If a resolution is real and the markets want to gap up & go this week, here's what I believe has the most "torque".
4 buckets.
1.Semiconductors.
- ai infrastructure buildout hasn't stopped...this is a temporary fear selloff. When risk-on returns, this can be the highest-beta snapback.
2.Copper snapback.
- still HUGE structural demand story (AI data centers, EVs, grid buildout, reshoring). Purely a risk-off/liquidity-driven selloff...demand drivers are completely unrelated to Hormuz.
3.Airlines & Travel.
- leading this morning on the initial pop...but was crushed on high jet fuel costs + demand fear. Most direct Hormuz-reversal trade.
4.Crypto.
- quietly bottoming first. Historically one of the first + fastest movers when risk appetite returns.
Honorable mention
- watching financials + small caps for confirmation…if they don’t participate, this move probably isn’t real.
But don't jump the gun. This week is important. Need to see constructive price action + real participation.
Still too tough to get directionally comfortable. Just observe & prepare for now...standby.
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