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2022-05-06
Wow
The US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?
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00:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158662522","media":"券商中国","summary":"美股突然大变脸！5月5日，美股开盘之后，三大股指跌幅直接扩大。截至23点10分，道指狂泄1000点，跌幅扩大至将近3%，标普500指数跌超3.4%，纳斯达克综合指数（纳指）下跌将近600点跌幅扩大至4","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>US stocks suddenly changed their faces!</p><p>On May 5th, after the opening of U.S. stocks, the decline of the three major stock indexes directly expanded. As of 23: 10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average leaked 1,000 points, and the decline expanded to nearly 3%, the S&P 500 Index fell by more than 3.4%, the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) fell by nearly 600 points, and the decline expanded to 4.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is currently down 4.6%. This trend is somewhat beyond market expectations, because in the market on May 4th, although there was a rate hike of the Federal Reserve, the performance of U.S. stocks in late trading was quite outstanding. So, what exactly caused the U.S. stock market to fall?</p><p><b>U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27% on Thursday, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Sam Khater, an economist at Freddie Mac, predicts that house price growth will slow soon. The rise of this indicator may have spooked the market. After all, the 2008 financial crisis is not far away. Bond markets have also suffered, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield soaring directly above 3%, and the US Dollar Index recovering ground lost in recent trading sessions.</b></p><p>Affected by this, the offshore RMB once fell by 600 points, and the decline of A50 also widened. At the same time, news came from Russia and Ukraine again. According to Xinhua News Agency, two villages in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, were shelled by Ukrainian troops, and the Ukrainian president said he did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. So, will A-shares, which have just improved, be tested again?</p><p><b>U.S. stocks change their faces</b></p><p>On Wednesday (May 4th), the Federal Reserve had a rate hike, and originally thought that US stocks might have to adjust. I didn't expect it to be a big increase. On the same day, the Dow rose 2.81%, the S&P 500 rose 2.99%, and the Nasdaq rose 3.19%. Caterpillar, 3M and Apple rose more than 4%, leading the Dow. The Dow and S&P 500 posted their biggest one-day gains in two years.</p><p><b>It is also expected that U.S. stocks may continue to rise. After all, the expectation given by the Federal Reserve is relatively clear, with pigeons in the eagle and soft in the middle. However, what the US stock market is waiting for is a big drop. At the opening of May 5th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively plunged, among which the Nasdaq index once fell by more than 4%.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6612e36963c0e2c1b7b8cfbbe3482b5c\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This surprising change also triggered other market changes, with long-term Treasury Bond yields in the United States rising almost across the board. Among them, the ten-year Treasury Bond yield, which has a strong indicator significance, broke through 3% in one fell swoop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05c5ab89b5db9d3e4e70741c3750c9da\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>the US Dollar Index rose sharply and recovered the previous lost ground.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cdb19fa6d038e9c8aa5dda60f15dac\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that the RMB fell sharply by 600 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72767457a97d91a9ed02cc1d5439d090\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the decline of A50 futures index also widened.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603f48ac3525d525c28e61610edcdb53\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>What exactly is the reason?</b></p><p>Where does the reason for the decline of U.S. stocks come from?</p><p>First, Powell said Wednesday that there is some evidence of a peak in core PCE. The market expects that in the next two meetings, rate hike may be 25 basis points after rate hike 50 basis points, excluding the possibility of rate hike 75 basis points. Powell also said that rate hike of 75 basis points is not worth considering. But surprisingly, on Thursday, U.S. interest rate futures prices showed a 75% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in June, and the CME group (CME) Fed Watch sees an 83% chance.