๐ Market Recap
As of the Singapore close on 25 September 2026, 'F34.SI' (Wilmar International) finished at SGD 3.65, down -0.54% on the day. The stock traded within a narrow range of SGD 3.61 to SGD 3.67, with turnover of 4.34 million shares and a volume ratio of 0.77, indicating subdued participation. The closing price sits roughly 7.6% below the 52-week high of SGD 3.95 and approximately 36.7% above the 52-week low of SGD 2.67.
๐ Key Drivers
- Commodity Price Volatility: Softness in palm oil and soybean processing margins continues to weigh on near-term sentiment for integrated agri-business names.
- Capital Flow Recovery: Five-day flow data showed renewed net buying interest on 23 September (SGD 11.01 million), suggesting buyers are stepping in near current levels.
- Defensive Dividend Appeal: A TTM dividend yield around 4.07% supports the stock during range-bound periods, limiting downside selling pressure.
๐ฏ Price Outlook
Short-term Upside/Downside Probability
| Direction | Probability | Price Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upside | 48% | 3.68 โ 3.78 | +1% ~ +3.5% |
| Downside | 52% | 3.55 โ 3.61 | -1% ~ -3% |
Medium-term Upside/Downside Probability
| Direction | Probability | Price Range | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upside | 54% | 3.75 โ 3.95 | +3% ~ +8% |
| Downside | 46% | 3.45 โ 3.58 | -2% ~ -5% |
Key Price Levels
| Type | Price |
|---|---|
| Short-term Resistance | 3.67 / 3.78 |
| Short-term Support | 3.61 / 3.55 |
| Strong Support Zone | 3.45 |
๏ผThe above forecast is generated by AI and is for reference only. It does not constitute any form of investment advice, trading guidance or return commitment.๏ผ
1. Technical Indicators ๐
Volume: Daily traded volume reached 4.34 million shares with total turnover of approximately SGD 15.82 million. The 0.77 volume ratio reflects an absence of strong directional conviction, consistent with a consolidation phase.
MACD: Historical MACD values for the requested window were not available. Based on price action, 'F34.SI' has been digesting recent gains without generating a fresh momentum trigger, keeping the bias neutral until a decisive close above SGD 3.67.
RSI: RSI readings were also unavailable for the period. Price proximity to the lower half of the recent range suggests momentum is cooling, and a push back toward SGD 3.70 would be needed to confirm renewed short-term strength.
2. Key Price Levels ๐ฏ
Primary Support: SGD 3.61 (intraday low), a break below this level could accelerate selling toward the SGD 3.45 strong support zone.
Strong Resistance: SGD 3.67 (session high and recent pivot), a confirmed breakout above this zone opens the path toward SGD 3.78 and eventually the 52-week peak at SGD 3.95.
Immediate Pivot: SGD 3.63 (midpoint of the daily range), acting as the intraday dividing line for bulls and bears.
3. Valuation Perspective ๐ฐ
'F34.SI' trades at a TTM P/E of 12.37 and a P/S ratio of 0.23, reflecting an undemanding valuation compared with historical levels. Price-to-book stands at 0.80, while ROE is 6.55% and ROA is 2.74%. The dividend yield of 4.07% provides an additional margin of safety for long-term holders.
4. Analyst Targets ๐ฏ
Public analyst target data is limited in the current feed. Institutional positioning remains largely stable, with major shareholders such as The Kuok Group holding 27.08% and Archer-Daniels-Midland Company holding 22.49%, underscoring sustained long-term strategic interest. Market consensus continues to view 'F34.SI' primarily as an income and value play rather than a high-momentum growth name.
5. Weekly Outlook ๐ฎ
The stock is likely to oscillate between SGD 3.58 and SGD 3.70 in the coming week. A decisive daily close above SGD 3.67 may trigger a measured move toward SGD 3.78; failure to hold SGD 3.61 could expose the stock to a deeper pullback toward SGD 3.55 and then SGD 3.45.
Key events to monitor over the next one to two weeks:
- Palm oil and soybean price movements, as crushing and refining spreads remain the main earnings drivers for Wilmar.
- Singapore dollar strength and regional commodity demand, which may affect export competitiveness and short-term cash flows.
- Any corporate announcements on share buybacks, dividend policy updates, or changes in major shareholder holdings.
Risk Disclaimer โ ๏ธ
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Stock market investing involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision to buy or sell 'F34.SI' should be based on independent research and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance. The valuation and technical observations above are derived from limited public data and may not fully reflect all operational or market risks.
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