Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

GOLD: Continously Rising?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (February 5) Asian market, spot gold continued to create new highs, currently trading near 2847.37 U.S. dollars / ounce. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Gold prices hit another all-time high to $2,845.30 on Tuesday, marking a fourth consecutive session of new all-time highs, closing at $2,841.85, driven by investors seeking safe-haven assets after China took retaliatory tariff measures in response to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff measures. Separately, U.S. job openings fell the most in 14 months in December, also dragging the dollar and U.S. bond yields lower and giving gold prices upward momentum. $XAU/USD(XAUU
GOLD: Continously Rising?
avatartomthetrader1
02-03 10:50

.SPX: What's Going on Next after Tariffs?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ Thoughts:> 6000 = Good< 6000 = BadSimple. Everything else right now is noise.Image2.Futures marked have opened with the S&P 500 below 6000. Bad boy Trump and his tariffs— market does not like uncertainty. Will monitor breadth and momentum throughout it the week— if both flip negative with the index below 6000 = alarm 🚨Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
.SPX: What's Going on Next after Tariffs?
avatarKYHBKO
02-03 09:05

Oil tells the future, credit card, layoffs - My Investing Muse (03Feb2025)

My Investing Muse (03Feb2025) Layoffs & Closure news Microsoft has initiated a wave of performance-based job cuts, with impacted employees losing their jobs effective immediately and receiving no severance packages, according to termination letters sent to staff. Berkshire Hathaway said on Friday it has shed more than 4,000 jobs over the last year, on pace to post a record annual operating profit. In a regulatory filing, Berkshire said its dozens of operating businesses employ about 392,000 people, down from 396,440 shown in its most recent annual report last February. - Reuters The JG Summit conglomerate will shut down its petrochemical business — which makes raw materials for the production of plastic products and industrial chemicals — due to a China-induced global oversupply of res
Oil tells the future, credit card, layoffs - My Investing Muse (03Feb2025)
avatarKYHBKO
02-03 09:04

Home sales, ICE raids & Boeing losses - News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025) US private sector full-time jobs have DROPPED by nearly 2 MILLION over the past year. Such a drop has never happened outside of recessions. The only gain in jobs has been in the government sector. - X user Global Markets Investor 16.2% of total pending home sales in December fell out of contract, the highest December rate on record. This also marks the third-largest percentage since data began in 2017. Nominally, a whopping ~40,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled last month. Home purchase cancellations have surged since 2022 as mortgage rates remain historically high. The weekly average 30-year-fixed mortgage rate reached 7.04% last week, the highest since May. Homebuyers have lost confidence in the market. - X user The Kobeissi Letter
Home sales, ICE raids & Boeing losses - News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025)
avatarKYHBKO
02-03 08:22

PMI, Jobs & Unemployment updates - Economic Calendar (week of 03Feb2025)

Public Holidays China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 to celebrate Chinese New Year. There is no public holidays in America, Hong Kong and Singapore in the coming week. Economic Calendar (03Feb2025) China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 as they celebrate Chinese Lunar New Year. Notable Highlights The S&P Global manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.1. This represents a slight growth compared to the previous. ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released. This represents the growth or contraction of the manufacturing industry. ISM manufacturing prices will be released. A figure of above 50 implies an increase in manufacturing cost. This can lead to inflationary costs that are passed onto the consumers. S&P Global Services PMI is expected to hit 52.8. This implies a
PMI, Jobs & Unemployment updates - Economic Calendar (week of 03Feb2025)
avatarKYHBKO
02-03 06:39

Is Affirm turning things around? Preview of the week starting 03Feb2025

Public Holidays China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 to celebrate Chinese New Year. There is no public holidays in America, Hong Kong and Singapore in the coming week. Economic Calendar (03Feb2025) China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 as they celebrate Chinese Lunar New Year. Notable Highlights The S&P Global manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.1. This represents a slight growth compared to the previous. ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released. This represents the growth or contraction of the manufacturing industry. ISM manufacturing prices will be released. A figure of above 50 implies an increase in manufacturing cost. This can lead to inflationary costs that are passed onto the consumers. S&P Global Services PMI is expected to hit 52.8. This implies a growth in the global services
Is Affirm turning things around? Preview of the week starting 03Feb2025

GOLD: What's Going on After FOMO Meetings?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.Thursday (January 30) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock, currently trading in the vicinity of 2760. Gold prices on Wednesday shock run, after the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate resolution, gold prices once fell to 2744.65 near, after the Fed Chairman Powell press conference, gold prices recovered most of the losses, closed at $ 2759.73 / ounce, down only 0.13%. This came after the Fed held interest rates steady as widely expected by the market, but provided little clarity on the timing of future rate cuts. $E-Micro Gold - main 2502(MGCmain)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$
GOLD: What's Going on After FOMO Meetings?