</p><p>Secondly, there is an indicator that brings to mind the financial crisis. U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27%, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Freddie Mac economists expect home price gains to slow soon. As these interest rate indicators soared, they directly brought down the stock market and bond market.</p><p>Third, there may be concerns about the epidemic. Judging from the structure of the decline in U.S. stocks, after the opening, U.S. cruise stocks fell, with Carnival Cruise Line (CCL.N) falling 5.5%, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH.N) falling 5%, and Royal Caribbean Cruise Line (RCL.N) falling 3.4%. According to the latest news from WHO, the number of people dying from COVID-19 is almost three times that officially reported, with 1 in 500 people dying from COVID-19.</p><p>Wall Street bear David Wright believes that this bear market is just beginning. He said: \"The macroeconomic and geopolitical turmoil is worrying investors. No other country in the world will bet so much wealth on stocks. We are at the peak of complacency, and the market is in the midst of the biggest bear market of this life. The bear market has just begun, and there is a big wave behind it.\"</p><p><b>There are new developments in Russia and Ukraine</b></p><p><b>In the current market analysis framework, the variables of the US dollar, the variables of the epidemic situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict collectively go into battle. Judging from the latest news, the situation between Russia and Ukraine still shows no signs of easing.</b></p><p>According to Xinhua News Agency, Gladkov, the governor of Russian Belgorod Oblast near the Ukrainian border, reported on social media on the 5th that two villages in the state were shelled by Ukrainian side that day.</p><p>According to TASS news agency, Russian presidential press secretary Peskov told the media on the 5th that the Russian military knows that the United States, Britain and other NATO countries are constantly providing intelligence to the Ukrainian military, and Russia is taking all necessary measures to deal with it. He said the countries involved in sending weapons and providing intelligence to Ukraine would not \"hinder the achievement of the stated objectives of the special military operation\". In response to the news released by Ukraine that \"the Russian army broke into the Azov Iron and Steel Plant late at night and had a fierce exchange of fire with the Ukraine side\", Peskov said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not issued a new order on the actions of the Russian army in the Azov Iron and Steel Plant at present, and the decision made by the Russian side to cancel the storm and block the plant area is still being implemented.</p><p>In a video interview with the Wall Street Journal, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. Zelensky said that when he became president, the Minsk Agreement and the New Minsk Agreement already existed, but these agreements were not observed. Instead, these \"paper arrangements\" brought about \"freezing the conflict\" and Ukraine would never accept an agreement to \"freeze the conflict\".</p><p><b>Combined with the analysis of various situations, the subsequent rebound of the whole capital market may still face some tests, and it may take time to grind to the bottom.</b></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-05-06 00:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>US stocks suddenly changed their faces!</p><p>On May 5th, after the opening of U.S. stocks, the decline of the three major stock indexes directly expanded. As of 23: 10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average leaked 1,000 points, and the decline expanded to nearly 3%, the S&P 500 Index fell by more than 3.4%, the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) fell by nearly 600 points, and the decline expanded to 4.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is currently down 4.6%. This trend is somewhat beyond market expectations, because in the market on May 4th, although there was a rate hike of the Federal Reserve, the performance of U.S. stocks in late trading was quite outstanding. So, what exactly caused the U.S. stock market to fall?