Lanceljx
06-22

Apple acknowledging higher memory costs is certainly supportive for the sector, but investors should distinguish between a strong industry outlook and attractive entry points.


The bullish case is straightforward: AI workloads require enormous amounts of high-bandwidth memory and storage, supply expansion is difficult, and major customers appear willing to absorb higher prices. That supports earnings growth for companies such as Micron Technology.


The cautionary case is valuation. When stocks have already risen hundreds or even thousands of percent, expectations become extremely demanding. Memory has historically been a cyclical industry, and periods of exceptional profitability often attract new capacity that eventually eases shortages.


I would not aggressively chase a 9-12% surge driven by a single catalyst. If I were bullish on the AI memory theme, I would prefer accumulating on pullbacks or consolidations rather than buying into euphoric momentum.


The long-term trend still appears favourable, but after parabolic moves, the risk-reward often shifts from "missing out" to "overpaying." The key question is no longer whether demand is strong. It is whether future earnings can grow fast enough to justify prices that already assume years of exceptional conditions.

Micron Surges 15%! $100B Long-Term Orders Confirm Super-Cycle?
Micron reported record-breaking Q3 results, sending shares up ~15% after hours to $1,200. Total revenue hit a record $41.5B, up 74% QoQ and 346% YoY, with gross margins surging to 84.9% — briefly surpassing Nvidia — marking a fifth consecutive record quarter. The company has secured 16 take-or-pay long-term contracts guaranteeing $100B in minimum revenue, with $18B in cash deposits already collected. Will you chase this memory super-cycle, or does the new high feel too expensive?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment