Puts puts puts baby
08-27 15:06

With July core PCE running at 3.3% y/y and 0.2% m/m, sticky inflation combined with elevated long-end yields (10-year near 4.7%, 30-year above 5.2%) creates a tough macro backdrop where high-duration tech valuations face double pressure. For Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote—centered on "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy"—he is likely to avoid explicitly spoon-feeding near-term rate cut promises, leaving Bitcoin and digital assets best positioned to capture speculative momentum if he adopts a forward-looking stance on payment rails, tokenized deposits, and stablecoin frameworks. Gold continues to serve as a solid hedge against sticky inflation and long-term fiscal debt dynamics, while Equities will likely remain constrained by high discount rates until long-end yields finally soften.

Fed Chair Warsh Speaks Tonight — Will He Give Markets a Direction?
Jackson Hole runs August 27–29, themed "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy," with Warsh speaking 10 p.m. Beijing on the 28th. Thursday may have front-run it: QQQ +1.37%, spot gold +1.12% to $4,649, Bitcoin +2.96% to $81,370. Equities, gold and crypto rising together is a bet on liquidity and the dollar, not on any one asset's fundamentals. With payments and digital assets on the official agenda, his remarks may land harder on stablecoins than on the indices. Does he shift the rate path — and are you watching equities, gold, or BTC?
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Comments

  • GeraldAdela
    08-27 16:03
    GeraldAdela
    Gold still works at 3.3% PCE, but real yields are the part that can keep it stuck short term.
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