苏36
09-28 23:34
My pick: Green (5% to 10%)

MU’s setup is stronger than a simple “beat the quarter” story. Micron’s own Q4 guide was already $50B revenue and $31 EPS, while the market has pushed expectations higher.

The key catalyst is forward visibility. Micron has signed 16 strategic customer agreements, with roughly $22B in cash commitments and many contracts extending through 2030.

That changes the traditional memory-cycle equation: if HBM demand remains tight while long-term contracts protect pricing, earnings could stay elevated longer than the market expects.

My concern is valuation and expectations—MU now needs not just a beat, but strong FY2027 guidance. **I expect a solid reaction, but probably not a >10% blowout.**

@Tiger_Earnings [思考]

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