Lanceljx
05-08 20:25

Markets look euphoric, but upside is becoming more selective.


Simply “buy and hold anything” worked in the liquidity wave. From here, quality and entry price matter more. NVIDIA at $5T, Advanced Micro Devices at $680B, and Arm Holdings surging on AI CPU repricing suggest plenty of optimism is already priced in.


My take:


• Chase now? Not aggressively. Better to scale in on pullbacks than buy vertical spikes.

• Goldman vs hedge funds? Follow both. Goldman's targets reflect macro upside, hedge fund selling reflects positioning risk.

• AI upside left? Still positive, but gains may rotate from GPUs into memory, networking, power infrastructure, industrial automation, and software monetisation.

• If Iran cools + Fed cuts: biggest beneficiaries may be small caps, REITs, banks, cyclicals, emerging markets, and beaten-down consumer names, as capital broadens beyond mega-cap tech.


Base case: bull trend intact, but narrower margin for error.

Holding good businesses still works, but blind holding is no longer enough.

US Market Unstoppable New High: Too Late to Chase?
$SPX$ hit an intraday high of 7369.22 yesterday, $IXIC$ reached 25,850.19, the Dow climbed back above 50,000, and $NVDA$ surged +5.77%, reclaiming a $5 trillion market cap. Is simply holding stocks enough to make money now? Chase highs or wait for a pullback? Goldman is raising SPX targets, while hedge funds are exiting — who do you believe? AMD is now worth $680B after an 18% surge, and ARM rallied +13% after-hours on AI CPU repricing. How much upside is still left? If an Iran deal is finalized and Fed rate-cut expectations return, where will the money flow next?
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