</p><p><b>U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27% on Thursday, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Sam Khater, an economist at Freddie Mac, predicts that house price growth will slow soon. The rise of this indicator may have spooked the market. After all, the 2008 financial crisis is not far away. Bond markets have also suffered, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield soaring directly above 3%, and the US Dollar Index recovering ground lost in recent trading sessions.</b></p><p>Affected by this, the offshore RMB once fell by 600 points, and the decline of A50 also widened. At the same time, news came from Russia and Ukraine again. According to Xinhua News Agency, two villages in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, were shelled by Ukrainian troops, and the Ukrainian president said he did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. So, will A-shares, which have just improved, be tested again?</p><p><b>U.S. stocks change their faces</b></p><p>On Wednesday (May 4th), the Federal Reserve had a rate hike, and originally thought that US stocks might have to adjust. I didn't expect it to be a big increase. On the same day, the Dow rose 2.81%, the S&P 500 rose 2.99%, and the Nasdaq rose 3.19%. Caterpillar, 3M and Apple rose more than 4%, leading the Dow. The Dow and S&P 500 posted their biggest one-day gains in two years.</p><p><b>It is also expected that U.S. stocks may continue to rise. After all, the expectation given by the Federal Reserve is relatively clear, with pigeons in the eagle and soft in the middle. However, what the US stock market is waiting for is a big drop. At the opening of May 5th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively plunged, among which the Nasdaq index once fell by more than 4%.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6612e36963c0e2c1b7b8cfbbe3482b5c\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This surprising change also triggered other market changes, with long-term Treasury Bond yields in the United States rising almost across the board. Among them, the ten-year Treasury Bond yield, which has a strong indicator significance, broke through 3% in one fell swoop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05c5ab89b5db9d3e4e70741c3750c9da\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>the US Dollar Index rose sharply and recovered the previous lost ground.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cdb19fa6d038e9c8aa5dda60f15dac\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that the RMB fell sharply by 600 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72767457a97d91a9ed02cc1d5439d090\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the decline of A50 futures index also widened.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603f48ac3525d525c28e61610edcdb53\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>What exactly is the reason?</b></p><p>Where does the reason for the decline of U.S. stocks come from?</p><p>First, Powell said Wednesday that there is some evidence of a peak in core PCE. The market expects that in the next two meetings, rate hike may be 25 basis points after rate hike 50 basis points, excluding the possibility of rate hike 75 basis points. Powell also said that rate hike of 75 basis points is not worth considering. But surprisingly, on Thursday, U.S. interest rate futures prices showed a 75% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in June, and the CME group (CME) Fed Watch sees an 83% chance.</p><p>Secondly, there is an indicator that brings to mind the financial crisis. U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27%, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Freddie Mac economists expect home price gains to slow soon. As these interest rate indicators soared, they directly brought down the stock market and bond market.</p><p>Third, there may be concerns about the epidemic. Judging from the structure of the decline in U.S. stocks, after the opening, U.S. cruise stocks fell, with Carnival Cruise Line (CCL.N) falling 5.5%, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH.N) falling 5%, and Royal Caribbean Cruise Line (RCL.N) falling 3.4%. According to the latest news from WHO, the number of people dying from COVID-19 is almost three times that officially reported, with 1 in 500 people dying from COVID-19.</p><p>Wall Street bear David Wright believes that this bear market is just beginning. He said: \"The macroeconomic and geopolitical turmoil is worrying investors. No other country in the world will bet so much wealth on stocks. We are at the peak of complacency, and the market is in the midst of the biggest bear market of this life. The bear market has just begun, and there is a big wave behind it.