The $SPX Is Near a Record, The Average Stock Is Not

DavidMarlin
09-29 07:22

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is just 0.7% below its all-time high.

But underneath the index, the picture looks very different.

📉 The median $SPX stock is 16% below its 52-week high.

Only 51% of $SPX stocks are above their 200-day moving averages.

Yet the index is still within roughly 0.5% of a record.

That combination is extremely unusual.

The last time the market saw a similar setup was March 2000, when the index was near record highs while participation underneath was already deteriorating.

👇 The key takeaway:

Index strength ≠ broad market strength.

A handful of large stocks can keep the $SPX near its highs even while a much larger part of the market is already correcting.

That makes market breadth one of the most important things to watch right now.

If breadth starts recovering, the rally gets healthier.

If the index keeps grinding higher while participation continues to weaken, the divergence becomes harder to ignore. 👀


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