$Intel(INTC)$ 18A is shaping up to be a huge success for Intel.
CEO Lip-Bu Tan confirmed the manufacturing ramp is progressing in both Oregon and Arizona:
“The ramp of the 18A in both Oregon and Arizona, including Fab 62, our second high-volume 18A fab.”
He also confirmed Clearwater Forest is already shipping for revenue, while Diamond Rapids, Intel's first 18A-P server product, is on track to ramp in 2027.
And the manufacturing improvements are becoming increasingly important.
Intel CFO Dave Zinsner said on the Q3 earnings call:
“Intel 18A costs have declined approximately 40% since Q1, reflecting continued yield and cycle time improvements.”
The manufacturing economics are moving in the right direction:
• Higher yields = more usable chips per wafer.
• Better cycle times = faster production and improved throughput.
• Higher factory utilization = fixed costs spread across more output.
• A richer mix of premium client and Xeon server CPUs = potential margin expansion.
Management reported that 18A yields improved at a double-digit rate, while wafer output on Intel 18A and Intel 3 exceeded expectations.
Intel also reported:
• 18A output approximately 25% above target.
• More than 50% quarter-over-quarter output growth.
Now combine improving yields, falling manufacturing costs, expanding factory capacity in Arizona and Oregon, and the upcoming 18A-P product ramp.
This is how Intel can build a much stronger manufacturing business and improve margins.
The 2027 opportunity is getting increasingly interesting. Intel is trading at bargain prices based on the work accomplished on the manufacturing side.
Wafer-start projections based on Intel and analyst estimates, not official Intel guidance.
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