Lanceljx
06-25 22:28

Record results deserve attention, but a record share price does not automatically mean a bargain. A strong beat can justify higher valuations, yet expectations also become much harder to exceed.


If Micron's long-term contracts, AI memory demand, and pricing power continue translating into sustained earnings growth, the super-cycle could have further room to run. However, memory has historically been a cyclical industry, and euphoric sentiment can lead to sharp pullbacks even when fundamentals remain healthy.


Rather than chasing a 15% post-earnings gap, I'd prefer to add gradually through dollar-cost averaging or wait for periods of consolidation. Missing the first leg of a rally is often preferable to buying at peak optimism if the market later reassesses expectations. The next few quarters will matter more than one exceptional earnings report.

Micron Surges 15%! $100B Long-Term Orders Confirm Super-Cycle?
Micron reported record-breaking Q3 results, sending shares up ~15% after hours to $1,200. Total revenue hit a record $41.5B, up 74% QoQ and 346% YoY, with gross margins surging to 84.9% — briefly surpassing Nvidia — marking a fifth consecutive record quarter. The company has secured 16 take-or-pay long-term contracts guaranteeing $100B in minimum revenue, with $18B in cash deposits already collected. Will you chase this memory super-cycle, or does the new high feel too expensive?
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