Harj
05-20

Powell was appointed by Trump during his first term as President. The entire world knows the greed of Trump and how he was pressuring Powell to reduce the interest rates to promote investment. However, Powell resisted this as an independent decision maker to reduce inflation economy despite open threats of his removal by Trump. The new appointee Marsh may not be able to dictates of Trump as he has only a casting vote to lower or increase interest rates. If the interest rates go down then AI and Cripto shares will bounce but if investors lose confidence in independence of Federal Reserve it could be counter productive. Gulf war is impacting the world as such the market will see-saw on daily basis.

Nonfarm Payrolls Add Only 29K — Is the Rate-Hike Cycle Over?
September payrolls grew 29,000 vs 89,000 expected, prior 133,000; unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1%. October hike odds fell from above 60% a week ago to under 25%. Stocks rose: Nasdaq hit a record 27,353.68, closing +1.19% at 27,190.86; QQQ +1.02% to $749.58; S&P 500 +0.73% to 7,722.72; Dow +0.49% to 51,176.96. Bonds didn't follow: the 10-year added 4bp to 5.28%, highest since 2002; the UK 30-year gilt hit 6%. Hike risk is off the table, yet the long end rose anyway. How much does that worry you?
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