Wolveofwallstreet
10-31

$PLTR 20261106 260.0 CALL$ 


A good or a bad trade.

This is what ChatGPT wrote me.


I would NOT buy this PLTR $260 call at $0.30 right now. PLTR closed around $196.42, meaning the stock needs to rise over 32% in roughly one week just to reach the strike, before accounting for premium. The key catalyst is Q3 earnings on November 2. Fundamentals remain strong: Q2 revenue grew 93%, U.S. commercial revenue 149%, and management guided FY2026 revenue growth of 82%. However, valuation is demanding, while November 6 options carry high implied volatility around 97.5%, creating significant IV-crush risk after earnings. I prefer owning PLTR shares or a lower-strike call than chasing this far OTM contract.

Winning Trades
Share your positions with us! This is a column where you can find the winning trades of our fellow tigers. There probably are a few potential opportunities that you may have overlooked.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Kelvin 梁
    11-02
    Kelvin 梁
    PLTR’s recent large-order flow has been net negative, but the scale is modest relative to daily liquidity; its valuation remains the more consequential sensitivity.


    Over the latest five reported sessions (2026-10-23 to 2026-10-29), large-order flow was negative on four days and positive on one. The cumulative net outflow was US$111.46 million (calculated from the reported figures, which are in thousands).
    The sequence worsened into the end of that window: −US$38.19m, −US$9.43m, +US$8.99m, −US$30.54m, −US$42.28m . That pattern suggests institutional-sized activity was more distribution than accumulation.
    On the latest session, large orders were net −US$4.19m , while overall net flow was marginally positive at US$11.80m —small-order buying offset some of the large-order selling. Separately, the stock fell 6.27% to US$184.11 on turnover of US$5.04bn . The prior session’s US$42.28m large-order outflow equaled only 0.84% of that turnover, so it is a cautionary signal rather than evidence o
  • Bunifa Latif
    11-02
    Bunifa Latif
    I continue to hold Alphabet and buy in tranches to build my position gradually. Despite market volatility, I believe in its long-term turnaround potential and prefer a disciplined approach rather than chasing short-term price movements.
  • winky9
    11-01
    winky9
    Bad trade unless you expect a huge post-earnings vol expansion too. If IV is already 97.5%, what does PLTR usually crush to after earnings on weeklies like this?
  • GlennOngkk
    11-02
    GlennOngkk
    Thanks for sharing. Recently some stocks dip even though providing spectacular quarterly results. i stay sideline till mid term election is over .
  • YumZoay
    11-01
    YumZoay
    93% growth and 82% FY guide scream long runway, just not on a one week 260 call. The business can work even if that contract doesn't
  • p2t2b2
    11-02
    p2t2b2
    😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊
Leave a comment
14
27