GOLD: The Bullish Trend is Maintained!

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price showed clear positivity in breaking above 2755 and settling above it, initiating a bullish wave during the day and heading towards the next major target of 2790. Hence, the bullish trend is maintained today! There may be some sideways volatility influenced by stochastic negativity before then, currently waiting to gather positive momentum that will help propel the price to the desired target. Note: A drop below $2740 will stop the bullish trend and push the price to start a bearish correction during the day. Expect today's trading range to be between support at 2750 and resistance at $2785. Trend forecast: bullish!ImageFo
GOLD: The Bullish Trend is Maintained!

GOLD: Focused on the Broader Implications of Trump's Policies.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Friday (January 24), gold kept oscillating higher and is currently trading near $2766.29 USD. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold bottomed out on Thursday and fell to $2,735.83 earlier in the session, but after the change in U.S. initial jobless claims performed worse than market expectations and the dollar weakened after President Donald Trump's call for lower interest rates, gold recovered all of its losses to close at $2,754.59. Market attention remains focused on the broader implications of Trump's policies.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: Focused on the Broader Implications of Trump's Policies.
【Voting Post】The first article in my series on investing in 2025 I am a veteran, and I have made 8% cumulative gains since opening an account in early 2021. I'm also new to global brokerage, having just started a few years ago. Like I didn't know about the 3700, 3400, CSI 300 and the CSI 300, I had little idea about the Nasdaq, Dow and Australian indexes, and I hadn't studied the Hang Seng specifics. For beginners to invest, start with the macro. China is deflationary and the United States is divided after inflation; China and the United States focus on resolving the economic structure of their own issues. Looking at the economic cycle, we may still be in the old cycle, as shown in Figure 1. Looking at the political cycle, there are many elections in 2024. As we can see in Figure 2, important economies
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Short strategists here:Call TSLA to crash all day long and all week long, as it keeps climbing and climbingWait for TSLA to shed 20% from daily/weekly gainsClaim the day/week as a victoryDoes it get any bigger of a LOSER group than that?[Facepalm][Facepalm][Facepalm]
avatarKYHBKO
01-19

The new era under Trump starts - Preview of the week starting 20Jan2025

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore next week. Martin Luther King Holiday - Monday, January 17, 2022 - No ... On 20 Jan 2025 (Monday), the USA celebrates Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. Economic Calendar (20Jan2025) Notable Highlights S&P Global Manufacturing PMI reveals the contraction or growth of global manufacturing - which reveals anticipated demand. S&P Global Services PMI will also be released. A figure above 50 reveals growth and a figure lesser than that reveals contraction. Existing home sales let us in about the home real estate market. With the LA fire, we are expecting some increase in demand for homes in the coming weeks. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data re
The new era under Trump starts - Preview of the week starting 20Jan2025

GOLD: Bullish Rally Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold's decline stopped at $2656.7 as it reached the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the rise from $2596.10 to $2697.7, starting a bullish rally and resuming its bullish trajectory on an intraday basis on the way to test $2700 as the first positive target. Supported by positive technical indicators, more expected gains are awaited in the coming sessions, noting that a break below $2,659 will stop the bullish wave and push the price to achieve more bearish corrections, with its next targets reaching $2,647 and then the $2,635 level. Today's trading range is expected to be between the $2,655 support level and the $2,695 resistance level. Trend Forecast: Bullish (Hold Buy trade on trade) Strategy: BUY:2663-2665
GOLD: Bullish Rally Here!
avatarKYHBKO
01-13