\"</p><p><b>There are new developments in Russia and Ukraine</b></p><p><b>In the current market analysis framework, the variables of the US dollar, the variables of the epidemic situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict collectively go into battle. Judging from the latest news, the situation between Russia and Ukraine still shows no signs of easing.</b></p><p>According to Xinhua News Agency, Gladkov, the governor of Russian Belgorod Oblast near the Ukrainian border, reported on social media on the 5th that two villages in the state were shelled by Ukrainian side that day.</p><p>According to TASS news agency, Russian presidential press secretary Peskov told the media on the 5th that the Russian military knows that the United States, Britain and other NATO countries are constantly providing intelligence to the Ukrainian military, and Russia is taking all necessary measures to deal with it. He said the countries involved in sending weapons and providing intelligence to Ukraine would not \"hinder the achievement of the stated objectives of the special military operation\". In response to the news released by Ukraine that \"the Russian army broke into the Azov Iron and Steel Plant late at night and had a fierce exchange of fire with the Ukraine side\", Peskov said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not issued a new order on the actions of the Russian army in the Azov Iron and Steel Plant at present, and the decision made by the Russian side to cancel the storm and block the plant area is still being implemented.</p><p>In a video interview with the Wall Street Journal, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. Zelensky said that when he became president, the Minsk Agreement and the New Minsk Agreement already existed, but these agreements were not observed. Instead, these \"paper arrangements\" brought about \"freezing the conflict\" and Ukraine would never accept an agreement to \"freeze the conflict\".</p><p><b>Combined with the analysis of various situations, the subsequent rebound of the whole capital market may still face some tests, and it may take time to grind to the bottom.</b></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158662522","content_text":"美股突然大变脸！5月5日，美股开盘之后，三大股指跌幅直接扩大。截至23点10分，道指狂泄1000点，跌幅扩大至将近3%，标普500指数跌超3.4%，纳斯达克综合指数（纳指）下跌将近600点跌幅扩大至4.5%，纳斯达克100指数目前跌4.6%。这一走势多少有点超出市场预期，因为在5月4日的行情中，虽有美联储加息，但美股尾盘表现相当突出。那么，究竟是什么原因导致了美股杀跌？周四，美国抵押贷款利率跃升至 5.27%，为2009年以来最高。较高的借贷成本正在将买家赶出市场，房地美经济学家Sam Khater预计房价涨幅将很快放缓，这一指标的拉升可能吓到了市场，毕竟2008年金融危机离现在也并不遥远。债券市场也受到了影响，美国10年期国债收益率直接飙升至3%以上，美元指数则收复最近几个交易日的失地。离岸人民币受此影响亦一度杀跌600点，A50的跌幅亦扩大。同时，俄乌方面也再度传来消息，据新华社，俄罗斯别尔哥罗德州两村庄遭乌军炮击，乌总统说不同意与俄方“冻结冲突”。那么，刚刚有一些起色的A股是否又要遭遇考验呢？美股大变脸周三（5月4日），美联储加息了，原本以为美股可能要调整一下。没想到是一顿大涨。当日，道指涨2.81%，标普500指数涨2.99%，纳指涨3.19%。卡特彼勒、3M、苹果涨超4%，领涨道指。道指和标普500指数创两年来最大单日涨幅。同样是预期，美股可能会延续涨幅，毕竟美联储给出的预期比较明确，鹰里含鸽，刚中怀柔。然而，美股市场等来的却是一场大跌。5月5日开盘，美股三大指数集体大挫，其中，纳斯达克指数跌幅一度超过4%。这一惊人之变化亦引发了其他市场变局，美国长期限国债收益率几乎全线上涨。其中，指标意义强烈的十年期国债收益率一举突破了3%。美元指数更是大涨，并收复了此前的失地。值得一提的是，人民币大幅走低600点。与此同时，A50期指跌幅亦有所扩大。究竟是何缘故？美股杀跌的原因究竟又来自何方呢？首先，鲍威尔周三表示，一些证据表明核心PCE达到峰值。市场预期，接下来的两次会议上，可能会在加息50个基点之后加息25个基点，排除了加息75个基点的可能性，鲍威尔也称75个基点的加息并不值得考虑。但令人意外的是，周四，美国利率期货价格显示，美联储6月加息75个基点的可能性为75%，芝商所（CME）美联储观察认为有83%的可能性。其次，有一个指标让人想到了金融危机。美国抵押贷款利率跃升至 5.27%，为2009年以来最高。较高的借贷成本正在将买家赶出市场，房地美经济学家预计房价涨幅将很快放缓。随着这些利率指标的飙升，直接带崩了股市和债市。第三，可能对疫情还有担心。从美股杀跌的结构来看，开盘之后，美股邮轮股走低，嘉年华邮轮(CCL.N)跌5.5%，挪威邮轮(NCLH.N)跌5%，皇家加勒比邮轮(RCL.N)跌3.4%。据世卫组织最新消息，死于新冠病毒的人数几乎是官方报告的三倍，每500个人当中就有1人死于新冠病毒。华尓街大空头David Wright认为，这波熊市才刚刚开场。他表示：“宏观经济和地缘政治的动荡不安正在令投资者倍感担忧。世界上没有其他国家会将如此多的财富押在股票上。我们正处于自满情绪的高峰，目前市场正处在此生最大的熊市当中，熊市刚开始，后面还有一波大行情。”俄乌亦有新情况在当下的市场分析框架中，美元的变数，疫情的变数和俄乌冲突集体上阵。从最新的消息来看，俄乌局势仍未有缓和迹象。据新华社报道，靠近乌克兰边界的俄罗斯别尔哥罗德州州长格拉德科夫5日在社交媒体上通报，该州两个村庄当日遭到乌克兰方面炮击。据塔斯社报道，俄罗斯总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫5日对媒体表示，俄军方知道美国、英国以及其他北约国家不断向乌克兰军方提供情报，俄方正在采取一切必要措施加以应对。他表示，有关国家向乌克兰运送武器、提供情报并不会“阻碍特别军事行动既定目标的实现”。在回应乌克兰发布的“俄军深夜突入亚速钢铁厂并与乌方发生激烈交火”的消息时，佩斯科夫说，俄总统普京目前并未就俄军在亚速钢铁厂的行动下达新命令，此前俄方作出的取消强攻并对厂区进行封锁的决定仍在执行。乌总统泽连斯基接受《华尔街日报》视频采访时表示，乌方不同意与俄方“冻结冲突”。泽连斯基说，在他就任总统时，已存在明斯克协议和新明斯克协议，但这些协议并未被遵守，相反这些“纸上的安排”带来的是“冻结冲突”，乌克兰绝不会接受“冻结冲突”的协议。结合种种局势分析，后续整个资本市场的反弹可能还会面临一些考验，磨底或许还需时日。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9068297831,"gmtCreate":1651773758623,"gmtModify":1676534966574,"author":{"id":"3570940372906814","authorId":"3570940372906814","name":"学学看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/906600a85b7e31cd700e5441db024eba","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570940372906814","idStr":"3570940372906814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068297831","repostId":"1158662522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158662522","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1651768131,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158662522?