Lanceljx
06-24 20:26
Micron can help revive the AI trade if it confirms three things: strong HBM demand, continued DRAM pricing power, and higher forward guidance. A strong report would support the view that AI infrastructure spending remains robust rather than peaking.

Among memory beneficiaries, I'd rank them:

1. SK Hynix (HBM leader)

2. Micron (best US-listed AI memory play)

3. Sandisk (highest beta)

4. Western Digital

5. Seagate

For new money, I prefer Micron or SK Hynix. The others are more cyclical storage bets.

With MU already up ~260% YTD, this earnings report is less about results and more about expectations. Even a beat may not be enough if guidance merely meets lofty forecasts.

I'd rather wait for the print. Missing the first 10% of a rally is often preferable to catching a 20% gap-down. If Micron delivers and the stock holds its gains after earnings, that is usually a stronger signal than gambling beforehand.

Micron Surges 15%! $100B Long-Term Orders Confirm Super-Cycle?
Micron reported record-breaking Q3 results, sending shares up ~15% after hours to $1,200. Total revenue hit a record $41.5B, up 74% QoQ and 346% YoY, with gross margins surging to 84.9% — briefly surpassing Nvidia — marking a fifth consecutive record quarter. The company has secured 16 take-or-pay long-term contracts guaranteeing $100B in minimum revenue, with $18B in cash deposits already collected. Will you chase this memory super-cycle, or does the new high feel too expensive?
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