CPI data will be released this week - Economic Calendar of the week 13Jan25

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, or America next week. Economic Calendar (13Jan2025) Notable Highlights The Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched data for the coming week. CPI is one of the economic data used as a reference for inflation. This should influence the Fed’s decision on interest rates, which is likely to bring some volatility to the market. The Producer Price Index (PPI) reveals the inflation that hits the producer first. If it goes up, this implies that producers have inflationary price pressure, which should be passed on to the consumers. Some view this as the prelude to inflation. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales will usher in an understanding of consumer retail consumption.
CPI data will be released this week - Economic Calendar of the week 13Jan25

GOLD: Conflict Stitution Now!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Tuesday (7 January) Asian market, spot gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near $ 2637. Gold prices opened slightly lower on Monday, the Federal Reserve recently hinted that it will slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, U.S. Treasury yields climbed to refresh highs since May, gold prices once hit a three-session low of $2,614.69 during the session, but there are conflicting reports about how aggressive the U.S. tariff plan will be, the U.S. dollar index fell to more than a one-week low, and the gold price recovered in the end of the session, closing at $2,635.87 . $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCm
GOLD: Conflict Stitution Now!

The .SPX Pattern!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.Gap Zone 5940-70: $.SPX(.SPX)$ (1) today's unfilled gap marked two key points, 5940: the 50 DMA; & 5970--50% of retrace; (2) the market has been very sensitive to 5940 level, jumping up or down over it many times in last two months. (3) would be PERFECT for bears if it is gapped over tmrwImage2.Right Shoulder = Left Shoulder at 6020. Higher than my revised target at 5995, but still fit for the H&S pattern, as well as a flat w-b/2. The rebound is most likely over at 6021. The selloff after hitting 6020 signals a new regime coming.Image3.HIGHER TARGET: (1) with SPX future jumped over 5960 zone comfortably, the upward target for this rebound has moved to 5996, the 61.8%
The .SPX Pattern!
avatarKYHBKO
01-06

My investing muse for week of 06Jan25

My Investing Muse (06Jan2025) Layoffs & Closure news "The Tech industry witnessed a 42% decline in layoffs compared to 2023, which saw the highest number of job cuts in the last four years. Over 260,000 employees were handed pink slips by over 1,200 companies this year. The spate of layoffs in 2023 was driven by factors such as economic downturn, considering rising inflation and interest rates. The eventual decrease in consumer spending hit the tech industry which relies heavily on their demand for its products and services. Some other key reasons that prompted companies to cut jobs were the stock market downturn, shifting market dynamics, and largely the over-hiring spree during the pandemic." Will the layoff trend continue into 2025? Is recovery in sight? - Source: India Express US h
My investing muse for week of 06Jan25
avatarKYHBKO
01-06

Non-Manufacturing PMI, jobs and unemployment - how will they fare in this week (06Jan2025)

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, or America next week. Economic Calendar (06Jan2025) Notable Highlights The forecast for the S&P Global Services PMI stands at 58.5 and expectation of growth compared to the previous month. ISM non-manufacturing PMI will also be released with a forecast of 53.2. A number that is greater than 50 implies growth. The ISM non-manufacturing prices will also be released. These will reveal any inflationary pricing pressures faced by non-manufacturing businesses (services) sectors. JOLT job openings will be updated. The forecast is 7.77 million job openings. We can see some updates or revisions to the previous months. In the same week, there will also be an update about ADP nonfar
Non-Manufacturing PMI, jobs and unemployment - how will they fare in this week (06Jan2025)

GOLD: Downward Trend Will Not Stop!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices continue to fall to test the 2600 handle, hitting a low near 2595.6 yesterday! to confirm a move towards the next major target of 2555.As a result, we will continue to suggest the next phase of the bearish trend supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, noting that a break above 2640 will stop the bearish wave and push the gold price to realise new gains starting from the $2700 area.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2585 support level and the $2620 resistance level.Trend Forecast: Bearish (trade to keep sell orders trading)!
GOLD: Downward Trend Will Not Stop!

GOLD: Lose Appeal or Not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ closed 0.48% lower at $2,620.96 per ounce on Friday (30 December), barely holding above the 100-day SMA at 2,616.01, as rising US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of non-yielding gold in thin holiday trading, with the market focused on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and his inflation-stimulating policies' impact on the Fed's outlook for 2025 Potential Impact. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
GOLD: Lose Appeal or Not?