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-06 00:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158662522","media":"券商中国","summary":"美股突然大变脸！5月5日，美股开盘之后，三大股指跌幅直接扩大。截至23点10分，道指狂泄1000点，跌幅扩大至将近3%，标普500指数跌超3.4%，纳斯达克综合指数（纳指）下跌将近600点跌幅扩大至4","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>US stocks suddenly changed their faces!</p><p>On May 5th, after the opening of U.S. stocks, the decline of the three major stock indexes directly expanded. As of 23: 10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average leaked 1,000 points, and the decline expanded to nearly 3%, the S&P 500 Index fell by more than 3.4%, the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) fell by nearly 600 points, and the decline expanded to 4.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is currently down 4.6%. This trend is somewhat beyond market expectations, because in the market on May 4th, although there was a rate hike of the Federal Reserve, the performance of U.S. stocks in late trading was quite outstanding. So, what exactly caused the U.S. stock market to fall?</p><p><b>U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27% on Thursday, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Sam Khater, an economist at Freddie Mac, predicts that house price growth will slow soon. The rise of this indicator may have spooked the market. After all, the 2008 financial crisis is not far away. Bond markets have also suffered, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield soaring directly above 3%, and the US Dollar Index recovering ground lost in recent trading sessions.</b></p><p>Affected by this, the offshore RMB once fell by 600 points, and the decline of A50 also widened. At the same time, news came from Russia and Ukraine again. According to Xinhua News Agency, two villages in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, were shelled by Ukrainian troops, and the Ukrainian president said he did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. So, will A-shares, which have just improved, be tested again?</p><p><b>U.S. stocks change their faces</b></p><p>On Wednesday (May 4th), the Federal Reserve had a rate hike, and originally thought that US stocks might have to adjust. I didn't expect it to be a big increase. On the same day, the Dow rose 2.81%, the S&P 500 rose 2.99%, and the Nasdaq rose 3.19%. Caterpillar, 3M and Apple rose more than 4%, leading the Dow. The Dow and S&P 500 posted their biggest one-day gains in two years.</p><p><b>It is also expected that U.S. stocks may continue to rise. After all, the expectation given by the Federal Reserve is relatively clear, with pigeons in the eagle and soft in the middle. However, what the US stock market is waiting for is a big drop. At the opening of May 5th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively plunged, among which the Nasdaq index once fell by more than 4%.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6612e36963c0e2c1b7b8cfbbe3482b5c\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This surprising change also triggered other market changes, with long-term Treasury Bond yields in the United States rising almost across the board. Among them, the ten-year Treasury Bond yield, which has a strong indicator significance, broke through 3% in one fell swoop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05c5ab89b5db9d3e4e70741c3750c9da\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>the US Dollar Index rose sharply and recovered the previous lost ground.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cdb19fa6d038e9c8aa5dda60f15dac\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that the RMB fell sharply by 600 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72767457a97d91a9ed02cc1d5439d090\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the decline of A50 futures index also widened.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603f48ac3525d525c28e61610edcdb53\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>What exactly is the reason?</b></p><p>Where does the reason for the decline of U.S. stocks come from?</p><p>First, Powell said Wednesday that there is some evidence of a peak in core PCE. The market expects that in the next two meetings, rate hike may be 25 basis points after rate hike 50 basis points, excluding the possibility of rate hike 75 basis points. Powell also said that rate hike of 75 basis points is not worth considering. But surprisingly, on Thursday, U.S. interest rate futures prices showed a 75% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in June, and the CME group (CME) Fed Watch sees an 83% chance.