets regained what they had lost, and then some. Nevertheless, scary sounding headlines continued to be released for the remainder of the week. Some examples include:\"These 13 Stocks Implode as the World Prepares for War.\" (Investor's Business Daily).\"Stocks tank as War Threat intensifies.\" (Morningstar).\"War Will Give Stocks no Peace.\" (Forbes).The subtext of these headlines couldn't be clearer:War is a scary prospect for stock market investors. Be very afraid!To be sure, there are legitimate reasons to be afraid of war. The human toll is very real, and wars can bring short term economic disruptions as well. The war in Ukraine has reportedly taken energy pipelines offline, contributing to higher energy costs and inflation. So there are very real reasons to be concerned. The question is,\"is the stock market one of these reasons?\"Going by history, no. Although the flash point moments in war do tend to be correlated with brief selloffs, stocks recover from these events quickly. There was only one case in the last 100 years in which a war was correlated with a long-term decline in stock prices but, as you're about to see, the war was not likely what caused stocks to go down that time. Generally speaking, wars can coincide with panic selling, but it doesn't last long. Given this, it would be foolhardy to sell your stocks right now because of the situation in Eastern Europe.Wars and Stocks: the CorrelationIf we look at historical market data, we can see that the very early moments of wars do tend to be correlated with stock market selloffs. A recentFortune article reviewed five major conflict situations and how they impacted stocks. It concluded that war-related stock market dips do occur, but tend to be short lived. The examples given are:World War 1: the Dow fell 30%, then was closed for six months, then surged 88% in 1915.World War 2: 2.9% drawdown on the morning of the Pearl Harbor attack. Losses erased within a month.Cuban Missile Crisis: tiny 1.2% selloff followed by a 10% gain for the remainder of the year.9/11: 15% selloff within days of the attack. The market didn't find a bottom this time until 2002. It then went on to enter a bull market that lasted until 2008.U.S. invading Iraq: stocks jumped 2.3% on the day of the invasion and ended the year up 30%.I've included a chart below, borrowed from Trading Economics, that shows the approximate dates of the events above (except World War 1). Looking at it visually, you can see that all of these war-related events coincided with near term lows, but were followed by long-term gains. The one exception is 9/11: it took stocks nearly a year to find a bottom after that one. However, in that particular case, the long-term downtrend was not actually caused by the attack, as I'll explain shortly.Trading EconomicsAs you can see, 9/11 occurred about halfway through a bear market that began in 2000 and ended in 2002. It was the one \"war\" related event of the five mentioned in Fortune that was followed by prolonged bearishness. However, it was also the one where there was a lot more than conflict contributing to the selloff. The 9/11 crash occurred about halfway through the Dotcom bubble burst. The bear market of the time was caused by the rapid collapse in prices of high flying tech stocks, some of which went bankrupt and were delisted. Notable examples included:Pets.com (went bankrupt).Priceline (acquired after falling 94%).Garden.com (shut down after falling to 9 cents a share).All of these stocks went bust long before 9/11 was part of the conversation. Therefore, it's hard to say how much of the losses in the 2000-2002 period were due to the bubble collapsing, and how much were due to 9/11. The 2000 bubble collapsed mainly due to valuation concerns, companies experiencing financial strain, and a series of interest rate hikes in1999 and 2000. At the peak, the NASDAQ had a 175 P/E ratio. These factors probably contributed to the 2000-2002 bear market more than any conflict did.If we take the post-9/11 selloff without the historical context, then it took the markets a little under a year to recover from the 15% drawdown. That's not too bad, all things considered. Of course, the markets took much longer to get back to the highs set in 2000. The S&P 500 took six years to get back to the previous top, the NASDAQ a full 15! So the bear market of 2000-2002 was quite long, and the recovery from it was even longer. But again, most of it took place long before 9/11. The losses incurred in the immediate aftermath of that event reversed in less than a year.Why Isn't War Bad For Stocks?Having established that war has not historically been bad for the stock market, the next logical question to ask is, \"why?\" War is certainly among the most destructive mass-scale activities human beings participate in. Lives are lost, infrastructure is destroyed, people are displaced, and the list just goes on and on. It certainly seems like wars destroy a lot of value. Why, then, do stocks generally go up when they are happening?First, it helps to understand how broad the stock market really is.To begin with just the U.S., the Wilshire 5000 index consists of 3,500 stocks. It is generally taken as equivalent to the total U.S. stock market. It may exclude some OTC stocks, but it is a pretty good proxy for U.S. listed securities.Looking abroad, there are even more stocks to choose from. The OECD says that there are41,000 listed equities globally, and the number rises every year.What all of this means is that the universe of stocks is very large. It follows logically from this that different stocks will respond to armed conflict in different ways. While you might find some companies out there that lose money because of armed conflict, you'll find others that won't. Some companies will inevitably do just fine. Out of respect for the lives in jeopardy in Eastern Europe right now, I will avoid any talk of arms dealers, defense contractors and other \"war beneficiary\" stocks. But I will draw your attention to one major industry that serves as a perfect illustration of how companies can thrive during wars:EnergyAs you might be aware, the Russia/Ukraine war has severely disrupted global energy supplies. Russia's Nord Stream 2 pipeline has been suspended, pipelines in Ukraine have been knocked out, and Western energy companies have withdrawn from Russia. Without a doubt, there are Russian energy companies that could lose a lot of money over this.Gazprom(OTCPK:OGZPY), for example, is heavily invested in the now suspended Nord Stream 2. Its stock had fallen 35% for the year before trading was suspended on February 25th. That's noteworthy because energy stocks as a whole rose in the same period.So, Russian energy stocks are in a bad place right now.But remember:It's a big world out there.All of the oil that's not flowing because of the Russia/Ukraine conflict has to be supplied by someone else. And because of the supply shock, that \"someone else\" is going to collect higher prices on the oil they sell. When supply decreases but demand is unchanged, prices rise. And right now, the global supply of oil is being reduced.There are many companies that can thrive in such an environment. If you look at a Canadian energy company like Suncor Energy(SU), for example, it is about as insulated from the Russia/Ukraine situation as you can imagine. It makes money by selling gasoline to Canadians and by exporting crude oil to Americans. None of this is in any way threatened by the situation in Eastern Europe. Yet oil prices are rising worldwide, even in regions that are not being directly impacted by the conflict. Gasoline prices are rising right along side them. All of this means that Suncor gets to charge higher prices for its products than it did before. That results in higher earnings, as we saw the fourth quarter. In Q4, Suncor's funds from operations (FFO)grew 157%year-over-year. Net income and operating income swung from losses to profits. That was all thanks to oil prices rising year-over-year. Today, oil prices are even higher than they were in Q4, having set new 7 year highs. So Suncor should do even better in Q1.What this example illustrates is the fact that equities can respond to crises in surprising ways. Sure, some are damaged by pandemonium, but others can do just fine. Overall, the presence of disorder in the world shouldn't affect your outlook. As history shows, it has little effect on the markets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}