Long post, but some thoughts on what happened in the market today…
Today was a particularly weird storm of price action because the logic going into the open was as follows:
- $MU crushed, saved the AI trade
- AI stocks should go higher due to MU proving its not cyclical, this should help the broader market get a lift
Instead, what we got right before the open…
- $AAPL announces massive price hikes and effectively uses MU earnings to be like, “See! It’s not us, but if memory gets 86% margins, then we have to raise prices!”
- This happens right after the hottest PCE in 3 years is reported, even with oil (the biggest proponent of inflation the past few months) still coming down
- Microsoft then joins the party and raises prices across all XBOX products, once again citing memory costs
Market then proceeds to take a nasty dip in every sector…except Memory.
I think what is happening here will be studied for a long time. The hyperscalers, the companies that are RESPONSIBLE for $MU and $SNDK being multibaggers, are getting destroyed because…well they can’t buy back stock, they can’t get FCF positive, and they don’t have memory’s pricing power.
Comments