</p><p>Secondly, there is an indicator that brings to mind the financial crisis. U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27%, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Freddie Mac economists expect home price gains to slow soon. As these interest rate indicators soared, they directly brought down the stock market and bond market.</p><p>Third, there may be concerns about the epidemic. Judging from the structure of the decline in U.S. stocks, after the opening, U.S. cruise stocks fell, with Carnival Cruise Line (CCL.N) falling 5.5%, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH.N) falling 5%, and Royal Caribbean Cruise Line (RCL.N) falling 3.4%. According to the latest news from WHO, the number of people dying from COVID-19 is almost three times that officially reported, with 1 in 500 people dying from COVID-19.</p><p>Wall Street bear David Wright believes that this bear market is just beginning. He said: \"The macroeconomic and geopolitical turmoil is worrying investors. No other country in the world will bet so much wealth on stocks. We are at the peak of complacency, and the market is in the midst of the biggest bear market of this life. The bear market has just begun, and there is a big wave behind it.\"</p><p><b>There are new developments in Russia and Ukraine</b></p><p><b>In the current market analysis framework, the variables of the US dollar, the variables of the epidemic situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict collectively go into battle. Judging from the latest news, the situation between Russia and Ukraine still shows no signs of easing.</b></p><p>According to Xinhua News Agency, Gladkov, the governor of Russian Belgorod Oblast near the Ukrainian border, reported on social media on the 5th that two villages in the state were shelled by Ukrainian side that day.</p><p>According to TASS news agency, Russian presidential press secretary Peskov told the media on the 5th that the Russian military knows that the United States, Britain and other NATO countries are constantly providing intelligence to the Ukrainian military, and Russia is taking all necessary measures to deal with it. He said the countries involved in sending weapons and providing intelligence to Ukraine would not \"hinder the achievement of the stated objectives of the special military operation\". In response to the news released by Ukraine that \"the Russian army broke into the Azov Iron and Steel Plant late at night and had a fierce exchange of fire with the Ukraine side\", Peskov said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not issued a new order on the actions of the Russian army in the Azov Iron and Steel Plant at present, and the decision made by the Russian side to cancel the storm and block the plant area is still being implemented.</p><p>In a video interview with the Wall Street Journal, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. Zelensky said that when he became president, the Minsk Agreement and the New Minsk Agreement already existed, but these agreements were not observed. Instead, these \"paper arrangements\" brought about \"freezing the conflict\" and Ukraine would never accept an agreement to \"freeze the conflict\".</p><p><b>Combined with the analysis of various situations, the subsequent rebound of the whole capital market may still face some tests, and it may take time to grind to the bottom.</b></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe US stock market has changed its face, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plummeted by 1,000 points. What's the situation?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-05-06 00:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>US stocks suddenly changed their faces!</p><p>On May 5th, after the opening of U.S. stocks, the decline of the three major stock indexes directly expanded. As of 23: 10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average leaked 1,000 points, and the decline expanded to nearly 3%, the S&P 500 Index fell by more than 3.4%, the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) fell by nearly 600 points, and the decline expanded to 4.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is currently down 4.6%. This trend is somewhat beyond market expectations, because in the market on May 4th, although there was a rate hike of the Federal Reserve, the performance of U.S. stocks in late trading was quite outstanding. So, what exactly caused the U.S. stock market to fall?