技術分析在什麼條件下有效？
在投資市場上的所謂技術分析，無非大多數情況下是根據過去的數據來判斷未來的走勢。這裏面隱含着兩個重要的條件，第1個是過去的數據。當數據成爲過去的時候，其實用處有多大呢？尤其是在一個變亂的時期，也就是沒有模式可以效仿的時期，例如拿日本的房地產泡沫來套中國的有多少意義呢？至於說拿美國主板市場的數據來套中國的，那就更像那句俗語所說的驢頭對馬嘴。第2個未來的走勢，如果是短期走勢，恐怕更重要的是情報，而不是所謂技術分析。而情報從哪裏來，這恐怕就不可說了。
結論。技術分析在幾乎所有的條件下都是無效的。還不如去看黃曆。完全是個人看法。
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