atehpengaday
08-31

asset classes with high interest-rate sensitivity get hit differently across the board:

Tech (QQQ): Facing immediate headwinds from front-end rate repricing. Higher risk-free yields compress equity multiples for growth companies and raise short-term borrowing costs, keeping tech volatile until terminal rate expectations settle.

A Dove Breaks Fed Hawk Chorus — Can S&P's Best Day in a Month Survive Tonight's Jobs Report?
Waller broke weeks of hawkish pressure: he backs holding rates while progress toward 2% continues. Hike odds this month fell 70% to 50%, the 10-year 4.81% to 4.74%. S&P +1.06%, Dow +614 points, best day in a month: Microsoft +2.68%, Meta +3.01%. Ease the pressure and the priciest assets bounce first. But this dove is on loan: the range is still 3.50–3.75%, three members backed a hike in July, and September 16 is live. Tonight's payrolls decide: consensus +56,000 after July's −23,000, and hourly earnings at +3.0% is what matters. Call peak rates before the data, or trust only the hold?
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Comments

  • Xiia
    08-31
    Xiia
    AAPL and Microsoft still trading above their usual forward PE says the market is paying for certainty, not just discounting rates. QQQ volatility feels temporary to me
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