</p><p><b>U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27% on Thursday, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Sam Khater, an economist at Freddie Mac, predicts that house price growth will slow soon. The rise of this indicator may have spooked the market. After all, the 2008 financial crisis is not far away. Bond markets have also suffered, with the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield soaring directly above 3%, and the US Dollar Index recovering ground lost in recent trading sessions.</b></p><p>Affected by this, the offshore RMB once fell by 600 points, and the decline of A50 also widened. At the same time, news came from Russia and Ukraine again. According to Xinhua News Agency, two villages in Belgorod Oblast, Russia, were shelled by Ukrainian troops, and the Ukrainian president said he did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. So, will A-shares, which have just improved, be tested again?</p><p><b>U.S. stocks change their faces</b></p><p>On Wednesday (May 4th), the Federal Reserve had a rate hike, and originally thought that US stocks might have to adjust. I didn't expect it to be a big increase. On the same day, the Dow rose 2.81%, the S&P 500 rose 2.99%, and the Nasdaq rose 3.19%. Caterpillar, 3M and Apple rose more than 4%, leading the Dow. The Dow and S&P 500 posted their biggest one-day gains in two years.</p><p><b>It is also expected that U.S. stocks may continue to rise. After all, the expectation given by the Federal Reserve is relatively clear, with pigeons in the eagle and soft in the middle. However, what the US stock market is waiting for is a big drop. At the opening of May 5th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively plunged, among which the Nasdaq index once fell by more than 4%.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6612e36963c0e2c1b7b8cfbbe3482b5c\" tg-width=\"928\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>This surprising change also triggered other market changes, with long-term Treasury Bond yields in the United States rising almost across the board. Among them, the ten-year Treasury Bond yield, which has a strong indicator significance, broke through 3% in one fell swoop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05c5ab89b5db9d3e4e70741c3750c9da\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>the US Dollar Index rose sharply and recovered the previous lost ground.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0cdb19fa6d038e9c8aa5dda60f15dac\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>It is worth mentioning that the RMB fell sharply by 600 points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72767457a97d91a9ed02cc1d5439d090\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"255\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>At the same time, the decline of A50 futures index also widened.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603f48ac3525d525c28e61610edcdb53\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>What exactly is the reason?</b></p><p>Where does the reason for the decline of U.S. stocks come from?</p><p>First, Powell said Wednesday that there is some evidence of a peak in core PCE. The market expects that in the next two meetings, rate hike may be 25 basis points after rate hike 50 basis points, excluding the possibility of rate hike 75 basis points. Powell also said that rate hike of 75 basis points is not worth considering. But surprisingly, on Thursday, U.S. interest rate futures prices showed a 75% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in June, and the CME group (CME) Fed Watch sees an 83% chance.</p><p>Secondly, there is an indicator that brings to mind the financial crisis. U.S. mortgage rates jumped to 5.27%, the highest since 2009. Higher borrowing costs are driving buyers out of the market, and Freddie Mac economists expect home price gains to slow soon. As these interest rate indicators soared, they directly brought down the stock market and bond market.</p><p>Third, there may be concerns about the epidemic. Judging from the structure of the decline in U.S. stocks, after the opening, U.S. cruise stocks fell, with Carnival Cruise Line (CCL.N) falling 5.5%, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH.N) falling 5%, and Royal Caribbean Cruise Line (RCL.N) falling 3.4%. According to the latest news from WHO, the number of people dying from COVID-19 is almost three times that officially reported, with 1 in 500 people dying from COVID-19.