๐Ÿถ๐Ÿ“ˆ Why I Sell a Long-Dated PLTR Put 15 Months Away โ€” The Options Puppy Way SG61 Trading Arena for SGX Listed Securities!

Optionspuppy
08-10 21:56


When people see that I sold a PLTR put expiring 15 months away, they often ask me, โ€œ๐Ÿถ Why not sell a weekly put and collect premium faster?โ€ My answer is simple: I prefer getting paid today while giving my investment thesis more time to work. I am not trying to predict tomorrowโ€™s price movement; I am trying to build income patiently, just like an Options Puppy waiting for treats to come over time. ๐Ÿฆด๐Ÿ’ฐ

๐Ÿถ๐Ÿ’ก My First Rule: I Must Be Willing to Own PLTR

Before I sell any put, I ask myself one important question: Would I be happy to own 100 shares if assigned? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ“Š If my answer is โ€œno,โ€ I do not sell the put. Selling a put means I may have to buy the shares later, so I treat it as a real investment decision, not a lottery ticket. ๐ŸŽฏ๐Ÿพ

For PLTR, I believe the company has long-term growth potential in AI, government contracts, and enterprise software ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ. By selling the put, I get paid upfront for being willing to buy the stock in the future. That mindset keeps me calm during market volatility. ๐Ÿ˜Œ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿถ Why I Like Selling a 15-Month Put

A long-dated put usually gives me a larger premium upfront ๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿพ. I receive that cash immediately, and I can keep the money in a money market fund or another low-risk place while I wait. Instead of working hard for weekly premiums, I let time work for me. โณ๐Ÿ’ฐ

I also make fewer trading decisions. Weekly options can feel like feeding a puppy every hour ๐Ÿถโฐ, while a 15-month option is more like filling a large bowl and letting the puppy eat calmly over time. ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿพ

$PLTR 20271217 280.0 PUT$ 

๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ Time Is My Friend

If PLTR falls next month because of a market correction, I still have more than a year for the company to report earnings, sign contracts, launch products, and potentially recover. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿš€ A short-term option might force me to react immediately, but a long-dated option gives my thesis breathing room. ๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ๐Ÿถ

I do not need to be right tomorrow. I only need PLTR to remain fundamentally strong over the longer term. That is a much easier game for me to play. ๐ŸŽฏ๐Ÿ“ˆ

โšก๐Ÿพ Lower Gamma Means Less Stress

Short-term options can move wildly with small stock price changes ๐ŸŽข๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ. Long-dated options usually have lower gamma, so the option price changes more gradually. I still monitor the position, but I do not panic every time PLTR moves a few dollars. ๐Ÿ˜Œ๐Ÿถ

For me, lower gamma means better sleep and fewer emotional mistakes. ๐Ÿ›Œ๐Ÿ’ค๐Ÿ“Š

๐Ÿงฎ๐Ÿถ Understanding Theta = 0.03

You mentioned a theta of 0.03. Theta tells me how much value the option loses each day from time decay, assuming everything else stays the same. ๐Ÿ“‰โณ

A theta of 0.03 means the option loses about $0.03 per share per day. Since one option contract controls 100 shares, the daily decay is roughly:

* $0.03 ร— 100 = $3 per day ๐Ÿ’ต๐Ÿพ

As the option seller, I benefit from that decay. Every day that passes is like a small treat coming into my bowl. ๐Ÿฆด๐Ÿ’ฐ

๐Ÿ“…๐Ÿถ Calculating the 15-Month Decay

Fifteen months is approximately 1.25 years. ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ๐Ÿพ

* 365 ร— 1.25 = 456 days

Now I apply theta:

* 456 ร— 0.03 = 13.68 option points

Because option prices are quoted per share, that equals $13.68 per share. For one contract:

* $13.68 ร— 100 = $1,368 ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿถ

So my rough estimate is that about $1,368 of premium decay could occur over the life of the option if theta stayed constant. In reality, theta usually speeds up as expiration gets closer, so this is only an estimate. ๐Ÿ“ˆโณ๐Ÿพ

๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿถ Looking at Return on Capital

If I secure the put with roughly $28,000 (280 ร— 100), then an estimated $1,368 of decay is about 4.9% of that capital. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿพ

That does not include the original premium I received or any interest earned on the cash collateral. When I look at the trade this way, I see it as a patient income strategy, not just an option bet. ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿ’ต

๐ŸŽ๐Ÿพ The Best Part: I Get Paid Today

Suppose I sold the put for $133.34 per share. The premium received would be:

* $133.34 ร— 100 = $13,334 ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐ŸŽ‰๐Ÿถ

If I were assigned at $280, my effective cost basis would be approximately:

* $280 โˆ’ $133.34 = $146.66 per share ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿพ

That means I am effectively agreeing to buy PLTR at a much lower price than the strike suggests. This is one of my favorite features of selling cash-secured puts. ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿ’ก

โš ๏ธ๐Ÿถ I Still Respect the Risks

Options Puppy is not magic. If PLTR falls far below my effective cost basis, I can still face a large unrealized loss. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿพ Market crashes, weaker earnings, or changes in the business can hurt the position.

That is why I only use this strategy on companies I am comfortable owning for years, not days. ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ”„๐Ÿพ Why I Prefer This Over Weekly Premium

Weekly options may produce faster premium, but they also create constant decision-making, rolling, and emotional stress. ๐Ÿ“…๐Ÿ˜ต๐Ÿพ I would rather collect a larger premium once and let time slowly work in my favor.

Fewer trades often mean fewer mistakes. As an Options Puppy, I value discipline and consistency more than excitement. ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿง ๐Ÿ’ฐ

๐Ÿ“๐Ÿถ My Personal Checklist

Before I sell a long-dated put, I ask myself:

* ๐Ÿถ Do I understand the company?

* ๐Ÿ’ฐ Am I willing to own 100 shares?

* ๐Ÿ“Š Can I handle the capital requirement?

* ๐Ÿ“ˆ Is the premium attractive?

* โณ Can I hold the trade for the full term?

* ๐Ÿ˜Œ Would I stay calm if the stock fell 30โ€“50%?

If I cannot answer โ€œyesโ€ to all six questions, I pass on the trade. ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿพ

๐Ÿ๐Ÿถ My Final Thoughts

Selling a 15-month PLTR put is not about predicting next weekโ€™s price. It is about getting paid today for a long-term willingness to own a company I believe in. ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿพ

The theta example of 0.03 shows how time decay can gradually transfer value from the option buyer to me, the option seller. Using 365 ร— 1.25 ร— 0.03, I estimate about 13.68 points, or roughly $1,368 per contract, of decay over fifteen months. ๐Ÿงฎโณ๐Ÿ’ต

As Options Puppy, I see this trade as a patient income strategy. I am saying, โ€œ๐Ÿถ I am willing to own PLTR at a lower effective price, and I am happy to collect premium while I wait.โ€ That philosophyโ€”income first, ownership second, patience alwaysโ€”is the heart of my long-dated put strategy. ๐Ÿพ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿš€

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