$INTC Case Study: How to Build a 30% Position Without Blowing Up

How I build my largest positions:

I get a lot of questions about how I size my highest conviction ideas. But before I say anything else..."high conviction" does NOT mean the idea can't/won't fail miserably.

I never put myself in a position to lose big. I ask myself before every single trade: is there a chance I can take a big loss here? The answer should NEVER be yes.

Putting yourself in a position to "lose big" could be oversizing, playing short term options, excessive leverage, no risk mgmt, etc.

With that being said, I have no problem putting 30% of my account into a position if the stars really are aligning (technicals, fundies, catalyst). But you're prob thinking: "seems like if you're putting 30% of your account in something, you could take a loss pretty easily, no?!"

Well, I've become obsessed with safe scaling...and I have a very unique four phase style for SWING trading.

Phase 1: Initial Entry

- size ~25% of full position

- you're very early here

- ideally entering on a big base or when stock is quiet

- price can be volatile, choppy

- be quick to cut...then re-assess + possibly re-enter

Phase 2: Bulking Phase

- stock starts to make an initial move

- want to see confirmation (higher lows, holding levels)

- strong trend, adding on weakness within uptrend

- move stops to break even

- another ~30% of full position added here (brings position to 50–70%)

Phase 3: Fake Out + Second Wind Phase

- where most get shaken out

- pullbacks, fake breakdowns, undercuts

- sentiment flips bearish short-term (huge!!)

- if structure + thesis still intact…this is a buy

- adding another ~20% here (position now ~85% full)

Phase 4: Final Adds

- trade is working

- these are momentum adds

- clean breakout + expansion move

- pressing the winner

- reach full position size (can be 30%+ of port)

Big wins are built through:

> strong trends

> longer timeframes

> solid catalysts

> building conviction + size

> pressing winners

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