</p><p>Wall Street bear David Wright believes that this bear market is just beginning. He said: \"The macroeconomic and geopolitical turmoil is worrying investors. No other country in the world will bet so much wealth on stocks. We are at the peak of complacency, and the market is in the midst of the biggest bear market of this life. The bear market has just begun, and there is a big wave behind it.\"</p><p><b>There are new developments in Russia and Ukraine</b></p><p><b>In the current market analysis framework, the variables of the US dollar, the variables of the epidemic situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict collectively go into battle. Judging from the latest news, the situation between Russia and Ukraine still shows no signs of easing.</b></p><p>According to Xinhua News Agency, Gladkov, the governor of Russian Belgorod Oblast near the Ukrainian border, reported on social media on the 5th that two villages in the state were shelled by Ukrainian side that day.</p><p>According to TASS news agency, Russian presidential press secretary Peskov told the media on the 5th that the Russian military knows that the United States, Britain and other NATO countries are constantly providing intelligence to the Ukrainian military, and Russia is taking all necessary measures to deal with it. He said the countries involved in sending weapons and providing intelligence to Ukraine would not \"hinder the achievement of the stated objectives of the special military operation\". In response to the news released by Ukraine that \"the Russian army broke into the Azov Iron and Steel Plant late at night and had a fierce exchange of fire with the Ukraine side\", Peskov said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not issued a new order on the actions of the Russian army in the Azov Iron and Steel Plant at present, and the decision made by the Russian side to cancel the storm and block the plant area is still being implemented.</p><p>In a video interview with the Wall Street Journal, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Ukraine did not agree to \"freeze the conflict\" with Russia. Zelensky said that when he became president, the Minsk Agreement and the New Minsk Agreement already existed, but these agreements were not observed. Instead, these \"paper arrangements\" brought about \"freezing the conflict\" and Ukraine would never accept an agreement to \"freeze the conflict\".</p><p><b>Combined with the analysis of various situations, the subsequent rebound of the whole capital market may still face some tests, and it may take time to grind to the bottom.</b></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158662522","content_text":"美股突然大变脸！5月5日，美股开盘之后，三大股指跌幅直接扩大。截至23点10分，道指狂泄1000点，跌幅扩大至将近3%，标普500指数跌超3.4%，纳斯达克综合指数（纳指）下跌将近600点跌幅扩大至4.5%，纳斯达克100指数目前跌4.6%。这一走势多少有点超出市场预期，因为在5月4日的行情中，虽有美联储加息，但美股尾盘表现相当突出。那么，究竟是什么原因导致了美股杀跌？周四，美国抵押贷款利率跃升至 5.27%，为2009年以来最高。较高的借贷成本正在将买家赶出市场，房地美经济学家Sam Khater预计房价涨幅将很快放缓，这一指标的拉升可能吓到了市场，毕竟2008年金融危机离现在也并不遥远。债券市场也受到了影响，美国10年期国债收益率直接飙升至3%以上，美元指数则收复最近几个交易日的失地。离岸人民币受此影响亦一度杀跌600点，A50的跌幅亦扩大。同时，俄乌方面也再度传来消息，据新华社，俄罗斯别尔哥罗德州两村庄遭乌军炮击，乌总统说不同意与俄方“冻结冲突”。那么，刚刚有一些起色的A股是否又要遭遇考验呢？美股大变脸周三（5月4日），美联储加息了，原本以为美股可能要调整一下。没想到是一顿大涨。当日，道指涨2.81%，标普500指数涨2.99%，纳指涨3.19%。卡特彼勒、3M、苹果涨超4%，领涨道指。道指和标普500指数创两年来最大单日涨幅。同样是预期，美股可能会延续涨幅，毕竟美联储给出的预期比较明确，鹰里含鸽，刚中怀柔。然而，美股市场等来的却是一场大跌。5月5日开盘，美股三大指数集体大挫，其中，纳斯达克指数跌幅一度超过4%。这一惊人之变化亦引发了其他市场变局，美国长期限国债收益率几乎全线上涨。其中，指标意义强烈的十年期国债收益率一举突破了3%。美元指数更是大涨，并收复了此前的失地。值得一提的是，人民币大幅走低600点。与此同时，A50期指跌幅亦有所扩大。究竟是何缘故？美股杀跌的原因究竟又来自何方呢？首先，鲍威尔周三表示，一些证据表明核心PCE达到峰值。市场预期，接下来的两次会议上，可能会在加息50个基点之后加息25个基点，排除了加息75个基点的可能性，鲍威尔也称75个基点的加息并不值得考虑。但令人意外的是，周四，美国利率期货价格显示，美联储6月加息75个基点的可能性为75%，芝商所（CME）美联储观察认为有83%的可能性。其次，有一个指标让人想到了金融危机。美国抵押贷款利率跃升至 5.27%，为2009年以来最高。较高的借贷成本正在将买家赶出市场，房地美经济学家预计房价涨幅将很快放缓。随着这些利率指标的飙升，直接带崩了股市和债市。第三，可能对疫情还有担心。从美股杀跌的结构来看，开盘之后，美股邮轮股走低，嘉年华邮轮(CCL.N)跌5.5%，挪威邮轮(NCLH.N)跌5%，皇家加勒比邮轮(RCL.N)跌3.4%。据世卫组织最新消息，死于新冠病毒的人数几乎是官方报告的三倍，每500个人当中就有1人死于新冠病毒。华尓街大空头David Wright认为，这波熊市才刚刚开场。他表示：“宏观经济和地缘政治的动荡不安正在令投资者倍感担忧。世界上没有其他国家会将如此多的财富押在股票上。我们正处于自满情绪的高峰，目前市场正处在此生最大的熊市当中，熊市刚开始，后面还有一波大行情。”俄乌亦有新情况在当下的市场分析框架中，美元的变数，疫情的变数和俄乌冲突集体上阵。从最新的消息来看，俄乌局势仍未有缓和迹象。据新华社报道，靠近乌克兰边界的俄罗斯别尔哥罗德州州长格拉德科夫5日在社交媒体上通报，该州两个村庄当日遭到乌克兰方面炮击。据塔斯社报道，俄罗斯总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫5日对媒体表示，俄军方知道美国、英国以及其他北约国家不断向乌克兰军方提供情报，俄方正在采取一切必要措施加以应对。他表示，有关国家向乌克兰运送武器、提供情报并不会“阻碍特别军事行动既定目标的实现”。在回应乌克兰发布的“俄军深夜突入亚速钢铁厂并与乌方发生激烈交火”的消息时，佩斯科夫说，俄总统普京目前并未就俄军在亚速钢铁厂的行动下达新命令，此前俄方作出的取消强攻并对厂区进行封锁的决定仍在执行。乌总统泽连斯基接受《华尔街日报》视频采访时表示，乌方不同意与俄方“冻结冲突”。泽连斯基说，在他就任总统时，已存在明斯克协议和新明斯克协议，但这些协议并未被遵守，相反这些“纸上的安排”带来的是“冻结冲突”，乌克兰绝不会接受“冻结冲突”的协议。结合种种局势分析，后续整个资本市场的反弹可能还会面临一些考验，磨底或许还需时日。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2234,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
