林欣霓
05-06 07:52

Micron, SNDK all time high: Will AI memory super cycle run further?

Yes — the AI memory super cycle still looks alive, and right now the market believes this cycle may last much longer than previous DRAM/NAND booms.

The biggest reason:

AI is changing memory from a “commodity” into critical infrastructure.

For years, memory stocks like Micron and SanDisk were classic boom-bust trades:

~ oversupply → price collapse,

~ weak margins,

~ brutal stock crashes.

But AI servers changed the equation because advanced AI systems now require:

~massive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory),

~ultra-fast SSD storage,

~huge memory bandwidth,

~and increasingly complex memory architectures.

Micron already said its 2026 HBM4 supply is essentially sold out.

The biggest risks:

~memory historically ALWAYS overbuilds eventually,

~Samsung/SK Hynix/Micron capex could create future oversupply,

~hyperscaler AI spending may slow,

~and valuations are becoming extreme after huge rallies.

Micron and SanDisk Hit All-Time Highs: Can MU Reach $1,000?
Micron surged 11.06% during regular trading and extended gains to $672.75 after hours, while SanDisk jumped 11.98% on the same day, driving the memory sector to broad all-time highs. Analysts cite structural HBM supply shortages fueled by AI server demand, with a DRAM ETF rising nearly 9% and a SeekingAlpha report declaring Micron's 50% rally is merely the prologue to a structural shortage cycle. Samsung and SK Hynix's HBM expansion timelines remain the key wildcard — where is the ceiling for this memory supercycle, and is $1,000 the next target for Micron?
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